Is XAUUSD Gold Overextended? Key Levels to Watch PLUS Trade Idea👀 👉 In this video, we take a detailed look at XAUUSD (Gold). Although the higher timeframe shows a bullish trend, the price is currently trading into resistance and appears overextended. On the four-hour chart, there’s a bearish break in structure. My overall bias remains bullish, but I’m waiting for a break above the current high, followed by a retest and rejection, before considering an entry. This is not financial advice.
Xauusdsignals
XAUUSD Channel Up unfazed by Tariff War.Gold (XAUUSD) is rising today following the Tariff announcements between the U.S. and their strongest trade partners. This rise is taking place just before the price touched the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) which has been the absolute Support (hence buy entry) of January's Channel Up for the past month.
With the 4H RSI also making (so far) a V-shaped reversal, similar to all 4 previous Higher Lows of the Channel Up, we believe that this is once more a buy opportunity. All previous bottoms (Higher Lows) rebounded to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (from High to Low). This gives us a 2845 Target for the next technical Higher High.
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Gold Market Forecast: Next Week’s Trading Setup & Key Price ZoneGold continues to dominate the headlines, trading near all-time highs above $2,800 as market participants grow risk-averse. The White House’s confirmation of 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico set to take effect on February 1 has sent ripples through the market, adding to the uncertainty.
On the macroeconomic front, December’s Core PCE Price Index—the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—came in as expected, surpassing November’s numbers. This follows soft Q4 GDP figures and the Federal Reserve’s latest monetary policy meeting, where officials signalled that inflation risks remain tilted to the upside—strengthening the US Dollar and keeping traders on edge.
📉 So, where is Gold headed next? Will we see a breakout to fresh highs, or is a pullback on the horizon?
In this video, I break down my thought process on Gold’s next potential move and how I’m positioning myself for the upcoming trading week. 🚀
📌 Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Do you see Gold continuing its rally, or is a correction due?
#GoldPrice #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #GoldForecast #TradingGold #ForexTrading #Commodities #MarketAnalysis #GoldBreakout
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GOLD Strong Breakout!
HI,Traders !
GOLD is trading in an
Uptrend and has Made a bullish breakout of
The key horizontal level
Of 2763.93 and the breakout
Is confirmed so After retesting the level is broken we are
Bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a further
Bullish move up !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
GOLD (XAUUSD): Get Ready For Breakout
It feels like Gold is going to update the All-Time High soon.
I see clear signs of a bullish accumulation on a horizontal
resistance based on a current highest high.
A breakout of the underlined orange area and a candle close above
will indicate the continuation o a global bullish trend.
The market will most likely continue rising at least to 2820.
Alternatively, if you are looking for a bearish confirmation,
a breakout of the support of the channel will give you a strong bearish signal.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bear trade can be initiated at any price level.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2h period, the recent / nearest high level
Goal 🎯: 2660.00(OR) Before escape in the market
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The current market sentiment has shifted to bearish, driven by a combination of factors. We update our analysis to reflect the changed market conditions.
🟫Fundamental Analysis:
1. Stronger US Dollar: The US Dollar Index (DXY) has strengthened, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
2. Rising Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve's hawkish tone and rising interest rates have increased the opportunity cost of holding gold.
3. Improved Economic Data: Stronger-than-expected economic data from the US has reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
🟪Macro Analysis:
1. Risk-On Sentiment: The improved economic outlook and reduced geopolitical tensions have led to a risk-on sentiment, reducing demand for gold.
2. Decreasing Inflation Expectations: Falling inflation expectations have reduced the appeal of gold as a hedge against inflation.
🟩Sentiment Analysis
1. Bullish Sentiment: 28% of traders and investors expect XAU/USD to rise.
2. Bearish Sentiment: 58% of traders and investors expect XAU/USD to fall.
3. Neutral Sentiment: 14% of traders and investors expect XAU/USD to trade sideways.
🟨Market Positioning
1. Long Positions: 32% of traders and investors are holding long positions in XAU/USD.
2. Short Positions: 55% of traders and investors are holding short positions in XAU/USD.
3. Neutral Positions: 13% of traders and investors are holding neutral positions in XAU/USD.
🟦Open Interest
1. Increasing: 22% of traders and investors expect open interest to increase.
2. Decreasing: 60% of traders and investors expect open interest to decrease.
3. Stable: 18% of traders and investors expect open interest to remain stable.
🟥Commitment of Traders (COT) Report
1. Hedge Funds Long: 25% of hedge funds are holding long positions in XAU/USD.
2. Hedge Funds Short: 62% of hedge funds are holding short positions in XAU/USD.
3. Hedge Funds Neutral: 13% of hedge funds are holding neutral positions in XAU/USD.
Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Short gold again after rebounding to 2750-2760 zoneGold has currently retraced to the 2741 level, triggering significant profit realization for our positions. Since gold rallied above 2770 last week, I have consistently maintained a bearish stance, anticipating profit-taking and sell-offs driven by market sentiment. Our short positions have once again delivered substantial returns.
This morning, we initiated long positions near the 2756 level and closed them at 2770, securing an easy profit of 140 pips. As gold approached 2770, I explicitly shared in my previous analysis that if gold failed to decisively break through the 2770-2775 range, I would switch to shorting. Thus, after closing the long positions, I reversed my position and shorted gold near 2770. Gold has since declined as expected to around 2741. Although we closed our short positions near 2753, capturing a profit of 170 pips, I am still satisfied with this result. It's been a strong start to the week's trading!
Currently, gold has bottomed out around 2740. I do not recommend chasing shorts at this level, as the 2740-2730 zone provides notable technical support, which could potentially drive a rebound to the 2750-2760 range. For those looking to short gold further, it’s advisable to wait for a rebound to the 2750-2760 region before executing short trades. Alternatively, a moderate long position could be considered, with a short-term target set between 2750 and 2760.
Bros, have you followed me to do short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Execute the trading direction of goldDear Traders,
As I mentioned in yesterday’s market analysis, if gold does not break below the 2760-2750 support zone during its retracement, it is highly likely to breach the 2800 threshold later this week. Taking advantage of today’s pullback, we initiated long positions near 2756. Although gold briefly dipped to 2747, it quickly rebounded above 2750, indicating the potential for continued upside momentum.
Currently, gold is trading around 2769, and our long positions are already yielding a solid profit. If gold follows the anticipated trajectory and rises further, I will closely monitor its performance in the 2770-2775 zone. Should it struggle to decisively break through this resistance, I may consider a short-term short position to capitalize on a potential pullback.
Bros, do you think gold will break through 2800? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD Major short-term Buy Signal just flashed!Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since exactly the start of the year. This structure has held clear the 1H MA200 (orange trend-line) since January 06 and the most optimal buy entry of the last 3 times has been issued on the 1H MA100 (green trend-line).
This is the level that the metal touched today and is already rebounding past the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line). Along with the 1H RSI reaching its most efficient Support level (oversold barrier of 30.00) and rebounding, this is the strongest short-term buy signal.
Each such signal reached at least the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the previous High. As a result, our short-term Target is 2810.
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Gold Breaks Uptrend Line! Is a Reversal or New ATH Coming?The mixed PMI data(Flash Manufacturing and Flash Services) from the U.S. reflects contradictory signals, likely leading to short-term Gold price volatility without significantly affecting its main trend . What is your idea!?
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Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ ) and managed to break the Uptrend line .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that 5 impulsive waves have ended, and we have to wait for corrective waves .
Another sign of Gold correction can be the formation of a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern ( with high volume ) and, next to it, a confirmation candle in the 1-hour time frame .
Educational Tip: The larger the volume of the candle, the more valid the candle and the pattern it forms.
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Classical Technical Analysis , we can expect the formation of a Head and Shoulders Pattern . ( It is better to wait for the formation of the right shoulder ).
I expect Gold to attack the Support zone($2,764-$2,757) and Uptrend lines soon , and if they break, we can expect Gold to fall to the Support lines .
Can Gold make a new All-Time High(ATH)!? Please share your ideas in the comments.
Note: We can expect more pumps if Gold goes over $2,794.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
XAUUSD Potentially BullishOANDA:XAUUSD has remained bullish on the H4 time frame. I would however love to see price coming to retest a key zone around the 2,720 area which was a key resistance area initially. Price has clearly and significantly broken through the resistance and is attempting to find that level as a support. If the zone holds as a new found support, going long will be the next move and I would target the 2,786 area which only falls slightly below the all time high.
On the other hand, if the 2,720 area does not hold as a new found support but price breaks through it and does a retest of same area and then it holds as a new found resistance, we just might see price dropping to the 2695 and may drop even further if the bears remain dominant
Until either scenarios play out, fingers crossed. #XAUUSD about to make another significant move
Do your due diligence, past results does not guarantee future results
Stick to shorting goldDear Traders,
As I mentioned in my previous update, we can still consider shorting gold around the 2785 level, anticipating a short-term pullback to the 2770-2760 range.
Currently, gold has reached a high of 2785, just a step away from the previous high of 2790. At this stage, technical indicators have become less significant, with the 2790 resistance zone and the psychological level of 2800 serving as the primary reference points for initiating short positions.
Although gold is demonstrating strong bullish momentum, I sense some signs of a "short squeeze." If profit-taking or a sell-off of profit-holding positions occurs, gold could experience a sharp correction. For this reason, despite the strong uptrend, I remain cautious and refrain from chasing the rally. Instead, I continue to utilize the **2790-2800** resistance zone as a basis for attempting short positions.
Bros, are you still optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Keep shorting gold, target 2730-2720Dear traders,
During today’s retracement, gold reached an intraday low near 2736 before rebounding above 2750. Will gold continue its upward momentum?
In my opinion, the recent pullback to the 2736 level is far from sufficient to establish a complete correction. Although gold has rebounded above 2750, it has yet to break yesterday’s high. If a lower high forms near the 2760 technical resistance zone, gold is likely to maintain its current downward trend. Furthermore, the formation of a single candlestick with a long lower shadow on the lower timeframes does not constitute strong and reliable support, which suggests limited upside potential. This rebound could also serve as a bull trap, enticing buyers before resuming the decline.
From a short-term trading perspective, I continue to advocate for shorting gold, targeting the 2730–2720 support zone. Bros, are you still optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Scenario on XAUUSD 23.1.2025 [update]This analysis will only be about adjusting the level from the previous analysis, because my longivy setup turned out better than I expected, but now the question is what will happen next, I personally would like the scenario as I displayed it with sfp above high and then a proper correction to lower levels is important sr the level is at the price of 2730, if the market holds it then there could be a movement of gold to a new ath, but if this level were to break, my scenario would be fulfilled
Continue to short goldDear traders, yesterday we adhered to our strategy of shorting gold near the 2760 level, and gold has now retraced as expected to the 2740 level. We closed our short positions around 2741. Although we didn’t catch the absolute bottom, I’m pleased that we secured the majority of the profits. While the majority of the market was chasing long positions, we strategically opted to short gold. This not only yielded significant profits but also protected our capital from being trapped at higher levels during the retracement. A well-executed and commendable trading strategy!
Currently, after testing the 2740 level, gold has rebounded, but the strength of the rebound appears to be considerably weaker. I believe that market sentiment toward gold is shifting, with traders becoming less blindly confident in long positions. If gold’s upward momentum continues to weaken, it could trigger profit-taking among long positions, leading to increased selling pressure.
For short-term trading, I will maintain my preference for shorting gold in the 2750–2760 range.Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Stick to shorting goldAs mentioned in my previous analysis, although gold remains in a clear uptrend, the signs of a short squeeze are increasingly evident. Therefore, in short-term trading, we should refrain from chasing long positions at this stage. If gold fails to decisively break through the 2760–2765 resistance zone, a significant corrective move could occur at any time, which is why my current focus remains on shorting gold.
From the current price structure, we can observe a pattern where gold rallies by $60–65 following each confirmed bullish signal, only to retrace by $40 thereafter. Since the last confirmed bullish signal, gold has already advanced $62, indicating a high probability of a $40 correction based on this historical pattern. This means gold could retrace to test the 2740–2730 support range or even approach the 2720 level during this phase of consolidation.
This is precisely why I prefer shorting gold in the current scenario. As my trading plan, I initiated a short position near the 2760 level and continue to hold it. Let’s aim to capitalize on this opportunity and secure profits from the downside ahead of most market participants. Here's to a promising outcome!
Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Start shorting goldDear Traders,
Gold has now surged above 2750, with bullish momentum remaining robust. It appears that gold is showing signs of attempting to challenge the previous high of 2790. However, as prices continue to rise, the risks also increase. For short-term trading, I would avoid chasing long positions unless there is a significant pullback opportunity.
Despite gold's strong upward trajectory, I believe there are indications of a short squeeze. Therefore, I do not advocate aggressively pursuing further long positions at this stage. In the near term, gold faces resistance in the 2760–2765 range. If it fails to decisively break through this level, there is a high probability of a notable correction. Consequently, I currently prefer to explore opportunities to short gold, targeting the 2735–2730 zone, or potentially as low as 2720.
Bros, do you expect gold to retrace in the short term like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold Market Insight: Preparing for the Next Opportunity👀 👉 XAUUSD has been in a strong bullish trend following an earlier liquidity sweep that sparked a rally. Currently, the price appears overextended, and I’m expecting a retracement into the Fibonacci 50% to 61.8% levels as a potential entry point for a long position. The approach will ultimately depend on how price action unfolds. In the video, I dive deeper into my strategy for seizing the next opportunity. Please note, this is not financial advice.
Continue to buy goldDear Traders,
Gold has rebounded multiple times from 2702 and surged to 2733 at 8 a.m., just a step away from my target zone of 2740-2750. Clearly, our short-term trade of buying gold near 2702 yesterday successfully hit the TP at 2715—another highly profitable trade. Brothers, did you follow my trading strategy to buy gold yesterday?
Gold has rallied nearly $30 intraday. While it has slightly pulled back from the 2733 level, the selling pressure appears to be weakening. Bullish momentum remains strong, and gold is still in a clear upward trend. If the rally extends, gold could potentially reach 2750. Therefore, we should avoid aggressively testing the top by shorting gold, but at the same time, we must refrain from chasing long positions at high levels. As gold's low points are gradually moving higher, short-term support has now shifted upward to the 2715-2710 region. If gold retraces to this support zone, it may present an opportunity to consider entering long positions strategically.
Bros, have you followed me to go long gold and make huge profits? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold is expected to hit the 2740-2750 zone, buy gold!Dear traders:
Although gold shows the characteristics of non-continuation of rising, it is still in an upward structure as a whole, so gold still has the potential to continue to rise, so I think 2725 is definitely not the highest point.
At present, gold is in an upward trend, and the 2695-2690 zone below forms an unignorable support structure, while the 2680 below becomes the absolute defense of the bulls, and gold may continue to the 2740-2750 zone in the upward trend. Therefore, in short-term trading, we still mainly use the support area as a defense to go long on gold.
Bros, are you optimistic about the continued rise of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would like to see price attempt a brief test of the high, reject and give us the move down which was successful. We then wanted to exit any short trades and find the optimal spot to long back up sticking to the bias and the bias targets as well as the red box targets and Excalibur. Combined, we got the move up from the pivot red box and managed to complete all of our bullish targets ending the week with a phenomenal pip capture tracking this precious metal at nearly every turning point up and down.
A fantastic week again in Camelot not only on Gold but the other pairs we analyse and trade as well.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week again we’ll stick with the bullish bias for now. The key level resistance on open is the 2715-14 price point, if rejected we should see a continuation of the move downside into the lower support levels 2700, 2690 and below that the key level and bias level support 2680-5. It’s that lower level that needs to be monitored, as building a base there and upon a clean reversal we feel the opportunity to then long the market again back up into the 2725, 2730 and above that 2740-5 region initially is what we’ll be looking for.
Our weekly red box worked well last week giving the rejection we wanted, and due to the failed break, we would like to see that level attempted again to monitor whether we close above or not. This is really important for gold as another fail can result in another major correction before attempting higher pricing.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 2680-5 with targets above 2720, 2730, 2735 and above that 2745
Bearish on break of 2780 with targets below 2670 and below that 2766
RED BOX TRADERS:
Break above 2704 for 2710, 2716, 2735 and 2733 in extension of the move
Break below 2695 for 2788, 2682, 2680 and 2665 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG