XAUUSD Market Dynamics: Strategy AnalysisToday, XAUUSD (Gold/US Dollar) exhibited a robust upward momentum, successfully breaking through the upper trend line. From a candlestick technical analysis perspective, XAUUSD still possesses upward momentum and a continuing bullish trend. Additionally, the uncertainties surrounding the U.S. presidential election and conflicts in the Middle East are driving investors to seek safe-haven assets. Coupled with a loose monetary policy environment, this will further support gold prices at elevated levels.
Following the Federal Reserve's decision to cut rates by 50 basis points last month, the market anticipates the potential for further rate cuts. The ongoing geopolitical uncertainties have collectively propelled gold prices up over 30% year-to-date, with the possibility of reaching new historical highs. Therefore, under the current market conditions, we recommend a proactive approach to building long positions at lower levels.
Today's Trading Strategy: Establish long positions in XAUUSD around the 2700 level, with a profit target set at 2710.
Xauusdupdates
Golden Investment Strategy: Opportunities Amidst TensionThe current international situation is indeed tense, leading to a continuous rise in gold prices, which are now nearing $2700, compared to under $2000 last year. It is striking that "when the cannon fires, gold weighs heavy."
Until international relations stabilize, a significant drop in gold prices seems unlikely, so our investment strategy should favor a bullish approach.
Based on current conditions, MA30 will serve as a crucial support level; as long as this level holds, we can pursue long trades. However, a slight adjustment is expected today, potentially dropping to around $2684.
For the highs, we should look towards the $2704-$2712 range—if we reach that point, a decisive sell is advised. If $2700 remains unbroken for an extended period, consider a small short position, and upon a pullback to MA30, execute a minor long trade to see if a breakthrough occurs.
If a breakthrough happens, significant selling should take place, aiming to close positions around $2688.
Gold Soars Past 2700: Key Levels to Watch for BuyingAs anticipated and detailed in this week's analysis, OANDA:XAUUSD has reached a new all-time high and is now trading comfortably above the 2700 mark.
The bullish momentum remains exceptionally strong, with no signs of a potential reversal at this point.
Despite the recent leg up exceeding 1000 pips, it remains extremely risky to attempt selling in the face of such a powerful uptrend, especially when there is no resistance level to use as a reference.
Fighting against this momentum could result in unnecessary risk.
With that in mind, my strategy is to look for opportunities to buy on dips. A potential buying zone could emerge around the 2680 level, which may provide a more favorable entry point for those looking to join the bullish trend.
XAUUSD 18/10/2024 Is the uptrend over?
Looking at H1 with the price making a new ATH yesterday this confirms to us that the corrective wave 4 has ended and the price is currently in red wave 5
- Looking at the smaller wave level we are seeing that in red wave 5 the structure of wave 1 and wave 2 is being formed and the price breaking through the top of wave 1 proves that the price has confirmed that the corrective wave 2 has ended and it is currently wave 3
- In wave 3 the uptrend is the main trend for us to place orders
- The price zones that return based on Volumeprofile I have identified 3 price zones in which the price zone 2696 - 2693 and the price zone 2669 - 2666 are the important price zones we pay attention to
- For the Sell zone we expect the first target of wave 3 at the price zone 2736 - 2739 which is the sell target price zone
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2696 - 2693
SL: 2688
TP1: 2709
TP2: 2737
BUY ZONE: 2669 - 2666
SL: 2664
TP1: 2685
TP2: 2695
TP3: 2717
BUY ZONE: 2657 - 2654
SL: 2647
TP1: 2668
TP2: 2685
TP3: 2694
SELL ZONE: 2736 - 2739
SL: 2746
TP1: 2717
TP2: 2697
After making a profit, how to plan the next strategyWe strategically positioned ourselves a few hours ago ahead of the U.S. data release, successfully capitalizing on a significant profit wave. Following the data-driven volatility, we anticipate a transition to a more technical-driven market.
Analyzing the hourly candlestick chart, we observe that XAUUSD remains in an upward trend; however, the potential for further gains is diminishing, indicating an impending shift in market momentum. Key resistance is identified at 2700, with support around 2688. Absent any major news or data releases, the trading range appears constrained, making it essential to accurately gauge market movements to achieve profitable outcomes.
Our forthcoming trading strategy is as follows:
XAUUSD: Short near 2700; Long near 2688.
Sorry, I've already started shorting goldAt present, gold has risen strongly to around 2689, and is only one step away from 2700. Although the gold market is hot at present, I do not advocate chasing gold now. To be honest, as long as gold remains above 2675, I will not advocate going long on gold.
Now that gold is approaching 2700, it has basically reached the short-term expectations of bulls. Now that gold is approaching 2700, it has basically reached the short-term expectations of the bulls. Some of the profit-making chips may be cashed in for shipment. This is why I do not recommend chasing gold. In the short term, since gold rose near 2638, there has been basically no decent correction. So when facing the psychological pressure of 2700, gold is likely to have a round of correction, retesting the 2670-2665 area, and may even retest the 2660-2655 area.
So, bros, while you are keen on chasing gold, I am now shorting gold in batches! Let us look forward to the next results!
XAUUSD: Key Resistance at 2698-2708Yesterday, gold successfully held the support level between 2668 and 2663 during its pullback and subsequently began a consolidation and upward trend. As highlighted in my previous analysis, the strategy was clear: if the price held above this support, we would go long; if it broke below, we would wait for a rebound to go short. If you followed this analysis, I trust you captured significant profits from this movement.
Currently, the price is approaching the crucial resistance level of 2700, where substantial selling pressure is anticipated. It's possible that the price may either break through and subsequently pull back or begin to retreat as it nears this level. Therefore, the prudent approach is to adopt a short position initially and then reassess the situation based on support levels to determine whether to transition into a long position.
XAUUSD: SELLAfter forming a head-and-shoulders bottom pattern, gold has not broken the support level at 2656 and subsequently surged to around 2680. Currently, there is a need for a pullback in this pattern. Traders can initially take a short position, monitoring the support in the 2668-2663 range. If this support holds, consider going long; if it breaks, wait for a rebound to enter short.
Gold Bulls in Control: New ATH Expected SoonAs discussed in Monday's analysis, Gold is likely to reach a new all-time high this week, and I still hold this view.
After a brief dip that corrected last week's gains, the bulls regained control.
At the time of writing, the price stands at 2677, surpassing the local resistance level of 2667 and nearing the previous ATH of 2685.
My strategy remains to buy on dips, and in terms of targets, we could see Gold trading above 2700 in the coming days(if not even today)
Seize the Opportunity and Preemptively Position for ShortsShortly, the U.S. will release the initial jobless claims data and September retail sales month-over-month figures. Prior to the announcement, I personally predict these data points are likely to be bearish for XAUUSD, making it a good opportunity to preemptively position for shorts, suggesting a short entry around 2690 while awaiting the data release.
XAUUSD Trading Strategy:
Short at the high of 2688, with a take-profit target set at 2670.
XAUUSD: Continue to be bullish, buy during pullback, target 2700Yesterday, our strategy was to wait for a pullback to the support range before buying. The direction and prediction were very accurate. The gold price pulled back from the initial 2680, the lowest was 2666, and then rose again to the historical high of 2685. Unfortunately, the lowest point of the pullback only reached 2666, which was only 1-2$ away from our buying range of 2665-2660. Therefore, I did not trade yesterday and missed a wave of nearly 20$ of rising profits.
Now the gold price is still around 2680, and my view is still bullish, with a target of 2700.
But there is indeed a risk of pullback if you chase the rise now. After all, the historical high of 2685 has failed to break twice, and you are not sure whether it will appear for the third time.
Therefore, my trading strategy today is still to wait for the pullback to the support range before considering buying.
Depending on the situation, the buying range can be adjusted flexibly.
Sorry, I've already started shorting goldAt present, gold has risen strongly to around 2689, and is only one step away from 2700. Although the gold market is hot at present, I do not advocate chasing gold now. To be honest, as long as gold remains above 2675, I will not advocate going long on gold.
Now that gold is approaching 2700, it has basically reached the short-term expectations of bulls. Now that gold is approaching 2700, it has basically reached the short-term expectations of the bulls. Some of the profit-making chips may be cashed in for shipment. This is why I do not recommend chasing gold. In the short term, since gold rose near 2638, there has been basically no decent correction. So when facing the psychological pressure of 2700, gold is likely to have a round of correction, retesting the 2670-2665 area, and may even retest the 2660-2655 area.
So, bros, while you are keen on chasing gold, I am now shorting gold in batches! Let us look forward to the next results!
XAUUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold is at a record high, and a rising USD may limit growth.Gold prices (XAU/USD) rose for the third consecutive day on Thursday, marking the sixth positive day in the last seven, as it tested an all-time high in Asian trading. Anticipated rate cuts from major central banks and geopolitical risks from the Middle East are driving interest in gold.
Meanwhile, expectations of modest Fed rate cuts next year have kept the US dollar (USD) near its highest level since early August, limiting new bullish bets on gold. Traders are now focused on US macro data for momentum in the North American session.
Personal opinion:
Currently, there are positive signs that could push gold prices up to $2,700. If there are more buying transactions, this will create new momentum for optimistic traders, helping to extend the upward trend for several months. This outlook is further reinforced by the fact that daily chart fluctuations remain in the positive zone and are still far from being overbought.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy zone: 2650 - 2652
SL: 2645
Buy zone: 2664 - 2666
SL: 2659
Sell zone: 2684 - 2686
SL: 2691
SELL ZONE: 2700
Gold Surges After U.S. Inflation Data | New perspective In this week’s analysis, we dive into Gold's 1% surge following U.S. inflation data, which has sparked fresh uncertainty over inflation trends and boosted demand for safe-haven assets. The Consumer Price Index rose by 0.2% last month, while bullish PPI figures suggest the Fed could be on track for interest rate cuts in 2024.
With escalating geopolitical tensions, could Gold rally beyond $3,000 before year-end?
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
This week, we’re zeroing in on the critical $2,660 zone. If Gold stays above this level, bulls may maintain control, potentially pushing prices to new highs. However, if Gold dips below, bears could force a pullback toward the descending channel’s support line.
📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market!
#GoldMarket #XAUUSD #InflationData #FederalReserve #SafeHavenAssets #Geopolitics #MarketAnalysis📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Can gold rise to 2700 points this time?The trend of gold yesterday and today basically completely verified my trading idea yesterday. When the gold price was still at 2654 yesterday, I clearly said that the high point was definitely not 2666. At the same time, I also said that this high point would most likely break through, and the target could be seen in the 2670-2680 range, and bought at 2650 to make a lot of profit.
Now the new high has reached 2682, but it has not stood firm. Yesterday I said that as long as the gold price can stand firm at 2680, it can refresh the historical high of 2685, and look forward to the 2700 integer mark. Today I also maintain this view unchanged.
Now the gold price is correcting, I think this is a move to accumulate power to refresh the historical high, so I will look for the right time to buy again next
From the Fibonacci retracement indicator of this rise, 2665 is at 0.618, and 2660 is at 0.5, so I think that if it cannot stand firm above 2680, the gold price is likely to fall back to the support range of 2665-2660 again. As long as it reaches this range, it can be bought again
Invest in Gold? Exploring the Impact of Diwali
The price of gold has reached unprecedented heights in the retail market, setting a new record as the Hindu festival of Diwali draws near. Factors, including increased demand, global economic uncertainties, and geopolitical tensions have driven this price surge.
The Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) December contracts for gold have also witnessed a significant uptick, reflecting the broader upward trend in the precious metal's value. This positive momentum is largely attributed to favorable global cues, such as concerns over the US debt ceiling and ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Factors Driving the Gold Price Surge
• Diwali Demand: The festival of Diwali, known for its celebrations and gift-giving, is a significant driver of gold demand in India. As the festival approaches, consumers are increasingly purchasing gold jewelry, coins, and bars as a symbol of prosperity and wealth.
• Global Economic Uncertainties: The lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, coupled with geopolitical tensions and concerns about global economic growth, have made gold a safe-haven asset for investors. As uncertainty persists, investors are turning to gold as a hedge against market volatility.
• Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation rates, both domestically and internationally, have also contributed to the increase in gold prices. As purchasing power declines, consumers may seek to preserve their wealth by investing in gold.
• Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing geopolitical conflicts, such as the Russia-Ukraine war and tensions in the Middle East, have created a sense of unease and uncertainty in global markets. This has led to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Impact on Retail Market
The surge in gold prices has had a significant impact on the retail market. Jewelry stores and bullion dealers have reported a surge in demand for gold products, leading to increased prices and longer waiting times for certain items. Some consumers may find it challenging to afford the higher prices, while others may view it as an opportunity to invest in a valuable asset.
Government Measures and Outlook
In response to the rising gold prices, governments may consider implementing measures to curb demand or stabilize prices. These measures could include import restrictions, increased taxes on gold purchases, or the release of gold from government reserves.
However, the outlook for gold prices remains positive, particularly in the short term. As Diwali approaches and global uncertainties persist, gold prices will likely continue to be supported by strong demand and a favorable market environment.
Conclusion
The record-high gold prices witnessed in the retail market as Diwali nears are a reflection of a confluence of factors, including increased demand, global economic uncertainties, and geopolitical tensions. While the surge in prices may pose challenges for some consumers, it also presents opportunities for investors seeking to preserve their wealth and hedge against market volatility. As the festival of Diwali approaches, it is anticipated that gold prices will remain elevated, driven by strong demand and a favorable market environment.
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Formation ManipulationHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
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🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Market Outlook and Strategic Trading TargetsOANDA:XAUUSD
1H Timeframe
Current Price: 2657.180
The market is currently experiencing significant consolidation between the levels of 2604.352 and 2685.340. These are critical levels to consider for trading strategies.
(Bearish Targets)
2656.250
2636.719
2617.188
(Bullish Targets)
2666.000
2675.781
2685.340
Happy trading!
XAUUSD, 30-minute timeframe chartXAUUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart
XAUUSD break the resistance level of 2,667.00
General outlook
XAUUSD has been under buying pressure within the last day. The pair moved up to the resistance level of 2,667.00.
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a buy limit order at 2,666.30.
Set your stop loss at 2,660.30 below the previous low ($6.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,682.30 ($17.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
XAUUSD 16/10/2024 Is the uptrend over?
Looking at H1 we see that the price has completed a 5-wave structure and a 3-wave corrective structure, so in the larger wave structure we have that wave 1 and wave 2 have been completed
- In the current wave structure, after a 3-wave bearish structure there will be an uptrend
- Looking at the current price line we have a red 5-wave bullish structure forming
- Our problem is to determine the target of the red wave 5
- I measure the expected area of the red wave 5 is the price zone 2674 - 2677
- After completing the red 5-wave bullish wave there will be 3 corrective waves, the target area of this corrective wave is the zone 2653 - 2650
- In case the price breaks below this zone to approach the zone 2639 - 2636, this is the price zone where the recovery may not be as strong as the zone above
Trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2674 - 2677
SL: 2684
TP1: 2661
TP2: 2655
BUY ZONE: 2653 - 2650
SL: 2645
TP1: 2663
TP2: 2673
BUY ZONE: 2639 - 2636
SL: 2629
TP1: 2649
TP2: 2655
Gold's low has been confirmed, and the rise will be unstoppableIn yesterday's article, I clearly said that you can buy gold boldly when it falls back to the support area of 2642-2630. Although this trend did not come out yesterday, I bought it without hesitation when the gold price fell today, and took profits at 2654. But this does not mean that the gold price has reached its limit. I think as long as the gold price falls back to 2650 later, you can consider buying here, and the high point is definitely not the previous high of 2666.
From yesterday's 1H chart, we can see that 2642 is 0.618. Although the gold price hit 2638 today, the real closing line is still around 2642. Therefore, according to the recent three callback trends, as long as it does not effectively fall below the support of 0.618 in the short term, it can be regarded as a bullish trend.
At the same time, I think the previous high of 2666 is definitely not a short-term high point. This rise is likely to break through here. The first target above can be seen in the range of 2670-2680. If it can stand at 2680, the gold price is likely to test the 2700 integer mark again.
The above is my view on gold today. Recently, my gold trading strategy has maintained a hot state of continuous profit. If you want to copy my trading details, you can contact me