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Xauusdupdates

Gold remains strongly bullish In my post yesterday, I mentioned that gold could extend its upward movement and reach the important 2720 resistance zone (clearly highlighted in the chart I shared). As expected, the price climbed to that level and, as is typical, began a correction. In my view, this pullback should be seen as a buying opportunity for bulls looking to rejoin the upward trend. There is a strong likelihood that gold could break above this resistance level, possibly as soon as today or early next week.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
4
XAU/USD 17 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has finally printed a bullish iBOS in accordance with scenario one of my analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price Action Analysis: After bullish iBOS, we expect bearish pullback. First indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation is for price to print a bearish CHoCH. Current CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Price is now trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH. This would also establish internal structure. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Within the sub-structure there is further bullish iBOS, however, price did not pullback deep enough to warrant a bullish iBOS. I will therefore apply my discretion, which may need a revisit. H4 TF has printed a bullish iBOS and it appears bearish pullback phase initiation is underway, however, we currently do not have any indication, or confirmation. Current internal low and H4 TF CHoCH positioning are the same, priced at 2,690.050, therefore, despite M15 internal range dynamics being bullish, it is highly likely price will print a bearish iBOS Intraday Expectation: Technically, price should show reaction at either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,724.785, however, the above mentioned scenario is also highly probable to assist H4 in it's bearish pullback phase. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold outlook: Buy dips remains the strategyIn my post yesterday, I mentioned that gold could test levels above 2700. True to expectations, the price rose steadily throughout the day, briefly spiking just above this critical 2700 level overnight. After a short-lived correction, the price has returned to the 2700 zone. My outlook remains bullish as long as the 2660 support zone holds strong. For now, buying on dips remains the preferred strategy. The immediate target is the 2720 resistance zone, which could act as a key level to watch for profit taking on buys.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Gold Trend and PatternsTrend and Patterns Long-term trend: Based on the latest analysis, the XAUUSD pair shows mixed signals. On the one hand, there are forecasts for a possible rise in the gold price to $2900-$3000 levels in 2025, after which a significant drop to $1700-$1500 is expected. On the other hand, current analyses point to a possible continuation of the uptrend in the short term. Support and Resistance Levels Support: Important support levels include areas around 2607 and 2638.88 where there is buying interest. Resistance: Resistance levels include 2663, 2680.35, and a higher level around 2720, which may restrain further price gains. Indicators and Oscillators Fibonacci: The use of Fibonacci levels shows that the pair is testing pullback levels such as 38.2% and 61.8%, which may provide signals for market entry. Market Sentiment: Sentiment analysis shows that retail traders are often in long positions, which may indicate the possibility of counter-trend trading. Conclusion The XAUUSD pair has exhibited volatility typical of precious metals this year, with possible upside and downside scenarios. Strong support and resistance levels indicate potential entry and exit points for trading. It is important to keep an eye on the key levels mentioned above, as well as macroeconomic news that can significantly influence the gold price.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trade_Hive_Signals
XAU/USD 16 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Weekly and Daily TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Recent Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal low, by printing a bullish iBOS. It would be noteworthy to remember that H4 and Daily TF internal structure is bullish. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. Price seems to be targeting weak internal high, which, in my view, is premature, however, I will remain structured in my approach. At the time of preparing analysis M15 candle remains open. Intraday Expectation: Price has yet to trade in to discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,702.260 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 15 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and intraday expectation remain the same as yesterday's analysis dated 14 January 2025. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal high, printing a bearish iBOS. Internal structure has now aligned itself with swing structure. This could potentially be an early indication that both Daily and H4 pullback phases are incomplete. It would also be useful to remember that Weekly TF remains in its bearish pullback phase. Price subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH thereby confirming internal range and indication of bullish pullback phase initiation. Intraday Expectation: Price has yet to trade in to premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal low, priced at 2,656.880. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD Trade LogXAUUSD Daily/Monthly Long Setup Trade Logic: - Setup: Long position initiated within a high-confluence zone supported by multiple technical and structural factors. - Confluence Factors: - Daily/Monthly Buy Signal: Higher timeframe signals indicate strong bullish momentum and continuation potential. - Trendline Support: Price has respected a long-term ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support. - Fair Value Gap (FVG): Entry aligns with a daily FVG in a discount zone, offering a high-probability long opportunity. - Kijun Support: Both daily and weekly Kijun lines provide additional support confluence. - Liquidity Zone: Recent sweep of liquidity below equal lows clears the path for a bullish reversal. - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): - Stop-loss set below the trendline and daily FVG for tight risk management. - 1:3 RRR targeting the weak high at 2,910 , with secondary targets near 3,000 for extended profits. Macro Context: - Market Sentiment: Safe-haven demand for gold is rising amid geopolitical and economic uncertainty, aligning with bullish technical signals. - Dollar Weakness: Weakening USD supports upside momentum in XAUUSD. - Volume Profile: Strong buy-side volume near key support levels indicates institutional participation. Execution Plan: - Long entry near the confluence zone of the trendline, FVG, and Kijun support. - Maintain stop-loss below the daily FVG to manage risk effectively. - First target near 2,910 , with extended targets at 3,000 for partial or full profit-taking. - Reassess position if price closes below the trendline or invalidates the daily buy signal. Extra Note: Monitor macroeconomic events such as interest rate announcements or geopolitical developments that could affect gold prices. Let me know if further adjustments are needed!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fondera
GOLD Awaits Breakout Amid Key Data Releases! GOLD is forming a symmetrical triangle, signaling a potential breakout soon. The price is consolidating near the 2675-2681 resistance zone, a key area to watch. The PPI data released yesterday slightly disappointed dollar buyers, offering support to the forex market and causing a small correction in gold. Looking ahead, CPI data could bring further support to the market and drive volatility. If GOLD breaks above 2681, we could see an upward move toward higher levels. However, a failure to hold above this zone may trigger a bearish breakdown toward lower supports. Resistance: 2675, 2681, 2690 Support: 2667, 2656 The triangle’s apex suggests a decisive move is imminent. Watch the CPI data and stay alert for the breakout! 🚨
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
XAU/USD 14 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal high, printing a bearish iBOS. Internal structure has now aligned itself with swing structure. This could potentially be an early indication that both Daily and H4 pullback phases are incomplete. It would also be useful to remember that Weekly TF remains in its bearish pullback phase. Price subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH thereby confirming internal range and indication of bullish pullback phase initiation. Intraday Expectation: Price has yet to trade in to premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal low, priced at 2,656.880. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
1/14 Gold Trading StrategiesTrading Strategy: SELL 2677-2684 TP 2664-2652 Resistance is located between 2677 and 2684, while support is between 2656 and 2648. On the 1-hour chart, this pullback has not broken below the support zone, so the overall trend remains bullish. During this rebound, the key resistance lies in the 2677-2684 range. If the resistance is not broken, a retest of the support becomes inevitable. Based on the current indicators and market structure, the probability of a breakout seems low. Therefore, the trading strategy is to focus on shorting around the resistance zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold could drop back to 2600Last week was a particularly choppy one for gold. While the 2680 target was reached and even exceeded, with a peak near the critical 2700 level, trading conditions were difficult due to sharp and unpredictable price movements in both directions. Yesterday, the price dropped significantly, forming a clear bearish engulfing pattern on the daily chart. When combined with last week's choppy price action, this indicates we may be on the verge of a downside reversal. My strategy is to sell during rallies, targeting 2600, with a stop loss or invalidation level above 2700.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
3
Gold Breakout and Retest in Play"This chart shows **gold's (XAU/USD)** price action on the **2-hour timeframe** with some key elements: OANDA:XAUUSD 1. **Break of Structure (BoS) and Change of Character (ChoCh):** - Upward trendlines marked multiple BoS points, indicating higher highs and higher lows during the uptrend. - A significant **ChoCh** occurred after the upward trendline broke, suggesting a potential shift to a bearish trend. 2. **Breakout Zone:** - The price broke below a key support area (gray box) and is now testing it as a resistance. This retest aligns with classic breakout-and-retest strategies. 3. **Projection:** - The chart suggests a bearish move as the retest is expected to hold. The blue arrow projects a potential decline in price, with targets likely around **$2,650** or lower. **Summary:** This setup indicates a bearish sentiment. If the price fails to break above the resistance zone during the retest, it could confirm the downward move. Key levels to watch are the resistance zone around $2,670–$2,680 and potential targets around $2,650 and below.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1