XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at anypoint.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 2586.00 or Before
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Fundamental Outlook 📰 Economic Factors
US Interest Rate Hikes: The Federal Reserve's potential rate hikes in 2025 could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it less attractive to investors.
Stronger US Dollar: A stronger US dollar could make gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, potentially reducing demand.
Improving Global Economic Growth: If global economic growth improves, investors may shift their focus away from safe-haven assets like gold.
Sentiment Analysis
Reduced Investor Appetite: If investor appetite for gold decreases, it could lead to reduced demand and lower prices.
Increased Gold ETF Outflows: Increased outflows from gold ETFs could indicate reduced investor interest in gold.
Other Factors
Increased Gold Supply: An increase in gold supply due to increased mining production or recycling could lead to lower prices.
Cryptocurrency Competition: Increased competition from cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin could reduce demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Xauusdupdates
XAUUSD Possible bounce to resistance line!XAUUSD has created a strong up trending market structure on the lower timeframe. Weekly price action just has got bounce we may see the price bouncing back to the upside to the weekly liquidity zone at 2651.06. As of on 1 hour timeframe the price already has created smooth uptrend, price may continue to rise in the upcoming sessions.
S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index records 3.6% annual gain S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census divisions, reported a 3.6% annual return for October, down from a 3.9% annual gain in the previous month. The 10-City Composite saw an annual increase of 4.8%, down from a 5.2% annual increase in the previous month. The 20-City Composite posted a year-over-year increase of 4.2%, dropping from a 4.6% increase in the previous month. New York again reported the highest annual gain among the 20 cities with a 7.3% increase in October, followed by Chicago and Las Vegas with annual increases of 6.2% and 5.9%, respectively. .
XAUUSD: Year End ReviewWow what a year it has been!
It's one thing for Tradingview to give us our stats, but it's an entirely different animal when looking at my individual trades head on like this. I can see where I over traded and when/where I made some much needed tweaks.
The tweaks that were made we're so much my strategy as much as it was mindset - taking fewer trades and letting them run longer. On average 2-4 hours.
I learned so many lessons the main one being less truly is more .
So often I would struggle looking at my losing trades and really reviewing my mistakes. Looking at my metrics on my Topstep account allowed me to refine my mindset. I knew when my most profitable days were/are, how long I should hold my trades to allow them to play out to full TP, and arguable the most important stat - when to stay out of the market.
By analyzing just these three metrics I was able to end the year in profit and believe it or not I was able to finish 4 out of 6 months in profit and get funded/pass my trading combine/evaluation.
This isn't the first time I've been funded. However this is the first time and longest time I have kept my account and the closest I have gotten to a payout.
My trading goals for 2025 is to of course get 1 payout per month and earn 4 more funded Topstep funded accounts. This will max out the number of accounts I can have with Topstep. The best part is I can put all 5 accounts on their integrated trade copier.
I decree and declare over myself that 2025 is going to be my best, most profitable, and most prosperous year to date - IN JESUS NAME! AMEN!
XAUUSD GOING LONGLong Analysis of XAUUSD – 4H Timeframe
Market Structure:
The price is in a corrective phase but remains within a broader bullish trend.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) and demand zone near $2,600 provide potential support for a long setup.
Key Zones:
Golden Zone: Price has previously rejected this supply area. A clean break above $2,660 could signal further bullish momentum.
Demand Zone: The price is reacting around the $2,640 level, indicating buying interest.
Entry Strategy:
Look for bullish confirmation around the FVG/demand zone ($2,600-$2,640).
A clear break above $2,658 and consolidation would confirm bullish continuation.
Targets:
TP1: $2,687 – aligned with a minor resistance level.
TP2: $2,727 – at the upper resistance near the supply zone.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss should be placed below the demand zone, near $2,593, to limit downside risk.
Outlook:
Bullish opportunities are favorable if price maintains support at key zones and forms higher lows. Watch for breakout confirmation above structural resistance. FX:XAUUSD
Boldly short goldBros, gold has shown a strong rebound within the lower timeframes, surging from 2605 to 2615. While the momentum of the rebound appears strong, it has failed to break through the resistance zone of 2618-2625. This suggests that gold may be depleting bullish momentum within the short-term cycle through accelerated upward movements. From a technical perspective, this could also be a potential bull trap, enticing traders to go long on gold.
Therefore, avoid chasing gold during this rebound. As I mentioned in my previous article, you can use the 2618-2625 area as resistance and start shorting gold above 2615. Just now, gold rebounded above 2615, giving us a second opportunity to short gold. Once gold consumes the bullish momentum to a certain extent, it will retest the 2600-2590 zone again, or even 2580 level. Let’s wait and see how this plays out!
Bros, have you joined me in shorting gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading strategies and receive additional trade signals, you can join the channel linked at the bottom of the article. Let’s make trading easier and turn profits into a source of enjoyment!
Short gold, aiming for 2600-2590Bros, gold rebounded after touching 2596 overnight, and has now rebounded to 2617. Although gold has gradually recovered, the momentum behind the rebound appears notably weak, leaving the sustainability of the recovery uncertain. Furthermore, despite the rebound from the 2596 level, there are no clear signs of bottoming out, which suggests that gold currently lacks the conditions for a trend reversal. This movement is likely just a correction to the sharp decline from yesterday, making it highly probable that gold will retrace after the rebound and retest its support levels.
In the short term, resistance is concentrated in the 2618-2625 range. If the rebound lacks the momentum to decisively break above this resistance, gold is likely to retest the 2600-2595 support zone. Should this zone be breached, the downtrend could extend further to the 2585-2580 range.
For short-term trading, I have entered a short position on gold at a price of 2615.62, using the 2618-2625 range as resistance. I anticipate that gold will once again test the 2600-2595 region. As for whether gold will extend its decline to the 2585-2580 zone, let’s wait and see!
Bros, are you optimistic about the continued decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold may have another waterfall, the latest technical analysisGold continued to fall on the daily line, and once again lost the MA10 daily average line of 2614. Yesterday, it fell below the 2600 mark, and the low point moved down. The adjustment range moves down to 2590/2620. The price in the short-period four-hour chart runs along the middle and lower rails of the Bollinger Band, the moving average opens downward, the RSI indicator runs weakly below the central axis, and the intraday rebound is mainly selling at high levels!
The gold 1-hour moving average continued to cross the downward short arrangement again, and the gold fell and continuously refreshed the low point. Now gold is obviously still in a short trend, so just continue to go short. Today, 2622 is an opportunity to sell at highs, but the short-term rebound of gold near 2615 was suppressed, so you can enter the market in advance!
First support: 2595, second support: 2590, third support: 2581
First resistance: 2610, second resistance: 2615, third resistance: 2628
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2588-2590
SELL: 2613-2615
xauusd Sell XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar)
Timeframe: 1-Day (D1)
The market has created a Change of Character (CHoCH) in a bearish direction, indicating selling pressure. Currently, the price is retracing toward a significant Order Block (OB) near $2,720. If the price reacts at this level, there is a high probability of a bearish continuation, offering potential selling opportunities.
Buy gold first, then short gold at the right timeBros, after reaching the 2622 level, gold has gradually pulled back and is now trading near 2600. Fortunately, we managed to capture the short-term peak and closed our long positions near 2622, successfully locking in profits.
However, following the pullback, I have re-entered long positions in gold. I initiated a buy position around 2606, and as gold dipped further to approximately 2600, I added to my position with the same lot size. The psychological support level at 2600 remains a critical threshold, and it’s unlikely to be decisively breached in the short term during the market’s tug-of-war. Therefore, gold bulls may recover some ground during this phase, which is why I remain committed to taking long positions in the short term.
That said, given the strength of bearish momentum as gold declines, expectations for the rebound’s upside potential should be adjusted downward to the 2610-2615 range. If gold’s momentum remains weak after testing this range, we can then consider initiating short positions once again.
Bros, are you bullish on gold rebounding and regaining some lost ground? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold rebounded as expected. Did you follow me to buy gold?Bros, as I mentioned in my previous article, if gold continues to narrow its fluctuations during the downtrend, it is highly likely to find support again in the 2610-2605 zone, followed by a rebound. Currently, gold is performing exactly as I anticipated—after touching 2609 twice, it successfully halted the decline and has since rebounded, with gold currently trading around 2617.
Based on the current structure of gold, it is fully capable of attempting another push toward the 2620-2630 region. If the upward momentum continues strongly, a breakout above the 2635 level could trigger a further attempt to reach the 2640-2650 zone. I have already executed long positions near 2611 and 2610, in line with my trading strategy, and I am currently sitting on a relatively good profit. Let’s see how far this rebound can take gold!
Bros, have you followed my lead and gone long on gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading strategies and receive additional trade signals, you can join the channel at the bottom of the article. Let’s make trading easier and turning profits into a pleasure!
Buy gold with support as defenseBros, the trading journey for the new week starts from this moment.
Gold has gradually pulled back after reaching around 2638 and is currently testing the 2614 level. If the volatility of gold continues to narrow, I believe gold will find support once again in the 2610-2605 region and could potentially rebound back towards the 2620-2630 range. Therefore, in the short term, as long as gold remains above the 2610-2605 support zone, there is a good chance it will rebound again. So, for short-term trading, we can still consider going long on gold.
Bros, are you optimistic about the rebound of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Is Gold the Best Investment in a Mixed Metals Market?Gold Shines in a Mixed Year for Metals Markets
In 2024, gold emerged as a standout performer in the often-volatile metals markets. While other metals experienced a mixed bag of results, gold surged by an impressive 27%, defying the broader market trends. This bullish run can be attributed to a confluence of factors, including US monetary easing, heightened geopolitical tensions, and strategic central bank purchases.
A Year of Contrasting Fortunes
The performance of base metals in 2024 presented a more nuanced picture. While some base metals witnessed healthy gains, others struggled. Iron ore, a key ingredient in steel production, witnessed a significant decline, and lithium, often touted as the white gold of the electric vehicle revolution, also faced headwinds.
Gold's Allure: A Haven in Uncertain Times
Gold's resilience throughout 2024 can be ascribed to its inherent characteristics as a safe-haven asset. When economic or political uncertainty clouds the horizon, investors often flock to gold, perceiving it as a store of value that can weather market storms.
• US Monetary Easing: In 2024, the US Federal Reserve implemented a series of monetary easing measures, injecting liquidity into the financial system and lowering interest rates. This dovish stance by the Fed weakened the US dollar, making gold, a dollar-denominated asset, more attractive to international investors.
• Geopolitical Upheaval: The year 2024 was marked by a heightened sense of geopolitical instability. Trade tensions, regional conflicts, and concerns over global security fueled investor anxieties. Gold, perceived as a hedge against geopolitical risks, benefited from this flight-to-safety bid.
• Central Bank Buying Spree: Central banks around the world were significant buyers of gold in 2024. This strategic accumulation by central banks bolstered investor confidence in the yellow metal, further solidifying its position as a valuable reserve asset.
The Road Ahead: A Look at 2025
As we enter 2025, the outlook for metals markets remains shrouded in some uncertainty. However, several key factors are likely to influence the trajectory of gold and other metals.
• The Trajectory of US Monetary Policy: The future course of US monetary policy will be a critical determinant of gold's performance in 2025. If the Fed maintains its dovish stance, it could continue to buoy gold prices. However, if the Fed signals a shift towards tighter monetary policy, it could dampen gold's appeal.
• The Evolving Geopolitical Landscape: The geopolitical landscape in 2025 will significantly impact investor sentiment. If geopolitical tensions escalate, gold could surge as investors seek a safe haven. Conversely, a period of relative geopolitical stability could lead to a pullback in gold prices.
• China's Growth Engine: China's economic growth prospects will also be closely watched. China is a major consumer of metals, and its demand can significantly influence prices. If China's economy strengthens in 2025, it could provide a tailwind for base metals.
Gold's Strong Gains: A Harbinger of Change?
Gold's stellar performance in 2024 may signal a fundamental shift in market dynamics. After years of dominance by riskier assets like equities, investors may be returning to safe-haven assets like gold in anticipation of a more uncertain economic and geopolitical environment.
In conclusion, the year 2024 was a year of contrasting fortunes for metals markets. While gold emerged as a clear winner, other metals painted a more mixed picture. As we look ahead to 2025, the trajectory of US monetary policy, the evolving geopolitical landscape, and China's growth prospects will be the key factors shaping the performance of metals markets. Gold's robust gains in 2024 serve as a reminder of its enduring allure as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty. Whether this marks a long-term trend or a temporary blip remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: gold will continue to be a closely watched asset class in the ever-evolving global financial landscape.
How to trade gold better after the holidays?
Combining the above picture, it is not difficult to see the absolute randomness of the market.
The current trend of gold prices is still in a rebound trend after falling. Clearly there is a long opportunity, but where is the specific buying point? Some people may choose to short. Of course, these are all executable operations.
I tend to go long on gold. The short-term upper resistance is at 2645 or above, which is the front dense trading area, and there is a certain selling pressure. The support below is at 2610-2600. The support strength at this position is relatively large. The importance of integer level support.
According to the absolute contingency of the market. Plus the bullish trend. Going long in batches is likely to win. Close the order according to your expected profit.
There are no heavy factors on the news for the time being. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision before Christmas is a heavy bomb, I believe everyone has seen it. But there is no similar news in the short term. Moreover, the deliberate proxy of geopolitical wars will lead to an increase in demand for gold prices, and the gold price will definitely rise all the way with rising risk aversion. So going long is a wise choice. Maintain the above support pressure before breaking the range, and you can do some high-selling and low-buying. Replan after the range is broken. Stay tuned for updates. This way you won’t miss out on real-time analysis. If you are a novice trader, this is a good learning opportunity. If you are a long-time trader, you can also follow the insights to get some trading opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1!
Gold next Stop! I'm anticipating Gold to hit 2581.85 to clear the liquidity of the previous week low which is the Thursday low of the week (Taking it as Inducement). Hence anticipating upward movement from 2580.55 if there's a daily rejection I'd look for entry on the H4 to buy but if no rejection at that zone, I'll be anticipating the 2565.47 zone for daily rejection or H4 rejection creating an imbalance.
What's your outlook on XAU peeps.
Let's share Ideas 💡
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold A descending triangle is being drawn, Gold A descending triangle is drawn, with further breakdown of the support level
Review of previous trade:
- Gold successfully exited the triangle as expected.
- The trade worked out perfectly, bringing the expected profit.
Current Situation:
- Gold has now formed a “flag” pattern indicating the continuation of the upward movement.
- The height of the flag coincides perfectly with the strong resistance level at $2658, making this a key target.
New trade parameters:
- Entry point: on breakdown of the upper boundary of the flag.
- Target: $2658 (resistance level).
- Stop loss: hidden behind the flag boundary at $2618 to minimize risk.
- Risk/reward ratio: 1/4 - a low-risk trade with high potential return.
Recommendations:
- Wait for a confident breakdown of the flag before entering the trade.
- Control the position volume to comply with risk management rules.
- Follow market news that may affect the movement of gold.
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Gold could close the year in an optimistic toneBefore Christmas, OANDA:XAUUSD established strong support around the 2610 level, maintaining this position even during the low-volume trading days typical of the holiday season.
Currently, the price is edging higher, approaching the key resistance zone of 2645–2650. A decisive breakout above this zone could lead to further gains, potentially allowing gold to close the year on a positive and optimistic note, possibly reaching or exceeding the 2700 level.
However, a break below the 2610 support would indicate a bearish shift for gold in the near term.