XAUUSD: 4/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2800, support below 2716
Four-hour resistance 2800, support below 2762-16
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday night, under the influence of a small positive, non-agricultural data quickly reached the 2762 mark and was suppressed and fell back and fluctuated downward, closing below the previous low.
From the current 4-hour technical perspective, today's upper resistance is around 2758-63. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to look down and fall. The short-term support below is around 2722-2728. The daily level support is 2716. The strong unilateral bulls have come to an end temporarily. Today, the long and short range oscillation trading is maintained, and the key points are patiently waiting for entry. After all, before the US election, the market is viewed as a range fluctuation, and the focus is on the US election tomorrow!
BUY:2717near SL:2714
BUY:2727near SL:2724
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Xauusdupdates
Seize the opportunity and welcome Super WeekMarket Analysis: No need for lengthy discussions; the best strategy in the current market is to initiate long positions in gold at lower levels. With the U.S. elections and Federal Reserve decisions approaching, the gold market remains bullish. Recent rumors of Iranian retaliation against Israel, coupled with disappointing employment reports, suggest the Fed may lower interest rates, all of which will likely drive gold prices higher.
Technical Analysis: Gold has retraced to the strong support level of 2733-2735. This area represents a robust support zone from the past few days. In the absence of bearish news, it is unlikely that this support will be broken. Thus, our trading strategy this week will pivot from last week’s approach, focusing on going long at lower levels.
Today’s Trading Strategy:
Entry Strategy: Go long on gold near the support level
Take-Profit Target: 2748-2750
Stop-Loss: 2718-2720
Conclusion and Recommendations: This week marks a super week for the month, with numerous major events and data set to impact market trends. How should you navigate these trading conditions? What will the market trend look like? After reviewing my analysis, you’ll have a clearer sense of direction. For specific trading strategies, please reach out to me, and I’ll share the comprehensive trading plan for the week with all my VIP members.
XAUUSD: Can Gold Return to 2780?On Friday, gold prices experienced a slight decline, mainly under the pressure of a stronger dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields. However, weaker-than-expected U.S. job growth fueled market speculation for a Fed rate cut, cushioning gold’s decline.
In October, due to hurricane disruptions and an aerospace industry strike, U.S. nonfarm payrolls saw a modest gain of just 12,000 jobs, marking the smallest increase since December 2020. Although the dollar initially retreated, it closed up 0.4%, and the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rebounded from early losses, diminishing the appeal of non-yielding gold.
Gold prices returned to the support zone, aligning with prior predictions. Current chart patterns suggest a potential “W” bottom, signaling bullish prospects, with short-term indicators pointing to a likely upward move. However, a mid-term bottom pattern has yet to form, and bulls should watch for resistance around 2750 in Monday’s trading, as a retest of support remains possible.
With the U.S. election approaching and reports of a potential retaliatory move by Iran against Israel, multiple uncertainties hover over the market. Coupled with a lackluster jobs report, many analysts now see a near 100% probability of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut next week.
While rate cut expectations might bolster gold bulls, this scenario could already be priced in, meaning gold prices may potentially drop in response to the rate decision. Ahead of this, the U.S. election on Tuesday and initial jobless claims on Thursday will be key factors influencing gold.
In summary, a turbulent week lies ahead for gold, with investors encouraged to remain vigilant and approach trades with caution.
XAUUSD GoldXAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar )
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves, " A " Corrective Waves and making its " B " Corrective Wave in a Consolidation in Short Time Frame. Strong Bullish Divergence in RSI. Need to wait until it Breaks and Retest its Extreme Point of Interest ( POI ) and Complete its Order Block
XAU/USD 04 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As noted in my analysis dated 01 November 2024, I mentioned that I would confirm internal structure if the price reached the premium of the 50% EQ of the internal range. Price has now achieved this, confirming the internal structure.
Although price has made attempts to target the weak internal low, it has not yet succeeded.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue targeting the weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
Gold retracement to 2717Gold to retracement 2717 is the next step on xauusd, as dollar falls to euro going upwards and Au going a bit down in price in the market, maybe you can short even more Xaueur, not sure (cause I didn't make the analysis) at the spot (euro)
Gold going down, euro going up, and usd going down, be careful with the elections day
XAU/USD 4-8 November 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as last week's analysis dated 27 October 2024
Price has continued its surge, reaching new all-time highs with no signs yet of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The initial indication of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price's ongoing ascent has now positioned CHoCH significantly closer to most recent price action.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold's price has maintained its upward surge after printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), fueled by softer U.S. macroeconomic data and intensified geopolitical tensions.
In my weekly analysis dated 27 October 2024, I mentioned that price could potentially reach new highs, moving the bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This shift would create a realistic opportunity for price to indicate the start of a bearish pullback phase.
This forecast played out as expected, with CHoCH positioning now significantly nearer to recent price action, marked by a blue dotted vertical line.
Following the bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated. While price is currently giving very early signs of this by printing a higher high that has brought the CHoCH positioning closer, this is still an indication, not a confirmation of a potential pullback. The first more concrete signal of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH).
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
NFP Set to Rock Gold: Last Opportunity for a Well-Timed ShortMarket analysis: Brothers, today's gold market continues to be bearish! The short orders arranged before the release of yesterday's data have brought us a lot of benefits, and we have seized the lucrative profits of the decline in gold. Tonight, heavy data will be released one after another: the US October non-farm employment data, unemployment rate and ISM manufacturing PMI index will form a triple impact on the gold market.
These data are expected to put bearish pressure on gold, but considering the sharp drop the day before, today's downside may be limited because the market has partially digested the bad news. Therefore, today may be the last short-selling opportunity this week. Next week, with the landing of the US election, the market is expected to turn to favor gold.
So how to arrange it, you can look at the candlestick chart, 2756-2758 is currently an important pressure point, so the strategy before the data is released is to short the market near this pressure point!
Trading strategy:
Layout before data release: short in the key pressure area of gold
Take profit target: 2735-2740
Stop loss setting: 2770
Strategy ideas to follow the trend: As the last trading day of this week, we will arrange short orders before the data is released, and start to arrange long orders next week to follow the trend.
Detailed strategies and operation points have been released to each VIP member. If you need further guidance, please join the VIP group to get exclusive strategies!
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionAs we head into the new week, gold prices remain resilient, fueled by heightened Middle East tensions and U.S. election uncertainty that keeps investors seeking safe-haven assets. Despite dollar strength and recent rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, gold has surged over 32% this year, reflecting sustained demand in the face of global instability.
In this analysis, we cover critical areas for buyers and sellers alike, focusing on structural patterns, market psychology, and potential trade opportunities you won’t want to miss. Whether you're watching the price action or setting up entry points, these insights will equip you with a clear roadmap for the week ahead.
Will gold continue its strong performance, or could a new catalyst shift the trend?
📌 Stay tuned as we navigate the next big moves in the Gold market!
#goldprice #goldtrading #investing #commodities #marketanalysis #tradingstrategy #goldforecast #geopolitics #election2024 #safehaven #financialmarkets #forex #daytrading #swingtrading #middleeast #usdollar #economicuncertainty📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Gold- Where to sell for down continuationOver the past 10 days, I’ve consistently noted that OANDA:XAUUSD is primed for a significant drop, especially after its 2,000-pip gain over 20 days.
A strong correction is both healthy and expected.
Yesterday, after a brief new all-time high, Gold dropped sharply, declining roughly 600 pips from top to bottom.
Despite this correction, I believe there’s more downside potential ahead.
I’m planning to sell rallies, especially around the broken confluence support zone, where I’m watching for entry signals.
My overall target remains a drop below 2700, with 2690 as a strong support level to test.
Gold Market Outlook: Analyzing Buy Signals and ATH PossibilitiesA great purchase opportunity is indicated by our current market analysis , which shows a tested support level at 2735-2730 . Given these indicators, the market might hit a new all-time high (ATH) . My research suggests that XAUUSD is a good buy , especially as fundamentals imply that the dollar may depreciate , likely strengthening gold’s value. Additionally, we can expect selling pressure around the supply level of 2773-2780 ,
but I’m also confident that NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) shows a compelling buying opportunity .
A* boost would be greatly appreciated if you found this analysis useful; it’s always encouraging to know my observations are understood!
What Should You Do if You Hold Long Positions Between 2770-2750?Today, influenced by negative data, gold experienced a significant drop. After completing the take profit on my short positions, I entered long trades. I believe many of you are in a similar situation, holding long positions in the 2767-2730 range, which has led to our accounts being in a trapped state.
However, after such a large decline, a market rebound is inevitable. As long as we hold our positions firmly, we can at least expect a rebound to around 2760. Additionally, tomorrow's NFP data and unemployment rate will be released, along with several other minor data points that will certainly contribute to increased market volatility.
If the price rebounds to around 2760 before the data is published, then under negative data conditions, it is likely to drop again. However, if the price does not rebound to this level, gold will not drop too much under negative data, with 2721-2712 being an acceptable range.
In this context, next week's trading will definitely focus on long positions. So, if your orders are also in a trapped state, there’s no need to worry too much. The market always has its ups and downs; stay confident and seize the opportunities for a rebound. In the end, we will achieve better results.
GOLD NEW BUYING ZONE FOR A NEW ATH !!!HELLO TRADERS
As I can |Gold chart is still holding in uptrend after ATH it have to retrace and its opening of new moth that can grab some more liquidity from trend zone a make a massive move if geopolitical issues not solved even with TRUMP Gov which seems impossible as we can see Russia and north Korea both are pushing more in Ukraine and Iran also show that it have a great Defense Tecnology which is now an issue for Iseral fundamental are bad around the world and us economy also shrinking day by day Bricks Trade will give a big problem to $ incoming days technically FIBO GOLDEN VALUE 0.618AND 0.5 ALSO HAVE TO TEST and the uptrend line is another clue charts always talk it just need someone who can understand friends it's just a trade idea on daily based perdition not a financial advice make a proper analysis before taking any trade Stay Tuned for more updates
NFP Ahead: Targeted Short Strategy for Optimal GainsMarket Insight: Great work today on capturing profits with the short trade, everyone! My VIP members and I have made impressive gains. If you're interested in continuing to secure these returns, reach out to me directly—we’re setting up for a major strategic move.
With most key economic releases for the week showing bearish outcomes, tomorrow brings one more critical release: the U.S. October Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, which is highly likely to impact gold negatively. We’ll continue focusing on short positions for the remainder of this week. Looking ahead, however, as the U.S. election concludes next week, we anticipate a potential shift, at which point we’ll pivot to long strategies to capture possible upside momentum.
Current Gold Trading Strategy:
Entry Level: Short gold at 2740
Take-Profit Target: 2730
Stop-Loss: 2750
Exclusive Member Strategy Update: This strategy will only be shared once today. For tomorrow’s detailed NFP trading plan, I’ll be providing specific guidance exclusively to my VIP members. If you’d like to join and get access to tailored strategies, reach out now!
Gold- Where is the next 1k pips trade?As I've outlined in both written and video analyses on FOREXCOM:XAUUSD , I’m anticipating a substantial pullback in gold prices.
Let’s look at this objectively: just as trees don't grow to the sky, neither does Gold.
With a remarkable 2,000-pip rally over the last 20 days, the likelihood of a meaningful retracement is increasing.
Each new high reached only makes a sharper pullback more probable.
That said, I’m not rigidly fixed on one outlook.
In yesterday’s analysis, I noted that a new all-time high seemed highly probable.
Acting on this, I opened a small long position after observing a buildup consolidation just under the previous ATH, which I closed at 2770.
The key question now isn’t whether gold will start pulling back, but rather where that pullback will begin.
On the 1-hour chart, since the low near 2600 on October 10th, Gold has been trading within an ascending channel.
Each time the price touches the upper boundary of this channel, it has reversed back down. Based on this behavior, I anticipate a similar reaction if gold approaches or slightly exceeds 2800, and I plan to fade any move above that level.
In conclusion, for those looking at potential 1,000-pip opportunities, I believe the short side currently holds more promise. In the short term, a retracement toward 2700 seems more realistic than an extension to 2900.
P.S: Looking at previous times when Gold has made ATHs, the reversal from the top has been more than 1000 pips.
Data is approaching: Plan short-selling strategies in advanceMarket Analysis: With the upcoming release of the “U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 26” and the “U.S. Core PCE Price Index Year-on-Year for September,” we anticipate significant market volatility in gold. My personal forecast leans towards a bearish impact on gold prices, especially given the positive indicators from various economic data released in October. Thus, the likelihood of tonight’s data being bearish for gold is high. We can proactively establish a short position ahead of the data release.
Pre-Data Release Gold Trading Strategy:
Entry Range: Short gold between 2780-2782
Take-Profit Target: 2772
Stop-Loss: 2790
Risk Management and Operational Advice: Post-data release, if profits are realized, it’s advisable to take immediate profits, as the market may reverse following the data announcement. I will also provide subsequent trading strategies after the data is released, so please stay tuned for updates to adapt your trading approach.
XAUUSD: Wait for a drop before rising, target 2800Yesterday, Wednesday, the United States released the October "small non-farm" data. The ADP employment in October recorded 233,000, the largest increase since July 2023. These figures are contrary to expectations of economic slowdown after the Boeing employee strike in October and the two brutal hurricanes and attacks on the US East Coast ports.
The subsequent release of the US third quarter real GDP annualized growth rate recorded 2.8%, lower than the expected and previous value of 3%. Consumer spending, which accounts for the largest share of economic activity, increased by 3.7%, the largest increase since the beginning of 2023. At the same time, data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis showed that the initial value of the annualized quarterly rate of the core PCE price index in the third quarter of the United States rose by 2.2%, roughly in line with the Fed's goals.
Spot gold continued to hit a record high, hitting the $2,790 mark during the day, but failed to get above this level.
From the current point of view, 2,790 is very likely not the high point of gold, but the risk of retracement also needs to be considered.
Therefore, we can't blindly be bullish, but need to wait for a retracement before considering buying