XAU/USD 10 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Xauusdtrade
Gold Market Analysis 12/09During the U.S. trading session today, gold surged again but faced strong selling pressure in the 2673-2678 range, causing the price to drop. It is now at the first support level, and we expect a short-term bottom to form in the 2658-2648 range. This support zone presents a buying opportunity, with a rebound target near 2666-2673.
Friends who hold short positions in gold, what should we do now?Bros, gold once rose to around 2676, but fortunately it has started to fall back now. To be honest, today's gold trading is in trouble. I originally wanted to short gold around 2660 now, and then go long gold around 2645 after gold fell back. However, gold only touched 2653 several times during the decline and then rebounded again. So I have held my short position until now, and then added the same position around 2675 to continue shorting gold. Once put me in a passive position in today's gold trading.
The better thing now is that gold has started to fall back to around 2668. Although I still have floating losses, it is much better than just now! Come on, brothers! We still have hope for turning losses into profits, so wish us good luck!
Bros, do you think my gold short position still has a chance to turn losses into profits?If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
First short gold, then go long gold!Bros, this week's new trading journey begins from now!
Gold rebounded again under the support of safe-haven buying, and now it has reached around 2658. To be honest, gold is currently in a relatively obvious upward arrangement, and there is still room for gold to continue to rise.
However, overall, gold has not yet escaped the scope of shocks, so it is not good to directly chase gold near 2658, and the current strength of gold's rise is not firm. Gold needs to fall back to increase the liquidity of gold bulls, so we might as well consider trying to short gold with 2660-2670 as resistance, and wait for gold to fall back to the appropriate area before participating in long gold!
Bros, let's try to short gold first, and then wait patiently for gold to fall back before re-participating in long gold!If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold's Short-Term Volatility and Long-Term OutlookExplosive Weekend News: The Syrian President Assad has abandoned the country, and the anti-government forces have won in this wave of unrest. The biggest beneficiary of this is not Israel, but the United States! Their control over the Middle East has reached its peak, and many domestic issues will now open breakthrough opportunities, significantly boosting the speed of economic recovery.
Syria’s loss has been devastating for Russia and Iran due to tactical errors. Iran’s strategic arc has been broken, and Russia has lost important strategic points, undoing over a decade of planning.
The unrest caused gold to gap higher today, but the expectations for the U.S. economy have led to a pullback in gold prices. Despite the ongoing turmoil, if this situation continues to develop, the U.S. dollar will inevitably emerge as the ultimate winner. Gold prices may gradually retreat after reaching a peak
This is based on an analysis of the international situation, and it represents a long-term strategic outlook.
Short-Term Outlook: Due to the ongoing turmoil, gold’s safe-haven demand remains intact. Technically, 2628-2618 is an important support zone, with resistance still focusing on the 2643-2652 area.
The plan to go long on crude oil beginsBros, today's NFP market is somewhat disappointing. Gold did not activate our limit orders during the rebound. So we don't have a good position to participate in gold trading.
At present, I pay more attention to crude oil than to gold. At present, crude oil has fallen to around 66.95 and has not effectively fallen below 67. Moreover, crude oil has repeatedly turned the tide in the 67-66 area, successfully stopped the decline and successfully reversed the trend, so crude oil has now entered a strong buying area.Therefore, crude oil is currently at a very attractive price near 67. I think there will be a large influx of buying funds in this area, thus supporting the oil price to rise again.
Then I think we can start to go long on crude oil in this position area! Wish us good luck! Bros, are you also bullish on crude oil in the short term like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
NFP market trading strategyFrom the data, the previous value is 1.2 (million), and the forecast value is 20 (million). From the current expectations, the non-agricultural employment population data may continue to rise sharply, which is bearish for gold; if the data is revised for the previous value, it may bring greater pressure to the gold market; gold fell to around 2613 overnight, and it is not ruled out that institutions are running ahead of the NFP market. If gold in the NFP market continues to fall sharply, it will also harvest most of the funds chasing the rise;
From the chart, gold is currently in a volatile pattern, but from the perspective of rebounding and falling back many times, it faces multiple resistances above, first facing resistance in the 2655-2665 area, and secondly facing resistance in the 2675-2685 area. So it is actually difficult for gold to break upward at the technical level; and today is Friday, the gold market closes the weekly line. From the weekly level, gold still has room to continue to fall, so once gold falls in the NFP market, it is likely to test the 2605-2600 area support; it may even test the 2580-2560 area.
So, today’s NFP market trading strategy:
1. Set the price limit to sell gold at 2658-2662. If it exceeds 2666, the short position will be abandoned;
2. Wait for the data to be released and then follow the gold fluctuations to choose an opportunity to short gold;
Bros, are you ready to participate in the NFP market? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Mainly short gold, but there is still an opportunity to go long.Bros, since gold has chosen to break down and fall below the short-term support of 2620, it is obvious that the gold bears have a slight advantage in the struggle. So in trading, we mainly focus on shorting gold. The current short-term resistance area has shifted to the 2630-2635 area, so in short-term trading, we can short gold with the 2630-2635 resistance area;
But on the other hand, even if gold continues to fall, it is difficult to completely reverse into a short trend before today's NFP market, which limits the downside to a certain extent. The support area below is in the 2610-2600 area; so once gold falls back to this area, I will still try to go long on gold again; but we need to be careful that once gold falls below 2600, it is likely to continue to fall to around 2580.
Trading strategy:
1. Short gold with 2630-2635 area as resistance;
2. Try to long gold with 2610-2600 area as support (only try once)
3. It should be noted that once gold effectively falls below 2600, it is very likely that gold will continue to fall to 2580 area
Bros, how are you going to trade gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD GOLD Scalp / Day Trade Idea👀 👉 In this video, we analyze the 4-hour chart, highlighting a clear break of structure with evident lower lows and lower highs. While my bias leans toward a short opportunity, we explore both scenarios: a potential long opportunity if the price breaks upward, and a possible short opportunity if it breaks downward. As always, this is not financial advice. 📈
Long Gold AgainWe just bought gold near 2632, and then gold rebounded above 2643. I just closed our long position near 2642 and easily earned 100 pips.
At present, gold has fallen back to around 2626. Although we just missed the opportunity to short gold, when gold falls back, as long as gold does not fall below the 2625 line, I think the gold fall is still an opportunity to go long on gold, so I just went long on gold again near 2628. I think we should be able to make at least another 100 pips profit. Anyway, wish us good luck!
Bros, have you gone long on gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold Market Analysis 12/06Gold began to rebound after falling to around 2623. Since the 2635 support has been broken, it has now turned into resistance. Therefore, during the rebound, the first resistance to watch is 2635, followed by 2643. This was the highest point reached during the rebound after the price fell to 2635 today, making it an important resistance level. The next key resistance zone is the 2652-2657 area, where the price has recently encountered resistance.
Since tomorrow’s NFP data could have a significant market impact, if the data is bullish, it’s quite possible that gold will rise back above 2650. However, if the data is bearish, the optimal level to consider for support would be around 2608.
The prolonged period of consolidation has trapped many positions during today’s downturn, creating significant selling pressure. Therefore, it’s important to be cautious during trading and avoid blindly chasing prices higher.
This is an ideal market outlook based on current conditions, but always remember that the market is constantly changing. While you can use this analysis as a reference, it’s important to remain flexible during your trades. Don’t stick to rigid strategies—adjust as the market evolves. If you have any doubts or need further guidance, feel free to reach out to me directly. I’m here to help with personalized advice!
Gold Market Analysis 12/05Yesterday, gold faced resistance near 2657 and pulled back. Now, 2652 is acting as resistance again. If it doesn’t break through, gold may test the support around 2635 again. If that level breaks, the next support zone is between 2628-2623. However, if it breaks above 2657 and holds, gold could rise towards the 2666 resistance level.
I recommend trading around these key levels today. With Initial Jobless Claims data coming out, if the market has already chosen a direction before the release, you can trade in the opposite direction based on the trend. This may lead to unexpected profits
Execute gold trading by selling high and buying lowBros, gold has been fluctuating in the 2645-2655 area most of the time today, with only a fluctuation space of $10. To be honest, it is not easy to participate in trading except for scalping. At present, gold has rebounded to around 2650 again. Gold is still in a narrow range of fluctuations as a whole. Gold may use the NFP market to break the box range, thus showing continuity.
So before the NFP market, we can still treat the market with shock in trading. Then the first thing to pay attention to above is the resistance of the 2655-2660 area, and the first thing to pay attention to below is the resistance of the 2640-2630 area. Before breaking the box range, we can rely on the support and resistance areas to sell high and buy low.
Trading strategy:
1. Using the 2655-2660 area as resistance, try to short gold;
2. Using the 2640-2630 area as support, try to long gold;
Bros, do you know how to correctly grasp the trading rhythm of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Continue to short goldBros, today we shorted gold near 2647 with 2650-2655 as resistance according to the trading plan. The object closed the gold short position manually near 2636 and gained 100 pips, which is a good result.
Just now, gold rebounded from 2632 and has now reached 2657. I still shorted gold again near 2654 as planned. Although gold touched near 2657 during the violent fluctuations, it did not stand strong, so it did not prove the effectiveness of its breakthrough. Moreover, it also faced resistance in the 2660-2665 area above, so gold may face another correction in the short term, it will retrace at least to the 2648-2645 area.
So we can still try to short gold again in the short term, and I have already shorted gold near 2654. Wish us good luck! Bros, did you follow me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Waiting for opportunities to continue shorting goldBros, gold is still operating within the oscillating range of 2630-2655, and has not made any breakthrough moves. Gold is currently trading around the mid-range position of 2641. Currently, gold is trading around the mid-waist position of 2641. To be honest, the mid-waist position is not very easy to participate in trading, because gold has room for fluctuations up and down, at least it is not easy to set SL in the execution of transactions, so we can still wait patiently for trading opportunities.
From the perspective of gold structure, gold is still relatively weak, so I still prefer to short gold in trading, so if gold can rebound to the 2650-2655 area, I will continue to try to short gold.
Bros, do you know how to correctly grasp the trading rhythm of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD 04 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold Market Analysis 12/04Yesterday, gold tested the 2635 support multiple times without breaking below it. At one point, prices rose above 2650, which aligns with our expectations. During this consolidation, long positions were quite profitable.
Current Market Outlook:
The consolidation range is gradually narrowing, and today we are likely to see a breakout in one direction.
If prices break upward, the previous high around 2666 will act as a new resistance.
If prices break downward, gold could return to around 2625.
2628 remains an important support level to watch.
Key Factors to Monitor:
Technical Levels:
Support at 2635, 2628, and 2625.
Resistance at 2666.
Geopolitical Considerations:
Keep an eye on the situation in Syria. While the current geopolitical developments have not shown significant positive news for gold bulls, unexpected events could still have an impact on the market.
Risk management is crucial, especially with potential geopolitical volatility.
Risk Management:
Ensure appropriate stop-loss orders are in place, especially given the uncertainty in the geopolitical landscape.
Conclusion:
Gold is currently in a consolidation phase, and a breakout in either direction is imminent. Stay vigilant and adjust your strategy based on market developments and technical signals. Let me know if you have any questions or need further assistance!
Next, how to grasp gold trading and make money!Bros, today I shorted gold near 2650 according to the trading plan. Although gold once rose to around 2655 during the period, as gold fell sharply to around 2635 in the short term, it was obvious that our short position was closed by hitting TP: 2637. In this short transaction, I made a profit of more than $6K, which is a good trading result.
From the current gold structure, gold closed above 2630 many times during the decline. It can be clearly seen that a certain amount of buying support has accumulated in the 2635-2630 area; but in the absence of rebound strength, if gold cannot effectively break through the 2655-2665 area, gold is still in a relatively weak position.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, if gold cannot break through the 2655-2665 area, we can still continue to short gold based on this resistance area; but what we must be careful about when executing transactions is that once gold strongly breaks through the 2655-2665 resistance area, Gold may also continue to rebound to the 2670-2680 area.
Bros, do you know how to correctly grasp the rhythm of gold trading? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Still firmly short goldBros, gold has failed to effectively break through 2650 during the rebound process many times, so gold is still in a weak position. If there is no special news affecting the market, gold will continue to fall after consuming a certain amount of bullish energy, and may even drop to the 2600-2590 area. So in terms of trading, we can temporarily maintain the attitude of shorting gold.
Bros, are you as bearish on gold as I am? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD 03 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Potentially BearishOANDA:XAUUSD topped out at almost 2800 and there after we have seen some consistent lower lows and lower highs. If price continues to hold around the 2650 area with some significant rejections, we just might see price creating a new lower high and potentially targeting the 2542 key zone area. Although we might see price dropping lower than that, I will rather lock in some profits when price comes to that zone
Always do your analysis before taking any trade. Past results does not guarantee future results
Israel's Shift to Syria and Its Impact on Gold PricesOver the weekend, the fighting between Israel and Lebanon paused, and Israel turned its attention to Syria, hoping to use this move to weaken the Russia-Ukraine war situation. However, as of now, the situation remains deadlocked, and Ukraine has not gained any significant advantage.
Many of you may not understand the connection between these events, but here’s a simplified explanation: Ukraine and Israel are in the same camp. While Ukraine has been facing difficulties in the Russia-Ukraine war, Russia holds over 80 strategic points in Syria. If Russia loses these, it would be a significant blow. So, Israel, as an ally of Ukraine, attacked Syria, hoping to help Ukraine gain an upper hand before a ceasefire, thus securing more significant benefits. However, up to now, things have not gone as smoothly as expected. Russia deployed troops to Syria, and in the process of attacking, they destroyed a command center of the four-nation alliance. Reports suggest that the leader of the Shams Liberation Organization may have been killed in the strike.
Due to the stalemate in the war, gold's price movement has been unclear. In this situation, the focus should be on the developments in Syria. If Israel gains the upper hand, the probability of gold rising increases significantly.
From a technical standpoint, the bulls currently have a slight advantage. Key support is at around 2635. As long as this support holds, the bullish momentum is likely to continue, and we may see a rapid rally at any time.
Hold on to short gold positionsBros, as I said in my last opinion, we can short gold with the 2645-2650 resistance area. I have already shorted gold at 2645 and 2651 as planned.
Although gold has not fallen effectively so far, it still remains above 2640. But we can see that gold has not effectively broken through 2650 in many rebounds, so I think that after consuming a certain amount of long energy, gold will fall again.
So I am still very confident in my short position. Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!