Gold at Key Support – Will Bulls Step In or Drop Continue?🌐 Market Overview
Gold has struggled to recover after yesterday's sharp drop, driven by macro-political concerns and profit-taking at recent highs.
🔻 On July 24, former President Trump made an unexpected visit to the US Federal Reserve, sparking speculation that he's pressuring the Fed to cut interest rates soon.
While the Fed has yet to make any dovish moves, short-term bond yields dipped slightly, showing growing market expectations for policy easing.
The US dollar remains strong, reflecting some skepticism around the Fed’s possible shift despite recent economic strength.
📉 Technical Outlook
On the H2 chart, gold still maintains an overall bullish structure. However, it's approaching a critical support level near 3338, which aligns with the VPOC and the ascending trendline.
📌 If this zone breaks, price may rapidly fall toward deeper liquidity zones in the 332x – 329x range.
🎯 Trade Setups
🔽 BUY SCALP (Quick Reaction Play)
Entry: 3338 – 3336
Stop Loss: 3332
Take Profit: 3342 – 3346 – 3350 – 3354 – 3360 – 3365 – 3370 – 3380
🟢 BUY ZONE (Deep Buy Area – Long-Term Potential)
Entry: 3312 – 3310
Stop Loss: 3305
Take Profit: 3316 – 3320 – 3325 – 3330 – 3340 – 3350 – 3360 – 3370 – 3380
🔻 SELL ZONE (if market retests)
Entry: 3374 – 3376
Stop Loss: 3380
Take Profit: 3370 – 3366 – 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3340 – 3330
🔍 Key Levels to Watch
Support: 3350 – 3338 – 3325 – 3310 – 3294
Resistance: 3374 – 3390 – 3400 – 3421
⚠️ Risk Note
As we head into the weekend, liquidity sweeps are common – especially on Fridays. Be cautious of sharp moves.
Focus mainly on scalp setups today. Avoid early long entries unless strong confirmation appears at lower liquidity zones.
Always follow your TP/SL strategy to protect your capital.
Xauusdupdates
Gold in Demand Zone | Target $3,380🚨 GOLD/USD – BIG MOVE LOADING! 🚨
🔍 Price is currently reacting from a major demand zone ($3,340–$3,345) with signs of accumulation and a possible double bottom pattern forming.
📉 After a strong downtrend, this looks like a liquidity sweep and smart money trap — prepping for a reversal back to the $3,380 resistance zone where liquidity resides.
📈 Scenarios to Watch:
1️⃣ Price sweeps support again and reverses hard
2️⃣ Clean structure break above $3,365, followed by a retest
🎯 Target: $3,380–$3,385
🛡️ Invalidation: Strong close below $3,335
⚠️ Confirmation Required! Best entry would be after structural break + retest. Keep your risk tight, and let the market show its hand.
⸻
📌 Key Levels:
• Support Zone: $3,340–$3,345
• Target Zone: $3,380–$3,385
• Invalidation: Below $3,335
⸻
📣 If this setup helps you, like 👍, comment 💬, and follow 🔔 for more high-probability ideas every week!
#Gold #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #LiquidityGrab #ForexSetup #PriceAction #BreakoutTrade #DoubleBottom #TradingView #GoldAnalysis #ForYou #FXStrategy #SupplyAndDemand
Trend corrected, long funds reduced, sellers returned#XAUUSD
The current moving average is still spreading downward, and the 4-hour chart closed with a large negative line. The market has not yet given a clear feedback on the current trend. However, after a large amount of buying funds intervened, the gold price hit a high of around 3377 and then stagnated. The short-term bullish momentum has weakened, and there is a certain risk of a correction and decline. Sellers are beginning to return📉.
Currently, you can consider participating in short selling at 3370-3377💡. If it rebounds directly to 3400-3405, you can still short if it does not break🔍. The target is 3360 below, and 3350 or even 3330 if it breaks🎯.
🚀 SELL 3370-3377
🚀 TP 3360-3350
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 25, 2025📊
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🔍 Momentum Analysis
• D1 Timeframe: Momentum is declining. Based on the current pace, it’s likely that only 1–2 more daily candles are needed before momentum enters the oversold zone → suggesting one more potential downward leg.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum is about to turn bearish, indicating we might see a sideways movement or a slight drop in the short term.
• H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently falling. By the end of the current H1 candle, momentum will likely enter the oversold zone → potential for a bullish reversal soon.
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🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
• A clear 5-wave Wave A has already formed with no irregular patterns, so I’m expecting Wave B (black) to unfold as a 3-wave structure.
• Within this black Wave B, price is now developing Wave B (blue), meaning Wave A (blue) has already completed. Looking at the lower timeframe, I can identify a 5-wave structure → suggesting a zigzag correction in the form of 5-3-5 for black Wave B.
• Target for Wave B (blue): The 3360 area – this is a support level and also aligns with Fibonacci confluence, making it a strong candidate for the end of Wave B (blue) and a potential reversal zone.
• If price respects the 3360 level, then projected targets for Wave C (blue) would be around 3386 or 3402.
• However, if price breaks below 3351, the current wave count becomes invalid. In that case, we will shift to an alternate scenario and look for a buy opportunity near the lower edge of the triangle (c)-(e) and other confluence support zones.
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🔄 Combining Momentum & Wave Structure
• D1 momentum shows weakening in this downward move, and the lower boundary of the triangle (c)-(e) is a prime area to look for the end of Wave e.
• Ideally, we want to see:
o A short-term bounce upward aligning with H1 momentum reversal to complete Wave C (blue).
o Then a confluence with H4 momentum turning bearish, indicating possible trend continuation or reversal.
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📌 Trade Plan
• For experienced traders:
Watch closely around 3385 and 3401 for reversal signals to enter Sell positions.
• For beginners, I recommend the following limit setup:
o SELL ZONE: 3399 – 3402
o SL: 3501
o TP1: 3374
o TP2: 3351
Gold (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Technical Analysis Report - 25 July 2025 📌 Market Context & Sentiment Overview
The gold market is currently trading in a state of technical compression, with the price hovering just beneath the mid-3360s. After a significant rally earlier in the month, the recent sessions have seen price action coiling within a tight ascending triangle—a classic pattern known to precede breakouts.
According to recent publications by FXEmpire, FXStreet, and Investing.com, sentiment remains moderately bullish. Analysts point to strong institutional demand near the 3320–3330 zone, while also warning of resistance pressures near the 3380–3390 zone. These insights align with our technical findings, which suggest a developing structure with increasing breakout potential.
📊 Technical Structure Analysis (4-Hour Timeframe)
🔹 Price Action & Structural Patterns
The prevailing structure is a rising triangle anchored between support at 3320 and resistance near 3380–3390. Price has been forming higher lows, indicative of underlying buying pressure, while simultaneously facing resistance at increasingly frequent tests of the upper band. The contraction of candlestick bodies and volume confirms the presence of a coiling market—hinting at an imminent directional move.
The presence of upper-wick rejections near 3380 signals seller interest, while long-tailed candles at 3330 underscore buyer defense of the rising trendline. This dynamic equilibrium is the hallmark of a triangle formation nearing completion.
🔹 Support & Resistance Levels
Our analysis identifies the following zones as technically significant:
Key Support (Buy Zones):
3320–3330: This zone hosts a major bullish order block, 8/21 EMAs, and the lower trendline of the rising triangle. It is further supported by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement drawn from the 3300 low to the 3390 swing high.
3300–3310: A psychological level and previous 4-hour swing low. Acts as a secondary defense level.
Key Resistance (Sell Zones):
3380–3390: Triangle resistance, aligned with the 50 EMA and a bearish order block.
3440–3450: An upper extension zone if breakout materializes, noted in external institutional outlooks.
🔹 Volume, VWAP & Institutional Concepts
Volume has notably contracted, a classical feature of triangle formations, with most trading volume aggregating at the mid-point (~3345–3355). VWAP sits just below the current price, reflecting mean reversion tendencies. Furthermore, liquidity pockets are observed just beneath 3320, suggesting potential for liquidity grabs before a bullish reversal.
From a Smart Money lens:
A bullish order block has formed near 3320–3330.
A bearish OB and resistance cap prices around 3380.
A small Fair Value Gap (FVG) lies around 3340–3350, acting as a potential price magnet.
🔹 Indicators & Oscillators
Moving Averages: The 8/21 EMA cluster lies just below current price, offering dynamic support.
MACD: Negative but converging—suggesting bearish momentum may be waning.
ADX: Reading ~40, indicating a trending market, though momentum has slightly slowed.
RSI: Hovering near 35–40, close to oversold; signals potential bounce.
Stochastics & CCI: Both deeply negative—supporting the case for a mean-reverting move.
🎯 Strategic Buying & Selling Zones
✅ High-Probability Buy Zones
3320–3330:
Rationale: Confluence of bullish OB, rising trendline, EMAs, and Fib 61.8%.
Confidence: High (★ ★ ★)
3300–3310 (buffer zone):
Rationale: Psychological and historical swing low support.
Confidence: Moderate
❌ High-Probability Sell Zones
3380–3390:
Rationale: Triangle resistance, prior highs, and bearish OB presence.
Confidence: High
3440–3450:
Rationale: Post-breakout measured move target and potential take-profit zone.
Confidence: Moderate
🏆 The Golden Setup: High-Conviction Trade Idea
Direction: Long
Entry: 3325
Stop Loss: 3300
Take Profit: 3390
Confidence Level: ★ ★ ★ (High)
🔍 Justification
This setup takes advantage of the strongest structural support within the triangle—centered around 3325. This level is reinforced by the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, bullish order block activity, and EMA compression, all coalescing with the triangle’s rising support line.
Indicators are turning from oversold, and the volume profile suggests that institutional players may look to engineer a liquidity sweep under 3330 before a continuation push to test the 3380 resistance. The reward-to-risk ratio is favorable, and the setup offers clear invalidation with a tight stop at 3300.
Should momentum continue post-breakout, a secondary TP could be explored at 3440. However, for the purpose of tactical execution, 3390 is a strategically sound exit point.
🧠 Sentiment Cross-Check & Market Alignment
External sentiment and professional forecasts support the underlying thesis of a bullish breakout, pending confirmation. TradingView’s top technical authors emphasize the breakout of this ascending triangle toward 3440+, while Investing.com’s shorter-term signals reflect bearish pressure that aligns with our buy-the-dip strategy.
This synthesis of internal and external analysis increases our conviction in a long-biased tactical approach from the current support zone.
✅ Summary Table
Buy Zones Sell Zones Golden Setup
3320–3330 (primary) 3380–3390 (primary) Direction: Long
3300–3310 (buffer) 3440–3450 (extension) Entry: 3325
Stop Loss: 3300
Take Profit: 3390
Confidence Level: ★ ★ ★ (High)
🔚 Final Thoughts
Gold’s current price structure presents a rare opportunity—one defined by tight consolidation, structural clarity, and institutional footprints. As the market coils within a classic triangle, the 3320–3330 zone emerges as a high-probability springboard for long positions. With precise risk management and a disciplined approach, this setup offers traders a compelling entry with defined technical boundaries.
The golden rule now: Respect structure. React to confluence. Trade with conviction.
350pips Secured — Focus Shifts to Dip-Buying StrategyToday's trading was very successful, and the grasp of the long and short rhythm was very accurate. Today's trading situation is as follows:
1. Close the short position with an overnight entry price of around 3386 near 3380, with a loss of 60 pips, and the loss amount exceeded $6K;
2. Directly short gold near 3380, manually close the position near 3366, profit 130pips, profit amount exceeded $12K;
3. Long gold near 3356, hit TP: 3372 and end the transaction, profit 160pips, profit amount exceeded $8K;
4. Long gold near 3362, hit TP; 3375 and end the transaction, profit 120pips, profit amount exceeded $6K.
Intraday trading summary: Today, the long and short sides completed a total of 4 transactions, one of which suffered a loss, but the net profit was 350pips, and the profit amount exceeded $20K. For short-term trading, I think I can submit a satisfactory answer to myself today!
How to execute the transaction next? Gold started to pull back from around 3438 and has now reached a low of around 3351, with a retracement of more than 870pips. The retracement space is not small. However, gold has stabilized above 3350 and has started a technical rebound repair, and the upward force is not weak, so gold may have completed the retracement. Under the support of these two technical conditions, gold may regain its upward momentum and hit 3400 again.
At present, the short-term resistance is obvious, located in the area near 3380. Once gold breaks through 3380, gold will inevitably continue to rise and hit 3400 again; but I think as long as gold stabilizes above 3350, it is not difficult to break through the short-term resistance of 3380, so gold will inevitably test the 3400 mark again; and the short-term support below is in the 3365-3355 area. Gold may still retreat to this area first during the rise in order to increase liquidity and accumulate momentum, helping gold to break through 3380 more easily.
So for the next short-term trading, I think it is feasible to go long on gold in the 3365-3355 area, first looking at the target area of 3380-3390, and then 3400.
Gold 2H Chart: Bullish Reversal Expected from Key Support ZoneGold (XAU/USD) 2H chart shows a bearish break of structure (BOS) followed by a pullback toward a key support zone (around 3,337–3,351). A potential bullish reversal is expected from this zone, targeting the 3,438 resistance level. The chart highlights a demand zone, FVG (Fair Value Gap), and possible retracement before continuation to the upside.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 24, 2025📊
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🔍 Momentum Analysis:
• D1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently in a downtrend, indicating that the dominant trend in the short term (at least until early next week) is likely to remain bearish or sideways.
• H4 Timeframe: Momentum has entered the oversold zone and is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. This suggests that a corrective upward move may occur today.
• H1 Timeframe: Momentum is still declining and is expected to need around two more H1 candles before entering the oversold zone, implying that one more leg down may occur before a recovery begins.
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🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update:
Yesterday’s expectation of a breakout above the resistance zone at 3453 to confirm the start of a new bullish trend did not materialize. Instead, price dropped to the 3374 region, opening up two primary scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1: The correction is still unfolding
• Wave (d) in blue appears to be complete.
• The current leg is likely wave (e), the final leg in a contracting triangle correction.
• In this case, the lower boundary of the triangle and overlapping support zones will serve as key levels to watch for the completion of wave (e).
✅ Scenario 2: Wave 1 of a new bullish trend has completed
• The current decline is wave 2 in a new bullish impulsive sequence.
• The objective here is to identify the bottom of wave 2 to prepare for a potential buy entry into wave 3, which is expected to be stronger and longer than wave 1.
📌 Key difference between the two scenarios:
• Scenario 1 → Wave (e) completes, followed by wave 1 of wave 5.
• Scenario 2 → Wave 2 completes, followed by a powerful wave 3 of wave 5.
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🧩 Current Wave Structure:
• A five-wave bearish structure is currently unfolding on the chart.
• According to Elliott Wave Theory, corrective patterns do not typically form five-wave structures.
• Therefore, this is likely wave A in a zigzag (5-3-5) formation.
• Possible targets for wave 5 within wave A:
o Target 1: 3374 – current reaction zone.
o Target 2: 3360 – next significant support level.
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📌 Combining Wave Structure with Momentum:
The D1 momentum is firmly bearish, reinforcing the view that the market is undergoing a larger ABC correction.
On the H4 timeframe, momentum is oversold and showing early signs of reversal, aligning with the potential formation of wave B — typically a weak, sideways upward move. The likely resistance zone for the end of wave B lies between 3401 and 3410.
Meanwhile, H1 momentum is still falling and not yet in the oversold zone, suggesting there may be one more move down to complete wave 5. The ideal target for this final leg is around 3360.
Summary:
• D1 bearish → confirms ongoing major correction.
• H4 oversold → supports a potential weak wave B.
• H1 still declining → wave 5 may complete around 3360 before a recovery begins.
________________________________________
💼 Suggested Trading Plan:
For traders with limited experience or those not yet confident in reading live market signals, a Buy Limit strategy at clear support levels is recommended:
• Buy Zone: 3362 – 3360
• Stop Loss: 3352
• Take Profit:
o TP1: 3384
o TP2: 3400
🎯 For experienced traders, it is advised to observe price action at the target support zones and look for real-time reversal signals to optimize entry timing.
The callback is coming to an end, don't chase the short easily#XAUUSD
The long positions held last night have already left the market at a loss😔. After the Asian session opened, I continued to watch the trend of gold, but it did not effectively rebound to the ideal target area. After repeatedly testing around 3393, I chose to manually exit the market📀.
Gold is currently somewhat overcorrected, with the hourly line falling into severe oversold territory📉. But the market will eventually return to the bullish trend🐂. Why do I say that? First, there are less than 8 days left before the final deadline for tariffs. Second, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut is also approaching. In the medium and long term, there is definitely no problem with being bullish. There will be initial jobless claims data later, which will affect the trend of gold today. We need to pay some attention to it👀.
From the daily line, the current Bollinger Band middle track is near the 3343 line, and the SMA60 moving average is near the 3330 below. In the short term, the downward momentum of gold is released, and it is expected to test the 3343 mid-line support below💪.
📊Therefore, we can consider going long again at 3360-3343 below and look towards 3375-3385. Short-term losses don’t mean anything. With the recent frequent news fluctuations, we still have a good chance to turn losses into profits🚀.
🚀BUY 3360-3350
🚀TP 3375-3385
Some investors take profits. Opportunity to buy gold to 3500?✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD price correction of 50 appeared yesterday. This is obvious to happen in a sustainable uptrend. Today's strategy will look for liquidity sweeps to support to BUY to ATH 3500. Gold's current border zone is limited by the upper and lower trendlines. Be careful not to trade against the trend when breaking the trend zone.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3375 -3363
Resistance: 3418-3431-3490
Buy trigger: Buyers react at 3375
Buy zone: 3363
Target: 3430; level higher at 3490
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Correction in Play, Long-Term BUY Opportunity Ahead XAUUSD 24/07 – Correction in Play, Long-Term BUY Opportunity Ahead
🧭 Market Outlook
Gold has dropped sharply from the 343x region, exactly as outlined in yesterday’s plan. Price has broken below the ascending trendline on the H1 chart and is now tapping into lower liquidity zones (FVG + OBS), signaling continuation of the short-term bearish move.
Key context to watch:
Traders are awaiting final decisions on US global trade policy agreements.
Next week’s FOMC meeting may confirm expectations of an interest rate cut.
Later today, markets will react to US PMI data and Jobless Claims, which could trigger volatility.
📊 Technical View
While the higher timeframe trend (D1/H4) remains bullish, the short-term structure has broken, and the market is now exploring unfilled liquidity pools below. Once these are swept, we anticipate a strong long-term BUY opportunity.
🎯 Trading Plan for Today
📌 Short-Term Strategy:
Look for short-term SELL setups on retracements toward resistance zones. Wait for clear rejection signals before entering.
📌 Mid/Long-Term Strategy:
Prepare to BUY from major Key Levels once price taps into deep liquidity zones. Ensure confluence and good risk/reward before entering.
🔎 Key Levels to Watch
🔺 Upper Resistance Zones:
3393 – 3404 – 3414 – 3420 – 3428
🔻 Lower Support Zones:
3375 – 3366 – 3352 – 3345 – 3330
🔽 Trade Setups
✅ BUY ZONE: 3352 – 3350
SL: 3345
TP: 3356 → 3360 → 3364 → 3370 → 3375 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3414 – 3416
SL: 3420
TP: 3410 → 3406 → 3400 → 3395 → 3390 → 3380
⚠️ Risk Reminder
No major economic news is scheduled for today, but unexpected political statements or geopolitical tensions could cause price spikes.
✔️ Always follow your SL/TP strictly.
✔️ Avoid entering without solid confirmation.
✔️ Watch how price reacts to the levels above.
📣 Follow MMF on TradingView
If this trading roadmap helps your strategy,
📌 Follow the MMF team on TradingView for daily actionable setups, real levels, and no-nonsense analysis based on real market conditions.
🎯 Real trades. Real zones. Real discipline.
Gold Breakout or Pullback Ahead?Currently, price is in a correction phase within this rising channel after hitting the upper resistance near $3,438. The pullback is moving toward the mid and lower channel zones, which is healthy for a bullish continuation. Gold is in a healthy pullback phase inside a bigger bullish trend. If support at $3,358 – $3,373 holds, expect an upward push back to $3,438 → $3,487 → $3,517 in the coming sessions. Only a clean break below $3,309 would signal a deeper bearish move.
Gold is likely to consolidate or retest the lower channel support ($3,358 – $3,373). If buyers defend this zone, the price is expected to bounce back toward $3,400 – $3,420 and eventually retest $3,438.
Key Price Zones
- Main Resistance: $3,438 (if broken, potential rally toward $3,487 → $3,517)**
- Immediate Support: $3,373 (first reaction level)
- Major Support: $3,358 (key level to protect bullish structure)
- Potential Higher Low Zone: Around $3,342.44
Expected Price Behavior
- If gold holds above $3,373 – $3,358, it is likely to form a new higher low near $3,342 – $3,358 before attempting to push higher.
- A successful breakout above $3,438 would indicate continuation of the bullish momentum targeting $3,487 and $3,517 ).
- Failure to hold above $3,358 may open the door for a deeper correction toward $3,309, but the overall trend remains bullish unless that level is broken.
Trend Outlook
- Short-Term Trend: Consolidation / corrective pullback within a bullish channel
- Medium-Term Trend: Bullish (higher lows and breakout structure intact)
- Long-Term Trend: Bullish as long as the channel holds above $3,309
Gold is currently in a pullback phase after a strong bullish breakout. The market is likely forming a higher low and may resume upward momentum once the $3,373 – $3,358 zone is confirmed as support. A breakout above $3,438 would validate a bullish continuation toward $3,487 - $3,517.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold’s Wild Ride: A Trader’s Take on What’s NextHey Fellow Traders! 👋
Gold’s been an absolute beast this week, smashing through both buyers and sellers like it’s playing a high-stakes game of market whack-a-mole! 😅 After Wednesday’s wild moves and today’s follow-up, Gold’s keeping us all guessing.
Right now, I’m not locking in a long-term bias—Gold’s too unpredictable for that. But here’s the exciting part: I’m eyeing a short-term long opportunity. Why? The price just dipped into a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and tagged a Breaker, setting up a potential bounce. 📈
My plan? I’m expecting Gold to sweep up the highlighted liquidity and charge toward the 4H Inversion Fair Value Gap (IFVG). Once it hits that zone, I’ll be glued to the charts, watching for its reaction to decide the next move. 🧐
As always, trade smart! Set your stops, size your positions wisely, and don’t let Gold’s volatility catch you off guard. Protect your capital first—always! 💡
What’s your take on Gold right now? Are you jumping on this setup or waiting for more confirmation? Drop your thoughts in the comments below, give this post a like, and follow for more updates! 👇 Let’s keep the trading convo going! 🔥
Gold's weak pattern, rebound is still empty.In fact, I strongly advise you not to attribute this wave of decline to the progress of trade negotiations. If you keep talking about these things all day, you will make mistakes inexplicably. I want to ask, do you know what its progress is? The previous rise was said to be not negotiated, so don’t you think this is a useless theory and fundamentals? As a topic of conversation with friends, it’s okay, but if you use it as a basis for trading, forget it. Every time it can take off at 3250 and fall at 3430, such a coincidental space, what other reasons are there besides the main control?
I deliberately gave a rebound expectation. If it can reach 3403, I am willing to go short again. The reason for taking this position is that gold has indeed broken the previous bottoming pattern, the support of the BD trend line, and the horizontal support of point D, but the problem is that it has not really broken the trend line of the inward channel. In this case, I must prevent a rebound, and it would be great if I could enter the market at 3403. You can look at the probability of a head and shoulders top.
Otherwise, I can only watch it fall first. Faced with this weakness, I choose to directly chase the bearish trend. The current price is still early compared to today's high of 93, and the support below is at 3360.
"Gold's Repeat Pattern: Two Impulses, Two Pullbacks – What's NexThis **4-hour Gold (XAU/USD)** chart shows a classic **price action structure** with two major impulsive waves followed by corrective pullbacks. Here's a breakdown using **price action principles**:
🔹 **1. Impulsive Rally #1 (Left Box)**
* **Price surged** by approx. **119.55 points (+3.68%)**, forming strong bullish candles with little to no wick on top — a sign of **buyer dominance**.
* The move was sharp, indicating **strong momentum** and **break of previous lower highs**, suggesting a possible **market structure shift** to bullish.
🔻 **2. Correction #1**
* The rally was followed by a **retracement of -84.51 points (-2.51%)**.
* Price made **lower highs and lower lows** within this box — indicating a **corrective pullback**, not a reversal.
* It respected previous support zones, which shows **buyers still in control**.
### 🔹 **3. Impulsive Rally #2 (Right Box)**
* Price then made a **new higher high**, rising **127.94 points (+3.86%)**.
* Strong bullish candles again appeared with follow-through — confirming **bullish order flow**.
* The **break of the previous swing high** confirms a **bullish structure continuation**.
### 🔻 **4. Correction #2 (Ongoing)**
* Current price is in a **retracement phase** of around **-84.51 points (-2.46%)** — nearly identical in size to the first correction.
* The correction is forming **lower highs and lower lows**, with potential for **bullish reaction near the previous support or demand zone**.
* The **market is testing previous structure** (support level near \$3360–\$3370) — a key area for **bullish reversal confirmation** (watch for pin bars or bullish engulfing patterns).
📌 **Price Action Summary
* **Structure**: Higher highs, higher lows — confirms **uptrend**.
* **Corrections**: Controlled and proportional — shows **healthy trend**.
* **Current Zone**: Price is testing **potential support**, watch for **bullish reversal signals** to catch next wave.
* **Bias**: Still **bullish**, unless structure breaks below recent swing low (\~\$3340).
---
✅ Traders’ Tip**: If bullish candles form at current support, it may present a **buy opportunity** with targets toward recent highs. Use proper risk management and watch for confirmation!
XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price is reacting as it approaches the HTF high zone (3430-3450) and is currently pulling back.
The 1H FVG zones at:
🔹 3400
🔹 3368
and the 1H OB around 3350 are key areas we are watching for potential long entries.
📌 Plan:
We will wait for price to pull back into one of these 1H FVG/OB zones and look for entry confirmations on the 5M or 3M timeframe to go long.
🎯 Targets: 3430 – 3440 – 3450
❌ No sell setup for now unless a clear structure break happens.
XAU/USD 24 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Correction Went Deeper, but the Bullish Structure Intact📌 Quick recap from yesterday:
In my previous analysis, I mentioned that I was looking to buy dips around 3400, expecting a continuation move toward the ATH near 3500.
That was the plan.
But as the day unfolded, I removed my pending buy order — and explained exactly why in an educational post on how context can override entry levels.
If you read that, you already understand:
It’s not where price goes. It’s how it gets there.
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📉 So… where are we now?
The big question is:
Was this just a deeper correction, or is Gold preparing to shift direction entirely?
In my opinion, we’re still in a healthy correction, not a reversal.
Why?
• Price remains above the horizontal support — the same level that acted as resistance last week
• The market is still above the trendline from mid-May
• No breakdown, no major structure violation — just deeper retracement after a sharp impulsive move
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📈 What’s the plan going forward?
As long as these two supports hold, I believe the buy-the-dip narrative remains valid — even at better prices.
In fact, I already entered a new long position about an hour ago, which is currently up around 90 pips at the time of writing.
My bias stays bullish unless proven otherwise.
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📌 Conclusion:
Yes, the correction went deeper than expected.
Yes, I removed a pending order — because the reaction was not what I wanted to see.
But structure still supports continuation, and I remain in the buy-the-dip camp as long as key support holds. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Correction is not bearish, buy on rebound at low levelToday is critical. Yesterday, gold fell under the pressure of 3396. The next 3396 area is very critical, and it will be relatively weak below it. If it goes up, the market rebound will expand. Pay attention to 3405 or 3420 area, with the focus on 3420. As long as it is below here, it will be mainly bearish. Breaking through 3420, the market is expected to continue to rise and break yesterday's high to test the 3450 area, and then seek to fall again. On the downside, pay proper attention to the 3380 area, which is short-term support; the focus is on the 3370~3365 area, which is the next bull-bear watershed.
The daily line fell yesterday and included the previous day's big positive rise, which represents the current high-level fluctuation of the price. At present, we need to pay attention to the lower moving average support corresponding to SMA10 at 3367, while the moving average SMA30 is around 3351-53, the middle track is at 3344, and the moving average SMA60 is at 3330.
From the daily level: today's decline will not fall below 3351-53, and it is likely to be around 3367-70. We have the opportunity to participate in long orders near 3370.
Therefore, if the price touches 3370-3365 for the first time during the day, you can consider going long, with the target at 3390-3400; if the downward trend of gold continues during the day, you can go long again at 3355-3353, defend 3345, and exit the market after earning a difference of $10-20.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold fell as expected, can it reverse?📰 News information:
1. Initial unemployment claims data
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold has made a profit retracement correction as expected. The two-day rising market has led to an overly bullish sentiment in the market. Under this pattern, it is very easy to trigger an unexpected reversal trend, which is often a key opportunity to break the psychological defense line of retail investors in the market.
From the bottom of gold at 3244 to the high of 3439 this week, it can be found that the current 38.2% support position is near 3364. Moreover, the current daily SMA10 moving average position is also near 3364, SMA30 and the middle track of the Bollinger Band are near 3343, and SMA60 is near 3330.
From the daily line, if the daily line can stand above 3364, then there is still a possibility of refreshing the high of 3438 in the future. On the other hand, if the daily line falls below 3364, then 3438 may become the high point in July.
If there is a rebound in the morning, then 3384 in the white session will be the bottom support, and short positions must be participated in the European and American sessions. If the downward trend continues in the morning, there will be an opportunity to participate in long orders around 3370. At the same time, the possibility of further decline and reaching the middle line of 3343 cannot be ruled out. At the same time, if the 4H chart can form a head and shoulders top pattern, then the intraday long rebound point will not exceed 3410.
Therefore, on the whole, if it falls directly, it can be considered to go long when it first touches 3375-3365, and the target is 3390-3400; if the intraday decline is strong, the second trading opportunity is below 3355-3345, and the target is $10-20 before exiting.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3375-3365
TP 3390-3400
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
GOLD H1 Chart Update for 24 July 2025Hello Traders,
we got fall yesterday on RSI DIV and right now all eyes on 3350 Psychological level breakout if market successfully breaks that level then it will move towards 3330 or even 3315 level
some retracements remains pending around 3400-3412 zone GOLD will might retrace that zone before going further down
Reminder: PMI's day in the market
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky