XAUUSD / TRADING SENSITIVE AREA - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The overall trend is downward , until trading around 2,526$ and 2,531$
The expectation of prices rising to $2,526 and $2,531 before dropping can be explained by resistance levels at these points, which often cause a pullback in prices. If gold remains below $2,531, the downtrend is likely to continue, supported by technical indicators showing declining momentum. The forecast of a drop to $2,507 is based on previous support levels where the price tends to stabilize.
However, if gold closes above $2,531 on a 4-hour chart, it suggests a breakout, signaling a shift in sentiment and potentially leading to higher prices, supported by market momentum. The projection of reaching $2,540 and $2,551 aligns with historical price peaks and psychological levels that traders often target in a rally.
KEY LEVELS :
TURNING LEVEL : 2,507 .
RESISTANCE LEVELS : 2,526$ , 2,531$ .
SUPPORT LEVELS : 2,507$ , 2,475$ .
Xauusdsignal
XAUUSD: SELL@2514-2528
Gold has a significant support level around 2488. If it breaks this level again, the price is likely to fall further to around 2452. Tomorrow's NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) data will be released, and given today's ADP data being bullish for gold, there is a high probability that tomorrow's NFP data will also be favorable for gold, barring any unexpected outcomes. However, it is important to watch the market before the data release—if there is an early rally, there is a possibility that the price may see a brief spike after the data release, followed by a sharp decline. If the data comes in surprisingly negative and is bearish for gold, a short position can be taken directly.
NFP Data: Key Trading Opportunities for Gold
Gold has returned to around 2520, with resistance still quite evident. With only one and a half hours left before the data release, market volatility is expected to remain limited. Based on yesterday's data, the likelihood of today’s data being bullish is higher.
There are two trading strategies to consider: The first is to go long before the data release, but keep a tight stop-loss to guard against a surprise bearish outcome. If there’s a profit, close the position promptly. I estimate that if the data is bullish, the price could rise by approximately $15.
The second approach is to wait for the data release and then enter a short position, aiming for a medium-term trade. Given that the current price is already at a relatively high level, even if there is a spike after the data release, it will be challenging for the price to maintain a sustained upward trend.
Trading Area for Gold based on S/RMy idea is based on the Support & Resistance levels observed on 1H TF
I'm anticipating price bounce from the identified support areas (Support-1 & Support-2) My plan is to enter long position when the price reach these support levels and close the trade at the resistance level
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Long from the Support-1 & Support-2
Take Profit: at Resistance area
Stop Loss: Below Support-2
Good Luck
NF September! Opportunities or challenges for XAU⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are struggling to build on their recent recovery, hovering in a narrow range below the $2,525 mark during Friday's Asian session. Traders are cautious, awaiting the key US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Meanwhile, expectations of a larger Fed rate cut later this month keep the US Dollar in check, supporting gold.
Mixed US employment data this week has raised concerns about the weakening labor market, further fueling demand for the safe-haven metal amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. As a result, gold is poised for a potential breakout and modest weekly gains, with its upside prospects looking favorable.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
There will still be a bearish VIEW for XAU, before the news of FED's interest rate reduction. Today's NF is also expected to be good for the dollar
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2499 - $2497 SL $2494 scalping
TP1: $2503
TP2: $2508
TP3: $2515
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2450 - $2452 SL $2445
TP1: $2460
TP2: $2470
TP3: $2480
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2529 - $2532 SL $2536
TP1: $2520
TP2: $2510
TP3: $2500
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD: NFP data is coming, how to make a trading plan?Yesterday's ADP data showed an increase of 99,000 jobs, the lowest since January 2021, significantly lower than the expected 145,000 and the previous value of 122,000. This provided a significant positive for gold. Fortunately, the subsequent initial jobless claims and two PMI data were negative, which suppressed the rise of gold and prevented the expectation of a consistent recession in all economic data.
It is precisely because of this that the price of gold fell to our buying range of 2500-2505 and then rose again, giving us the opportunity to buy at 2505 and take profits at 2516.
There are less than two weeks before the Fed's September rate cut, whether it is a 25 basis point or 50 basis point cut. Today's NFP data will play a decisive role. Everyone must pay attention to it. The fluctuation may be very large at that time.
Everyone knows the importance of the monthly NFP data, and I don't need to explain too much. Therefore, today's technical reference is not as significant as the data. Everything has to wait for the results of the data release, so it is difficult to judge.
Given the uncertainty in today's market, I can't give you a specific trading strategy in advance, because it needs to be adjusted according to the actual market conditions. But I prefer to wait for a pullback and buy bullish, or make a trading plan based on the data performance after the data is released.
I hope the above strategy is useful to everyone. In fact, you can be more cautious and give up today's trading, or make a trading plan based on the specific market trend after the data is released.
Go long gold!Today's NFP market is the highlight, and gold's performance in NFP is exactly in line with my expectations. First, I explained that I am optimistic about gold's rebound after the decline in the NFP market, and focus on the 2516-2512 support area and the 2505-2500 area.
Before the release of the NFP data, gold just fell back to around 2512, and then rose to around 2518; after the release of the NFP data, gold instantly fell back to around 2508, and then rose sharply to around 2528. Basically, it meets my expectations that gold will fall back first and then rise.
At present, gold has fallen back to the 2505-2500 area again, and the current lowest point has reached around 2503, retesting yesterday's rebound area of 2504. If the test support is effective, gold will rebound again. I expect gold to rebound to at least the 2515-2520 area. So I have decisively chosen to go long on gold.
I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
XAU ! NF ! decision for the market to fall sharplyXAU / USD trend forecast September 6, 2024
The ADP National Employment Report released Thursday showed that US private-sector jobs increased by 99,000 in August, the smallest rise since January 2021, missing the forecast of 145,000. July’s figure was also revised down to 111,000 from 122,000. Additionally, job openings fell to 7.673 million in July, a three-and-a-half-year low, indicating a weakening labor market.
Sideway below 2500 is a good signal for Gold in the near future, waiting for interest rate cut in September 2024
Based on H4, resistance and EMA 200 line to set up SELL signal
/// SELL XAU : zone 2528-2531
SL: 2536
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2501)
Safe and profitable trading
SL Triggered, NFP Incoming: Will Gold Push to New Highs?Yesterday, I took a stop loss, which is, of course, a normal part of trading.
What’s ironic, though, is that overall, I’m bullish on Gold. Even more ironic is the fact that in my Monday analysis, I mentioned that Gold would likely test the 2480 zone before continuing its upward trend.
I even spotted the 'double Pin Bar formation' at the bottom, yet I remained short.
Ultimately, my ego and the desire 'to be right'—thinking Gold would dip to the 2450 zone before reversing—got the best of me.
Anyway, let’s move on to today’s analysis...
As I mentioned earlier, after Gold fell into the significant support area around 2480 on Tuesday, the price bounced back to the upside. The following day, despite another wave of selling pressure, the price reversed again, leaving behind a 'Double Pin Bar' formation on the chart.
Yesterday, the price broke above the 2505-2507 zone, which also confirmed a short-term double bottom formation. At the time of this article’s publication, the price stands at 2518, and the entire structure we’ve discussed is highly bullish.
Looking ahead, as long as the 2505 level holds, the chances for a new all-time high are very strong. The measured target, should 2530 be breached, is 2590.
Currently, I’m 'out of the market,' awaiting the NFP data for further clarification. I will update my analysis accordingly once the data is released.
XAUUSD: The most likely time to set a new high is comingIn yesterday's article, we pointed out the importance of the support area of 2470-2480, and the trend of this decline is almost the same as that in August, so we bought bullish in this range, and the result was very good.
Judging from the strength of the last rebound, the highest gold price tried to break through 2532. Similarly, I am optimistic that gold will test new highs again this time. In addition, there are many important economic data released today, and there will be a monthly NFP tomorrow. Once the data is good for gold, this time is most likely to refresh the historical high.
From the 1H chart, we can see that yesterday's strong rebound has broken the downward trend, and today's Asian and European sessions have broken through the key resistance of 2500-2505 again. Now this range has turned from resistance to support.
Trading strategy:
Although we are very optimistic about gold today, we still cannot take the risk of chasing the rise, because once the gold price falls back to the support, there is a room for a decline of 10-15$.
Therefore, today we'd better wait for the gold price to pull back to the 2500-2505 support area before buying. The target can be seen at 2520-2530, and after a new high, it can be seen at 2550.
XAU decreased! PMI ! Important data today⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices edged higher during the Asian session on Thursday, building on their rebound from near two-week lows around $2,472. A US labor market report on Wednesday showed job openings dropping to a three-and-a-half-year low, fueling speculation of a larger Fed rate cut in September, which supports the non-yielding metal. Concerns about the US economy also drive investors toward safe-haven assets like gold.
However, strong buying momentum is lacking as traders remain cautious ahead of Friday’s key Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Thursday’s ADP employment report, Weekly Jobless Claims, and ISM Services PMI may offer short-term opportunities, but expectations for upcoming Fed rate cuts continue to support gold prices.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The financial market was shaken by the news that the FED lowered interest rates in September, fearing an economic recession. Gold also found it difficult to avoid the general sentiment, continuing to reduce and adjust more strongly.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2472 - $2470 SL $2467 scalping
TP1: $2478
TP2: $2483
TP3: $2490
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2451 - $2453 SL $2446
TP1: $2460
TP2: $2470
TP3: $2480
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2506 - $2508 SL $2513
TP1: $2495
TP2: $2480
TP3: $2460
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAU/USD : Another Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after last night’s analysis, gold rose again to $2497 before experiencing a sharp decline down to $2471. After reaching this critical level, the price didn’t penetrate the liquidity pool below $2471 and instead rebounded to $2491 to fill the liquidity gap caused by the previous drop. As you can see on the chart, the initial reaction to this level has been negative, and we need to see if gold can stabilize below $2491 with the upcoming market news. If it does, we can expect further declines towards lower targets. The potential targets are $2481, $2471.7, and $2460.5, respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Gold- Stuck in a newly established range. Will support give awayYesterday, Gold once again touched the critical support zone between 2470-2475, and, as before, bulls managed to defend it, causing a price rebound.
While at first glance this support appears solid, I believe it will eventually give way, with the price likely dropping to at least 2450.
Of course, I could be wrong, which is why I’ve set my invalidation level in the 2515-2520 zone.
My swing trade strategy remains unchanged: sell into rallies.
XAUUSD: The recent low has been confirmed, buy boldlyYesterday, the price of gold bottomed out and rebounded after falling to 2473. Now the price of gold has come here again. I think the low point of this decline is likely to be here.
From the 4H chart, we can see that the range of 2470-2480 is the key resistance level that has not been broken in the previous many attacks. After breaking, it has turned into support.
At the same time, during the correction last month, it also played a key supporting role, and its support strength has been verified yesterday and just now.
In addition, the important data ADP and NFP data this week will not be released until the next two days, so it is unlikely to fall below this key support level before the data.
Trading strategy:
Since we have determined the short-term low, the choice for us is very clear. Buy in the range of 2470-2480. The first target is 2500-2505, and the second is 2520-2530.
I have bought at 2480 and added positions at 2475. Now I can wait for the rise with peace of mind.
WILL GOLD AGAIN MAKE A ATH?Hello guys After Some Time I'm back Again.
So Gold Has make A Massive Move Last Week And This Week As Well. And Yesterday Was Quit Rush Day. Daily Candle Has Sweep Daily Low Liquidity And Fly Higher. If Gold Can Breck 2504 With Today Day Candle Cold Could Possible to Reach 2512 - 2514 Zone (Swap Zone)then market will Decide what is the direction is.
will See Guys. this Is A High Probability To Reach 2512 Zone As i Can See
Long USOIL, short XAUUSD
It's Thursday, and today is expected to be a highly volatile day in the markets. OIL has the EIA data release, while gold will be affected by the ADP employment report and initial jobless claims data, both of which will likely have a significant impact on price movements.
Based on the already released API data, the upcoming EIA data is highly likely to be bullish for OIL. Therefore, the primary trading strategy today should focus on buying on dips. As I previously pointed out, both candlestick patterns and other indicators show clear signs of a bottom formation in oil prices. So, barring any unexpected events, today should be a day of gains.
As for gold, with two important data releases today, I expect one to be bullish and the other bearish, primarily setting the stage for Friday’s NFP report. Therefore, today's trading range is expected to widen, with resistance around the 2506-2514 zone and support in the 2468-2452 region.
From an overall perspective, short positions at higher levels offer better risk/reward potential. Hence, today's strategy should be to short first, then look for long opportunities on a pullback, and once the market rebounds, resume short positions after the upward move.
Gold may directly point to the 2465-2455 areaToday I made more gold near 2480 and around 2474, and then lock the profit at the nearby position near 2484. In fact, I have explained very clearly about the trading strategy in the short term.
Because gold faces the resistance of 2486-2488 in the short-term, this is why I chose to close our bulls in 2484 in advance. And the shorts are relatively obvious at present, and we do more gold just to do the game gold will not fall below the support area near 2470. In addition, many people should have a plan to wait for the gold to rebound to short gold in the 2486-2490 area. Therefore, in order to lock the profit in time, I must choose to make a profit near 2484.
At present, the golden short mood is strong. We first observe the performance of gold in the 2486-2490 area. If gold touches the area fall, then we can observe the support of the 2475-2470 region again, and consider making more gold with the support of the area; if the gold breaks through the area in the short term , or even the possibility of continuing to rebound to the 2505 area, then there is no doubt that we can take short gold again!
The operation may be less profitable, but it is undoubtedly a safer operation strategy. Once the gold rebounds to the 2505 area, there is no doubt that the gold is short. If the gold falls and falls below the 2470 region, the gold will directly fall to the 2465-2455 area, pointing directly to our stage goals!
I share detailed trading strategies and trading signals every day. You can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals and learn trading logic. People who are already in it have already made a lot of money. Let us enjoy the journey of making money together. !
Gold price tends to decrease - sellers try to prevail⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices rebounded from multi-day lows on Wednesday but stayed under the $2,500 mark as the US Dollar gained strength. Despite this, ongoing geopolitical tensions and expected Fed rate cuts could support gold in the near term.
Later in the day, the release of JOLTS Job Openings and the Fed's Beige Book will be closely watched. Investors are eagerly awaiting Friday's US August Nonfarm Payrolls report, which could influence the Fed's rate decisions in September. A weaker-than-expected report might heighten recession fears and prompt faster rate cuts, potentially boosting gold further as lower rates make it more attractive.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold broke 2500, fell back to 2470 after yesterday's PMI news, moving in the short-term H1 downtrend.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2462 - $2460 SL $2455
TP1: $2470
TP2: $2480
TP3: $2490
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2505 - $2507 SL $2510 scalping
TP1: $2500
TP2: $2495
TP3: $2490
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2513 - $2515 SL $2520
TP1: $2500
TP2: $2485
TP3: $2470
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest