XAU/USD Correction Anticipation: Key Price Levels & Timing!I expect to see a correction occur when the price is between the two vertical lines or slightly after them. The horizontal price levels show the potential levels the price could reach. So, the two vertical lines indicate the probable time for the price correction.
Of course, there is a possibility that the correction started earlier.
Let’s see what happens!
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Gao Jin breaks through new highs, how to trade?Gold soared yesterday and is currently in the 2568 area. Today, the rising speed has obviously slowed down. According to the current trend, pay attention to the 2570-0575 area on the top. Don't blindly chase the rise. It is recommended to rely on this area to short once, and the target is the 2550 area. If it does not break 2550, then you can continue to go long. If it breaks 2550, then be careful of gold reversal
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#XAUUSD 15MINOn the lower timeframes, I’m personally looking for a buying opportunity around the support zone of 2580.00 to 2578.00.
Targets: 2585.00 / 2590.00
Avoid placing advance orders for now. Wait for solid bullish confirmation before entering a trade.
Keep in mind, if the price closes below the 2575.00 level, stay away from buying.
#XAUUSD
XAU/USD 16 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned on 13 September 2024, price to indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH was significantly positioned away from price therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price.
This is how price printed with CHoCH positioning being brought significantly closer to current price action.
Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices.
Intraday expectation: Price indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH indicating bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at discount of 50% EQ. Technically price should target weak internal high.
M15 Chart:
Historical high for pullback target 2500Historical high for pullback target 2500
Fundamental Analysis of XAU/USD
US Federal Reserve Monetary Policy:
Interest Rates: Higher US rates make the dollar stronger and reduce the attractiveness of gold, as the precious metal does not pay interest. Lower rates, on the contrary, weaken the dollar and increase demand for gold.
Inflation: Gold is often used as a hedge against inflation. Rising US inflation could push gold prices higher.
Economic and Geopolitical Risks:
Gold has traditionally been a safe haven asset, which is in demand during times of economic uncertainty or geopolitical crises. Examples include global financial crises, military conflicts, and tensions between countries.
US Dollar Rate:
Since gold is quoted in dollars, the movement of the USD rate directly affects the price of gold. A weak dollar makes gold cheaper for foreign investors, which increases its demand.
Gold Demand:
Physical Demand: Industrial demand, jewelry demand, and investment demand (through gold ETFs) are also important for gold price dynamics.
Central Bank Stocks: When central banks buy or sell gold, it can have a significant impact on its price.
XAU/USD Technical Analysis
Technical analysis uses price charts and indicators. Some popular methods of analysis include:
Trend Lines:
Analyze the long-term trend (upward, downward, or sideways). If the trend is up, gold may continue to rise unless there are signs of a reversal.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Identify key levels where the price has bounced or held off previously. These levels can be used to decide when to enter or exit a position.
Indicators:
Moving Averages: Used to analyze the general direction of a trend. A crossover of a short moving average with a long moving average from top to bottom may indicate the beginning of a downtrend, and vice versa.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator: Shows whether an asset is overbought or oversold. Values above 70 indicate overbought, below 30 indicate oversold.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Helps to assess changes in the strength and direction of a trend.
Candlestick patterns:
Some candlestick combinations, such as Hammer, Engulfing, or Doji, can signal a price reversal or continuation of the current trend.
Monday Market Analysis and SignalsGold fluctuated at a high level on Monday, and the current price is around 2586. Gold prices rose sharply last Friday, hitting a record high of 2586, with the largest weekly increase since early April. Optimism about the Fed's upcoming rate cut has driven gold prices higher, and capital inflows and the decline of the US dollar have also played a catalytic role. The latest data shows that market expectations for the Fed's 50 basis point rate cut in September have also heated up.
Gold has been one of the best performing commodities among major commodities this year. So far this year, gold has risen by more than 20%, thanks to expectations of Fed rate cuts, strong central bank purchases and strong purchases in Asia. The safe-haven demand brought about by the increased geopolitical risks and uncertainty before the US election in November has also supported gold's record gains this year.
Super central bank week will debut this week, and the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan and the United Kingdom will release their September interest rate decisions. The market generally expects this to be the starting point of the Fed's easing cycle. According to historical trends, gold prices tend to fluctuate higher before the Fed cuts interest rates, but after the Fed cuts interest rates, gold prices will usher in a wave of declines, and investors need to be vigilant.
Technical aspect
Technical aspect: The gold daily and weekly structure maintains a bullish trend. The MA10/7-day moving average of the daily chart maintains a golden cross and opens upward. The MACD kinetic energy column increases in volume. The price of the short-term four-hour chart forms 8 consecutive positives and ushered in a new historical high again. The price is running in the upper and middle track of the Bollinger band, and the moving average opens upward. However, the RSI indicator of the hourly and four-hour charts touches above 80 values, entering overbought, and beware of the short-term correction demand for gold prices. The trading idea at the beginning of the week is to follow the trend and go long at low prices.
Trading strategy:
2570-2572 long, stop loss 2560, target 2590-2600;
2598-2600 short, stop loss 2610, target 2580-2570;
XAUUSD - GOLD - Scalping Mode! 16th SeptLet's see what the market has to offer.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
XAU/USD 16-20 September 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Price has continued to print all time highs and surge with no indication of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
I have previously mentioned, for over one month, that price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price and this is what price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to price.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After bullish iBOS we expect bearish pullback, which, at the moment, is not showing any signs of bearish pullback.
First indication, but not confirmation of pullback is for price to print a bearish CHoCH.
Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue doted line.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
Intraday analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 13 September 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS without any significant pullback following previous bullish iBOS
Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices.
Intraday expectation: Price indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH is significantly far, therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price.
H4 Chart:
Gold will go shortgold will go short if the price closes below 2590 at daily frame, but if closed above this price the gold will achieve new prices
in my point of view, if price does some correction will hit 2500
Trade : Sell
Entry Price : 2578:2580
Stop Lose : close above 2590 at daily frame
Take Profit :2500
XAUUSD: Next target $2600, Swing Buy OnlyOANDA:XAUUSD
Our last few trade setups have invalided on gold as price dropped further than what we had expected initially in our chart, however, our bias remain the same. We still think that price will grow or rise further. And there is high possibility of price reaching 2600$ region if the news support our idea on Friday Until then we wish you all the best and good luck in trading.
#XAUUSD: 900+ big move in making| Do not miss out| Setupsfx_OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has been accumulating since past few weeks and it has now reached an exhaustion point where we expect a breakthrough taking out buy side liquidity and creating a record higher high. Since last three days we have been waiting for an outbreak since it did not happen last week even with help nfp. Now looking at how price is behaving we are confident enough that price is going to breakthrough the accumulation phase. As always this is not a guarantee and should only be used for secondary bias, do your own analysis before taking any trade on any instruments. Good luck.
XAU/USD "GOLD MINES" Bearish Robbery Plan to steal GoldHola ola My Dear,
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This is our master plan to Heist XAU/USD "GOLD MINES" based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High
Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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Gold Short Trade Idea - After All-Time Highs 1 Hour (1H)Gold has recently surged to new all-time highs (ATH) following a strong breakout during the New York session. The momentum carried through to the Asian session, where the price continued to climb. However, as we enter a potential exhaustion phase, there may be an opportunity to short gold.
Analysis:
• All-Time Highs: After reaching new ATHs, gold appears to be losing steam, suggesting that a retracement could be imminent.
• Momentum Loss: The recent price action shows signs of weakening, which could indicate that buyers are stepping back, providing a window for a short position.
• Technical Levels: The take-profit target is aligned with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, a common area for price to pull back after a significant move.
• Price Discovery: Gold is currently in a “price discovery” phase, where the market is determining the true value after reaching unprecedented levels. This increases the potential for volatility and unexpected price movements.
Trade Management:
• Partial Profits: If the trade starts moving in our favor, it’s advisable to take partial profits along the way. This strategy minimizes risk and locks in gains, as waiting for the full target may be too optimistic in a volatile environment.
• Tight Stop-Loss: Given the current market conditions, it’s crucial to keep the stop-loss tight. The market is in uncharted territory, so protecting your capital is paramount.
This trade aims to capitalize on a potential pullback after a historic surge in gold prices. However, caution is essential due to the “price discovery” nature of the market at these levels. Manage your risk carefully and be prepared to adapt to the market’s movements.
Trade carefully, and good luck!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Friday market analysis, continue to see new highsGold held near its all-time high on Friday, now at $2,570. Gold prices rose more than 2% on Thursday, hitting a record high, driven by expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, after data showed a slowdown in the U.S. economy. In addition, the ECB's rate cut also reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, and geopolitical concerns continue to provide safe-haven buying support for gold prices.
Gold prices soared to a record high after U.S. initial jobless claims and producer inflation data further indicated that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates next week. The European Central Bank cut interest rates again on Thursday and hinted that borrowing costs will be on a "downward path" in the coming months. Currently, inflation in the eurozone is slowing, and the ECB's further rate cut has raised expectations that many central banks around the world will cut interest rates multiple times in the future, increasing the attractiveness of gold.
Pay attention to the U.S. import price index in August, the preliminary value of the U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in September, the eurozone finance ministers' meeting, and news related to the geopolitical situation during this trading day.
Technical aspect
Technical aspect: Gold hit a new record high, breaking the wide range of 2530~500 this week. The daily increase is close to 50 US dollars. The MACD momentum column of the short-term four-hour chart is large, and the RSI indicator is close to 80, close to the overbought zone. The price runs along the upper track of the Bollinger Band, and the moving average golden cross opens upward. Technically, the structure of gold's bullish trend is intact. It is expected that there will be at least one bullish sprint to a new high on Friday. The trading idea is to go long at a low price. In short, don't guess the top. You will find that trading will be simple and easy if you follow the trend.
Trading strategy:
2548-2550 long, stop loss 2539, target 2570-2580;
2577-2579 short, stop loss 2588, target 2550-2540;
Gold- This correction should be boughtIn my comment yesterday, I speculated about the nature of the breakout, as it had been clear after a month of testing the all-time high (ATH) that an upward move was imminent. The breakout was strong, suggesting more gains and new ATHs in the future. The new ATH is now set at 2570, and the price is currently undergoing a normal correction.
While the old ATH provides support, I don't expect a retest today or early next week. Therefore, short positions aren't advisable. Instead, look for buying opportunities around the 2550 level, given the market's strong bullish momentum.
GOLD TO 2600$ HELLO TRADERS As,
GOLD just tested a strong resistance zone 1570$ on fib its a new ATH i can see a FVG near broken resistance 2533 which it have to fill and grab liquidity to make a new all-time high 2600$ which we had mention in our previous analysis friends its just a trad idea shares Ur thoughts it help many other traders
Stay tuned for more updates
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD 13 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS without any significant pullback following previous bullish iBOS
Recent economic data, particularly from the US has influenced market sentiment such as softer US employment data leading to an expectation of a more softer approach from the Fed which typically supports Gold prices.
Intraday expectation: Price indicate pullback by printing bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH is significantly far, therefore, price could print higher-highs to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge.
Price has printed a bullish BOS with price failing to target weak internal low.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating bearish pullback phase initiation.
At he time of writing it seems price is print higher-highs.
Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish pullback phase, target either M15 demand zones or price reacts at discount of internal 50% EQ.
Alternative scenario, price prints bullish iBOS, confirming internal range low. This would give more realistic LTF confirmation that HTF is in pullback phase.
M15 Chart:
New ATH looks imminent, but how will the break be?Yesterday's CPI report failed to provide a clear direction for Gold's mid-term movement. After initial volatility, during which the $2500 level held as support for the fourth time in two days, Gold once again closed the day near the middle of its range.
While we can't draw a definitive conclusion from the price action, it seems that the price is pressing towards the previous all-time high, and a new high appears imminent. In the short term, the outlook remains bullish as long as the $2500 level holds.
The key mid-term question is: What will the nature of the potential breakout be (if one occurs)? Given the more than one-month consolidation, we could see a strong breakout with upward acceleration.
However, the $2540 zone, which serves as resistance in the newly formed upward channel, poses a technical challenge. A failure to break above this level could see Gold retreat below $2500.
In conclusion: Short-term outlook remains bullish, but mid-term direction is still unclear.