Gold Trends and Signals UpdateOn the daily chart, the daily chart broke the 4-day winning streak and fell slightly on Friday. The decline at the end of the trading day caused a continuous decline. The price effectively crossed the short-term moving average and led the short-term moving average to turn downward at 2710 and 2707. Other periodic indicators also formed a short position arrangement. The Bollinger Bands as a whole shrank sharply. In addition, the MACD indicator once again crossed downward. Therefore, the 4-hour level should still be prepared for an intensified decline!
Trump took office today, and the market may become complicated. Beware of abnormal market fluctuations. From a technical perspective, Huang Jin ended the strong bullish pattern last week. After a weak closing, a break of 2700 was formed, and there was a further wide adjustment in prices. Trading ideas: short-term layout of selling high and buying low.
Gold fell directly after the opening of the Asian session. Gold bulls had no power to fight back. For key points, even if gold wants to go out of the downward wave, it is good for our short-term layout! In addition, today is the date when Trump takes office. The gold market will inevitably suffer from the rise of risk aversion caused by irresistible factors! That is, the market is still relatively bullish in many aspects!
The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and the gold bull market has temporarily come to an end. If the moving average forms a dead cross downward, the downward space of gold will increase, and the 1-hour gold is now also suppressed by the downward trend; the downward resistance moves down to around 2708, and the Asian session rebounds around 2708 and continues to sell at highs. The rebound near 2705 can be empty first.
First support: 2681, second support: 2670, third support: 2662
First resistance: 2695, second resistance: 2708, third resistance: 2725
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2680-2683,
SELL: 2705-2708,
Xauusdupdates
Gold- Where to?Since the beginning of the year, XAU/USD has been trading in a well-defined ascending channel, which typically indicates continuation.
However, last week the price faced a strong ceiling at the old resistance around 2720, the level from which gold reversed sharply twice at the end of 2024.
At the time of writing, the price is 2707, and although I am bullish for the next period, I am currently out of the market, waiting for more confirmation.
Gold Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionThe market is buzzing with mixed feelings as we approach Donald Trump's inauguration as US President-elect. Gold prices have retreated from a one-month peak, with some investors jumping on the opportunity to buy the US Dollar at perceived dips. Despite this, gold remains heavily influenced by the geopolitical and domestic political climate in the US. Recent inflation data, combined with comments from Fed Governor Waller, have put pressure on the Dollar, with traders betting on an earlier rate cut. Waller hinted at the possibility of a rate cut as soon as the March meeting, noting that inflation is nearing the Fed's 2% target. In this video, we explore how these developments could shape the gold market moving forward.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldPrice #TrumpInauguration #USDIndex #InflationData #FedRateCuts #GoldTrading #ForexAnalysis #MarketTrends
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gold Buy Signal: Bullish Momentum Alert! The gold market is on 🔥 with strong bullish momentum dominating the charts! 📈 We’ve identified a powerful upward channel that’s guiding prices higher, supported by impeccable price action setups.
Key Highlights:
✨ Price is breaking key levels with confidence, signaling continued strength.
✨ Uptrend intact, with no signs of slowing down.
✨ Perfect entry opportunity to ride the wave as the market pushes toward new highs.
📌 Don’t miss out on this golden opportunity—secure your position now and capitalize on the ongoing rally! 💰
#XAUUSD 4HXAUUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has formed a sell engulfing candlestick pattern in a key resistance area, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment toward the downside. This bearish candlestick pattern reflects strong selling pressure overpowering buyers at this level.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the sell engulfing pattern suggests further bearish momentum. The price may continue to move lower toward nearby support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the engulfing area after confirmation of sustained selling pressure.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the high of the engulfing candlestick to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next support levels or significant price zones below for potential downside objectives.
Market Sentiment:
The sell engulfing pattern at a resistance level signals bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to maintain control in the short term. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market conditions.
XAU/USD 20 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per my intraday expectation dated 17 January 2024 by printing a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Internal range is now established as a result of the bearish CHoCH.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone to then target weak internal high priced at 2,724.785.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 17 January 2025. You will also note how price attempted to target strong internal low but failed to close below.
Price Action Analysis:
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Within the sub-structure there is further bullish iBOS, however, price did not pullback deep enough to warrant a bullish iBOS. I will therefore apply my discretion, which may need a revisit.
H4 TF has printed a bullish iBOS and it appears bearish pullback phase initiation is underway, however, we currently do not have any indication, or confirmation.
Current internal low and H4 TF CHoCH positioning are the same, priced at 2,690.050, therefore, despite M15 internal range dynamics being bullish, it is highly likely price will print a bearish iBOS
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price should show reaction at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,724.785, however, the above mentioned scenario is also highly probable to assist H4 in it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at anypoint,
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 2740.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental analysis, the XAU/USD is expected to move in a bullish direction. Here are some key factors that support this prediction:
Increasing Demand: Central banks and investors are increasing their gold reserves, driving up demand and prices.
Inflation Concerns: Rising inflation expectations and a potential decline in the US dollar's value could boost gold's appeal as a hedge against inflation.
Geopolitical Tensions: Escalating tensions between major economies and global hotspots could lead to safe-haven buying and drive up gold prices.
Dovish Central Banks: Central banks' dovish monetary policies, such as low interest rates and quantitative easing, could weaken currencies and boost gold prices.
Technical Analysis: Bullish technical indicators, such as the ascending Ichimoku Cloud, suggest a potential upside move in gold prices.
Seasonal Trends: Gold prices tend to rise during the summer months, driven by increased demand from jewelers and investors.
Weakening US Dollar: A decline in the US dollar's value could make gold more attractive to investors and drive up prices.
Increasing Investment Demand: Growing demand from exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other investment products could drive up gold prices.
Supply Constraints: Limited gold supply and potential production disruptions could lead to higher prices.
Monetary Policy Uncertainty: Uncertainty surrounding central banks' monetary policies could lead to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
These bullish factors suggest that gold prices could potentially rise in the near future. However, it's essential to consider both bullish and bearish factors and stay up-to-date with market news and analysis to make informed trading decisions.
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
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XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 So Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout.
Buy entry above 2725.00
Sell Entry below 2690.00
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 2790.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Bearish Robbers TP 2660.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The XAU/USD (Gold) market is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors.
BULLISH FACTORS:
Global Economic Uncertainty: The ongoing global economic uncertainty, including the COVID-19 pandemic and trade tensions, is expected to increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Central Bank Policies: The central banks' dovish monetary policies, including interest rate cuts and quantitative easing, are expected to support gold prices by increasing liquidity and reducing the costs.
Inflation Expectations: The rising inflation expectations, driven by the increasing money supply and the potential for higher commodity prices, are expected to support gold prices as a hedge against inflation.
Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the US-China trade war and the Middle East conflicts, are expected to increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
US Federal Reserve Meeting: The upcoming US Federal Reserve meeting is expected to result in a decision to keep interest rates low, which could support gold prices.
US GDP Growth: The upcoming US GDP growth report is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
China's Economic Data: The upcoming China's economic data, including GDP growth and industrial production, is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Commodity Prices: The upcoming commodity prices report is expected to show an increase in commodity prices, which could support gold prices as a hedge against inflation.
MARKET SENTIMENT:
Bullish Sentiment: 60%
Bearish Sentiment: 30%
Neutral Sentiment: 10%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast LONGMain scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above the level of 2576.36 with a target of 2880.00 – 2976.66. A buy signal: the price holds above 2576.36. Stop Loss: below 2570.00, Take Profit: 2880.00 – 2976.66. Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 2576.36 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 2464.30 – 2282.23. A sell signal: the level of 2576.36 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 2585, Take Profit: 2464.30 – 2282.23.recast for 10.01.25 – 17.01.25. The ascending fifth wave of larger degree 5 is presumably developing on the weekly chart...
Gold remains strongly bullish In my post yesterday, I mentioned that gold could extend its upward movement and reach the important 2720 resistance zone (clearly highlighted in the chart I shared).
As expected, the price climbed to that level and, as is typical, began a correction.
In my view, this pullback should be seen as a buying opportunity for bulls looking to rejoin the upward trend.
There is a strong likelihood that gold could break above this resistance level, possibly as soon as today or early next week.
XAU/USD 17 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has finally printed a bullish iBOS in accordance with scenario one of my analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
After bullish iBOS, we expect bearish pullback. First indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation is for price to print a bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. This would also establish internal structure.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Within the sub-structure there is further bullish iBOS, however, price did not pullback deep enough to warrant a bullish iBOS. I will therefore apply my discretion, which may need a revisit.
H4 TF has printed a bullish iBOS and it appears bearish pullback phase initiation is underway, however, we currently do not have any indication, or confirmation.
Current internal low and H4 TF CHoCH positioning are the same, priced at 2,690.050, therefore, despite M15 internal range dynamics being bullish, it is highly likely price will print a bearish iBOS
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price should show reaction at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,724.785, however, the above mentioned scenario is also highly probable to assist H4 in it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
GOLD XAUUSD BULISH CHANNELXAUUSD is currently trading within a well-defined bullish channel pattern, characterized by higher highs and higher lows, indicating a strong upward momentum in the market. The lower trendline of the channel acts as a support level, providing a cushion for price pullbacks, while the upper trendline serves as a resistance zone, marking potential targets for buyers. As long as the price remains within this channel, the overall sentiment remains bullish, suggesting continued growth. A breakout above the resistance level could signal accelerated bullish momentum, while a break below support may indicate a potential reversal or consolidation phase.
GOLD UPDATES A meaningful patience for Longs, I bet you getting in before the zone. Lets get in the trade at this price level. 2613.
Sl at your own risk.
See the targets above. atleast 2.31 fibs or 2900$ per ounce of GOLD.
This is only view. This is not a financial advice either.
Trade with caution. trade with stoploss. Follow for more Longterm/Swing trades.
As the FED says -0.25%. we see a higher GOLD prices before year end or starting of the Year 2025.
Gold outlook: Buy dips remains the strategyIn my post yesterday, I mentioned that gold could test levels above 2700. True to expectations, the price rose steadily throughout the day, briefly spiking just above this critical 2700 level overnight.
After a short-lived correction, the price has returned to the 2700 zone. My outlook remains bullish as long as the 2660 support zone holds strong. For now, buying on dips remains the preferred strategy.
The immediate target is the 2720 resistance zone, which could act as a key level to watch for profit taking on buys.
Gold Trend and PatternsTrend and Patterns
Long-term trend: Based on the latest analysis, the XAUUSD pair shows mixed signals. On the one hand, there are forecasts for a possible rise in the gold price to $2900-$3000 levels in 2025, after which a significant drop to $1700-$1500 is expected. On the other hand, current analyses point to a possible continuation of the uptrend in the short term.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support: Important support levels include areas around 2607 and 2638.88 where there is buying interest.
Resistance: Resistance levels include 2663, 2680.35, and a higher level around 2720, which may restrain further price gains.
Indicators and Oscillators
Fibonacci: The use of Fibonacci levels shows that the pair is testing pullback levels such as 38.2% and 61.8%, which may provide signals for market entry.
Market Sentiment: Sentiment analysis shows that retail traders are often in long positions, which may indicate the possibility of counter-trend trading.
Conclusion
The XAUUSD pair has exhibited volatility typical of precious metals this year, with possible upside and downside scenarios. Strong support and resistance levels indicate potential entry and exit points for trading. It is important to keep an eye on the key levels mentioned above, as well as macroeconomic news that can significantly influence the gold price.
XAU/USD 16 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Weekly and Daily TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Recent Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal low, by printing a bullish iBOS.
It would be noteworthy to remember that H4 and Daily TF internal structure is bullish.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price seems to be targeting weak internal high, which, in my view, is premature, however, I will remain structured in my approach. At the time of preparing analysis M15 candle remains open.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has yet to trade in to discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,702.260
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart: