Gold may drop to 2800, follow me and short gold!!Brothers, yesterday was "Black Friday". Gold went up and down, but it broke through many supports, so the trading rhythm next week will still be mainly shorting gold.
At present, gold stopped falling and rebounded after hitting around 2830, and finally closed at around 2858. Although it has recovered most of its lost ground, gold is not considered strong as long as it is below 2860, and the rebound can only be regarded as a technical rebound repair. Over the weekend, there was another unstable news from Russia and Ukraine. Gold may have room to continue its upward trend due to the influence of the news. However, I predict that even if gold continues to rebound, it will still encounter obstacles at 2880. Gold may have room to continue to rise with the help of the news, but I expect that even if gold continues to rebound, it will still be blocked at 2880. So in terms of trading, we first consider ambush gold short trading below 2880. If gold can fall below 2830, then gold will inevitably continue to the 2820-2810 area, or even 2800.
There is no luck in the market. We need more time to find opportunities and be good at seizing them. I spend a lot of time studying the market and making profits from it. I also make more detailed trading plans and trading signals based on the market every day. The article has a certain lag. In order to grasp the market dynamics and trading plans in time, you can follow the bottom of the article to master the wealth code and create your own wealth!
Xauusdupdates
Advance analysis and strategic layout of gold next weekThe intensified conflict between Russia and Ukraine over the weekend and the surge in risk aversion may stimulate the continued rebound of gold to a certain extent. Gold closed at around 2858 on Friday. Gold may continue to rebound on Monday next week under the influence of risk aversion, so we will focus on the 2870-2880 area next.
If gold still cannot break through the 2870-2880 resistance area even under the influence of news, then the structural peak of gold will be strengthened and confirmed again, and gold will continue the bearish trend under the suppression of the technical structure. So at the beginning of next week, we might as well consider using the 2870-2880 area as resistance and try to short gold first.
Sorry, I choose to short gold in this round!!!Every time I write an analysis, I hope that my friends who read it can gain something. Gold fell again on Friday to a new low. Gold fell sharply again on Friday and hit a new low. In the 4H cycle, it bottomed out and rebounded due to the news at the end of the day. Although gold prices hit a low of 2832 in late trading, they ushered in a wave of rebound. However, because the price is still running in the middle of the Bollinger Bands and below the short-term 10 moving average, it has driven the short-term moving average downward to the 2866-2888 area. In the domain, other cyclical indicators maintain a short position, and the overall downward trend of Bollinger Bands intensifies. However, the macd indicator fast line turns upward, failing to give short sellers downward momentum, and the RSI indicator intentionally strengthens the upward potential above the 30 axis. Therefore, at the 4-hour level, the overall downward trend of gold prices after short-term correction can still be seen. As long as the rebound is not strong, gold still has room to fall. Then next week's opening will focus on the resistance near 2880, but as long as it is still under pressure and blocked below 2880, then gold can continue to be short. If gold breaks through 2880 strongly, then it is necessary to adjust its thinking. Pay attention to news changes over the weekend, and we will do further analysis on Monday.
Finally, whether you are a novice trader, or you want to maintain a stable trading win rate to get more generous returns, or you want to create a valuable and free life through trading, or you are now deeply troubled by losses, you can find what you need at the bottom of the article, and wish all of us all the best in trading! Have a good weekend, brothers!!!
XAUUSD Refocus Trendback📌Gold price extends the rebound early Monday and re-focuses on the $2,900 level.
📌US Dollar falls as EUR/USD rallies hard on potential Ukraine truce; market mood improves.
📌Gold price recovers but remains below 21-day SMA at $2,895 amid the bullish daily RSI.
🔥Buy Gold
$2832 -> $2834
SL $2825
TP 1->$2840 >2->$2850 >3->$2860
🔥Sell Gold
$2882 -> $2886
SL $2890
TP 1->$2875 >2->$2860 >3->$2855
The direction today is short!On Saturday, the United States and Ukraine had differences in their opinions on the ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, which is definitely good for gold in the short term. The price rose in the early trading, which is a fermentation release of the news. After the price rush is over, the shorts will naturally turn back. Even if you want to short at a high level, the trend is tortuous. It is not that a wave of news can reverse the downward trend of gold prices. You must intervene at the key price and do it. At this time, you must dare to short. Today, the price is 2865-2875 and go short directly! The direction today is to identify the short! Many news in the short term are just smoke bombs, don't be affected!
Friends who have entered my bottom article have all obtained wrong profits as long as they follow my trading signals. If you want to receive detailed trading signals, you can move your fingers and join my bottom article to make making money a matter of course!
Gold Turning Bearish on H4Gold trading at 2866.xx
It failed to hold above suggested weekly levels 2953/2958 by making high that was expected weekly resistance on long term charts that achieved low of 2832 on last Friday.
Now as per H4 charts gold is changing bullish direction that started on Jan 2025 to corrective or sideways direction with expected resistance around 2907/2916 that limit the upsides upon test and correct gold further to 2839/2831 that is my initial Goal now.
Please note failing to hold 2831/2830 may open 2790/2756.
Buyers should work with cautions
XAU/USD (Gold) Multi-Timeframe Analysis – March 3, 2025
a comprehensive trading strategy.
## **1. Market Structure Overview (Multi-Timeframe)**
### **M30 (30-Minute Chart)**
- **Equilibrium Zone (~$2,870 - $2,875)** is being tested.
- **Previous Day Low (PDL) ~$2,825 is intact**.
- **Minor bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) observed**, suggesting a possible retracement.
### **H1 (1-Hour Chart)**
- **Bearish Break of Structure (BOS) confirms continued downside bias**.
- **Premium Zone (~$2,920 - $2,950) remains a strong resistance**.
- **Retracement to equilibrium ($2,875 - $2,885) is likely before further downside**.
### **H4 (4-Hour Chart)**
- **Price rejected from the previous weak low (~$2,825)**.
- **Liquidity grab occurred, but market remains bearish**.
- **Potential retest of previous support at $2,885 - $2,900 before continuing down**.
### **D1 (Daily Chart)**
- **Strong BOS confirmed bearish sentiment**.
- **Premium rejection zone ~$2,950 remains strong**.
- **If price stays below $2,900, further downside to $2,800 - $2,780 is possible**.
---
## **2. Expected Scenarios & Probability**
### **Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (70% Probability)**
- If price **rejects $2,880 - $2,885**, the downtrend is expected to continue.
- **Target: $2,840 - $2,825**.
- **Confirmation:** A bearish candlestick formation in the **$2,875 - $2,885 zone**.
### **Scenario 2: Short-Term Bullish Retracement (30% Probability)**
- If price holds above **$2,860**, a short-term retracement to **$2,900 - $2,920** may occur.
- **Target: $2,900 - $2,920** before another decline.
- **Confirmation:** A **bullish breakout above $2,875**.
---
## **3. Trading Plan**
### **Sell Setup: (Primary Trade - 70% Probability)**
- **Entry:** $2,875 - $2,885.
- **SL:** $2,905 (Above resistance).
- **TP1:** $2,850 (First liquidity level).
- **TP2:** $2,840 (Weak low).
- **TP3:** $2,825 (Major demand zone).
- **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:4.
### **Buy Setup: (Countertrend - 30% Probability)**
- **Entry:** $2,860 - $2,865.
- **SL:** $2,850 (Below weak low).
- **TP1:** $2,880 (Short-term equilibrium).
- **TP2:** $2,900 (Key supply zone).
- **Risk-Reward Ratio:** 1:3.
---
## **4. Final Trade Execution Summary:**
| Trade Type | Entry | Stop-Loss | Take-Profit 1 | Take-Profit 2 | Take-Profit 3 | R:R |
|------------|------|-----------|---------------|---------------|---------------|-----|
| **Sell Setup** | $2,875 - $2,885 | $2,905 | $2,850 | $2,840 | $2,825 | 1:4 |
| **Buy Setup** | $2,860 - $2,865 | $2,850 | $2,880 | $2,900 | - | 1:3 |
---
## **📌 Additional Execution Tips:**
- **Use M5/M15 for precise entries.**
- **Wait for confirmation candles before entering.**
- **Avoid entering trades during high-impact news releases.**
- **Risk per trade:** 1-2% of capital for optimal drawdown control.
0227 XAUUSD will soon speed down to 2850Hello traders,
**Thursday Logic Analysis + Opportunity Analysis (2025.02.27)**
On Wednesday morning, shortly after the USD/JPY exchange rate suddenly plummeted to the 148 range, a piece of news that could easily be overlooked emerged: "The Bank of Japan (BOJ) will provide USD funding secured by merged collateral."
This means the BOJ will accept government bonds, corporate bonds, foreign exchange reserves, and other assets as collateral to inject USD into the market.
Once the news broke, the precarious USD/JPY exchange rate immediately rebounded, briefly approaching the safe range of 150.
Unfortunately, as the BOJ slightly relaxed its stance, the USD/JPY rate fell back to the 148 range.
Such extreme volatility is very dangerous; continuous "blood transfusions" are necessary, or the market may "collapse," which would trigger a chain reaction. A key indicator to watch is the Nikkei Index; the 38,000 point mark is crucial. If it falls below this level, a large number of structured derivatives will face the risk of liquidation.
If a lack of liquidity is causing asset prices to decline broadly, why did the dollar weaken last night?
It's simple: if it were just a sell-off of dollar assets, the dollar should strengthen; however, if capital flows out to exchange for other currencies after selling dollar assets, it will lead to a weakening of the dollar (equivalent to an increase in dollar supply).
Currently, the USD/JPY exchange rate is still experiencing extreme volatility. Given the BOJ's operational level, it's essentially "wounding the enemy 100 while injuring oneself 1000." Ultimately, it depends on whether Trump will implement tariff policies against Mexico and Canada on March 4, which would temporarily strengthen the dollar index and alleviate the threat of yen appreciation on arbitrage trading liquidation.
As long as the risk of arbitrage trading liquidations exists, it poses a significant threat to liquidity. For futures in gold and crude oil, when liquidity tightens, the threats are the same; every snowflake is alike!
** **
On Wednesday, the internal alert stated: "In the four-hour chart, during the late trading hours on Tuesday, gold experienced a significant drop followed by a deep pullback. However, it is still under pressure from the EMA, with clear upper shadows on the candlesticks, indicating that bearish forces are waiting for new opportunities!
New short positions in gold on Wednesday need to wait for a one-hour entry signal during the European and American trading hours, with an entry near the 2920-2930 range.
New position targets:
TP1: 2890
TP2: 2880
TP3: 2840
Thursday trading plan: In the one-hour chart, consider entering a short position in gold during the European and American crossover trading hours, waiting for a bearish one-hour candlestick signal after a consolidation period.
TP1: 2870
TP2: 2850
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold operation strategy, strong short-selling continues to push Gold bearish trend, have you seen the power of trend in the past two days? Are you waiting for a rebound or are you buying the bottom? We have been emphasizing that the weaker the bearish trend of gold, the stronger the trend of gold. If it rebounds too much, the trend may end and turn to shock again. The hourly moving average of gold continues to cross the bearish arrangement downward and diverge. Gold continues to hit a recent low. The bearish trend of gold is obvious. Any rebound is an opportunity for shorting. If the gold bulls do not make a strong counterattack, it is an opportunity for shorting. On the contrary, if the rebound is too large, it means that the gold bulls have begun to counterattack. At that time, be careful not to go short all at once. Gold rebounds to 2870-2880 and can still be shorted.
XAUUSD|H4 SETUP| POSSIBLE SCENARIOThis analysis is valid for the next 1 to 2 weeks, as long as the scenarios I’ve considered play out. At first, I expect a short-term rise, but the overall trend remains bearish. After reaching the identified support zones, If there’s a sharp upward move and the price breaks through the formed peak, we can enter during the price correction for a long position.
XAUUSD, Gold Crash Heading towards which level?🔸 XAU/USD (GOLD) Analysis 🔸
🔥 Gold Eyeing $2835! 🔥
📍 Current Status: Waiting for the setup to develop before executing a trade. No rush—patience is key!
📊 Key Level to Watch: $2835 🎯
⚡ Market Structure: Monitoring price action for confirmations.
👀 Trade Plan: Will update once the setup aligns with Smart Money Concepts (SMC).
🚀 Stay tuned, traders! The best moves come to those who wait.
Guys if you like my posts please let me know. in what format should i post my analysis in video format or these visual posts?
good luck good trading
Gold’s Sell-Off Continues: Is 2850 the Next Target?It has been a rough week for Gold bulls.
After reaching a new all-time high on Monday, Gold experienced a sharp sell-off, breaking multiple support levels—just as I highlighted in my recent analyses.
Yesterday, I pointed out that the 2880 support level was unlikely to hold and that a drop toward 2850 was the most probable scenario. Overnight, Gold hit a low of around 2856, which now raises the key question: is the correction nearing its end, or is there more downside ahead?
What’s Next?
✅ Bearish Continuation: Now the mid-term trend turned bearish. Gold is known for its strong directional moves, and history suggests that once momentum picks up, the asset rarely stops immediately. As long as Gold trades below 2880, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
✅ Key Resistance at 2880: This level, previously a support, has now turned into a significant resistance zone. A retest of this area could present new selling opportunities for traders looking to join the trend.
✅ Potential Rebound from 2850: Although the trend favors further downside, the 2850 zone is a critical area of interest. Given the size of the recent decline—nearly 1,000 pips in just a few days—a short-term bounce cannot be ruled out. However, any bullish move would need strong confirmation before considering long positions.
Conclusion:
Selling rallies into resistance remains the safer strategy, while buyers should exercise caution and wait for clear signals before stepping in.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold fell sharply below the low and continued to shortGold fell below the low of 2890-2888 yesterday, and the lower support line of the rising channel was also broken. The short-term trend turned bearish, opening up the space below, which means that the magnitude of this round of retracement will be relatively large.
The daily line closed with a big negative below the short-term moving average. Gold will continue to fall today. Focus on the support of the 30-day moving average, which is about 2850. If we look at the entire increase from 2853 to 2956, the retracement support level of 283 is at 2813.
Gold continued to fall at the opening in the morning, with the lowest price hitting 2856. In the afternoon rebound, focus on the pressure at 2876, and expect a second decline. The watershed is at 2885, and the support below is around 2850. The strong support is at 2834-2835, and a rebound may be expected.
Gold Outlook: Bearish Pressure ContinuesYesterday, Gold once again rebounded from the newly formed support around 2890. However, after reaching the 2920 resistance zone, the price started to decline again.
While the daily candle on the chart appears as a Doji, signaling indecision, overnight price action suggests renewed downside pressure, testing support once more.
The overall chart structure and price action indicate that this support level is likely to break. In my view, even the older technical support at 2880 may not hold.
🔹 Trading Strategy:
✅ Focus on selling rallies, with confirmation below support.
✅ Negation of the bearish bias only occurs if Gold moves above 2920 resistance.
✅ Target: A deeper correction towards 2850.
Stay disciplined and trade wisely! 📉
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD SHORT 4H (Results 3 Targets)Taking into account the existing formation structure, the logical and correct decision now would be to move the stop order to $2929.56.
part of the volume in position is held in accordance with the expectations of the targets:
4 - $2864.330
5 - $2834.270
6 - $2817.215
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.