What news has recently affected the trend of gold and crude oil?How to judge the future market of gold bulls and bears?
On Friday (March 7), spot gold prices soared due to the weak non-agricultural report, but after the hawkish remarks of Fed Powell, gold prices staged a "high diving". Subsequently, Fed Powell reiterated that there is no rush to cut interest rates. Uncertainty in the economic outlook has increased, and progress in inflation and continued employment has been uneven. It remains to be seen. We can wait for the impact of Trump's policies to become clearer. Powell added that the easing of geopolitical tensions also limited the rise in gold prices, and some progress has been made in a possible ceasefire agreement between Ukraine and Russia. In the Middle East, US President Trump continued to pressure Hamas to release hostages. At the same time, according to the World Gold Council, the People's Bank of China continued to buy gold. The People's Bank of China increased its holdings of gold by 10 tons in the first two months of 2025. However, the largest buyer was the Polish Central Bank, which added 29 tons of gold reserves, the largest purchase since it bought 95 tons of gold in June 2019. The gold market is currently in a consolidation phase, and risk aversion provides continued support.
OANDA:XAUUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD TVC:USOIL FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Xauusdupdates
Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Plan – Breakout or RejectionGold (XAU/USD) Trade Plan – Breakout or Rejection Setup
This trade is based on price action around a descending trendline and key resistance levels, aiming for a potential breakout or rejection move.
Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: Around 2,919 - 2,923, where price is testing the trendline and resistance area.
Stop Loss: Placed at 2,906 to protect against downside risk if price fails to break resistance.
Take Profit Target: 2,941 - 2,943, aligning with a major resistance level above.
Market Outlook & Strategy:
Bullish Bias: If price breaks the trendline and holds above the resistance zone, it confirms a bullish move toward the take profit zone.
Bearish Risk: If price gets rejected at the trendline, a potential reversal could occur, leading to lower support zones.
Confirmation Needed: A strong bullish candle closing above resistance or retesting support at entry levels before continuation.
This trade aims to capture momentum from a breakout while managing risk with a well-placed stop loss.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD PYTH:XAUUSD VANTAGE:XAUUSD VANTAGE:XAUUSD SAXO:XAUUSD FX_IDC:XAUUSD
Be careful when trading XAUUSD after the data is releasedOn Friday (March 7), the February non-farm payrolls data was released, with 151,000 new jobs, lower than the market expectation of 160,000, and the unemployment rate slightly increased to 4.1%. The annual rate of hourly wages increased by 4.0%, lower than the expected 4.1%. After the data was released, the market fluctuated violently. The US dollar index (DXY) first fell 13 points to 103.61, then rebounded 27 points to 103.88, and then plunged about 40 points, reaching a low of 103.4554, with a fluctuation range of more than 80 points. Spot gold (XAU/USD) rose by $9 to 2930 in 1 minute, and then gave up the gains, with an amplitude of about $50, and now reported at $2912.88/ounce. This slightly weak employment report ignited recession concerns. While the US dollar was under pressure, the Fed's policy expectations also faced new tests. New changes are worth paying attention to. Well-known institutions pointed out that "Trump has been engaged in civil servant layoffs and trade barriers since he took office, which is not good for the job market.
Technical analysis viewpoint: The dollar broke down and gold fluctuated under pressure
Weak signals dominate, and policy games intensify. From a technical perspective, if the US dollar index cannot return to 103.70, the 103 mark below is in danger, and it may even test 101.90. The upper resistance is 104 and the 200-day moving average (105.03), and a short-term rebound requires strong positive support. For gold, pay attention to the resistance range of 2930-2935. If it breaks through, it will point to 2950. Pay attention to the support of 2882-2876 below.
Trading is risky, and positions should be controlled reasonably. When the opportunity comes, if you don’t know when to enter the market and want to get accurate transactions and huge profits in advance, please leave me a message and I will make you feel that this is true. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSD: Is it suitable to buy or sell now?Dear traders, if you also want to trade XAUUSD. But don't know how to do it, you can refer to Jack's ideas. Feel free to leave interactive messages at any time.
If you are in the analysis circle, you will get accurate answers. If you are not in the analysis circle, it doesn't matter, read it carefully.
XAUUSD: In the London market, we announced suggestions for going long. The lowest buy signal was around 2892. So far, we have shared four valid XAUUSD trading signals exclusively today. They are buy signals around 2892, buy signals around 2900, buy signals around 2904, buy signals around 2910, and buy signals around 2917. Almost all of them are profitable. If you have not paid attention to them or followed them, it does not matter. You can follow the next one.
The current price is 2921. From the trend point of view, this trend will also hit the range of 2925-2930. If the position of 2925-2930 stabilizes, continue to go long to 2945. At present, the New York market is active, and conservative traders can refer to the buy signal below 2915. Aggressive traders can buy multiple orders at the current price of 2920. The position of SL2904.
There are risks in trading. If you are not sure about the timing, it is best to leave me a message. This will better confirm the timing of the transaction, whether to buy or sell. It can also better expand profits and reduce losses.
XAUUSD trading signal for large-scale fluctuations tonightGold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range and is currently trading around $2,919/ounce. Gold prices fell slightly on Thursday. Some of Trump's tariff exemption policies and the market's expectation that the Russian-Ukrainian war is coming to an end have cooled risk aversion sentiment and pushed some longs to take profits. Spot gold once fell to around $2,891/ounce, but the US trade deficit hit a record high in January, suggesting that trade may drag down economic growth in the first quarter. Market expectations for the Fed's rate cut in May have increased, attracting bargain-hunting buying to support gold prices, which closed at $2,910.76/ounce on Thursday, down about 0.28%. The market's attention is currently turning to Friday's non-farm payrolls data to further understand the Fed's monetary policy trends.
From a technical perspective, the upper resistance is concentrated in the 2,922 to 2,924 area. Once effectively broken, the gold price may continue to rise to around 2,940. The lower support is in the 2,893 to 28,882 range. If it falls below this support, the gold price may pull back to the 2,868 level. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to focus on callbacks and long positions, supplemented by rebound high-altitude strategies. Everyone needs to pay close attention to the impact of non-agricultural data on the market, flexibly adjust positions, and do a good job of risk management to respond to market fluctuations in a stable manner. OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
XAUUSD: If trading, buy or sell?Dear traders, are you still wondering how to trade XUAUSD? Short or buy? Then take a look at Jack's ideas.
Friends who continue to pay attention will know. Yesterday, I went long first and then shorted. Some of the traders who followed me also made a lot of profit. Is the lowest buy at 2892 impressive to you?
XAUUSD: There is no big news to push the market to continue to rise or fall. It is waiting for an opportunity. That is the bombshell of "non-agricultural data". This week, XAUUSD continued to fluctuate around the narrow range of 2890-2920. The current trading sentiment of the market is fluctuating around the release of non-agricultural data. This is the main point for XAUUSD to choose the direction today. In the short term, we will first focus on whether the position of 2917 can be stabilized. If it is unstable, it will continue to fluctuate and fall in a narrow range before the New York market arrives, but the decline will not be too large, which is used to pave the way for the release of data. Trading mainly maintains buying low and selling high(2915-2923)
Keep an eye on the real-time trading opportunities announced in the analysis circle every day. If you want to follow.
3.7 Gold wedge wide consolidation, waiting for non-agricultural 2928 is the defensive point, short near 2923, if weak, it is 19-20 here, once the four-hour below the medium-term moving average, it is dispensable for the evening data, basically it is a rebound short, pay attention to the three points below 95-84-65. Personally, I expect that today will be a Black Friday.
Trading is for profitable trading, not for gambling or trading, so traders must understand what operations to take at what stage the price is! Traders are not always long or short, and traders always change with market changes! Traders must have their own defense system to control risks!
XAU/USD 07 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent.
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold 100% Trading SignalsTechnical analysis of gold: The recent game between bulls and bears in gold has been very volatile, and it has fluctuated back and forth many times. The current pattern shows that the general trend is still bullish. In the short term, it is oscillating at a high level. The large range of fluctuations is 2930-2891, with a fluctuation range of up to 40 points. The daily line has continuous cross stars. Today's idea is to look at short-term fluctuations before the non-agricultural data. Both bulls and bears can go up. The daily 30-day moving average still supports bulls, and the general bullish trend has not changed. Today we focus on whether the non-agricultural employment data can change the trend. It should be treated as a range fluctuation before the non-agricultural data. In addition, today is the closing of the weekly line. If the weekly line is below 2890, then the bulls in the large cycle may change, and the large negative top before the weekly line will help to continue to fall next week.
The hourly chart of gold has formed a sideways K-line, and the oscillation center axis is near 2905. If the white plate rebounds first today, look for short opportunities near 2920. If it falls to 2890 first, look for long opportunities. It rebounded yesterday and then fell. Let’s look at short opportunities in today’s white plate. If it breaks through any side today, we can adjust our thinking and chase orders. It is expected to be a pattern of adjustment before rising! If we still cannot effectively break through the upper rail pressure of the flag consolidation today, it will inevitably fall to the previous low again! The battle between long and short positions is still fierce. The short-term short position has a slight advantage, but the long position counterattack is also fierce. The 2890 support is still very strong! If it breaks through, enter the market with the trend, otherwise it will be a consolidation and shock trend! On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is 2928-2930 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2890-2894 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control positions and stop losses.
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds to around 2927-2930, short sell (buy short) in batches, 2/10 of the position, stop loss 8 points, target around 2915-2900, break to 2895
Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 2893-2896, buy (buy up) 2/10 of the position in batches, stop loss 8 points, target around 2910-2920, break to 2930
Is gold back in the bull market?Gold fell and then quickly pulled up. Pay attention to the first support level of 2900, the second support level of 2887, and the long-short watershed of 2860-2870. Currently, gold is close to the first support level. Keep the range operation, high-short and low-long, and participate cautiously in the middle position.
Analysis of the latest gold market trendsGold experienced volatility at the end of yesterday's trading, and retreated to 2916, but then quickly dropped to a low of 2908, showing the instability of the market. Near the close, the gold price rebounded again, once rushing to 2920, showing a certain buyer's strength. At the opening of this morning, the gold price continued to rebound slightly, but the overall trend is still weak.
From a technical perspective, the current gold price faces a resistance range of 2923-2925, while the support is in the 2911-2908 area. There will be small non-agricultural ADP data in the evening. In this context, it is important to pay attention to risk control. We recommend a flexible trading strategy, with rebound shorting as the main operating idea, supplemented by opportunities for callback longs. The gold market may continue to fluctuate at a high level today. Everyone needs to pay close attention to the reaction to these key prices and flexibly adjust trading strategies based on market dynamics.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go short at 2916-2920 on the rebound, stop loss at 2927, and the target is 2905-2900.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go long at 2892-2887 on the pullback, stop loss at 2879, and the target is 2907-2915.
Gold fell back and continued to reboundFrom a technical perspective, gold fell slightly in the Asian session and stabilized at the 2880 mark, bottoming out and rebounding strongly. In the afternoon, the European session accelerated its upward breakthrough and stood above the 2900 mark, continuing its strong upward trend. In the evening, the U.S. session accelerated its upward breakthrough to pierce the 2927 line and fell under pressure and closed in a volatile market. The daily K-line closed strongly and rebounded for two consecutive days. The overall gold price returned to the bullish strong range after breaking through and standing above the 2900 mark. Gold rose in the past two days as a safe haven, but gold fell under pressure at the 2927 line. The hourly moving average of gold is now beginning to form a golden cross and diverge upward, but gold has begun to rise and fall. In addition, there are many data in the second half of this week, and the shape of the gold moving average is very easy to change. Gold rebounded near 2920 in the second half of the night and continued to fall under pressure. We have repeatedly reminded people not to chase highs, and there is a need for technical adjustments.
Judging from the current gold trend, today's lower support is focused on the second low point of yesterday's US market at 2897-2903, and the upper pressure is focused on around 2925-27. During the day, we will continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, we should watch more and do less, and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy: Buy at 2897-2903 when gold rebounds, and buy at 2888-90 when it falls back. Stop loss at 2883, target at 2920-25, and continue to hold if it breaks.
Gold rebound continues and still has upward trendGold continued to rebound yesterday and gradually strengthened in the European and American markets. It once stood at 2890. So whether we are looking at the return of the bullish trend or the early short correction.
This depends on the definition of the trend. If you see a return to the bullish trend, then today we must see a continued rise. If you see a correction of the bearish trend, the daily single positive rebound today is a decline.
From the perspective of the return market, the rebound in the early morning of Friday continued on Monday, and the daily line turned positive at the high closing, which means that the market is not very weak. The continuation of the rebound indicates that the support below is strong.
Although this wave of retracement and decline is 124 US dollars, it seems to be a large decline, but compared with the previous continuous rise, it can only be regarded as a retracement correction of the bulls, which does not change the overall trend.
If it can rise again today and return to the channel, then we can see the return of the bullish trend, or there will be a second high of 2956. As for whether it can set a new high, we will talk about it at that time.
Gold continued to rebound yesterday and gradually strengthened in the European and American markets. It once stood at 2890. So whether we are looking at the return of the bullish trend or the early short correction.
This depends on the definition of the trend. If you see a return to the bullish trend, then today we must see a continued rise. If you see a correction of the bearish trend, the daily single positive rebound today is a decline.
From the perspective of the return market, the rebound in the early morning of Friday continued on Monday, and the daily line turned positive at the high closing, which means that the market is not very weak. The continuation of the rebound indicates that the support below is strong.
Although this wave of retracement and decline is 124 US dollars, it seems to be a large decline, but compared with the previous continuous rise, it can only be regarded as a retracement correction of the bulls, which does not change the overall trend.
If it can rise again today and return to the channel, then we can see the return of the bullish trend, or there will be a second high of 2956. As for whether it can set a new high, we will talk about it at that time.
100% Profitable Gold Trading SignalsGold trend analysis: Gold's trend this week fluctuated upward, with corrections during the rise, and 3 box ranges. The current support and resistance levels are also clear. Yesterday's tariff policy triggered trade disputes, which escalated the risk aversion of gold prices. Gold prices rose from 2860 this week and traded below 2930 in two trading days. Although there was a correction in the early morning, the support below 2895 is still relatively obvious, so today we still maintain a correction bullish idea.
Today, the US market will welcome the ADP small non-farm data. At that time, we will adjust our trading ideas according to the published data results. Qinshi Jinsheng predicts that if the published data is greater than the previous value of 183,000, it will have a negative impact on the gold price; on the contrary, if the published value is less than the expected 144,000, then the gold price may break through 2930 to test the historical high; there is also a trend of falling first and then rising if it is between the two values. Just pay attention to the US market.
From the hourly chart, the low point of gold price after breaking through the second box yesterday is at 2900. Today, we can wait for gold price to pull back to this position to place bullish positions, and protect the box below 2895. The upper resistance still needs to pay attention to the suppression of 2930, and only after breaking through will it go to the high of 2956. In view of the release of US data, I suggest that the Asian and European sessions should be treated as range fluctuations first, and the strategy should be adjusted after the data is released.
Go long near 2900 below, protect 2894, and look at the two targets of 2920 to 2928 above;
If it goes above 2930 above, go short and look for a pullback, protect 5 points, and look at the target near 2908.
Gold Trading SignalsTechnical analysis of gold: Yesterday, gold showed a more complicated trend. The price remained volatile below $2,895 during the Asian session. Entering the European session, the market saw a key turning point. The price successfully held the long-short watershed of $2,880-2,878 and quickly broke through $2,895. Subsequently, the bulls exerted their strength and pushed the price up sharply. During the U.S. session, the price of gold rose slightly, touching the high of $2,930 last Wednesday, and then came under pressure. It then plunged and the price fell back to $2,900, but then rebounded again. In the end, the daily line closed with a large positive line, and the closing price was around $2,916. The daily line showed a trend of two consecutive positive lines. In view of the frequent alternation of positive and negative gold price trends in recent times, today we need to focus on whether the price turns negative.
From the analysis of the market situation, gold has risen sharply for two consecutive days after experiencing a sharp drop last week, and has now retreated to the counter-pressure level formed by the trend support of $2614. This is the first time that this retracement position has been touched, and it is still necessary to focus on whether the market will rise and fall. At the same time, the pressure in the high point area yesterday cannot be ignored. If the price is under pressure here, it is expected to usher in an adjustment; and once it breaks upward, the bullish rally is expected to accelerate further, and the target may be to break through the historical high of $2956. The low point of $2900-2905 formed during the US trading session has become a key support level. If this area is broken, a second decline may begin, and the price will gradually fall back to $2880-2885, $2860-2855 and near the low point of last Friday; if the bulls can hold this support level, there is a high probability that it will continue to break upward after high-level fluctuations. In addition, judging from the opening situation today, the rebound high of $2920 in the early morning has become a short-term pressure level. In terms of today's operation, short selling is suppressed by the trend counter-pressure line and yesterday's high point. Aggressive participation is based on the early morning high of 2920. Pay attention to the break of 2900 below. Consider adding positions if it breaks below. If it breaks upward, follow the trend and focus on the impact of 2945 and the historical high. Overall, I suggest that the short-term operation of gold today is mainly long on pullbacks, supplemented by short selling on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2922-2927 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2895-2890 line of support.
Gold 100% Trading SignalsTechnical analysis of gold: Gold has been volatile in the past two days, and the bull-bear game is also fierce. Yesterday, the daily cross star, the data released many positive news, gold did not rise sharply, but the gold rebounded in a V-shaped dive at the end of the day, and finally closed at the opening position. Gold hit a new high of 2929 but did not continue the upward trend, and continued to hover at a high level. Today's idea is to seize the opportunity of its hovering and stepping back. At present, the bulls still need to continue to rush up from the daily line. This week is a data week. It is estimated that the bulls will rise repeatedly and will not come so cleanly. The big V bull trend of the daily line has been determined, and we need to follow the trend later. The current gold price has entered a very obvious high-level consolidation stage. Combined with the non-agricultural data to be released tomorrow, it is highly likely that it will continue to consolidate in the 2894-2930 range today.
Gold is still fluctuating in a large range in 1 hour. The bulls are not in a completely strong market. They are going back and forth, ups and downs. At present, gold should be careful of the bulls' risk aversion sentiment easing and then start to adjust sharply. The focus of today's European and American sessions is the effectiveness of the support of 2894. If it falls below 2894 before the US session, it is possible to fall further to the 2880-78 line. This is a relatively safe opportunity to take more during the day, and the defense is near yesterday's low. The bottoming out and rebound at the end of yesterday's trading limited today's decline to a certain extent, so this point is the best to go long. However, if the gold price fails to fall below 2894 during the European session, then the long orders may need to move up to around 2897-00 to participate. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold is recommended to focus on callbacks and shorts. The short-term focus on the upper side is 2930-2932 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2890-2894 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, and set stop loss strictly
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds to around 2927-2930, short sell (buy short) in batches, 2/10 of the position, stop loss 8 points, target around 2915-2900, break to 2895
Non-agricultural data is coming, gold trend analysis The biggest news overnight was the expected rate cut by the European Central Bank, which indicated that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates further.
Although the trade war with the United States is imminent and Europe plans to increase military spending, it has triggered the most significant economic policy shift in Europe in decades.
In addition, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States last week fell by 21,000, a larger drop than expected, suggesting that the labor market remained stable in February, but import tariffs and drastic government spending cuts will cause turbulence in the future.
In addition, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States last week fell by 21,000, a larger drop than expected, suggesting that the labor market remained stable in February, but import tariffs and drastic government spending cuts will cause turbulence in the future.
In the early morning, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will also give a speech at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, so everyone should pay close attention.
From the perspective of the 1-hour cycle, it is very similar to the 4-hour cycle, and it is not an exaggeration to say that it is a nested structure. The same trend line breaks down, and the same high point moves down. Again, not chasing the rise is a discipline that must be followed. Even if it breaks through 2930 today, the upper 2940--44 area will still be beaten down. So in the short term, you can short around 25. Conservative investors can wait for the release of non-agricultural data and choose the opportunity to enter the market.
XAUUSD NFP Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD READY TO EXPLODE? Key Levels You MUST Watch! Gold (XAU/USD) is at a make-or-break point, holding key support while testing resistance. A breakout could send prices soaring—are you ready?
📌 Current Price: $2,913.80
📊 Market Bias: Still bullish, but key zones must hold for continuation.
🔥 Key Levels You NEED to Watch:
🔵 Major Resistance: $2,920 → A clean breakout could push price to $2,945 - $2,960.
🟢 Critical Support: $2,834 → If this level breaks, expect a drop to $2,800 - $2,760.
📈 Trendline Support: Gold is respecting an ascending trendline, keeping the bullish structure intact.
🎯 Trade Setups:
✅ Bullish Scenario: If Gold breaks $2,920, we could see a rapid move toward $2,945+.
❌ Bearish Scenario: If price loses $2,834, sellers may take control, driving price lower.
📌 Why This Matters:
Gold is being fueled by inflation concerns, central bank policies, and investor demand for safe-haven assets. The next breakout could set the tone for the coming weeks.
💬 Will Gold pump or dump from here? Drop your predictions in the comments! 🔥👇
Today's gold 19-20 short, waiting for the evening non-agriculturGold, yesterday's trend also caught the market off guard. Before the non-agricultural results are released, it is very likely to continue to maintain a volatile pattern in the short term. At present, the amplitude of the volatility is too large. The current support below is maintained at the 90 line, and the pressure above is maintained at the 20 line. In the short term, we can do some volatile operations around this range. Once a breakthrough occurs, we can continue to follow up in the later period. The previous value of non-agricultural is 14.3, and it is expected to reach 16. The value in the evening is likely to be higher than 16, which may also achieve a negative effect. In the day, we still wait for the bulls to pull back and short around 19-20, with a target of around 05-90 and a loss of 28.5.
Will the NFP report act as a catalyst for a downside breakout?In my post yesterday, I argued that multiple resistance levels exist above 2925, which could lead to a market decline.
Indeed, throughout the day, gold dipped below 2900 once again, but support held, keeping the price stuck in a range.
Looking ahead, today’s NFP data could act as a catalyst for a breakout from this range.
My bias remains bearish, and I expect a break of the support level, followed by a continuation downward toward last week's lows.
However, a breakout and sustained buying above 2925 would shift my outlook.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Nonfarm forecast tonight ? 🔴US Expected to Add 170,000 Jobs in February, But Job Outlook Worsens
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⚫February Jobs Forecast: Nonfarm payrolls report projects 170,000 jobs added, up from 143,000 in January, while unemployment remains at 4%.
⚫Mixed Signals: While official data shows the labor market remains strong, surveys show many workers are worried about their jobs and less willing to look for new opportunities, while job seekers are having a tough time.
⚫Layoffs Rising: Staffing firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas reports that businesses are announcing the highest level of layoffs since July 2020, with 62,000 jobs tied to the Trump administration's federal workforce cuts.
⚫Consumer Confidence Falls: A report from the Conference Board and the University of Michigan showed consumer confidence is falling sharply amid fears about growth and the labor market.
⚫Impact of Government Layoffs: Some economists warn that government layoffs could spread and affect as many as 500,000 jobs, undermining confidence in the economy.
⚫Wage Growth: Average wages are expected to rise 0.3% month-over-month and 4.2% year-over-year, up from 4.1% in January.