Gold Trading Strategy 11/21Based on the recent gold market movements, the following analysis and strategy are proposed:
Market Overview:
Previous Decline: Gold prices have declined from around 2670, causing long positions entered near 2700 to be trapped.
Current Situation: As prices rebound to approximately 2650, some traders are closing positions to realize profits, leading to sustained fluctuations at this level.
Remaining Positions: High-level positions remain trapped, requiring prices to rise to around 2670 for breakeven.
Strategic Insights:
Resistance at 2670: Upon reaching 2670, there is an 80% probability of price decline or consolidation, with only a 20% chance of further increase.
Optimal Shorting Zone: The 2663-2673 range presents a favorable opportunity for short positions, offering potential high returns with manageable risk.
Trading Strategy:
Initial Positioning at 2652:
Minimal Short Position: Enter a small short position to test market response.
Minimal Long Position: Alternatively, enter a small long position to capitalize on potential upward movement.
Adjustments Based on Price Movements:
If Price Rises Above 2660:
Close long positions.
Add to short positions.
If Price Falls Below 2640:
Close short positions.
Add to long positions.
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss Orders: Implement appropriate stop-loss levels to mitigate potential losses.
Position Sizing: Ensure position sizes align with individual risk tolerance and account size.
Xauusdsignals
XAUUSD: Sell Around ResistanceLast week, I repeatedly emphasized that gold would rebound and recommended focusing on long trades. Those who followed my strategy have likely secured substantial profits this time.
Additionally, I clearly pointed out yesterday that gold would retest the support around 2580, presenting a new buying opportunity, with resistance at 2608–2614. This analysis has been validated by the market movement.
Currently, gold prices have risen to around 2640, entering a new resistance zone. Today’s trading strategy will focus on selling near the resistance area to capture potential pullback opportunities.
XAUUSD: BUYToday, gold rebounded after a pullback to around 2554. As mentioned during yesterday's session, I alerted everyone to watch the 2556-2547 range for the pullback, and unless there were any surprises, this would present a new buying opportunity. I believe those who have been paying close attention to the updates should have seized this opportunity. Currently, the market is facing resistance and is in a consolidation phase. There is a possibility of further testing of support in the short term, but in the medium term, the bulls have a stronger potential. Therefore, my trading strategy remains focused on the long side, with the primary target above 2580.
Support 2554-2547, 2537-2526
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 21.11.24Reason for sell
Bearish Cross: The 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is nearing the 50-day SMA. A daily close below the 50-day SMA would confirm a bearish crossover, suggesting a potential downward trend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): While the RSI is above 50, indicating bullish momentum, it's not strongly above this level, which might limit the upside potential.
Lack of Strong Upside Momentum: Gold prices have been consolidating recently, and there hasn't been a significant breakout to the upside. This lack of strong bullish momentum could contribute to bearish sentiment.
However, it's important to note that the technical picture is not entirely bearish:
RSI Above 50: As mentioned, the RSI being above 50 suggests some bullish momentum.
Potential for Upside: A daily close above the 50-day SMA could reverse the bearish trend and lead to further upside.
Ultimately, the direction of XAU/USD will depend on a combination of technical factors and fundamental news, such as interest rate expectations, economic data, and geopolitical events. It's advisable to monitor these factors closely and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Gold Market Analysis and Strategy
Based on the current market trends, there is a strong likelihood that gold prices will continue to rise beyond the 2650 level. At this point, a shorting opportunity may emerge, as there appears to be a potential downside of approximately $28, targeting a price around 2622.
Key Considerations:
Upward Momentum: Gold’s recent movements indicate strong bullish momentum, likely driven by market sentiment and technical factors.
Resistance at 2650: The 2650 level serves as a significant resistance zone where the upward trend may stall.
Shorting Opportunity: After reaching this resistance, there could be a reversal, offering a window for shorting with a measurable target.
Trading Plan:
Entry Point: Monitor gold prices closely as they approach 2650. Prepare to open short positions once signs of reversal appear, such as bearish candlestick patterns or a decline in momentum indicators.
Target: Set the target at 2622, capturing the $28 potential downward movement.
Risk Management: Use a stop-loss above 2660 to minimize potential losses in case of unexpected bullish breakouts.
XAUUSD 1D MA100 hit after 9 months! Expect ATH if it holds.Gold (XAUUSD) eventually broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) last week and our bearish break-out signal easily hit the 2650 Target:
As you can see that was exactly on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), what we claimed is the first long-term Support level. In fact that 1D MA100 test was the first touch in 9 months (since February 15 2024).
Technically, as long as it holds, we are expecting the long-term Channel Up to rebound on this Higher Low and start the new Bullish Leg towards a Higher High, which will be a new All Time High (ATH) for Gold.
The 1D MACD is reversing and if it forms a Bullish Cross, it will be the confirmation of the Bullish Leg. The last time actually it formed one this low (below 0.0), the Bullish Leg that followed reached the previous Resistance and then pulled-back again to the 1D MA50.
As a result, we are now targeting the previous Resistance level at 2790. If however we get a 1D candle closing below the 1D MA100, we won't hesitate to book the small loss again and reverse to a break-out sell, targeting a potential contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 2440.
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XAUUSD: Another 1500+ Pips Drop is Coming Up! OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Price dropped to $2537 and then started showing some correction, However at 2577 we some strong resistance, we think price is likely to drop further in coming weeks. This analysis is based on last three analysis so please go through previous analysis. Thank you.
XAUUSD: Buy at low level, target 2578-2590The first rebound after the significant drop is basically over, and it has already reached the resistance area. During the upcoming retest, pay attention to the support near the previous low.
Just like the strategy I gave when the market rebounded to around 2620 last time, this time we should also watch for a potential W-shaped trend. If it appears, a rebound to the 2578-2590 range should not be a big issue. So, for tomorrow's trading, the focus should be on buying at lower levels.
For those who enjoy scalping, don't be too greedy during the trade—keep an eye on the rhythm, and don't neglect risk management.
If you have any questions, feel free to leave me a message.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan Ahead of FED
Ahead of FED Powell Speech today, Gold finally stopped falling.
For now, a key daily support that the price tested earlier holds.
To catch a pullback trade from that, pay attention to an inverted
cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame.
Wait for a bullish breakout of its neckline - an hourly candle close above
that will give you a strong bullish signal.
A pullback will be excepted at least to 2580 level then.
Alternatively, a daily candle close below the underlined daily support
will be a strong bearish signal.
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GOLD NOW IN BUYING ZONE !!! HELLO FRIENDS
As I can see #GOLD is now trading above 2550 zone and fail to break a strong Support Zone we are watching also Fib levels it's also showing us a great retracement had done but still we can see 0.61 did not achieve we are buying here on the base of daily Strong POI which can give us great pips and also for long term traders it's a great entry Middle East problems escalating by HAMAS & other proxies which investors did not under estimate and they love these types of dip
Ending of year and opening 2025 Trump new elected bad US economy investors always love safe haven not Bonds so we can't miss these incoming moves we had just sent yesterday our perdition on Gold Drop which is attached in comment we need Ur love and boost the idea, so it helps to be many other traders Stay Tuned for more updates ....
XAUUSD: Big Dump On The Way, worth 1000+ pips! OANDA:XAUUSD
Price failed to reach 2640$ region where we had expected price to drop from, since the bearish pressure is too high at the moment. In our view gold will continue to drop until we can see some bullish pressure and bearish exhaustion until then the trend is extremely bullish. No major correction may occurs based on the current price momentum. Good luck.
THE KOG REPORT - ELECTION SPECIAL THE KOG REPORT:
This week’s KOG Report is a little different this week due to the upcoming elections. For that reason, we’re going to share the levels and potential movement since we are almost guaranteed to see some extreme movement over the coming sessions. The chart was shared in Camelot together with the analysis 4yrs ago which worked well.
On the left chart you can see the 2020 reaction to the elections giving a powerful movement across the markets and gold moving over 2000pips in days. We’ve shown this chart to make new and less experienced traders aware of what can happen based on any result! Price will whipsaw, they will chop and change direction and when they move, it will really move. IF, and it’s a BIG IF, you’re going to attempt to trade it, please make sure your lot sizes are sensible, and your risk model is flexible enough to adapt to sudden changes in direction.
Now the chart on the right. We have drawn a path, but it’s based more on a potential fractal rather than set in stone. The levels however are important, and potentially if targeted can give traders opportunities to capture the bounces or, give them a better understanding of where price can go before taking a breather. We’re close to the 2800 level but as you can see, we’ve struggled to break it, this usually just means that price has travelled enough to take a slight pause in direction, and requires a pullback, which is what we analysed and traded last week. How far thought, with extreme news and volatility entails caution, our immediate support and resistance levels hardly work in these scenarios.
So, when we look at extreme levels on the chart we can see the following:
We have resistance above on the daily at 2745 which needs a daily close above to go higher. This flips our support level into the 2715 level which looks like a decent level for price to attempt in the coming sessions. Our order region is sitting at the psychological level of 2700 with the extension of the move into the 2680-5 level. This, if attempted could give traders and opportunity to take the long back up towards the 2730-35 red box level which will have also flipped into resistance. This is the level currently in play and needs to be monitored as this is the order region they’re using to propel the price in either direction. It’s also the reason they’re accumulating here and start the pre-event range. Break above, and we should see bulls’ step in and force price higher, as shown in the illustration on the chart.
The range is big, the high in sight is the 2820-34 region, which if attacked and rejected can give us opportunities to capture the larger short trade, while the 2575-65 level is sticking out for the undercut low. To be totally honest, knowing what can happen and how price can move, it’s the same strategy as trading NFP and FOMC. Don’t trade the volume driven candles, wait for price to move, use the levels and the red boxes, and then, with a risk model in place take a sensible trade if you’re going to trade it.
The above is just our view and more for educational purposes. We will continue to use our proven red box strategy, indicators and our trusted algo Excalibur to guide us through the markets.
Good luck for the week ahead!
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2744 with targets below 2720, 2714 and below that 2702
Bullish on break of 2744 with targets above 2792 and above that 2803
Red boxes:
Break above 2744 for 2753, 2765, 2780
Break below 2730 for 2715, 2705, 2695
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD: Today's Strategy—Buy LowFollowing yesterday's significant decline in gold prices, short-term indicators show a strong rebound potential. Today’s strategy is to buy at lower levels and wait for prices to rise above $2,640, at which point we can adjust the approach based on market movements. The detailed strategy was shared during yesterday’s session, so please refer to it if you need clarification. If you have any questions regarding trades, feel free to leave a comment, and I’ll be happy to assist.
GOLD SELLING ZONE WITH CPI AHEAD 4HRHELLO TRADERS
As I can see Gold on shorter TF it could drop till these levels bestselling zone drawn based on technical re-test after breakout to downside on channel and tested fib Golden ratio 0.50 Friends chart is easy and simple to read technically we can see a stronger DXY pulling toward 106.00 levels geopolitical issue are going on but technically its was overbought and Weekley RSI above on 70 zone incoming strong CPI Data can make some volatile moves in markets this week Russian president Putin Continue talk with Trump on Ukraine War Friends it's just a trade idea only based on technical analysis share Ur thoughts with us and Stay Tuned for more updates
XAUUSD: 1700+ Pips Sell, Gold is going to melt hard! OANDA:XAUUSD dropped after touching daily order block at $2710, price dropped to $2617 almost achieving 930+ pips. Expecting a minor correction of 300-400 pips taking price to 2650 area where we can enter another sell enter. A possible target of 1700+ pips target. Remember this is swing sell entry. Good luck.
XAUUSD: BUYThe price of gold has recently experienced a significant drop. Some traders may have hit their stop-loss levels, while others are still holding their positions. Typically, after such a rapid decline, the market tends to see a minor rebound, with the expected rebound range between 2643-2657. However, based on the current technical pattern, gold has formed a "head and shoulders" pattern, which often signals the potential for further downside. It is anticipated that the price of gold may drop to around 2600 in the near term.
XAU/USD "Gold Dollar" Market Money Heist Plan on Bearish Side.Ola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
This is our master plan to Heist XAU/USD "Gold Dollar" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe, Recent / Nearest High Point.
Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 3h timeframe
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Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionGold prices dropped to a three-week low, as investors dumped the Gold commodity for the U.S. dollar following Donald Trump's presidential victory. With expectations of a stronger dollar and potential inflation-driving tariffs under Trump, the Federal Reserve may rethink its easing cycle. This video breaks down key market moves and sentiment shifts post-election, as traders reassess their ‘Trump trade’ strategies amid tariff uncertainty.
Looking ahead, next week's U.S. economic data releases—including inflation and retail sales—along with comments from Federal Reserve officials, are set to shape Gold’s direction. Join us to analyze the behavioural trends impacting XAU/USD and prepare for new trading opportunities in the week ahead.
#GoldMarket #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #TrumpEffect #USDollar #GoldAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD: Continue to Monitor Resistance at 2712-2720During the Asian and European sessions today, gold pulled back as it approached key resistance levels, and is currently near a support zone. Based on the current price structure, the support appears relatively strong, suggesting a potential for a rebound in the short term. If the support remains intact over the next hour, the price could rise again, with focus shifting to the resistance zone around 2712-2720. However, if the support is broken, there is a possibility that the price may test the previous lows again. In this case, the formation of a "W" reversal pattern should be monitored, as it could signal a significant rebound opportunity.
Corrective wave continuing in GoldGold is in corrective wave now gold should continue this move and give a good target for sellers.
5th impulsive wave has been completed and 2nd corrective wave also completed now 3rd corrective wave is coming, and this wave should be high sell in gold because it's 3rd wave of correction.
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionIn this video, we dive into the latest Gold (XAU/USD) market analysis and review the impacts of recent U.S. economic data on Gold prices. On Friday, Gold saw high volatility, with prices hitting the $2,760s following a weaker-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. However, a sell-off brought prices back down to the $2,740s as additional data from the Institute of Supply Managers (ISM) showed mixed economic signals.
Will gold continue its strong performance, or could a new catalyst shift the trend?
📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market!
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #ForexTrading #GoldPrice #NFP #ISMData #SafeHaven #GoldMarketAnalysis #WeeklyGoldOutlook #EconomicData #GoldTrading#economicuncertainty📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD Long term selling can start as early as now. Target 2550.Almost 3 months ago (August 19, see chart below) we gave a bullish medium-term signal on Gold (XAUUSD) that almost hit our 2800 Target last week:
We are high enough to take profits as the target was missed by just 10 points. On top of that, the price is very close to what we consider the absolute top potential of this pattern (Fibonacci level 1.0 at 2900), so from a R/R perspective the return isn't worth the risk.
In addition the 1W RSI is deeply overbought (above 80.00), which is always a bearish sign, even on the medium-term. But this exact 1W RSI overbought (Double) Top, was seen on the August 03 2020 High, which was the Top of the previous Cycle.
As you can see this cyclical pattern frequency holds since 2016 and based on the last Cycle alone, we can sell and initially target the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 2550. On the longer term, we can expect a bottom on this sequence closer to the 0.618 Fib (Target 2 at 2350).
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