Critical Resistance Ahead–Will Gold Confirm the Bullish Reversal🔶 What happened last week on Gold (XAUUSD)?
Last week was an excellent one for Gold bulls – the price surged by nearly 1500 pips, fully recovering the drop from the 12–16 May week.
Looking at the chart, the decline from the last ATH at 3500 appears clearly corrective, forming a classic ABC 3-wave pattern which now seems complete.
Gold is currently testing a major confluence resistance zone, aligned with:
• The 17 April ATH
• The end-of-April resistance
• And the early May support
Also worth noting: this week’s breakout above resistance followed the formation of an ascending triangle, which is typically bullish.
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❓ Key question – Will the bullish move continue, or will price reject from here?
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🔍 Why a bullish continuation is probable:
1. The ABC corrective structure seems to have ended.
2. Price broke out after an ascending triangle – a bullish signal.
3. The broader structure still leans bullish after the ATH at 3500.
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⚠️ But this resistance zone is critical:
• Without a clear breakout above 3360 zone, bulls don’t have full control.
• A drop below 3300 would shift momentum back to the bears, with 3360 becoming a potential lower high.
________________________________________
🧭 My Trading Plan:
✅ I favor a bullish scenario, aiming for:
• 3430
• 3500 (ATH retest)
❌ This outlook gets invalidated if price falls below 3300 – in that case, I’ll reassess for more downside.
________________________________________
🚀 The market must confirm the direction. We’re just here to read the map.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Xauusdupdates
Bearish Setup for Gold (XAU/USD)
Current Price: ~3,334 USD
• Expected Move: Short-term rise to 3,380–3,390, then a strong drop.
Reasoning:
• Completing an Elliott Wave triangle (E wave) at resistance.
• Harmonic pattern (Gartley/Bat) aligns with this reversal zone.
• Resistance lies within a descending channel.
• Bearish Target: ~3,050–3,030
• Trade Setup: Consider shorting near 3,380–3,390 with stops above 3,400.
TVC:GOLD
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XAU/USD 26-30 May 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025.
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line.
The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as Analysis dated 11 May 2025.
Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH.
This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments.
Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
#XAUUSD: +2000 Pips Correction US-China Trade Deal ConfirmedGold has experienced a significant decline in recent days, primarily due to fundamental market factors that have caused its price to fall from 3430 to 3209, resulting in a loss of approximately 2210 pips. Consequently, we recommend that you consider selling Gold if it aligns with your analysis and assessment. It is imperative that you implement strict risk management measures while trading Gold.
It is important to note that this analysis does not guarantee a price decline or that the market will behave as described. Therefore, we strongly advise you to conduct thorough trade planning before making any trading decisions.
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XAUUSD[GOLD]: Another Possible Swing Sell Happening! Swing MoveGold rejected twice as we had described in our last two analyses on Gold. We remain heavily bearish on Gold and expect a swift bearish move within the next week or following week. We are eyeing two targets. Please use this analysis accordingly and avoid overtrading. This is not a confirmation, and do not use the marked arrow as an entry or exit point. The marked red area drawn there represents a potential reversal zone from which price may reverse.
As always, this analysis does not guarantee that price will move as described in the chart. Please use your own knowledge and trading plan while trading Gold. Good luck and trade safely.
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XAUUSD[GOLD]: 1 Hour View Show Extreme Seller Volume Gold in a shorter time frame shows extreme bearish volume kicking in the market, where bulls are failing to push prices higher. Additionally, if you’re someone who analyses patterns, a HEAD AND SHOULDERS pattern has also formed. There are three targets you can aim for.
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Opening price trend analysis and trading operationsGold technically, gold rose sharply on Friday, closing with a real big positive line on the daily line. The pressure from the 3500 high point still plays a partial role in the short term. The market may still need to focus on the upper limit pressure test of the channel in the future, and beware of the market rising again after experiencing a medium-term adjustment. At the 1-4 hour level, the short-term trend quickly reversed from the low point of 3120 and once challenged the high of 3365 US dollars before correcting. It has repeatedly tested the support of 3320 below but still failed to break, stimulating the market bulls to enter the market again. Finally, gold closed sideways at a high level, and the pressure test of 3370 and 3400 areas continued to be paid attention to above. In terms of operation, in the short term, pay attention to the two supports of 3335 and 3320 below to try to go long, and pay attention to the resistance of 3370-3400 area to go short. There are many uncertainties in the market over the weekend, which will directly lead to a gap or a high opening next week. Therefore, you can follow my real-time sharing for specific operation points!
XAUUSD[GOLD]: Bearish Correction Is Happening! Gold rejected at 3350, dropping almost 600 pips to 3290. We can expect the price to drop further to around 3250, potentially reversing from there. A possible entry point is 3304, followed by a drop from there.
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GOLD outlook for the weekIn today’s analysis, I’m expecting price to continue its bullish momentum, partially influenced by recent political developments surrounding Donald Trump. This aligns well with the broader higher time frame trend, where we’ve been favouring long setups.
To capitalise, the most immediate and valid point of interest I’ve marked out is the 9H demand zone — the origin of the most recent break of structure. If price retraces, this is where I’ll be watching for bullish confirmation.
However, if price continues to climb without retracing first, we could see a temporary bearish reaction from the nearby 4H supply zone around the 3,400 level. If this happens, I may look for a short-term countertrend sell setup, but only with strong confirmation. Risk will be kept low and I won’t be overly ambitious with targets.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
Strong bullish momentum following a clear CHoCH on the higher time frame
Recent break of structure left behind a clean 9H demand zone for potential retracement
Trend remains bullish on both the lower and higher time frames
Liquidity resting above still yet to be swept
DXY is currently bearish, supporting a bullish case for gold
P.S. While we could see a minor sell opportunity down to the demand zone, patience is key.
Waiting for a solid pre-trend setup is part of the process — no need to rush entries.
Have a great trading week and stay sharp!
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Trade Setup – Breakout in ProgressTrend Overview
📈 Uptrend in Progress
Price is moving within an ascending channel:
🔵 Support Line (bottom of channel)
🔺 Resistance Line (top of channel)
Key Levels
Current Price:
● 3,337.53 (📍)
Trade Idea (Long Setup):
🔵 Entry Zone
● 3,306.85 – 3,302.98
(Wait for pullback into this area)
🟦 RBS + RBR ZONE – Previous resistance, now potential support
🔴 Stop Loss
● 3,265.51
💣 Protect your capital below support zone
🎯 Target
● 3,490
🚀 Bullish target based on breakout from channel and momentum
📉 EMA 70:
● 3,282.74 (📉 Red Line)
Helps confirm trend direction. Price above EMA = Bullish bias.
Outlook Summary
✅ Wait for a dip to entry zone
✅ Stop below recent support zone
✅ Target high at 3,490 if breakout continues
Buying on pullbacks remains the main theme!Tariff turmoil resurfaces, gold price jumps!
The Trump administration once again wields the tariff stick, threatening to impose a 50% tariff on the EU from June 1, and saying that there has been no progress in the negotiations between the US and the EU. Because the timing of this threat is quite subtle. Just earlier this week, the EU just submitted a new framework proposal to the US to restart bilateral trade negotiations. This directly led to a jump in gold price tonight!
Faced with the tough stance of the US, the EU is not sitting still. It is reported that the EU has formulated a contingency plan. If the negotiations fail, it will impose additional tariffs on US exports worth 95 billion euros in response to Trump's "reciprocal" taxation and 25% tariffs on cars and some parts, which will inevitably cause further impact on the market!
The bulls are in control and are unwilling to give the bears too many opportunities to cover their losses. Therefore, the strategy of following the trend needs to be more active - strong markets usually do not experience a deep retracement, and the correction phase will not break the previous low for the second time. After the current gold price surged to 3365, the intraday bull defense position should be set at 3340. The previous low of 3320 has been effectively supported, and the bulls have taken the absolute initiative, and there will be no short-selling opportunities in the short term. Based on the current strong bullish performance, continuing to maintain a bullish mindset is the core of the transaction.
Operation strategy:
1. Gold recommends going long in the 3340-3330 area, with a target of 3350-3360.
2. Gold recommends going short in the 3365-3375 area, with a target of 3350-3340.
GOLD D1 chart update for the 26-30 May weekkindly read level carefully as market on it's way to ATH but keep in mind downside some major retracements are remains pending
Right all eyes on 3330 level if market successfully sustain below 3330 then it will definitely move towards 3300 or even 3280 and then 3250
Main levels for the week 3400 \ 3250 \ 3308
Gold Bounces Back – Is the Road to a New ATH Open Again?📈 Gold Back Above 3300 – Is the Correction Over?
In yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that Gold could start a correction from the strong confluence resistance zone and drop toward the 3260 area.
While price briefly dipped below 3300, it quickly reversed above that level, showing that bulls remain in control. At the time of writing, Gold is trading at 3306, and the ascending trendline from 3120 is still intact.
📌 Key Zone Holding – Bullish Structure Intact
The 3270–3280 area is now acting as a strong support, and yesterday’s price action could signal that the correction is already complete.
If Gold breaks above the 3350–3360 resistance, it would not only confirm a short-term continuation, but could also mean that the entire one-month correction from 3500 is over — opening the door for a new all-time high in the medium term.
📊 Trading Plan:
As long as 3260 holds, the bias remains bullish both in the short and medium term.
Buying dips below 3300 could be a viable strategy while targeting a break above resistance.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Trump triggers risk aversion, how to position gold?🗞News side:
1. Trump plans to impose a 50% tariff on the EU
2. Houthi armed forces strike Israel again
3. Pay attention to the impact of the US dollar trend on gold
📈Technical aspects:
Trump is "crazy?" He suggested to impose a 50% tariff on the EU directly from June 1, and threatened to impose a 25% tariff on iPhones not produced locally. This news caused the euro, European stocks, and iPhone stock prices to plummet. At present, the gold price is consolidating between 3350 and 3360. For the US market, it is necessary to prevent a wash, but the short-term increase has been too large. If there is a rapid adjustment, the amplitude will also be large. Therefore, the US market is stuck in the range operation. Pay attention to the support of 3335-3325 below. If it continues to rise, pay attention to the resistance range of 3375-3385.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold fell back at night and continued to riseGold rose and fell, and stopped falling at the middle track again, indicating that the middle track can be used as a watershed in this cycle. If it runs above it, the volatility will be strong. In addition, the 618 division position 3317-18 line broke through again and stood above it. The short-term 5-day moving average support is 3315. Therefore, the 3315-3318 range is the first retracement to confirm the support point. If it stabilizes, it will further attack and point to the 786 division resistance 3370 line. Once the previous high of 3345 is broken, the corresponding MACD will enter a top divergence state. If it is further pulled up in the later period, we must be careful to prevent a high and fall. At the hourly gold line level, the US market was under pressure at 3315 overnight, with support at 3280-90, and repeated bottom shocks and consolidation. This morning, it was still running back and forth under the suppression of the middle track 3305, but the lows gradually moved up. Finally, under the continued weakness of the US dollar, the gold price finally stood on the middle track, and the direct positive strong force reached 3330. From overnight to this morning, it has been bullish and finally waited for a big profit. Then after the 3315 resistance is broken and stabilized, it will naturally become the top and bottom support. The 10-day moving average will move up and approach 3320, maintaining resistance to declines and still tending to further rise. Pay attention to the 3320-3315 support to stabilize and continue the bullish trend. The resistance target is 3370-3380; if it is unexpectedly effectively lost, pay attention to 3340.
$3350 would indicate short-term strengthGold Price Analysis – Technical Outlook
Gold is currently approaching a critical resistance level around 3350. If the price manages to break and close above this level on the 15-minute chart, it could signal the continuation of the bullish trend. A confirmed 15-minute candle close above 3350 would indicate short-term strength and increased buying pressure.
To strengthen this bullish bias, we are also watching for a Break of Structure (BOS) on the 1-hour timeframe. A BOS would suggest a shift in market structure, potentially transitioning from a consolidation or retracement phase into a new impulsive leg to the upside.
If both conditions – the 15M candle close above 3350 and a 1H BOS – are met, the next immediate target would be 3370. Depending on how the price action unfolds beyond that point, and supported by additional confirmations such as volume, momentum indicators, or price patterns, there could be further upside potential.
As always, ensure you apply risk management and conduct your own thorough analysis before making any trading decisions.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please do your own research (DYOR).
3330 is in stalemate 3335 is the key to long and short positions🗞News side:
1. PMI and initial jobless claims data
2. Geopolitical situation
3. Progress of the G7 meeting
📈Technical aspects:
Currently, the gold price is caught in a fierce battle between bulls and bears at the 3330 level. From a technical point of view, gold is still in the weekly level adjustment and no clear unilateral trend has emerged. Recently, there has been frequent changes in long and short positions, and the rise and fall of prices depends on the impact of news on the market. Even if gold experiences a correction at present, it is likely to be only a small range. Therefore, in the short term, attention should be paid to the resistance line of 3330-3335. If it breaks through, it is expected to look towards yesterday's high of 3345. If it encounters resistance and pressure at 3330-3335, it may retreat to 3310-3300 in the short term for correction. The upper strong pressure is still at 3350-3360, and the lower support of 3300-3290 is still strong. There is no good entry trading opportunity at present, so brothers should wait patiently.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
gold on sell#XAUUSD is trying to correct back above week high 3345 but unfortunately it's need a breakout above the today high to continue.
Below the 3322 breakout shows a strong fall on which target till 3286, stop loss 3331.
Above the 3335 shows a bullish range which will reach 3344, around 3344 will either decline and head sell or reach the 3367 limit. Below 3312 shows another bearish continuation but multiple breakout will decide.
Gold top profit signalsThe market fluctuated upward all the way on Friday, opening at 3295, hitting the lowest point of 3287 and bottoming out. So far, it has hit the highest point of 3334 and then fluctuated at 3330. The recent market fluctuations are relatively large, and they are completely within our expectations. Yesterday, on Thursday, we gave a short position at 3340-45, and the actual market was directly short at 3341, long at 3380-85, and long at 3390-93. The long position target is 3300-06. Judging from the current trend, gold may still have high points. It is only a matter of time before the 3334 line breaks through. From the perspective of the operation trend, we continue to focus on buying on pullbacks
From the 4-hour market analysis, the upper focus is on yesterday's high pressure of 3345, and the lower support is 3286-90. For the time being, we will rely on this range to maintain the main tone of low-long participation. In the middle position, we will watch more and do less and be cautious in chasing orders.
Gold rebounds to 3286-3295 line and goes long, stop loss 3277, target 3326-3330 line, break to 3340-45 line;
Gold rebounds to 3340-45 line but does not break, you can go short lightly, stop loss 3353, target 3300-3306 line, continue to hold if break
Gold 100% Profit SignalThe market fluctuated upward all the way on Friday, opening at 3295, hitting the lowest point of 3287 and bottoming out. So far, it has hit the highest point of 3334 and then fluctuated at 3330. The recent market fluctuations are relatively large, and they are completely within our expectations. Yesterday, on Thursday, we gave a short position at 3340-45, and the actual market was directly short at 3341, long at 3380-85, and long at 3390-93. The long position target is 3300-06. Judging from the current trend, gold may still have high points. It is only a matter of time before the 3334 line breaks through. From the perspective of the operation trend, we continue to focus on buying on pullbacks
From the 4-hour market analysis, the upper focus is on yesterday's high pressure of 3345, and the lower support is 3286-90. For the time being, we will rely on this range to maintain the main tone of low-long participation. In the middle position, we will watch more and do less and be cautious in chasing orders.
Gold rebounds to 3286-3295 line and goes long, stop loss 3277, target 3326-3330 line, break to 3340-45 line;
Gold rebounds to 3340-45 line but does not break, you can go short lightly, stop loss 3353, target 3300-3306 line, continue to hold if break
Gold rose as expectedFrom a technical perspective, the daily line closed negative yesterday. After a series of positive lines, it generally means correction. After the negative line, it continues to rise. The closing line on Thursday is still above the middle track. The 5-day moving average crosses the 10-day moving average and adheres to the middle track at 3285. The 10-day moving average moves up to around 3253. The next wave of rise may go to the daily Bollinger upper track suppression point near 3400, so there is still a good space for the rise. In the 4-hour level, gold broke through the upper track yesterday and then stepped back, confirming the middle track support. At present, the Bollinger band is open, the moving average is still in a long position, and the cyclicality is still strong. The intraday support point is also the key point of strength and weakness at 3280. The short-term support is at the previous high of 3293. There are many intraday support levels for declines, and the upper 3315-3340-3365-3380-3400 is gradually looking up.