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XAU/USD 19 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 12 November 2024, I highlighted the anticipation of a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) as an indication of a bullish phase initiation. Price has now confirmed this by printing a bullish CHoCH. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range and remains consistent with the broader pullback requirements of higher timeframes. This internal range forms the basis for today's expectations. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to the premium of the internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where it is currently positioned. Alternatively, price may trade higher to reach the H4 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,536.855. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: According to rules and a systematic process, price has printed a further bullish iBOS in-line with HTF bullish pullback phase. Currently CHoCH positioning, which is denoted with a blue dotted line, and internal low are positioned close-by, therefore, price could print new highs to reposition CHoCH. You will note the internal range has significantly narrowed. The printing of a bearish iBOS could potentially be an early signal that the H4 pullback phase has completed. Intraday Expectation: For today's session, we are looking for confirmation of a bearish pullback phase by price printing a bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning is currently marked with a blue dotted line. Alternative scenario: H4 remains in bullish pullback phase and is currently trading in premium of 50% EQ where we could see a reaction, therefore, it would not surprise me if price printed a bearish iBOS on M15 TF. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy approach and rising geopolitical tensions, heightened volatility in Gold prices is expected to continue. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential whipsaws in price action. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
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FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Thief_Trader
XAUUSD, 30-MINUTES TIMEFRAME CHARTXAUUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart XAUUSD break the resistance level of 2,612.00 General outlook XAUUSD has been under buying pressure within the last day. The pair moved up to the resistance level of 2,612.00. Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a buy limit order at 2,612. Set your stop loss at 2,605. below the previous low ($7.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,635. ($23.00 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
TVC:GOLDLong
by QAZIFXTRADER
XAU ! Nov 18 ! Scalping BUY retest entry BREAK XAU / USD trend forecast November 18, 2024! SCALPING Gold prices saw their steepest weekly drop since September 2023, falling to a two-month low last week as the US Dollar surged to its highest level in over a year. Over the weekend, geopolitical events spurred safe-haven demand, helping the precious metal regain strong upward momentum during the Asian session as the new week began. US President Joe Biden approved Ukraine's use of US-supplied long-range missiles for deeper strikes inside Russia, which, in response, has reportedly deployed North Korean troops to bolster its military efforts. Trendline M30 - price drops to trend BREAK point, then bounces back /// BUY XAU : zone 2575-2572 SL: 2569 TP: 40 - 80 - 150 pips (2587) Safe and profitable trading
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Moon-ForexAcademy
1
Trade Plan for Gold (XAUUSD)Gold is currently moving within a descending channel, indicating a downtrend. It is consistently setting lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), confirming bearish market sentiment. Additionally, the RSI is in sync with the price action, reinforcing the downtrend. Entry Point: Sell at 2603, which serves as the next significant resistance level. This level is also close to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement derived from the previous Lower High (2709) and Lower Low (2534). Stop Loss: Place the stop loss at 2710, above the last Lower High (LH), ensuring protection against false breakouts. Take Profit Levels: TP1: 2496, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel and maintaining a conservative target. TP2: 2389, aiming for the continuation of the downtrend if the price breaks the next support levels. Trade Notes: Monitor RSI for divergence or loss of momentum near critical levels. Confirm the continuation of the descending channel by observing price behavior near 2603 before entering the trade. Adjust the plan dynamically based on any breakouts or unexpected shifts in the broader market sentiment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Naqash16046
Gold encounters safe-haven rally, trend analysis and strategyLast week, the daily gold line fell to 2536 and supported on the 20-day moving average. Affected by the risk aversion of Russia and Ukraine at the end of the week, the Asian session rose by $30 compared with last Friday, and the price was above the oscillating platform. From the perspective of the 1-hour chart, the rebound has not ended! Sell high and buy low during the day! The 4-hour moving average of gold is still arranged in a bearish divergent downward, and there is still no sign of turning. The decline of gold has not ended. In the short term, it is just a rebound. There are still many resistances above gold. Continue to go short at highs under the upper resistance of 2618. Gold 2616 can enter the market first. First support: 2571, second support: 2563, third support: 2554 First resistance: 2605, second resistance: 2616, third resistance: 2627 Trading strategy: BUY:2573-2571 SELL:2616-2618 Sell high and buy low according to resistance support
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
XAU/USD 18 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed both a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and a subsequent bearish Break of Structure (BOS), confirming the need for a pullback across all higher timeframes (HTFs). Currently, price action remains in alignment with the broader pullback requirements. Intraday Expectation The expectation for the intraday session is that price will print a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) to signify the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. The positioning of this bullish CHoCH is indicated by the blue dotted line on the chart. However, it is also possible that price could extend to a new low, bringing the CHoCH positioning much closer to the current price action, setting the stage for a potential bullish reversal signal. Note: Given the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold prices is anticipated to persist. Traders should exercise caution and remain vigilant in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: The prior intraday expectation was invalidated as price printed a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), signaling a shift in internal order flow. Following bullish iBOS, the next anticipated move is the printing of a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which would indicate the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. This CHoCH positioning is marked by a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: For today's session, we are looking for confirmation of a bearish pullback phase by price printing a bearish CHoCH. Bearish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line Alternative Scenario: On the H4 timeframe, there are signs of a bullish pullback phase potentially developing, though there is no confirmation as of yet. In my view, the bullish momentum on the M15 timeframe is to assist the H4 timeframe in confirming its pullback phase. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy approach and rising geopolitical tensions, heightened volatility in Gold prices is expected to continue. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential whipsaws in price action. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold to Correct Before PPI, Targeting $2470 As we examine the recent price action of XAU/USD, gold continues to exhibit a pronounced bearish trend amidst a robust wave of demand for the U.S. dollar. This ongoing downtrend has seen the metal consistently test and breach key support structures, recently breaking through the significant level of 2547. Traders are closely watching for signs of a potential false breakdown in this zone, which could pave the way for a temporary counter-trend correction. Such a move may set the stage for intraday opportunities, especially as we approach crucial economic events on the horizon, including the Producer Price Index (PPI) release and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s anticipated speech. This backdrop of gold’s decline is intensified by an uptick in dollar demand, which stems from a resurgence of optimism in the broader financial markets. The “Trump-led euphoria” has bolstered investor sentiment, leading to continued support for the U.S. dollar index. This dynamic persists despite mixed economic signals, such as softer-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and a relatively dovish tone from several Federal Reserve policymakers. In this climate, expectations have increasingly shifted toward the likelihood of a modest rate cut by the Fed at its upcoming meeting, with a 0.25% reduction considered the most probable outcome. For gold bulls, this strengthening dollar presents a formidable challenge, requiring a reassessment of medium-term targets. The recent surge in the dollar, largely propelled by renewed investor optimism and positioning around trade-related policies, has overshadowed the Fed’s relatively accommodative stance. Thus, even as the Fed hints at a softer approach, the dollar’s upward trajectory exerts pressure on gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset, tilting the scales further toward a bearish outlook for XAU/USD. Today’s market focus centers squarely on Powell’s upcoming comments, along with the latest PPI data and weekly jobless claims report, which together could bring further clarity to the Fed’s policy direction and the broader economic outlook. Should Powell reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance, a potential dollar pullback might provide temporary relief for gold. However, with technical indicators signaling a robust downtrend, it seems likely that any rally in XAU/USD could be short-lived, making resistance levels crucial focal points. From a technical perspective, gold is currently testing the pivotal support at 2546, where a decisive close below this level could confirm the continuation of the bearish trend. This area could prompt a temporary rebound, potentially targeting resistance zones in the vicinity of 2577, 2589, and 2595. Such a move would align with a common market behavior observed during key news cycles—where a brief corrective rally emerges as traders seek to “win back” losing positions before ultimately resuming the trend in favor of the prevailing momentum. Immediate support levels to watch include 2546, 2531, and the round figure of 2500. A breakdown through these levels would reinforce the current downtrend and could attract further selling interest, with technical patterns suggesting the possibility of continued weakness in the absence of a strong fundamental catalyst. Ahead of the news, it’s plausible that XAU/USD could experience a corrective rebound toward local resistance or an imbalance zone, offering short-term trading opportunities for those anticipating a resumption of the downtrend post-correction. Market participants should be prepared for heightened volatility during Powell’s speech and the PPI release, as both events carry the potential to shift sentiment and trigger short-term price reactions. In summary, while there’s a possibility for a near-term correction in gold, the broader outlook remains bearish as dollar strength and a resilient equity market diminish gold’s appeal. For traders, closely monitoring resistance and support levels will be crucial in identifying profitable entry points amid the anticipated price swings.
FX:XAUUSD
by lonelyPlayer0
XAU/USD 18-22 November 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range. Price is projected to move downward toward either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing -> Bullish. -> Internal -> Bullish. Price Action Analysis: In my weekly analysis dated 27 October 2024, I forecasted that price could potentially make new highs, thereby shifting the bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) closer to recent price action. This repositioning would serve as a trigger for a bearish pullback phase initiation. As anticipated, this scenario unfolded with CHoCH shifting nearer to the current price and ultimately printing a bearish CHoCH. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range (highlighted in blue), trading in the discount zone of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ) and approaching a Daily demand zone, where a reaction is likely. Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to react upon reaching the Daily demand zone and could trade upward to target the daily internal high. However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing -> Bearish. -> Internal -> Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Analysis remains the same as previous bias from my analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed both a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and a subsequent bearish Break of Structure (BOS), confirming the need for a pullback across all higher timeframes (HTFs). Currently, price action remains in alignment with the broader HTF pullback requirements. Intraday Expectation: The expectation for the intraday session is that price will print a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) to indicate the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. The positioning of this bullish CHoCH is indicated by the blue dotted line on the chart. However, it is also possible that price could extend to a new low, bringing the CHoCH positioning much closer to the current price action. Note: Given the Federal Reserve’s dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold prices is anticipated to persist. We should exercise caution and remain vigilant in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Is a XAUUSD (GOLD) Monster Trade on the Horizon?👀👉 XAUUSD Gold has recently reached a critical support zone on both the weekly and daily timeframes, showing signs of being heavily oversold. In this video, we explore a potential bullish scenario: if XAUUSD reverses and breaks market structure, it could set up a substantial trading opportunity as price targets previous highs. Risk Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always assess your risk tolerance before entering a trade.*📊
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by fxtraderanthony
9
1HR Fibs Gold pull-back to 61.8% Bounce-Up. Retail data soon I see that Gold pulled back to a Fibonacci sequence number 61.8% on the 1HR chart I was watching, there is probably similar on other time frames. I think the market is waiting for Retail Sales data, high number bullish for the dollar. But lets not forget the USD$ has had a good run the past 2 weeks, Gold has fallen in some ways due to the inverse history between the 2, but sometimes when the correction has been made where Gold has corrected, Gold may make a brake upwards despite USD strength and we also saw that yesterday beginning to happen. A lot of squeeze in the Gold price around 2570. I still favour a move upwards today. But wait for the data now and trade with the trend. Right after publishing this, Gold broke out. A bullish 5m cup pattern. 2569 to 2571 appears to be the buy zone , Golden-zone Fibonacci 31.2 to 50% level.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
XAUUSD:15/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2627, support below 2500 Four-hour resistance 2581, support below 2535 Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, gold technically fell and then rose, and the deep V rebound rebounded strongly. The price of the Asian and European sessions was under pressure at the 2580 mark and fell rapidly. The European session further retreated downward and broke through the 2570 mark to reach 2560 and fell into sideways fluctuations. Before the US session, it quickly fell down and broke through the 2540 mark to reach 2536 and stabilized, and finally formed a deep V rebound, breaking through and standing on the 2570 mark to reach 2578 and fell under pressure to close. The short-term decline in gold prices may have bottomed out at 2636. Today, the short-term support of 2550-2553 is concerned below, and the short-term pressure above is concerned around 2588-90. The overall support for the day is to sell high and buy low in the 2550-2590 area. At present, the decline of gold has almost reached a certain level, and it is likely to start to fluctuate and consolidate. In the short term, the gold price will stabilize at the 2536 mark and fluctuate upward to repair the previous decline. Do not short at will at a low price. BUY:2550near SL:2545 SELL:2581near SL:2585 The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
1
XAU/USD 15 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Following price has printing bearish iBOS, price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,536.896. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold rebounded strongly, short-term bearish, long-term bullishGold bottomed out and rebounded yesterday, and rose sharply in the late trading, approaching the resistance of 2578! The daily MA5 moving average moved down to 2583, the four-hour MA10 moving average was 2570, and the lower track of the Bollinger band was 2588. The top and bottom conversion position of the previous low was 2590, and the hourly RSI indicator returned to the central axis. The upper track of the Bollinger band closed at 2580 and the lower track was 2545. The intraday trading range oscillation idea layout, short-term participation in short-selling, long-term bullish. The gold 1-hour moving average continued to cross the short arrangement, and the gold moving average resistance now moved down to around 2580. Gold began to fall under pressure at 2578 in the US market yesterday. Today, the Asian market rebounded to around 2580 and can enter the market. First support: 2556, second support: 2545, third support: 2530 First resistance: 2580, second resistance: 2590, third resistance: 2605 Trading strategy: You can sell high and buy low near the first resistance 2556 and the first support 2580. If the NY session fluctuates greatly, pay attention to the second resistance and support
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
XAUUSD: Buy at low level, target 2578-2590The first rebound after the significant drop is basically over, and it has already reached the resistance area. During the upcoming retest, pay attention to the support near the previous low. Just like the strategy I gave when the market rebounded to around 2620 last time, this time we should also watch for a potential W-shaped trend. If it appears, a rebound to the 2578-2590 range should not be a big issue. So, for tomorrow's trading, the focus should be on buying at lower levels. For those who enjoy scalping, don't be too greedy during the trade—keep an eye on the rhythm, and don't neglect risk management. If you have any questions, feel free to leave me a message.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mia-Signal
9
XAU/USD 14 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 12 November 2024. Price has printed a bearish iBOS followed by a bearish BOS. This is in-line with all HTF's requiring a pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Bullish CHoH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Previous intraday analysis where I mentioned that price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,589.725 was how price printed. Price has printed a further bearish iBOS. We are now trading within an internal high and fractal low where price is showing reaction from H4 demand zone. Price has printed has yet to print a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low. Price could potentially print a lower low to reposition CHoCH. Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK