Gold XAUUSD Summer Price Action - Trading Psychology☀️ Summer Trading Blues? Here’s How to Stay Sharp Without Burning Out
Summer trading on Gold isn’t for the impulsive or the greedy. Liquidity dries up, sessions lose momentum, and the clean, aggressive price action we love? It goes on vacation too.
But that’s not a bad thing. It’s an opportunity.
This is the season where traders either burn out... or build.
Here’s how to keep your edge sharp while the markets slow down — and why a positive, focused mindset is your biggest asset until volatility returns.
Why Summer PA Feels “Off” on Gold
You’re not imagining it — gold price action does shift in the summer, and here’s why:
🏖️ Bank Holidays & Institutional Slowdowns
• Major global banks take scheduled breaks — including in the US, UK, EU, and Asia.
• Trading desks reduce activity, and high-volume players shift into passive management mode.
• This results in lower volume, fewer impulsive moves, and more algorithmic fakeouts.
📆 Official Holidays + "August Mode"
• US Independence Day (July 4), UK Summer Bank Holiday (late August), and more → NY and London sessions thin out or lack follow-through.
• Most institutional traders go on leave. Some desks run skeleton crews. No joke.
• Unless a major geopolitical catalyst (e.g. war escalation or surprise central bank move) hits the headlines, price will drift or trap.
🏄♂️ Retail Overreach & Emotional Traps & Vacation Time
• Retail traders often “force” trades in quiet markets to stay busy.
• This leads to chasing, overtrading, and emotional fatigue — the exact trap smart traders avoid.
• Most regular traders also go on vacation or scale back — unless they’re mentally obsessed with Gold and can’t let it go.
Bottom line:
Summer PA is slower, trickier, and full of emotional bait. Learn to read the stillness — not fight it.
💡 Your Summer Trading Mindset Kit
Instead of complaining about the range, use this time to train your mindset.
Here’s how:
⚖️ Stay Emotionally Neutral — Even When Price Isn’t
Summer markets bait your emotions: fake breakouts, slow reactions, and dead zones.
To stay in control, build structure around your execution:
✅ Pre-market: Make a clear plan with meaningful zones and set alerts — don’t wing it on hopes and dreams
✅ Post-market: Write down why you stayed out or why your trade was clean — not just wins or losses
Neutrality isn’t passive — it’s disciplined clarity, even when the chart’s doing nothing.
🎯 Focus Over FOMO
Short sessions. Laser focus. Clean execution.
→ Limit distractions
→ Trade only clear, structured setups
→ Respect no-trade days as productive days
Flow isn’t magic — it’s discipline + environment.
🤝 Find the Trading Circle That Matches Your Style — to reinforce your style
Not every group fits you — and not every voice deserves your attention.
Look for people who:
• Respect structure over noise
• Give thoughtful, honest feedback
• Celebrate patience and growth, not screenshots and bragging and 20-30 pips wins
A real trading circle matches your energy and raises your game — not your cortisol.
💭 Reconnect With Your “Why”
If you’re here just to “make money,” summer will test you hard.
Purpose anchors you when price doesn’t. Ask yourself:
• Why do I trade?
• Who am I becoming through this process?
No purpose = burnout.
Purpose = clarity, even in silence.
📈 Discipline Pays When Gold Doesn’t
Forget chasing fireworks in dead markets.
Summer rewards the trader who does less but does it right:
✅ You skipped noise? That’s a win.
✅ You waited for your zone? Pro-level move.
✅ You tracked your behavior? You’re not guessing — you’re evolving.
While others burn out chasing crumbs, you’re stacking discipline — and that’s what you’ll cash in when the real moves return.
Final Words: Quiet Traders Get Loud Later
Summer might be slow. But your growth doesn’t have to be.
While others force trades, smart traders sharpen edge.
You’re not falling behind by sitting out chop — you’re building mastery for when real money moves return.
🗓️ So in September YOU are going to show up: stronger, clearer, and 3x more prepared.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
Xauusdupdates
Gold Eyes Breakout from Ascending Channel Toward $3,500📈 Chart Analysis
1. Rising Channel Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) has been trading within an upward-sloping channel, marked by the blue trendlines connecting interior lows and highs, culminating at point C (~$3,497). The latest bounce off the lower channel near “B” reinforces bullish bias – if this trendline holds, another leg higher toward resistance around $3,497–$3,500 is likely.
2. Support & Resistance Confluence
The purple trendline and the dotted horizontal green level (~$3,498) converge near the projected breakout point. This synergy provides a strong pivot zone — a successful breakout would validate targets near channel highs.
3. Harmonic Pattern in Play
The chart displays a bullish harmonic structure (likely a Bat or Gartley formation), with retracement ratios (0.719, 1.627) anchoring reversal areas. These reinforce the bounce at B and the potential move toward point C.
4. Trade Scenarios
Bullish Scenario (primary): A bounce off the trendline triggers a rally to the channel top and resistance zone ($3,497–$3,500).
Bearish Caution: A drop below the trendline invalidates the pattern, potentially bringing prices back to horizontal support around $3,296 or even $3,120, as indicated at point A.
🛠️ Technical & Market Context
Technicals: Daily trend remains bullish as long as price holds above ~$3,340–$3,350, with resistance forming in the $3,380–$3,400 range
Fundamentals: Geopolitical tension (e.g., Middle East conflict) and safe-haven inflows continue to underpin gold — though Citi expects prices to eventually correct toward $3,300–$3,500 mid‑term
.
Sentiment: Some analysts advocate “selling the rallies,” especially into the $3,450–$3,500 zone . But central banks’ ongoing buying and potential Fed rate cuts support a stronger floor
.
✅ Trade Strategy
Scenario Entry Zone Target Stop Loss Placement
Play the Bounce ~$3,350–$3,360 $3,497–$3,500 Below trendline near B zone (~$3,320)
Breakout Trade On momentum above $3,400 $3,497–$3,550 Below breakout (sub-$3,380)
Bearish Trigger Break & close below trendline Back to $3,296 / 3,120 Just above trendline ($3,360)
🔍 Summary
Gold remains in a structurally bullish setup inside an ascending channel. The confluence of harmonic reversal, strong trendline support, and pending fundamental catalysts presents a high-probability opportunity to push toward the $3,500 area—provided the trendline and $3,340–$3,350 support hold. A drop below would invalidate the bullish outlook and favor deeper retracement.
Gold (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Analysis- 20 June 2025On the 4-hour chart, gold has been trading in a fairly wide range.
The market has not clearly broken down, and many analysts see it as still structurally bullish as long as key support holds. Currently price is pulling back toward a confluence of support around $3,353–$3,355 (a zone overlapping a trendline and prior demand).
In other words, buyers have defended roughly the 3,340–3,355 area recently. Resistance lies just above in the $3,370–$3,380 region, with a major psychological pivot at $3,400. One analyst notes gold is “boxed between resistance at $3,450 and support at $3,340–$3,335”, so the immediate bias depends on these zones.
A clean break above 3,380–3,400 would signal bullish continuation (targeting 3,450+), while a drop below the 3,340–3,350 support zone would shift the bias bearish.
Overall, the market structure on H4 is mixed-to-bullish: we see higher swings in larger timeframes, and only a minor short-term down leg so far. As one analysis notes, gold remains “structurally bullish” and an upside break could chase the $3,500–$3,550 area.
Key Zones and Levels (4H)
Strong Support (Demand) Zone: ~$3,340–$3,355. This zone (around the recent swing lows) has attracted buying. Analysts mark $3,350–$3,355 as a key buy zone. Breaking below ~$3,340 would be a warning, putting 3,300 as the next floor.
Supply Zone / Resistance: ~$3,370–$3,380. This is the near-term resistance cluster (multiple analysts cite 3,370–3,380 as key). A rejection here would keep gold rangebound.
Major Pivot: $3,400. This round number is acting as an important hurdle. A decisive close above $3,400 would open the door to the $3,434–$3,450 area (prior highs). Conversely, failure at $3,400 can push price back toward the support zone.
Larger Resistances: If the uptrend resumes, look to ~$3,450 (April swing high) and beyond. Many long-range targets point to $3,500+ in a strong bull move.
Secondary Supports: Below the main support zone, watch ~$3,300 and down at $3,281 (the 50-day moving average). These act as deeper floors if weakness continues.
4-Hour Bias
In plain terms, as long as $3,340–$3,355 holds as support, the bias tilts bullish or neutral. We can say bullish bias above that zone: buyers will look to enter on pullbacks there. If price stays under $3,370, gains will likely be capped short-term. A break above $3,380/$3,400 would confirm a bullish breakout. On the flip side, a break below $3,340 shifts us to a bearish bias, with attention turning to lower support levels. On indicators, shorter-term momentum has eased (recent RSI is flattening around 60), suggesting some fatigue. But the longer-term trend is up, supported by strong safe-haven demand (central bank buying, geopolitical risk).
In summary: neutral-to-bullish on 4H, favor buyers near support but cautious near overhead supply.
Intraday (1H) Setups
Zooming into the 1-hour chart, we look for trades that align with the above bias. The clearest setups involve buying around demand zones and selling near supply areas:
Buy the Dip (~$3,344–$3,355): Wait for gold to dip into the 3,340–3,350 area. If you see a bullish price-action signal (e.g. a clear hammer or bullish engulfing candle), that’s a potential buy. Place a stop just below (~$3,335). Initial targets are around $3,370–$3,380 (near resistance). For example, one analysis suggests: “Buy XAU/USD at 3,344–3,348, TP 3,365–3,370, SL 3,335”.
Sell the Rally (~$3,375–$3,380): If price runs up to $3,375–$3,380 and shows signs of stalling (e.g. bearish candle), consider a short. Stop would be just above (~$3,385), with a target back down toward $3,355–$3,360 or the 1H demand zone. (One example from analysis: “Sell XAU/USD at 3,375–3,380, TP 3,355–3,360, SL 3,385”.) This aligns with fading the high of the range.
Breakout Strategy: If momentum is strong and gold breaks convincingly above ~$3,380–$3,400 on the 1H, one can enter long on the breakout. The next resistances are ~$3,434 and $3,450.
Stops should be very tight in that case (just under the breakout candle).
Risk Management: Keep position sizes small (1–2% risk). Use stops under/above the structural levels. Always wait for a clear 1H candle signal before pulling the trigger, to avoid false moves.
Key 1H levels: We can cite the strong short-term zones: support ~$3,344–$3,348 and resistance ~$3,375–$3,380.
If price skims these areas, watch carefully for a signal to buy or sell as described above. If 1H breaks below $3,340, be ready for a move toward the lower demand zone (around $3,335) or even $3,300–$3,280.
Takeaway
Gold is currently trading between ~$3,340 and $3,380 on the 4H chart. The simplest guidance is to trade the range: buy on dips near $3,340–$3,355 with stops just below, aiming for the $3,370–$3,380 area, and sell near $3,375–$3,380 if rallies stall. Maintain a bullish tilt as long as that $3,340+ support holds, but be ready to switch bearish if gold decisively closes under ~$3,340.
Single Takeaway: Treat ~$3,340–$3,355 as a key demand zone – a bounce here would be a high-probability long entry (targeting $3,370–$3,380), whereas a break below would turn the bias lower.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour chart displays the price movement of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) from early June to mid-June 2025. The price, currently at $3,350.76, has experienced a recent decline of $19.76 (-0.59%) as of 01:06:10. The chart highlights a downward trend with a shaded area indicating a potential support or resistance zone between $3,310.41 and $3,374.21. Key price levels are marked, showing fluctuations between $3,300.00 and $3,374.21 over the observed period.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD 20 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
The bear market is over? Short at high and long at low📰 Impact of news:
1. The interest rate remains unchanged and leads to new lows in the short term
2. Geopolitical tensions provide support for risk aversion
📈 Market analysis:
Due to the early closing yesterday, the volatility of the US market was limited and the market seemed relatively flat. From a technical perspective and the current trend, 3340 is a key defensive support level. If it retreats to this level, you can consider going long. If the gold price continues to rise and reaches 3375, from the perspective of trading strategy, you can choose to place a short order here. Focus on the resistance line of 3370-3375 during the day, and pay attention to the support of 3345-3335 below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3370-3375
TP 3360-3355-3345
BUY 3345-3335
TP 3360-3370
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Choppy Gold Action Hides a Bigger Drop on Weekly Chart?After Monday’s correction, Gold continued lower – but the drop has been extremely choppy, making swing trading nearly impossible in this environment.
🔄 Short-term vs. Weekly Picture
On the 1H chart, price action is messy and directionless. However, the weekly chart tells a clearer story – which is not bullish at this moment.
❗ Let’s not rush into the “new ATH” narrative
Last week, I pointed out around the 3360 zone that we may get a rise above 3400. That move happened – but it seems more driven by Middle East tensions than by any structural strength in Gold itself.
📉 Why I’m leaning bearish on higher timeframes at this moment:
• This week’s price action almost fully negates last week’s strong green candle
• A close near the bottom of the range could form a Dark Cloud Cover pattern – a strong bearish signal
• Unless we see a reversal above 3400, downside remains the higher probability
📌 Next Target?
If the weekly close confirms this bearish setup, a drop to 3150 is not only possible – it’s becoming likely.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update For 20 JUNE 25Hello Traders we are now at closing day of the week, for today market expected is in tight range and better to wait for closing of the week
strong resistance for the day is 3382 level while strong support for the day is 3333
scalping range for today is 3340-3375
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Gold Broke Out – Another Drop Loading?OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold is attempting a rebound but faces strong resistance near $3,364–$3,368, where previous support converges with the descending trendline (TL1). A clear rejection here could resume the bearish momentum.
Technically, the price is hovering just below the TL1 resistance. The zone around $3,368 is critical — if bulls fail to reclaim this area, we could see a move back toward the $3,326 support, with a deeper target near weekly support at $3,310.
📉 A rejection around current levels = high probability drop
📈 Break and hold above TL1 = potential short-term reversal
🧠 Macro Check:
Despite intensifying Middle East tensions (Israel-Iran conflict escalating, Trump weighing intervention), gold remains under pressure. The Fed’s hawkish hold, persistent inflation, and a strong dollar continue to weigh on bullion in the near term.
🔍 Key Levels:
Resistance: $3,364–$3,368 (structure + TL1)
Support: $3,326 / $3,310
Bias: Bearish below $3,368
Setup Idea: Watch for rejection near resistance for short setups toward $3,326 and $3,310
Gold Pullback in Uptrend Amid Middle East Tensions: Buy the Dip?📊 Clearly visible on the chart: current pullback within an uptrend.
🔍 News paradox: Despite escalating Middle East tensions 🌍, gold is trending lower—a key reason to emphasize buying the dip recently (watch out for bear trap scenarios 🚫📉).
💡 Trading logic breakdown:
Fed statement yesterday caused minimal volatility (market expectations priced in 💨);
This week’s pattern: Asian session rallies 📈 followed by post-Asian pullbacks 📉;
Entry strategy: Use Asian session highs as resistance reference for entries 🎯.
Technical reinforcement:
Risk alert: Geopolitical bullishness ignored → classic bear trap signal (bear trap 🚫);
Timing: Asian session highs form intraday resistance 🎯—look to enter on retracement.
Chart says it all—normal pullback in an uptrend 📊. Ironically, while Middle East conflicts should be gold-positive 🌍, prices are moving lower—a textbook 'buy the panic' setup 🚀. Following this week’s playbook 📅 (Asian session highs followed by dips), focus on Asian session highs as a resistance anchor for entries
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3345 - 3355
🚀 TP 3370 - 3380
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
The market is closed today. How to arrange gold in the evening?📰 Impact of news:
1. The interest rate remains unchanged and leads to new lows in the short term
2. Geopolitical tensions provide support for risk aversion
📈 Market analysis:
The market is expected to not fluctuate much today. Generally speaking, it is difficult to stand on one foot to form a short-term bottom. There should be a second wave of bottom exploration, a secondary low point, and then the bottom is explored and pulled up to break through the previous high point. Only then can the turning point be officially established and the decline end. Moreover, the 1H moving average is spreading downward. Therefore, in the short term, we still pay attention to the 3375-3385 line of resistance and the 3360-3355 line of support below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3375-3385
TP 3365-3360-3355
BUY 3360-3355
TP 3370-3380-3405-3420
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAU/USD 2-Hour Chart Analysis: Bullish Breakout in Progress2-hour candlestick chart of the Gold Spot/U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) currency pair, displayed on TradingView, a popular trading platform. The chart tracks price movements over a period from the 4th to the 26th, with each candlestick representing a 2-hour interval. The price levels, shown on the y-axis, range from 3,320.00 to 3,398.54 USD, while the x-axis marks the corresponding dates. The current price is 3,370.55 USD, up by 1.61 points (+0.05%), highlighted in green to indicate a positive change. Green candlesticks represent bullish (upward) price movements, while red ones indicate bearish (downward) trends, offering a clear view of market dynamics.
Accurately grasp the interest rate trend, today's gold layout📰 Impact of news:
1. The interest rate remains unchanged and leads to new lows in the short term
2. Geopolitical tensions provide support for risk aversion
📈 Market analysis:
I told you yesterday that 3363 is not the recent low. Today's lowest point has reached around 3347. The current day's K-line closed with a medium-sized negative line with balanced upper and lower shadows. The shape shows that gold will fluctuate in the short term and be bearish. Therefore, it is not suitable to blindly guess the bottom in the short term. As geopolitical tensions still exist, it is expected that the lowest level may reach 3330. During the day, focus on the upper resistance range of 3380-3390. If the rebound is blocked, try to intervene with short orders. The lower support is at the key level of 3330-3320. Pay attention to the defense of the support area.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3335-3325
TP 3360-3380-3390-3400
SELL 3375-3385
TP 3365-3355-3345-3300
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
XAUUSD Drop to daily support?XAUUSD After testing the daily resistance market has managed to reject with a momentum to daily 20ema early today. As we can see series of lower low and lower highs, price may continue to drop to daily 20ema again as, from weekly perspective we can see that price is pushing down to potentially to weekly key level of resistance.
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 2-Hour Chart2-hour chart displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) against the U.S. Dollar, showing a current price of $3,352.73 with a decrease of $16.20 (-0.48%) as of 01:22:11. The chart highlights a recent downward trend following a peak, with a shaded area indicating a potential support or resistance zone around $3,360 to $3,400. Key price levels are marked, including $3,400.00, $3,376.03, and $3,323.59, with candlestick patterns reflecting market volatility.
Gold Slips Below Key Support – Is $3,326 Next?OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold has broken beneath the $3,365–$3,369 support zone, which now aligns with descending trendlines TL1 and TL2 acting as resistance. The 30-minute chart confirms a clean bearish breakout and retest, signalling potential continuation toward lower support near $3,326.
🎯 Short Setup
Entry: $3,365 (retest of broken support / trendline confluence)
Stop: $3,375 (above TL2 and intraday highs)
Target 1: $3,330
Target 2: $3,326
R:R: ~1:3.95
📊 Technical Context
• Price is capped below the $3,365–$3,369 supply zone
• Trendline resistance (TL1, TL2) remains intact from mid-June
• Structure favours continuation lower as long as price stays beneath the retest zone
🌐 Fundamental Backdrop
• Fed held rates steady, but Powell’s tone remained hawkish, warning of “elevated inflation” — supporting USD strength
• Rising Middle East tensions (Israel-Iran conflict) offer safe-haven bids, but not enough to break resistance
• Trump’s tariff threats and criticism of Fed policy add macro uncertainty — mildly supportive of gold in the longer run
📘 Trade Bias
As long as gold holds below $3,365, the bearish thesis remains intact. A sustained push above $3,375 would invalidate the setup and signal a potential reversal or breakout retest.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and consult a licensed advisor before making financial decisions.
Gold Spot Price Analysis (4-Hour Chart)4-hour candlestick chart for the Gold Spot price in U.S. Dollars (XAUUSD). The chart shows a recent downward trend with a notable dip, followed by an upward correction. A technical analysis pattern is highlighted within a green rectangle, indicating a potential bullish reversal. The current price is $3,374.76, with a decrease of $13.40 (-0.40%). The chart provides insights into short-term price movements and potential trading opportunities.
Gold- Back to 3300 again?After Monday’s correction into the 3380 support zone, Gold entered a consolidation phase. Bulls attempted to push higher but failed to reclaim the 3400 resistance area.
❓ Is this just the beginning of a deeper leg down?
🔻 Why further downside is likely:
• Price broke decisively below the 3380 horizontal support just hours ago
• The market is now trading around 3365, confirming bearish momentum
• 3400 remains unbroken on the daily chart – keeping the downward pressure
📌 Trading plan:
As long as we don’t see a daily close above 3400, I’m selling rallies. A test of the 3300 level is very likely if current pressure continues.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update For 19 June 2025Hello Traders,
For today market still stuck in between 3350 to 3400 Psychological levels we still need to wait for clear breakout of 3400 level
Today scalping range is 3360-90 but remember must placing SL
if market goes below 3350 clearly then it will move towards 3321 Major Support level
Reminder: There is Bank Holiday in US
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
XAU/USD 4H Market Analysis- 19 June 2025XAU/USD 4H Market Analysis
Market Structure: Gold has been in a mild uptrend on the 4‑hour chart, making higher lows and highs since early June. The recent swing high was around ~$3,428 (mid-June), and price has pulled back toward the rising support line near ~$3,373.
A break above the recent high (around $3,404–$3,428) would continue the bull trend; conversely, a drop below the ~3,373 trendline/50% Fib level would signal a bearish turn.
In other words, bulls remain in control as long as ~$3,373 holds – breaking that would threaten lower support around ~$3,338.
Overall Bias: Moderately bullish on 4H. Gold is respecting its rising trendline and 50-period EMA, and analysts note that holding above ~$3,373 keeps the uptrend intact.
Momentum (MACD) is neutral to slightly bearish short-term, so we expect consolidations and range bounces more than a reversal.
In summary, assume an upward bias while price stays above key support near $3,370–$3,380; a firm break below would flip bearish.
Key SMC/Zones:
Price is currently in a range/consolidation roughly between $3,370 and $3,400.
Important zones include:
Demand (Support) Zone:
~ $3,368–$3,378 — this 50% Fib retracement area has been defended as a bullish order block.
Below that, stronger supports sit near ~ $3,354 and $3,333 .
Supply (Resistance) Zone:
~$3,395–$3,415 — a cluster of swing highs and Fib levels. Analysts highlight $3,395, $3,412, $3,435 and even $3,450 as major resistance barriers.
In particular, the $3,400 level is a known psychological and technical ceiling.
Trendlines/BOS: The rising 4H trendline (currently near $3,370–$3,380) is key support.
A break of structure (BOS) below that line would be a bearish Change-of-Character. Similarly, the prior swing low around $3,373 is a flip zone – bulls want to keep that hold.
Liquidity: Stop-loss/liquidation clusters may lie just above recent highs ($3,428–$3,450) and just below recent lows ($3,338–$3,354). For example, stops above $3,428 could fuel a rally if hit, and stops below $3,338 could accelerate a drop.
In short, high-probability zones on the 4H chart are around ~$3,370 (demand/support) and ~$3,400 (supply/resistance).
We’ll look for trades that align with that structure (see setups below).
1H Trade Setups (Aligned with 4H Bias)
Long around $3,370–3,375 (Buy Dip to Demand Zone) –
Entry: ~3,370–3,375 (green zone). Stop: ~$3,365 (≈$5 below zone). Take-Profit: $3,380 first, then $3,390–$3,400.
Reason: This zone is a 4H demand area (50% Fib + order block) and coincides with the rising 4H trendline.
Price has repeatedly bounced here, so a bullish reversal is likely.
Trigger: Look for a bullish 1H signal (e.g. engulfing or pin bar) at ~3,370–3,375, or a break of the short-term 1H down-structure.
Entry on such a signal would target a retest of the mid-range (~3,380) and beyond toward resistance.
Short around $3,395–3,400 (Sell Rally to Supply) –
Entry: ~3,395–3,400 (red zone). Stop: ~$3,405 (≈$5 above zone). Take-Profit: $3,375 first, then $3,365.
Reason: This area is a clear 4H supply zone (near multiple Fibonacci levels/resistance).
It’s just below the $3,400 psychological barrier. A failure or bearish reversal here would likely send price back toward the demand zone below.
Trigger: Watch for a bearish 1H candle or a break of the short-term 1H up-structure in the 3,395–3,400 range. A clear rejection (e.g. bearish engulfing or strong wick) would be the signal to enter short.
(Note: If price breaks cleanly above $3,405–3,410 instead, a bullish continuation trade would then be favored, targeting $3,415+.)
Takeaway: Trade gold with the 4H structure in mind. With price above the ~$3,370 trend support, favor longs on pullbacks into that demand zone and shorts only at proven supply near $3,400. Always use a tight ~$5 stop beyond each zone and scale out at logical pivot levels to manage risk.
Expect gold to break 3400 for 3430 post-FedIn recent years, after the U.S. economy was hit by a round of high inflation, inflation data has gradually shown signs of easing 📉. Logically, the weakening inflation pressure should have paved the way for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates, but surprisingly, the Fed has chosen to remain on the sidelines and maintain its high-interest-rate policy ⚖️. The Fed's decision to keep rates high has had a significant impact on gold prices and the U.S. dollar 💱. First, high interest rates typically push up the U.S. dollar exchange rate, thereby dampening gold demand 💰↓.
Gold's price movement this week deviated from market news or expectations 📉≠📢. Driven by geopolitical conflicts, gold rallied on Friday 📈, and the momentum continued to simmer over the weekend, leading to a gap-up opening on Monday followed by a steady decline 📉. On the hourly timeframe, the low points are gradually shifting downward, with 3,400 becoming a short-term resistance level 📊. Although gold fell from 3,452, it is clearly oscillating around 3,380 🔄
I think the Fed's interest rate decision this time may cause gold to directly break through 3400 and reach around 3430 🌟📈
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3380 - 3385
🚀 TP 3400 - 3430
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) from June 4 to June 18, 2025. The current price is 3,391.79, reflecting a +3.61 (+0.11%) change. The chart highlights a recent upward trend with a notable peak, followed by a slight pullback. Key price levels are marked, ranging from 3,320.00 to 3,420.14, with technical analysis indicators such as a resistance zone (pink) and a support zone (light green) overlaid.