Gold Market Analysis 12/11The ideal target of 2687 has been achieved, and the price has now moved above 2690. Currently, the 2693-2704 region faces significant selling pressure, which is expected to cause a short-term pullback. However, from the 1D chart perspective, the overall trend remains bullish, indicating that this pullback is a release of pressure rather than a change in trend.
Short-term support is at the 2678-2673 range, and if the price retraces to this level, it could attract renewed bullish momentum. Therefore, the recommended trading strategy is as follows: consider shorting above 2690 for a quick trade, and look to go long if the price drops below 2680, with targets remaining at higher levels.
As always, ensure proper risk management and closely monitor market movements.
Xauusdtrend
I've already started shorting gold,and you?Bros, as I mentioned in my last article, gold rose to around 2660 as expected, but did not effectively break through, and the overall situation is still in the range of fluctuations.
So in terms of trading, as I said in my last article, although from a structural point of view, it is conducive to supporting the rise of gold. But I did not chase the rise of gold directly. On the contrary, according to my trading strategy, I took 2660-2670 as the resistance area and shorted gold at 2660.33 as the transaction price.
On the other hand, gold is in the range of fluctuations, so if gold wants to continue to rise, it must increase the liquidity of long positions, so gold needs to fall back to attract more long funds, so gold still has the need to fall back.
Bros, have you also shorted gold?If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Mainly short gold, but there is still an opportunity to go long.Bros, since gold has chosen to break down and fall below the short-term support of 2620, it is obvious that the gold bears have a slight advantage in the struggle. So in trading, we mainly focus on shorting gold. The current short-term resistance area has shifted to the 2630-2635 area, so in short-term trading, we can short gold with the 2630-2635 resistance area;
But on the other hand, even if gold continues to fall, it is difficult to completely reverse into a short trend before today's NFP market, which limits the downside to a certain extent. The support area below is in the 2610-2600 area; so once gold falls back to this area, I will still try to go long on gold again; but we need to be careful that once gold falls below 2600, it is likely to continue to fall to around 2580.
Trading strategy:
1. Short gold with 2630-2635 area as resistance;
2. Try to long gold with 2610-2600 area as support (only try once)
3. It should be noted that once gold effectively falls below 2600, it is very likely that gold will continue to fall to 2580 area
Bros, how are you going to trade gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold Market Analysis 12/06Gold began to rebound after falling to around 2623. Since the 2635 support has been broken, it has now turned into resistance. Therefore, during the rebound, the first resistance to watch is 2635, followed by 2643. This was the highest point reached during the rebound after the price fell to 2635 today, making it an important resistance level. The next key resistance zone is the 2652-2657 area, where the price has recently encountered resistance.
Since tomorrow’s NFP data could have a significant market impact, if the data is bullish, it’s quite possible that gold will rise back above 2650. However, if the data is bearish, the optimal level to consider for support would be around 2608.
The prolonged period of consolidation has trapped many positions during today’s downturn, creating significant selling pressure. Therefore, it’s important to be cautious during trading and avoid blindly chasing prices higher.
This is an ideal market outlook based on current conditions, but always remember that the market is constantly changing. While you can use this analysis as a reference, it’s important to remain flexible during your trades. Don’t stick to rigid strategies—adjust as the market evolves. If you have any doubts or need further guidance, feel free to reach out to me directly. I’m here to help with personalized advice!
The bulls are not completely defeated, go long gold!Brothers, gold has fallen sharply to around 2635 in the short term, which seems to have broken the recent range of fluctuations. So are the bears really coming? Have the bulls completely failed in the struggle between the long and short sides?
Although gold seems to be falling rapidly in the short term, the bulls still have a certain degree of resistance and will not be completely defeated immediately. I have just reminded that it is difficult for gold to have a sustainable market before the NFP market. So the short-term decline of gold is probably a fake move to trap more short positions of short gold at low levels. So I think before gold falls below the 2630-2625 area, we must be particularly careful about the counterattack of bullish energy, and we cannot blindly chase short gold.
So in terms of trading, we can try to go long on gold in batches in the 2635-2625 area. Wish us good luck!Bros, will you follow me to do more gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Continue to short goldBros, today we shorted gold near 2647 with 2650-2655 as resistance according to the trading plan. The object closed the gold short position manually near 2636 and gained 100 pips, which is a good result.
Just now, gold rebounded from 2632 and has now reached 2657. I still shorted gold again near 2654 as planned. Although gold touched near 2657 during the violent fluctuations, it did not stand strong, so it did not prove the effectiveness of its breakthrough. Moreover, it also faced resistance in the 2660-2665 area above, so gold may face another correction in the short term, it will retrace at least to the 2648-2645 area.
So we can still try to short gold again in the short term, and I have already shorted gold near 2654. Wish us good luck! Bros, did you follow me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD Potentially BearishOANDA:XAUUSD topped out at almost 2800 and there after we have seen some consistent lower lows and lower highs. If price continues to hold around the 2650 area with some significant rejections, we just might see price creating a new lower high and potentially targeting the 2542 key zone area. Although we might see price dropping lower than that, I will rather lock in some profits when price comes to that zone
Always do your analysis before taking any trade. Past results does not guarantee future results
Gold's Key Zones: 2658-2661 Resistance and 2615-2609 SupportGold is still oscillating within a triangular range, and the market is waiting for a breakout direction. If the price breaks above the 2658-2661 resistance zone, gold is expected to rise to around 2682, and may even touch the 2700-2710 range.
However, if the price breaks below the 2615-2609 support, the triangle consolidation may turn into a bearish continuation, with the target moving down to 2586. If no effective support is found during the decline, gold’s downside target could move towards 2568-2547.
Therefore, our primary focus should be on two key levels: the 2658-2661 resistance and the 2615-2609 support, so we can adjust our strategy accordingly upon a breakout or breakdown.
Building a Bottom Before ReboundWhether from the perspective of the 5-wave pattern or the support levels established during the previous uptrend, both suggest that the current price is forming a bottom region before a potential rebound. We need to be patient during this phase. Of course, I’m sure there are some traders who enjoy scalping—if that's the case, you can trade smaller intraday swings during the bottoming process. However, I would recommend focusing on buying at lower levels for better entry points.
Target Achieved, Future OutlookAfter a prolonged period of consolidation, gold has finally reached above 2650, just as we predicted, bringing in great profits! The price is now in a selling pressure zone, with key data releases approaching. In this case, it's prudent to pause trading and observe the selling pressure around 2660. If the selling pressure is strong, you can follow the trend to short, but be mindful of the strong support zone below. As long as it holds, gold is likely to continue its upward movement. Therefore, do not hold short positions too long. If there's a second surge in volume and a breakout occurs, gold could rise towards the 2680 zone.
XAU/USD 27 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's analysis and bias dated 26 November 2024 remains the same.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
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Gold Rebound as Expected: Target Achieved, Future OutlookGold has rebounded as expected to 2640, and your patience has paid off with excellent profits. Based on the current price movement, if the 2625 support holds strong, approaching 2650 or even breaking above it shouldn't pose much difficulty. Stay attentive and manage your trades accordingly!
Short-Term Short Opportunity at 2710 Resistance ZoneAfter reaching around 2710, gold tested the support at 2686 as expected and then rebounded above 2700, in line with our forecast. The long positions in the short-term swing trade have been closed, and we are now seeking new opportunities to sell. From a technical perspective, there is still strong selling pressure around 2710, which acts as a key resistance zone.
Technical Analysis: At the 2710 level, gold is facing noticeable selling pressure. Previously, this area acted as a support level, but now it has turned into resistance. If the price encounters resistance here and starts to decline, it could test the support zone below once again.
Considering the current market sentiment and technical pattern, the 2710-2722 range presents an ideal opportunity for short entry. We recommend initiating sell orders within this range with a small position size as an initial attempt.
Trade Strategy:
Sell Entry Range: If the selling pressure at 2710 holds and the price fails to break above this level, the 2715-2722 range becomes a potential short-entry area. The resistance in this region could drive the price lower.
Stop-Loss: To protect against the risk of a breakout above this zone, a stop-loss can be set in the 2725-2730 range. This would limit potential losses in case the market continues to rise above the resistance zone.
Take-Profit: The take-profit target can be set around the support area at 2686, or adjusted based on real-time price action. If the price declines to this support zone and shows signs of a rebound, partial or full profit-taking may be considered.
Risk Management: Given the volatility in the gold market, it’s crucial to control position size in every trade and apply proper risk management strategies to avoid significant losses. Each trade should not risk more than 2-3% of the total account balance.
Short gold, TP:2660-2650Bros, gold has risen sharply under the support of risk aversion, and is currently near 2672. Although gold continues to rise in a cycle, it has not yet effectively broken through the 2675-2680 area. When facing this area, gold is expected to have a round of technical retracement. It is very difficult to chase the rise of gold at present, and there is no good position to participate in long gold, so at least wait until gold falls back to the 2660-2650 area before there is a better position to participate in gold long transactions.
Obviously, before gold breaks through the 2675-2680 area, I will try to short gold first; after gold falls back to the 2660-2650 area in the short term, I will consider going long on gold!
Gold Trading StrategiesGold continues to fluctuate around 2648. If you want to take a break, just close the order and take a break. Today is profitable overall. There is no need to stay up late and hurt your body because of a $2 fluctuation. I will share signals with you again during tomorrow's trading. Making a stable profit every day will accumulate over time, which is not bad.
XAUUSD: Monitor Support Levels at 2673-2667Gold has dropped significantly! Last week, I advised everyone to hold their short positions over the weekend, and now we’re seeing substantial profits. Congratulations to all who followed the strategy signals—you’ve just secured your first big win of the week!
Gold is experiencing rapid fluctuations, offering traders a prime opportunity to make strategic entries! Today, the key support lies between 2673-2667—if this support holds, a strong rebound is highly likely! Keep an eye on resistance at 2687-2692; breaking above this level could lead to further upside. However, if support fails, prices may retest the previous low around 2652. For those looking to capitalize on this wave, stay alert to these key levels
XAU/USD 11-15 November 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 October 2024
Price has continued its surge, reaching new all-time highs with no signs yet of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The initial indication of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price's ongoing ascent has now positioned CHoCH significantly closer to most recent price action.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold's price has maintained its upward surge after printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), fueled by softer U.S. macroeconomic data and intensified geopolitical tensions.
In my weekly analysis dated 27 October 2024, I mentioned that price could potentially reach new highs, moving the bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This shift would create a realistic opportunity for price to indicate the start of a bearish pullback phase.
This forecast played out as expected, with CHoCH positioning repositioned significantly nearer to recent price action subsequently printing a bearish CHOCH.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 08 November 2024.
Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price has reacted from premium of 50% established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to weak internal low priced at 2,643.355
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
XAUUSD: Continue to Monitor Resistance at 2712-2720During the Asian and European sessions today, gold pulled back as it approached key resistance levels, and is currently near a support zone. Based on the current price structure, the support appears relatively strong, suggesting a potential for a rebound in the short term. If the support remains intact over the next hour, the price could rise again, with focus shifting to the resistance zone around 2712-2720. However, if the support is broken, there is a possibility that the price may test the previous lows again. In this case, the formation of a "W" reversal pattern should be monitored, as it could signal a significant rebound opportunity.
XAUUSD: The Rebound Is Not Over YetDue to the impact of the news, gold prices have fallen significantly. When gold prices approached around 2660, I suggested buying within the 2660-2652 range to capture the rebound after the sharp drop. The first wave of the rebound reached a high of around 2678, with a gain of over $20, and those who followed the signal made very decent profits.
Currently, gold prices are oscillating in the bottom range, with volatility gradually decreasing. However, the rebound has not ended yet, and there is still room to buy. This rebound should at least push prices above 2680.
Tomorrow, we have the interest rate decision, and the market widely expects a 25 basis point rate cut. After today’s drop, gold should not see much more downside in the short term. Therefore, tomorrow’s trading should focus on buying at lower levels. The first key support levels to watch are the 2652-2648 range, followed by around 2639.
Overall, the current market environment still holds opportunities, but it's crucial to stay flexible and adjust strategies according to market movements. Patience and risk management will be the keys to successful trading.
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 4th NovLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
Going Long on Gold During the Election PeriodTomorrow, gold is expected to experience significant volatility, as market sentiment may be influenced by a range of events, particularly the outcome of the elections. Based on the current technical setup, my plan is to maintain a bullish bias in the short term, especially if gold continues its upward trend. However, if the election results turn out to be unfavorable for the bulls and the market reverses, I will add short positions to my existing bullish trades to capitalize on potential downside risks. I will closely monitor price movements and adjust my strategy based on market reactions.
Additionally, after the end of this week, given the increasing market uncertainty, my focus will shift to short positions, with the aim of targeting the 2686-2652 range. This area is likely to provide strong support and will be an important level to watch.