Start shorting goldDear Traders,
Gold has now surged above 2750, with bullish momentum remaining robust. It appears that gold is showing signs of attempting to challenge the previous high of 2790. However, as prices continue to rise, the risks also increase. For short-term trading, I would avoid chasing long positions unless there is a significant pullback opportunity.
Despite gold's strong upward trajectory, I believe there are indications of a short squeeze. Therefore, I do not advocate aggressively pursuing further long positions at this stage. In the near term, gold faces resistance in the 2760–2765 range. If it fails to decisively break through this level, there is a high probability of a notable correction. Consequently, I currently prefer to explore opportunities to short gold, targeting the 2735–2730 zone, or potentially as low as 2720.
Bros, do you expect gold to retrace in the short term like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Xauusdupdates
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHello Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on the GOLD weekly chart we’ve been monitoring and trading, offering a detailed overview of the current range.
On the weekly timeframe, a strong resistance level is identified at 2790, which could trigger a reversal. As of now, we recommend holding off on trades since the price could reverse at any moment. Let’s wait for the NY session and keep our positions light.
To streamline your trades, we’ve outlined ENTRY LEVELS and TAKE PROFIT (TP) targets (TP1, TP2, TP3) based on the EMA5. The EMA5 crossing and sustaining above these weighted levels will determine subsequent targets.
Key Update:
ENTRY LEVEL: 2735
If a candle closes above this level and the EMA5 crosses it for confirmation, we will consider bullish entries.
First Target (TP1): 2877
To achieve the second target (TP2: 3018), wait for the EMA5 to close and lock above 2877.
Use the same strategy to target TP3: 3160
Rejection Scenario:
For ranging markets, focus on smaller timeframes (15M, 1H, 4H, 12H, Daily) to buy dips from weighted levels.
Target 120–140 pip moves, which are effective in these conditions while minimizing the risks associated with longer-term positions.
Dip-Buying Strategy:
Continue buying dips at support levels, aiming for 120 - 140 pips per trade.
Each level structure typically provides 60 - 80 pip bounces, making it ideal for accurate entries and exits.
Keep an eye on the EMA5 crossing and locking above or below the ENTRY LEVEL to confirm the next directional range.
Stay sharp and trade smart!
TheQuantumTraders
Continue to be bullish and wait for lows to buyGold prices continue to maintain a bullish trend structure intact. Today, we will follow the trend to find the low point to participate in buying. The daily line continues to rise strongly. The MA10/7-day moving average keeps opening upward and gradually moves up to 2702/2714. The Bollinger band opens upward and the RSI indicator turns upward. The short-term four-hour chart maintains a continuous new high and breaks through the 2740 mark. The moving average system keeps opening upward, the price runs along the upper track of the Bollinger band, and the RSI indicator reaches above 70. It is necessary to pay attention to the overbought situation before the US market today. Today's trading idea is to follow the trend and buy at a low price!
After the gold breakthrough, the gold bulls restarted. Now the bulls are still strong. The decline is an opportunity to go long. Gold has been rising all the way, and the gold bulls continue to be strong. The Asian market has fallen back and continued to go long. There is still room for gold bulls to go up.
Gold's 1-hour moving average continues to diverge upwards, and it is still the main field of bulls. The second highest point of gold, 2733, is now short-term support. Gold will continue to buy on dips when it falls back to 2733 in the Asian session. Don't rush to buy in the Asian session, and wait patiently for the opportunity to fall back. After all, gold is now far away from the moving average support. Wait patiently for the callback in the short term to continue to buy.
First support: 2740, second support: 2733, third support: 2726
First resistance: 2758, second resistance: 2766, third resistance: 2774
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2733-2735,
SELL: 2768-2770,
XAU/USD 22 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action.
Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.
Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Yesterday's bias and analysis was met with price targeting weak internal high and printing a further bullish iBOS
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,758.670.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold- One step closer to new ATHYesterday, following a minor dip earlier in the day, Gold decisively broke above the 2720 resistance level and established a local high near the 2760 confluence resistance, formed by the horizontal level and the channel's resistance.
Currently, the price is undergoing a normal correction, which could provide traders with another opportunity to enter the market at more favorable levels.
The support zone begins around 2735 and extends to 2720, making this area an ideal spot for opening long trades.
In conclusion, the strategy remains unchanged: buying dips .
XAGUSD Ideathis pair is on a h4 timeframe resistance zone so we're looking for a short position on a lower timeframe
this is the ascending channel on M15 timeframe which is a valid trendline because o the 3 touches
now we're waiting for a M15 candle to close below the last touch standing on the trendline to enter a sell (short) position
Good luck fam
Follow us for more ideas and updates
Here's a brief analysis of the chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) Here's a brief analysis of the chart for Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar:
The chart shows an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish market. There are several "break of structure" (bos) points where the price has broken previous resistance levels, suggesting strong momentum. The current price is around 2,730.530, with a breakout at this level hinting at a potential upward movement towards the projected price target of 2,762.140. The resistance level is approximately 2,740.000, while there's a support zone marked by a shaded area below the current price.
Overall, the chart suggests that the gold price might continue to rise, making it a good time for bullish trades.
*Short-term target*: 2,740.000 - This is the immediate resistance level. If the price breaks above this level, it could move towards the next target.
2. *Medium-term target*: 2,762.140 - This is the projected price target if the bullish momentum continues and the price breaks through the resistance at 2,740.000.
Keep in mind that these targets are based on current market trends and technical analysis. It's always a good idea to monitor the market closely and adjust your strategy as needed.
Gold- On its way to new ATH?In my post yesterday, I mentioned that Gold is trading within an ascending channel, which should give bulls added confidence. The suggested strategy remaining to buy on dips.
During Monday's session, price action was relatively quiet, with the market ranging.
However, there were signs of buying pressure, with the price steadily pressing against the resistance line.
Overnight, Gold finally broke above the confluence resistance zone between 2715 and 2720, and at the time of writing, it is trading at 2728, suggesting a genuine break.
Looking ahead, I expect this momentum to continue.
Key levels for bulls to watch are 2750 and 2765. Also, a successful break above 2765 could pave the way for a new all-time high and only a drop below 2690 would put a pause in this bullish scenario.
For now, the strategy remains to buy on dips.
First attempt to short goldDear traders
Yesterday I consistently maintained that gold would reach the 2740-2750 target zone, and as expected, gold has now hit that target.Today, the plan was to buy gold again if it retraced to the 2715-2710 zone, but gold did not retrace to this area, so we didn’t get the opportunity to enter a long position.
Gold is clearly in a bullish trend, with strong upward momentum. However, since gold is currently near 2740, I am hesitant to enter a long position directly. I am cautious because if gold retraces from here, I could get trapped at high levels. I believe many market participants share my sentiment and are reluctant to buy gold at these elevated levels.For the market to increase liquidity or for gold to consolidate and accumulate more bullish momentum for a continuation of the upward trend, a short-term pullback is necessary.
Therefore, in the short term, I believe we can look to initiate a short position in the 2740-2750 zone, anticipating a corrective move in gold's price action.Bros, do you expect gold to retrace in the short term like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold Market Insight: Preparing for the Next Opportunity👀 👉 XAUUSD has been in a strong bullish trend following an earlier liquidity sweep that sparked a rally. Currently, the price appears overextended, and I’m expecting a retracement into the Fibonacci 50% to 61.8% levels as a potential entry point for a long position. The approach will ultimately depend on how price action unfolds. In the video, I dive deeper into my strategy for seizing the next opportunity. Please note, this is not financial advice.
#XAUUSD 1DAYXAUUSD (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is testing a trendline resistance, which has consistently acted as a strong barrier to upward movements. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick pattern has formed in this area, indicating increased selling pressure and a potential reversal to the downside.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is expected as the confluence of trendline resistance and the sell engulfing pattern signals a bearish shift in market sentiment.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the trendline resistance or after confirmation of sustained bearish momentum.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance or the high of the engulfing candlestick to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next key support levels or significant price zones below for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The combination of the trendline resistance and the sell engulfing pattern reflects a bearish outlook, with sellers likely to dominate if the resistance holds. Confirmation of continued selling pressure is recommended before entering the trade.
Gold Buy Signal: Bullish Momentum Alert! The gold market is on 🔥 with strong bullish momentum dominating the charts! 📈 We’ve identified a powerful upward channel that’s guiding prices higher, supported by impeccable price action setups.
Key Highlights:
✨ Price is breaking key levels with confidence, signaling continued strength.
✨ Uptrend intact, with no signs of slowing down.
✨ Perfect entry opportunity to ride the wave as the market pushes toward new highs.
📌 Don’t miss out on this golden opportunity—secure your position now and capitalize on the ongoing rally! 💰
XAU/USD 21 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.
Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed as per my previous analysis dated 17 January 2025 with price targeting weak internal high following a very deep pullback.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,733.060.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold Trends and Signals UpdateOn the daily chart, the daily chart broke the 4-day winning streak and fell slightly on Friday. The decline at the end of the trading day caused a continuous decline. The price effectively crossed the short-term moving average and led the short-term moving average to turn downward at 2710 and 2707. Other periodic indicators also formed a short position arrangement. The Bollinger Bands as a whole shrank sharply. In addition, the MACD indicator once again crossed downward. Therefore, the 4-hour level should still be prepared for an intensified decline!
Trump took office today, and the market may become complicated. Beware of abnormal market fluctuations. From a technical perspective, Huang Jin ended the strong bullish pattern last week. After a weak closing, a break of 2700 was formed, and there was a further wide adjustment in prices. Trading ideas: short-term layout of selling high and buying low.
Gold fell directly after the opening of the Asian session. Gold bulls had no power to fight back. For key points, even if gold wants to go out of the downward wave, it is good for our short-term layout! In addition, today is the date when Trump takes office. The gold market will inevitably suffer from the rise of risk aversion caused by irresistible factors! That is, the market is still relatively bullish in many aspects!
The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and the gold bull market has temporarily come to an end. If the moving average forms a dead cross downward, the downward space of gold will increase, and the 1-hour gold is now also suppressed by the downward trend; the downward resistance moves down to around 2708, and the Asian session rebounds around 2708 and continues to sell at highs. The rebound near 2705 can be empty first.
First support: 2681, second support: 2670, third support: 2662
First resistance: 2695, second resistance: 2708, third resistance: 2725
Operation ideas:
BUY: 2680-2683,
SELL: 2705-2708,
Gold- Where to?Since the beginning of the year, XAU/USD has been trading in a well-defined ascending channel, which typically indicates continuation.
However, last week the price faced a strong ceiling at the old resistance around 2720, the level from which gold reversed sharply twice at the end of 2024.
At the time of writing, the price is 2707, and although I am bullish for the next period, I am currently out of the market, waiting for more confirmation.
#XAUUSD 4HXAUUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has formed a sell engulfing candlestick pattern in a key resistance area, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment toward the downside. This bearish candlestick pattern reflects strong selling pressure overpowering buyers at this level.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the sell engulfing pattern suggests further bearish momentum. The price may continue to move lower toward nearby support levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the engulfing area after confirmation of sustained selling pressure.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the high of the engulfing candlestick to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next support levels or significant price zones below for potential downside objectives.
Market Sentiment:
The sell engulfing pattern at a resistance level signals bearish sentiment, with sellers likely to maintain control in the short term. Proper confirmation is recommended before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market conditions.
Gold Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionThe market is buzzing with mixed feelings as we approach Donald Trump's inauguration as US President-elect. Gold prices have retreated from a one-month peak, with some investors jumping on the opportunity to buy the US Dollar at perceived dips. Despite this, gold remains heavily influenced by the geopolitical and domestic political climate in the US. Recent inflation data, combined with comments from Fed Governor Waller, have put pressure on the Dollar, with traders betting on an earlier rate cut. Waller hinted at the possibility of a rate cut as soon as the March meeting, noting that inflation is nearing the Fed's 2% target. In this video, we explore how these developments could shape the gold market moving forward.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldPrice #TrumpInauguration #USDIndex #InflationData #FedRateCuts #GoldTrading #ForexAnalysis #MarketTrends
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU/USD 20 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per my intraday expectation dated 17 January 2024 by printing a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Internal range is now established as a result of the bearish CHoCH.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone to then target weak internal high priced at 2,724.785.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 17 January 2025. You will also note how price attempted to target strong internal low but failed to close below.
Price Action Analysis:
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Within the sub-structure there is further bullish iBOS, however, price did not pullback deep enough to warrant a bullish iBOS. I will therefore apply my discretion, which may need a revisit.
H4 TF has printed a bullish iBOS and it appears bearish pullback phase initiation is underway, however, we currently do not have any indication, or confirmation.
Current internal low and H4 TF CHoCH positioning are the same, priced at 2,690.050, therefore, despite M15 internal range dynamics being bullish, it is highly likely price will print a bearish iBOS
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price should show reaction at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,724.785, however, the above mentioned scenario is also highly probable to assist H4 in it's bearish pullback phase.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart: