Gold Moves Back Into an Uptrend ChannelOver the last five trading sessions, the price of the precious metal has recovered more than 3% as uncertainty surrounding the new 25% tariffs on countries like Mexico and Canada remains constant. In the past two sessions, the price has maintained steady neutrality as the market awaits the release of the U.S. NFP data tomorrow. Initially, expectations point to an increase of 159K new jobs compared to the 143K reported in the previous release.
Upward Channel: Since late December 2024, gold has attempted to sustain a short-term upward channel, which saw a breakout last week around the $2,850 per ounce price zone. However, in recent sessions, the price has re-entered the bullish formation and continues to show slight buying momentum, keeping the channel intact for now.
MACD: Currently, the histogram remains oscillating below the neutral 0 line, but an increasingly bullish outlook has started to emerge. As long as the MACD histogram does not consistently diverge further from the neutral line, the selling pressure from previous sessions could gradually weaken, reinforcing a potential bullish perspective on the chart.
Key Levels:
$3K: A tentative resistance level, situated in a price zone that gold has never reached in its history. Sustained buying momentum reaching this level could reinforce the bullish bias and further strengthen the current upward channel.
$2.9K: A nearby support level, located at the lower boundary of the current bullish channel. Persistent selling pressure below this level could reinforce the bearish bias and pose a threat to the current upward trend.
$2.7K: A definitive support level, positioned at the 50-period simple moving average. Price fluctuations reaching this level could trigger a new sideways movement in the short term and eliminate the clarity of the current bullish direction.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Xauusdupdates
Gold continues to fluctuate on a roller coaster! Analysis of golTechnical analysis of gold: Gold has been volatile these past two days, and the bull-bear game is also fierce. The current rise and fall of gold have not continued, and they are just piercing patterns. The piercing of 2928 on Wednesday did not continue, and the piercing of 2894 on Thursday did not continue. The hourly and four-hour cycles are very obvious, both are horizontal structures, and the price fluctuates repeatedly like a roller coaster. In this case, you cannot chase orders, and it is easy to lose money on both ends. This trend will be maintained before the non-agricultural data. The choice of direction depends on the impact of Friday's non-agricultural data. For the daily cycle, the moving average of the big drop last week was a dead cross downward, but after the strong rebound this week, it is currently in a horizontal flat state. There is no clear direction after the big drop and rise. For the time being, it is more based on shocks, especially short-term trading. The US market rose to the opening drop of 2923 in the European market and then fell back. Pay attention to the support of 2903/2905 in the early morning. Short-term long, the range is 2890-2930. Note that the direction is only after the breakthrough and continuation.
Today's short-term gold operation ideas suggest that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The upper short-term focus is on the 2930-2932 first-line resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 2890-2894 first-line support.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2927-2930, stop loss 8 points, target around 2915-2900, break to see 2895 line;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2893-2895, stop loss 8 points, target around 2910-2920, break to see 2930 line;
Gold shock pulls long and short without continuationTechnical analysis of gold: Gold has been volatile in the past two days, and the bull-bear game is also fierce. Yesterday, the daily cross star, the data released many positive news, gold did not rise sharply, but the gold rebounded in a V-shaped dive at the end of the day, and finally closed at the opening position. Gold hit a new high of 2929 but did not continue the upward trend, and continued to hover at a high level. Today's idea is to seize the opportunity of its hovering and stepping back. At present, the bulls still need to continue to rush up from the daily line. This week is a data week. It is estimated that the bulls will rise repeatedly and will not come so cleanly. The big V bull trend of the daily line has been determined, and we need to follow the trend later. The current gold price has entered a very obvious high-level consolidation stage. Combined with the non-agricultural data to be released tomorrow, it is highly likely that it will continue to consolidate in the 2894-2930 range today.
For today's short-term operation strategy for gold, it is recommended to do more on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2930-2932 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2890-2894 line of support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2927-2930, stop loss 8 points, target around 2915-2900, break to see 2895 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2893-2895, stop loss 8 points, target around 2910-2920, break to see 2930 line;
Gold bulls suffered a Waterloo?Gold's upward surge this morning still failed to break through the suppression of 2930, indicating that the suppression from above is still very strong. In the afternoon, we gave a real-time long order at the current price of 2897-2900. Gold is still oscillating in the large range of 2893-2930 in the hourly period. Gold fluctuated in this range before the release of non-agricultural data. The support below the hourly line is around 2893-97. It is still possible to bet on an increase at present, and more than ten points are no problem. It depends on whether there is a chance to pull up before the US market. The recent rise and fall are very large, and we must strictly take losses in operations.
From the current 4-hour analysis, the lower support in the evening will continue to focus on the 2893-2897 line, and the upper pressure will focus on around 2930-35. In the evening, we will continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, we should watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
When gold rebounds, go long on the 2893-2897 line, cover long positions on the 2885-88 line, stop loss at 2878, target the 2930-35 line, and continue to hold if the position is broken;
Gold bulls suffered a Waterloo?Gold's upward surge this morning still failed to break through the suppression of 2930, indicating that the suppression from above is still very strong. In the afternoon, we gave a real-time long order at the current price of 2897-2900. Gold is still oscillating in the large range of 2893-2930 in the hourly period. Gold fluctuated in this range before the release of non-agricultural data. The support below the hourly line is around 2893-97. It is still possible to bet on an increase at present, and more than ten points are no problem. It depends on whether there is a chance to pull up before the US market. The recent rise and fall are very large, and we must strictly take losses in operations.
From the current 4-hour analysis, the lower support in the evening will continue to focus on the 2893-2897 line, and the upper pressure will focus on around 2930-35. In the evening, we will continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, we should watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
When gold rebounds, go long on the 2893-2897 line, cover long positions on the 2885-88 line, stop loss at 2878, target the 2930-35 line, and continue to hold if the position is broken;
Gold shock pulls long and short without continuationTechnical analysis of gold: Gold has been volatile in the past two days, and the bull-bear game is also fierce. Yesterday, the daily cross star, the data released many positive news, gold did not rise sharply, but the gold rebounded in a V-shaped dive at the end of the day, and finally closed at the opening position. Gold hit a new high of 2929 but did not continue the upward trend, and continued to hover at a high level. Today's idea is to seize the opportunity of its hovering and stepping back. At present, the bulls still need to continue to rush up from the daily line. This week is a data week. It is estimated that the bulls will rise repeatedly and will not come so cleanly. The big V bull trend of the daily line has been determined, and we need to follow the trend later. The current gold price has entered a very obvious high-level consolidation stage. Combined with the non-agricultural data to be released tomorrow, it is highly likely that it will continue to consolidate in the 2894-2930 range today.
For today's short-term operation strategy for gold, it is recommended to do more on pullbacks and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 2930-2932 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 2890-2894 line of support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 2927-2930, stop loss 8 points, target around 2915-2900, break to see 2895 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2893-2895, stop loss 8 points, target around 2910-2920, break to see 2930 line;
Gold must be watched tonight.Everyone, open your eyes. From the current technical trend, this wave of rise has been under continuous pressure near 2920. The short-term upward momentum is insufficient. The short-term high-level oscillation of 2915-2920 is maintained.
At present, the trend of gold today is slightly weak, and it has not continued the bottoming out and rebounding the day before yesterday. Because the current position is close to the previous high point, and the current risk aversion sentiment has eased slightly, the impact of breaking the previous high again is not strong, so we can see that gold has been oscillating around the 2914-2917 range, and most of the time there is not much breakout trend!
Operation plan, today, focus on whether it will break through 2920 again. If the US market still cannot break through 2920, you can directly short gold. If it breaks through 2920 again, it is not recommended to chase high. The strong pressure area above is concentrated in the 2925-2930 area, and the possibility of a sharp rise in the short term is not great. The support area below is concentrated in the 2895-2885 area. If it falls below the support point of around 2860 again tonight, you can directly chase higher.
XAUUSD: Can I buy or sell? How to tradeDear traders, are you wondering whether you should sell or buy XAUUSD now?
Then stop and read Jack's point of view.
XAUUSD: Today's second order has not reached the target (2916), but it will not take too long to reach it, because the rise has become a foregone conclusion. Many traders may still be worried about whether to trade now and how to trade? Jack will tell you my thoughts. Buy orders can continue to hold and wait for the rise. If you don't buy, then you can also continue to buy. 2916 will not be too far. 2916 is expected to pull back below. If it returns to 2910, continue to buy. If it rises directly, just hold and wait for the rise.
Stay tuned. Or leave me a message.
Gold futures intraday trading bibleAt present, from the technical trend, this wave of rise has been under pressure near 2910, and the short-term rise is insufficient. The short-term fluctuates at a high level. Although it broke a new high yesterday, the strength was obviously insufficient. It fell again after being under pressure near 2930. It is not recommended to continue chasing highs in the short term. According to the current trend, it is likely to fluctuate around a high range. Even if it does not break through, it will only be a correction in the short term, and the possibility of a sharp drop is not great. The gold price will continue to fluctuate in a high range, and the medium-term trend is still bullish.
XAUUSD: Should I buy or sell next?Dear traders, are you wondering whether you should sell or buy XAUUSD now?
Then stop and read Jack's point of view.
XAUUSD: As the first target of the previous order was reached, the gold price fell back to 2900 again, but did not fall below, so this support is still valid. Therefore, buying in the range of 2900-2904 is valid. Target 2916-2930
Still buy low.
When others are fearful, I am greedyFrom the trend point of view. Comparing the long and short positions, the long position is still slightly stronger. At present, the gold price fluctuates in a narrow range around 2910. There is no major news to boost or suppress the gold price in the short term. From the trend point of view, it is obvious that the rebound of gold is not enough to support the rebound and continuation of the breakthrough of gold. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of short-selling power, the bulls will regain control of the situation, and there will be very good trading opportunities for long gold. Now we are long gold around 2908-2913. The target is 2918-2928 area. Wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to go long on gold?
Want to expand profits but not expand profits, unclear about the direction, and don’t know how to analyze the market. If you are the same. Then you can try to change your trading style with a fast trading strategy. If you are interested, you can join my bottom article.
XAUUSD This trading signal can make a profit.
According to yesterday's ADP data report, the number of new jobs this time was only 77,000, which was significantly lower than the expected 140,000 and a sharp drop from the previous value of 186,000, which is very favorable for XAUUSD. Therefore, after the XAUUSD price pulled back to around 2895, it quickly soared to around 2930.
In yesterday's analysis, I clearly pointed out that the upper resistance is at 2928-2935 and the lower support is at 2900-2895. Based on this trading suggestion, buying on dips and shorting on rallies can obtain considerable returns.
At present, gold is still running in this range and testing the support level of 2895-2888 again. If the support is valid, it reflects that the bullish trend is still there. I think these support and resistance levels are still valid. If the upper resistance level of 2928-2935 is completely broken, we may see a further rebound and may retest the historical high of 2956. Let's see how the market will perform.
Trading is risky, and positions should be controlled reasonably. The specific signals are subject to implementation. TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD: Sell or buy?Dear traders, do you want to know whether XUAUSD is buying or selling now?
In the Asian market, the gold price did not stabilize after hitting the 2925 position. After the London market started, the gold price fell from the high again, and the lowest fell below 2900. As I said yesterday, if the 2925 position is not stabilized, the gold price will continue to fall. Today, it was verified. The current price is 2900. The market has no obvious intention to stop falling. So I will pay attention to whether the position near 2892-2886 is effectively supported.
2892-2886BUY
TP2905
TP2916
TP2930
SL2880
Remember to refer to the transaction. Pay attention to risk control,
Go long on gold 05-10, and continue to go long in the short termRecently, the market is also fermenting around the new US tariff policy and the US-Ukraine mineral agreement, which has triggered the Russian-Ukrainian war. Things that should have been clear have not been implemented, which has led to increased uncertainty. In addition, the Federal Reserve also plans to accelerate the pace of interest rate cuts due to the increased risk of economic downturn, so the current market trend is also very repeated. In terms of operation, it is still a repeated shock pattern before the non-agricultural data. From the trend point of view. Comparing long and short positions, long positions are still slightly stronger. At present, the gold price fluctuates in a narrow range around 2900. There is no major news to boost or suppress the gold price in the short term. Therefore, after consuming a certain amount of short-selling power, the bulls will regain control of the situation, and there will be very good trading opportunities for long gold. Now we are long gold around 2905-2910. The target is 2918-2928 area, wish us good luck! Brothers, have you followed me to go long on gold?
Want to expand profits but not expand profits, unclear about the direction, and don’t know how to analyze the market. If you are like this. Then you can try to change your trading style with a fast trading strategy. If you are interested, you can join my bottom article.
Go long gold first, then go short gold!!!Go long first and then go short
At present, gold has fallen back from around 2926 and touched around 2900. Although it has been slightly punctured, it has not effectively fallen below 2900. The support area of 2900-2890 that I suggested is still valid; and in the process of gold falling back, it is more conducive to long funds waiting for opportunities to enter the market to increase liquidity, and it is more conducive to gold continuing to rise or even breaking through the resistance area near 2930 after technical adjustments and accumulating momentum. So in short-term trading, I advocate going long gold. We can go long gold in the 2905-2895 area, and I have executed this trading plan, expecting gold to rise and bring us huge profits.
I always believe that profitability is the criterion for measuring strength. I want to tell you that I never talk in vain. Everything is based on transaction data. Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading. Accumulating profits is what changes life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals and earn stable profits, or want to learn in depth about correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
gold on short bearish to reform back on buy.#XAUUSD price have dropped below 2900, which formed new pattern on bearish.
Now we await for another retracment below 2892 which holds strong sell. Target 2870-2865, stop loss 2906.
Below 2865 holds bullish reform because the candle moves shows a reversal to buy. Breakout above 2912 will continue bullish.
Gold real market 2902-98 long orders continue to make big profitGold swept the market after last night's data, and after falling back to a low of 2894, it staged a V-shaped reversal. Our strategic thinking before the data was realized again, and the overnight daily line closed with a positive cross star. The performance of shock and strong is waiting to be broken. The upper pressure is at 2930. If the breakthrough continues, it can be seen to 2944. In the 4H cycle, it fell back and stabilized above the middle track. The Bollinger Bands closed upward. Combined with the blunt state of the indicator, in the short term, it will temporarily be treated as a strong range of shocks. The lower support is at 2912, 2900 and last night’s low. In terms of operation, according to the strength of the decline, it is mainly bullish and long. The upper side will gradually reach 2930 and 2944!
Operation suggestion: Buy gold near 2902-00, stop loss at 2892, look at 2930, 2944! If the white market is strong, you can rely on the support of 2910-12 to buy more!
Shorting gold, a precise hit yielded a handsome profitBrothers, as a professional trader, my rich trading concepts and strategies have been widely praised by my friends. Have you followed my trading strategies and ideas to short gold? As I wrote in my previous post, I shorted gold as soon as the price hit the 2925-2930 area and made a profit of more than 200pips. Presumably, as long as the brothers who follow my strategy to short gold, they will definitely gain a lot of profits.
I always believe that profit is the standard for measuring strength. I want to tell you that I never talk in vain. Everything is based on trading data. The cake is only so big. When others have started to taste it with me, are you still hesitating? Remember, as long as you follow my trading strategy and ideas, wealth will inevitably come to you. There is still a lot of time today. Let's keep working hard. I believe we will gain more profits.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading, and accumulating profits is what changes your life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals, make stable profits, or want to learn the correct trading logic and skills in depth, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.
XAU/USD 06 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold price falls back and continues to go long!Gold price breaks low and rises, breaks high and falls, 2920-2893 breaks through to determine the right to speak
Overnight, we went long at 2900 for gold, there are many layouts at this position, the big positive line went straight up to the sky, directly reached above 2920, and realized the harvest of long orders. At present, it is still in the form of longs. We still choose to go long at 2900, and low long is inevitable. The upper side is still looking at the historical high of 2956
Gold Price Action: Why I Took Profits EarlyYesterday, gold initially dropped below 2900, briefly testing the 2895 zone as support before reversing sharply to the upside.
Although I had a sniper entry with a 500-pip profit target, I chose to close my trade with a 250-pip profit instead.
The reason for this decision is the strong resistance between 2920 and 2930, along with multiple barriers extending toward 2940.
Looking ahead, a breakdown below 2910 would confirm my slightly bearish bias and could trigger a new leg downward.
For now, I’m staying out of the market, waiting for confirmation of my bearish outlook before initiating sell positions.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.