Gold Nears Key Fibonacci as Fed Rate Cut Odds DipGold is about to test the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level while Stochastic Signals overbought, as chanced of a 0.25% rate cut at Fed fallen below 59%.
The gold's downtrend is valid as long as the prices are below the %50. Fibonacci.
Article: fxnews.me
Xauusdtechnicalanalysis
GOLD (XAUUSD) Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold for next week.
Support 1: 2546 - 2560 area
Support 2: 2524 - 2530 area
Support 3: 2470 - 2485 area
Support 4: 2432 - 2448 area
Support 5: 2352 - 2381 area
Resistance 1: 2643 - 2659 area
Resistance 2: 2705 - 2733 area
Resistance 3: 2786 - 2790 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan Ahead of FED
Ahead of FED Powell Speech today, Gold finally stopped falling.
For now, a key daily support that the price tested earlier holds.
To catch a pullback trade from that, pay attention to an inverted
cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame.
Wait for a bullish breakout of its neckline - an hourly candle close above
that will give you a strong bullish signal.
A pullback will be excepted at least to 2580 level then.
Alternatively, a daily candle close below the underlined daily support
will be a strong bearish signal.
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XAUUSD I Technical Analysis & Trading PlanWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** XAUUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
support and resistance levels to pay close attention to on Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising Trend Line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 2470 - 2484 area
Support 2: 2431 - 2448 area
Support 3: 2364 - 2381 area
Resistance 1: 2517 - 2532 area
Resistance 2: 2545 - 2552 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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XAUUSD I Do not SHORT too soon! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** XAUUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
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XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detail [22 - 26]Gold prices took a tumble on Friday, dropping over 2% as the US Dollar strengthened and investors took profits after last week's record highs. The precious metal extended its losing streak to three days, closing around the $2,400 level.
What drove the dip?
📈 Strong US Dollar: A surge in the USD, fueled by speculation about a Republican victory in the US elections, weighed on gold.
📈 Rising Bond Yields: Increasing bond yields also contributed to the decline, making gold less attractive.
But hold on, the story doesn't end there! 🤔
Analysts remain optimistic about gold's long-term prospects:
📉 Fed Rate Cuts: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates in September, which is bullish for gold.
📈 Market Sentiment: According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in a 98% chance of a U.S. rate cut in September.
🌎 Geopolitical Instability & Central Bank Demand: Ongoing global tensions and central bank buying provide further support for the precious metal.
🔍 What's Next?
Gold prices took a hit last week, but is this just a temporary dip or a sign of things to come? This video dives deep into the technical aspects of XAUUSD, offering insights into what to expect in the coming week!
Don't miss out on this comprehensive analysis!
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we're focusing on the crucial $2,400 level. This is a big deal for gold traders - it could be a make-or-break point. If gold stays above $2,400: Bulls might take control, potentially pushing prices higher and setting up new highs. If gold falls below $2,400: Bears might gain the upper hand, and prices could head south. Join me as we explore these factors and potential opportunities in the gold market. Like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for the latest analysis and insights!
#GoldAnalysis #ForexTrading #GoldMarket #FederalReserve #TradingStrategy #MarketInsights #USYields #InflationData #EmploymentData #FinancialMarkets #GoldPrice #Investing #TradingTips #ForexEducation #TrumpPolicies #JeromePowell #GeopoliticalStability #CentralBankDemand 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsIn the latest global events, Gold has soared to new heights, hitting a five-day peak above $2,400 fueled by escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. Investors sought refuge in the non-interest-yielding asset as uncertainty loomed, driving prices to a weekly high of $2,417 per ounce. However, the rally proved fleeting as Iran quashed fears of immediate retaliation.
Meanwhile, US front, robust US Retail Sales figures from last week triggered a reevaluation of interest rate expectations, propelling the US 10-year note yield to levels not seen since November 2023, reaching a peak of 4.696%. Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic cautioned against persistently high inflation, signalling a challenging path ahead for the central bank. Yet, New York Fed President John Williams struck a more measured tone, highlighting the Fed's data-driven approach and its current stance on monetary policy.
As market sentiment fluctuates, the CME FedWatch Tool hints at a shift in sentiment for potential rate cuts, with September earmarked as a likely window for action. Against this backdrop, this video delves into the technical intricacies of the XAUUSD chart. Through the lens of price action analysis, we unravel the behavioural patterns driving market dynamics and offer insight into potential price movements for the week ahead.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we conducted a thorough analysis of the XAUUSD chart, integrating both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our analysis delved into key levels, historical price movements, market dynamics, and the interaction between buyers and sellers, intending to identify potential trading opportunities.
Our focus for the upcoming week centres around the $2,365 zone, which holds significant historical importance and is poised to influence next week's trading activity significantly. Sustained bullish momentum above this level could fuel continued buying interest, potentially driving prices to new highs. Conversely, a breach below the $2,365 level, accompanied by ongoing selling pressure, may indicate a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
#GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Key Levels & Structure Analysis 🥇
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures
Horizontal Support 1: 2009 - 2014 area
Horizontal Support 2: 2001 - 2006 area
Horizontal Support 3: 1965 - 1977 area
Horizontal Resistance 1: 2055 - 2065 area
Horizontal Resistance 2: 2077 - 2088 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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XAUUSD H4 :SETUP FOR SWINGHi Guys,
I show you an long setup but please give confirmation in low timeframe and do your own search and do your own-idea .
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰5/JULY/23
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research .
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below.and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION#XAUUSD
According to the analysis we gave to XAUUSS earlier, GOLD went UP very fast in the previous weeks, BREAKING the TREND LINE. Due to this US10Y went down.
The dollar has strengthened after the December FOMC. All MARKETS including STOCKS and COMMODITIES are going down slightly due to the OFF of MARKET RISK. RETAIL SALES, NFP and PMI DATA, CPI DATA should be monitored.
But the last day all those ECONOMIC INDICATORS were POSITIVE, so GOLD was slightly SELL. It is definitely a very important indicator for the FED. Currently, MARKET RISK is being OFF.
We have some very important NEWS coming to USD this week. Be sure to keep an eye on it.
Anyway, we expect GOLD to go UP to 1915 LEVEL. Before that, GOLD may go down to the 1830 level with the FOMC UPDATE. Be careful..
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION - As we can see, GOLD is still going down since the last few days. The reason was that the US10Y was constantly strengthened by MARKET UPDATES. But as soon as there is an opportunity in the future, GOLD can be BUY as per the MARKET STRUCTURE. But yet there is no reason or incident to make GOLD MARKETS FUNDAMENTALLY UP yet.
- By now, GOLD must go to 1675 LEVEL. After that, at 1832, the PRICE must go up, definitely a STRUCTURE BREAK
If one comes. Definitely follow the STRUCTURE we have given. CPI DATA further DOWN GOLD PRICE. Wait until the TREND LINE on the PRICE CHART BREAKS.
- Currently, US 10Y is slightly UP. Also, DXY is going up a bit. For this reason, GOLD is going down now.
XAUUSD - 240 MINS TIME FRAMEThe Structure looks good to us, waiting for the this to correct and then give us these opportunities as shown on this instrument.
Note: its my view only and its for educational purpose only. only who has got knowledge in this strategy will understand what to be done on this setup. its purely based on my technical analysis only (strategies). we don't focus on the short term moves, we look for only for Bullish or Bearish Impulsive moves on the setups after a good price action is formed as per the strategy. we never get into corrective moves. because it will test our patience and also it will be a bullish or a bearish trap.
we do not get into bullish or bearish traps. we anticipate and get into only big bullish or bearish moves (Impulsive moves).
Just ride the bullish or bearish impulsive move.
buy low and sell high concept. buy at cheaper price and sell at expensive price.
Keep it simple, keep it Unique.
please keep your comments respectful.
Thanks for your support....
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- US10Y is currently slightly up to 2.84% LEVEL. Like we said before, it was a little CORRECTION just like we thought. So far, we have seen the POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD being similarly very POSITIVE for DXY.
The POWER of USD is still very strong in GOLD. Now DXY has been DOWN very fast for the last few days. We look forward to hearing from DXY. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. DXY is getting a bit down but now it's getting a bit UP up with the MARKET RISK OFF. Also, when we look at DXY, it has moved to DXY 101.68 LEVEL.
- GOLD PRICE is currently moving above DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS but may be more DOWN under the influence of DOLLAR in the future. So currently UP can be before SELL.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK OFF. STOCKS is currently showing a NEUTRAL BIAS. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit UP. Also COMMODITIES still shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK OFF TONE in the market. Therefore, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be DOWN in the future. Also JPY CHF can be UP.
- GOLD PRICE can be UP again before DOWN until 1918 LEVEL. So GOLD is more likely to go back to the 1918 LEVEL. Then you can definitely DOWN GOLD price up to 1783 LEVEL. If the TREND LINE is BREAK, you can go up to GOLD 1765 LEVEL DXY or US10Y if there is a UP TREND again.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- US10Y is currently slightly up to 2.92% LEVEL. Like we said before, it was a little CORRECTION just like we thought. The POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD has also been very positive for DXY in the past.
The POWER of USD is still very strong in GOLD. Now DXY has been DOWN very fast for the last few days. We look forward to hearing from DXY. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. DXY is currently down a bit with the MARKET RISK ON. Also, when we look at DXY, we have moved to DXY 103.814 LEVEL.
- GOLD PRICE is currently moving below DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS but another WAVE can be DOWN under the influence of DOLLAR. So currently GOLD can be SELL before UP.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. STOCKS is currently displaying a GREEN SIDE BIAS. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK ON TONE in the market. Therefore, in the future, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be UP. Also JPY CHF can be DOWN.
- GOLD PRICE can be DOWN again before UP. So GOLD can go back to 1798 LEVEL. After that you can definitely go up to GOLD price 1918 LEVEL. If the RESISTANCE LINE is BREAK, GOLD can travel up to 1966 with a DXY or US10Y CORRECTION.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- As mentioned earlier, a very important event took place at the FOMC MEETING yesterday. The US Federal Reserve has increased their rates by 50bps. Before that there was some talk among the traders about it. So after raising their rates, the US dollar weakened. This is because the USD has been BUY in the past due to the sentiment of traders on the rates they are raising. Other economic indicator data released yesterday also remained weak. UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS DATA is due to be released for the US dollar today.
- US10Y is currently down to 2.97% LEVEL. It was a CORRECTION just like we thought. The POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD has also been very positive for DXY in the past. Now DXY seems to be a bit CORRECTION after FOMC. We look forward to hearing from you. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. Also when we look at DXY it has moved up to DXY 102.885 LEVEL.
- GOLD PRICE is currently moving above DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS. But currently GOLD can be SELL before UP.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. STOCKS is currently displaying a GREEN SIDE BIAS. But American STOCKS are going down a bit. And VOLATILITY is DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK ON BIAS on the market. Therefore, in the future, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be UP. Also JPY CHF can be DOWN.
- GOLD PRICE can be DOWN again before UP. So GOLD can go back to 1876 LEVEL. After that you can definitely go up to GOLD price 1966 LEVEL.
If the RESISTANCE LINE is BREAK, GOLD can travel up to 1966 with a DXY or US10Y CORRECTION.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- There are some very sharp economic data to be released this week for the US dollar. Today, especially GDP DATA is due to be released. So be careful when you trade NEWYORK. ADVANCED GDP INDEX, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS DATA will also be released today.
- US10Y is currently at 2.76% LEVEL .. Now US10Y is DOWN. Currently, the POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD is similarly the most POSITIVE for DXY. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. Also, when we look at the DXY, the DXY 102.51 LEVEL is further up.
- GOLD PRICE is below DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS.
- Currently the SENTIMENT of the OVERALL MARKET is moving towards the RISK ON side. Also the EQUITIES have become a bit GREEN. VIX is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES is showing a UP SIDE BIAS right now. MARKETS currently have a NEUTRAL SENTIMENT, but the RISK ON SENTIMENT is too heavy. HIGH BEATA CURRENCIES are also UP going very well.
- GOLD PRICE can be UP again before DOWN. So GOLD can definitely go back to the 1909 LEVEL. Then you can definitely DOWN GOLD price up to 1875l 6 LEVEL.
If the TREND LINE is BREAK, GOLD can travel up to 1966 with a DXY or US10Y CORRECTION.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAUUSD - HOW DOES GOLD REACT USD HIGH IMPACT NEWS?- There are two special indicators that affect GOLD today. Among them are ADP NON FARM EMPLOYMENT CHANGE, FINAL GDP special.
- Meanwhile, a FOMC MEMBER is scheduled to speak today at the New York SESSION.
- US10Y currently stands at 2.30% LEVEL. US10Y WEAK a bit after JOLTS DATA yesterday. But that data came in at a very good level. But USD10Y LONG TERM is going to be UP if this MARKET CONDITION is SUPPORT to USD. Also DXY has been up to 98.17 LEVEL. The GOLD PRICE is slightly lower than the DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS at this time. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be UP in the future.
- SHORT TERM is for UP SIDE. But as the war recedes and the US Federal Reserve begins to raise rates, demand for the USD is likely to increase in the future. Therefore, GOLD may be DOWN LONG TERM in the near future.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK OFF. Also STOKES are turning slightly red. VIX is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES show a slightly UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is a NEUTRAL BIAS on the market side.
- GOLD PRICE can RETRACE from DYNAMIC LEVELS. It's very important to us. Maybe after reaching the dynamic level the price can be hugely VOLATILE with the economic data coming up today.
- The chance of creating a TRIPLE BOTTOM opportunity again before the GOLD PRICE is UP is very high. So GOLD can go back to 1895 LEVEL. After that you can UP to at least 1966 LEVEL. However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
Gold ON a SELLIt's another fall SETUP for GOLD
Well this time it will move more down 1715, but before that it should touch resistance of 1772 and 1775. It will be good to place order blow 1770.
Price shouldn't go above 1782, this will change the flow.
Look at 4H chart and see for strong chandle that make sense.
Our target is 1715 and 1668.
If you like this just follow and comment down
XAUUSD - GOLD Next Target 1717 AlertSince I have shared all about GOLD. It's main trend is down and still moving down, so you have to just follow a simple logic that price will go up and fall back, just see candlestick where it's forming a strong signal towards down just pull your trade.
Still there is no such mark of uptrend in news or anywhere. I think it will take inverse in next month or November as per FED action.
Here there are 2 possibility, it can move to resistance 1752 then reverse or just hit bottom trend line and come back. Trade wisely!
So let's make it possible and take gold to 1700 and still below. Good luck
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