World gold fees elevated because the Middle East war escalatedGold is visible as a hedge in opposition to financial and geopolitical instability, even as better hobby prices lessen the enchantment of protecting non-yielding gold.
Most policymakers on the maximum current assembly of the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) have been involved approximately the dangers of decreasing hobby prices too soon, with uncertainty approximately whether or not hobby prices will continue to be at their level. present day degrees for the way long, in step with mins from the Fed`s January assembly.
“The Fed isn't always going to decrease or improve hobby prices, so I suppose gold nevertheless has upside potential,” stated Daniel Pavilonis, senior marketplace strategist at RJO Futures.
The Fed will probable decrease hobby prices in June, in step with a majority of economists in a Reuters poll.
The dollar's index weakened, making gold greater appealing to overseas buyers.
Xauusdtrend
Gold prices increased as the USD fell slightly awaiting the Fed In addition to Wednesday's Fed minutes, the focus was also on speeches from a series of Fed officials this week, including Raphael Bostic and Michelle Bowman, both members of the Fed's interest rate-setting committee. bank.
Higher US interest rates are bad for gold because they increase the opportunity cost of investing in the yellow metal. But with U.S. interest rates still expected to fall in 2024, prices for gold and other metals are likely to surge, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) analysts said in a note this week.
Other precious metal prices also rose on Wednesday. Platinum futures rose 0.3% to $913.10 an ounce, while silver futures rose 0.2% to $23.192 an ounce. Both metals are also facing losses through 2024
Causes of Gold's rise and its down cycleWorld gold prices increased in the context of a British cargo ship being attacked in Yemeni waters. Since then, financial investors are concerned about escalating geopolitical tensions, which has prompted them to put capital into gold to preserve capital.
On the other hand, the market expects gold trading to be vibrant when the top consumer country, China, resumes commercial activities after the Lunar New Year holiday.
Meanwhile, the USD is affected by growing speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates high for longer. Therefore, gold's upside potential could be created from a decline in USD prices, if Fed officials are soft in cutting interest rates.
Gold trend today, main selling trendWorld gold prices stabilized, with spot gold down 1 USD to 2,023 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,035 USD/ounce, down 0.9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Despite being pressured by the minutes of the first policy meeting of the US Federal Reserve (Fed), gold continues to consolidate above 2,000 USD/ounce. In the newly released minutes, the Fed signaled that its monetary policy had peaked, but was not in a hurry to reduce interest rates.
Fed officials noted that inflationary pressures eased and economic activity remained strong. According to the minutes, the committee wants more evidence to show that inflation continues to fall to the target level of 2% before making a decision to loosen monetary policy.
Kitco.com senior market analyst Jim Wyckoff said the minutes did not provide any additional information on monetary policy following hotter-than-expected inflation data released last week.
He said that, although a bit hawkish, the minutes contained no surprises. Recent hotter inflation reports have made the market more certain that the Fed will delay lowering interest rates until the second half of the year.
Independent metals analyst Tai Wong in New York predicts that gold will likely continue to move sideways in the short term and the information the market is waiting for will be the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) report released. announcement next week, followed by payrolls and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's testimony in Congress in early March.
Although the gold market is struggling as expectations for interest rate cuts continue to be pushed back, according to WisdomTree market strategist Nitesh Shah, the longer the central bank delays, the risk of mistakes happening. The bigger the policy, the more this will ultimately benefit precious metals. This expert predicts that gold prices will reach 2,210 USD/ounce in the fourth quarter of this year, a new all-time high.
World gold price continues to decline sharply, long-term sellingWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 2.1 USD to 2,017.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,029.4 USD/ounce, up 5.3 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold continues to recover from last week's sell-off after testing support at $2,000 an ounce. Although gold is starting the trading week with modest gains, some analysts say it will remain stuck in a range with support at $2,000 an ounce and resistance around $2,050. ounce.
Last week, both consumer and producer prices rose more than expected, putting pressure on gold. The published report shows that the threat of inflation is still persistent.
Although gold is stuck, some analysts still emphasize the importance of this precious metal. According to market analyst James Hyerczyk of Fxempire.com, precious metals are still an important safe haven asset when developments in the Middle East are increasing geopolitical instability.
He attributed gold's recent recovery to a weakening dollar and fears of rising tensions in the Middle East, which have helped boost gold's status as a haven asset. Safety is preferred.
Some other opinions believe that the possibility that the US Federal Reserve will loosen policy this year is also a supporting factor for gold and this precious metal to break out when the first round of policy easing takes place. .
Gold continues to rise again, entry buy todayWorld gold prices increased slightly with spot gold increasing by 5.5 USD to 2,036.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,055.5 USD/ounce, up 6.5 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World gold rose to a two-week high on Tuesday as it was supported by dollar weakness and lower Treasury yields while focus turned to the Federal Reserve's policy meeting. US State (Fed) to better understand how this agency will cut interest rates this year.
According to RJO Futures senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis, much of gold's volatility is due to falling yields and the dollar being in the red. However, Pavilonis said that expectations about interest rate decisions also caused gold to increase.
The Fed's policy decision will be made on Wednesday. Markets are expecting the US Central Bank to leave interest rates unchanged at the end of the meeting. Pavilonis, the Fed said that, with the desire to have a stable market, the Fed may not conduct many interest rate cuts and Mr. Powell will also maintain a neutral attitude.
Data last week showed U.S. prices grew moderately in December, keeping annual inflation below 3% for the third straight month and potentially allowing the Fed to start cutting interest rates.
According to senior analyst Ricardo Evangelista at ActivTrades, the Fed's monetary policy stance is currently the most important driver of gold prices. He said that even the safe-haven appeal of precious metals cannot counter changing market expectations around central bank monetary policy.
According to this expert, the market's expectation that the Fed will actively cut interest rates could push gold to $2,200/ounce with an average annual price of up to $2,100/ounce.
Gold trading strategy today, Buy trend returnsGold prices steadied early in the US session on more safe-haven demand after a weekend terrorist attack in Jordan left three US soldiers dead.
The recent attack on US forces in Jordan threatens to spread conflict in the Middle East, when US leaders are under pressure from Congress to take action in response.
The world is anxiously waiting for the US military's response. President Biden said the US will respond. Developments in the Middle East cause gold prices to continue to rise.
However, analysts say that the continuous adjustment of market expectations about when to cut interest rates by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could hinder the rise in gold prices.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) measures the greenback's fluctuations with 6 major currencies (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, CHF), at 103.48 points.
In China, a Hong Kong court issued an order to liquidate Evergrande Group after the company failed to reach an agreement with creditors. The liquidation will be closely watched by the market.
Gold continuously adjusts downward, latest trading strategyWorld gold prices this morning inched up slightly with spot gold increasing by 7.9 USD to 2,019.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,021 USD/ounce, up 9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold inched up slightly in Thursday trading thanks to falling Treasury yields after US GDP data showed the US economy grew faster than expected in the fourth quarter thanks to strong consumer spending, with Growth for the whole year reached 2.5%, and inflation is "cooling down".
According to TD Securities commodity strategist Bart Melek, although the economy is much hotter than expected, the report also shows us that inflation is falling, so we should not prepare for a rise in interest rates. spike. This is helping gold, the expert added.
According to CME FedWatch Tool, after the report, the market expects the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates unchanged at its policy meeting on January 30 and 31 and forecasts an 89% chance of cutting interest rates. capacity in May.
In addition, gold also received some support when a recent report showed that US initial jobless claims increased by 25,000 to a seasonally adjusted level of 214,000 in the week ended January 20. . Economists had forecast 200,000 claims in the latest week.
Gold continues to decline, today's strategy is mainly to sellWorld gold prices increased slightly this morning with spot gold increasing by 8.3 USD to 2,028.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,030.6 USD/ounce, up 8.4 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World gold prices were adjusted up slightly as investors waited for a series of US economic data this week to get more signals about when to cut interest rates by the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
According to RJO Futures senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis, the gold market is in a neutral environment as prices continue to remain above $2,000/ounce and are unable to break out of the current range.
This week, the market is awaiting the preliminary US Purchasing Managers' Index report due out on Wednesday, fourth-quarter GDP data expected on Thursday and personal consumption expenditure data on Thursday. Friday for more signals on the interest rate direction of the US Central Bank.
Fed officials said last week that the US Central Bank needs more data before making any comments regarding any interest rate cuts and that the timing of loosening monetary policy may be later. much higher than market expectations.
Gold is under pressure and short selling continuesDear friends, gold has fallen back to the 2020-2015 area as expected. I have advocated short gold in recent trading days, and we have also made relatively good profits in the gold short position. Gold is currently under short-term pressure in the 2030-2032 area of the day's high, so in short-term trading, we can short gold around the 2026-2030 area.
At present, we can see from the rebound process of gold that the rebound of gold is relatively weak, and it will fall back immediately after the rebound, and the pressure from above is relatively strong. As long as gold fails to strongly break through the 2040-2045 area, then gold as a whole will still be in a short position, so we try to focus on shorting gold at high levels in our transactions. When gold breaks through the resistance area, we will adjust our trading strategy according to the market.
I share detailed trading ideas and trading strategies every day. The gears of destiny are turning. I hope that with my help, we can all make continuous profits in the market! And you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals, trading lots, and TP and SL.
Gold will also test 2020-2010 area support againDear friends, after gold rebounded to a maximum near the 2039 position, it then fell back and hit a minimum near the 2022 position. At present, it has rebounded relatively and is trading near the 2029 position.In fact, compared to the current gold market, the market has been keen to kill a group of staunch short supporters and long supporters in the past two days, and the up and down fluctuations have been very thorough. Regarding the current gold market, I mentioned in my article yesterday that gold does not have the conditions to hit the 2050 position again in a short period of time, so gold will definitely fall back after rebounding.So today I shorted gold mainly around the 2025 position and the 2035 position in my trading. There is still a certain amount of profit at present.
Since the current lowest level of gold has touched near the 2022 position, do you think now is an opportunity to go long in gold? I don’t think so. Since gold currently falls below the 2030 position, the short-term will be under pressure in the 2030 position area, and I think there is still room for gold to fall. Gold should at least test the 2020-2015 area again. So now I do not advocate short-term long gold. Relatively speaking, we can still short gold near the 2030 position.
I share detailed trading ideas and trading strategies every day. The gears of destiny are turning. I hope that with my help, we can all make continuous profits in the market! And you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals, trading lots, and TP and SL.
Trading strategy at the beginning of the week, entry sellGold prices reversed and decreased because investors continued to take profits, as the market was preparing to receive new economic information, as well as preparing for the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to enter its first monthly meeting. 2024.
Experts predict that the US economy is about to release its 2023 report, with good growth expected and stable employment. When economic growth is good, stocks increase positively. The USD also increased. Investors in the world market previously gathered gold, but they returned to take profits to buy stocks as soon as possible. Therefore, gold as a capital reserve will decrease in price deeply in the future.
On Tuesday, the dollar strengthened and put pressure on gold as US Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller made "hawkish" comments about cutting interest rates this year. According to Mr. Waller, the US is still far from the 2% inflation target, so the central bank should not rush to cut interest rates until it is clear that lower inflation will be maintained. Previously, many Fed officials, including Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, told Bloomberg TV that it was too early to loosen monetary policy in March. Comments from Fed officials showed that The Fed believes that interest rate cuts will come much later, most likely at the end of the second quarter of this year.
The report released Wednesday showed that retail sales in December increased 0.6% from the previous month. This strengthens the Fed's determination not to cut interest rates prematurely. However, gold reversed course Thursday as market attention turned to concerns about escalating geopolitical tensions. Safe haven demand has reduced pressure on interest rate expectations and helped gold increase slightly.
Clear bullish gold moves for this week incomingI have published my ideas for a bullish uptrend for XAUUSD this week
1. Chart shows a clear uptrend and certain support zones have been respected
2. Overall outlook looks bullish and this trade is in my eyeliner for this week
3. Three clear Tp's to work from and if we break TP3 I see a clear run to the 2080 area again
4. Will keep an eye on international scenarios & news to see if anything plans into our bias
Good luck all and I hope the charts are kind to you this week
Gold suddenly reversed growth again, an opportunity to sell GOLDWorld gold prices reversed and increased sharply with spot gold increasing by 27.1 USD to 2,022.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,025.1 USD/ounce, up 18.6 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Developments in the Middle East boosted safe-haven demand for gold on Thursday (US time), helping gold escape its previous five-week low under pressure from changes in interest expectations. productivity after economic report was stronger than expected.
According to senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis of RJO Futures, amid much uncertainty, gold prices will be kept above $2,000/ounce. On January 17, the US Government returned the Houthis in Yemen to the list of terrorist groups as they continued to conduct attacks on commercial and military vessels.
In addition to the instability factor, speculation surrounding the timing of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is also affecting the direction of gold. Currently, investors are still waiting for further information to learn more about the Fed's future interest rate direction. Currently, most opinions believe that interest rates will be cut if published data shows that inflation "cools down" significantly.
Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said Thursday that he supports cutting interest rates sooner if there is "compelling" evidence that inflation is falling more sharply than expected. In a recent statement, he said that inflation could be "volatile" if policymakers cut interest rates too soon.
Sell strategy, after retesting resistance will increase againGold prices rose at the start of the week, the metal's appeal fueled by safe-haven demand due to tensions in the Middle East, while markets bet the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates soon. than expected.
The war between Israel and Hamas has passed the 100-day mark as Israel continues its fierce offensive, while the Houthi militia's threat to respond to US airstrikes in Yemen raises risks.
Gold tends to perform well during times of economic uncertainty, with its reliability able to help offset the risks of more volatile assets in conditions such as geopolitical instability.
“Spot gold is also rising as the market clings to hopes that the Fed will cut key interest rates as early as March,” said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Exinity Group.
Gold's chances of reaching a new record high will remain open as long as the Fed can act in line with market expectations
Gold will have a decline and then increase againWorld gold prices increased slightly with spot gold increasing by 6.6 USD to 2,055.3 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,059 USD/ounce, up 7.4 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world's yellow metal posted modest gains in the first trading session of the week as it continued to be boosted by safe-haven demand due to concerns about tensions in the Middle East and renewed expectations for the Federal Reserve to The US (Fed) will cut interest rates sooner than expected.
The report released late last week showed that US producer prices fell unexpectedly in December. The data has traders betting that the Fed will cut 166 basis points this year instead previously priced 150 basis points.
Although gold prices are rising, some analysts say the precious metal needs a new catalyst or at least clearer clues about the Fed's monetary policy direction to break out of its current range. in.
According to Trade Nation senior market analyst David Morrison, although gold continues to hold its position, more effort is needed to attract new investors to the market.
Gold will also fall back to the 2040-2030 areaDear friends, today is Sunday, and tomorrow will usher in a new trading day. On Friday, gold took advantage of the influence of the geopolitical conflict situation and PPI data to rise to a maximum of around 2062, and even increased by a full $30 to around the market opening position of 2030. To be honest, this wave of gains was unexpected to me, and I did not expect such a big increase.
Although gold has risen, it does not mean that we can chase long gold. We can see from the 4-hour chart that after gold surged higher, it closed a long upper shadow line.This proves that this rise is to wipe out a batch of short positions first, and the short-term top faces resistance in the 2064-2066 area. It closed below 2050 on Friday, proving that the overall trend is still in a downward trend. So I think gold will fall back to the 2040-2030 area.
So in short-term trading, I think we should continue to short gold at high levels. I share detailed trading ideas and trading strategies every day. The gears of destiny are turning. I hope that with my help, we can all make continuous profits in the market! And you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to get detailed trading signals, trading lots, and TP and SL.
XAUUSD Longs from 2030.000 back upI find Gold intriguing, and I'll share my current perspective on this pair. Given my bullish bias, this trade idea is in alignment. The recent price movement, with a shift in character and substantial liquidity sweep, has formed a compelling demand zone on the 16-hour chart. I'm now waiting for a re-accumulation within this zone, coupled with a liquidity sweep around 2030.000, before considering buy positions.
Alternatively, if price continues its ascent toward the 4-hour supply zone without an immediate retracement, I'll anticipate a bearish reaction. In this scenario, I'll be interested in sell opportunities to ride the price down towards a demand zone and align with the overall trend.
My confluences for Gold Buys are as follows:
- A 16hr demand zone below triggered a new CHOCH to the upside.
- The overall short-term and long-term trend is bullish, aligning with this idea.
- Imbalance above the demand signals a favourable reaction at my POI.
- Abundant liquidity above, including trend lines and untouched Asian highs.
- Price needs to dip to a significant demand level for an upward rally to persist.
- After a CHOCH I'm expecting a pullback and retracement for price to keep going up.
- There is an untouched asian low inside my zone once swept could expect a reaction.
- I also expect the dollar to keep dropping indicating that gold will keep going up.
P.S. As these are the two closest opportunities to the current price, I acknowledge that price might surpass these zones to reach a more favourable one, such as the significant daily demand below the 16-hour chart. Can't stress enough that adaptability enables a comprehensive perspective in navigating the markets so always weigh up other possibilities.
Have a great week ahead traders!
Stand still and wait for news, CPI news trading strategy todayWorld gold prices were relatively stable with spot gold down 5.3 USD to 2,023.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,029.3 USD/ounce, down 3.7 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World gold decreased slightly in the mid-week trading session as investors were waiting for US inflation data to gain more clarity on the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate roadmap this year.
RJO Futures senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn said lower-than-expected inflation data would give the Fed more reason to cut interest rates this year, which would push gold prices higher.
US consumer price index data will be released on Thursday. According to a Reuters poll, economists predicted annual inflation would come in at 3.2% in December, but said core inflation could fall to 3.8%, the lowest since December. mid-2021.
A report from the New York Fed revealed that consumers expect inflation to decline, while Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said on Monday that the US Central Bank's monetary policy appeared to be "adequate". limit".
Unpredictable fluctuations, predicted to continue to increaseWorld gold prices stabilized with spot gold increasing 1.3 USD to 2,028.8 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,036 USD/ounce, up 2.5 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world gold market stabilized as investors remained cautious ahead of US inflation data to be released later this week. The data is expected to provide more detailed information about the future policy direction of the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
If the inflation numbers surprise, the Fed may not be able to cut interest rates yet, which would put pressure on precious metals markets, said Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff.
Currently, analysts predict price inflation will slow in December. The New York Fed survey earlier this week also showed that consumers expect inflation to decline, along with income and spending increases. Household spending will gradually increase in the coming years.
Looking at the direction of gold in the medium term, MKS PAMP metals strategist Nicky Shiels forecasts gold prices will fluctuate in the range of 1,900 to 2,200 USD/ounce in 2024 and prices will reach a record high in the first half. this year, boosted by expectations of interest rate cuts.
Experts also do not rule out the possibility that gold will conquer the 2,300 USD/ounce mark when mentioning other factors such as geopolitical instability and the trend of de-dollarization in the world.
On the other side, Shiels said that gold is also likely to fall back to $1,600 an ounce if persistent inflation forces the Fed to maintain its restrictive monetary policy. She said that the possibility of this scenario happening is 20%.
Gold trading strategy today, continues to increase againWorld gold prices decreased slightly with spot gold down 5.3 USD to 2,058.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,067.6 USD/ounce, down 4.2 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world gold market enters 2024 with a relatively difficult year under pressure from the strong recovery of the USD. However, the decline in this precious metal was limited thanks to expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would soon loosen monetary policy and concerns that the situation would escalate in the Red Sea.
The US Dollar Index rose 0.8% and was on track for its best daily gain since July, making bullion priced in the currency more expensive for overseas buyers.
In 2023, gold prices rose 13%, marking the first annual increase since 2020, and are forecast to reach a record high in 2024, as lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of Hold gold bars without interest.
Experts say that the market started the new year with the belief that the Fed will cut interest rates sooner, which is why gold is supported. According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets are currently pricing in an 86% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in March.