Will the gold trend peak in the evening?After the opening today, the upward sentiment continued and broke through the high again, reaching the 3056 line.Today, the main trend of gold trading is shorting at high levels, supplemented by long positions at low levels.
Strategy: The 3055 short position given at the end of yesterday's trading has been reached. If it touches 3060 during the day, cover the position once and do not decide on defense for the time being. If it touches around 3067 during the day, short once and cover the position once at 3072, defend at 3077, and target 3052-3047, then hold if it breaks down.
Xauusdupdates
Golden High DivingThe 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and gold may open up room for decline. The 1-hour moving average of gold has now formed a head and shoulders top structure. Gold rebounds or continues to be short. The market is weakening, and the gold price has fallen below the 3,000 mark. The market direction has turned short, so the short-biased situation has been finalized. Long positions must be put aside first, because it is a short market now. You can continue to short after the gold price rebounds and adjusts. Pay attention to the 3020 line on the upper pressure level. You can go short directly when it rebounds! Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold next Monday is to short on rebounds as the main strategy, and to go long on pullbacks as the auxiliary strategy.
Reference for gold operation strategy next Monday:
Short order strategy: Short 20% of the position in batches when gold rebounds to around 3020-3022, stop loss at 3055, target around 3010-3005, and look at the 3000 line if it breaks;
Long order strategy: Long 20% of the position in batches when gold pulls back to around 2998-3000, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3010-3015, and look at the 3020 line if it breaks;
Gold is long or short at the end of the dayOn the 4-hour chart, gold has a minor support level near $3,022, which is also the neckline of the head and shoulders top pattern. Buyers are expected to intervene here and use the neckline as a risk control point, with the goal of pushing gold prices to new highs. On the contrary, sellers will focus on gold prices falling below this support to increase confidence and increase short selling, with the target of $3,006.The gold 1-hour moving average begins to flatten. If the gold 1-hour moving average turns downward, the strength of gold bulls will weaken. Now the gold 1-hour moving average has formed a head and shoulders top pattern. Gold is under pressure at the 3057 high point and continues to go short. At present, the support of the moving average needs to focus on the MA20 line, and the death cross signal of the MACD indicator should also be guarded against. The possibility of profit correction at the end of the weekly line cannot be ruled out. Therefore, it is recommended to rebound high and go short.
Gold (XAUUSD) Sell Setup – Targeting 3022 & 3006Price has previously rejected this area, indicating strong selling pressure. A potential bearish move is anticipated, targeting the lower support level around 3022.670. If the price fails to break above the resistance, the projected downward movement is likely to follow.
Take Profit (TP) levels:
- TP1: 3022.000 (Stronger reaction zone)
- TP2: 3006.000 (Final target, deeper support level)
These levels align with key support zones where price may react.
"XAU/USD Price Action Analysis: Targeting $3,063 or Reversal to Alright! Let's break down the chart analysis. 📊
🔹 Chart Overview:
Pair: XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar)
Timeframe: 1-hour (H1)
Price Level: Current price at $3,030.44
Target Point: $3,063.97
🔥 Key Observations:
Supply and Demand Zones:
The highlighted blue zones suggest resistance (supply) where price was rejected twice (blue arrows).
The larger gray zones below indicate potential demand/support.
Double Top Formation:
The double blue arrows point to a possible double-top pattern, hinting at a bearish reversal. However, the price hasn't strongly broken below the neckline yet.
Scenario Analysis:
Bullish Scenario: If the price holds the current demand zone and breaks above the immediate resistance, we could see a rally towards the target of $3,063.97. 💹🚀
Bearish Scenario: If it fails to hold the support zone, it may drop to the lower demand area around $3,000. 🔻
📉 Conclusion:
Entry Idea: Long above the supply zone break with a target of $3,063.97.
Stop Loss: Below the current demand zone at around $3,020.
Risk Management: Watch for strong price action before entering.
XAUUSD must watchWith all the positive news gradually materialising, the upward momentum of gold has significantly slowed down.
Judging from the current trend, the resistance area around 3060 is quite crucial and exerts strong resistance. The support range remains at 3010-3020, but it is essential to closely monitor any changes in this support level, as the price might further decline to the secondary support level of 3000.
I suggest initiating short positions near the resistance zone today, which is relatively safe.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@3050 - 3060
🎁 TP 3030 3020
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Breakout Confirmed! Gold’s Next Target Could Be $3,500+Gold has reached a new all-time high (ATH), signaling strong bullish momentum. The breakout above the long-term rising trendline, which previously acted as resistance, indicates a shift in market structure.
The resistance zone has now turned into support, confirming buyers' dominance. A minor pullback or retest of this breakout level could be expected before a stronger continuation to the upside.
If the price sustains above this zone, potential targets lie at $3,100-$3,200 in the short term and $3,500+ in the medium term.
XAU/USD 21 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following printing further all time highs.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note how price has mitigated M15 demand zones at the extreme of strong internal low. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 19 March 2025.
Price has continued to surge to new all time highs, largely fuelled by geopolitical tensions, gold is solidifying itself as a safe haven asset.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH to confirm internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has mitigated M15 demand zone. Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 3,057.590.
Alternative scenario:
You will note internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Gold's pullback is the last chance to get on boardAccording to our previous operation strategy of short first and long later, the short position has perfectly reached our target area, and the position was closed in time to lock in the profit. Next, we will go long after the rebound and continue to look forward to the performance of the gold market.
The Bollinger Bands in the H4 chart are closing, and the golden cross of the 13-day moving average and the 21-day moving average is slowing down, suggesting that the short-term long and short competition is fierce. Focus on the strong resistance in the 3050-3055 range on the upper side during the day, and the probability of breaking through is low. The support below is at 3022-3015, forming a double insurance. The small cycle now also has the performance of high-level fluctuations, but it still lacks some certainty. For example, the Bollinger Bands in the H4 cycle are closing. Today's rise is not optimistic about setting a new high again. The upper high point is suppressed to around 3050, and the downward movement must break the Bollinger middle rail support, and the space below can see 3000. Therefore, today we should not only remind everyone to wait patiently for the decline to go long, but also remind everyone to try to go short at the high of 3050, and then look at today's adjustment space, as well as the support points and key points below. Again, gold maintains a bullish trend for the time being.
Gold's retracement to 3020-3030 is the last chance to get on board. You will regret it if you miss it. Gold operation suggestion: Buy more near 3020-3030, target: 3050
Brothers, you must keep up with the rhythm. If you are interested, you can follow me. Communicate real-time market conditions, follow up on real-time orders, read bottom signals, interpret daily market conditions, share real-time strategies, and don't blindly follow the trend.
Has gold fallen back from its highs and peaked?The gold hourly chart is forming a head and shoulders top, and it fell back as expected. Now it has stopped falling at the neckline position of 3022 and rebounded again. However, the 4-hour chart did not close higher, and the market continues to be bearish.Operationally,It is recommended to continue to implement the strategy of increasing positions and short selling below 3037, and continue to watch for a sharp drop!.In terms of short-term gold trading, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks
Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when gold rebounds to around 3037-3040, stop loss at 3055, target around 3025-3015, and look at 3005 if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when gold pulls back to around 3003-3005, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3015-3025, and look at 3035 if it breaks;
Gold fluctuates and rises, breaks out, rebounds and goes shortAs the continuous rise of gold fully demonstrates that short-term bulls take the initiative, this will undoubtedly increase the probability of gold prices hitting the 3070-3080 area, but we also need to be prepared for a false break or a real break in the market.In the 4-hour period, since stabilizing above the 3,000 mark, gold has maintained a bullish trend and continued to hit new highs.Therefore, we continue to be bullish in the 4-hour period, but we must also be wary of the risk of a pullback.On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds.
032Opportunity Analysis and Logical Analysis for goldHello traders,
This week's Thursday tip:
On Thursday, the Federal Reserve's important interest rate decision was finalized. Focus on the situation of profit-taking in gold at high levels, looking for short-term short-selling opportunities in gold on the 1-hour chart.
On the 4-hour chart, there is a clear RSI divergence, indicating that gold is oversold and there is a need for a short-term pullback.
On the 1-hour chart, wait for a reversal confirmation signal on the 4-hour chart, then look for an entry signal on the 1-hour chart to short gold!
**TP1:** 3025
**TP2:** 3005
**TP3:** 2989
On Friday during the Asian early session, after 9:30 AM, gold experienced a pullback due to the divergence on the 4-hour chart, reaching the first target of 3025. It is currently recommended to reduce positions and continue holding.
On the 4-hour chart, consider that gold may undergo a corrective adjustment in the form of an expanding triangle. Wait for the reversal confirmation signal on the 4-hour chart before looking for new entry opportunities on the 1-hour chart to short gold.
The targets for new positions remain unchanged:
**TP1:** 3025
**TP2:** 3005
**TP3:** 2989
On the daily chart, the closing of gold on Friday can provide direct guidance for next week's trend. If gold forms a new daily reversal signal on the daily chart, trading in the first half of next week can proceed with minimal interference, trending downward.
If gold experiences significant fluctuations during tonight's US session, it is recommended to wait until next Monday to enter, still opting for a strategy of buying high and selling low in the fluctuating market at the top of gold.
** **
**I. Three Major Drivers of Gold Fluctuations**
1. **Trump's "Face-Changing Game"**
- **Tariff Bomb:** Trump announced plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on countries like China (effective April 2), which is like throwing a bomb into the market. Concerns about a trade war resurfacing, rising business costs, and potential economic recession emerged.
- **Interest Rate Cut Talk:** Previously, Trump said, "There's no rush to cut rates," but now he has changed his tune to "We need to cut rates quickly to save the economy." The market reacted negatively: Oh no, the economy might be in big trouble! Consequently, funds shifted from the stock market to gold for safety.
2. **"Nuclear Option Expiration" in the Options Market**
- **$4.7 Trillion Bet Expiration:** This amount is equivalent to the total market value of the top 20 companies globally, and it’s settling today.
- **Market Manipulation:** Large institutions (market makers) have an incentive to push the S&P 500 index near 5800 points, as this level maximizes their options contracts' profitability. Gold and U.S. stocks often move inversely; when the stock market is manipulated, gold may suddenly surge or plummet.
3. **"Hawkish Shock" from the Federal Reserve**
- **Officials Changing Stance:** Initially, there was one dissenting voice against an interest rate cut; now it has turned into four.
- **Gold's Calculation:** A delayed rate cut → stronger dollar → temporary pressure on gold; but poor economic conditions → panic sentiment → gold benefits. These two forces are in conflict.
---
**II. How Will Gold Move Tonight?**
**Key Levels:**
- **Floor Price:** $3034 (If it falls below this, it may continue to drop)
- **Ceiling Price:** $3056 (If it breaks above this, it may surge to $3080)
**Trading Suggestions:**
1. **Watch and Wait Mode:** The period between 2 PM and 4 PM (Eastern Time) will see the most volatility, so avoid making hasty moves.
2. **Buy in Batches:** If it drops to around $3040, buy 1/3 of your position; add more if it breaks above $3060.
3. **Exit Signal:** If the U.S. stock market suddenly spikes (especially if the S&P approaches 5800), gold could drop by 2% instantly.
If you prefer not to stay up late, you can skip trading tonight, maintain a flat position, and look for opportunities on Monday!
---
**III. Grandpa Munger's Survival Guide**
- **Being Flat is a Superpower:** Just like in poker, if you find your hand is bad, fold and don’t call.
- **Wait for Clear Signals:** Gold is currently in a "Schrödinger's state" (it could rise or fall); it’s better to wait for it to break above $3056 or drop below $3034 before taking action.
- **Historical Lesson:** On the options expiration day in September 2023, gold fluctuated by $100 in one day, leading to numerous liquidations. Today may very well replicate that scenario.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Today's strategyThe gold price fluctuates within the range we have marked. In the short term, both long and short positions are feasible. However, you must pay attention to setting the stop-loss level and avoid taking on excessive risks
Pay attention to when the upward pressure range will be broken through. Also, keep an eye on the 3010-3020 USD range on the downside. If this range is repeatedly tested, then there might be a short-term pullback to 3000 USD
Today's xauusd trading strategy
buy@3010-3020
SL:3005
tp:3040-3050
There are risks in trading. If you are not sure about the timing, it is best to leave me a message. This will better confirm the timing of the transaction, It can also better expand profits and reduce losses
Gold has short-term callback demandGold hit a high of 3057 and then fell back. The daily line closed with a negative cross star, and a correction is needed in the short term. The daily resistance is near 3050. It touched 3047 in early trading and fell back. If the market falls below 3042, continue to look at 3030-3025. The operation is the same as what I said in my previous post. First short and then long. In addition to the low point, the support below is 3020. The strong support is around 3011. You can go long if it is touched.
Operation suggestion: short at 3050-3040 above, and go long at yesterday's low or 3025-3015 below. It is still in line with expectations.
Friends must keep up with the rhythm. If you are interested, you can follow me. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, follow real-time orders, read bottom signals, interpret daily market prices, share real-time strategies, and do not blindly follow the trend.
Gold 40-45 short, longs temporarily stopGold, after touching the 57 line, began to retrace and correct. Before the US session, it touched the lowest level near 25 and then stopped. However, the US session rebounded slightly, forming an interval shock, but did not form a second breakthrough. The high break is also likely to be the high point in the short term. After all, the European and US sessions are relatively weak, so the bulls in the short term may need to reorganize their energy and achieve a digestion correction effect. The support below is still maintained at the low point of 20 that has been generated many times in the recent period. This position is also likely to be the watershed line of the long and short positions in the recent period. Once this position continues to break down, it is likely to continue to form a retracement in the later period. The upper suppression port maintains the head and shoulders top pattern of 45 formed in the short term. The daily moving average system will continue to maintain an upward situation, but the retracement may also temporarily bring the bulls to an end. We will still operate around the short-term short position. If gold rebounds to short near 40-45 during the day, the target will be around 30-20. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Control positions, and the specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. If you are interested, you can follow us. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and pay attention to real-time orders. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market conditions, and share real-time strategies. Don't blindly follow the trend.
Gold Maintains a Bullish Bias Above $3,000 Per OunceShortly after surpassing the key $3,000 per troy ounce level, gold continues to trade with gains of over 1.5% in the past three trading sessions. Buying pressure has remained steady as risk appetite has declined due to concerns stemming from the ongoing trade war. This situation has allowed gold to capitalize on its safe-haven status, attracting demand that has shifted away from riskier markets. At the moment, the primary trend remains bullish on the chart.
Bullish Channel:
Since the first days of January, a solid bullish channel has formed, which has now surpassed the $3,000 per ounce barrier. For now, this remains the most relevant formation to watch in the short term, as no significant bearish pressure has emerged in recent sessions to alter this perspective.
Potential Correction:
However, by analyzing RSI oscillations, we can see that the RSI line remains above the 70 level, which is considered the overbought zone. Additionally, higher highs in price, combined with lower highs in RSI, suggest a possible short-term divergence. Both signals indicate a potential imbalance in market forces, opening the door for a short-term bearish correction.
Key Levels to Watch:
$3K: New key support, representing the most significant psychological level in recent weeks. This could be a potential area for short-term bearish corrections.
$2.9K: Relevant support zone, aligning with the lower boundary of the bullish channel. Sustained downward movements below this level could put the current bullish formation at risk.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Gold's morning layout has been eliminated, with evening ideasAt night, based on the in-depth analysis of market trends and comprehensive consideration of various technical indicators, we decisively placed short orders at the high level of 3050-3060.When the price hits the low, place a long order at 3025 - 3030
Gold surges and then falls back to make profitsGold quickly rose in the morning today, so we remind you to beware of the risk of market reversal today. Gold is likely to fall back after rising in the morning. Don't chase more easily. Gold is stagnant near 3056, and gold is directly short at 3055.On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebound and to go long on pullback.
Short order strategy: When gold rebounds to around 3045-3048, short 20% of the position in batches, stop loss at 3055, target around 3030-3015, and look at 3005 if it breaks;
Gold hovers at a key position, clever layoutGold fell from a high of 1 hour. If gold continues to fall, then if gold rebounds and does not break the new high, then gold may show the embryonic form of a head and shoulders top in 1 hour. Again, gold fell from a high, and now it is at a high level. Don't chase more easily. After the news, the gold bulls' volume has been digested, and the gold bulls need to regain support. Gold rebounded under pressure at the high point of 3045 in the US market, and continued to go short at highs. The market is changing rapidly, and gold has entered an overbought state, so gold needs to be cautious in chasing more. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on callbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3050-3060, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3025-3010, friends must keep up with the rhythm. To control the position, the specific points are mainly based on the real-time intraday. If you are interested, please follow us. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and pay attention to real-time orders.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies. Don't follow the trend blindly.
First empty then more to grasp the rhythmThe gold market is ever-changing. So far, the gold price has not fallen back to our pre-set long area as expected. At the same time, the resistance in the 3050-3060 area above is strong, and the price has failed to break through many times, showing the effectiveness and suppression of the resistance level.
Based on the current market, we adjusted our strategy to sell high and buy low, and adopted the operation idea of shorting first and then longing. It is recommended to arrange short orders in the 3040-3050 area, and pay close attention to the price trend after entering the market. Once the price falls back to the expected support range, do not hesitate to take profits in time, and go long in reverse, seize the subsequent possible rebound, flexibly respond to market changes, and lock in profits. If you want to accurately grasp opportunities and get signals, you can follow me.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies. Don't follow the trend blindly.