Bulls rise, beware of Friday's black swan📰 News information:
1. Pay attention to the impact of Trump administration tariffs
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold rose as expected and touched around 3344, which was in line with our judgment last night. However, from the market point of view, the K-line entity did not stand firmly above 3335. There are only two possible scenarios for the subsequent trend of gold. One is to stand directly above and test the 3345 resistance again, and the other is to fall in the European and American markets due to timeliness and retest the key support of 3310. At present, the upper positions are 3345 and 3365 respectively. If 3345 is repeatedly not broken and the European market falls with acceleration, then the 3310 area will still need to take back the long positions, which can be defined as a long wide-range wash. 3330-3320 is a very critical support position, and 3310 is a strong support. Therefore, the best position for shorting during the day is around 3335-3345, with the target at 3330-3320. Consider long positions after falling back and getting support here.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3335-3345
TP 3330-3320
BUY 3330-3320
TP 3345-3365
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Xauusdupdates
Is Gold (XAU/USD) Ready to Bounce? Bullish Setup on Key TrendlinHi traders! , Analyzing XAU/USD on the 1H timeframe, price is currently bouncing off a long-term ascending trendline, showing signs of a potential bullish continuation:
🔹 Entry: 3318
🔹 Take Profit (TP): 3424
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 3207
After testing the ascending trendline multiple times, gold is once again showing bullish rejection near support. Price remains above the key trendline and is attempting to form a higher low within the broader uptrend.
The RSI is recovering from oversold territory (currently around 49), which suggests weakening selling pressure and possible buildup of bullish momentum.
If the structure holds, the target at 3424 aligns with a previous resistance area and a natural extension of the upward channel. The risk-reward is favorable with a strong technical confluence backing the setup.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader is responsible for managing their own risk and strategy.
The rebound is under pressure and the retracement is furtherFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below today is around 3309-16.
The short-term bullish strong dividing line is around 3295-3301. The overall bullish rhythm of high-altitude and low-multiple continues to remain unchanged.
Before the daily level falls below the 3300 mark, any retracement is a long opportunity, and short positions against the trend should be cautious.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour chart from OANDA shows the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) with a current value of $3,325.625, reflecting a $11.925 increase (+0.36%). The chart highlights key levels including a sell price of $3,325.290 and a buy price of $3,325.960, with a spread of 67 points. Technical analysis includes a resistance zone around $3,359.388 and a support zone near $3,317.966, with recent price action showing a potential upward trend from a low point. The chart spans from June to early August 2025.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 11, 2025
🔍 Momentum:
D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently rising, suggesting that the bullish trend is likely to continue for the next few days.
H4 timeframe: Momentum is also bullish, indicating that the uptrend is likely to dominate today.
🌀 Elliott Wave Pattern:
On the H4 chart, price action is in the final stage of a contracting triangle correction.
Price is now approaching the upper boundary of the triangle. With both D1 and H4 momentum in alignment, the probability of a breakout to the upside is high.
If this breakout occurs, we can expect a move toward the 3393 area, which is a key level to confirm whether the corrective phase has truly ended.
🎯 Price Targets:
Current area (3330–3332): A potential opportunity for a scalp BUY, supported by bullish momentum on H4.
Next support zone: 3315–3317 – a solid area for a mid-term BUY entry if there’s a pullback.
⚠️ If price breaks below 3279, the current wave count becomes invalid and a new analysis will be provided.
✅ Trade Plan:
🔹 SCALP BUY
Entry: 3332 – 3330
SL: 3327
TP1: 3363
TP2: 3390
🔹 MID-TERM BUY ZONE
Entry: 3317 – 3315
SL: 3307
TP1: 3342
TP2: 3363
TP3: 3390
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 11 July 2025Hello Traders
Today we have weekly closing & all eyes on weekly closing initially
2nd 3350 Psychological level remains watchable if GOLD break 3360 level successfully today then it will move towards 3390 else we have remains selling opportunities from TOP
below 3360 level market will move towards 3315
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
XAU/USD 11 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Go long when the trend reverses, beware of black swansYesterday's pullback to 3313-3310 confirmed the upward trend of gold. As I expected, it broke through the resistance of 3330 and touched around 3345. Currently, the short-term strong resistance is at 3345. Only by breaking through this resistance can gold maintain its upward trend. If it is blocked near the 3345 line in the short term, there is a possibility of a pullback. If 3345 breaks, there will be 3365 and 3400 above. Once the direction is clear, it will be easier to act. If there is a pullback during the day, it will give us a trading opportunity to enter the long position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Price Analysis July 11Gold price today continues to maintain a strong upward momentum after breaking the previous support trendline (gold wire). Currently, SELL orders should only be considered as short-term response transactions, with priority given to monitoring to join the main trend.
✅ Trend: Up has been confirmed, the nearest target is towards the 3390 area today.
🔑 Key Levels:
Support: 3330 – 3314
Resistance: 3345 – 3362 – 3388
🎯 Trading strategy:
SELL activation: Watch the 3345 area, only SELL when there is a price rejection signal with a confirmation of a decrease.
Potential SELL area: 3362 – 3387 (strong resistance).
BUY Activation: Look for buying opportunities at support 3330 – 3314 if there is a clear bullish reversal signal.
XAUUSD H4 | Premium Supply RejectionPrice has tapped into a premium selling zone around 3,340 - 3,350 and is showing signs of rejection.
📍 Key Levels:
• Premium Supply Zone: 3,340 – 3,350
• Current Price: 3,332
• Target Zone: 3,275 – 3,265
• Intermediate Support Zones: Around 3,320 & 3,300
🔴 Liquidity was swept above the previous high, and price has reacted strongly from this level.
🔻 Bearish Bias:
• Expecting a move down towards target support.
• Clean break of structure confirms bearish intent.
• Multiple FVGs and imbalance zones below price support the downside continuation.
📌 Trade Idea:
Sell from premium zone with confirmation
🎯 Target: 3,275 zone
📉 SL suggestion: Above 3,355 (structure invalidation)
Gold Short Term OutlookGold has extended its recovery after reclaiming both the 50MA and 200MA, now trading just below the $3,341 resistance. Price has broken out of the short-term descending channel and is showing early signs of bullish continuation.
A confirmed break and hold above $3,341 would open the path toward the next resistance cluster at $3,356–$3,370, followed by $3,383.
If price rejects this resistance and pulls back, the $3,328–$3,313 area will be key to maintain the bullish structure. Below that, focus returns to the $3,300 level and the broader Support Zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,341
‣ $3,356
‣ $3,370
‣ $3,383
Support:
‣ $3,328
‣ $3,313
‣ $3,300
‣ $3,267
⚠️ It’s Friday! Stay sharp and manage your risk.
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold is in the Bearish direction from a Support levelHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XAU/USD 1H Outlook
FVG Fill (3320–3318)
Price is expected to drop into the unfilled Fair Value Gap between 3320 and 3318.
London/NY Liquidity Hunt
After filling the FVG, look for a swift bullish impulse during the London and New York sessions to trigger stop-runs and collect liquidity.
Downward Correction to 3305 & 3298
Once the liquidity grab completes, expect a retracement:
First target: 3305
On a break below 3305, next target is the unfilled FVG at 3298
Summary:
Drop → FVG fill (3320–3318) → Bullish liquidity hunt (London/NY) → Retracement toward 3305 (then 3298)
XAUUSD - Intraday SMC Bearish Setup | 15m ChartGold is currently reacting to a visible 15m supply zone after a bullish retracement. Price failed to break above the short-term supply (highlighted in red), showing signs of potential short-term reversal.
🔍 Key SMC Insights:
Supply Zone at 3318.47 – 3320 area is holding firm, with price showing clear rejection and lower highs forming.
Internal CHoCH already confirmed — suggesting short-term bearish order flow is active.
Liquidity Grab and rejection around the supply confirms smart money may be offloading positions.
Imbalance Below near 3303.96, with further inefficiency down to 3272.64.
📍Trade Idea:
Sell Entry: After a retest or failure to break above the 3318.47 zone.
Target 1: 3303.96 (near-term support and minor liquidity)
Target 2: 3272.64 (major liquidity zone + possible demand area)
Invalidation: Bullish break and close above 3320 would shift intraday bias.
⚠️ Monitor lower timeframes (1m–5m) for confirmation before executing trades. This setup aligns with the 4H bearish structure, enhancing confluence.
XAUUSD - 4H Bearish Rejection from Supply Zone | SMC AnalysisGold is showing signs of weakness after reacting strongly from a 4H Supply Zone around the 3331.72 level. Price tapped into the red supply zone, failed to break above, and is now forming lower highs — suggesting bearish momentum is building.
🔍 Key SMC Observations:
Supply Zone: Price rejected the 3331.72 level, which acted as a clear supply area based on past liquidity grabs and bearish institutional moves.
Change of Character (CHoCH): We saw a CHoCH around July 5th–6th, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish order flow.
Lower High Formation: Price failed to make a new high after tapping supply, showing signs of distribution.
Imbalance + Target Zone: Clean imbalance exists down to 3288.73 and potentially to the green demand zone around 3260–3270.
📍Trade Setup Idea:
Sell Opportunity: If price continues to reject the supply zone, look for bearish confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., 1H) to enter.
Target 1 (TP1): 3288.73 (near-term liquidity level)
Target 2 (TP2): 3260–3270 demand zone
Invalidation: A break and close above 3331.72 would invalidate the short-term bearish bias.
🔴 Watch for reaction around 3288.73 – if it holds, expect a possible bounce. If broken, further downside is likely.
Night range operation, technical outlook is still bearishGold fell as expected after repeated battles at 3330. Currently, gold has returned to around 3320. This shows that the rebound was mainly driven by short-term risk aversion. As market news calms down and sentiment stabilizes, the market will most likely return to the technical trend. If it unexpectedly breaks through 3330, it is expected to touch the 3345 line I mentioned this morning. The short-term 3310 line currently has certain support. From a technical point of view, I prefer to short. Once it falls below 3310, the subsequent support will move to 3295-3285. Therefore, I think it is a good choice to short again at 3320-3330.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Bearish is still the main trend, first test 3250 supportYesterday, as the market expected a trade agreement to be reached between the US and its trading partners, risk sentiment was boosted. The strengthening of DXY and the rise in US Treasury yields put some pressure on gold.
On Monday, gold rebounded to 3320, and on Tuesday it touched above 3320 and began to fall sharply. In the short term, 3320 is a key trading position that we need to pay attention to. From the daily chart, the support line of 3320 has been completely broken, and the two major support points below are 3250 and 3200 respectively. Judging from the 4H chart, the decline may have just begun. Next, we may first face a test of the 3250 support line. If the 3250 support can be maintained, gold will maintain a volatile consolidation in the short term. Otherwise, if it falls below 3250, it will test the 3200 mark.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold fluctuates, continue to short at 3345 during the dayTrump's trade policy continues to stimulate risk aversion. Although the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes are neutral, they can potentially provide support for gold. Yesterday we gave the short positions of 3321 and 3333, which have generated profits so far. At the same time, it should be noted that the 4H MACD indicator has the potential demand to form a golden cross. In the short term, there is a certain suppression force at 3330-3335. If the Asian and European sessions repeatedly test this position but fail to break through effectively, you can go short without hesitation. If you want to go short again during the day, you can consider 3340-3345 and defend 3350. The lower 3310-3305 is a relatively strong support area during the day. If the Asian session retreats to this point, you can consider going long, with the target looking at 3330-3335.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Perfect prediction, pay attention to the high short entry pointTrump extended the tariff agreement to August 1 and began to collect tariffs again. Although it eased market tensions, his remarks will not be extended after the expiration, and he issued a tariff threat, which increased global trade uncertainty and pushed up risk aversion. There was no clear direction coming out of the Fed's meeting minutes last night, but the potential bias was bullish.
At the beginning of the Asian session this morning, I also indicated that gold would rise and then fall. At present, it has reached the highest point near 3325 and then began to retreat, but the 4H golden cross has just been formed. There is still a certain pressure above 3333. If the gold price repeatedly competes for this position, we can continue to short without hesitation. The second short position today is near 3340-3345. There is potential momentum for the bulls in the short term. If the European session continues to fluctuate below 3333, then the entry of short positions will be slightly more stable. Yesterday, short orders were given at the key points of 3321 and 3333, and TP looked at 3310. If the bulls re-emerge below 3310-3305, you can consider short-term long positions and target 3330-3335.
Gold rebounds as expected, NY focuses on the Fed meeting📰 News information:
1. Federal Reserve meeting minutes
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold fell into a narrow range of fluctuations during the European trading session. As I said this morning, gold is expected to rebound in the short term and the bullish momentum needs to be released. From a technical perspective, the overall market is still in a volatile pattern. The support at the 3280 level below is still a key point that needs attention in the short term. The European session has repeatedly tested this area. If it falls below this support, it is expected to touch the 3250 level as I said. While guarding against gold diving during the NY session, the upper resistance of 3315-3321 cannot be ignored to prevent bullish retaliation.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3315-3321-3333
TP 3300-3290-3280-3250
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD