Xauusdupdates
xauusd sell 4 hr support rejectFOREXCOM:XAUUSD 4hr support reject
15 min conformation
1hr support 1st target
4 hr supprt 2nd target
1 day support 3rd target
GOLD is in buy zone!XAUUSD has just drop to daily support with strong price action formation on the lower timeframe with an inverted head & shoulder showing possible bounce off the daily support level. As long term trend is up, we may see a sudden bounce to neck line where daily resistance is.
A possible buy trade is high probability.
Gold trading zones: 02-APRIL-2025Discover today's Gold trading zones and refine your market analysis skills.
Wednesday, April 2, 2025: Logical Analysis + Technical AnalysisHello traders,
** **
What happened last night?
In the COMEX gold futures market, the open interest for gold saw a **significant increase** in one day, with an addition of 62,187 contracts. Among them, the April 2025 contract increased by 45,428 contracts, which is a very rare and even abnormal surge.
Why is this event considered "strange"?
1. **Timing anomaly**: March 31 is the CME's "First Notice Day," when open interest typically begins to decrease as investors either opt for physical delivery of gold or roll over to the next contract. However, this time, open interest not only did not decrease but actually increased significantly.
2. **Abnormal relationship between price and open interest**: Normally, as gold prices rise, investors choose to take profits, leading to a decrease in open interest. Yet this time, while gold prices reached new highs, open interest surged.
What does this mean?
The 45,428 contracts correspond to approximately 4.5 million ounces of gold, worth about $14 billion at current gold prices. If this is not a data error or operational mistake, it could mean:
1. **A sudden influx of new physical gold demand**: A large amount of capital may have suddenly entered the gold market, preparing for physical delivery.
2. **Demand for deferred delivery being activated early**: Some physical demand that was originally planned for deferred delivery is now being activated ahead of schedule.
The sudden surge in physical delivery demand usually indicates that gold prices will rise significantly in the short term.
However, there is another possibility to be cautious about:
Someone might use massive positions to create a "short squeeze" panic, scaring off short sellers and driving prices higher, only to reverse positions for profit once the market overheats. In other words, the current situation may exhibit characteristics of "baiting" traders, requiring careful attention to risk.
Additionally, according to the Wall Street Journal, Trump is considering implementing "broader and higher tariffs" on all countries on April 2 (which is today) and "seeing what happens." Currently, the uncertainty index for U.S. trade policy is about 25% higher than during Trump's Trade War 1.0, and the U.S. economic uncertainty index has reached a historic high.
** **
** Insider Tips:**
On Monday of this week, during the Asian Tokyo session, gold broke upward, reaching a high of 3128.
This was a breakout from the consolidation that started during the European morning session last Friday and continued into the Asian morning session on Monday, with the highest point touching the extreme positions of FIBO EXT 1.27-1.414.
On Monday, it was suggested to wait for a 4-hour reversal signal before looking for a pullback to enter short positions in gold.
TP1: 3084
TP2: 3073
TP3: 3057
On Tuesday, crude oil experienced a brief pullback during the U.S. session, and the 1-hour chart showed that gold ended its consolidation after the U.S. market opened, resulting in a $34 pullback.
**Trading Plan for Wednesday to Friday:**
On the 4-hour chart, gold is likely to form a bullish reversal signal during the Asian morning session on Wednesday, with the candlestick stabilizing above the EMA. This indicates that the pullback in gold has ended, and the probability of continuing to rise is greater.
As long as gold remains stable above the EMA on the 4-hour chart before the non-farm payroll data on Friday, continue to go long on gold:
TP1: 3171
TP2: 3185
TP3: 3199
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEGOLD Daily Chart Update: 24th FEB 2025
Hi Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on the GOLD daily chart, which we've been closely monitoring and trading. Below, we break down recent price movements, updated key levels, and provide actionable insights for the days ahead.
Recap of Recent Chart Success!
Gold recently achieved a record high of $2,954.80. Our analysis has consistently highlighted that after reaching each target level, prices tend to reverse by over 40+ pips to the GoldTurn level. This pattern was evident when, after hitting TP3 at $2,933, the price retraced more than 40+ pips to the GoldTurn level at 2870, which acted as a support, before rebounding bullishly to surpass resistance and reach the all-time high of $2,954.81.
Current Outlook: Bullish or Bearish?
Presently, gold's price is oscillating between a resistance gap at $2,990 and a support gap at $2,933. The $2,990 level serves as a key resistance, while $2,933 acts as support. Additionally, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) offers support at $2,920.
In summary, while the long-term outlook remains bullish due to factors like central bank demand and economic uncertainties, short-term fluctuations between the $2,933 support and $2,990 resistance levels are expected. Traders should monitor these key levels and indicators closely to inform their strategies.
KEY LEVEL: 2870
Resistance Levels: 2990, 3052
Support Levels (GoldTurn Levels): 2933, 2870, 2801, 2744, 2671, 2595
EMA5 Behavior:
* Or If EMA5 crosses and locks above 2933, it strengthens the bullish case.
* If EMA5 fails to hold above 2933, cross and lock below this level 2933, expect a pullback to key GOLDTURN levels below.
Recommendations:
* Capitalize on Dip Opportunities: Use smaller timeframes (1H, 4H) to trade around GOLDTURN levels, targeting 30–40 pips per trade.
* Stay focused on shorter trades in this range-bound market to manage volatility effectively.
Long-Term Bias:
Maintain a bullish outlook while viewing pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Accumulate positions near key support levels for a safer approach instead of chasing highs.
Final Note:
Trade with confidence and precision. Our analysis ensures you’re well-prepared to navigate the evolving market landscape. Stay updated with our daily insights across multiple timeframes for deeper clarity.
Thank you for your continued trust! Don’t forget to like, share, and comment to support our work.
Best regards,
The Quantum Trading Mastery Team
GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025👇
🦁 GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025 📆
📍 Macro & Political Context
🗞️ Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing war in Ukraine + fresh tariff threats from Trump are sparking investor fear. Safe-haven flows into gold continue.
💰 Fundamentals: Inflationary fears remain strong. Market eyes the US NFP later this week. Fed is silent... too silent. 👀
🌍 Central banks are still buying gold – clear sign of institutional appetite.
🔍 Market Structure Overview
Trend: Bullish HTF ✅
Current Price: $3,113
All-Time High: $3,148 (Reached recently – likely liquidity swept!)
Last Valid BOS: H1 and H4 both show bullish structure, but a correction is brewing. 🍃
📊 Key Technical Zones & Confluences
🔻 Sell-Side Liquidity Below
📌 $3,100 – Clear liquidity pool (equal lows + psychological level)
🔥 Below $3,100 to $3,085 – Strong imbalance zone + unmitigated FVG
🧲 Expectation: Price may grab liquidity here before next leg up
🔷 Imbalance + Discount Zone
📉 $3,085–$3,095 – Massive H1/H4 imbalance. Could be a POI if price breaks $3,100
🧱 Valid Demand OB (H1) inside this zone + FIBO 61.8% retracement from last impulse
🔺 Premium Rejection
🧱 H1/H4 OB near $3,135–$3,145 = Price sharply rejected = probable redistribution zone
✂️ This was also the weekly high, which got swept = liquidity taken
🎯 Plan of Action
🟢 Scenario 1: Long Entry from Discount Zone
"Let them take the liquidity, we take the reversal!" 💸
Entry Zone: $3,085 – $3,095
Confluence:
Valid H1 OB (confirmed with PA)
Imbalance zone
FIBO 61.8% + structure break
Sell-side liquidity sweep from $3,100
Confirmation: M15 CHoCH + Bullish engulfing or low volume sweep
SL: Below $3,078
TP1: $3,130
TP2: $3,145
TP3: $3,150 (liquidity magnet again)
🔴 Scenario 2: Short if Price Pushes Back to $3,140+
Catch the premium short 🧨
Entry Zone: $3,140 – $3,148
Confluence:
All-time high sweep (liquidity trap)
HTF OB rejection
Weakness shown on M15
Confirmation: M5-M15 CHoCH + engulfing
SL: Above $3,155
TP1: $3,125
TP2: $3,100
TP3: $3,085
🧠 Final Notes
📌 Be reactive, not predictive – wait for PA confirmation at POIs
📰 Watch news – especially unexpected geopolitical catalysts or Fed surprise
🧘♂️ Stick to risk management. At ATHs, volatility is high and manipulation common.
👉 If this breakdown helped you, don’t forget to FOLLOW for more sniper setups and smash that ❤️ LIKE button to show some love!
Your support keeps this 🔥 content coming!
#XAUUSD: Another Big Bullish Move in Making! Price has created another record high which suggest the possible further growth in market, although, 3000$ remained a key level. There are two areas where price can reverse from, first one is current trading price or bigger correction towards 2950.
The bulls continue to reach new highsEarly layout plan for gold: As mentioned in our previous article, we decisively laid out gold short positions when entering the market at key points in the early stage, strictly implemented the fast-in-fast-out trading strategy mentioned in our article, perfectly hit the stop-profit target TP, and successfully made profits.
Gold technical analysis: Gold bulls dominate the screen, continuously breaking new historical highs. The current highest has reached 3149. The daily line has also closed positively, galloping in the market, invincible, and also let the bears flee. The current trend is basically in a regular form. The bullish trend is still strong. The early opening sprint broke through the 3130 line. We directly went long in the real market and successfully reached the target 3140-3145. Yesterday, the technical side of gold ushered in an accelerated rise in the Asian market. In the afternoon, the bulls in the European market continued to break through and stand above the 3100 integer mark to reach 3120 and continue to fluctuate strongly. Last night, the US market retreated twice to confirm that it stabilized at the 3100 mark and further continued to break through the 3127 mark and closed strongly. Our real market and the analysis of the article before the US market last night also successfully entered the long order at the 3103 line. I believe that friends who follow me can see that if your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate!
From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support is around 3117-3124, with a focus on the 3100-3106 line. Intraday operations follow the retracement and continue to be long. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3096-3100 line. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain a low-long rhythm. Short selling can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly, without fighting. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold retracement 3117-3124 line long, retracement 3100-3106 line long, stop loss 3097, target 3145-3150 line, break and continue to hold;
Trading discipline: 1. Don't blindly follow the trend: Don't be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, blindly following the trend is easy to fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technological changes, notify you in a timely manner if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in the volatile market, and achieve steady asset appreciation.
Gold intraday trading strategyGold continued to rise strongly on Friday, breaking the high and closing. The U.S. gold price stabilized at the 3067 mark and continued to rise, and finally closed back above 3085, almost the highest point of the day. The daily K-line closed with two consecutive positive days of shock and breaking the high. The overall gold price firmly stood above the 3050 mark, continuing the strong unilateral rhythm of the bulls. However, after the opening of today, the gold price continued to accelerate and pierced the 3097 mark, and then fell back under pressure and adjusted rapidly. In the short term, the gold price is expected to usher in repeated long and short fluctuations at the 3100 integer mark. Don’t chase more near 3100 at present. Although it rebounded near 3097 at the opening and then rebounded after touching the lowest level of 3077, this wave of technical adjustments is far from reaching the target. We continue to maintain the idea of retreating and going long.
From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3065-73, with a focus on the 3056 first-line support below. The short-term pressure above is 3100-3106. Relying on this range during the day, the main tone of the high-altitude low-multiple cycle remains unchanged.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Buy when gold falls back to 3065-3073, add more when it falls back to 3056, stop loss at 3045, target at 3105-3108, continue to hold if it breaks
Gold 100% Profit SignalThis week, multiple factors intertwined to affect the gold price. The tariff policy was settled on Wednesday, and the ADP data also caused market turmoil; the non-farm data on Friday will test the market again, with risks and opportunities coexisting. Against this background, gold has shown its charm as a safe-haven asset. The decline of the US economy, the intensification of the US debt crisis, and the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have all provided impetus for the rise in gold prices.
From a technical perspective, gold fell back quickly after opening high in the morning, but then stabilized and rebounded. The weekly, daily and 4-hour lines all showed a bullish trend, with strong upward momentum. On the hourly chart, gold maintained a good upward trend, with previous highs and lows rising continuously, and bulls dominated. The current upper resistance is in the 3135-3138 range, and the lower support is in the 3111-3107 range. In terms of operation, it is recommended to do more on the callback and supplement it with high rebound.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3105-3100, stop loss at 3093, and the target is 3120-3140.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to sell at 3130-3135, stop loss at 3142, and the target is 3110-3100.
Gold continues to move lower today!Gold is running fast in small steps above 3100, and the strong bull market has been rising again and again, with no intention of stopping. Yesterday, it opened directly and broke the high. The European market was under pressure and corrected sideways at 3130, and the US market bottomed out and rebounded to close near the high point.
This kind of strong market closed strongly at a high level, especially the market that rose in the early morning. In any case, there must be more in the morning of the second day, and generally there will be continued rises. The same time cycle is true on Monday.
At present, gold bulls are rising strongly, and you can just go with the trend and be bullish. Don't guess the top easily. There may be a small correction in the process of rising, but it does not change the overall upward trend. It mostly appears in the form of bottoming out and rebounding, which is also a kind of correction.
The real big top needs a certain amount of time to brew, or there is an obvious top signal. If there is a large-scale high-rise fall and close with a large cross, you should pay attention; or if there is a large decline, it is not appropriate to continue to be bullish.
For now, gold can still continue to see more. After all, there is no previous high to refer to, so the risk area can only be judged by the increase.
For gold today, the price rose from 3120 to 3148 in the morning, an increase of nearly 30 US dollars. So the afternoon adjustment continues to be bullish, focusing on the 3133 first-line support, the watershed is at 3120, and the upper pressure is 3150-3160! If the European session fluctuates sideways without rising, beware of the bottoming out and rebounding at night, repeating yesterday's trend.
In terms of trading, a total of four orders were operated yesterday, and one order was loss-making:
1. The 3073 long market was not given a slight difference, so I directly aggressively long at 3081, and stopped profit at 3110 after reducing positions at 3100;
2. After the rise, there will be a correction in the afternoon, and the stop loss at 3120 is 3122;
3. The European session continued to be lightly short at 3124, and the target position of 3100 was reached after reducing positions at 3110;
4. There were many orders at 3100, and the stop profit was 3124 before the break.
Precise gold trading signalsSpot gold opened higher and moved higher in the morning trading on Monday (March 31), breaking through $3,090/ounce and setting a new record high of $3,111.54/ounce. The market was mainly driven by geopolitical risks and market concerns about the global trade war, which attracted investors to safe-haven assets. The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 63 basis points this year, starting in July. Goldman Sachs raised the probability of a US recession from 20% to 35%. Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in July, September and November. The market is currently preparing for Trump's plan for reciprocal tariffs on April 2.
This week, the focus will be on the implementation of global trade tariffs on Wednesday and the non-farm payrolls report on Friday, which may strengthen gold's safe-haven appeal. Other important data include the ISM manufacturing PMI and JOLTS job openings on Tuesday, ADP employment on Wednesday, and the ISM non-manufacturing PMI and initial jobless claims on Thursday.
Gold has four consecutive positive weekly lines, and the price has risen strongly based on 5MA. The K-line continues to diverge upward against the upper Bollinger track. Last week, the K-line closed with a real big positive line, and there will be further continuation this week. The upper track has moved up to around 3122, but today's monthly line is closed. After the high, we must also be careful of the risk of retracement. The daily K-line also broke the high after the consolidation last week. The current price has risen to 3111. The bulls are very strong, and there is further short-term growth. Pay attention to the resistance near the upper track 3117 in the short term, but it should be noted that MACD has signs of top divergence, so be careful of the market going up and falling back to wash the market. The 4-hour chart is also in a very strong trend.
Intraday operations still adopt the idea of low-to-long, bullish but not chasing the rise, gold rose and broke the high in the morning, so the European session will continue, the intraday support is 3097-3086, the watershed is the early low of 3076, the European session falls back to around 3097-86 and continues to be long, focusing on the strength of the European session, the European session is strong, and the US session has a second rise, if the European session is weak, the US session will fluctuate.
Gold strategy: It is recommended to buy at 3097-3095, stop loss at 3086, and target 3113-3122-3132
Gold continues to rise above 3100!Gold is bound to reach 3100. Last week, after several days of shocks, gold broke through the high and rose sharply. On Friday, it reached 3087, and the daily line closed with a big positive for two consecutive days. There is only a dozen dollars left to reach 3100, and there is no doubt that it will be won next week.
On Friday, the high level fluctuated sideways, and it tested the high point of 3086 many times from the US market to the early morning. The more it tested, the greater the probability of breaking. Finally, it closed near the high point of 3085.
If this kind of strong market closes strongly at a high level, then there is a high probability that the market will directly rise and break the high at the opening on Monday morning, or will go straight to around 3100. Even if there is a retracement, the amplitude will not be too large. Pay attention to the support line of 3073-3067.
How much room is there above 3100?
This wave of strong breakout and rise is somewhat affected by the tariff policy. The rise in risk aversion has helped push gold to a new high. After a large increase in bullish volume, it may slow down. It mainly depends on the expectation of tariff policy, buy expectations and sell facts. The previous rise has fully digested the impact of the news. Facts have proved that if it continues to rise, it is expected to slow down or even fall in stages.
The retracement range of the previous high of 3057-3000 is only 57 US dollars, which can only be regarded as a small correction. Under the influence of the news, it will break the high again. It is possible to see more above 3100, but it is really not recommended to chase more.
Because after the New York futures gold broke through 3100 US dollars on March 28, the number of contracts delivered on the first fixed position day of the April contract was as high as 34,865, with a total of 3.49 million ounces, that is, 108 tons, a historical record. In the case of gold continuing to rise and break high, this huge delivery will make it highly likely that there will be a large-scale run on gold in April.
In the previous round, the price of gold bulls went from 2286 to 2790, which was 504 US dollars. If calculated from 2277 to 2790, it is 513 US dollars. It peaked at 2790 and fell to 2536, which was 254 US dollars.
In this round of bull market, the price went from 2583 to 3100, which was 517 US dollars. If calculated from 2596 to 3100, it was also 504 US dollars.
According to the same rise and fall in the previous round, there is a possibility of a sharp decline above 3100. Be careful of risks if you are bullish but don't chase the long position. If the price drops by 254 US dollars from 3100, it is 2846, which is also near the starting point of the second rise, which is consistent with the technical aspect.
Gold’s Unsustainable Rally: A Strong Correction Ahead?
In my analysis yesterday, I explained that XAU/USD is significantly deviated from the mean, with its 20-period moving average nearly 1,500 pips below the current price. This level of divergence is unsustainable.
As always, trading against the trend is risky—especially when there’s no clear guide, such as a resistance level, to structure the trade.
Although my sell trade from yesterday hit its stop loss this morning, my outlook remains the same: a strong correction is likely.
Looking at a smaller time frame, we can see that Gold has risen sharply since last week, gaining 1,000 pips. The 3,125–3,130 zone is acting as a key short-term confluence support.
At the time of writing, the price is hovering just above this level with significant volatility. Typically, strong volatility signals potential reversals, and considering all factors, a downward move is highly probable.
In conclusion, I maintain my expectation of a strong downside reversal. A break below the confluence support would confirm this move, and I anticipate at least a 500+ pip drop in the coming days.
With that in mind, I will be looking to re-enter short.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Verified again, bulls continue to hit new highsGold technical analysis: Gold opened at 3130 in the morning. Yesterday, gold technically accelerated in the Asian session. The European session bulls continued to break through and stood above the 3100 integer mark to reach 3120 and continued to fluctuate strongly. The US session stepped back twice to confirm the stabilization of the 3100 mark and further continued to break through the 3127 mark and closed strongly. Friends who follow me can see that our real-time analysis and the analysis of the article before the US session also successfully entered the long order at the 3103 line. This also verifies the 3127-3130 line suppression given in my article last night. The daily K-line closed with a shock and broke through the high-middle Yang. The overall gold price ushered in the rhythm of bulls accelerating the rise after breaking through the 3050 mark. The daily level closed with a strong medium-yang for three consecutive trading days. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate!
From the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support is around 3118-3124, with a focus on the 3100-3106 line. Intraday operations follow the retracement and continue to be long. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3096-3100 line. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain a low-long rhythm. Short selling can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly, and do not fight. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so please pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold retracement 3116-3124 line long, retracement 3100-3106 line continue to cover long positions, stop loss 3097, target 3145-3150 line, and continue to hold if it breaks.
Trading discipline: 1. Do not blindly follow the trend: Do not be swayed by market sentiment and other people's opinions, operate according to your own operation plan, market information is complicated, and blindly following the trend can easily fall into the dilemma of chasing ups and downs.
2. In gold trading, we will continue to pay attention to news and technical changes, inform you in a timely manner if there are any changes, strictly implement trading strategies and trading disciplines, move forward steadily in volatile markets, and achieve steady asset appreciation.
#XAUUSD: Smaller Time Frame With More Accurate Entry Areas! We currently have several active ideas in the Gold analysis section. However, we would like to share a comprehensive chart analysis that clearly demonstrates a market trend and potential entry points. The analysis identifies two entry types: “safe” and “risky.” A “safe” entry is only valid if the “risky” entry is invalidated. You may choose to take either entry if it aligns with your trading bias and chart analysis.
If you find this analysis valuable, please consider liking and commenting on it, as this feedback will help us post more detailed analyses in the future.
As always, we express our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support.
Team Setupsfx_
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold's oscillation convergence is about to break!Technical analysis of gold: Gold has slightly risen and fallen during the day and is generally in a volatile trend. Gold is currently temporarily maintaining a narrow range of fluctuations on the daily trend, but the short-term moving average has begun to gradually diverge downwards, and there are signs of weakening in the short term on the daily line. The 4-hour level trend is temporarily maintained in a volatile state, and the price is temporarily compressed between 3010-3030. The short-term moving average continues to maintain a state close to adhesion and flatness, tending to maintain a volatile trend in the short term. It is necessary to pay attention to the continued downward trend after a small break in the 4-hour level trend. In the small-level cycle trend, there are signs of a small stabilization after touching the previous support band, and pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3030-3036, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3010-3012 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3030-3032, stop loss at 3055, target around 3020-3015, and look at the 3010 line if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3010-3012, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3020-3025, and look at the 3030 line if it breaks;
Gold Investors Beware: Bears Are Quietly AssemblingGold’s candlestick chart has displayed multiple upper shadows above the 3025-3030 zone, widely regarded as a clear rejection signal. With repeated failures to break through this resistance, gold is showing signs of forming a potential short-term top. This not only caps the upside but could also act as a key indicator of a possible bearish reversal.
Following the Asian session's opening, gold experienced a slight gap up but failed to sustain its momentum, maintaining a range-bound movement instead. The lack of strong bullish follow-through reflects weak buying interest.
Additionally, recent statements from Trump suggest a softened stance on tariff policies, with his rhetoric appearing less aggressive. If the tariffs are implemented in a more moderate manner or market reactions are less severe than anticipated, risk-off sentiment could subside, leading to a significant pullback in gold prices.
But given the presence of strong buying interest and bullish sentiment consolidation, expectations for an extensive decline remain limited. The primary support to monitor lies in the 3110-3100 range. If gold break below this zone, it may trigger an accelerated drop, with the next downside target at the 3095-3085 region.
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Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Price Analysis – Key Zones & Potential Movem🔵 Key Price Levels:
Current price: 🟠 $3,130.99
DEMA (9): 🔵 $3,138.21
Target price: 🎯 $3,174.92
📌 Zones Identified:
🟢 Demand Zone (Support) ⬇️: Strong buying interest, potential bounce area. If price falls here, buyers may step in.
🟡 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally) 🔄: A mid-level area where price could consolidate before moving up.
🔴 Supply Zone (Resistance) ⬆️: Sellers might emerge, causing a reversal or slowdown in price movement.
📈 Potential Price Action:
🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish 🐂): A retrace to the RBR Zone 🟡 could lead to a bounce 📈 toward the Target 🎯 at $3,174.92.
🔹 Scenario 2 (Bearish 🐻): If price drops below the Demand Zone 🟢, it may signal a trend reversal 📉.
🔹 Breakout Confirmation: If price breaks above the Supply Zone 🔴, it may continue rallying 🚀 toward the target point.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout – Next Targets in SightThis chart of XAU/USD on the 2-hour timeframe shows a strong bullish trend, characterized by break-of-structure (BOS) confirmations and accumulation phases. The price previously found support in an order block, leading to a breakout above key resistance levels. The market has continued to ma ke higher highs, with multiple accumulations fueling the uptrend.
Currently, gold is trading around 3,143 and appears to be targeting the 3,160–3,180 zone. A potential pullback or consolidation may occur before the next leg higher. The bullish momentum remains intact unless a strong reversal signal appears.
TP1: 3,160 (short-term target)
TP2: 3,180 (next resistance zone)
TP3: 3,200+ (if momentum continues)
Watch for a possible pullback before continuation, but as long as the structure holds, the trend remains bullish.
Gold- Way, way too deviated from the MEAN!!!As I’ve mentioned many times in my analyses, my trading approach focuses on identifying the next big move (500 to 1,000 pips) rather than chasing small gains of 30-50 pips, which often feels more like staying busy than truly making money.
In this post, I’ll explain why I believe the next major move in Gold is downward rather than upward.
I’ll take a slightly different approach than usual, focusing on the bigger picture and using a simple 20-period moving average (MA) to smooth price action.
Looking at the posted chart, since the beginning of the recent bull market—highlighted in the chart at the 1,600 zone back in November 2022—Gold has been in a strong uptrend. A key observation is that the 20-period moving average has been forming higher lows.
After the second higher low in October 2023, the trend became even more aggressive, with only two notable higher lows since (looking on MA)—one in July 2024 and another in January 2025.
However, even during these sharp bullish legs, the market has consistently reversed to the mean—with the mean being the 20-period moving average.
At the time of writing, Gold is trading around 3,110, which is significantly deviated from the mean, currently around 2,990.
Conclusion:
Based on this pattern, we could expect either a deep retracement or at least a period of consolidation to allow the moving average time to catch up with the price.
Of course, shorting into such a strong bull run carries high risk, especially without a clear stop-loss level. However, even if Gold spikes to 3,150 or even 3,170, I strongly believe that the price will eventually drop and touch the 20-period moving average.
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