Gold Influenced by Various Factors, Focus on The Fed's DecisionGold prices need to clear $2,664-$2,664 levels for investors to gain control of the short-term market.
From a technical perspective, any subsequent up-move might face hurdles near the weekly highs, around the $2,664-$2,666 area touched on Monday, ahead of the $2,677 area.
A sustained strength beyond the latter should allow Gold prices to reclaim the $2,700 round figure.
The up-move could extend towards the monthly swing highs, around the $2,726 zone, above which XAU/USD is likely to resume its upward trajectory.
On the flip side, the overnight swing low, around the $2,633 region, now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of the monthly trough, around the $2,614 zone.
This is followed by the $2,600 level, which, if broken decisively, will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and make Gold prices vulnerable to extending the recent sharp decline from the one-month highs touched last week.
Xauusdtrade
Buying opportunity at 2643-2628Gold is currently facing some selling pressure near 2648, but the overall trend remains bullish with a high probability of breaking through. In the coming days, prices are likely to rise above 2660, making buying the primary trading direction for now.
In a weak market, gold may fluctuate multiple times within the 2643-2628 range to build up momentum. In a strong market, prices could rally after just one retest today.
However, there’s also a possibility of breaking below the support. If that happens, the likelihood of a short-term drop to 2580 will increase significantly.
XAU/USD 17 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Since last analysis dated 13 December 2024, price has printed a double bearish iBOS
Bullish CHoCH has been printed, therefore, we are now trading within an established internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has tapped in to M15 supply zone. Technically price to target weak internal low priced at 2,643.595.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Scenario xauusd update levels This analysis is purely about adjusting the level, plus a minor comment, the price is still holding on to the main level and could create a double top, the main one makes sense to me because there is a npoc on the support around the price of 2700, at which the price could choose a stop below we are currently in a poc, so then the view of thinking like this is still short, but I am still waiting for a confirming signal.
Easy profit of 110pips, gold still points to 2630!Bros, as I mentioned in my last opinion, gold is currently facing resistance in the 2660-2670 area, so I still prefer to short gold in terms of trading. Today we shorted gold near 2660 as planned. Just now, when gold fell back to around 2649, I manually closed my short position and easily made a profit of 110 pips.
So how should we trade gold next? Today, gold showed a weak rebound, proving that as gold fell last Friday, buying funds gradually concentrated in the 2645-2640 area. Therefore, before gold falls below the 2645-2640 area, we cannot be too bearish on gold in short-term trading, so we cannot set a TP value that exceeds expectations; however, gold is still weak overall, and we can still wait for gold to rebound and short gold again. If the gold market is to eliminate some long holders, then gold is likely to try to fall below the 2645-2640 area and continue to fall to around 2630.
So next, we continue to short gold with the 2665-2660 area as resistance. Brothers, are you bearish on gold in the short term like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Follow the trend and short gold!This week is a new week, so let's start this week's trading with hope!
Gold rebounded after touching 2643, and currently rebounded to 2658. From the current rebound strength, gold is still very weak. And after gold just experienced a big drop, there is no position to support gold to rebound immediately. So we can only follow the weak trend in trading at present.
So in the short term, I still prefer to short gold, and there is resistance in the 2660-2670 area above. Once gold cannot break through this area strongly, gold is likely to continue to fall. Once gold encounters resistance and falls back, it may fall back to the 2645-2640 area, or even the 2630 area.
Bros, let's try to short gold first, and then wait patiently for gold to fall back! If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold Set for Recovery After Friday's DeclineLast Friday, gold encountered strong selling pressure at 2692, continuing its downward movement to the green zone, which I’ve marked as a potential buying area. Traders who held long positions on Friday may see profits on Monday.
There could be a second downward move, but if this happens, the 2644-2636 area is expected to act as strong support. For long positions, the initial targets are 2657-2666, and if prices stabilize around 2654-2658, we can target the 2671-2679 range.
XAU/USD 16 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Since last analysis dated 13 December 2024, price has printed a double bearish iBOS
Bullish CHoCH has been printed, therefore, we are now trading within an established internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has tapped in to M15 supply zone. Technically price to target weak internal low priced at 2,643.595.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
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Turning to long goldBros, today gold continued to retreat, and the current lowest has reached around 2665, and the short trend of gold is obvious.
So where will gold fall? Should we continue to short gold? In fact, from the perspective of the gold structure, the 2665-2655 area is the bottom position of the rising relay in the rising structure, so this area plays an important supporting role. If gold cannot fall below this area, then gold's current downward trend is merely a correction to the rising trend. Therefore, gold may still rebound with the help of the 2665-2655 area, or it may hit the 2680-2690 area again.
So in terms of short-term trading, when most people are still shorting gold, I quietly started to go long on gold! Brors, let's wait and see! If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold Market Analysis 12/13Gold has dropped to the support level of the current upward trend, and the selling pressure has largely been released. Today's trading strategy should focus on buying at lower levels, with resistance at 2692-2704. The target can be set within the 2688-2702 range. Additionally, pay attention to the support in the 2666-2652 zone. While the possibility of a break below 2652 seems low at the moment, it remains something to watch. The 2652 level is crucial, as it serves as the dividing line between bulls and bears. A genuine break below this level would signal a shift from a bullish to a bearish technical pattern, derived from the connection between the 2790 and 2720 highs.
Buy gold, TP: 2690-2695Bros, today gold fell sharply and fell below 2695 due to the negative impact of PPI data on the gold market. I reminded in the previous opinion that the 2700-2695 area is the last line of defense for bulls. Once gold falls below this area, it is easy to be sold and continue to fall.
So today I went long on gold near 2702 as planned. After gold fell below 2695, I strictly followed the trading plan and chose manual stop loss near 2693, ending the gold long position with a loss of $4.7K; then I followed up with a gold short position near 2693, and manually closed the position near 2683, ending the transaction with a profit of $4.9K.
It means everything I did in trading today was for nothing,fortunately, I strictly followed my trading plan and strategy to execute the transaction, so even if I lost money in the long transaction, I recovered the loss in the short transaction, and there was no loss overall. Relatively speaking, no loss is the greatest success.
At present, after gold is relatively stable, I have bought gold again near 2683, and the short-term important support below is 2675. I expect gold to rebound to at least 2690-2695. As for the result of the transaction, let us wait and see! If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Start going long goldBros, yesterday I emphasized that the key resistance area for gold in the short term is in the 2720-2725 area. Starting from today's London market, gold is just suppressed below 2720 and is currently fluctuating in the 2720-2700 area. In fact, at this time, whether we participate in long or short transactions, we have no way to make a move!
According to the current decline, gold is just profit-taking, and it is not sold off. If gold is sold off, the decline will be far more than that. So it is not completely certain that gold will return to the short trend. So the bulls still have the ability to fight back.
The 2705-2695 area below is the last line of defense for the bulls. If gold falls below this area, then gold may be sold off and continue to fall. But before a break below this support area, we have one more opportunity to go long gold.
If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD 12 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Awaiting candle closure to confirm bullish iBOS
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
As highlighted in yesterday's analysis dated 11 December 2024, price was expected to print a bullish iBOS to narrow the internal range, and this is precisely how price printed.
Following bullish iBOS, price printed a bearish iBOS.
We are now trading within an established internal range. While price has not yet printed a bearish CHoCH, it has traded up to the premium of the 50% internal EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is currently trading within the premium of internal 50% EQ. Technically, price is expected to target the weak internal low at 2,700.810.
Alternative Scenario:
Price may potentially seek further liquidity to complete a bullish iBOS on the H4, therefore, bearish momentum may face limitations.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Go ahead and try shorting gold!Bros, due to the renewed tension in the geopolitical situation and the surge in risk aversion in the market, gold has risen sharply in the short term, and the current highest has reached around 2618. However, the continuity of the gold market, which has risen due to news stimulation, remains to be seen!
And from the chart, although gold has risen strongly, it still faces resistance in the 2720-2725 area in the short term. This is the last line of defense in the bear market, so it is not easy for gold to continue to break through. If gold fails to successfully cross this resistance area, then after consuming the bullish momentum to a certain extent, gold may retreat again and retest the 2700-2695 area.
So in terms of short-term trading, I will still not give up shorting gold. I will still try to add positions to continue shorting gold based on the 2720-2725 resistance area! Do you think gold will pull back? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Sorry, I'm already short goldBros, the expected CPI disappointed me. And the original plan to buy gold at 2580 was stranded because gold did not fall back effectively, so I had to give up the original plan to buy gold.
Gold moved very strongly today, with both bulls and bears fiercely competing around 2700. But for now, after gold continued its rebound to the 2700-2705 area, it did not usher in explosive emotional buying, and the price of gold did not rise sharply. Instead, it has been fluctuating in the 2700-2705 area. In the fierce game between long and short sides, the short force is not completely without opportunities, so since there is no opportunity to participate in the long gold, we might as well prepare in advance to see the decline and retracement of gold.
In addition, from the perspective of candlestick charts, even if gold continues to rise, it needs to build a W-shaped structure in the structure to support the continued rise of gold. Therefore, in the short term, gold still needs to fall back!
Bros, I have already shorted gold in the 2700-2705 area. Do you think gold will pull back? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Ready to go long on goldGood morning, bros! Let's re-examine the gold market together!
Gold fell back again after touching around 2674, with the current lowest falling to around 2661. From a short-term structural point of view, gold constructed a sub-high of 2674 at the hourly level, forming an 'M' top structure with yesterday's high of 2676, forming a negative impact on gold. A certain degree of technical pressure;
However, from an overall perspective, if gold cannot fall below the 2650 position during the fall, it will reduce the pressure on the hourly level 'M' top and accumulate energy during the fall, which will help gold continue to fall after the fall. The price fluctuates and rises, and it is easier to break through the resistance in the 2678 area, and may even continue to rise to the 2680-2690 area.
So in terms of short-term trading, we can use the 2660-2650 area as support and try to go long on gold! Bros, are you bullish on gold in the short term like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD 10 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold Market Analysis 12/09During the U.S. trading session today, gold surged again but faced strong selling pressure in the 2673-2678 range, causing the price to drop. It is now at the first support level, and we expect a short-term bottom to form in the 2658-2648 range. This support zone presents a buying opportunity, with a rebound target near 2666-2673.
Friends who hold short positions in gold, what should we do now?Bros, gold once rose to around 2676, but fortunately it has started to fall back now. To be honest, today's gold trading is in trouble. I originally wanted to short gold around 2660 now, and then go long gold around 2645 after gold fell back. However, gold only touched 2653 several times during the decline and then rebounded again. So I have held my short position until now, and then added the same position around 2675 to continue shorting gold. Once put me in a passive position in today's gold trading.
The better thing now is that gold has started to fall back to around 2668. Although I still have floating losses, it is much better than just now! Come on, brothers! We still have hope for turning losses into profits, so wish us good luck!
Bros, do you think my gold short position still has a chance to turn losses into profits?If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
First short gold, then go long gold!Bros, this week's new trading journey begins from now!
Gold rebounded again under the support of safe-haven buying, and now it has reached around 2658. To be honest, gold is currently in a relatively obvious upward arrangement, and there is still room for gold to continue to rise.
However, overall, gold has not yet escaped the scope of shocks, so it is not good to directly chase gold near 2658, and the current strength of gold's rise is not firm. Gold needs to fall back to increase the liquidity of gold bulls, so we might as well consider trying to short gold with 2660-2670 as resistance, and wait for gold to fall back to the appropriate area before participating in long gold!
Bros, let's try to short gold first, and then wait patiently for gold to fall back before re-participating in long gold!If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold's Short-Term Volatility and Long-Term OutlookExplosive Weekend News: The Syrian President Assad has abandoned the country, and the anti-government forces have won in this wave of unrest. The biggest beneficiary of this is not Israel, but the United States! Their control over the Middle East has reached its peak, and many domestic issues will now open breakthrough opportunities, significantly boosting the speed of economic recovery.
Syria’s loss has been devastating for Russia and Iran due to tactical errors. Iran’s strategic arc has been broken, and Russia has lost important strategic points, undoing over a decade of planning.
The unrest caused gold to gap higher today, but the expectations for the U.S. economy have led to a pullback in gold prices. Despite the ongoing turmoil, if this situation continues to develop, the U.S. dollar will inevitably emerge as the ultimate winner. Gold prices may gradually retreat after reaching a peak
This is based on an analysis of the international situation, and it represents a long-term strategic outlook.
Short-Term Outlook: Due to the ongoing turmoil, gold’s safe-haven demand remains intact. Technically, 2628-2618 is an important support zone, with resistance still focusing on the 2643-2652 area.