XAUUSD: Accumulation in process,Waiting for Bullish DistributionHello,
Today, we will analyse the key points of each significant move.
Following the price’s all-time high at $3500, it experienced a sharp decline and failed to maintain that level. A substantial 2400 pips would have resulted in significant losses for many accounts. Initially, it was perceived as a minor correction, with the expectation of further price appreciation. However, this assumption proved incorrect. After reaching an even higher peak, the price invariably undergoes a more substantial correction.
At 3260, substantial bullish volume surged into the market, necessitated by the presence of a fair value gap. Subsequently, the price experienced a decline, reflecting the prevailing bearish trend, which favoured the bears. However, at 3200, a pivotal level representing a discounted price point, bull volume surged. This powerful bullish impulse propelled the price to 3432, ultimately confirming the bullish trend. AB=CD there recurring pattern emerged weekly. When the price reached the 3432 level as a fair value gap, the CD pattern commenced.
AB=CDTheHeyIndeed, we have identified a recurring pattern. It appears to be an equal move in any direction, and it has manifested precisely as anticipated. We were aware that the price would reject at 3120, and it did so accordingly. Currently, the market is in our favour. Upon market opening, it exhibited a positive gap, propelling the price to 3450. However, it subsequently declined, reaching 3384.
Presently, we find ourselves in the accumulation phase, poised for distribution. This distribution is anticipated to be substantial, potentially leading to another record high, potentially reaching 3650.
Moving forward, the price could continue towards our target from its current position. Alternatively, there exists a possibility that it may drain the sell-side liquidity and reverse from 3360-3370.
Our take-profit levels are set at 3450, 3490, 3520, and finally, 3600. When entering the market, it is advisable to employ a short time frame. It is important to note that this analysis is merely our opinion, and market conditions may deviate from expectations.
We extend our best wishes for success and safe trading. If you wish to demonstrate your support, you may consider liking, commenting, or sharing this analysis with others.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx_
Xauusdupdates
Will gold continue to rise after a pullback?As for gold: the trend of daily, weekly and monthly cycles has remained unchanged, and the bulls remain unchanged; and the weekly line has started to rise continuously, and there is a high probability that it will gradually break upward; the daily line temporarily maintains 3245-3293 as the two low points of support at the bottom, and 3382-3452 as the two top high points of resistance to form an upward channel. The upper track is currently suppressed. Although Iran and Iran are still fighting fiercely over the weekend, the market has digested a lot, because today's Asian and European sessions did not continue the strong attack, but there was a wave of continuous declines; but this does not mean that it will fall back too much, and risk aversion will still be triggered at any time. Besides, leaving aside the news, the technical form is also bullish, and the highs and lows are gradually rising. The secondary high point was also broken, and there is a high probability of testing 3500 this week;
For today, due to the weakness of the European session and the rebound before and after the US session, pay attention to the 618 resistance 3436 and other pressures to go bearish first, and then continue to choose bullish when the two supports of 3404-3390 below are touched and stabilized; if the price cannot give the support position after 22:00 to the early morning, it is not ruled out that it will stabilize in advance;
Specific operation plan: It is recommended to go long and bullish at 3410, add more positions at 3408, target 3430-3440, stop loss 3400; short near 3443 above, add more positions at 3448, target 3430-3420, stop loss 3455.
Gold price falls back and continues to go longFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10, and the short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold falls back to 3408-10 and goes long. Fall back to 3388-95 and add more positions. Stop loss 3384, target 3445-3450, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Will gold continue to rise in the new week?Analyzing from the weekly level, the price of gold is supported by the support level of 3258-60. From the mid-line perspective, it is still in the mid-line bull market, and the price will only be under further pressure if it breaks the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday, and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. At the same time, according to the four-hour level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3407. This position is the key watershed of the short-term trend. At the same time, according to the one-hour level, the price has a short-term downward adjustment, so don't chase more for the time being, and focus on the subsequent retracement to the four-hour support before further rising. Short-term low-to-long thinking, focus on highs after pulling up.
