XAU/USD – 45-Minute Chart Breakdown **Date:** July 7, 2025 # 📊 XAU/USD – 45-Minute Chart Breakdown
**Date:** July 7, 2025
**Current Price:** $3,326.97
**Bias:** 📈 Bullish Breakout
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## 🔹 Key Market Structure:
- **Trendline Breakout**: ✅
Price broke cleanly out of the descending trendline that had held since the $3,362 high.
- **LL → HL Shift**:
The structure is transitioning from Lower Lows to potential Higher Lows (HL) – a strong sign of **reversal**.
- **BOS Zone** (Break of Structure):
BOS has been confirmed; further upside is now **probable**.
---
## 🔸 Trade Zone:
| Type | Level | Description |
|------------|------------|--------------------------|
| **Entry** | ~$3,326 | Breakout confirmation 🔓 |
| **SL** | ~$3,319 | Below recent HL 🛡️ |
| **TP1** | $3,362 | Top of previous range 🎯 |
| **TP2** | $3,385+ | Momentum extension 📈 |
---
## 📌 Indicators & Labels:
- **Structure:** `Bullish` 🟢
- **Efficiency:** `Efficient` ✅
- **MSU:** Bearish (short-term countertrend, being invalidated)
- **VTA:** Active ⚡️
---
## 🧠 Strategy Note:
This breakout is occurring **after a full liquidity sweep** and a **strong bullish reaction** off the $3,290s. Volume is supporting the move and **confluence** builds toward continuation.
> 💬 *"The best trades come when structure, liquidity, and timing converge."* – Let's ride this wave with confidence.
---
### 👑 For Persian Princes of the Market 🇮🇷
We don’t guess. We **track, adapt, and lead**.
---
## 🟢 Potential Breakout from the Descending Channel
As observed in the **45-minute timeframe**, Gold (XAU/USD) has been respecting a classic **descending channel** formed by a sequence of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL), leading to an overall bearish structure.
However, in the latest candles, price has **broken above the upper boundary of the channel**, signaling a potential shift in market structure.
---
### 🔍 Technical Highlights:
- ✅ **Breakout above the channel** = First sign of bullish reversal
- ✅ **Formation of Higher Low (HL)** after a strong rally = Added confirmation
- ✅ **Efficient bullish move** with momentum pushing toward previous Highs
---
### 🎯 Forecast Scenario:
If price holds above the breakout zone (around **$3,327**), we can expect a bullish continuation toward:
- 🥇 **Target 1:** $3,362
- 🥈 **Target 2:** $3,385+
A **successful retest** of the broken channel would serve as a powerful confirmation for this setup.
---
> ⛳️ *This move reflects not just a breakout — but a disciplined journey through structure, liquidity, and price behavior. Pure technical elegance.*
> — *Mohsen Mozafari Nejad*
---
📈 **Structure:** Bullish
⚡️ **Momentum:** Efficient
🕰 **Timeframe:** 45 Min
💰 **Current Price:** ~$3,327
Xauusdupdates
Gold intraday trading strategyFrom the 4-hour analysis, the focus on the upper side is the 3324 line of the bull-bear watershed pressure, and the short-term support on the lower side is the short-term pressure around 3295-3301 yesterday. The overall support relies on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple participation unchanged.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short gold at 3321-24, stop loss at 3332, target at 3295-3301, continue to hold if it breaks;
2. Long gold at 3295-3301, stop loss at 3287, target at 3320-24, continue to hold if it breaks;
Gold trend falls back but does not break, go longFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3324. If it falls back, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The important support is 3314-16. Focus on the 3295-3301 long-short watershed. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, the main bullish trend will continue to fall back.
Gold operation strategy:
Go long on gold at 3326-33, stop loss at 3219, target at 3355-63, continue to hold if it breaks;
The gold shock pattern is broken, the latest gold trend analysisGold prices rose rapidly at the opening, reaching a high of 3342 before falling back. This kind of rapid rise needs special attention, because from the perspective of short-term trading, this is the trend pattern that needs the most vigilance. Looking back at the trend last Thursday, there was also a situation where the early highs could not be continued. Historical data shows that this kind of rise often lacks sustained momentum and the subsequent rise space is limited.
The trend of rising and falling appeared again in this trading day, and fell below the key support level of 3322. This important change means:
1. The original 3322-3345 oscillation range has been broken.
2. After the range moved down, 3322 changed from a support level to a resistance level.
3. The short-term trend weakened, and it is recommended to adopt a strategy of shorting at highs.
It is recommended to short at highs near 3322 during the day, and focus on the support area of 3295-3293 below.
Gold bottomed out and rebounded to fluctuateGold, the price opened at 3342 in the morning and then fell back. The article emphasizes the bearish structure of the 4H chart, and the bearish trend continued to 3311-3295 in the afternoon; the actual price fell to 3296 and then rebounded in the evening, and the 4H chart closed at 22:00 and turned into a big positive, and it will rebound and fluctuate at night;
Short-term support 3306-3300, strong support 3296; short-term resistance 3322-3326, strong resistance 3330-3340;
Gold fluctuates, beware of rebound caused by new tariffs📊 Gold Day Trading Strategy (Recommendation index ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
📰 News information:
1. 90-day tariffs are about to expire
2. New unilateral tariffs
3. Geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
As I said this morning, shorting gold is divided into two times, the first time is near 3324, and the second time is at 3340 or 3345. If there is a short-term retracement after breaking through 24, you can follow up with a long order to look at 3335-3340. If gold is in a very weak state, you can consider shorting near 3315 and look at 3300. Because during the European session, 3300 has strong support, and the European session repeatedly tests this support. If it falls below 3300, we will go to 3295-3285, or even 3250. But at the same time, we need to pay attention to the rebound of gold that may be caused by tariff policies and geopolitical situations.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3315-3325-3335
TP 3305-3295-3285
BUY 3290-3285
TP 3300-3310-3320
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and being strict with yourself. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Is Gold (XAU/USD) Ready to Bounce? Bullish Setup on Key TrendlinHi traders! , Analyzing XAU/USD on the 1H timeframe, price is currently bouncing off a long-term ascending trendline, showing signs of a potential bullish continuation:
🔹 Entry: 3318
🔹 Take Profit (TP): 3424
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 3207
After testing the ascending trendline multiple times, gold is once again showing bullish rejection near support. Price remains above the key trendline and is attempting to form a higher low within the broader uptrend.
The RSI is recovering from oversold territory (currently around 49), which suggests weakening selling pressure and possible buildup of bullish momentum.
If the structure holds, the target at 3424 aligns with a previous resistance area and a natural extension of the upward channel. The risk-reward is favorable with a strong technical confluence backing the setup.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader is responsible for managing their own risk and strategy.
NFP continues to ferment, short-term trend dominated by bears📰 News information:
1. 90-day tariffs are about to expire
2. New unilateral tariffs
3. Geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
Good morning, bros. From a technical point of view, the overall trend of the daily line is a head and shoulders top. If the bulls do not recover 3360, the bears will still be the medium-term trend. The 4H MACD indicator is dead cross running. The best position for the day to deploy the short position again is 3330-3335, and the 1H chart keeps testing the 3305 first-line support, which may be broken in the short term. At present, 3295-3285 below is a relatively important short-term support. Once it falls below, it is expected to reach 3250, which is also the point I repeatedly emphasized in the morning. The intraday operation suggestion is to rebound shorting as the main, and to go long at lows as the auxiliary. Pay attention to the 3325-3335 support area on the upper side and the 3295-3285 support on the lower side.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3325-3335
TP 3315-3305-3295
BUY 3295-3285
TP 3305-3315-3325
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – June 8, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Timeframe: H4
Currently, price action is overlapping with multiple abc correction patterns. To reduce noise and gain a clearer perspective, I’ve shifted the analysis to the H4 timeframe.
From the 3500 level down to now, the entire corrective move has been composed of overlapping abc patterns rather than sharp, impulsive rallies. This suggests we are likely forming a contracting triangle correction in the form of abcde (green) as shown on the chart.
At the moment, price appears to be in wave d (green), which is unfolding as a wxy structure (red).
Trading during triangle corrections is particularly challenging due to the complex interweaving of corrective waves. Additionally, price is consolidating within the Volume Profile’s high-liquidity zone, as shown on the chart. Therefore, it is best to remain patient and wait for the triangle pattern to complete.
