Will the NFP impact cause the bear market to dominate?📰 News information:
1. Initial jobless claims and NFP data
2. The final decision of the Federal Reserve
📈 Technical Analysis:
In the previous post, I have stated that if the hourly line closes above 3320, gold will fall into high consolidation in the short term. Currently, gold fluctuates narrowly in the short term. I think now we just need to be patient and wait for key points to enter the market. The daily and weekly lines clearly show that the high point of the oscillation range is constantly moving up, and the center of gravity continues to rise. The current market is quietly accumulating momentum, and a new round of weekly and monthly lines are about to rise. Therefore, first of all, I will pay attention to the defensive point below 3320, and then refresh the point below is the previously mentioned 3315-3305. If the point below is touched to get effective support, you can consider going long. Bros who trade independently must strictly set TP and SL to avoid the impact of market fluctuations.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3320-3315-3310
TP 3330-3340-3360
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Xauusdupdates
NFP unexpectedly broke out, where will gold go?📰 News information:
1. Initial jobless claims and NFP data
2. The final decision of the Federal Reserve
📈 Technical Analysis:
The unexpectedly negative NFP data caused a sudden plunge in gold prices, which forced me to terminate the transaction urgently. Currently, gold has not fallen below the 3,300 mark. Therefore, I will still pay attention to the closing of the hourly line. If gold closes below 3,320, the downward trend will continue. On the contrary, if it closes above 3,320, gold will consolidate at a high level in the short term. Two days ago, I gave the support level of 3315-3305 below. Please be cautious in trading at the moment.
🎯 Trading Points:
For now, let’s focus on the hourly closing situation
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Revealed: Beware of a strong counterattack from gold bears!Perhaps due to the impact of the NFP market later, gold fluctuated relatively cautiously today, and neither the long nor the short side showed signs of breakthrough, and the overall trend remained volatile. However, as gold rebounded, the market bullish sentiment gradually tended to be optimistic. In the short term, the lower support area was relatively obvious, that is, the second pull-up point 3335-3325 area, followed by 3315-3305 area;
However, as gold rebounded twice and fell after touching 3365, the suppression above was also obvious. In the short term, it faced the suppression of 3375-3385 resistance. If gold cannot effectively break through this area, gold bears may make a stronger counterattack, so I don’t think gold bears have no chance at all.
Therefore, I think there is still a good profit opportunity to try to touch the top and short gold. You can consider trying to short gold in the 3365-3375-3385 area and look at the target: 3340-3330-3320.
7/3: Focus on Short Positions, Watch Support Near 3320Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold tested support near 3328 but failed to break below it effectively. The price then rebounded toward the 3350 level. At today’s open, gold briefly extended to around 3365 before pulling back.
Technically:
On the daily (1D) chart, the price remains capped by the MA20, with no confirmed breakout yet.
Support levels below are relatively dense, and moving averages are increasingly converging, suggesting a breakout in either direction is approaching.
Key intraday support lies in the 3321–3316 zone.
On the 2-hour chart, we are seeing the first signs of a bearish divergence, indicating a need for technical correction. Much like Tuesday’s setup, there are two possible scenarios:
If 3342–3334 holds, the price may extend slightly higher, intensifying divergence before pulling back;
If 3337 breaks, we could see a drop toward 3320, where correction would occur through a direct decline.
From a fundamental perspective, several high-impact U.S. data releases are scheduled for the New York session, which may increase volatility and make trading more challenging.
Trading suggestion:
For most traders, the safest approach is to wait for data to be released, then look for oversold rebounds or overbought corrections following sharp market reactions.
This style requires patience and strong risk control—avoid being overly aggressive or greedy, as such behavior can easily lead to trapped positions or even liquidation.
I say nothing , you say me any thing about 📌 **Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 30m | 2h | Smart Money Perspective**
🔍 After weeks of precision tracking and structural validation, price has now tapped the **Right Shoulder** of a clean *Reverse Head & Shoulders* formation — with absolute respect to structure, liquidity, and OB zones.
💥 This wasn't just a random bounce.
It was:
- A confirmation of **previous BOS & CHoCH**
- A retest of **TLQ/ILQ liquidity zones**
- A reaction from the *Extreme OB* within a compression channel
- And a final push fueled by **inefficiency fills** on the left
🎯 The bullish intent remains strong, and if momentum follows through, we're looking at:
- **TP1** → 3345–3355 (minor OB & void fill)
- **TP2** → 3375–3390 (liquidity sweep target)
- **TP3** → 3420+ (range expansion goal)
🧠 This analysis has not just been correct.
It’s been **respected by the market.**
I take pride in every reaction the chart gives us when we respect the language of price, structure, and timing.
There’s no shortcut here — just observation, logic, and discipline.
We don’t chase the trend. We wait for it to **bow in confirmation**.
Like it just did.
— *Mohsen Mozafari Nejad* 🧭
#SmartMoney #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #TradingView #MarketStructure #BOS #OB #MSU #ReverseHeadAndShoulders #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis
Buying the Dip or Catching a Knife? My Gold Setup Explained.Entered a long position on XAU/USD from the 1H demand zone following sharp intraday selling into a key support level. With gold hovering near $3,300 and a significant testimony from Fed Chair Powell on deck, the setup aligns with both technical rebound potential and fundamental uncertainty that could fuel upside.
The goal here is to play the liquidity vacuum left after aggressive positioning was cleared, with tight invalidation and asymmetric reward.
Technicals:
• Entry aligned with prior price inefficiency and confluence of multiple demand zones
• 1H structure shows clear deviation below the range with immediate buy-side response
• EMA channel flattening, indicating potential compression ahead of expansion
• First target: $3,352
• Risk-managed with defined stop-loss below $3,260
Execution Note: This is not a “hold forever” trade. It’s an opportunistic reaction to unwind + sentiment imbalance.
Fundamentals
• Gold saw a 25% surge in 2024 due to safe-haven demand and dovish policy, but enters 2025 under pressure from:
▫️ A strong USD
▫️ Higher cost of carry
▫️ Speculators taking profit
• Fed policy remains the core variable:
▫️ A hawkish tone from Powell could weigh on price
▫️ Rate cuts would likely revive bullish momentum
• Central bank demand remains supportive
• Geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Iran) could trigger safe-haven bids again.
Bearish headwinds:
• Waning bullish momentum per RSI divergence
• Reduced rate cut expectations post-election
• Powell’s testimony could revive volatility either way.
This is a short-term tactical long, not a macro bet. With sentiment temporarily overextended and key support defended intraday, this is a high R/R window to exploit Powell-related volatility.
Let’s see how price reacts into $3,350+. Any sustained strength there would open room toward $3,400, while failure would confirm a retest of $3,260s.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD, March 7, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
On the H1 chart, wave 3 appears to have completed, and price is now entering a phase with an unusual structural behavior.
Wave 3 previously showed strong momentum, moving steeply and continuously, with no clear internal pullbacks – a classic impulse wave. Following this, we observed a corrective abc pattern in black, suggesting the end of wave 3.
Interestingly, although yesterday's ADP report was extremely bullish, gold only managed a mild breakout above the wave 3 high before pulling back this morning. Notably, the upward move followed a 3-wave abc structure in green, and price action is now showing overlapping waves with no clear directional momentum.
🧩 These signs suggest a high probability that:
🔹 Wave 5 is forming as an Ending Diagonal – a 5-wave structure with a 3-3-3-3-3 pattern.
🔹 This is typically seen at the end of a bullish cycle and often precedes a sharp reversal.
Although it's too early to confirm, we should patiently observe the upcoming price action. If the ending diagonal completes, it may present a strong sell opportunity.
🎯 Target for wave 5: around 3395, provided all 5 sub-waves within the diagonal complete.
⚠️ If price breaks below 3324, we must consider that the full 5-wave structure is already done, and a new abc corrective phase may have begun.
🔍 Momentum Analysis
Daily (D1): Momentum is about to turn bearish from overbought territory → suggests a weakening uptrend.
H4: Momentum is turning upward → likely a mild rally or sideways movement today before H4 reaches overbought again.
📌 Trading Plan
Given the current wave behavior and overlapping structure, it is best to remain patient and wait for confirmation before taking a strong position. If the Ending Diagonal structure is confirmed, it could signal a major reversal.
SELL Zone: 3392 – 3395
Stop Loss: 3403
Take Profits:
• TP1: 3368
• TP2: 3340
• TP3: 3324
Who will be the winner in the battle between bulls and bears?From the analysis point of view, the short-term resistance above is around 3295-3301, and the pressure at 3315-3316. Focus on the pressure at 3324, the long-short watershed. In terms of operation, the rebound will continue to be the main short and look for a decline. The short-term support below is around 3250-3255. Relying on this range, the main tone of high-altitude participation remains unchanged.
XAUUSD:Today's Trading Strategy
Gold retreated in the sub-session, I have personally increased my long position near 3331, the overall trend is bullish unchanged, the median strategy is patient to rise. If you are trading short, you can go long at 3325-3330 and leave at 3340-45. The same can be said if you want to solve the problem; Trade according to your trading preferences and risk tolerance.
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Gold trend analysis and layout before NFP data📰 News information:
1. Initial jobless claims and NFP data
2. The final decision of the Federal Reserve
📈 Technical Analysis:
Due to the Independence Day holiday this week, the NFP data was released ahead of schedule today, while the policy differences within the Federal Reserve have brought uncertainty to the market. Judging from the market trend, the 4H level shows that the gold price tested the upper track yesterday and then turned to high-level fluctuations after coming under pressure. In the short term, the structure still has bullish momentum after completing the accumulation of power. Although there was a correction in the US market yesterday, it stopped falling and rebounded near 3335, further confirming the strength. At present, the upper resistance in the European session is at 3365-3375, and the short-term support is at 3345-3335 below. Intraday trading still requires good SL to withstand market fluctuations. In terms of trading, it is recommended to mainly go long on callbacks
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3365-3375
TP 3350-3340-3335
BUY 3335-3330-3325
TP 3350-3360-3375
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we highlighted that gold had reclaimed the 200MA and that the $3,327 support level needed to hold for further upside. Since then, price has steadily climbed and is now testing the $3,364 resistance — a level that also aligns with an unfilled gap.
Price action remains bullish for now, with price holding firmly above both the 50MA and 200MA.
If buyers manage to clear and hold above $3,364, we could see further upside toward $3,383 and $3,400, with possible extension into $3,418.
However, if price fails to break above $3,364, we may see a pullback into the $3,335–$3,327 zone. A break below there could open the door for a deeper drop into $3,298 or even $3,270.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400 • $3,418
Support:
$3,352 •$3,335 - $3,327 • $3,298 • $3,270
🧠 Fundamental Focus:
📌 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
📌 Initial Jobless Claims
📌 ISM Services PMI
📌 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
⚠️ With multiple red folder events on the calendar, expect elevated intraday volatility. Manage risk accordingly.
XAUUSD Today's strategyGold prices are consolidating around $3,350 today, with the current resistance level above seen at $3,370 and the support level below at $3,340.
From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart shows an ascending triangle pattern, with the bottom gradually lifting. If the price can effectively break through the $3,370 resistance, it is expected to subsequently launch an assault on the $3,400 integer mark. In terms of technical indicators, the RSI currently stands at 58, which has not yet entered the severely overbought range, suggesting there is still room for upward movement; the MACD indicator also shows that bullish momentum is slowly recovering, waiting for a breakout signal to confirm the direction.
On the operational front, considering going long around $3,340 could be a viable option. It is particularly important to note that the U.S. non-farm payroll data will be released today, which may have a significant impact on the short-term trend of gold. It is advisable to liquidate positions and wait on the sidelines before the data release to avoid potential risks from sharp fluctuations.
XAUUSD
buy@3335-3345
tp:3360-3370
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 3 July 2025Hello Traders,
Main event of is day NFP and all eyes on 3400 Psychological for now, right now market sustains around 3350 Psychological level for downward move GOLD still need to break 3324 level in order to go further down above 3324 LEVEL GOLD is still remains Bullish
Remember: It's NFP day
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
GOLD LOND TRADE IDEA We Are Looking Gold Bullish Today ,
TL BUY AREA : 3347 💡
1ST SUPPORT BUY : 3336, 3333 💡
2ND SUPPORT BUY: 3329, 3325 💡
If Gold Break The Trendline Then We See Gold Bearish Price Then We Buy At Support The Target Will Be ATH Liquidity 3390
If Gold Breaks Also 2nd Support Then Continue Bearish Trend Then We Trade Sell On a2nd Support Break
Manage Trades Properly Dont Forget To Follow Us For More Free Trades
XAUUSD Technical Analysis – 02/07/2025On the 1-hour chart, Gold (XAUUSD) has just confirmed the completion of corrective wave (4) around the 3,328.3 zone, which aligns with the 1.0 Fibonacci level and EMA9 support. Currently, price is rebounding with increasing volume, signaling that buying momentum is returning.
Key Technical Highlights:
Elliott Wave Structure:
Wave (4) found support at 3,328.3.
Wave (5) targets are forming, with Fibonacci extensions pointing to:
0.618: 3,360.05
1.0: 3,380.07
=> These are critical resistance zones to watch.
Fibonacci Retracement Zones:
The current rebound is heading toward the 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels of the previous down leg, located at 3,362.4 and 3,354.4 – short-term upside targets.
Volume Analysis:
Rising volume on bullish candles confirms a legitimate buying interest, supporting the upward movement.
EMA9 Breakout:
Price has broken above the EMA9 at 3,338.2, shifting short-term trend bias to bullish.
Suggested Trading Strategy:
Favor Buy on Dip entries near the 3,340–3,342 zone if a minor pullback occurs.
Short-term targets: 3,354 – 3,362
Extended target: 3,380
Suggested stop loss below 3,328.0 to manage risk.
Conclusion:
A bullish impulse is forming following the end of wave (4). If price holds above 3,340 and breaks through the nearby Fibonacci resistance levels, wave (5) could extend towards the 3,380 area. This is a pivotal moment to watch for a confirmed short-term uptrend.
Gold trend falls back but does not break, go longFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3324. If it falls back, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The important support is 3314-16. Focus on the 3295-3301 long-short watershed. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, the main bullish trend will continue to fall back.
Gold operation strategy:
Go long on gold at 3326-33, stop loss at 3219, target at 3355-63, continue to hold if it breaks;
ADP data has been released, how to position gold in the future📰 News information:
1. ADP data, for reference of tomorrow's NFP data
2. Interest rate cuts and Powell's dovish comments
3. Geopolitical impact on the gold market
📈 Technical Analysis:
The ADP data was significantly bullish after it was released, but gold did not rise sharply in the short term. Instead, it touched the resistance of 3350 that we gave and then fell back. I also saw a lot of fake traders in the market who immediately told their brothers to go long and look towards 3380 after the ADP data was released. To be honest, I think these people are typical hindsight experts. If everyone is like this, then anyone can be called a trader, right?
Back to the topic, I still hold short orders at 3340-3350. In the short term, gold will fluctuate and be bearish to seek restorative support, so the best place to go long is to look at the retracement below, which will at least touch 3333-3323. If it falls below this support, it will go to 3315-3305. On the contrary, if it gets effective support at 3333-3323, then gold will rebound as expected to form a head and shoulders bottom.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350-3355
TP 3333-3323-3315-3295
BUY 3335-3325
TP 3345-3355-3375
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
#XAUUSD: +2000 Swing Sell In Making! Get ReadyGold has dropped to the 3330 region but has now reversed and is currently trading at 3350. The next potential move could be at 3380, followed by 3400. Our sell entry is at 3400, where we believe the price will reverse. Our long-term view is that gold will head towards 3100, but our first target will be 3200. Please use accurate risk management when trading gold, as it can cause serious financial issues if not planned properly. This analysis does not guarantee any price movement.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx!
Mozafari Nejad ### Multi-Timeframe Analysis: 15min + 30min + 2# XAU/USD | Gold Market Outlook by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
### Multi-Timeframe Analysis: 15min + 30min + 2h | July 2–3, 2025
---
## 🔍 Technical Overview:
| Timeframe | Structure | Efficiency | Context |
|-----------|-----------|------------|---------|
| 15min | Bullish ✅ | Efficient ✅ | Reverse H&S complete – price entering neckline zone |
| 30min | Bullish ✅ | Inefficient ❌ | Clean BOS – ready for potential continuation |
| 2H | Bullish ✅ | Inefficient ❌ | HL confirmed – clear bullish delivery range ahead |
---
## 🧠 Key Insights:
- **Left Shoulder - Head - Right Shoulder** clearly visible and now validated with neckline break
- Price is reacting from **last TLQ + ILQ zones** with MSU
- Strong **liquidity gap** above 3,380–3,405 likely to be targeted
- **Highs around 3,420–3,440** may act as liquidity magnet if clean break happens
- **BOS and CHoCH** confirmed across all LTFs — strong bullish intent
- Structure remains **bullish** as long as 3,312–3,320 HL holds
---
## 🎯 Price Zones to Watch:
| Zone | Action |
|--------------|----------------|
| 3,335–3,340 | OB Flip Support / Demand (Retest Possible) |
| 3,368–3,375 | Reaction Zone / Short-Term Take Profit |
| 3,404–3,420 | Major Liquidity Above / SH Grab |
| 3,428–3,440+ | Stop-Hunt Potential for Final Exit |
---
## 📌 Trade Scenarios:
### 🟢 Long Setup
- **Entry:** 3,340–3,348 (OB retest or continuation)
- **SL:** below 3,328
- **TP1:** 3,375
- **TP2:** 3,400
- **TP3:** 3,420+
### 🔴 Caution for Short
Only valid if price shows **CHoCH + strong rejection** from above 3,420–3,440.
Otherwise, trend continuation is dominant.
---
## 🧭 Summary:
> Gold continues its bullish structure in all LTFs.
> Reverse H&S has broken neckline cleanly.
> Momentum + inefficiency zones above = clear drive to liquidity.
> Patience is key – reentry on OB retest = high R/R setup.
---
🖋️ Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
*Smart Money | Liquidity Zones | Order Blocks | MSU/MSD Framework*
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | February 7, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure (H1 Timeframe)
Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is moving sharply and steeply—this suggests the formation of a 5-wave impulsive structure.
Specifically:
- Waves 1, 2, and 3 (green) appear to have completed.
- Currently, wave 4 is forming as a 3-wave corrective structure (abc in black).
- Once wave 4 completes, we anticipate the next upward move as wave 5, which will complete the full 5-wave cycle (green).
🎯 Potential Price Targets for Wave 4
Based on the structure of the abc correction and support zones, we identify two key target areas:
+ Target 1: 3324
+ Target 2: 3311
When the price breaks above the top of wave b (black), it will serve as a strong confirmation that wave 4 has ended and wave 5 is beginning.
📈 Momentum Analysis
Daily (D1): Momentum is still rising and likely needs 2–3 more days to enter the overbought zone, supporting the continuation of the uptrend.
H4: Momentum is about to turn upward, signaling wave 4 may be nearing completion.
H1: Momentum is also preparing to turn up, suggesting the price is approaching the end of the wave 4 correction zone.
💼 Trading Plan
BUY ZONE: 3325 – 3322
STOP LOSS: 3215
TAKE PROFIT 1: 3345
TAKE PROFIT 2: 3368
TAKE PROFIT 3: 3395
📌 Wait for H1–H4 momentum alignment before triggering a BUY entry for wave 5.
Focus on tomorrow’s non-farm payrolls!Gold hourly chart;
Gold short-term analysis; Gold 4-hour analysis shows that the stochastic indicator is golden cross, which is a bullish signal; MACD indicator double lines stick together upward, which is a bullish signal; 4-hour bias continues to rise; 4-hour downward trend channel is temporarily suppressed, and the pressure position is near 3355, which is the only empty point today; the short-term support position is temporarily near 3320;
As expected, it will fall and form a head and shoulders bottom📰 News information:
1. ADP data, for reference of tomorrow's NFP data
2. Interest rate cuts and Powell's dovish comments
3. Geopolitical impact on the gold market
📈 Technical Analysis:
Yesterday we expected gold to retreat to the 3330-3320 area. Today, gold hit a low of around 3328 during the Asian session, which is in line with our judgment of the market trend. In the short term, gold may still fall. First, it may test the 3323 support line. If it falls back to this position during the day, you can try to go long. In the short term, focus on the 3315-3305 long-short dividing line below. If gold gets effective support below, it is expected to form a head and shoulders bottom pattern. The short-term decline will accumulate momentum for the future rise. Pay attention to the ADP data during the NY period
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3323-3315-3305
TP 3340-3350-3360-3375
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Exclusive trading strategy, short gold!From the current gold structure, we can see that gold still needs to continue to retest the 3320-3310, or even the 3305-3295 area; so in the short term, we can still seize the opportunity to consider shorting gold in batches in the 3340-3360 area.
Trading signal:
@3340-3360 Sell, TP:3325-3315-3305
A reliable trader must have an explanation for everything and respond to everything. I have always been committed to the market and insist on writing the most useful core strategies for traders. The transaction details can be seen in the channel!