Gold intraday trading strategyToday's technical trend, from the hourly line, it opened slightly higher and hit a high point. The market was resistant to declines and rose in steps; the stochastic indicator on the 4-hour line continued to form a golden cross, which is a main long signal; in terms of form, the continuous positive and broken positive slowly rose, which is a main long signal; the sideways support is the support position of 3425-3428; it is recommended to follow the trend; refer to the retracement support; the upper pressure position is 3488-93; the stochastic indicator in the daily K-line formed a golden cross, which is a main long signal; in terms of form, the continuous positive rise is the main long signal; the upper track of BOLL temporarily stabilized, and the daily K-line is mainly a bullish signal; and in terms of form, the 3488-93 line is not a high point; the stochastic indicator in the weekly K-line formed a golden cross, which is a main long signal; in terms of form, the big positive line rose for the second time. In summary, today's thinking is mainly to continue to rise, and the pullback is a chance to go long!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below is 3425-28, and the key support below is around the recent top and bottom conversion position of 3375-80. The intraday retracement relies on this position to continue to be bullish. Next week, we will focus on the suppression of 3488-93. The daily level continues to maintain the same rhythm of retracement and long positions. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold retracement 3425-28 line long, stop loss 3314, target 3488-3490 line, continue to hold if broken;
XAUUSD: Analysis June 16Gold has a lot of momentum to increase and could head towards testing the all-time high around 3500 as there are too many risks emerging, from geopolitical developments to interest rate outlook, and tariffs. Major conflicts in the Middle East, Russia - Ukraine, trade war between the US and the rest of the world, ... are all sudden risk support that makes gold likely to surge in the short term.
Gold, after increasing around 3450 this morning, is currently correcting down. But overall, the uptrend with gold is still solid after breaking the downtrend channel. However, we should avoid buying in strong corrections.
The support area around 3400 will be the ideal place for us to BUY today.
And the resistance area 3440 - 3445 will be where we SELL.
XAU/USD Chart Analysis Following Israel-Iran StrikesXAU/USD Chart Analysis Following Israel-Iran Strikes
In 2025, the price of gold continues to form a long-term upward trend, highlighted by the black line. The red line previously acted as resistance, resulting in the formation of a contracting triangle on the XAU/USD chart – a typical sign of market equilibrium.
However, this red line was breached (as indicated by the arrow) amid news of the exchange of strikes between Israel and Iran. In response, gold price movements have more clearly outlined the rising blue channel, which began to take shape in the second half of May.
Over the weekend, the strikes continued, and on Monday morning, trading opened with a modest bullish gap. This indicates that geopolitical risk concerns are helping to keep gold prices anchored above the red line.
What could happen to the price of gold next?
Much will depend on how the situation in the Middle East develops. Should the exchange of strikes between Iran and Israel subside and official statements offer hope for de-escalation, a pullback from the upper boundary of the blue channel is likely.
If such a scenario plays out, technical analysts may focus on the support zone around $3,390–3,400 on the XAU/USD chart, formed by:
→ the psychological level of $3,400;
→ the red line, which previously acted as resistance;
→ the median of the blue channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Watch for price action near the upper resistance and trendline.XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) 1H chart analysis:
📊 XAUUSD 1H Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart shows a clear ascending channel pattern, indicating a short-term bullish trend. Price action is currently respecting the channel boundaries well.
🔹 Key Highlights:
Support Zone: The green horizontal zone around 3,310 – 3,330 represents a strong demand area where price previously reversed.
Resistance Zone: The upper green box near 3,460 – 3,470 marks a significant supply area where potential selling pressure could emerge.
Current Position: Price is trading near the mid-to-upper range of the ascending channel, showing bullish momentum.
🔀 Projection:
Two potential scenarios are outlined:
Bullish Continuation: Price may continue to respect the channel and push towards the resistance zone before reacting.
Bearish Reversal: If price fails to break higher and shows weakness, a breakdown below the channel could lead to a sharp move toward the lower demand zone (3,310 area).
📌 Outlook: Watch for price action near the upper resistance and trendline. A break above may lead to further gains, while rejection or bearish candlestick patterns could confirm a potential reversal setup.
Gold Regains Bullish MomentumGold Regains Bullish Momentum
Gold price started a fresh surge above the $3,375 resistance level.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price started a fresh surge and traded above $3,420 against the US Dollar.
- A key bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,415 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price formed a base near the $3,300 zone. The price started a steady increase above the $3,350 and $3,375 resistance levels.
There was a decent move above the 50-hour simple moving average and $3,400. The bulls pushed the price above the $3,420 resistance zone. A high was formed near $3,450 and the price is now consolidating gains.
On the downside, immediate support is near the $3,415 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,301 swing low to the $3,451 high.
Besides, there is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $3,415. The next major support sits at $3,375 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $3,301 swing low to the $3,451 high.
A downside break below the $3,375 support might send the price toward the $3,335 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,300 support zone.
Immediate resistance is near the $3,450 level. The next major resistance is near the $3,460 level. An upside break above the $3,460 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,480. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,500 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
How to position gold in the week of the Federal Reserve’s decisiAs last week came to a close, further geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pushed market risk aversion to its highest level in nearly two months. This round of rising prices was driven by multiple factors. Among them, the weak inflation data released by the United States last week further strengthened the market's expectations for the Fed's loose monetary policy, thereby increasing the attractiveness of gold assets. In the short term, gold prices are expected to continue to be supported by risk aversion on Monday. In addition, the market this week needs to focus on the impact of the Fed's interest rate decision and Chairman Powell's speech on gold prices. Everyone should pay close attention to the price fluctuations that may be caused by the Fed's policy trends. It is particularly important to note that US President Trump plans to attend the G7 summit in Canada from June 15 to 17. His policy statements during the summit may also have an important impact on the gold market. Investors are advised to keep an eye on it.
Technically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. Two major support levels need to be monitored this week: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue.
Operation strategy:
Gold recommends buying long positions near 3420-3415, stop loss at 3407, and target 3440-3460
Iran seeks peace, Israel strikes – Gold dip, buy opportunity🌍 Iran's peace overtures sent gold prices plummeting to 3382, but Israel is unlikely to accept the olive branch lightly. With no clear signs of de-escalation in the Middle East situation, it's advisable to continue going long at lower levels 📉→📈
Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu vows military strikes will continue until Iran's nuclear program and ballistic missile capabilities are fully dismantled—showing no signs of halting ⚡. While he claims regime change is not the objective, he notes that given the weakness of Iran's leadership, political upheaval could emerge as a collateral outcome of the operations 🌪️
🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war🌍 Currently, only Iran is seeking peace, but Israel won't simply end the war
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3385 - 3390
🚀 TP 3410 - 3420
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAU/USD:Iran's Peace Moves Spark Market TurbulenceI. Iran Signals De-escalation
US media reports suggest Iran, under Israeli airstrike pressure, has used Arab intermediaries to send peace signals to the US and Israel—demanding the US stay out of airstrikes as a precondition for restarting nuclear talks, and stressing to Israel that violence control serves mutual interests.
II. Israel Stays Resolute
Israeli warplanes freely overfly Iran's capital, with Iran's counterattacks proving ineffective. Israel remains focused on dismantling Iran's nuclear facilities and weakening its theocratic regime, showing no short-term incentive to cease fire.
III. Gold's Reaction and Strategy
Iran's peace overtures triggered gold's plunge to $3,382. Yet with no tangible Middle East de-escalation, dip-buying is advised, with attention on the $3,400 support level.
XAUUSD
buy@3380-3390
tp:3400-3410
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
GOLD bearish outlook if the fundamental not involve.This is a smart money concept (SMC) based technical analysis chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, showing a bearish market bias.
Key Terms & Annotations:
BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a bullish breakout in the earlier phase of the market.
$$$ (Liquidity Grab): A sweep of previous highs, used to trap traders before reversing.
OB (Order Block): The last bullish candle before a bearish move; potential supply zone.
CHoCH (Change of Character): A bearish signal showing potential reversal of trend.
EQL (Equal Lows): Liquidity lying below; possible target for price.
FVG (Fair Value Gap): An inefficiency in price, where price may retrace to fill the gap.
📉 Trading Idea Summary:
The price recently showed a Change of Character (CHoCH) and started moving downward, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish.
A bearish order block (OB) and a Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone above current price suggest a potential retracement area before continuing down.
The note on the chart says:
"If the price breaks out with a strong body, then go for short."
Meaning: Wait for price to break below the current support area (EQL) with a strong bearish candle body. If that happens, it's a signal to enter a short (sell) trade.
Target zone is marked near 3,374.285, which is the next liquidity level or demand zone.
Conclusion:
The setup suggests:
Wait for a strong breakout below current support.
If confirmed, enter a short trade targeting lower liquidity levels.
Be cautious if price retraces into the FVG or OB zone, as it may provide another short entry.
Buy on dips and seize rising opportunitiesGold prices are rising strongly. Technically, multiple supports are formed in various periodic charts. Short-term sideways trading in the hourly chart is a normal adjustment. If the support of 3420 is maintained, the upward trend will continue. If it falls below, we need to be alert to the risk of trend reversal. The current geopolitical risks and risk aversion demand provide medium- and long-term support for gold. The main strategy for the day should be to buy on dips, and focus on the key watershed of 3420. Long orders can be arranged when it falls back to this level. It is expected to accelerate upward after breaking through. Overall, the bullish trend of gold has not changed.
Gold recommendation: long orders can be arranged when the price falls back to 3425-3420. Stop loss 3413. Target 3472. Exit notification if the market changes
XAU/USD 1H Technical Breakdown – Structure Shift in ProgressThis chart captures a clear market structure transition on Gold’s 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a shift from bullish momentum to a potential bearish phase.
🔍 Key Observations:
Uptrend Structure:
Price had been respecting a bullish channel with a sequence of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), showing strong bullish momentum.
Break of Structure (BOS):
The bullish market structure was invalidated when price broke below the most recent Higher Low, marking a Break of Structure (BOS). This signals the end of the uptrend and beginning of possible bearish control.
CHoCH (Change of Character):
Before the BOS, price failed to make a new HH and began forming lower highs — this internal shift hinted at weakness and can be considered the Change of Character, occurring subtly before the BOS.
Bearish Projection:
Price is expected to retest the broken structure (potential lower high formation) and continue dropping toward the demand zone (green box) around $3,330 - $3,340.
Supply Zone Above:
The upper green zone marks a supply region, from where the bearish rejection initiated, reinforcing the bearish bias.
✅ Conclusion:
This is a textbook example of a trend reversal setup:
CHoCH ➤ BOS ➤ Pullback ➤ Continuation.
Traders may watch for short opportunities after a bearish retest, with the green demand zone below as a potential take-profit area.
Buy on dips and seize rising opportunities📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical risks
2. Expected Fed policy
📈 Market analysis:
The market opened higher in the morning and then continued to fall. From a medium-term perspective, the market is still in a medium-term bullish position. The price will only be under further pressure if it breaks below the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. Judging from the 1H chart, the short-term death cross continues to fall. At the same time, according to the 4H level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3403. This support is the key watershed of the short-term trend. As long as it does not fall below this support, the bulls still have a chance.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3413-3403
TP 3430-3440
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAU/USD: Escalating Middle East Tensions Keep Bulls in ChargeThe chart shows that the gold price has successfully broken through the key resistance level of $3,400 and is currently fluctuating between $3,420 and $3,450, indicating that bullish forces are dominant in the short term. The $3,450 level has become a new resistance. If broken, it will attract more trend - chasing funds and drive the price higher; the $3,400 level has turned into strong support, and a breakdown could trigger panic selling.
The K - line chart shows strong bullish momentum recently, but the lengthening upper shadows suggest that bearish forces are also stepping in at high levels, intensifying the tug - of - war between bulls and bears. The moving average system is in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross formed, but the significant deviation of the price from the moving averages indicates a need for a correction to repair technical indicators.
In the short term, geopolitical conflicts may continue to support the upward movement of gold prices. However, the situation in the Middle East, U.S. economic data, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy are all key variables. If the conflicts ease or the Fed turns hawkish, the gold price will face correction pressures.
XAUUSD
buy@3410-3420
tp:3440-3450
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis - 16 June 20254H Chart: Market Structure & Bias
Gold’s 4-hour chart shows a bullish structure: price has been making higher highs and higher lows (a valid Break of Structure/BOS)
No bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) signal is present to suggest a reversal, so the overall bias remains bullish. In other words, the trend is intact and buyers still dominate. Key moving averages (not shown) also slope upward, reinforcing a “buy the dip” bias. We note that price recently stalled near 3427–3435, forming a small consolidation. This clustered area around the recent high acts as a near-term supply (resistance) zone (a possible order block where big players sold).
On the downside, prior support is visible around 3380–3400, where buyers stepped in on earlier pullbacks. In summary, the 4H bias is bullish, with dips into demand areas likely to attract buying interest.
Support/Demand Zones: At ~3380–3400 there is significant buying interest (a demand zone), as well as a minor support band around 3330–3350. These areas coincide with key Fibonacci retracements (around 50–62% of the last rally), making them high-probability bounce zones.
Resistance/Supply Zones: On the upside, the 3420–3435 range is resistance (recent swing high and a bearish order-block area).
Farther above, 3470–3485 is a major resistance cluster (around prior highs and a 61.8% extension), where supply may re-emerge.
Key Zones (4H Chart)
Buy Zone 1 (Demand): 3380–3400. This zone acted as support on prior pullbacks and aligns with ~50%–62% Fibonacci retracement levels. It represents a demand area (many buy orders), so bounces are likely here.
Buy Zone 2 (Support): 3330–3350. A deeper support area where buyers piled in previously. It coincides with the 61.8% Fib retrace of the last leg, making it a strong multi-purpose support/demand zone.
Sell Zone 1 (Supply): 3420–3435. This marks the recent 4H swing high and a potential bearish order block.
It has already capped rallies, so price may stall or reverse here on a retest.
Sell Zone 2 (Resistance): 3470–3485. A higher cluster of resistance (major psychological level and Fib extension) where selling could appear if gold extends its rally. This is a logical profit-taking area.
Each of these zones is a range (not just a line) to allow for some trade flexibility. We watch for price action (like pin bars or breakouts) within these ranges to signal entries.
1H Chart: Trade Setups
Buy at 3385–3395 (Long).
Entry Zone: 3385–3395 (just above the lower demand zone).
Stop-Loss: ~10 USD below the zone (around 3375).
Take-Profit: 3420 (minor resistance) and 3460 (next supply cluster).
Reason: This zone combines the 4H demand area and ~50% Fib support.
We expect bulls to defend this zone.
Trigger: Wait for a bullish reversal candle on 1H (e.g. a strong bullish pin bar or engulfing candle with a long lower wick). Such a candle (long-tail wick) at support indicates a liquidity grab by buyers. Alternatively, a clear 1H BOS above the last minor swing high would confirm strength and serve as a breakout entry.
Buy on 3425–3430 breakout (Long).
Entry Zone: Break above 3425–3430 (just above the recent 4H high).
Stop-Loss: ~10 USD below entry (around 3415).
Take-Profit: 3480–3490 (next resistance zone).
Reason: A push through the 3420–3435 supply zone would show buyers overcoming sellers. This would keep the uptrend running. The breakout opens room toward the 3470–3485 resistance area.
Trigger: Enter on a 1H bullish breakout/close above 3430 (a new higher high) – i.e. a bullish BOS confirming continued uptrend. Optionally look for a pullback to 3425 as a retest entry if the breakout is swift.
Buy at 3330–3340 (Long).
Entry Zone: 3330–3340 (deeper support zone on 4H).
Stop-Loss: ~10 USD below the zone (around 3320).
Take-Profit: 3380 (first target), then 3420.
Reason: This is a strong support/demand area (4H 61.8% Fib support). A drop here would be a deeper pullback – a higher-risk entry with a bigger reward if buyers step in.
Trigger: Look for a clear bullish reversal on 1H (e.g. hammer/engulfing candle) or a shift in structure (price fails to make a new low and instead forms a higher low). A bullish candlestick in this zone implies demand is defending it.
Each setup is aligned with the 4H bullish bias (we’re looking for long opportunities at support zones or breakouts). The ~$10 stops are set just beyond the defined entry zone, giving each trade a favorable risk/reward.
Takeaway: Gold’s 4-hour trend is up. We favor buying near the identified demand/support zones (or on a confirmed breakout above recent highs) and targeting the next resistance levels. Use tight stops (~$10 beyond each zone) and aim for 2:1+ reward on these high-probability setups.
Trade with the trend and respect the key zones above.
Safe-Haven Demand Expected to Push Gold Prices Toward 3500Last week, intensifying conflict between Israel and Iran triggered a strong wave of risk-off sentiment in the markets.
As a result, we saw sharp rallies across major safe-haven assets and crude oil.
Over the weekend, tensions continued to escalate and even showed signs of further expansion.
Under such circumstances, it's clear that heightened geopolitical risk will continue to support gold prices.
However, 📍$3500 remains a major resistance zone at the moment.
If gold spikes to this level intraday, it’s very likely we’ll see a short-term pullback —
Whether due to profit-taking, cautious positioning by sideline capital, or selling pressure from trapped shorts above 3490,
⚠️ this kind of correction is a natural market reaction — driven by human nature.
Even with strong risk-off demand in place, after a $200 rally,
the market is still subject to volatility from profit-taking behaviors.
🔑 Trading Strategy for This Week
As long as tensions in the Middle East persist,
🎯 the primary bias remains bullish.
However, the entry point is crucial.
💡 Important notes:
Avoid chasing price after sudden spikes caused by breaking news.
Those spikes are not ideal buy zones — instead, look for short-term selling opportunities at those highs.
Once the price pulls back, assess the retracement level and key supports before looking to buy the dip.
We are now within a historically high price range,
which means any rally could trigger profit-taking from earlier longs.
While the overall trend may still head higher,
⚠️ you need to carefully evaluate the size of potential pullbacks and whether your account can withstand the associated risks.
📊 Technical Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3450-3455 (minor), 3468-3474 (previous high), and 3487-3499 (major historical high)
Support: 3420–3410 zone, and the deeper 3400–3386 range
Stay alert, trade wisely, and remember — in volatile geopolitical environments,
timing and discipline are more important than ever.
Gold price falls back and continues to go longFrom the 4-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10. The short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. The short position against the trend needs to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up to test the previous high.
Gold falls back to 3408-10 and goes long. Fall back to 3388-95 and add to long position. Stop loss at 3384. Target at 3445-3450. Continue to hold if it breaks.
The latest gold operation strategyTechnically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. Two major support levels need to be monitored this week: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to buy gold near 3420-3415, stop loss at 3407, and target 3440-3460
3400 3380 are the two points that determine the trend of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical risks
2. Expected Fed policy
📈 Market analysis:
This week, the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, retail sales data, initial jobless claims and geopolitical situation will be the core factors affecting global markets. In the short term, gold rebounded after hitting the 3383 line. This round of decline was relatively rapid. At the same time, there is a certain resistance at the 3405-3410 line above in the short term, which is also the main reason for our long orders to leave the market. In the short term, it is recommended to first look at the support situation at the 3380 line below, and then enter the long order after obtaining effective support above this position. On the contrary, if it falls below this short-term support, the gold price is expected to fall to the 3350 mark! For the evening layout, it is recommended to focus on the 3400 long-short watershed, pay attention to the 3410 line of resistance, and pay attention to the 3380 line of support below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3390-3380
TP 3400-3410-3420
SELL 3400-3390
TP 3380-3360-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD