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Gold price up on safe-haven buying amid U.K. budget woesGold and silver prices are higher in early U.S. trading Thursday, on some fresh safe-haven demand due to a budget crisis in the U.K. that may spread. February gold was last up $18.10 at $2,690.50 and March silver was up $0.36 at $31.05. U.K. financial markets tumbled overnight on growing worries over the government’s budget deficit, with the British pound hitting the lowest level in more than a year against the U.S. dollar. The 10-year U.K. gilt yield jumped to 4.92% and the FTSE 250 Index dropped for a third day in a row. This situation is being closely watched by the global marketplace, which is worried about a ..
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ShumbaFx07
1
Gold's Shine Dims: Retesting Peaks Before the DropXAU/USD: Navigating Uncertain Currents Amid Resistance Challenges Gold (XAU/USD) has been navigating a phase of consolidation while steadily creeping toward the critical resistance level at 2667. This level stands as a psychological and technical barrier, and the market seems poised for a decisive moment. The current upward trajectory suggests a potential breakout is on the horizon. However, doubts loom large as various economic and geopolitical factors cast a shadow over this bullish move. Economic Crosswinds and Market Sentiment The lingering question remains: Will the breakout materialize? Gold’s performance has been mired in a complex web of economic data that has consistently hindered its momentum. Over the past few months, the global economy has presented a mixed bag of signals, with inflationary pressures rising across major economies, particularly in China, which recently released discouraging data on its economic growth. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, as reflected in its latest meeting minutes, continues to support the strength of the US dollar, further dampening gold’s appeal. Adding to this complexity, the lack of fresh geopolitical flashpoints or significant shifts in fundamental data leaves gold’s recent ascent somewhat puzzling. Historically, gold has thrived on uncertainty, but with no major new developments from global hotspots and a stronger dollar exerting downward pressure, its current upward move appears to lack a robust foundation. Moreover, the metal faces headwinds from an improving macroeconomic environment in the United States. The Federal Reserve’s resolute approach to inflation control, coupled with Trump-era tariff policies still casting a shadow on international trade, adds to the uncertainty surrounding gold’s price action. Liquidity Grabs and Resistance Retests From a technical perspective, the market’s structure remains bullish, though caution is warranted. Before a potential reversal or significant correction, the possibility of a liquidity grab around the key resistance level at 2667 cannot be ruled out. This move would likely attract cautious buyers and trigger stop-loss orders, temporarily pushing prices higher. A subsequent retest of key zones of interest—such as the higher resistance levels at 2675 and 2692 or the channel resistance—could follow before any meaningful correction materializes. Such behavior aligns with gold’s historical price action, where false breakouts or liquidity hunts often precede major directional shifts. Buyers, already hesitant due to the lack of strong bullish fundamentals, may adopt a wait-and-see approach as the market tests these critical thresholds. Fundamental Challenges Weighing on Gold Despite its recent climb, gold remains under pressure from a host of unfavorable factors. The following nuances continue to resist upward momentum: Stronger US Dollar: As the dollar strengthens, gold, priced in dollars, becomes more expensive for international buyers, limiting demand. Hawkish Federal Reserve: The Fed’s firm stance on controlling inflation and its willingness to maintain higher interest rates for longer reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. Global Inflation: Rising inflation in key economies, coupled with central bank tightening, creates a challenging environment for gold. Lack of Geopolitical Catalysts: With no new conflicts or crises dominating headlines, gold lacks the safe-haven demand typically driven by geopolitical turmoil. Trump’s Tariff Policies: Although dated, the lingering effects of these trade policies continue to influence the broader market sentiment, adding uncertainty to gold’s performance. Resistance and Support Levels From a technical standpoint, the following levels are crucial: Resistance: 2667 (key level), 2675 (upper zone of interest), and 2692 (channel resistance). Support: The ascending trendline near 2656 acts as a critical support level, underpinning the bullish structure in the short term. Short-Term Outlook and Market Expectations In the near term, I anticipate an attempt to break through the 2667 resistance level. Should this breakout occur, gold may test higher zones of interest such as 2675 or even 2692. However, such a move would likely face stiff resistance, paving the way for a corrective phase. The interplay of technical signals and fundamental challenges makes the current price action intriguing yet uncertain. While the structure remains bullish in the short term, the broader picture suggests caution. A breakout above resistance levels might temporarily buoy sentiment, but without solid fundamental support, any gains could prove short-lived, leading to a sharp correction as the market recalibrates. In conclusion, while gold’s recent rise has sparked interest, it remains entangled in a web of conflicting signals. As traders navigate this challenging environment, all eyes will be on key resistance levels and the broader macroeconomic backdrop to determine the metal’s next move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lonelyPlayer0
XAU/USD 09 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high priced at 2,664.330. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation We are now trading within an established internal range. Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,670.150. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD H1 Analysis Is Ready (Read The Caption)This chart represents the price action of XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Key components of the analysis include: 1. Supply Zone: The chart highlights a supply zone near the 2,698-2,681 level, where selling pressure is expected to dominate, potentially reversing the price downwards. 2. Resistance Zone: A resistance area is marked around 2,681, indicating a level where the price has previously struggled to break above. It's expected to act as a barrier for upward momentum. 3. Support Zone: A support zone is noted near 2,653, which has historically provided a base for price rebounds, preventing further declines. 4. Price Action Expectation: The blue arrows suggest potential movements: an upward attempt towards the supply zone and resistance. If rejected, the price may decline toward the identified support level at 2,653. This analysis relies on supply and demand zones, as well as key horizontal levels, to predict price movement. It reflects a possible short-term scenario for XAU/USD traders, with careful attention to breakout or reversal signals.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Mr_Ethan1
Gold next push to the upside or downside. 😌 Price has bn playing around last week high. 🫴🏻If price breaks the previous week high 2658.40 and a close above it, there's a higher probability 💯 that price is going to clear the liquidity above 2692.76 and get to the daily point of interest 2706.89 💫 🫴🏻If price did not breaks the previous week high with a candle closure above it. I am anticipating price to clear both this current week Monday's Low 2614.76 and previous week Monday's Low 2596.12. 🫵🏼 Watch out for this. The simple thing is to let price do what it wanted to and you trade what you see. Please bost if you find this one insightful.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSD
by HallowAdept
SCALPING XAU ! 2664 resistance gets strong on news⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar surged on Tuesday following robust US economic data, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve will adopt a slower pace for rate cuts this year. The Institute for Supply Management reported an increase in its Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) to 54.1 in December, with the Prices Paid component reaching its highest level in nearly two years. Meanwhile, the JOLTS report revealed an unexpected rise in job openings, climbing to 8.098 million at the end of November from 7.839 million previously. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price is on a good uptrend, surpassing the 2650 mark. Resistance 2664 will be the next target. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2664 - $2666 SL $2669 scalping TP1: $2658 TP2: $2654 TP3: $2645 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
4
2630~2665 range sell high buy lowGold rose strongly yesterday. Many people may have started to chase more gold. However, gold fell back under pressure at 2664, reaching the previous high point. This position is also an effective point for the continuous suppression of shorts in the near future. With the strong rebound during the day, it also reached this position, but it is very likely to form a triple top pattern! The daily line tested the MA60 daily moving average at 2664 and then fell back. With the negative news data, a waterfall formed to reach 2642. Today's operation maintains high selling and low buying! There are too many data in the second half of this week. Before the range is broken, it is still difficult to have a large unilateral market. The bulls cannot rise further. The gold bulls did not break through in one fell swoop, and the rebound high continued to be short. Gold continues to fluctuate in a large range in 1 hour. If it rebounds high, don't continue to chase it. The short-term gold 1-hour line has double tops. If gold no longer breaks through the new high, then the double top of gold will continue to fall under pressure. Gold rebounds to 2665 in the Asian session and continues to sell at highs! First support: 2640, second support: 2632, third support: 2615 First resistance: 2656, second resistance: 2665, third resistance: 2683 Operation ideas: BUY: 2635-2638, SELL: 2663-2665,
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
XAU/USD 08 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Price did not meet yesterday's intraday expectation targeting weak internal low, by printing a bullish iBOS. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price to trade down to discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,664.330. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
"Gold Technical Analysis: Bullish Breakout Based on the chart, here is the analysis: 1. **Resistance Area:** - The green shaded zone above the current price marks a potential resistance zone. This is where sellers may become active, halting further upward movement. 2. **Breakout Confirmation:** - The price has broken above a horizontal resistance zone (marked by the black line). This breakout is a bullish signal, suggesting potential continuation to the upside. 3. **Bullish Momentum:** - The recent upward move shows strong bullish momentum, as seen in the series of higher highs and higher lows. 4. **Target Zone:** - If the price continues upward, the next significant resistance or target is likely within the green zone, where the price may face selling pressure. 5. **Key Levels:** - Support: The broken resistance at ~2650 could act as a new support if the price retests this level. - Resistance: The green zone around ~2665–2675. **Potential Trade Plan:** - **Buying Opportunity:** - If a retest occurs near the breakout zone (~2650), it may offer a good entry for a long position with a target toward the resistance zone. - **Selling Opportunity:** - Monitor price action around the green zone (~2665–2675) for rejection signals or a potential reversal setup. Would you like me to update this analysis based on any specific targets or time frames?
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
XAUUSD:7/1 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580 Four-hour resistance 2645, support below 2600-2580 Gold operation suggestions: Gold fluctuated narrowly on Tuesday and is currently trading around 2639. Gold prices fell slightly on Monday. The Federal Reserve recently hinted that it would slow down the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025. U.S. Treasury yields climbed to a new high since May. Gold prices hit a three-day low of around 2614 during the session. However, there were conflicting reports on how aggressive the tariff plan of U.S. President-elect Trump would be after taking office. The U.S. dollar index fell to a new low in more than a week, and gold prices rebounded slightly in late trading. From the 4-hour analysis, we focus on the short-term suppression of the 2645 line on the top, and the short-term support of the 2637-27 line on the bottom, with a focus on support of 2600. The operation is mainly to buy on dips, supplemented by range trading. BUY:2627near BUY:2614near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ActuaryJ
Xauusd target 2667 ?? Here's a summary of your updated XAU/USD trade plan: Trade Plan - *Entry Point*: 2641 (current) - *Target*: 2667 - *Stop-Loss*: 2629 Market Analysis The XAU/USD is experiencing a bullish trend, driven by a weakening US dollar and increasing inflation concerns. Technical Analysis - *RSI Indicator*: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, indicating a bullish momentum. - *Moving Averages*: The 50-day moving average is trending upwards, supporting the bullish view. - *Support Levels*: The support levels at 2629 and 2620 could provide a buying opportunity in case of a pullback. Risk Management - *Risk-Reward Ratio*: Your risk-reward ratio is approximately 1:3.8, which is relatively aggressive. - *Position Sizing*: Make sure to adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance and account size. Trade Progress You're currently 26 pips away from your target. Keep monitoring the market and adjust your strategy as needed. Stay disciplined and stick to your trade plan. Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Geroge_Fx
XAU/USD 07 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Price has been printing erratically by printing a bullish iBOS (which was against internal bearish bias) quickly followed by bearish iBOS which met yesterday's intraday expectation analysis. Price has printed a bullish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is showing reaction at M15 supply zone. Strong internal high is expected to hold. Technically price should target weak internal low priced at 2,614.635. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK