12H GOLD CHART ANALYSIS ROUTE MAP UPDATEHello Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on the GOLD 12h chart Analysis we’ve been monitoring and trading. Below is a comprehensive breakdown of the current range we’ve been tracking.
However we now have Candle body closing above TP1 (2765) with a gap at 2826. Now we will need ema5 cross and lock above TP1 (2765) to further confirm next bullish target. Otherwise if ema5 rejects this level, price will bounce for MA21 correction or further down to ENTRY LEVEL (2705). We need to look and watch this area carefully.
Now we will have to wait and see the reaction of ema5 either it cross and lock above TP1 (2765) or below, then it will confirm the next direction.
Key Updates:
Strong Resistance level at 2790.
12H chart- MA21 correction is DUE
Key Updates:
Bullish Targets:
TP1: 2765
TP2: 2826
TP3: 2877
If EMA5 cross and love above ENTRY LEVEL at 2765, the next bullish target is TP2 (2826).
If EMA5 crosses and locks above TP2 (2826), it will open the bullish target to TP3 (2877).
Bearish Targets:
TP1: 2708
TP2: 2664
TP3: 2626
If EMA5 reject to cross and lock above 2765 and reverse below this level, it will open bearish target to 2708
If EMA5 cross and lock below ENTRY LEVEL at 2705, the next bearish target will be 2664.
If EMA5 cross and lock below 2664, the next bearish target will be 2626
Short-Term Strategy:
We will use smaller timeframes (1H and 4H charts) to buy dips at weighted levels, aiming for clean 30-40 pips per trade. Ranging markets are ideal for this strategy, avoiding longer holds that risk being caught in volatile swings.
Long-Term Bias:
Our long-term outlook remains Bullish, and we view drops as opportunities to buy dips, using our predefined levels and setups on smaller timeframes.
The QUANTUM Trading Mastery
Xauusdupdates
Short gold again after rebounding to 2750-2760 zoneGold has currently retraced to the 2741 level, triggering significant profit realization for our positions. Since gold rallied above 2770 last week, I have consistently maintained a bearish stance, anticipating profit-taking and sell-offs driven by market sentiment. Our short positions have once again delivered substantial returns.
This morning, we initiated long positions near the 2756 level and closed them at 2770, securing an easy profit of 140 pips. As gold approached 2770, I explicitly shared in my previous analysis that if gold failed to decisively break through the 2770-2775 range, I would switch to shorting. Thus, after closing the long positions, I reversed my position and shorted gold near 2770. Gold has since declined as expected to around 2741. Although we closed our short positions near 2753, capturing a profit of 170 pips, I am still satisfied with this result. It's been a strong start to the week's trading!
Currently, gold has bottomed out around 2740. I do not recommend chasing shorts at this level, as the 2740-2730 zone provides notable technical support, which could potentially drive a rebound to the 2750-2760 range. For those looking to short gold further, it’s advisable to wait for a rebound to the 2750-2760 region before executing short trades. Alternatively, a moderate long position could be considered, with a short-term target set between 2750 and 2760.
Bros, have you followed me to do short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
SeekingPips SELL Level XAU SHORT Call A Picture Paints 1000WordsSeekingPips SELL Level XAUUSD SHORT Call A Picture Paints 1000 Words.
✅️ Another ball out the park moment for SeekingPips.
✅️ Called it at first blue arrow and the confirmation and a perfect opportunity to get back on board at the same price.
⭐️If you took the reentry signal you got virtually zero drawdown⭐️
Be sharp and always pay yourself at pre identified key levels. SeekingPips almost always keeps a runner after being paid.
Yes sometimes we are kicked out after but always in a profit after moving stops.
By having a runner SeekingPips never missed the big runaway move.
It is those outliers that sometimes male the month a GREAT PAYDAY.
If you missed it.
WAIT for a TRIGGER don't be a DUMBA$$
Chasing is never a good idea.
Bulls Breaker - Gold targeting critical level 2782.xx - 2790.xxGold is trading around 2778 while we were analyzing he charts.
Bulls have initiated a supper bullish cycle started from 2600/2585 range towards the critical level 2782.xx - 2790.xx that can pause the aggressions on temporary basis but please note if gold sustained above 27900 it would entered into no man's land where it would become very difficult to trade for intraday/scalpers.
I believe gold bulls may take a breather till 2765 - 2740 that is where critical support would help to decide either gold would fall more or bounce back.
Breaking & sustaining below 2740/2735 may open 2722/2718 range as next big level to watch.
Xauusd update target 2785?? Here's a summary of your updated XAU/USD trade plan:
Trade Plan
- *Entry Point*: 2750 (current)
- *Target*: 2784
- *Stop-Loss*: 2740
Market Analysis
The XAU/USD is experiencing a bullish trend, driven by a weakening US dollar and increasing inflation concerns.
Technical Analysis
- *RSI Indicator*: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, indicating a bullish momentum.
- *Moving Averages*: The 50-day moving average is trending upwards, supporting the bullish view.
- *Support Levels*: The support levels at 2740 and 2730 could provide a buying opportunity in case of a pullback.
Risk Management
- *Risk-Reward Ratio*: Your risk-reward ratio is approximately 1:4.4, which is relatively aggressive.
- *Position Sizing*: Make sure to adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance and account size.
Trade Progress
You're currently 34 pips away from your target. Keep monitoring the market and adjust your strategy as needed.
Stay disciplined and stick to your trade plan. Good luck!
Execute the trading direction of goldDear Traders,
As I mentioned in yesterday’s market analysis, if gold does not break below the 2760-2750 support zone during its retracement, it is highly likely to breach the 2800 threshold later this week. Taking advantage of today’s pullback, we initiated long positions near 2756. Although gold briefly dipped to 2747, it quickly rebounded above 2750, indicating the potential for continued upside momentum.
Currently, gold is trading around 2769, and our long positions are already yielding a solid profit. If gold follows the anticipated trajectory and rises further, I will closely monitor its performance in the 2770-2775 zone. Should it struggle to decisively break through this resistance, I may consider a short-term short position to capitalize on a potential pullback.
Bros, do you think gold will break through 2800? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD 27 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to analysis dated 21 January 2025.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade continue bearish to complete it's pullback phase. Technically price should trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis you will note a bullish iBOS marked in red. I have marked this is red as price did not pull back deep enough for me a validate, therefore, on this occasion I will apply my discretion.
Price then continued bullish, subsequently printing a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is currently in discount of 50% EQ and should technically target weak internal high priced at 2,786.060.
Alternative scenario: As H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, it would come at no surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS to assist H4 TF in it's pullback phase.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold Poised for Upside: Bullish Continuation Toward $2800The 4-hour chart of Gold (XAU/USD) shows a bullish structure with a clear upward momentum. The key support zones around 2740-2755 serve as critical levels where buying interest is expected to emerge, supported by visible accumulation in these areas.
A break of structure (BOS) confirms the continuation of the bullish trend, indicating that buyers are in control of the market. The weak high above 2775 signals a potential move toward testing the next resistance levels around 2785-2790. Two entry zones are highlighted for buyers: a conservative entry above 2755 or a more aggressive approach around 2740 in the event of a pullback. The upward price target lies in the 2790-2800 range, aligning with the overall bullish trend.
From a fundamental perspective, gold prices remain supported by global economic uncertainty and continued demand for safe-haven assets. The market is also sensitive to Federal Reserve policy signals, with any dovish tones likely providing further bullish momentum. While the technical outlook favors buyers, it is crucial to implement proper risk management, with stop-loss levels below 2740 to protect against unexpected volatility.
XAU/USD 27-31 January 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks.
Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range.
Price is anticipated to trade down towards either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing -> Bullish.
-> Internal -> Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024
Price Action Analysis:
Price has shown a reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Currently price has been unable to target the weak internal high
Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to target weak internal high, priced at 2,790.170 However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Price has yet to tap into Daily demand.
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action.
Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.
Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:https://www.tradingview.com/x/tPRFgn8w/
Xauusd | Market break the point 2770-2769 ?XAUUSD 2,770 885 | 27/January/2025 ( Market break the point 2770-2769 )
- This video is based on Educational Purposes
In Our Past Commentary we discuss that market should close the candle below the 2770-2769 area and Currently market is at 2770.885 which is quite close
So what will be the Possible Scenarios ?
- Bearish Scenario : If Market closed the candle below our Observation point we will hold our positions to 2760 point and we are confident market will touched at 2750.00 so basically there are two regions (2750 and 2739) which are indicated trying to push from levels .Although if candles closed below this region our expectations would be to touched 2680.00 area a new lowest point
- Bullish Scenario : if Market cant break the Support level which is at 2770 - 2769 area we are going to expect the All time high at 2790 to 2800.00 area
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout.
Buy entry above 2725.00
Sell Entry below 2690.00
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 2790.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
Bearish Robbers TP 2660.00 (or) Escape Before the Target
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Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
The XAU/USD (Gold) market is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors.
BULLISH FACTORS:
Global Economic Uncertainty: The ongoing global economic uncertainty, including the COVID-19 pandemic and trade tensions, is expected to increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Central Bank Policies: The central banks' dovish monetary policies, including interest rate cuts and quantitative easing, are expected to support gold prices by increasing liquidity and reducing the costs.
Inflation Expectations: The rising inflation expectations, driven by the increasing money supply and the potential for higher commodity prices, are expected to support gold prices as a hedge against inflation.
Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the US-China trade war and the Middle East conflicts, are expected to increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
UPCOMING FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS:
US Federal Reserve Meeting: The upcoming US Federal Reserve meeting is expected to result in a decision to keep interest rates low, which could support gold prices.
US GDP Growth: The upcoming US GDP growth report is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
China's Economic Data: The upcoming China's economic data, including GDP growth and industrial production, is expected to show a slowdown in economic growth, which could increase demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Commodity Prices: The upcoming commodity prices report is expected to show an increase in commodity prices, which could support gold prices as a hedge against inflation.
MARKET SENTIMENT:
Bullish Sentiment: 60%
Bearish Sentiment: 30%
Neutral Sentiment: 10%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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XAUUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Stick to shorting goldDear Traders,
As I mentioned in my previous update, we can still consider shorting gold around the 2785 level, anticipating a short-term pullback to the 2770-2760 range.
Currently, gold has reached a high of 2785, just a step away from the previous high of 2790. At this stage, technical indicators have become less significant, with the 2790 resistance zone and the psychological level of 2800 serving as the primary reference points for initiating short positions.
Although gold is demonstrating strong bullish momentum, I sense some signs of a "short squeeze." If profit-taking or a sell-off of profit-holding positions occurs, gold could experience a sharp correction. For this reason, despite the strong uptrend, I remain cautious and refrain from chasing the rally. Instead, I continue to utilize the **2790-2800** resistance zone as a basis for attempting short positions.
Bros, are you still optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Continue and try to short gold with a target of 2760Dear traders.
Gold unexpectedly accelerated during the early hours, surging to around 2778, which was beyond my expectations.Gold has currently reached a maximum of around 2785.
It’s evident that the only significant resistance lies at the previous high of 2790 or the psychological level of 2800, leaving limited upside room. Therefore, I continue to advise against chasing long positions on gold in the short term. At this stage, technical indicators have been significantly overshadowed, and market sentiment has become a more critical factor to monitor.
In the context of short-term trading, I recommend avoiding long positions to reduce the risk of being trapped at high levels in the event of a sharp selloff triggered by profit-taking or liquidation of long positions. Instead, I prefer taking short positions with well-defined stop-loss levels. Even if gold continues to rise and hits the SL, the loss will be manageable, and the capital will remain intact. On the other hand, if a sudden crash occurs, short positions could yield significant profits.
Bros, are you still optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GOLD MAKE NEW RECORD 2840 This chart is an analysis of the XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) market on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's the breakdown:
1. Trend Overview:
The price is moving in an upward channel (marked by parallel yellow lines), indicating a bullish trend.
There was consolidation earlier, as shown by the blue shaded channel, but the breakout above this zone signals bullish momentum.
2. Key Levels:
Demand Zone (Resistance): 2840. This is highlighted as a potential resistance area where the price may struggle to break higher.
First Take Profit (TP): 2800. This is the initial target for profit-taking based on the analysis.
Stop Loss (SL): 2748. The stop-loss level is set below recent price support to minimize risk in case the market reverses.
3. Price Movement Expectation:
The yellow arrows indicate an expected upward movement. The price is predicted to move towards 2800 (first TP) and possibly continue towards 2840 (demand zone).
Pullbacks or retests are expected along the way to maintain the bullish structure.
4. Risk Management:
The stop-loss at 2748 ensures risk is contained if the upward momentum fails.
The chart suggests entering around the current level (2773) to target the resistance levels while maintaining proper risk-reward.
This setup relies on the continuation of bullish momentum, with clear entry, target, and risk levels defined
XAU/USD 24 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action.
Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.
Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis by trading down to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS and subsequently as bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pulback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,778.455.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD Analysis: Strong Bullish Outlook and Key Trading LevelsAs you know, my overall outlook on Gold (XAU/USD) is bullish, and I anticipate a new all-time high in the near future.
However, yesterday, I highlighted the potential for a short-term correction, identifying the 2725-2730 zone as possible support.
While the price did experience a pullback, it didn’t quite reach this level, but my pending sell order wasn’t activated either. As a result, I stayed out of the market.
Looking at price action since the start of the year, it’s evident that every dip has been aggressively bought.
This was especially clear yesterday, as after a significant rally and the test of a key resistance level, the price didn’t even manage to drop to the median line of the ascending channel.
The conclusion is simple: XAU/USD is strongly bullish.
Key Levels and Strategy:
In this context, the only viable strategy is to buy dips. The key levels of interest are:
• 2760 – a critical level to watch for potential entries.
• 2735 – yesterday’s low and another area of potential support.
The next target for a potential high could be set around 2840, based on the current market structure.
Final Thoughts
Given the strong bullish momentum, patience and precise entries will be essential for achieving good risk:reward. Look for pullbacks to the key levels mentioned above as opportunities to join the trend.
Happy trading, and let’s aim for that new all-time high!
Short-Term Red Flags for Gold: Key Levels to WatchAs you know, I’ve been bullish on Gold for the past two weeks, anticipating a rise to around 2760 and potentially a new all-time high (ATH).
However, while my overall bullish outlook remains unchanged, there are some short-term red flags to consider.
Looking at the posted chart, we can see that yesterday, Gold broke above the channel’s resistance. Typically, such a breakout would lead to upward acceleration, at least in theory. Instead, the price touched the 2763 resistance level and then began rolling back down.
If Gold breaks back below the previously broken resistance, we could see a retest of the lower boundary of the channel, which sits around 2720 (a confluence support zone roughly 300 pips below current levels).
In conclusion, unless bulls can successfully push above 2760, the likelihood of a correction increases. While it’s a risky play, aggressive traders might consider shorting the market under these conditions.