📉 Momentum
Daily (D1) momentum: Currently showing signs of a bearish reversal → suggesting that price may move sideways or lower this week. (Toward the end of a triangle, price tends to compress and lose clear directional bias.)
H4 momentum: Also shows reversal signals, and a strong bearish candle has recently formed. Thus, a short-term bearish bias is preferred until H4 momentum reaches the oversold region.
🎯 Price Targets
Since the market is currently forming overlapping abc structures, setting precise wave targets is difficult. Therefore, I rely on Volume Profile zones to define key levels:
3342 Resistance Zone: Marks the boundary between high and low liquidity areas → This is a Sell Zone, supported by confluence with D1 and H4 momentum signals.
3294 Support Zone: Represents the lower boundary of high liquidity → This is the projected end of wave X (red) and serves as our Buy Zone.
🧭 Trade Plan
🔻 Sell Zone:
Entry: 3340 – 3342
SL: 3350
TP1: 3320
TP2: 3300
🔺 Buy Zone:
Entry: 3295 – 3293
SL: 3285
TP1: 3312
TP2: 3342
TP3: 3390
📌 Personal Note:
At this stage, I prefer to wait for the abcde triangle to complete or for more structural confirmation. If you decide to trade, focus on short-term setups with reduced position size to manage risk during this complex correction phase.
XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB SetupsPrice has been reacting very well to our marked FVG and OB levels on the 1H chart, respecting these key zones and providing clear directional bias.
📍 Current situation:
We are currently within the blue zone at 3300 – 3310 (1H FVG), which is a strong liquidity area. If price holds here with confirmation, we will look for buy setups on lower timeframes (3m or 5m).
✅ If this zone holds, our short-term target will be the green zone at 3275 – 3280 (1H Buy OB).
❌ If this zone fails and price closes below it, we will shift our focus to lower support zones:
🔹 Next blue zone: 3260 – 3270 (1H FVG)
🔹 Lower blue zone: 3250 – 3260 (4H OB)
Key Resistances (Sell Areas):
🔴 3345 – 3358 (1H Sell OB)
🔴 3358 – 3365 (1H Sell OB)
If price can break above the 3345 – 3365 zone strongly without a fakeout, we may see a continuation towards higher resistances and further bullish expansion.
🎯 Key Reminder:
Always let price reach your marked zones, and only then look for confirmations on lower timeframes for precise entries. This keeps your trades clean, structured, and in line with market flow.
—
📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD
📚 Daily setups & educational trades
📱 IG: @profitamin.fx
Consolidating Below Trendline Resistance, Bearish Bias IntactTechnical Structure:
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) continues to trade below the descending trendline TL1, having failed multiple times to breach the $3,338–$3,345 resistance zone. After retesting Support Zone 1 ($3,303–$3,310), the price is showing signs of a short-term bounce. However, the broader structure remains bearish unless the price can break above TL1.
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance Zone: $3,338 – $3,345
Support Zone 1: $3,303 – $3,310
Support Zone 2: $3,260 – $3,253
Trendline: TL1 continues to act as dynamic resistance
Strategy Insight:
If TVC:GOLD gold remains below the descending TL1, bearish pressure is likely to resume. A short opportunity may arise if the price retests the resistance area and stalls. A confirmed break below Support Zone 1 would expose targets at $3,260 and $3,253.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
XAUUSD | 30m | Weekly Open Outlook Published by Mohsen Mozafari## 📍 XAUUSD | 30m | Weekly Open Outlook
⏱️ *Published by Mohsen Mozafarinejad*
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### 🔍 Market Structure:
The market currently shows a **bearish structure**.
After a recent **BOS (Break of Structure)** near the 3344 zone, price retraced to mitigate unfilled sell orders within the **Extreme Supply OB (TLQ)**.
---
### 🔸 Key Observations:
- Price is reacting from a clear **supply zone (TLQ)** following BOS.
- The move appears to have cleared liquidity from late long entries.
- OB efficiency remains intact, indicating healthy market flow.
---
### 🧭 Scenario A – Short Bias
> If price consolidates or rejects below the 3340 level, a **high-probability short** may form.
🎯 Target: **Demand OB at 3295**
🚫 Invalidation: **Break & close above 3354 (last HH)**
---
### 🧭 Scenario B – Fakeout & V-Shape Reversal
> If price sweeps above TLQ but loses momentum, it could trap buyers and sharply reverse below BOS.
This would signal potential **seller exhaustion**.
---
### ⚙️ Technical Summary:
- **Structure:** Bearish 🔻
- **Efficiency:** Efficient ✅
- **MSU & VTA levels:** Valid for lower timeframe confirmations
- **Momentum:** Controlled pullback detected
---
> 📌 *"Precision beats prediction. Let the chart speak before you act."*
---
#### 🔖 Hashtags:
#XAUUSD #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #OB #BOS #ScalpingGold #ForexAnalysis #MohsenMozafarinejad
XAU/USD Weekly & Daily Outlook | What’s Next for Gold?Gold starts the new trading week still locked in a consolidation range, holding just above the $3,328–$3,327 support zone. Despite multiple attempts, price continues to struggle at the $3,356 resistance.
The 50MA and 200MA are now compressing, suggesting the market is preparing for a breakout. Until then, structure remains neutral and range-bound.
📌Key levels to watch:
Resistance:
$3,356 ‣ $3,383 ‣ $3,400 ‣ $3,416 ‣ $3,440
Support:
$3,328 ‣ $3,313‣ $3,300 ‣ $3,267 ‣ $3,241
‣ $3,208 / $3,179 – Deeper downside if bearish pressure builds
🔎 Fundamental Focus
The key risk event this week is Wednesday’s FOMC Meeting Minutes. Markets will be looking for clues on the Fed’s internal stance regarding future rate cuts and inflation expectations.
🔗 Follow for live updates and intraday chart setups.
Gold Price Setup: Bullish Continuation or Rejection? 🧠 Chart Analysis (XAU/USD – 1H):
Key Structure Highlights:
CHoCH (Change of Character) zones marked both up and down indicate a battle between bulls and bears.
Recent bullish CHoCH followed by a fair value gap (FVG) retest suggests potential continuation to the upside.
Price recently bounced strongly from demand zone, shown by the green arrows and strong candle reaction.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Price is trying to break back above the Kumo (cloud), a sign of bullish momentum building.
However, resistance is still present with the Kijun and Tenkan lines converging.
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
The current price is attempting to fill and break above the FVG zone.
A successful breakout above this area confirms bullish intention.
Fibonacci Levels:
Price is hovering around the 0.5 - 0.618 retracement zone, often a strong reversal or continuation point.
Upside targets lie near the 0.786 retracement (3352) and ultimate target at 3391, a major resistance level.
Risk Management:
Trade setup shows an excellent Risk:Reward ratio.
Stop-loss placed just below the last structure low.
Potential downside to 3290–3258 if breakout fails.
🟢 Possible Next Move:
Bullish Scenario: If price clears the FVG and breaks above 3353, expect continuation to 3391.
Bearish Rejection: If rejected at FVG/0.618 level, watch for a drop back to 3290 or even 3259.
XAU/USD possible shorts from 3,350 towards 3,290 longsThis week, my focus is on a potential sell setup that could form within the 4-hour supply zone, which is currently near price. I’ll be patiently watching for signs of Wyckoff distribution within this point of interest (POI), which could confirm a short opportunity.
Given that price action has been bearish, this would be a pro-trend setup, especially with the visible liquidity resting below that we can look to target. Additionally, there is an 8-hour demand zone further below, which may provide a potential long opportunity once price reaches that level.
Confluences for GOLD Sells:
- Bearish market structure: Gold has been trending downward and has recently left behind a clean, unmitigated 4-hour supply zone, which could prompt a bearish reaction.
- Liquidity targets below: There's significant liquidity under recent lows, including Asia session lows and the 8-hour demand zone, which can be targeted.
- DXY correlation: The dollar has reacted strongly from a notable demand zone, suggesting potential upside for DXY, which may add bearish pressure on gold.
- Higher timeframe Wyckoff: A Wyckoff distribution pattern has also formed on the higher timeframe, which may indicate temporary bearish order flow.
P.S. If price disrespects the current 4-hour supply zone, I will shift focus to an extreme 3-hour supply zone above. Until price reaches that level, I may look for short-term buy setups to trade the move up.
Wishing everyone a great and profitable trading week! Stay disciplined and manage risk accordingly.
GOLD Massive Bullish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price just
Made a massive bullish
Breakout of the falling
Resistance line and the
Breakout is confirmed
So after a potential pullback
We will be expecting a
Further bullish continuation !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
Gold - The final resistance breakout!Gold - TVC:GOLD - prepares a final rally:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the past 12 months, Gold rallied more than +70%. However the past three months clearly rejected a major horizontal resistance. But price action on the smaller timeframe remains incredibly bullish. Therefore an all time high breakout will most likely follow.
Levels to watch: $3.500
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
June Nonfarm Data: Gold PlungesThe US June nonfarm payrolls data is out: 147,000 jobs were added, exceeding the expected 106,000 and the previous 139,000, with slight upward revisions to the prior two months’ figures. The unemployment rate dipped from 4.2% to 4.1%, beating the forecast of 4.3%. While the US economy slows, the job market remains robust. 🌟
Post-data release, market bets on a July rate cut have evaporated, with the probability of a September cut dropping to around 75%. US stock futures extended gains, Treasury yields rose across the board, the US Dollar Index surged, and gold plunged nearly $40 in a short squeeze—signaling an unexpected major bearish hit to gold. Weng Fuhao advises trading with the trend, focusing on shorting on rebounds. 😲
Gold, jolted by the nonfarm data, slid sharply in the short term before a minor rebound, with bearish signals across all timeframes. The data triggered an immediate breakdown, shifting the short-term trend to downward: on the 3-hour chart, moving averages formed a death cross, MACD showed a death cross with expanding volume, and gold prices fell below the Bollinger Band lower track, confirming a clear bearish momentum. 📉
🚀 Sell@3355 - 3345
🚀 TP 3335 - 3325 - 3315
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Go short before breaking 3350, go long before falling to 3320📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Tariff implementation and interest rate cut bill
📈 Technical Analysis:
As I said, the US stock market closed early today, and the market will lack some momentum. It is difficult to have a large fluctuation. It is expected to fluctuate and consolidate. I also explained in the previous post that the upper pressure in the short term is at 3340-3350. If it is touched, we can try to short and defend 3360. If it falls back to 3323, we can try to go long for the first time. If it continues to fall, it is expected to reach 3315-3305. Therefore, if it first touches 3323, go long, SL 3316, and consider going long if it touches 15-05 below.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-33350
TP 3330-3320-3310-3300
BUY 3323
TP 3333-3340-3350
BUY 3315-3305
TP 3325-3333-3340
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Gold suffered a heavy blow from non-farm payrolls! Yesterday's decline in gold prices was mainly affected by news, and such declines usually do not last too long. From a technical point of view, gold prices received support near 3322 at night, which is the key support level today. It is worth noting that on Wednesday, gold prices were under pressure in the 3340-3344 area, while on Thursday, prices formed support in this range, indicating that the area is forming a top-bottom conversion, so 3340-3345 has become an important pressure level today. It is expected to fluctuate and consolidate in the 3322-3340/45 range during the day. The impact of news on gold prices is usually short-term. When the fundamentals and technical directions are consistent, price fluctuations will be more obvious; when the two are inconsistent, price fluctuations will weaken, but will not change the technical trend. The rebound pattern established at the beginning of the week is still valid. After a short-term shock, gold prices are expected to re-stand above 3345 and continue to maintain the rebound trend.
Important data such as non-agricultural are all negativeGold hourly chart;
Gold short-term analysis; Gold 4-hour analysis shows that the stochastic indicator is golden cross, which is a bullish signal; MACD indicator double lines stick together upward, which is a bullish signal; 4-hour bias continues to rise; 4-hour downward trend channel is temporarily suppressed, and the pressure position is around 3355-60.
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XAUUSDHello traders. After a short break, we’ve identified a promising sell opportunity on the XAUUSD pair.
Despite the U.S. Independence Day holiday, I believe we may still see solid movement in gold during today's session.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1)
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2.70
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 3337.09
✔️ Take Profit: 3312.16
✔️ Stop Loss: 3345.63
🕒 If momentum fades or the price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll close it manually—whether in profit or loss—depending on how price action evolves.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
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