Continue to short gold Gold rebounded from around 3315 and has now reached above 3340. According to the current structure, gold tends to rebound upward. But the characteristics of the recent market trends are also very obvious. Gold has risen with difficulty, but has retreated very quickly! Overall, there was no continuation in the process of long and short games, which was disorderly fluctuation.
According to the current structure, as long as gold cannot break through the 3350-3355 area and the bulls have not completely gained the upper hand, gold still has the potential to go down and test the 3320-3310 area again. Therefore, for short-term trading, we should not chase gold too much, and we can still try to short gold with the 3345-3355 area as resistance.
Xauusdtradeidea
Gold is expected to continue to fall to 3280 or even 3250In the short term, the operation of gold is completely in line with my expectations. I clearly pointed out yesterday that gold will encounter resistance in the 3330-3340 area and will at least retest the area around 3315-3305 again. At present, gold has rebounded slightly after retesting the area around 3302 and is trading around 3309.
According to the strength of yesterday's rebound, gold did not effectively break through the 3300-3340 area. Gold is still weak in the short term, and the head and shoulders top structure is constructed in the 3328-3338-3328 position area in the short term, which suppresses gold to a certain extent and limits the rebound space of gold. After multiple tests, the area around 3300 may be more conducive to being broken. After gold has been under pressure and fallen many times, the current short-term resistance area has been reduced to the 3310-3320 area; so I think gold still has a good downward space in the short term, which may continue to 3280, or even around 3250.
So for short-term trading, I think it is possible to consider continuing to short gold.
Short Gold,gold is expected to test 3300 or even 3280 againAlthough gold is currently above 3310, it does not mean that gold has stopped falling and stabilized. As long as gold remains below 3330-3340, gold is still in a weak state, so I think the decline of gold may not be over yet. Judging from the current trend, I think gold will have to retest 3300 at least again, or even around 3280 before it will have a chance to stop falling and rebound.
So for the grasp of short-term trading opportunities, I think you can consider shorting gold with 3330-3340 as resistance.
The rebound is not strong, and gold still has room to fallThere is no good entry point to participate in the transaction at present, but the highlight of today is the NFP market, so there is no need to rush to enter the market when there is no trading opportunity.
Although gold rebounded slightly after touching 3340 overnight, to be honest, the rebound strength is far less than expected, and as long as gold remains below 3365-3375, gold will remain weak in the short term, so I think gold still has room to fall. First, pay attention to the support near 3330, followed by the support near 3310. However, in trading, we must pay attention to guard against the trend of falling after rising in the NFP market.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider continuing to short gold in the 3375-3385 area, TP: 3360-3350;
2. Consider trying to go long gold in small batches in the 3325-3315 area, TP: 3340-3350
Buy gold, there is still potential to hit 3400Gold gradually fell after touching 3403, and the current lowest has fallen to 3364. Has the gold bull market ended? In fact, I think the gold retracement is a good time to buy, and I am not afraid of gold retracement.
From the overall perspective of the day, gold did not fall below the 3360 mark during today's retracement. This area has become the intraday strength and weakness dividing line. As long as gold can stay above 3360, I think gold still has the potential to continue to rebound. Moreover, the tariff issue and geopolitical conflicts have not been effectively resolved, which is still favorable for gold in terms of fundamentals. Moreover, gold has broken through 3400 twice. I think the bull market will not end easily, and there is still the potential to test 3400 again, and it may even rise to the 3410-3420 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3365-3355 area, TP: 3390-3400
Gold is expected to continue to 3410-3420At present, gold has risen to around 3395 in the short term, breaking through the short-term high of around 3392, and there is no clear peak signal; and after breaking through the previous high of around 3392, there is no need to worry about the suppression of the technical double top structure for the time being. From this point of view, gold still has the potential to continue to rebound in the short term, and is even expected to reach the 3410-3420 area; this morning, gold has not fallen below 3360 during the adjustment process. As gold rises, the lower support area gradually moves up. The current short-term support area is in the 3385-3375 area.
Today's trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold when it first touches the 3410-3420 area, TP: 3395-3385
2. Consider trying to go long gold in small batches when gold falls back to the 3385-3375 area, TP: 3395-3405
I still have a short position.Although gold has risen sharply to above 3380 due to the intensification of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, it has not made a substantial breakthrough, and has not stabilized above 3380. The bulls are not determined, which also shows that the technical suppression in the 3290-3295 area above is still strong. If gold does not break through in one fell swoop, gold is likely to usher in a wave of retracement in the short term.
Due to the fundamental impact of tariff issues and geopolitical conflicts, for short-term trading, we should not have too high expectations for the extent of the retracement for the time being, but it is expected to retrace to the 3365-3355 area. In terms of short-term trading, I still hold a short position executed near 3375, and I hope that gold can fall back and hit TP as expected.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3375-3385 area, TP: 3365-3355
Continue to short goldTechnical aspect:
Although the ADP data release is a big positive for gold, the trend of gold is quite different. It only rebounded to around 3362 and then gradually fell back, which to a certain extent strengthened the effectiveness of the short-term resistance area of 3365-3375. For the time being, technical indicators alone cannot support gold to continue to rebound. After consuming a certain degree of bullish momentum, gold will continue to retreat. And I think 3340 will be broken, and even continue to the 3330-3320 area. So in terms of short-term trading, I still prefer to short gold.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3360-3370 area, TP: 3345-3335.
Continue to short gold after the reboundTechnical analysis:
Gold rebounded after hitting 3333 overnight. So far, it has reached 3361. However, it can be clearly seen from the rebound process that the rebound is not strong, so I think the rebound space may not be too high. In the short term, it faces resistance in the 3365-3375 area. The strong resistance above the 3390-3400 area still exists, so it may be difficult for bulls to make a major breakthrough in the short term; and the support area below in the short term is in the 3340-3330 area, and the important support is in the area around 3320;
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3365-3375 area, TP: 3350-3340
Keep gold shorts open and look forward to profits!After breaking through the resistance areas near 3335 and 3355, gold continued to rise to around 3379; although the rise in gold was relatively large, after gold touched above 3370, the bullish momentum weakened and there were signs of high-level stagflation, so gold is still expected to usher in a wave of retracement in the short term.
After the sharp rise in gold, the current relatively obvious support area is located in the 3345-3335 area. If gold cannot effectively break through 3380, then gold is expected to retrace to test the support of the 3345-3335 area again.
As the trading strategy shared in my previous opinion, I have shorted gold in batches in the 3370-3380 area as planned. At present, we still hold short positions. Let us look forward to the expected retracement of gold!
CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:DXY
Trading opportunities after gold accelerates its rallyTechnical analysis:
Gold has risen sharply and has broken through the resistance areas near 3330 and 3355. In the short term, gold has formed an upward force and has a clear willingness to rise. At present, gold bulls still have the potential to continue to test the 3370-3380 area. As gold rises and breaks through, the 3340-3330 area below has become a strong support in the short term; if gold cannot fall below this support area during the retracement, gold may even continue to rise and try to hit the 3405-3415 area.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider going long on gold after gold retreats to the 3340-3330 support area, TP: 3360-3370;
2. Consider going short on gold in small quantities after gold first touches the 3370-3380 area, TP: 3355-3345.
Continue to try to short goldTechnical aspects:
Gold has risen sharply in the short term and has broken through the short-term resistance area of 3250-3260. The structure of the pattern has been biased towards the bullish pattern, and the successful construction of the triple bottom pattern has strengthened the effectiveness of the structural support below. With the rise of the structural low point, the short-term support area below will first focus on the 3260-3250 area, followed by the 3230-3220 area; in addition, after a sharp rise in the short term, gold is facing the 3290-3300 short-term resistance area and the 3215-3225 short-term resistance area above. So I think that in order to grab liquidity, gold may have a need to retreat to the 3260-3250 area in the short term, so we might as well try to short gold in small quantities.
Trading strategy:
Consider continuing to try to short gold in small quantities at 3280-3290, TP: 3260-3250
Buy gold, it is expected to hit 3280-3290Fundamentals:
1. Focus on the speeches of Fed officials;
2. Pay attention to Trump's calls with Putin, Zelensky and others;
Technical aspects:
Gold continued its rebound momentum today, but failed to break through the short-term resistance area of 3250-3260 many times. However, after multiple tests, it will become easier to break through this area.
According to the current structure, gold rebounded from around 3120, and then built a secondary low point structure around 3154. Today, during the Asian session, it built a structural retracement area around 3206 again. As the low point is continuously raised, an obvious bullish structure is formed in the short term. For short-term trading, we can start to try to go long on gold based on the structural form; if gold successfully breaks through the 3250-3260 area, gold will continue to the 3280-3290 area, or even the area around 3320.
Trading strategy:
Consider going long on gold after gold retreats to the 3225-3215 area, TP: 3250-3260
Rebounds are opportunities to short goldAt present, gold has tried to fall below the 3200 mark and completely broke the recent low support, laying the foundation for the downward structure. As the center of gravity of gold shifts downward, the upper resistance also moves down to the 3210-3220 area. The relatively clear support below in the short term is in the 3165-3160 area, and after breaking this area, it may even continue to the 3105-3100 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider continuing to short gold in the 3210-3220 area, TP: 3180-3170
CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:DXY
Start going long on goldAt present, the trend of gold is relatively calm, but as gold rebounds, a certain support strength has been shown below; and the short-term negative news has all appeared, and gold needs to rebound at the technical level. Therefore, I think we can try to go long on gold in small batches in the current area of 3230-3220, and expect gold to continue to rebound to the 3250-3260 area, or even the 3280-3290 area.
Trading strategy:
Try to start going long on gold in small batches in the 3230-3220 area; TP: 3250-3255
Buy gold, it will continue to 3350!Fundamentals:
Focus on Trump and the Fed;
Technical aspects:
Currently, gold is moving in a fluctuating upward manner, and in the short term, the effective double bottom structure constructed in the area around 3200 and 3220 supports the continued upward movement of gold. In the short term, gold is not very willing to fall, and it has not even been able to fall back below 3300 again. If gold breaks through the 3330-3335 area during the rebound, then gold will inevitably continue to rise to the area around 3350, or even the area around 3380.
Trading strategy:
If gold retreats next, we will mainly focus on the opportunity to go long on gold in the 3315-3305 area; TP: 3350
Be bold and short goldFundamentals:
1. Still need to pay attention to Trump's attitude towards tariffs;
2. Pay attention to whether the situation between India and Pakistan escalates;
3. At the same time, pay attention to the dynamics of the Federal Reserve, US-Iran negotiations, etc.
Trading situation:
Our last short position near 3297 happened to hit TP: 3287 during the decline of gold, and easily made a profit of 100pips in short-term trading;
After gold fell below 3287, it rose sharply in the short term to around 3335. Although gold rose sharply in the short term, it still did not break away from the wide range of fluctuations. There are still many resistances above. First, it faces the short-term resistance area of 3340-3345, and secondly, it faces the resistance area of 3355-3365. Therefore, it is difficult for bulls to perform well before conquering this resistance area. There is still a possibility of testing the 3305-3295 zone again;
Trading strategy:
Short-term trading can still short gold in batches again in the 3325-3335 zone; TP: 3310-3300
Master swing trading! Both long and short sides can profit!The current fundamental environment: tariff issues and geopolitical conflicts are on opposite sides, so there are both bearish and bullish factors for the gold market, which have triggered fierce competition between long and short forces to a certain extent, exacerbating market volatility!
At present, overall, the short forces have the upper hand, but the longs still have a certain ability to fight back! If the short energy is fully released during the process of gold falling to around 2970, then gold may still usher in a wave of rebound opportunities in the short term. First of all, the areas worthy of our participation in trading are mainly concentrated in the following:
1. The short-term support area below: 3010-3000; secondly, the important defensive area for bulls is: 2975-2965.
2. The short-term resistance area above: 3040-3050; secondly, the important defensive area for bears is: 3070-3080.
This is the key area that we must pay attention to in the short-term, and it is also an important reference for our next short-term trading!
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XAUUSD: Buy or Sell?Today's gold market can be said to have the largest intraday volatility since 2025! After experiencing violent fluctuations, the current trend of gold has once again become anxious.
However, from the perspective of range conversion, it is certain that gold is currently operating in a weak position, and after the brutal and violent fluctuations, the market also needs to recuperate. And there will be NFP tomorrow. It is expected that before NFP, it will be difficult for gold to form a new unilateral market again. So in the process of shock, I think both long and short sides have a certain profit space.
First of all, pay attention to the resistance of 3125-3135 area on the top. If gold touches this area during the shock process, we can still short gold;
And the first focus on the 3095-3085 area on the bottom is that if gold touches this area during the shock process, we can still consider going long on gold.
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Gold Faces Repeated Rejections, Bearish Outlook RemainsAlthough gold has yet to confirm a significant downtrend, it has faced multiple rejections around the 3030-3040 resistance zone in recent sessions. Notably, after touching 3036 yesterday, gold experienced a sharp pullback, forming a long upper shadow on the candlestick chart. This price action has diminished the supportive effect of the underlying W-bottom structure.
If gold continues to struggle to break above the 3030-3040 zone, the current seemingly strong price action may prove to be a false signal, merely a setup for a subsequent decline. Additionally, with geopolitical risks easing and no significant fundamental drivers supporting further upside, I remain optimistic about a bearish continuation in gold.
We can consider scaling into short positions within the 3028-3038 range, patiently targeting a retest of the 3010-3000 zone. A confirmed break below 3000 could accelerate further downside toward the 2995-2985 region.
I would make more detailed trading plans and trading signals every day according to the real-time market situation, which is also the testimony of every successful transaction and profit of mine; the article has a certain lag, if you want to copy the trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article
Bearish Bias Under Head and Shoulders Formation📍Gold is currently leaning towards a bearish trend under the pressure of a well-defined head and shoulders pattern. Therefore, our primary trading approach remains focused on short positions.
📍In the short term, the key resistance to watch is in the 3030-3040 zone. However, it's worth noting that on Friday, gold quickly recovered most of its losses after testing the 3000 level, indicating the presence of strong buying interest and solid support below.
📍From a trading perspective, there is still an opportunity to capture profits from potential technical rebounds. The main support levels to monitor are:
📌3010-3000 as the initial support zone
📌2995 as the secondary support level
🔎Trade Idea:
1. Xauusd: Sell at 3035-3045
TP:3020-3010
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
📎But if gold shows signs of holding support, a short-term rebound could provide opportunities for counter-trend trades.
2. Xauusd: Buy at 3015-3005
TP:3025-3035
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
📩Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last week’s KOG Report we said it would be a difficult one to decipher so we suggested traders wait for the break, trade into the levels given and then look for the RIPs. This worked particularly well for us giving us the move into the lower level as analysed on the break, using the red boxes for direction and then giving us the tap and bounce that we wanted to take the long trades back up into the new all time highs we witnessed towards the end of the week.
We managed to compete all of our bias level targets, getting a pin-point move from KOG’s bias and on top of that completing Excalibur targets and the red box targets. Not a bad week at all on Gold.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
For this week we’ll be looking for a retracement on the move, however, we are not discounting a curveball move from immediate support to clear liquidity from above. We have the resistance level above 2990 and lower support 2980 which could be the play for the opening. If we break above 2995, we’ll be looking for price to attempt that 3010 and above that 3020 region before attempting to short it again.
On the flip, if we do reject that higher level and can break below 2980, we’ll stick with the plan from last week where we’re looking to continue the retracement back down first into the 2965 level and below that 2950-55. If you look on the chart, we have highlighted a lower level which is sitting around 2935-20, an aggressive move downside can take us there on the manipulation move, so please trade with caution this week and keep an eye on the levels.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2995 with targets below 2970, 2965, 2955 and below that 2950
Bullish on break of 2995 with targets above 3003, 3006, 3010, 3016 and above that 3020
RED BOXES:
Break above 2995 for 2997, 3003, 3009, 3016 and 3021 in extension of the move
Break below 2980 for 2975, 2971, 2965, 2959, 2955 and 2945 in extension of the move
Short and simple this week, let’s see how the week plays out and remember, your risk model is there to protect you, use it, keep your losers small and your winners big!
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold is about to plunge, stick to short positions!Bros, Good morning,I made it very clear yesterday that 2935-2945 is definitely a good opportunity to sell gold. I still stick to my point of view and insist on holding my short position.
To be honest, the continuity of the market news stimulating the rise of gold is not strong. After the rise of gold hits 2946, it faces the suppression of the previous high near 2955. With the current momentum of gold, it is impossible to break through the high suppression area in one go. Even if it is to accumulate more momentum for a breakthrough, gold will have a deep need to step back to the 2920-2910 zone. So I remain positive on short positions in the short term.
In addition, it is particularly important to note that gold is facing high pressure, and there may be many temptations to do long signals. Now you must keep a clear mind and not be confused by the temptation signals. When you chase long gold at a high position, once gold retreats, you may be deeply trapped and it will be difficult to get out!
Do you think gold will fall back to the 2920-2910 zone as expected? Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals