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The Danger of Complacency in Gold’s Bullish TrendThe current sentiment around Gold is highly bullish, with traders showing a strong bias towards continued upward momentum. This optimism, however, may be breeding a sense of complacency that often precedes a major market shift. Technically, indeed, the recent break above local resistance around the $2,742-$2,745 zone gives bulls a target near $2,780, reflecting the recent momentum. Yet from a swing trading perspective, entering long at this level may carry more risk than reward. The market's potential for a significant downside reversal could present far more valuable entry points. Waiting for clear signs of a trend change, rather than chasing highs, aligns better with my risk-conscious approach, positioning to capture more meaningful moves on the downside.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
8
XAUUSD: Based on Previous Analysis! **XAUUSD: 1-Hour Chart Analysis** Hello Traders, Based on our previous analysis, we had expected prices to reversed from our designated buying zone. And price did that exactly, reversing from 2625 which took the price towards 2771. Where we have seen some resistance. We still are very much bullish on Gold. Next targets are 2800$ and then 2900$ as followed. Gold experienced a surge, reaching 2605 before reversing its direction. Investors anticipated a decline below 2700$. However, the price rebounded to 2743$, filling the volume gap and subsequently dropping to 2715$, which marked the last low. Despite this, the price failed to establish another lower low. Subsequently, it fluctuated within the vicinity before exhibiting a shift in price character. The upcoming chart analysis indicates an exceptionally bullish outlook. Price has the potential to create another higher high, supported by robust fundamentals and technical indicators signalling a strong bullish sentiment. Traders with open buy positions may consider holding them. The market opened with a sell side gap on Monday, which does not invalidate our entry at all. Currently, the price is 400+ pips in the green. I recommend closing half of the positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
6
#XAUUSD: On the way to $2800! 600+ Pips Swing Buy**XAUUSD: 1-Hour Chart Analysis** Hello Traders, Gold experienced a surge, reaching 2605 before reversing its direction. Investors anticipated a decline below 2700$. However, the price rebounded to 2743$, filling the volume gap and subsequently dropping to 2715$, which marked the last low. Despite this, the price failed to establish another lower low. Subsequently, it fluctuated within the vicinity before exhibiting a shift in price character. The upcoming chart analysis indicates an exceptionally bullish outlook. Price has the potential to create another higher high, supported by robust fundamentals and technical indicators signaling a strong bullish sentiment. Traders with open buy positions may consider holding them. Best of luck and trade safely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
22
How Much Gold Should You Hold in Your Portfolio? Gold, often referred to as a safe-haven asset, has historically been a reliable hedge against inflation, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical risks. As the global economic landscape becomes increasingly volatile, many investors are turning to gold to diversify their portfolios and protect their wealth. The Case for Gold • Inflation Hedge: Gold has traditionally been a reliable hedge against inflation. As the purchasing power of fiat currencies erodes, the value of gold tends to rise. • Diversification: Gold has a low correlation with other asset classes like stocks and bonds. This means that adding gold to your portfolio can help reduce overall risk. • Safe-Haven Asset: In times of economic turmoil or geopolitical uncertainty, investors often flock to gold as a safe-haven asset. • How Much Gold Should You Own? The optimal allocation to gold in a portfolio depends on various factors, including your risk tolerance, investment horizon, and overall financial goals. However, in the current economic climate, many experts recommend allocating a significant portion of your portfolio to gold. A 15-20% Allocation: A Prudent Choice Given the current economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and inflationary pressures, many financial advisors suggest allocating 15-20% of your portfolio to gold. This allocation can provide a solid hedge against potential downside risks and help preserve your wealth over the long term. Factors to Consider: • Risk Tolerance: If you have a higher risk tolerance, you may consider a higher allocation to gold. However, it's important to balance risk and reward. • Investment Horizon: A longer investment horizon allows for a more aggressive allocation to riskier assets like stocks. However, gold can still be a valuable component of a long-term portfolio. • Market Conditions: Economic conditions, geopolitical events, and central bank policies can significantly impact the price of gold. Stay informed about these factors to adjust your allocation as needed. • Diversification: Ensure that your gold investment is part of a diversified portfolio. This means spreading your investments across various asset classes to reduce risk. • How to Invest in Gold There are several ways to invest in gold: • Physical Gold: Buying physical gold in the form of coins or bars is a traditional method. However, it requires secure storage. • Gold ETFs: Gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provide a convenient way to invest in gold without the hassle of physical storage. • Gold Mining Stocks: Investing in gold mining companies can offer exposure to the gold market, but it comes with additional risks associated with the mining industry. • Conclusion In conclusion, while gold may not offer the same potential for high returns as other asset classes, it can be a valuable tool for risk management and wealth preservation. By allocating a significant portion of your portfolio to gold, you can protect your wealth against a range of risks and secure your financial future.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
XAUUSD: Beware of the pullback, sell at high today, target 2730The trend of gold perfectly replicated my idea yesterday. I explained yesterday's trading strategy and future gold price trend very clearly. Yesterday's closing price is very important to the future trend of gold. If the price can close above 2740-2735, the gold price will start to rise. Otherwise, it will continue to adjust if it closes below. Yesterday’s closing price was just above 2740, and today’s opening price continued to rise, with the highest point once again reaching the historical high of 2757. Next, I don’t think gold will directly set a new historical high again, because the monthly NFP data will be released this week. It is unlikely that it will set a new high before the data is released. There is a high probability that it will adjust first and then when the data is released. Refresh the high of 2757. As for today's trading direction, I think it is feasible to choose to short at a high level
TVC:GOLDShort
by AntonyTP
1
XAUUSD: Sell, Target 2745-2736Today, I highlighted the likelihood of a gold pullback near 2754, with support in the 2745-2736 range. As expected, the price dipped to around 2746, delivering solid profits for those who followed this strategy. Currently, DXY shows signs of an uptrend, which could intensify during the U.S. session, likely pressuring gold to drop further. Support remains focused on the 2745-2736 range, with a stronger DXY potentially pushing gold down to around 2732. For resistance, continue to reference the 2752-2758 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mia-Signal
Gold Short: Pullback from Overbought HighsCurrently, Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of nearing overbought levels, with price action testing the upper resistance channels on the 30-minute timeframe. A descending trendline aligns with key Fibonacci retracement zones, suggesting a potential reversal opportunity from recent highs around $2,764. In this setup, I’m monitoring price action around the trendline for any signs of rejection, which could indicate the start of a short-term downward movement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching overbought territory, currently close to 69, which often signals an imminent pullback. This, combined with recent highs, gives a strong technical basis for a short position targeting a reversion to lower support levels. Fundamental Context: Fundamental factors are adding weight to this setup. Market sentiment remains risk-off due to persistent geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East and a closely watched U.S. presidential election, both of which have driven safe-haven demand for Gold. Additionally, there is a 96% market expectation for a Fed rate cut of 25 basis points, creating a low-interest rate environment, further supporting bullish Gold sentiment. However, despite these bullish drivers, any signs of easing in geopolitical tensions or unexpected outcomes in the Fed’s rate decision could diminish the upward momentum. Combined with RSI overbought conditions, this presents a tactical opportunity to capitalize on a potential corrective move in Gold’s price. Trade Plan: 1. Entry: Short position near the $2,755 resistance level. 2. Stop Loss: Set above the recent high around $2,770 to guard against a false breakout. 3. Target: Initial target at $2,720, with potential to add partials or adjust if price action shows signs of reversal. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by AR33_
XAUUSD:29/10 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2800, support below 2700 Four-hour resistance 2760, support below 2733 Gold operation suggestions: From the current market trend, we will rely on the 4-hour level support to arrange long orders. The upward trend channel support is near 2735-38. It is our opportunity to arrange long orders near this position. The upper pressure opportunity is 2758-2762. At present, shorting in such a market is only a small decline and accumulation of momentum. Wait patiently for the key point to enter the market. BUY:2733near SL:2730 BUY:2739near SL:2735 The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
XAU/USD 29 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 October 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally persists amid the Fed’s dovish tone and heightened geopolitical tensions, solidifying its safe-haven appeal. Price has printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling, but not yet confirming, the start of bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Despite the bearish CHoCH, price has yet to pull back into the internal 50% EQ discount. We could see a reaction at the H4 supply level before any confirmation of bearish pullback initiation. Technical Note: The strong high at 2,758.525 is anticipated to remain protected. However, with CHoCH positioning on the daily timeframe somewhat distant, price may print a bullish iBOS in the near term to align with the daily timeframe’s movement. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 24 October 2024. Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met, as price failed to target the weak internal high and instead printed a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This aligns with the H4 timeframe being in a pullback phase. As previously highlighted, price remains highly volatile, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's softer stance. Price has since printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting but not confirming the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Currently, price is trading within a well-established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is reacting around the 50% equilibrium of the internal range and may also react at nested H4 and M15 supply levels before targeting the weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
Gold's Range-Bound Market: Patience for the Downside OpportunityYesterday, gold spent its last 7 hours hovering within the 2740-2746 range. I was constantly waiting for a breakout to the downside, holding short positions in the 2739-2746 zone, but it didn’t deliver by the close. If it weren’t for trading USOUL, which kept me engaged, I might have dozed off! After recent volatility, this calm has felt quite unsteady. Today, I still expect a drop. Many of my regulars needed to rest, so I advised them to set their take-profit at 2739 before logging off. I’ll stay on, keeping an eye out for the market to drop. For now, the focus is solely on 2739. Once the order closes, I’ll rest and resume trading after the European session opens. I’ve marked zones on the gold chart; if you want to trade on your own before I release a new signal, feel free to use these references. The range is tight, so any gains or losses should be modest. If you profit, fantastic! If not, don’t worry; I’m confident I can help recover those few pips in no time.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MichaeliaDefoe
Escalating Middle East Tensions and Gold Trading StrategyIsrael has launched an attack on Iran, but the missiles were intercepted by Iran's air defense system, resulting in minimal casualties. Interestingly, in the attacked areas, people stood on rooftops to watch the “fireworks,” which is quite a humorous image. The response from Iran regarding this attack will be important to monitor. Regardless, the war continues, and for gold, another rise seems inevitable. After the market opens on Monday, I believe we can pursue the bullish trend. When the price approaches previous highs, we should close our long positions and begin selling, aiming for a small swing trade. If the price gets near MA20 and shows strong support, we can continue to buy; if not, we’ll consider buying again near MA60.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MichaeliaDefoe
2
XAUUSD: Future ups and downs depend on today's closing priceThe conflict in the Middle East broke out again over the weekend. Israel attacked Iran's military facilities, which led to a surge in risk aversion over the weekend. However, a different voice appeared in the market. Israel's retaliation against Iran was more like an explanation to the people. Since the attack did not pose a major threat, the market believed that Iran would not respond to it. This also explains why gold opened more than ten dollars lower today, and crude oil opened significantly lower than more than 3 dollars. Let's get back to the point. My opinion on today's gold is that it needs to be observed. Today's closing situation is very important for the future trend of gold. If the gold price can close above 2735-2740 tonight, then the gold price will start to rise. On the contrary, if it closes below 2735-2740, there may be adjustments. For the day, I am more optimistic about buying at low levels and bullish
TVC:GOLDLong
by AntonyTP
1
XAUUSD: Trading In The 2720-2740 RangeI'm not sure if everyone followed the signals before last Friday's close, but if you did, today's trade should definitely be profitable. Currently, after filling the gap from today’s lower opening, gold has once again begun to decline, forming a pattern similar to a double top. While there is some support at the current level, it is not strong. From the perspective of the ascending trend, strong support should be around 2722, while the horizontal support from the head and shoulders pattern lies in the 2718-2712 range. By connecting the high point from last Friday's close to the high point of today's rebound, we can identify a downtrend, with resistance located near 2737. Therefore, today's subsequent trading will primarily focus on the range between 2740 - 2720. If the trend breaks, we will need to adjust our strategy accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mia-Signal
Strategic Gold Trading in NFP Week: Steady PositioningStrategy Overview: This week, marked by the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data release, is likely to see limited market movement in the initial days (Monday and Tuesday) with price oscillations predominantly within a narrow range. Main volatility is expected between Wednesday and Friday evening. Based on last Friday’s daily chart analysis, gold prices are consolidating within the 2720-2740 range. Accordingly, today and tomorrow’s strategy involves maintaining positions within this range, employing a cautious approach. Specific Trade Setups: Enter long positions on gold between the 2725-2728 range Initiate short positions on gold between the 2737-2739 range Trading Mindset: Maintain composure, adhere strictly to the strategy, and seek optimal entries to capitalize on potential price swings during NFP week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Falcon-Training-Camp
Is the Gold Rally Over? Preparing for the Next Wave of SellingSince the beginning of the week, I've been making the case that Gold's recent move has become overextended, and that complacency in the market often precedes strong reversals. This type of overconfidence, where traders believe the uptrend will continue indefinitely, can lead to sudden and sharp corrections when sentiment shifts. Indeed, after reaching yet another all-time high at 2758, OANDA:XAUUSD began to pull back. Once it broke below the key support level of the rising channel, the downward momentum intensified, leading to an accelerated sell-off. This drop culminated in an intraday low of 2708—an impressive 500-pip decline from top to bottom. Looking ahead, in my view, this correction is not over yet. I believe we are likely to see a new wave of selling pressure in the coming sessions. The market may experience brief rebounds or retracements, but these should be seen as opportunities to position for further downside. My strategy moving forward is to sell into this rebound, with negation if we have a new ATH. Until that happens, the primary target for this move remains the 2680-2690 support zone, which could provide a more substantial floor for the price in the near term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
10
XAU/USD 28 October 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Analysis/bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 27 October 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally persists amid the Fed’s dovish tone and heightened geopolitical tensions, solidifying its safe-haven appeal. Price has printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling, but not yet confirming, the start of bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Despite the bearish CHoCH, price has yet to pull back into the internal 50% EQ discount. We could see a reaction at the H4 supply level before any confirmation of bearish pullback initiation. Technical Note: The strong high at 2,758.525 is anticipated to remain protected. However, with CHoCH positioning on the daily timeframe somewhat distant, price may print a bullish iBOS in the near term to align with the daily timeframe’s movement. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 24 October 2024. Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met, as price failed to target the weak internal high and instead printed a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This aligns with the H4 timeframe being in a pullback phase. As previously highlighted, price remains highly volatile, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's softer stance. Price has since printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting but not confirming the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Currently, price is trading within a well-established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is reacting around the 50% equilibrium of the internal range and may also react at nested H4 and M15 supply levels before targeting the weak internal low. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GOLD with two probabilities for 10/28/2024GOLD with a high probability to make the decision for 10/28/2024 ✅️ : 🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss. 🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by Abderrahmane_24
XAU/USD 28 October - 01 November 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has continued its surge, reaching new all-time highs with no signs yet of bearish pullback phase initiation. The initial indication of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price's ongoing ascent has now positioned CHoCH significantly closer to most recent price action. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has sustained its upward surge since printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), driven by softer U.S. macroeconomic data and heightened geopolitical tensions. Following bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated, though there are currently no signs of it materialising. The first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which is marked by a blue dotted line. Price could potentially achieve new highs, bringing the bearish CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price action. This proximity would provide a realistic opportunity for price to signal the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally persists amid the Fed’s dovish tone and heightened geopolitical tensions, solidifying its safe-haven appeal. Price has printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling—but not yet confirming—the start of a bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Despite the bearish CHoCH, price has yet to pull back into the internal 50% EQ discount. We could see a reaction at the H4 supply level before any confirmation of bearish pullback initiation. Technical Note: The strong high at 2,758.525 is anticipated to remain protected. However, with CHoCH positioning on the daily timeframe somewhat distant, price may print a bullish iBOS in the near term to align with the daily timeframe’s movement. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK