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XAU/USD 4H Market Analysis- 19 June 2025XAU/USD 4H Market Analysis Market Structure: Gold has been in a mild uptrend on the 4‑hour chart, making higher lows and highs since early June. The recent swing high was around ~$3,428 (mid-June), and price has pulled back toward the rising support line near ~$3,373. A break above the recent high (around $3,404–$3,428) would continue the bull trend; conversely, a drop below the ~3,373 trendline/50% Fib level would signal a bearish turn. In other words, bulls remain in control as long as ~$3,373 holds – breaking that would threaten lower support around ~$3,338. Overall Bias: Moderately bullish on 4H. Gold is respecting its rising trendline and 50-period EMA, and analysts note that holding above ~$3,373 keeps the uptrend intact. Momentum (MACD) is neutral to slightly bearish short-term, so we expect consolidations and range bounces more than a reversal. In summary, assume an upward bias while price stays above key support near $3,370–$3,380; a firm break below would flip bearish. Key SMC/Zones: Price is currently in a range/consolidation roughly between $3,370 and $3,400. Important zones include: Demand (Support) Zone: ~ $3,368–$3,378 — this 50% Fib retracement area has been defended as a bullish order block. Below that, stronger supports sit near ~ $3,354 and $3,333 . Supply (Resistance) Zone: ~$3,395–$3,415 — a cluster of swing highs and Fib levels. Analysts highlight $3,395, $3,412, $3,435 and even $3,450 as major resistance barriers. In particular, the $3,400 level is a known psychological and technical ceiling. Trendlines/BOS: The rising 4H trendline (currently near $3,370–$3,380) is key support. A break of structure (BOS) below that line would be a bearish Change-of-Character. Similarly, the prior swing low around $3,373 is a flip zone – bulls want to keep that hold. Liquidity: Stop-loss/liquidation clusters may lie just above recent highs ($3,428–$3,450) and just below recent lows ($3,338–$3,354). For example, stops above $3,428 could fuel a rally if hit, and stops below $3,338 could accelerate a drop. In short, high-probability zones on the 4H chart are around ~$3,370 (demand/support) and ~$3,400 (supply/resistance). We’ll look for trades that align with that structure (see setups below). 1H Trade Setups (Aligned with 4H Bias) Long around $3,370–3,375 (Buy Dip to Demand Zone) – Entry: ~3,370–3,375 (green zone). Stop: ~$3,365 (≈$5 below zone). Take-Profit: $3,380 first, then $3,390–$3,400. Reason: This zone is a 4H demand area (50% Fib + order block) and coincides with the rising 4H trendline. Price has repeatedly bounced here, so a bullish reversal is likely. Trigger: Look for a bullish 1H signal (e.g. engulfing or pin bar) at ~3,370–3,375, or a break of the short-term 1H down-structure. Entry on such a signal would target a retest of the mid-range (~3,380) and beyond toward resistance. Short around $3,395–3,400 (Sell Rally to Supply) – Entry: ~3,395–3,400 (red zone). Stop: ~$3,405 (≈$5 above zone). Take-Profit: $3,375 first, then $3,365. Reason: This area is a clear 4H supply zone (near multiple Fibonacci levels/resistance). It’s just below the $3,400 psychological barrier. A failure or bearish reversal here would likely send price back toward the demand zone below. Trigger: Watch for a bearish 1H candle or a break of the short-term 1H up-structure in the 3,395–3,400 range. A clear rejection (e.g. bearish engulfing or strong wick) would be the signal to enter short. (Note: If price breaks cleanly above $3,405–3,410 instead, a bullish continuation trade would then be favored, targeting $3,415+.) Takeaway: Trade gold with the 4H structure in mind. With price above the ~$3,370 trend support, favor longs on pullbacks into that demand zone and shorts only at proven supply near $3,400. Always use a tight ~$5 stop beyond each zone and scale out at logical pivot levels to manage risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
XAU/USD: Buy on DipsDriving Logic - Fed policy decision in line with expectations; escalation of Iran-Israel conflict boosts safe-haven demand; gold ETF inflows hit $230M daily, a 1-year high. Key Levels - Strong resistance at $3,400; support at $3,360-$3,370 (confluence of 50-day MA and Fibonacci retracement). Trading Strategy - Long on bullish candlestick reversal at $3,370-$3,360; stop-loss at $3,350; targets at $3,390-$3,400. Monitor PPI data and Middle East developments. XAUUSD buy@3360-3370 tp:3385-3395 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
XAUUSD:Fed & Middle East as Breakout CatalystsGold is currently fluctuating between $3,375 and $3,405. A breakdown below $3,375 could trigger a direct move toward $3,360, while a decisive breakout above $3,405 with sustained momentum would target $3,430. The ability to breach this range hinges on today's Fed data release and evolving Middle East tensions. For now, adopt a range-trading strategy (sell high/buy low) within the band, and await key data to follow market momentum. XAUUSD sell@3395-3405 tp:3380-3370 buy@3370-3380 tp:3395-3405 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
Expect gold to break 3400 for 3430 post-FedIn recent years, after the U.S. economy was hit by a round of high inflation, inflation data has gradually shown signs of easing 📉. Logically, the weakening inflation pressure should have paved the way for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates, but surprisingly, the Fed has chosen to remain on the sidelines and maintain its high-interest-rate policy ⚖️. The Fed's decision to keep rates high has had a significant impact on gold prices and the U.S. dollar 💱. First, high interest rates typically push up the U.S. dollar exchange rate, thereby dampening gold demand 💰↓. Gold's price movement this week deviated from market news or expectations 📉≠📢. Driven by geopolitical conflicts, gold rallied on Friday 📈, and the momentum continued to simmer over the weekend, leading to a gap-up opening on Monday followed by a steady decline 📉. On the hourly timeframe, the low points are gradually shifting downward, with 3,400 becoming a short-term resistance level 📊. Although gold fell from 3,452, it is clearly oscillating around 3,380 🔄 I think the Fed's interest rate decision this time may cause gold to directly break through 3400 and reach around 3430 🌟📈 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 3380 - 3385 🚀 TP 3400 - 3430 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_1
1
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) from June 4 to June 18, 2025. The current price is 3,391.79, reflecting a +3.61 (+0.11%) change. The chart highlights a recent upward trend with a notable peak, followed by a slight pullback. Key price levels are marked, ranging from 3,320.00 to 3,420.14, with technical analysis indicators such as a resistance zone (pink) and a support zone (light green) overlaid.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Alee_Gold_Trader
Long Trade Setup: XAUUSD 🟡 Trade Setup: XAUUSD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar) Timeframe: 1H Bias: Bullish Reversal Type: Liquidity Trap Breakout Instrument: Gold / USD --- 🧠 Step 1: Market Context Gold has been in a downtrend, forming consistent lower lows. Recently, it broke below a key support level, making it appear like further downside is coming. However, price has since moved sideways, suggesting loss of bearish momentum. --- 🎯 Step 2: Liquidity Trap Detected This breakdown below support seems to be a false move, possibly engineered to: Trigger stop-losses below the previous low Attract sellers expecting further downside Create sell-side liquidity for institutions This pattern is known as a liquidity trap or stop hunt. --- 📏 Step 3: Confirmation from Price Action A descending trendline breakout is visible on the 1H timeframe. Price broke out, retested the trendline, and is now showing bullish candles. This signals potential accumulation and trend reversal. --- 💼 Step 4: Trade Details Entry: 3,393.73 Target (TP): 3,500.41 Stop Loss (SL): 3,351.50 Risk to Reward Ratio: ~2.5:1 This trade offers a solid risk-managed setup, ideal for intraday to short-swing traders. --- 🔍 Step 5: What to Watch For Watch for bullish continuation above 3,400. If price closes above 3,420, breakout buyers may join in. If price drops below 3,375, exit and reassess. --- 📌 Summary This trade banks on the idea that smart money is accumulating positions while retail traders are trapped short. The risk-reward ratio is favorable, and technical signals align for a potential upside move. XAUUSD, Gold analysis, Liquidity trap, Stop hunt, Trend reversal, Technical analysis, Gold breakout, Smart money move #XAUUSD #Gold #Breakout #LiquidityTrap #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #Forex #TradingView #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #TrendReversal #RiskReward
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Jamtara_Trader
Buy Signal at 3363 Support, Sell Signal at 3400 ResistanceToday's key resistance level for gold remains at 3400.00 🚦, with the support area around 3363.00 🛡️. The current price of gold is 3388, placing it in the middle of the range between the support and resistance levels ⚖️. We can wait for opportunities to go long when the price drops to around the support area of 3363.00 - 3370.00 📉, accompanied by bullish candlestick patterns (such as a hammer with a long lower shadow 🔦, a bullish engulfing pattern 🐂) or positive fundamental news (such as dovish remarks from the Federal Reserve 🕊️, escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East 🔥). Conversely, we can consider going short when the price reaches the resistance zone of 3400.00 - 3405.00 📈, along with negative fundamental news (such as strong U.S. economic data 📊, easing of geopolitical risks 🧘). Gold Trading Strategies sell@ 3400-3405 tp:3375-3365 buy@3365-3370 tp:3390-3400 Professional trading strategies are pushed daily 📊 Lock in precise signals amid market fluctuations 🚀 Confused about market trends? Stuck in strategy bottlenecks? Real-time strategies serve as your "trading compass" 🌐 From trend analysis to entry/exit points, dissect market logic comprehensively Refer now 📲 Help you move steadily forward in investments ✨ 👇👇👇
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LenBessemer
The interest rate remains volatile,and the gold operation layout📰 Impact of news: 1. Initial jobless claims data 2. US-Iran conflict continues 3. Pay attention to the Fed's decision 📈 Market analysis: Gold has been trading sideways recently. It is expected that there will not be much fluctuation before today's Fed interest rate information and Powell's speech. It is expected to continue to fluctuate in the range of 3405-3365. At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the short term is also a point we need to pay attention to. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3380-3375-3365-3355 TP 3395-3400-3405 SELL 3405-3395 TP 3380-3375-3360 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
Wide range fluctuations continue, the latest layout of gold📰 Impact of news: 1. Initial jobless claims data 2. US-Iran conflict continues 3. Pay attention to the Fed's decision 📈 Market analysis: At present, the gold price is testing the 3380 line again, and the strong support below is 3365-3355. As long as it does not fall below this key support, the bulls will remain strong. At the same time, the two key points of 3405 and 3420 above are still short-term resistance. Breaking through may directly test 3450. In the short term, gold fluctuates repeatedly at the 3405-3365 level, temporarily maintaining a high-altitude low-multiple cycle. There is also initial jobless claims data released today. At the same time, the geopolitical situation in the short term is severe, so we need to be cautious. In addition, the New York Stock Exchange will be closed tomorrow. The focus this week is mainly on Friday, especially when it is superimposed with the Fed's interest rate decision, we need to be vigilant about the transmission effect of sudden changes in liquidity on the market. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3380-3365-3355 TP 33395-3400-3405 SELL 3405-3390 TP 3380-3360 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar, covering the period from late June to early July 2025. The current price is $3,381.09, reflecting a slight decrease of $7.09 (-0.21%) over the period. The chart includes candlestick patterns, with a highlighted consolidation zone and a recent downward trend. Key price levels such as $3,401.46, $3,389.38, and $3,340.00 are marked, indicating potential support and resistance zones.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Alee_Gold_Trader
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | June 18, 2025🌀 Current Wave Structure on H4 The recent drop has broken below the previously labeled wave 1 zone, requiring an adjustment to our wave count. Following the abc corrective move (black), a potential triangle formation is emerging. At this point, we’re monitoring two possible scenarios: 🔹 Scenario 1 – Triangle as a Wave X Correction: Price is forming an abcde triangle, potentially part of a larger WXY corrective structure. If this plays out, we may see a strong decline forming wave Y, targeting a break below 3297, and possibly extending to 3248. 🔹 Scenario 2 – Leading Diagonal Triangle as Wave 1: If this is a leading diagonal triangle for wave 1, then wave 1 is likely completed, and we are currently in wave 2. In this scenario, price should hold above 3248, with likely support zones around 3335 or 3300. 🎯 Key Price Zones & Resistance Levels Major Resistance: 3389 – 3402 (based on volume profile) – prime area for potential short setups. Short-term Resistance Levels: 3389, 3402, 3412 – watch for reversal signals here. 🔻 Momentum Outlook Daily (D1): Momentum is declining and expected to enter oversold territory within 2 candles – indicating a weakening downtrend and supporting the leading diagonal scenario. H4: Momentum is preparing to turn bearish – supports short opportunities. H1: Already turned bullish – suggests a possible corrective bounce before the next drop. 📌 Trade Plan 🔴 Sell Zone: 3400 – 3403 • SL: 3410 • TP1: 3365 • TP2: 3335 🟢 Buy Zone 1: 3335 – 3332 • SL: 3325 • TP1: 3365 • TP2: 3402 🟢 Buy Zone 2: 3302 – 3209 • SL: 3292 • TP1: 3335 • TP2: 3365 • TP3: 3402
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
showing a descending wedge (falling wedge) pattern formingThis is a 30-minute (M30) chart of XAUUSD (Gold vs. US Dollar), showing a descending wedge (falling wedge) pattern forming, which is a classic bullish reversal setup. Chart Description: Pattern Formed: Descending wedge is clearly drawn with: Lower highs and lower lows, converging between two trendlines. Price action is respecting both boundaries of the wedge. Current price is mid-range inside the wedge. Projected Price Path (Dotted Arrows): The chart suggests: A possible fakeout or final dip towards the wedge's lower boundary. Followed by a rejection and bullish breakout. Target would likely be above 3,392+, possibly aiming toward the wedge's origin zone (~3,408 or higher). Market Implication: This setup is typically bullish, especially if: Volume increases near the lower edge. Price fails to make a new low and starts printing bullish structure (HL → HH). Summary: XAUUSD is consolidating inside a falling wedge on the 30m chart, suggesting potential for a bullish breakout. Traders may anticipate one last liquidity sweep before a breakout toward higher resistance levels.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by King_Maker_FX
GOLD(XAUUSD) UPDATEKeep a close watch on the 3,403–3,406 zone (highlighted area in the chart). This is a strong resistance zone that gold has tested multiple times but failed to break. What to expect? If gold gives a clean breakout and sustains above this zone, we could see a good upside momentum unfolding. 📈 Break above = bullish momentum confirmation 💬 Stay alert and be ready to act if price breaches this key level with volume and strength. Trade smart, manage risk.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nadia_farhat
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Technical Analysis - 18 June-2025Gold has been in a bullish 4H uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows. Recent data show gold peaked near ~$3,445 on June 16 (a new all-time high) before pulling back toward the $3,400 area. In other words, price action remains constructive: successive higher lows (around $3,372, $3,322) and higher highs (around $3,445) indicate a strong uptrend. As long as each pullback holds above the prior swing low (so far ~$3,372), the bullish structure (Break-of-Structure, BOS) is intact. A decisive drop below ~3,372 (and especially below ~$3,322) would violate that structure (a Change-of-Character, CHoCH) and open a deeper correction. Market Structure & Bias (4H) Bullish bias: Gold has made a series of higher lows and highs on 4H, confirming an uptrend Technical indicators (RSI bullish, price above 200-SMA) and fundamentals (safe-haven demand) support this bias. Caution near $3,400: The key $3,400 zone has switched roles as resistance-turned-support. Holding above $3,400 keeps bulls in control, but failure to regain it could allow a deeper dip toward ~$3,350. Break-of-Structure (BOS): A BOS (new 4H high) upholds the uptrend. A CHoCH (e.g. a close below $3,372/$3,322) would signal a possible reversal Key 4H Levels & Zones Resistance/Supply: ~$3,445–3,450 (recent swing high); ~$3,500 (psychological/all-time level). Price may stall or reverse near these supply zones. Pivot/$3,400: ~3,400–3,413 zone – a critical pivot. Gold traded near $3,400 recently; a break above targets $3,450, while failure could drop to support. Support/Demand Zones: ~$3,372 (prior 4H higher-low). Near ~$3,350–3,353 – the 61.8–78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the last rally and a “golden pocket” demand area. ~$3,322–3,328 – a strong 4H demand order-block where price held on the last pullback. Finally ~$3,300 (major low below). Order Blocks & Imbalances: Smart-money traders note a 4H demand block at $3,322–3,328 (the low of a large bullish candle). A brief sweep above $3,338 (a liquidity grab) was followed by a clean bounce from this zone. Any unfilled gaps (imbalances) near $3,380–3,400 may attract price back during retracements. In summary, the 4H chart shows a bullish structure with key support at ~$3,372–3,350 (demand/Fib zone) and resistance around $3,445–3,500. As FXStreet notes, the uptrend remains “intact” on 4H as long as dips are bought. However, traders should watch for any break below $3,372/$3,322, which would flag a bearish structure break. Until then, the overall bias is bullish, favoring long entries on dips into the above support zones. 1H High-Probability Trade Setups (Bullish Bias) Setup 1 – Buy on $3,400 pivot hold: Entry zone $3,390–3,400 (at/just above 4H pivot). Stop: ~$3,380 (just below pivot, ~$10 below entry). TPs: $3,420 and $3,450. Trigger: A bullish candlestick pattern or break-and-retest of ~$3,400 (e.g. bullish engulfing or hammer on 1H). Reason: The $3,400 level is a key 4H support/resistance flip. Holding here would confirm the uptrend continuation, targeting the recent swing highs. A 1H bullish signal (like a reversal bar) gives a clear entry. Setup 2 – Buy on deep pullback: Entry zone $3,370–3,380 (around 4H higher-low). Stop: $3,360. TPs: $3,400 (the pivot) and $3,420. Trigger: A strong 1H bullish candle or double-bottom forming near zone. Reason: This area lines up with the 4H demand/Fib zone ($3,350–3,372). It represents a higher-low in the 4H structure. A bounce here would signal buyers stepping in at a key support. Setup 3 – Buy after breakout of $3,445: Entry zone $3,450–3,455 (above recent high). Stop: ~$3,440. TPs: $3,480 and $3,500. Trigger: A clean 1H candle close above $3,445 (breakout) and retest. Reason: A push above $3,445 (June high) would form a new 4H BOS, suggesting continued momentum. Buying on the breakout retest captures follow-through to the next targets. (Each setup uses a small $~10 stop relative to gold’s price. Always wait for the specified trigger pattern before entering.) Takeaway: On the 4H chart, gold remains bullish while above ~$3,372/$3,350. Key zones to watch are $3,372–3,350 (buy zone) and $3,400–3,445 (sell/resistance). For now, favor long entries into support, and confirm with clear 1H signals before trading.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
XAU/USD Bullish Reversal Toward 3,449XAU/USD Technical Analysis (30-Minute Chart) This chart shows a bullish breakout setup for Gold (XAU/USD) based on recent price action and technical indicators: --- 🔻 Support Zone & Trend Line: A descending support trend line has been drawn from earlier lows, showing a falling wedge structure. The key support zone between 3,367.825 and 3,388.370 has held firmly, confirming demand in this range. 📈 Bullish Reversal Formation: Price bounced off the support zone, suggesting a potential reversal. A breakout above the horizontal resistance near 3,388.370 is projected, with bullish momentum forming. 🎯 Target Levels: Immediate resistance: Around 3,388.370, which price is currently testing. Primary target: The yellow resistance zone near 3,449.485—if broken, it may confirm a strong upward trend. 📊 Volume Profile: Volume bars on the right show higher trading activity above 3,400, indicating potential resistance in that region. 📝 Summary: Gold is showing signs of a bullish reversal from the support trend line and key demand zone. A sustained move above 3,388.370 may lead to a rally toward the 3,449.485 resistance area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
3
Tend to short gold, it may still retrace to 3360-3350 areaAt present, gold as a whole is still fluctuating in the 3395-3365 area. In the short term, both long and short sides are not willing to break through. They may be waiting for the guidance of the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's monetary policy press conference. However, from the current oscillation structure, because the high point of gold rebound and the low point of retracement are gradually moving downward, the center of gravity of the candlestick chart is shifting downward, and the weight of gold shorts is slightly higher. From the current structure, 3395-3405 has become a new round of pressure area. Gold has been unable to break through for a long time, and has tried to accelerate downward many times during the retracement process. Although it can stabilize above 3375-3365, it may be easier to break through below after several tests. Once the 3375-3365 area is broken, gold may even continue to move to the 3360-3350 area. Therefore, within the 3395-3365 oscillation range, we can temporarily maintain the trading rhythm of selling high and buying low in the short term, while we must pay attention to the breakthrough of gold. Once gold breaks through, the trend may be continued, and we need to follow the trend to execute transactions!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
Short Opportunity on XAU/USD: Fed & Conflict Drive Next MoveTVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD XAU/USD is showing multiple rejections at the key resistance confluence of the trendline (TL1) and the $3,396–$3,405 zone. Price remains capped below this level while supported by TL2, with downside potential toward $3,354 and $3,326 if bearish pressure persists. A short setup is in play: entry at $3,396, stop at $3,411, and targets at $3,354 and $3,326, offering a favorable 1:2.97 risk–reward. Invalidation occurs on a 4H close above $3,411, which could open the path to $3,450+. Geopolitical risk remains elevated as the Israel–Iran conflict enters day six, with airstrikes near Tehran and speculation of U.S. involvement following President Trump’s emergency security meeting. Meanwhile, the upcoming Fed decision is key; while no rate move is expected, markets are focused on the updated dot plot and Powell’s tone amid ongoing tariff uncertainty. Long-term support for gold is reinforced by a World Gold Council survey showing 95% of central banks expect global reserves to rise, with a record 43% planning to increase holdings. Short-term bias remains cautiously bearish while below resistance, but any dovish Fed surprise or escalation in conflict may reverse momentum. Resistance : $3,396 , $3,405 Support : $3,354 , $3,325, $3,320
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ATFX_Global
Key Event Today – FOMC Interest Rate DecisionAs risk-off sentiment cools, gold bulls failed to take control yesterday, resulting in a stalemate with the bears. From the 4H chart perspective, bearish momentum currently appears stronger, though bulls are not giving up easily. Currently, price is rebounding off the 4H MA60 support, with immediate resistance from the MA20 around 3405. As time progresses, this resistance is likely to shift lower, so for now, we’ll treat $3400 as the primary reference point. For bulls to regain dominance, they must hold steady above 3405, and more importantly, protect the support at 3386–3378 during any pullback. 🔔 Key Event Today – FOMC Interest Rate Decision Today’s trading will also be influenced by the Federal Reserve’s rate decision, which, based on current expectations, is likely to weigh heavily on bullish sentiment. 📌 Strategy for Today: Main Bias: Sell the rebound Secondary Approach: Buy on pullbacks if strong support levels hold Key support levels to monitor: ⚠️ 3382 zone (minor support) 🔻 Most critical: 4H MA60 around 3366 Stay cautious during the FOMC announcement window, and remember — in volatile markets, reacting with discipline is more important than predicting perfectly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Arthur3017
6/17 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning! Yesterday, gold opened with a gap-up and surged to around 3451, but failed to sustain above key resistance. After another failed attempt to break higher, prices gradually turned lower and finally broke below 3400, finding short-term support near 3382. The primary driver of this decline was a waning of geopolitical risk sentiment, which had previously fueled the rally. Additionally, the market is now pricing in expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged, a factor that was likely preemptively reflected in price. 🔍 Fundamental Focus: Today’s U.S. session will feature a key news release, which may prove decisive for gold’s next directional move. With yesterday’s advance pullback, market dynamics are likely to be more volatile today. We recommend caution, especially ahead of the announcement. 📉 Technical View: Gold is currently in a post-decline consolidation phase. The main resistance lies between 3430–3450, while 3415 on the 30-minute chart also presents a short-term cap. For those entering long positions, target zones should remain conservative, ideally around 3412–3418, and then be adjusted depending on volume momentum and breakout structure. 📊 Weekly Structure Outlook: The weekly chart shows that gold is at a key trend inflection point. If no additional bullish catalysts emerge, the market is likely to develop into a bearish consolidation, with the next major downside target around 3200. 📌 Trading Plan (For VIP): ✅ Sell Zone: 3436–3466 ✅ Buy Zone: 3347–3323 ✅ Flexible Trade Zones: 3428 / 3415 / 3403 / 3392 / 3378 / 3362 / 3354
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang