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Gold Market Update and Strategy InsightsToday, gold prices rebounded sharply from the lows, driven by heightened safe-haven demand following news of North Korea’s potential involvement in the Ukraine conflict. Prices surged from 2622 to 2650, aligning with my recent emphasis on prioritizing long positions in gold. Those who followed this approach should have seen significant gains in their accounts! Market Outlook and Strategy Suggestions A technical pullback is likely in the near term, with 2640 identified as a key support level. If the price dips to this level, it is expected to trigger the next upward trend. Trading Plan for Today: Enter light short positions near 2650, targeting 2640; Increase long positions around 2640, aiming to ride the next bullish wave; Risk Management: Place stop-loss for shorts above 2660 and for longs below 2635. Risk Advisory and VIP Support While VIP users have reported strong profits this week, some traders may have experienced losses or trapped positions due to deviation from recommended strategies. If this applies to you, I am here to assist with tailored solutions. For those considering joining VIP but hesitant, I am offering a free trial session to showcase my strategic approach. Reach out if interested! Reminder: The gold market remains highly volatile. Always manage your positions wisely, avoid over-leveraging, and trade with discipline to secure sustainable profits.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Falcon-Training-Camp
XAU/USD 20 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 12 November 2024, I highlighted the anticipation of a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) as an indication of a bullish phase initiation. Price has now confirmed this by printing a bullish CHoCH. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range and remains consistent with the broader pullback requirements of higher timeframes. This internal range forms the basis for today's expectations. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to the premium of the internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where it is currently positioned. Alternatively, price may trade higher to reach the H4 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,536.855. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: As stated in yesterday's analysis, I mentioned that it would not be surprising if price printed a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This expectation materialised; however, the bearish momentum was short-lived as price subsequently printed a bullish iBOS. Price has now printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which allows us to establish an internal range. Currently, price is trading near the extreme of a strong internal low and has wicked into the M15 demand zone, showing a reaction. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to target the weak internal high at 2,641.940, reacting from the current M15 demand zone. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe remains in a bullish pullback phase and is trading within the premium of its internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where a reaction is observed. Consequently, it would not be surprising if the M15 timeframe printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish policy stance and geopolitical tensions persisting, Gold price volatility is expected to remain elevated. Traders should stay cautious and remain prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Is Investing in Gold a Smart Move for the Future?A Precious Metal's Persistent Appeal Gold, the timeless symbol of wealth and security, is poised for further gains. It is predicted that the precious metal could surge to $2,900 an ounce by the end of 2025. Why Gold is Glimmering Several factors are driving this bullish sentiment for gold: 1. Central Bank Demand: o Central banks worldwide have been actively increasing their gold reserves. This strategic move aims to diversify their portfolios and hedge against economic uncertainties. o As geopolitical tensions escalate and inflationary pressures persist, central banks are turning to gold as a safe-haven asset. 2. Inflationary Concerns: o Persistent inflationary pressures are eroding the purchasing power of fiat currencies. Gold, historically, has proven to be an effective hedge against inflation. o As central banks continue to grapple with inflation, investors may seek refuge in gold to protect their wealth. 3. Geopolitical Risks: o Geopolitical tensions, including the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, have heightened uncertainty and fueled demand for safe-haven assets. o Gold, with its long-standing reputation as a safe-haven asset, is likely to benefit from such geopolitical risks. 4. Declining Real Interest Rates: o Negative or low real interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. o In such an environment, gold can become an attractive investment option. 5. Diversification Benefits: o Gold can serve as a valuable diversification tool within investment portfolios. o By adding gold to a portfolio, investors can reduce overall portfolio volatility and enhance risk-adjusted returns. A Word of Caution While the outlook for gold appears promising, it's essential to consider potential downside risks: 1. Rising Interest Rates: o Higher interest rates can increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. o If central banks aggressively tighten monetary policy to combat inflation, it could negatively impact gold prices. 2. Economic Recovery: o A strong global economic recovery could reduce demand for safe-haven assets like gold. o As investors become more optimistic about the future, they may shift their focus to riskier assets. 3. Market Sentiment: o Market sentiment can significantly influence gold prices. o Negative market sentiment, driven by factors such as economic uncertainty or geopolitical tensions, can support gold prices. Conversely, positive sentiment can lead to a decline in gold demand. A Strategic Investment Despite these potential risks, gold remains a compelling investment option for long-term investors. Its ability to preserve wealth, hedge against inflation, and diversify portfolios makes it a valuable addition to any investment strategy. Investors considering investing in gold can do so through various channels: • Physical Gold: Purchasing physical gold bars or coins is a traditional way to invest in the precious metal. • Gold ETFs: Gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) offer a convenient and cost-effective way to invest in gold. • Gold Mining Stocks: Investing in shares of gold mining companies provides exposure to the gold market and potential dividends. By carefully considering the factors influencing gold prices and diversifying their investments, investors can capitalize on the potential upside of this precious metal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Recovery continues! Expected price range 2644⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices surged over 1.80% early this week, recovering from a two-month low of $2,536 to climb above $2,600. Heightened tensions in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, coupled with a weaker US Dollar, supported Gold’s rise on Monday. At present, XAU/USD is trading at $2,610. Market sentiment on Wall Street is mixed, with two major US equity indices posting gains while the other two remain volatile. Geopolitical developments remain a key driver for Gold, as Russia’s large-scale offensive in Ukraine prompted a response from the White House. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price still shows strong upward momentum, recovery may be higher approaching potential price zones such as 2644 - 2673 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2644 - $2646 SL $2649 TP1: $2638 TP2: $2630 TP3: $2620 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2673 - $2675 SL $2680 TP1: $2660 TP2: $2645 TP3: $2630 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2589 - $2587 SL $2582 TP1: $2595 TP2: $2610 TP3: $2620 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
Market Analysis and Trading RecommendationsDear traders, over the past few days, I had the pleasure of meeting several VIP members for one-on-one sessions. During these meetings, I provided detailed guidance on trading strategies and methods, which proved highly effective. If any of you would like a similar experience, feel free to book in advance for personalized assistance. Weekly Market Overview Last week, we focused on short positions, successfully capturing the downward market momentum. This week, with a lack of significant market-moving news, the trend has shifted to a technical recovery rally. Hence, our primary trading approach will revolve around strategic long positions. From the current price action, the 2613-2612 zone stands out as a robust support area with dense trading activity. This provides an ideal entry point for long positions, with significant upside potential as highlighted in the chart. Trading Strategy for Today Entry Level: Enter long near 2615; Add Positions: Consider increasing exposure if the price drops to the 2610 area; Stop-Loss Guidance: Place stop-loss below the critical support level, adjusted to individual risk tolerance. This strategy is based on a combination of technical analysis and market sentiment, aiming to capitalize on the corrective upward movement. For detailed trading plans, VIP members are encouraged to reach out for exclusive insights. Reminder: All trades involve risk. Ensure proper position sizing and adherence to your trading plan.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Falcon-Training-Camp
Gold’s Next Move: Short Trade Setup Amid Key RetracementGold has retraced to the 0.5 Fibonacci level within the cloud zone, trading above the 200 Moving Average (MA) on the 30-minute timeframe. While the smaller time frame shows a bullish structure, the higher time frame remains firmly bearish. This trade capitalizes on the short-term bullish momentum within the retracement phase, keeping the broader bearish trend in mind for risk management. Our approach is focused on capitalizing on the retracement for a short position while aligning with the overall bearish trend. If the price fails to hold key levels, a deeper bearish continuation is expected. Technical Analysis: • Retracement Level: Gold is at the 0.5 Fibonacci cloud level on the 30-minute chart. • Moving Average: Currently trading above the 200MA on the lower time frame, indicating temporary bullish momentum. • Higher Time Frame: Still bearish, reflecting a downtrend in the broader structure. • Recent Price Action: Gold surged 1.13% above the 200MA, then retraced into the cloud, testing support for the next move. • Trade Setup: Short-term bearish execution with targets aligned to the broader downtrend, capitalizing on the retracement level as an entry point while considering the smaller time frame’s temporary bullish momentum. Fundamental Overview: Gold prices rebounded in Asian trading, supported by easing US Treasury bond yields and a softer US Dollar. Geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and expectations of further stimulus measures from China provide additional support for gold. However, long-term concerns about US monetary policy and interest rate stability may weigh on the metal’s trajectory. Traders are closely monitoring signals from Federal Reserve policymakers regarding future rate hikes. Additionally, the market is cautious about potential ripple effects from Nvidia Inc.’s earnings on the broader sentiment. This trade takes advantage of the short-term bullish retracement on the lower time frame while staying aligned with the higher time frame’s bearish outlook. Proper risk management and vigilance toward key fundamental triggers remain essential. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by AR33_
XAUUSD:Long and short trading strategy of the day Yesterday's gold rose all the way, the daily line closed the sun line, we can't deny that the market is always right. We are still insisting on bearism it directly V turned over, the main rising market has a number of reasons, one is the escalation of the situation in Russia and Ukraine, another is the strengthening of interest rate reduction expectations. The recent market is the elevator market straight up and down, yesterday's gold 2564 rose to 2614, and then again pulled up to 2623, up 60 points at present, short-term form and indicators have turned more, but the weekly line has not changed the big short, in the operation first follow the short long low, in the big pressure or to short, Now gold is a big rebound after the big fall, the weekly big V shape has not been formed. The daily sun will support today's long inertia rise, Asia and Europe period to find the opportunity to bear, if directly pulled up to 2642-2648 this weekly pressure can also be short, short - term back step waiting for more opportunities, 4 hours of strong support has been up to 2589 near, hourly support near 2603. This is the long point, now adjust your mind to follow it. Support 2603 and 2589, pressure 2629, strong pressure 2642-2648, disc strong and weak water line 2603.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Boooooob
XAU/USD 19 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 12 November 2024, I highlighted the anticipation of a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) as an indication of a bullish phase initiation. Price has now confirmed this by printing a bullish CHoCH. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range and remains consistent with the broader pullback requirements of higher timeframes. This internal range forms the basis for today's expectations. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to the premium of the internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where it is currently positioned. Alternatively, price may trade higher to reach the H4 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,536.855. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: According to rules and a systematic process, price has printed a further bullish iBOS in-line with HTF bullish pullback phase. Currently CHoCH positioning, which is denoted with a blue dotted line, and internal low are positioned close-by, therefore, price could print new highs to reposition CHoCH. You will note the internal range has significantly narrowed. The printing of a bearish iBOS could potentially be an early signal that the H4 pullback phase has completed. Intraday Expectation: For today's session, we are looking for confirmation of a bearish pullback phase by price printing a bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning is currently marked with a blue dotted line. Alternative scenario: H4 remains in bullish pullback phase and is currently trading in premium of 50% EQ where we could see a reaction, therefore, it would not surprise me if price printed a bearish iBOS on M15 TF. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy approach and rising geopolitical tensions, heightened volatility in Gold prices is expected to continue. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential whipsaws in price action. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 21 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 12 November 2024, I highlighted the anticipation of a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) as an indication of a bullish phase initiation. Price has now confirmed this by printing a bullish CHoCH. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range and remains consistent with the broader pullback requirements of higher timeframes. This internal range forms the basis for today's expectations. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to the premium of the internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where it is currently positioned. Alternatively, price may trade higher to reach the H4 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,536.855. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's intraday expectation played out as price successfully targeted the weak internal high at 2,641.940, following a reaction from the M15 demand zone. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. Price has yet to print a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which is crucial to establishing an internal range and indicating the initiation of bearish pullback phase. CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to print a bearish CHoCH, signaling the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe remains in a bullish pullback phase. Price is trading at the premium of its internal and swing 50% equilibrium (EQ), where a reaction has been observed. Additionally, price is approaching an H4 supply zone, which could prompt further reaction. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders are advised to exercise caution and remain vigilant for potential whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD:Retracting the long trading strategy Gold rebounded to around 2660 as scheduled, the bulls have come to strong pressure, but it has no meaning to fall, we can not know the end of this wave of long rebound, the operation to follow the trend, the shape of the weekly bearish trend will be changed, yesterday's bottom pulled up again, the daily line step by step, three consecutive trading days closed in the sun, Such a market must see clearly the general direction, otherwise it is difficult to grasp the rhythm, when you can not see clearly on the sidelines waiting, today's thinking waiting for its retrace opportunity to do long. Daily line these two days to form two strong support, one is yesterday's low 2618 near, this position is not broken, short-term are strong, if broken, the form may form a new bear. Another support is around 2642, yesterday's rebound high, is also a new form of support, today back to step on this position first layout more single. Target 2660, after breaking 2680-85.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Boooooob
XAUUSD/GOLD 4H SELL LIMIT PROJECTION 21.11.24Reason for sell Bearish Cross: The 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is nearing the 50-day SMA. A daily close below the 50-day SMA would confirm a bearish crossover, suggesting a potential downward trend. Relative Strength Index (RSI): While the RSI is above 50, indicating bullish momentum, it's not strongly above this level, which might limit the upside potential. Lack of Strong Upside Momentum: Gold prices have been consolidating recently, and there hasn't been a significant breakout to the upside. This lack of strong bullish momentum could contribute to bearish sentiment. However, it's important to note that the technical picture is not entirely bearish: RSI Above 50: As mentioned, the RSI being above 50 suggests some bullish momentum. Potential for Upside: A daily close above the 50-day SMA could reverse the bearish trend and lead to further upside. Ultimately, the direction of XAU/USD will depend on a combination of technical factors and fundamental news, such as interest rate expectations, economic data, and geopolitical events. It's advisable to monitor these factors closely and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by kripsonfx97
100% accurate gold trading strategyGold daily level: Yesterday, it continued to squeeze out and pull up, closing with a small positive, standing above the 10-day moving average. After a sharp drop of 250 US dollars in the previous few weeks, there was an oversold rebound correction, and this correction was rapid, in one go, without a decent retracement in the middle. So in the process of the original short-term weak decline, there was suddenly such a wave of pull-ups. It seems strong, but it is actually internally empty and it is difficult to gain a foothold. Once it is suppressed, the speed will be relatively fast; 2643 line belongs to the 6 rebound of 2710-2536 18 division resistance, today's highest 2642 has been basically tested, and the European session ushered in a wave of decline. Once it closes below the 10-day moving average, there will be suppression signals, and if it falls below the 5-day moving average, it can be basically judged that the rebound is over and returns to suppression and adjustment; the current 10-day moving average support is 2617, and the 5-day moving average support is 2597. Pay attention to gains and losses; Gold 4-hour level: the 66-day moving average began to be under pressure, and the 10-day moving average also broke down. Pay attention to the middle track 2602 line if it declines tonight. Once it can't be maintained, this cycle will return to the weak suppression structure.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ckb6ckb6
Helpful gold analysis for youGold fundamentals, November 20 🔹On Wednesday (November 20) in early European trading, gold prices hit 2618 and then stabilized and rebounded. The recent decline in gold prices after a sharp rise is mainly due to some investors choosing to take profits. However, the geopolitical situation surrounding Russia and Ukraine remains a focus of attention, which provides support for gold as a traditional safe-haven asset. 🔹At the same time, rising U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger dollar have suppressed gold prices. The market is currently paying close attention to the speeches of Fed officials for clues on the future direction of monetary policy, which may have an important impact on the trend of gold in the coming days. However, if the geopolitical situation becomes tense again, especially if the conflict between Russia and Ukraine escalates further, it may drive gold prices to rise sharply again. 🔹The recent strength of the U.S. dollar is mainly due to the market's optimistic expectations for President-elect Trump's economic policies, including potential tax cuts and tariffs, which the market expects may push up inflation. At the same time, U.S. Treasury yields continued to rise, with the 10-year Treasury yield reaching 4.8%, reflecting the market's increased expectations for strong economic growth. 🔹The Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group (CME) "FedWatch" tool shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in the December meeting has dropped to below 60%, indicating that market expectations for further monetary easing are weakening. The strong performance of the US dollar and bond yields still puts gold under certain pressure in the short term. 🔹Currently, gold prices are affected by multiple factors: on the one hand, geopolitical risks provide support for gold; on the other hand, the strengthening of the US dollar and the rise in US bond yields put pressure on gold prices. The future trend will depend on the remarks of Federal Reserve officials and the development of the situation in Russia and Ukraine. Investors need to pay close attention to relevant developments.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ckb6ckb6
Navigating the Gold Market: Tips for Investors Gold, often hailed as a safe-haven asset, is increasingly finding itself at the mercy of two powerful forces: China and the U.S. dollar. As these two economic giants influence global markets, their actions have a direct impact on the price of gold. China's Growing Appetite for Gold China's insatiable demand for gold has been a significant driver of the yellow metal's price. The country's burgeoning middle class, coupled with its cultural affinity for gold, has fueled a surge in gold consumption. This demand is not limited to jewelry; it extends to investment purposes as well. China's central bank, the People's Bank of China (PBOC), has also been a major buyer of gold. By diversifying its foreign exchange reserves, the PBOC aims to reduce its reliance on the U.S. dollar and mitigate risks associated with geopolitical tensions. As China continues to accumulate gold, it exerts significant influence over the global gold market. The Dominance of the U.S. Dollar The U.S. dollar, as the world's primary reserve currency, holds immense sway over the global economy. Its value relative to other currencies, often referred to as the "dollar index," has a significant impact on the price of gold. When the dollar strengthens, it typically leads to a decline in the price of gold. This is because gold is priced in U.S. dollars. As the dollar appreciates, it becomes more expensive for foreign investors to purchase gold, which can dampen demand and put downward pressure on prices. Conversely, when the dollar weakens, gold often appreciates. A weaker dollar makes gold more affordable for foreign buyers, stimulating demand and driving up prices. The Interplay Between China and the U.S. Dollar The interplay between China's growing demand for gold and the strength of the U.S. dollar creates a complex dynamic that can impact the price of gold. • Competing Forces: China's demand for gold can support prices, while a strong U.S. dollar can exert downward pressure. • Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China can exacerbate market volatility and impact the price of gold. • Global Economic Conditions: Global economic conditions, such as inflation, interest rates, and economic growth, can also influence the demand for gold. The Future of Gold The future of gold remains uncertain, but China and the U.S. dollar will continue to play a significant role in shaping its price. As China's economy grows and its influence on the global stage increases, its demand for gold is likely to remain strong. However, the strength of the U.S. dollar will also be a key factor. If the dollar strengthens significantly, it could put downward pressure on gold prices. Conversely, a weakening dollar could support gold prices. In conclusion, gold's future is intertwined with the economic and geopolitical landscape. While it remains a valuable asset, investors should carefully consider the impact of China and the U.S. dollar on its price. Diversification and a long-term investment horizon may be prudent strategies for those seeking exposure to gold. Additional Factors Affecting Gold Prices • Inflation: Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation. As inflation rises, the purchasing power of fiat currencies declines, making gold an attractive investment. • Interest Rates: Higher interest rates can reduce the appeal of gold, as investors may prefer to invest in interest-bearing assets. • Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment and market psychology can significantly impact gold prices, especially during periods of economic uncertainty. • Supply and Demand Dynamics: Global gold production and demand can influence prices. Changes in mining production or shifts in consumer demand can affect supply and demand dynamics. By understanding the interplay of these factors, investors can make more informed decisions about investing in gold.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by bryandowningqln