Blow-Off Top? Why I’m Selling Gold Rallies AgainIn my analysis yesterday, I mentioned that Gold could be due for a correction and suggested selling rallies.
Unfortunately, my sell position from 2905 hit the stop loss, and Gold went on to reach a new all-time high.
However, this appears to be a blow-off top, which could signal the start of a real correction phase.
With this in mind, I will look to sell rallies again, targeting the 2885 confluence support level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Xauusdsignal
Gold profit of 300% in one weekJudging from the current 4-hour gold trend, gold is currently fluctuating above the 2900 line, but the bulls have been in a strong position. Below we pay attention to the 2890 line support, and above we continue to look for new highs. After all, the bulls are still the dominant trend. In terms of operation, we continue to focus on looking for opportunities to go long when we step back.
Gold operation strategy:
Go long on gold when it falls back to 2885-2890, target 2910-2915;
High-quality gold trading strategies to help you make profitsGold hovered at 2908 in the Asian session, and then staged a thrilling market. The price rose rapidly, breaking the historical high of 2942 in one fell swoop, showing the market's rising potential. However, the good times did not last long. The market took a sharp turn for the worse in just 15 minutes, reaching a low of 2906. The volatility was shocking.
In the afternoon, the price of gold rebounded to around 2929, but then encountered resistance and fell back to 2909. Overall, gold did not continue the unilateral upward trend of yesterday, but fluctuated in the range of 2945-2900. The current upper resistance is mainly concentrated in the range of 2945-2950, while the lower support is stable at 2903-2896.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 2905-2900, stop loss at 2892, and the target is 2925-2940.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to sell at 2940-2945, stop loss at 2950, and the target is 2920-2907.
XAUUSD: Maintain the low buy plan. Expected profit 20p-40pAfter the Asian market opened, the gold price hit a new high again. The highest reached 2942. The current price is running at 2918 and the short-term support position below is in the range of 2900-2910. You can buy with confidence in the short-term within this range. The London market and the New York market will raise the height of the gold price again. This is a profitable trading space. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
The target is 2933-2950. This trading plan is a real-time trading plan.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK4H Gold Analysis – 10th Feb 2025
Dear Traders,
Here’s our updated 4H chart analysis, including key levels, targets, and Goldturn levels for the week.
Gold is currently fluctuating between two weighted levels, with gaps above 2876 and below 2850. A confirmed EMA5 crossover and lock above or below these Goldturn levels will determine the next trading range. Until then, expect levels to be tested side by side.
Trading Strategy:
* Maintain a bullish bias and use pullbacks as buying opportunities.
* Avoid chasing tops; instead, buy dips from key levels.
* Use smaller timeframes for pullback entries at Goldturn levels.
* Aim for 30-40 pips per trade for effective risk management.
Bullish Targets
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2876, will open the following bullish target 2903
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2903, will open the following bullish target 2925
Bearish Targets
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2852: will open the following bearish target 2828
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2828: will open the following bearish target 2803
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2803: will open the following bearish target 2776 (Retracement Range)
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2776: will open the following bearish target 2747 (Swing Range)
Trade with confidence and discipline. Stay updated with our daily insights!
Support us with likes, comments, boosts, and follows!
📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
Gold Night MarketFrom a macroeconomic perspective, on September 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve announced its first interest rate cut since the epidemic. Since then, the federal funds rate has been reduced by a cumulative 100 basis points, and U.S. bond yields have also dropped accordingly. Taking the 10-year US Treasury bond as an example, its yield hit a nearly five-year high of 4.92% on October 22, 2023, and has now fallen back to 4.24%. This interest rate cut policy has gradually revealed a loose monetary environment, which in turn has been beneficial to the silver and gold markets. In addition, the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut have also fluctuated. Originally, the market expected the Fed to continue to cut interest rates, but the pace of interest rate cuts has slowed down due to faster-than-expected wage growth and lower-than-expected unemployment in January. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports to be released this week will provide the market with more important information about the trend of US inflation. Gold stabilized and rose around $2,855 today, and gold bulls continued to rise, with the highest point hovering around $2,911. The probability of gold rising in the future is relatively high.
Gold retracement is mostly in the 2885-2880 area, the target is 2900-2911
xausd key areas to watch with detailed analysisHere's an analysis of XAU/USD at 2,861 as of February 10, 2025, incorporating technical and fundamental insights from the search results:
Current Context
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near 2,861, a critical juncture given recent market dynamics. This level aligns with forecasts and technical patterns discussed in the search results, offering insights into potential bullish or bearish scenarios.
Key Technical Levels
Immediate Support:
2,861: Coincides with the lower bound of February 2025’s forecasted range (2,861.25–2,991.30). A hold here could signal bullish resilience.
2,746–2,695: Deeper support zones if a correction occurs, based on Fibonacci retracement levels and trendline analysis .
Resistance Levels:
2,868–2,900: The next psychological and technical hurdles, with 2,868.56 (R2) noted as a swing high target .
2,991–3,000: Upper bound of February’s projected range and a key breakout target .
Long-Term Trend:
Gold remains in an ascending channel (up ~27% since 2024), supported by geopolitical uncertainty and central bank demand .
The 100 SMA is above the 200 SMA on the 4-hour chart, indicating underlying bullish momentum .
Bullish Scenario
Triggers:
Fed Policy & Inflation: Continued dovish signals from the Fed (e.g., rate cuts) and persistent inflation could drive gold higher .
Geopolitical Risks: Escalating tensions (e.g., Middle East conflicts, U.S.-China trade policies) may boost safe-haven demand .
ETF Inflows: Positive gold ETF flows, as seen in late 2024, could reignite upward momentum 3.
Technical Outlook:
A bounce from 2,861 could target 2,900–2,991, aligning with February’s forecast .
A break above 2,991 opens the path to 3,000+, with institutions like JPMorgan forecasting $3,150 by year-end .
Bearish Risks
Triggers:
USD Strength: A stronger dollar (e.g., from robust U.S. data or hawkish Fed rhetoric) may pressure gold .
Profit-Taking: Overbought signals (RSI at 57) and resistance at 2,868 could trigger short-term pullbacks .
Reduced Safe-Haven Demand: Easing geopolitical tensions or risk-on sentiment might reduce gold’s appeal .
Technical Outlook:
A breakdown below 2,861 could test 2,746–2,695 (Fibonacci and trendline support) .
Sustained selling might invalidate the uptrend, risking a drop toward 2,625 (critical 100-day SMA).
Macro Drivers to Watch
U.S. Economic Data: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), CPI, and Fed rate decisions will influence USD and gold .
Geopolitical Events: Developments in Ukraine, Middle East, and U.S. trade policies under Trump .
Central Bank Activity: Continued gold purchases by central banks (e.g., China, India) may stabilize prices
Short-Term Forecast
Base Case: Consolidation near 2,861–2,900 as markets digest recent gains and await catalysts.
Upside Bias: Favored if gold holds above 2,861, targeting 2,991–3,000 .
Downside Risk: A close below 2,861 could trigger profit-taking toward 2,746
Conclusion
At 2,861, XAU/USD is at a pivotal level. While the broader trend remains bullish (supported by inflation, geopolitics, and central bank demand), short-term volatility from USD fluctuations and technical resistance could dominate. Traders should monitor 2,861 as a key support and watch for breaks above 2,900 or below 2,746 to confirm directional bias.
support and resistance for short term:
Resistance:
2872
2885
2894
2900
2911
2920
these resistance points can be used as bullish targets
Support:
2855
2851
2841
2833
2830
2819
2800
2782
these support points can act as bearish targets
LIKE BOOST AND SHARE US SUPPORT US
Gold is alert for short-term peakGold surged during the day. After the long orders were closed, the market showed signs of weakening from the current gold hourly chart. In addition, 2907 is also the 161.8% position of the extension of 2853-2886. Beware of the possibility of a sudden plunge!!!
You can short in the 2907-2909 area in the evening, looking down to 2890, 2880.
xauusd:Continue to buy gold prices.Global physical gold ETFs achieved net inflows in the first month of 2025, an increase of US$3 billion. Europe led the inflows, increasing by US$3.4 billion, the largest monthly inflow since March 2022; North America declined for two consecutive months, with an outflow of US$499 million. As of the end of January, the total asset management scale of global gold ETFs rose to US$294 billion, setting a new record, and holdings increased by 34 tons. The average daily trading volume of gold in the global market in January was US$264 billion, a month-on-month increase of 20%. This increase was mainly attributed to the 60% month-on-month surge in trading volume on the New York Mercantile Exchange (COMEX) at a time when strong gold prices attracted traders, driving the trading volume of global exchanges by 39%.
Observe from the combination of graphics and news. The price of gold may also increase due to war factors and risk aversion, which will lead to an increase in demand. As a result, the price of gold will continue to rise sharply. Therefore, it is necessary to buy or hold gold now and wait for it to rise.
The news side has driven the trading atmosphere as a whole.
Trading is still mainly buying:
Buy around 2890-2980. tp2915.sl2860
XAU/USD "The GOLD" Metals Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The GOLD" Metals Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 2820
Sell Entry below 2760
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 1H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Target 🎯: -Bullish Robbers TP 2880(or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2700 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The XAU/USD "The GOLD" Metals Market market is currently experiencing a neutral trend, with a slight bias towards bullishness., driven by several key factors.
🟤Fundamental Factors
- US Federal Reserve Meeting: The US Federal Reserve will meet on Wednesday, and investors will be watching for any changes in monetary policy.
- US GDP Data: The US GDP data for the fourth quarter will be released on Thursday, and a weaker-than-expected reading could boost gold prices.
- US Inflation Data: The US inflation data for January will be released on Wednesday, and a higher-than-expected reading could lead to a price correction.
🟠Macro Economic Factors
- Global Economic Trends: The global economy is experiencing a slowdown, driven by trade tensions, geopolitical uncertainty, and lower consumer spending.
- Inflation Rates: The impact of inflation rates on the XAU/USD pair is currently neutral, with no significant changes in the inflation outlook.
- Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will impact the XAU/USD pair, with a rate cut potentially boosting gold prices.
🟡COT Report
- Speculative Positions: Speculative traders are net long on the XAU/USD pair, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Commercial Traders: Commercial traders are net short on the pair, indicating a bearish sentiment.
- Non-Commercial Traders: Non-commercial traders are net long on the pair, indicating a bullish sentiment.
🟢Sentimental Outlook
- Client Sentiment: 55% of client accounts are long on this market, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Market Positioning: The XAU/USD pair is currently overbought, with a possibility of a price correction.
Bullish Sentiment: 60%
Bearish Sentiment: 40%
Neutral Sentiment: 0%
🟣Prediction for this Week
- Bullish Scenario: A weaker-than-expected US GDP reading and a dovish Federal Reserve could boost gold prices to $1,980.
- Bearish Scenario: A stronger-than-expected US GDP reading and a hawkish Federal Reserve could lead to a price correction to $1,910.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bull trade can be initiated at any price level.
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 30min period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 2810.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook:
The Gold (XAU/USD) market is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors.
🔱Fundamental Analysis:
Supply and Demand: The World Gold Council (WGC) reports a decline in gold demand, while supply remains steady.
Central Bank Buying: Central banks continue to buy gold, with the WGC reporting a 10% increase in net purchases in 2024.
🔱Macroeconomic Analysis:
Inflation: Rising inflation concerns support gold prices, as investors seek safe-haven assets.
Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve's dovish stance on interest rates supports gold prices.
Global Economic Growth: Slowing global economic growth increases demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
🔱Sentimental Analysis:
Trader Sentiment: The CoT report shows that speculative traders are net long gold, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Market Sentiment: The market sentiment is bullish, with many analysts expecting gold prices to rise due to inflation concerns and central bank buying.
🔱Institutional Analysis:
Investment Flows: Institutional investors continue to allocate funds to gold, with ETF holdings increasing.
Hedge Funds: Hedge funds are net long gold, indicating a bullish stance.
🔱Retail Analysis:
Retail Investor Sentiment: Retail investors are bullish on gold, with online searches and investment platforms showing increased interest.
🔱Outlook:
Based on the comprehensive analysis, XAU/USD is expected to move into a Bullish direction.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Gold Operation AnalysisToday, Monday, gold has once again hit a record high. As of now, gold has reached above the 2900 mark. Gold is currently maintaining a strong oscillating trend in the daily trend. The daily K-line continues to run along the short-term moving average. The price shows signs of gradually moving out of the high-level oscillation range. There is no sign of peaking in the daily trend. Today, it is extremely strong in a cyclical rise. In this kind of time-based transaction, price is not the key, but time is the key. At the same time, this rise is completely a forced short position, which is easy to rise but difficult to fall. Don't think about the short position. In addition, at this rhythm, even if the long position opens low in the morning, there is not much risk of retracement. Continue to look at the second rise.
Can gold break through 3,000?From a technical perspective, the daily relative strength index (RSI) of spot gold is still in the overbought area, indicating that it may face certain consolidation pressure in the short term. If the gold price stabilizes above $2,900, it may further open up room for growth.
In terms of the lower support level, the gold price has initial support in the $2,855-2,854/ounce area. If it falls below this level, it may fall back to around $2,834/ounce. If it falls further, the $2,815-2,814/ounce area will be the key support level, and the $2,800 round mark may also provide strong support.
The focus of the market this week will be the congressional testimony of Fed Chairman Powell and the US CPI data for January. If the inflation data is stronger than expected, it will further strengthen the Fed's stance of maintaining high interest rates, thereby supporting the US dollar, which may put some pressure on gold in the short term. However, from a long-term trend, the market's concerns about global economic uncertainty still exist, and the safe-haven demand for gold may continue. In the short term, the performance of gold prices around $2,900 will be the key to market attention. If it can effectively break through, the current round of gains may continue.
Gold evening operation strategy, bulls are still unstoppableJudging from the current 4-hour gold trend, gold is currently fluctuating above the 2900 line, but the bulls have been in a strong position. Below we pay attention to the 2890 line support, and above we continue to look for new highs. After all, the bulls are still the dominant trend. In terms of operation, we continue to focus on looking for opportunities to go long when we step back.
Gold falls back to 2888-92 line to go long, fall back to 2876 line to cover long position, stop loss 2868, target 2910-2915 line
Gold finds ATH price zone above 2880, sideways above 2835⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The People's Bank of China (PBOC) increased its gold reserves for the third consecutive month in January, supporting gold prices as China remains the world’s largest gold consumer. Reserves rose to 73.45 million fine troy ounces, up from 73.29 million in December. Economist David Qu from Bloomberg Economics noted that the PBOC is likely to continue diversifying its reserves amid growing geopolitical uncertainty.
Meanwhile, US labor market data released on Friday indicated continued strength, which could delay Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. The US added 143,000 jobs in January, below the expected 170,000, while the unemployment rate edged down to 4.0% from 4.1%. As a result, traders now anticipate only one Fed rate cut this year, potentially boosting the US Dollar and pressuring gold prices.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold accumulates in a good growth price zone, around 2880 and adjusts sideways at the beginning of the week.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2884 - $2886 SL $2891
TP1: $2878
TP2: $2870
TP3: $2860
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2852 - $2854 SL $2849 Scalping
TP1: $2858
TP2: $2863
TP3: $2870
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2831 - $2833 SL $2826
TP1: $2840
TP2: $2850
TP3: $2860
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold trading continues to be profitableIn terms of the 4-hour trend of gold, the price has moved out of the previous high-level oscillation range. In the European and American sessions, pay attention to whether there is a secondary upward trend after a retracement confirmation. In the short-term trend, pay attention to the support around 2880 below. In terms of the hourly trend, the K-line basically maintains an upward trend along the short-term moving average, and there is basically no retracement during the day. If you want to short in the short term, you must at least wait until there are short-term signs of a peak in the small-level cycle trend, and pay attention to short-term adjustments. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is recommended to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2908-2910 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2878-2880 support line.
High Risk Sell Gold OutlookGold started the week by reaching a new all-time high near the 2,900 mark.
However, as I explained in my weekend analysis, while the overall trend remains strongly bullish, I anticipate a pullback to correct the 3,000-pip rally since the beginning of the year.
I am looking to enter a sell position with a tight stop-loss, aiming for a 1:3 risk-reward ratio to justify this high-risk trade.
Gold’s Next Big Move: Rally to $3K or a Sharp Pullback?The big question on everyone’s mind is whether FOREXCOM:XAUUSD will reach $3,000 in 2025. In my opinion, it probably will.
Looking at the weekly chart, gold has been trading in a well-defined ascending channel for exactly a year. Each time the price dips near the trendline support, buyers step in, keeping the uptrend intact. The last time this happened was at the start of the year, and since then, gold has climbed more than 2800 pips from its low to its Friday's ATH.
With this in mind, we can reasonably expect Gold to maintain its bullish trajectory— an assumption supported not only by technical analysis but also by fundamental factors.
________________________________________
📊 Shorter Time Frame: Signs of Exhaustion?
Although the long-term trend remains bullish, trends are not linear—they consist of ups and downs. If we refine our analysis to a shorter time frame, the situation looks a bit different.
• The 4-hour chart still reflects a strong uptrend that began earlier this year.
• However, last week, signs of exhaustion emerged:
- Tuesday’s all-time high of $2,880 was followed by a normal pullback to the $2,840 zone (which I highlighted in last week’s analysis).
- On Friday, a new ATH near $2,890 was reached, but the market saw a sharp reversal after the initial NFP-driven rally, with further weakness into the closing hours.
________________________________________
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• Support Levels:
- $2,840–$2,835 (previous support zone)
- $2,800 (psychological level)
- $2,775–$2,760 (deeper retracement area)
• Resistance Levels:
- $2,890 (recent ATH)
- $2,900 (psychological barrier)
- $2,980–$3,000 (major upside target)
________________________________________
🎯 Potential Trade Setups:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
• If Gold holds above $2,840 and rebounds, a breakout above $2,880–$2,890 could drive prices towards $2,900+, with the final target at $3,000.
🚨 Bearish Scenario:
• If gold fails to hold $2,840, a deeper pullback to $2,800–$2,775 is likely.
• A weekly close below $2,800 could trigger an extended correction toward $2,760.
________________________________________
📉 My Strategy for Next Week:
While the long-term uptrend remains intact, I anticipate a short-term correction.
• I will be looking to sell rallies, targeting a pullback toward $2,800 or slightly below.
• If Gold tests key support and shows strength, I’ll switch to a buy-the-dip approach for the next leg higher.
⚠️ Note: This is a high-risk strategy, as we are still in a strong bull market. Proper risk management is essential.
Regards!
Mihai Iacob
here what is the possible scenario for Xauusd"XAUUSD (Gold) is presenting a strong bullish setup driven by multiple factors. Here’s why it’s a prime time to consider buying:
Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty are driving investors toward gold as a reliable store of value.
Weakening USD: The US Dollar is showing signs of weakness, which typically boosts gold prices as it becomes cheaper for foreign buyers.
Inflation Hedge: With rising inflation concerns, gold is attracting attention as a hedge against currency devaluation.
Technical Breakout: XAUUSD has broken key resistance levels, confirming a strong upward trend with potential for further gains.
Central Bank Buying: Increased gold purchases by central banks worldwide are supporting long-term price appreciation.
Don’t miss this opportunity to capitalize on gold’s upward momentum. Always manage risk and set appropriate stop-loss levels. 🚀📈"
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research before trading.