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XAU/USD 06 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 05 September 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge. Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis. Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high. Price has targeted weak internal low but the move was not sustained which indicates that price may be seeking further liquidity. We are seeing a secondary reaction to previous M15 supply zone. Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
XAUUSD: The most likely time to set a new high is comingIn yesterday's article, we pointed out the importance of the support area of ​​2470-2480, and the trend of this decline is almost the same as that in August, so we bought bullish in this range, and the result was very good. Judging from the strength of the last rebound, the highest gold price tried to break through 2532. Similarly, I am optimistic that gold will test new highs again this time. In addition, there are many important economic data released today, and there will be a monthly NFP tomorrow. Once the data is good for gold, this time is most likely to refresh the historical high. From the 1H chart, we can see that yesterday's strong rebound has broken the downward trend, and today's Asian and European sessions have broken through the key resistance of 2500-2505 again. Now this range has turned from resistance to support. Trading strategy: Although we are very optimistic about gold today, we still cannot take the risk of chasing the rise, because once the gold price falls back to the support, there is a room for a decline of 10-15$. Therefore, today we'd better wait for the gold price to pull back to the 2500-2505 support area before buying. The target can be seen at 2520-2530, and after a new high, it can be seen at 2550.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AntonyTP
Gold- Stuck in a newly established range. Will support give awayYesterday, Gold once again touched the critical support zone between 2470-2475, and, as before, bulls managed to defend it, causing a price rebound. While at first glance this support appears solid, I believe it will eventually give way, with the price likely dropping to at least 2450. Of course, I could be wrong, which is why I’ve set my invalidation level in the 2515-2520 zone. My swing trade strategy remains unchanged: sell into rallies.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
8
XAUUSD: The recent low has been confirmed, buy boldlyYesterday, the price of gold bottomed out and rebounded after falling to 2473. Now the price of gold has come here again. I think the low point of this decline is likely to be here. From the 4H chart, we can see that the range of 2470-2480 is the key resistance level that has not been broken in the previous many attacks. After breaking, it has turned into support. At the same time, during the correction last month, it also played a key supporting role, and its support strength has been verified yesterday and just now. In addition, the important data ADP and NFP data this week will not be released until the next two days, so it is unlikely to fall below this key support level before the data. Trading strategy: Since we have determined the short-term low, the choice for us is very clear. Buy in the range of 2470-2480. The first target is 2500-2505, and the second is 2520-2530. I have bought at 2480 and added positions at 2475. Now I can wait for the rise with peace of mind.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AntonyTP
4
XAU/USD 05 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. I have made an update following my review of overall analysis. Bearish iBOS printed 22 August 2024 has subsequently lead me confirm the swing high which means M15 swing range is established. Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge. Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis. Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high. Price has targeted weak internal low but the move was not sustained which indicates that price may be seeking further liquidity. We are seeing a secondary reaction to previous M15 supply zone. Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD 5/9/2024 Will the uptrend continue? Looking at H1, we will see a complex correction in which the correction waves are intertwined, so I will move to the H4 time frame so that you can easily see the wave structure - Looking at H4, we have a Flat ABC correction structure, the above process looking at the present, we see that the wave has completed wave B and the current process is completing wave C. - The key to the problem is that we determine the end point of wave C to find a trading point. - Case 1: the price reaches the 2472 area and then increases sharply until now, we expect a recovery wave to the 2472 - 2469 area, then this price area will be the price area of ​​wave 2 in the new 5-wave increase structure and this is also our BUY target. - Case 2: the price continues to break 2472 to complete wave C, then the first target I aim for is the length of wave C equal to the length of wave A, then we have the first target at the 2467 - 2464 area and this is also our second BUY target area. - In the area above, I see the price area of ​​2515 - 2518 according to Volumeprofile, this area is the area where a large amount of supply was concentrated before, so when the price approaches this area, it needs to absorb all of this supply area before increasing further, so this price area continues to be our SELL target area. Trading Plan SELL ZONE: 2515 - 2518 SL: 2525 TP1: 2509 TP2: 2501 TP3: 2482 BUY ZONE: 2482 - 2479 SL: 2472 TP1: 2499 TP2: 2509 TP3: 2515 BUY ZONE: 2464 - 2467 SL: 2454 TP1: 2472 TP2: 2482 TP3: 2500
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
1
Thursday Market Analysis and SignalsGold fluctuated in a narrow range on Thursday and is currently trading around 2,500. Gold prices bottomed out and rebounded on Wednesday, hitting a nearly two-week low of 2,471 during the session, helped by a decline in the US dollar and US Treasury yields after a decrease in US job vacancies raised expectations that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September. Gold prices reversed their gains as a result. The slight slowdown in the US economy has led to a pullback in the US dollar and continued lower interest rates, which has supported the gold market. In addition, the ADP employment and initial jobless claims reports to be released on Thursday, as well as the NFP employment report on Friday, will also be closely watched, and the market will use them to look for clues to the Fed's path to rate cuts. Investors and Fed officials are keeping a close eye on the labor market after unemployment rose for four consecutive months, fueling concerns about a recession. Economists stick to their forecast that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its meeting on September 17-18. Much depends on the August employment report scheduled for release on Friday. Gold daily line formed a long lower shadow and closed up. The price came to the MA5 daily moving average. The lower side tested the middle track of the Bollinger band. The price stopped at the middle track 2471. The upper MA7 daily moving average 2500 mark focused on whether it could stabilize during the day. The short-term four-hour chart price stood on the middle track of the Bollinger band. The RSI indicator adjusted the middle axis. The moving average opened upward. The technical side was bullish. The overall rhythm rose and fell after a slight adjustment during the day. If the data is bearish, the daily line will again show a long and short cycle. Trading strategy: 2480-2485 long, stop loss 2473, target 2500-2510; 2505-2510 short, stop loss 2516, target 2490-2480; For more signals and analysis, please check my profile
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Jun-goldFX
1
GOLD BULLISH OUTLOOK The technical indicators suggest a strong buy signal, reflecting bullish sentiment. This is supported by moving averages, which also point towards buying opportunities. Despite some fluctuations, with the day's range between $2,472.02 and $2,500.20, gold is showing resilience around the $2,496 level. The market is currently responding to economic data and broader market sentiment, which could keep gold prices buoyant in the short term. Gold is likely to maintain its upward momentum today, potentially testing higher resistance levels. However, watch for any sudden changes due to economic news or shifts in market sentiment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BELLATRIXFX
2
XAUUSD: 4/8 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2550, support below 2450 Four-hour resistance 2496, support below 2450 Gold operation suggestions: After a series of shocks, the short position of gold finally exerted its strength yesterday, and the lowest price in the US market reached around 2473. The Labor Day holiday on Monday also directly stimulated the outbreak of long and short energy in the later period. This week is also the NFP data week. With the release of NFP data, the volatility and long and short trends of gold in the later period will also change further. The previous low point is maintained at 2470, and yesterday's retracement touched the lowest level near 2473 and rebounded, but did not break down. Then this position can still bring certain support to the bulls, and the key suppression point above is maintained near the top and bottom conversion area of ​​2507. Before NFP is released, it is still expected to be short in the short term and cannot change its trend. From the 4-hour analysis, the current upper resistance focuses on the 2496-2505 line. The pullback continues to be bearish based on this position. The short-term gold price long and short strength dividing line focuses on the 2515 mark. Before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, any rebound is a short-selling opportunity, and keep trading with the trend. SELL:2496near SL:2500 SELL:2508near SL:2511 SELL:2525near SL:2529 The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
1
Bulls Held Their Ground, But Will the Ground Hold Them?In the past two days, I've emphasized the importance of the 2480 support zone, suggesting that the price was likely to test this level before potentially reversing. This prediction played out as expected, with XAU/USD indeed dropping to that specific zone. However, my bullish outlook has shifted, and here’s why: Failure to Break 2500: Most importantly, yesterday the price attempted twice to stay above the 2500 level but failed both times. The second attempt was met with aggressive selling, and that time support zone was hit. Signs of Distribution: Over the past three weeks, price action has been sluggish, resembling a distribution phase rather than accumulation. The lack of momentum in making a new all-time high is concerning. On the daily chart, while there is a Pin Bar that typically signals a reversal, it's of poor quality—featuring a red body and a large upper shadow ("nose"). In conclusion, I am now looking to sell above 2500, but I plan to keep a tight stop. Best of Luck! Mihai Iacob
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
9
XAU/USD 04 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS. After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback. Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 September 2024. -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price is stuck within an internal range and is most probably awaiting a catalyst (macroeconomic or geopolitical) Technically price should target weak internal low and is currently reacting at premium of internal 50% EQ, however, price has ben printing low volume bars with no clear internal range direction. Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ with strong high remaining protected. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong internal high. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD 4/9/2024 complex correction has ended? Looking at H1, the complex correction process will create very difficult conditions for determining the specific structure of the wave. In such a situation, we will rely on the Fibonacci measure to determine the target price zones for the end of the entire correction process based on the previous up wave. - With such an approach, I will determine the target price levels for this correction downtrend. - Looking at the chart, we have a temporary 5-wave structure formed. We will rely on this combined with Fibonacci to set up trading zones - Case 1 if wave 5 has ended, then we expect the price zone 2482 - 2479 to BUY Case 2 if the price breaks below 2473, then the price zone ending wave 5 will be the price zone 2464 - 2467 - Above the strong supply zone 2510 - 2507 has not been broken yet, so this is still our target to SELL - Next is the zone 2515 - 2518, this is the strong supply zone above that we choose to place a SELL order/ Trading plan BUY ZONE: 2482 - 2479 SL: 2472 TP1: 2492 TP2: 2582 TP3: 2499 BUY ZONE: 2464 - 2467 SL: 2454 TP1: 2478 TP2: 2492 TP3: 2499 SELL ZONE: 2510 - 2507 SL: 2520 TP1: 2510 TP2: 2491 TP3: 2482 SELL ZONE: 2515 - 2518 SL: 2525 TP1: 2510 TP2: 2491 TP 3: 2482
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DEEKOP
XAUUSD: 3/9 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2550, support below 2450 Four-hour resistance 2501, support below 2490 Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, gold fell rapidly downward in the Asian session, pierced the 2500 mark and quickly rebounded near the 2490 mark, and fell into a shock consolidation. In the European session, it once rebounded upward and pierced the 2507 mark, suppressed and fell into a sideways shock. Because the NY market was closed yesterday, it ran in a narrow range. The overall price showed a shock consolidation below the 2515 mark. Gold still has a multiple top structure in 4 hours. The moving average resistance has now moved down to the line near 2507. Gold rebounded below 2507 and continued to be short at highs. Gold shorts have not ended yet. Gold rebounds are opportunities for shorts. Gold is now building a top structure. Once formed, the decline of gold has just begun. From the 4-hour analysis, today's upper resistance focuses on the opening of yesterday's decline at 2507-12. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to fall back. The lower target continues to look at a new low. The short-term gold price long and short strength watershed focuses on the 2515 mark. Before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, maintain a short-selling strategy. BUY:2490near SL:2486 SELL:2508near SL:2511 SELL:2525near SL:2529 The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
XAUUSD: Sell at 2505-2510 resistance zone, target 2490-2480Yesterday was Labor Day in the United States. The amplitude of gold was very small and we did not participate in any transactions. Today the market is back on track and it is time to open our transactions! Gold fundamentals: Tensions in the Middle East have escalated again, and risk aversion has rekindled. Due to the recent positive economic data, the U.S. dollar index continues to rebound, and the ISM manufacturing PMI for August to be released today is expected to rise slightly to 47.5 from 46.8 in July, indicating that the manufacturing industry is recovering moderately, which will continue to support the U.S. dollar. rebound, gold falls. In addition, the market expects that the United States will create 163,000 new jobs in August and the unemployment rate is also expected to rise to 4.2%. This reflects strong economic fundamentals and further boosts the dollar. Gold technical aspect: Judging from the Fibonacci retracement of the decline between the highest point of 2528 and the lowest point of 2490, 2505 is 0.618 and 2510 is 0.5, so this range is the resistance to gold's rebound. Trading strategy: Since the direction is clear now and 2505-2510 is the resistance area, we can sell in this range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AntonyTP
Continued correction from the level. Time to sell from the levelContinued correction from the level. Time to sell from the level. The gold market is currently characterized by high volatility and uncertainty. Gold is trading at levels that can serve as both support and resistance, depending on macroeconomic factors such as inflation, interest rates and global economic instability. Investors will turn to gold as a safe haven amid the risks associated with financial markets. Analysts are watching how gold prices react to news of changes in central banks' monetary policies, which could affect its value in the short and long term. There is also interest in gold as a hedge against a potential recession.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by seventhlab