XAUUSD: Will It Break Through $3000 Next Week?XAUUSD's performance in the recent period has attracted much attention from investors. Whether it can break through the $3000 mark next week has become a hot topic of discussion.
I. Data Analysis
The weekly US employment data released at 21:00 on February 20th had a crucial impact on the gold price trend. Employment data is an important barometer of the US economic situation. When the data is poor, the market often becomes worried about the US economic outlook, which in turn prompts investors to seek safe - haven assets. As a traditional safe - haven tool, the demand for gold will increase. Conversely, if the data performs well, the market's confidence in the economy strengthens, and the safe - haven appeal of gold weakens. After the release of this employment data, the gold price dropped rapidly, fully demonstrating the market's high sensitivity to this data. Next week, investors need to closely monitor the release of new economic data, especially the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trends and other important economic indicators. These factors can all have a significant impact on the trend of XAUUSD.
II. Support and Resistance Analysis
From a technical analysis perspective, the important support level for XAUUSD currently is around $2900. This support level is formed jointly by the previous low price and the moving - average system, and it has strong supporting strength. Once the price pulls back to this area, it is likely to be supported and rebound. The key resistance level above is around $2960. The gold price has failed to break through this level after several attempts previously. If XAUUSD can break through this resistance level next week, it will open up new upside potential and create favorable conditions for challenging the $3000 mark. However, if it encounters resistance and falls back near the resistance level, the price may continue to fluctuate within the current range.
III. Trading Strategy
Based on the current market situation, it is expected that gold will decline in a volatile manner in the short term. For traders, waiting for the price to rise and then short - selling may be a more profitable strategy.
Today's trading strategy: xauusd sell@2950 - 2960
TP: 2930 - 2920 - 2900
We release professional and accurate market analysis every day, aiming to help every trader make profits in their investments. The trend of XAUUSD next week is full of uncertainties. Investors need to closely monitor market dynamics and make investment decisions carefully, taking into account their own risk - tolerance.
Xauusdtrading
GOLD (XAUUSD): Breakout Soon?!
I see clear signs of a bullish accumulation on a daily.
The recent formation of a higher low and 3 consequent equal highs
indicates a highly probable coming bullish movement.
As always, your perfect confirmation is a breakout.
The violation of the underlined blue resistance will give you a
strong bullish signal.
Growth will be expected then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 2950.00
Sell Entry below 2870.00
However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
-Thief SL placed at 2900.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
-Thief SL placed at 2920.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 3070.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2770.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook:
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullishness)., driven by several key factors.
🚩Fundamental Analysis
Gold Demand: Gold demand is expected to increase, driven by growing central bank purchases and investor demand for safe-haven assets.
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold as a hedge against inflation.
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold.
Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for gold, driven by increasing investor confidence.
🚩Macro Economics
Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for gold, driven by increasing investor confidence.
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold as a hedge against inflation.
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold.
Commodity Prices: Commodity prices are expected to rise by 5% in 2025, driven by increasing demand for raw materials.
🚩COT Data
Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional):
Net Long Positions: 70%
Open Interest: 250,000 contracts
Commercial Traders (Companies):
Net Short Positions: 20%
Open Interest: 120,000 contracts
Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders):
Net Long Positions: 10%
Open Interest: 25,000 contracts
COT Ratio: 3.0 (indicating a strong bullish trend)
🚩Sentimental Outlook
Institutional Sentiment: 75% bullish, 25% bearish.
Retail Sentiment: 70% bullish, 30% bearish.
Market Mood: The overall market mood is bullish, with a sentiment score of +65.
🚩Next Move Prediction
Bullish Move: Potential upside to 3070.00-3200.00.
Target: 3200.00 (primary target), 3300.00 (secondary target)
Next Swing Target: 3400.00 (potential swing high)
Stop Loss: 2700.00 (below the 30-day low)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (potential profit of 300.00 vs potential loss of 150.00)
🚩Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for XAU/USD is bullish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected increase in gold demand, growing central bank purchases, and bullish market sentiment are all supporting the bullish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential downside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected regulatory developments.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry at market price
Sell Entry at 3020.00
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at 2835.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
Thief SL placed at 3060.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers TP 3020.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2780.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔰 Fundamental Analysis
1. Supply and Demand: Gold's demand is increasing due to its use as a safe-haven asset and central banks' purchases.
2. Global Economic Trends: A potential global economic slowdown could increase demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
3. Mining Production: Gold mining production is expected to decrease in the next few years, which could put upward pressure on prices.
🔰 Technical Analysis
1. Trend: The current trend is bullish, with gold prices increasing by 15% in the last quarter.
2. Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend.
🔰 Market Sentiment
1. Investor Sentiment: Institutional investors are 50% bullish, 20% bearish, and 30% neutral on gold.
2. Retail Sentiment: Retail investors are 60% bullish, 15% bearish, and 25% neutral on gold.
3. Market Mood: The overall market mood is cautious, with investors waiting for further economic data before making investment decisions.
🔰 COT Report
1. Non-Commercial Traders: 40% long, 60% short
2. Commercial Traders: 50% long, 50% short
3. Non-Reportable Traders: 30% long, 70% short
🔰 Positioning
1. Institutional Traders: 50% bullish, 20% bearish, 30% neutral
2. Banks: 45% bullish, 25% bearish, 30% neutral
3. Hedge Funds: 55% bullish, 20% bearish, 25% neutral
4. Corporate Traders: 40% bullish, 30% bearish, 30% neutral
5. Retail Traders: 60% bullish, 15% bearish, 25% neutral
🔰 Overall Outlook
1. Bullish: Gold prices are expected to increase due to increasing demand and a potential global economic slowdown.
2. Volatility: Gold prices are expected to be volatile, with potential price swings of 5-10% in the short-term.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan For Next Week Explained
Gold did not manage to update the All-Time High on Friday,
retracing from a key daily resistance.
The market is now trading within a horizontal range on a daily.
Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries,
I see 2 potential scenarios:
Bullish Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above 2943,
a bullish continuation will be expected to the new highs.
Bearish Scenario
If the price breaks a demand zone based on a rising trend line
and a support of the range and closes below that,
a correctional movement will follow.
Alternatively, with the absence of fundamentals,
the market may stay within the range for a while, so be patient.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAU/USD 14 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Shorting gold has started to pay off wellDear Traders,
As I shared in my previous article, gold failed to break higher after reaching around 2933. The selling pressure above, coupled with profit-taking, continues to exert downward pressure on gold. Currently, gold shows clear signs of a bearish reversal, with the price action gradually shifting downward. Based on the current structure, I believe gold will likely need to retrace to the 2915-2905 region.
Our current short position on gold is in profit, and we can continue holding it while patiently waiting for further profit expansion!Bros, have you followed me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD "The GOLD" Metals Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The GOLD" Metals Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 2820
Sell Entry below 2760
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 1H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Target 🎯: -Bullish Robbers TP 2880(or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 2700 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
The XAU/USD "The GOLD" Metals Market market is currently experiencing a neutral trend, with a slight bias towards bullishness., driven by several key factors.
🟤Fundamental Factors
- US Federal Reserve Meeting: The US Federal Reserve will meet on Wednesday, and investors will be watching for any changes in monetary policy.
- US GDP Data: The US GDP data for the fourth quarter will be released on Thursday, and a weaker-than-expected reading could boost gold prices.
- US Inflation Data: The US inflation data for January will be released on Wednesday, and a higher-than-expected reading could lead to a price correction.
🟠Macro Economic Factors
- Global Economic Trends: The global economy is experiencing a slowdown, driven by trade tensions, geopolitical uncertainty, and lower consumer spending.
- Inflation Rates: The impact of inflation rates on the XAU/USD pair is currently neutral, with no significant changes in the inflation outlook.
- Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will impact the XAU/USD pair, with a rate cut potentially boosting gold prices.
🟡COT Report
- Speculative Positions: Speculative traders are net long on the XAU/USD pair, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Commercial Traders: Commercial traders are net short on the pair, indicating a bearish sentiment.
- Non-Commercial Traders: Non-commercial traders are net long on the pair, indicating a bullish sentiment.
🟢Sentimental Outlook
- Client Sentiment: 55% of client accounts are long on this market, indicating a bullish sentiment.
- Market Positioning: The XAU/USD pair is currently overbought, with a possibility of a price correction.
Bullish Sentiment: 60%
Bearish Sentiment: 40%
Neutral Sentiment: 0%
🟣Prediction for this Week
- Bullish Scenario: A weaker-than-expected US GDP reading and a dovish Federal Reserve could boost gold prices to $1,980.
- Bearish Scenario: A stronger-than-expected US GDP reading and a hawkish Federal Reserve could lead to a price correction to $1,910.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bull trade can be initiated at any price level.
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 30min period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 2810.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook:
The Gold (XAU/USD) market is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors.
🔱Fundamental Analysis:
Supply and Demand: The World Gold Council (WGC) reports a decline in gold demand, while supply remains steady.
Central Bank Buying: Central banks continue to buy gold, with the WGC reporting a 10% increase in net purchases in 2024.
🔱Macroeconomic Analysis:
Inflation: Rising inflation concerns support gold prices, as investors seek safe-haven assets.
Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve's dovish stance on interest rates supports gold prices.
Global Economic Growth: Slowing global economic growth increases demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
🔱Sentimental Analysis:
Trader Sentiment: The CoT report shows that speculative traders are net long gold, indicating a bullish sentiment.
Market Sentiment: The market sentiment is bullish, with many analysts expecting gold prices to rise due to inflation concerns and central bank buying.
🔱Institutional Analysis:
Investment Flows: Institutional investors continue to allocate funds to gold, with ETF holdings increasing.
Hedge Funds: Hedge funds are net long gold, indicating a bullish stance.
🔱Retail Analysis:
Retail Investor Sentiment: Retail investors are bullish on gold, with online searches and investment platforms showing increased interest.
🔱Outlook:
Based on the comprehensive analysis, XAU/USD is expected to move into a Bullish direction.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Start shorting gold before the marketGood morning, dear traders! A new trading week has begun!
Last week, I consistently emphasized in my trading strategy that gold still had the potential to rally towards 2900. Since the market opened today, gold has accelerated its upward move, approaching 2900, which suggests a short squeeze from a technical perspective. Additionally, in my trading outlook shared on Friday, I specifically pointed out that as gold approaches or tests the 2900 level, we must remain cautious of a potential pullback. If gold fails to decisively break through the 2895-2905 resistance zone, a short-term retracement to the 2880 zone, or even the 2860 level is possible.
In the short term, I will continue to look for short opportunities within the 2895-2905 range, anticipating that gold will pull back as expected, setting us up for a strong start to the trading week!
Bros, do you have the courage to try shorting gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GOLD (XAUUSD): The Next Resistance is Here:
Many Gold traders are now speculating where is the next strong
resistance on XAUUSD chart.
I see a very peculiar zone ahead that is based on a significant
rising trend line that the market has been respecting since 2023
and 2900 psychological level.
Probabilities will be high to see at least a pullback from that zone.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAU/USD 05 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 04 February 2025 that price could continue bullish to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action. This is how price printed.
CHoCH positioning has now changed, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned yesterday, whereby it was stated that I will continue to monitor price. You will note I have marked the bullish iBOS in red. This is due to the fact price did not pull back enough to substantiate a further bullish iBOS as this would have significantly narrowed the internal range relative to rent price action.
Price continues to make higher highs with current ChOCH positioning denoted with a blue dotted line
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH.
Alternative scenario:
As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 04 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Previous analysis was met with price targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,817.215.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
CHoCH positioning and internal low are the same level.
Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Should price trade down to discount of 50% EQ, I would be happy to mark internal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish to either discount of 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,830.755.
Price could also continue bullish to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price targeting weak internal high priced at 2,817.215
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH to indicate, buit not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is expected to continue bearish to either discount of 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,830.755
Alternative scenario:
As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold for next week.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Rising Trend Line
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising Trend Line
Horizontal Structures
Resistance 1: 2816 - 2820 area
Support 1: 2786 - 2790 area
Support 2: 2718 - 2732 area
Support 3: 2689 - 2698 area
Support 4: 2655 - 2663 area
Support 5: 2614 - 2635 area
Support 6: 2596 - 2605 area
Support 7: 2583 - 2585 area
Consider these structures for pulback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GOLD (XAUUSD): Get Ready For Breakout
It feels like Gold is going to update the All-Time High soon.
I see clear signs of a bullish accumulation on a horizontal
resistance based on a current highest high.
A breakout of the underlined orange area and a candle close above
will indicate the continuation o a global bullish trend.
The market will most likely continue rising at least to 2820.
Alternatively, if you are looking for a bearish confirmation,
a breakout of the support of the channel will give you a strong bearish signal.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAUUSD: Channel Up intact and is targeting 3,000.Gold is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.990, MACD = 28.040, ADX = 55.806) despite consolidating for the past 7 days. The reason is that the long term Channel Up is intact and in fact has started its new bullish wave by crossing over the HH trendline. This has already happened twice inside the pattern and in those instances, as long as the 1D MA50 remained intact, the rise reached the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. Our target this time is a little lower (TP = 3,000).
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XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bear trade can be initiated at any price level.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2h period, the recent / nearest high level
Goal 🎯: 2660.00(OR) Before escape in the market
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The current market sentiment has shifted to bearish, driven by a combination of factors. We update our analysis to reflect the changed market conditions.
🟫Fundamental Analysis:
1. Stronger US Dollar: The US Dollar Index (DXY) has strengthened, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.
2. Rising Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve's hawkish tone and rising interest rates have increased the opportunity cost of holding gold.
3. Improved Economic Data: Stronger-than-expected economic data from the US has reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
🟪Macro Analysis:
1. Risk-On Sentiment: The improved economic outlook and reduced geopolitical tensions have led to a risk-on sentiment, reducing demand for gold.
2. Decreasing Inflation Expectations: Falling inflation expectations have reduced the appeal of gold as a hedge against inflation.
🟩Sentiment Analysis
1. Bullish Sentiment: 28% of traders and investors expect XAU/USD to rise.
2. Bearish Sentiment: 58% of traders and investors expect XAU/USD to fall.
3. Neutral Sentiment: 14% of traders and investors expect XAU/USD to trade sideways.
🟨Market Positioning
1. Long Positions: 32% of traders and investors are holding long positions in XAU/USD.
2. Short Positions: 55% of traders and investors are holding short positions in XAU/USD.
3. Neutral Positions: 13% of traders and investors are holding neutral positions in XAU/USD.
🟦Open Interest
1. Increasing: 22% of traders and investors expect open interest to increase.
2. Decreasing: 60% of traders and investors expect open interest to decrease.
3. Stable: 18% of traders and investors expect open interest to remain stable.
🟥Commitment of Traders (COT) Report
1. Hedge Funds Long: 25% of hedge funds are holding long positions in XAU/USD.
2. Hedge Funds Short: 62% of hedge funds are holding short positions in XAU/USD.
3. Hedge Funds Neutral: 13% of hedge funds are holding neutral positions in XAU/USD.
Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Short gold again after rebounding to 2750-2760 zoneGold has currently retraced to the 2741 level, triggering significant profit realization for our positions. Since gold rallied above 2770 last week, I have consistently maintained a bearish stance, anticipating profit-taking and sell-offs driven by market sentiment. Our short positions have once again delivered substantial returns.
This morning, we initiated long positions near the 2756 level and closed them at 2770, securing an easy profit of 140 pips. As gold approached 2770, I explicitly shared in my previous analysis that if gold failed to decisively break through the 2770-2775 range, I would switch to shorting. Thus, after closing the long positions, I reversed my position and shorted gold near 2770. Gold has since declined as expected to around 2741. Although we closed our short positions near 2753, capturing a profit of 170 pips, I am still satisfied with this result. It's been a strong start to the week's trading!
Currently, gold has bottomed out around 2740. I do not recommend chasing shorts at this level, as the 2740-2730 zone provides notable technical support, which could potentially drive a rebound to the 2750-2760 range. For those looking to short gold further, it’s advisable to wait for a rebound to the 2750-2760 region before executing short trades. Alternatively, a moderate long position could be considered, with a short-term target set between 2750 and 2760.
Bros, have you followed me to do short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 So Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout.
Buy entry above 2725.00
Sell Entry below 2690.00
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 2790.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Bearish Robbers TP 2660.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The XAU/USD (Gold) market is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors.
BULLISH FACTORS:
Global Economic Uncertainty: The ongoing global economic uncertainty, including the COVID-19 pandemic and trade tensions, is expected to increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Central Bank Policies: The central banks' dovish monetary policies, including interest rate cuts and quantitative easing, are expected to support gold prices by increasing liquidity and reducing the costs.
Inflation Expectations: The rising inflation expectations, driven by the increasing money supply and the potential for higher commodity prices, are expected to support gold prices as a hedge against inflation.
Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the US-China trade war and the Middle East conflicts, are expected to increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
US Federal Reserve Meeting: The upcoming US Federal Reserve meeting is expected to result in a decision to keep interest rates low, which could support gold prices.
US GDP Growth: The upcoming US GDP growth report is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
China's Economic Data: The upcoming China's economic data, including GDP growth and industrial production, is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Commodity Prices: The upcoming commodity prices report is expected to show an increase in commodity prices, which could support gold prices as a hedge against inflation.
MARKET SENTIMENT:
Bullish Sentiment: 60%
Bearish Sentiment: 30%
Neutral Sentiment: 10%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
XAU/USD 24 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action.
Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.
Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis by trading down to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS and subsequently as bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pulback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,778.455.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Scenario on XAUUSD 23.1.2025 [update]This analysis will only be about adjusting the level from the previous analysis, because my longivy setup turned out better than I expected, but now the question is what will happen next, I personally would like the scenario as I displayed it with sfp above high and then a proper correction to lower levels is important sr the level is at the price of 2730, if the market holds it then there could be a movement of gold to a new ath, but if this level were to break, my scenario would be fulfilled
Learn High Impact Fundamental News in GOLD XAUUSD Trading
Before you open any trade on Gold, always check the economic calendar first.
In this article, you will learn the best free economic calendar and high impact fundamental news that can influence Gold prices.
I will teach the important actions to take and a trading strategy to follow both before and after news releases to improve your Gold trading strategy.
Free Economic Calendar
The economic calendar that I use for Gold trading is on Tradingview.
The news that influence Gold prices are high impact US news.
To display only such news, you should set the filters .
You should click "Only High Importance" and in the list of countries choose only the United States.
All 3 star US news may influence Gold prices dramatically.
Real Impact
In Gold trading, the release of high impact fundamental news is one of the major causes of trading positions being closed in a loss . Because such news may make the market completely irrational, increasing the volatility.
Look how strongly Gold prices dropped, immediately after US personal spending news were posted.
Remember, though, that there is no guarantee that Gold will react to this news. Quite often, the market will not be affected at all.
The release of US GDP did not influence Gold at all and the market continued consolidating.
Beware of False Signals
In order to protect your trading account from unexpected losses,
I recommend not opening any trading position 3 hours ahead of the news.
Usually, during that period, the markets start slowing down , preparing for the news.
Most of the breakouts, signals that you will see in such a period will be false .
3 hours before the US Durable Orders fundamental news, Gold broke and closed below a key daily horizontal support. From a technical analysis standpoint, it was a strong bearish signal.
However, that signal was false, and the price went up rapidly after the news.
Safest Strategy
If you have an active trade, 10 minutes ahead of the release of the fundamentals, protect your position.
Simply take a stop loss and move it to entry level.
If the price rapidly reverses after a news release, you will close the position with a 0 loss.
Here is a long trade on Gold that we took with my trading academy members.
10 minutes ahead of US unemployment data, we moved stop loss to entry level.
Fundamental news made the market bearish, and the price went down.
Our decision to protect a trading position helped us to avoid losses.
Alternatively, you can close your active trade 10 minutes ahead of the news.
Be Patient
After the release of the news, I suggest waiting for the close of an hourly candle before you take any trade.
With the first hourly candle close after the news, you will see how the market participants price in its impact, letting you make a better decision.
That is how Gold reacted to US Inflation data. Any trade should be opened at least after the hourly candle close to let the market price in its real effect.
These 3 simple rules will help you to cut losses cause by the fundamental news.
Integrate them in your trading strategy to increase your profits.
Never forget to monitor the economic calendar and good luck in your trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAU/USD 22 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action.
Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.
Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Yesterday's bias and analysis was met with price targeting weak internal high and printing a further bullish iBOS
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,758.670.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart: