Gold trading strategy today, short-term sell entryWorld gold prices today (May 29) increased in the context of a weakening USD, while investors are still waiting for US inflation data later this week to judge when the Fed will cut interest rates. .
The US Dollar Index fell 0.1% to its lowest in more than a week, making gold cheaper for holders of other currencies.
Investors will monitor the US core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index published on Friday (May 31). This index is considered the main inflation measure of the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
Military conflicts taking place in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine war are continuing to cause geopolitical instability, reinforcing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Bob Yawger of Mizuho Bank said that according to some sources, a member of the Egyptian security agency was killed in a firefight with Israeli forces.
Additionally, central banks around the world have steadily increased their gold holdings over the past two years, with China's central bank being one of the most active buyers.
Xauusdtrend
Gold trading strategy today, uptrendToday's gold price is trading at 2,352 USD/ounce, a sharp increase of 18 USD compared to the previous day's opening price of 2,334 USD/ounce.
World gold prices fluctuated in the context of data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC - US) showing that gold investment funds increased their buying positions by 194,000 contracts.
This information can make many investors expect the gold market to heat up. Therefore, they took advantage of putting capital into this precious metal. Gold price today has upward momentum.
On the other hand, the world geopolitical situation becomes more complicated as the military conflict between Israel and Hamas forces becomes increasingly tense. Since then, many financial institutions have increased their need to shelter capital in gold. Today's increase in gold prices in the world is understandable.
Optimistic about Gold, increased then decreased againWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 15 USD to 2,350.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,352.5 USD/ounce, up 18 USD compared to yesterday morning.
World yellow metal prices increased slightly at the beginning of the week as investors expected an important inflation report released this weekend that would change the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) view on cutting cuts. interest rates.
Recently, the Fed's positive interest rate stance has caused great pressure on the precious metals market. According to UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo, gold has suffered from more hawkish comments from Fed officials and better-than-expected US economic data. Bullion has lost $100 since the precious metal hit a record high of $2,449.89 an ounce last week.
According to the latest Fed meeting minutes, US Central Bank officials indicated that it may take longer than expected to bring inflation down to 2%.
According to FXTM market analyst Lukman Otunuga, in the current environment, the gold market will be sensitive to inflation data. Accordingly, if the report shows downward price pressure, it may arouse hopes of cutting interest rates by the Fed and boost gold prices. On the contrary, if PCE is higher than market forecasts, it will deal another blow to expectations of Fed interest rate cuts and cause gold prices to fall even deeper. This expert said that the downward momentum could bring the price to the support level of 2,300 USD/ounce or lower.
Trading strategy today, downtrendKitco News' latest gold survey shows more than three-quarters of industry experts believe gold prices have stabilized or will fall next week. Meanwhile, half of retail traders polled still believe the precious metal could move higher in the coming days.
ActivTrades senior analyst Ricardo Evangelista said that information in the Fed's meeting minutes has caused traders to push back the expected interest rate cut from September to November. This change has helped push Treasury yields and the USD higher and put pressure on precious metals.
Market strategist Colin Cieszynski of SIA Wealth Management is neutral on gold this week. He said that the gold market will be quiet this week without important events.
Reports released this week include: Consumer confidence report, preliminary report on GDP in the first quarter of the US, weekly unemployment benefit applications, pending home sales, Personal consumption expenditure reports along with personal income reports in the US
Gold is expected to be quiet this week, entry sell todayWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 2.4 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,335.7 USD/ounce.
Last week, world gold prices continuously "plunged" after breaking all the records conquered in April. Kitco News's latest weekly gold survey results showed that more than three-quarters of experts believe gold prices are stable or will fall in the near term, while half of retail traders still believe the precious metal could move higher in the coming days.
Looking at gold's fluctuations last week, senior market analyst Darin Newsom of Barchart.com said that gold is likely to decline this week.
Sharing the same view, Bannockburn Global Forex CEO Marc Chandler also sees further downside risks for gold in the near future. According to Chandler, the reason gold set a record high early last week at 2,450 USD/ounce was because the market reacted to information related to the accident that claimed the life of the President of Iran. However, the strength of the USD caused gold to be sold off and plummet to nearly 2,300 USD/ounce.
Besides, the decrease in demand for gold from Chinese investors is also a disadvantage for this precious metal. Chandler forecasts that gold's initial resistance this week is at $2,375/ounce. Support is in the range of $2,275 to $2,300 per ounce.
Market strategist Colin Cieszynski of SIA Wealth Management is neutral on gold this week. He said that the gold market will be quiet this week without important events.
After the news, PMI continued to decrease and increase slightlyWorld gold prices continued to decline sharply with spot gold down 48.6 USD to 2,329.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,330.1 USD/ounce, down 52 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world gold market continues to be under pressure to take profits and gold prices fall to the lowest level in a week, extending the decline for the third consecutive session, as investors become increasingly concerned about the timing of interest rate cuts. of America and the strength of American business.
According to the latest report, US business activity in May accelerated to the highest level in more than 2 years, showing that economic growth recovered in the second quarter. After the report, the USD recovered strongly, offsetting intraday losses. This has reduced the attractiveness of precious metals to buyers holding other currencies.
TD Securities commodity strategist Daniel Ghali said that although the greenback's recovery and the weakening interest rate outlook have triggered a sell-off in the gold market, the correction will be relatively shallow. According to him, gold is adjusting to the view that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain high interest rates for a longer period of time, while at this meeting, the Fed mentioned the possibility of raising interest rates if inflation occurs. "persistent" development.
Today's trading trends, buy gold strategyAt the beginning of the trading session on May 23 (US time), world gold prices were under strong selling pressure due to tough sentiment in the minutes of the May monetary policy meeting just announced. The minutes show that US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials are increasingly concerned about inflation.
The gold market is being greatly affected by the Fed's policy stance on the length of time it takes to cut interest rates. Experts say that US inflation reports are still not as expected. Thereby, the timing of the Fed's interest rate cut is unclear.
Experts from the World Gold Council predict that despite the Fed's tough arguments on monetary policy in recent times, gold will still maintain its upward momentum in the coming time.
Wall Street analysts said that it will take the market longer than expected for the Fed to determine for sure whether inflation has really decreased or not. Therefore, gold will remain stuck in monetary policy for quite a long time.
Today's trading strategy, Gold trendGold prices fluctuated sharply when some US Federal Reserve (FED) policymakers recommended that the organization wait a few more months to ensure inflation really cools down, before starting to cut. interest rate.
Reacting to this information, the USD increased in price compared to the Euro and many other currencies. Gold price today is in a disadvantageous position.
Under pressure from the USD, speculators may worry that holding gold will reduce profitability. So in last night's trading session, when gold was trading in the region of 2,400 USD/ounce, they massively sold out.
Gold breaks current price channel, strategy to buy GoldWorld gold prices continued to decline sharply with spot gold down 42.7 USD to 2,378 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,382.1 USD/ounce, down 43.7 USD compared to yesterday morning.
The world precious metals market continues to be pressured by the policy stance of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) after the meeting minutes ended earlier this month. According to the minutes, although US monetary policy has become a secondary factor in the gold market, persistent inflation could create some selling pressure as it could force the Fed to raise interest rates again. .
This view goes completely against the recent statements of members of the US Monetary Policy Committee when they said that although they are not ready to cut interest rates because inflation is still high, they will not raise interest rates. capacity.
According to experts, the minutes reflect growing disappointment that consumer prices have not returned to the 2% target as firmly as expected.
Recently, gold has been greatly affected by the Fed's "hawkish" policy stance. Despite fluctuations, gold is still considered an effective investment asset thanks to its role in preventing inflation and diversifying investment portfolios. Experts believe that the roles driving the recent increase are still being maintained and are unlikely to change in the future.
Gold has not cooled down yet, enter to buy todayAfter reaching 2,450 USD/ounce in the previous trading session, today's gold price on the international market has cooled down but not significantly.
At 6 a.m. on May 22, the world gold price was trading at 2,422 USD/ounce, down 6 USD compared to the price at the same time the previous day which was 2,428 USD/ounce.
Analysts say international gold prices cool down as investors sell to take profits.
On the other hand, some officials of the US Federal Reserve (FED) continue to announce that interest rates will remain high for a long time. Since then, the USD has increased in value compared to many other foreign currencies. Gold price today is in a disadvantageous position.
Another development is that US stocks increased quite strongly. This has prompted many people to take interest in the stock. Accordingly, money flowing into precious metals is dominated. Today's world gold price inevitably cools down.
Trading strategy today, still in the bullish channelWorld gold prices decreased with spot gold down 5.2 USD to 2,420.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,425.2 USD/ounce, down 4.9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
On May 21 (US time), gold was under profit-taking pressure after this precious metal hit an all-time high earlier this week. However, this precious metal still remains firmly above the level of 2,400 USD/ounce.
Recently, a number of US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have repeatedly expressed the opinion that they will not rush to start the easing cycle that many people expect. However, gold is receiving the information very positively and does not react much to this view that is considered less moderate.
In opening remarks at an online event hosted by the Peterson Institute, Fed Governor Christopher Wall said that the US Central Bank's restrictive monetary policy is cooling the economy and inflation, but still there is still much work to be done. He emphasized that all data must be considered before deciding whether to loosen monetary policy or not. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic also made a similar point of view and emphasized the need to wait to make sure inflation returns to the 2% target mark before pivoting policy.
Today's trading trend, wait for a decrease to buyWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 9.2 USD to 2,425.9 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,430.3 USD/ounce, up 12.9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Although the price of the yellow metal inched up slightly compared to yesterday morning, it has dropped sharply compared to the increase during the day. Previously, gold had conquered a new all-time high when inflation in the US showed signs of slowing down, increasing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would soon make its first interest rate cut. Spot gold has soared to 2,449.8 USD/ounce.
According to Capital.com financial market analyst Kyle Rodda, the main driving force for gold's strong surge at the beginning of the week was the weakening of the USD and expectations that the Fed will soon loosen monetary policy today. the more increased. Last week's data showed that inflation is showing signs of cooling down and traders now forecast about a 65% chance that the US will cut interest rates in September.
RJO Futures senior market strategist Daniel Pavilonis said that, in addition to "persistent" inflation, the US public debt burden is also a factor driving gold's recovery. Pavilonis expects gold to increase to nearly 2,500 USD/ounce in the short term.
Still in the bullish trend channel, entry buyWorld gold prices skyrocketed as the level of inflation, and its series of impacts on US monetary policy, boosted demand for holding the precious metal.
On the other hand, gold prices are also supported by increased reserves at the Central Bank of China.
However, analysts at Kitco Metals believe that today's increase in gold prices mainly stems from risk concerns when the President of Iran died in a plane crash.
Meanwhile, a Chinese oil tanker was attacked by Houthi missiles in the Red Sea, increasing geopolitical tensions, increasing the need to hold gold to preserve capital.
Gold increased on the first day of the week,selling to entry buyWorld gold prices tend to increase with spot gold increasing by 2.3 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,416.7 USD/ounce.
Last week, world gold prices fluctuated strongly as the market continuously received important economic data along with statements from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. This precious metal started the trading week at 2,361.17 USD/ounce and increased steadily beyond the 2,400 USD/ounce mark when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statement and economic data confirmed that interest rates will no further increase and the Fed may soon loosen policy this year.
Kitco News' latest weekly gold survey results show the majority of experts believe gold prices could reach or surpass all-time highs, while retail traders are cautious. this precious metal.
After an exciting week, the market is expected to be quiet this week with little important economic data released. The information that is believed to be able to affect the direction of gold is the minutes of the Fed's monetary policy meeting ending on May 1. However, most experts believe that the content of the minutes will not exceed investors' expectations, so the gold market will have little reaction unless there is unexpected information. In addition, the market also awaits statements from Fed officials. Six officials are expected to speak early this week.
Entry buy Gold for todayWorld gold prices increased in the context of a sharp decline in the USD index in recent days and continuous gold purchases by central banks around the world.
Gold prices turned positive for the week early Wednesday morning as the US April CPI report showed an improvement over the previous month. By Friday, the bullish trend had returned sending gold prices in excess of $2,400 an ounce.
And after surpassing $2,400 per ounce, Wall Street experts believe gold prices this week could reach or exceed all-time highs.
The latest weekly survey by Kitco News shows that Wall Street is maintaining a strong bullish sentiment on gold. Up to 11 out of 14 analysts forecast that gold prices will continue to increase. Only 2 analysts expect prices to decline and some experts expect the market to move sideways.
Individual consultants are more cautious but still lean towards the possibility of this precious metal going up. Specifically, 58% of 149 people asked about the price increase. 21% were predicted to decrease and the remaining number was redefined.
According to analysis, the decline in the USD index on the international market and the decline in US government bonds have supported gold prices towards the peak area. After surpassing the 2,400 USD/ounce area, gold prices may continue to increase, even towards the 2,500 USD/ounce area - a new high in history.
Gold is forecast to continue to decline deeplyGold prices steadied in Asian trading today after posting strong overnight gains as some mild inflation data dragged the dollar to a one-month low and raised expectations of a rate cut. capacity.
The yellow metal has now returned to record highs reached in May, as traders bet more that the US Federal Reserve (FED) will start cutting interest rates as soon as September. The dollar fell sharply on Wednesday on this view, which should benefit overall metal prices.
Gold prices are up more than 1% from Wednesday after data showed US consumer price index inflation fell in April from March, while core CPI also fell from the previous month.
The figures, followed by weaker-than-expected retail sales data, raised hopes that inflation will ease in the coming months, giving the Fed more confidence in starting to cut interest rates.
The CME Fedwatch tool shows traders are pricing in a higher likelihood of a 25 basis point cut in September, at nearly 54%.
High interest rates push up the opportunity cost of investing in gold and other precious metals because they do not bring direct profits. The yellow metal could also benefit from increased safe-haven demand if the US economy cools further this year.
Slight fluctuations after a series of increasing daysWorld gold prices turned down with spot gold dropping 9.5 USD to 2,375.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,380.90 an ounce, down $14 from the bright spot.
According to Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff, gold turned around due to normal pressure after recent gains. On that side, the recovery of the US Dollar index also added strength to gold. The dollar rose 0.2% after hitting a multi-month low in the previous session as the latest data showed US consumer prices rose less than expected in April.
Meanwhile, New York Fed President John Williams said that the positive news surrounding the cooling off job is not enough for the US Central Bank to make an early decision to slow down.
Although gold turned down, most experts are still optimistic about gold in the future, predicting that this precious metal will soon conquer new records in the coming months.
MarketGauge's director of trading education and research Michele Schneider said that while it doesn't want to start a cycle of monetary policy easing just yet, it's clear the Fed also doesn't want to push interest rates higher and that conditions will eventually deliver. solid level of support for the precious type
26/3. Risk aversion has cooled, will gold fall sharply?
News: The United Nations Security Council passed a resolution clearly calling for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza and the release of all hostages.
Demands an immediate ceasefire during the Muslim fasting month of Ramadan, which ends in two weeks, and the release of all hostages held by Hamas in an attack on southern Israel on October 7 last year.
The deadline ends on April 9
Gold has retreated due to the impact of geopolitics. The lowest level reached 2167.
After the start of the Asian session, gold prices continued to impact upward. This proves that the bullish trend in the market is still relatively strong. Currently located at the 2172 line. On the other hand, the U.S. dollar fluctuated and fell from highs. The largest hedge funds may also abandon the United States and invest in Europe. It has also been pointed out that the US dollar is overvalued. The U.S. dollar index is currently above 104. Although the short-term ceasefire in Gaza has reduced risk aversion for gold. Not conducive to rising gold prices. But the overvaluation of the U.S. dollar is undoubtedly a support for gold.
Technically, gold has shown a bullish trend. Although there is no news boost, technical support is still strong. Observe the 2165-2162 line below. If the upper position stabilizes at 2175, then the probability of rising to above 2183 is very high. Of course, this also requires the U.S. dollar to take advantage of the trend.
In terms of trading, buying low is still the main trend today. The entire transaction is based on actual conditions.
2169-2166 buy
TP2177-2183
SL2159
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Gold continues to go up, entry buy todayCooling US inflation pushed gold prices up nearly 30 USD an ounce, and helped Wall Street set a new record.
Closing the trading session on May 15, each ounce of world gold for immediate delivery increased by 27 USD to 2,385 USD. During the session, gold price at one point touched 2,390 USD - the highest in nearly a month.
The market went up due to the weakening of the USD and falling US government bond yields, after the country announced that April inflation increased more slowly than forecast. This data has strengthened the possibility of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) reducing interest rates.
The US consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.3% last month. In February and March, the increase was 0.4%. This shows that inflation has restored its downward trend, giving investors more confidence that the Fed will lower interest rates from September.
CPI "may be an early indicator showing that in the long term, inflation will cool down and the Fed will have the first decision to reduce interest rates," said Phillip Streible - market strategist at Blue Line Futures. CME FedWatch tracker shows that investors currently place a 74% chance of a Fed rate cut in September.
The index tracking USD prices with a basket of major currencies - Dollar Index yesterday decreased 0.6%, reaching its lowest level in more than a month. This makes gold more attractive to buyers outside the US. The 10-year US government bond yield also fell to a one-month low.
Still determining the upward price trend, today's trading strateWorld gold prices increased sharply with spot gold increasing by 27.4 USD to 2,385 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,391.8 USD/ounce, up 31.9 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold prices rose to their highest level in more than 3 weeks on May 15 (US time) thanks to support from the weakness of the greenback and falling yields after the latest inflation report. Published data showed that the US consumer price index in April increased less than expected, increasing the possibility of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). The dollar fell 0.5% to its lowest level in more than a month, making gold more attractive to holders of other currencies. Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields also hit a more than 1-month low.
The CPI data “could be an early sign that over time inflation will cool and the Fed will make its first rate cut,” Blue Line Futures chief market strategist Phillip Streible said.
The CPI rose 0.3% last month after rising 0.4% in March and February, suggesting inflation continued its downward trend at the beginning of the second quarter. This has pushed up financial market expectations of an interest rate cut in September. According to Reuters poll results, economists forecast CPI to increase 0.4% in the month and up 3.4% over the month. with the same period last year.
Technically, bullish gold futures have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. Kitco Metals senior analyst Jim Wyckoff wrote in a note that bulls' next upside target is to produce a close for June futures above solid resistance. probably at 2,400 USD/ounce.
General trading strategy today, which areas should Sell and Buy?Gold prices in Asia increased in the afternoon trading session on May 14, as the market is awaiting important inflation reports expected to be released this week, for more clues about the speed and scale of interest cuts. interest rate of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this year.
Spot gold price increased 0.2% to 2,338.78 USD/ounce, while gold futures price increased 0.1% to 2,344.70 USD/ounce.
The US producer price index (PPI) is expected to be announced at 6:30 p.m. Vietnam time, followed by the consumer price index (CPI) on May 15. According to a Reuters poll, CPI figures are forecast to show core inflation rising 0.3% in April from the previous month, down from 0.4% in March, pulling down the inflation rate. annual inflation down to 3.6%.
If gold can hold above the level of 2,320-2,330 USD/ounce, it is a positive sign, meaning gold is gaining momentum in the short term. And with the push from weaker CPI figures (if any), he thinks gold is likely to rise to all-time highs in the short term.
The weak jobs report and lower-than-expected US non-farm payrolls reported in April released last week have increased expectations about the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates this year. According to a majority of economists polled by Reuters news agency, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates twice this year, starting in September.
Trading strategy after PPI news, gold increased sharply againWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 21.9 USD to 2,357.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,363.6 USD/ounce, up 21.1 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Weakness in the USD and Treasury yields following US producer price data for April provided a boost to the yellow metal. The dollar fell 0.2% after US data made gold cheaper for buyers holding other currencies. Yields on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note also fell, reducing the opportunity cost of holding this non-couponing asset.
The US producer price index (PPI) in April increased by 0.5% over the previous month, a stronger increase than the forecast of 0.3%. Core PPI (excluding volatile food and energy) also rose 0.5% in April versus forecasts of 0.2%. However, March PPI was revised down to -0.1% from a 0.2% increase in the initial report. Although the April PPI report supported those who expected the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to delay interest rate cuts, the sharp downward revision to the March PPI clearly tempered the increase slightly. larger than expected in April PPI.