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XAU/USD 13 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high. Price subsequently printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within an established range Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ. Intraday Expectation: Price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,697.950. Price could potentially trade down to M15 demand zone to sweep liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Outlook: Higher Lows Signal Continued Upside PotentialYesterday was a pretty volatile day for gold, with the price briefly dropping to 2615. However, bulls quickly regained control, pushing the price back above the 2635–2640 support zone and establishing a higher low in the broader trend. Currently, the price is stable above this key support level and is challenging interim resistance at 2650. A successful break above this resistance could open the door for a move toward 2680, with further upside targets at the significant 2700 level and the technical resistance at 2715. I remain bullish as long as yesterday's low at 2615 remains unbroken.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
2
XAUUS/Gold Post NFP Day/Beginning of New WeekDuring pre-NFP analysis we have suggested few levels where sell & buy risk can be taken for at least 60- 120 pips favorable move. By recalling that 2680/2681 sell pre-NFP given 160 pips quick profitable move. 2690/2696 post-NFP Sell Given 160+ pips favorable move. Coming towards todays/current week stance, we are considering 2695/2708/2733 levels as resistance and unlikely to sustained above during current week. While 2665/2639/2612 can act as support. President Donald Trump 2nd inauguration is scheduled on Monday Jan 20, 2025, and before that we may see gold is trading between 2733 - 2612 in big range of 121 points or 12100 pips range. Personally, I think strength would give sell opportunities. Tell about your idea by commenting on the post.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by investomaniapk
1
XAU/USD 13-17 January 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range. Price is anticipated to trade down towards either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing -> Bullish. -> Internal -> Bullish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024 Price Action Analysis: Price has shown a reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Currently price has been unable to target the weak internal high Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to target weak internal high, priced at 2,790.170 However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Price has yet to tap into Daily demand. Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup: First Swing of the Year Amid NFP WeekI initiated a long position on Gold (XAU/USD) following a retracement to the 0.6 Fibonacci level on the 8-hour timeframe. This setup marks the first swing trade on Gold this year, targeting the $2,680-$2,687 price zone. Gold opened the year on a bullish note, aligning with mid-range technicals. This trade reflects a mid-term outlook, aiming to capitalize on potential momentum driven by this week’s major macroeconomic events, including the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) release and the FOMC’s intervention. Fundamentals: The Federal Reserve’s hawkish tone, suggesting a slowdown in interest rate cuts for 2025, is providing upward pressure on US Treasury bond yields. However, these signals are driving flows away from non-yielding assets like Gold. Alongside geopolitical risks and trade war fears, this creates a complex backdrop for Gold. Additionally, the pullback in the US Dollar from its November highs is offering some support for the precious metal. Traders will closely monitor Friday’s NFP report and the December FOMC meeting minutes for further direction. Key bullish themes for metals: • Rising inflation expectations and the Fed’s pause in rate hikes support Gold. • China’s green initiatives boost demand for metals. • Interest rate cuts could provide further upside for Gold. • Stagflation fears increase Gold’s attractiveness as a safe-haven asset. Technicals: • Entry: Positioned after a 0.6 Fibonacci retracement. • Target Zones: $2,680 - $2,687. • Timeframe: 8-hour chart, aligning with the mid-range strategy. • Outlook: Maintaining a close watch on price action, especially with upcoming macro releases that could create volatility. Let’s keep the momentum strong and pay attention to market signals. Stay focused, and as always, pay yourself! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by AR33_
XAU/USD 10 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high priced at 2,667.150. Price has yet to print a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. We are currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ. Intraday Expectation: Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH. Technically price to then trade down to discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 So Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the NFP news. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks. Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 2730.00 (or) Before Bearish Robbers TP 2630.00 (or) Before Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ The XAU/USD is looking bullish right now, with the gold price sticking to its intraday gains near a multi-week top. The Fed's hawkish stance and elevated US bond yields are capping gains, but traders are still optimistic about the precious metal's potential. From a technical perspective, the breakout through the $2,665 horizontal resistance is seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders. The gold price seems poised to climb further to the $2,681-2,683 intermediate hurdle and then aim to reclaim the $2,700 round-figure mark. However, there are also some bearish signals to watch out for, such as the potential for a stock market crash and the rising yield curve. If the XAU/USD breaks below the $2,655 area, it could be seen as a buying opportunity, with support near the $2,635 region and the weekly low around the $2,615-2,614 zone. Overall, the XAU/USD is expected to move in a bullish direction, with a potential upside target of $2,700. But, as always, it's essential to keep an eye on the market and adjust your strategy accordingly. Some key factors to watch out for include the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report, which could impact the gold price, as well as the overall sentiment in the market. The gold-to-silver ratio is also an important indicator to keep an eye on, as it can provide insights into the relative strength of gold versus silver . So, to sum it up, the XAU/USD is looking bullish right now, but it's crucial to stay informed and adapt to any changes in the market. Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
FPMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Thief_Trader
Gold Pre-NFP Analysis - As Simple as PossibleGold Pre-NFP Analysis - As Simple as Possible I have 4 levels on upside to watch as Sell levels ➡️15m level 2684ish (high risk) ➡️H1 level 2690ish (medium risk) ➡️H4 level 2708ish (low risk) ➡️ Day/week level 2733ish (extremely low risk) I would prefer start taking sell risk form H1 levels with 70 to 100 pips SL, depending on the entry I got. For buy Risk I have 2 levels marked on charts ➡️H4/Day levels 2633ish for medium to low-risk entry ➡️Weekly level 2612ish for reentry once 2633ish failed. This is the game plan for now for full NFP day, any change would try to convey on time. Ignore all previous VIP inactive signals if any and follow NFP levels and updates for next move. Today is 1st NFP data of year 2025 that can be seen as wide range move that can make leveraged traders rich in no time if entered in right side of trades with open TP. I personally stick with SL and TP
SAXO:XAUUSD
by investomaniapk
Gold price up on safe-haven buying amid U.K. budget woesGold and silver prices are higher in early U.S. trading Thursday, on some fresh safe-haven demand due to a budget crisis in the U.K. that may spread. February gold was last up $18.10 at $2,690.50 and March silver was up $0.36 at $31.05. U.K. financial markets tumbled overnight on growing worries over the government’s budget deficit, with the British pound hitting the lowest level in more than a year against the U.S. dollar. The 10-year U.K. gilt yield jumped to 4.92% and the FTSE 250 Index dropped for a third day in a row. This situation is being closely watched by the global marketplace, which is worried about a ..
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ShumbaFx07
1
Gold's Shine Dims: Retesting Peaks Before the DropXAU/USD: Navigating Uncertain Currents Amid Resistance Challenges Gold (XAU/USD) has been navigating a phase of consolidation while steadily creeping toward the critical resistance level at 2667. This level stands as a psychological and technical barrier, and the market seems poised for a decisive moment. The current upward trajectory suggests a potential breakout is on the horizon. However, doubts loom large as various economic and geopolitical factors cast a shadow over this bullish move. Economic Crosswinds and Market Sentiment The lingering question remains: Will the breakout materialize? Gold’s performance has been mired in a complex web of economic data that has consistently hindered its momentum. Over the past few months, the global economy has presented a mixed bag of signals, with inflationary pressures rising across major economies, particularly in China, which recently released discouraging data on its economic growth. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, as reflected in its latest meeting minutes, continues to support the strength of the US dollar, further dampening gold’s appeal. Adding to this complexity, the lack of fresh geopolitical flashpoints or significant shifts in fundamental data leaves gold’s recent ascent somewhat puzzling. Historically, gold has thrived on uncertainty, but with no major new developments from global hotspots and a stronger dollar exerting downward pressure, its current upward move appears to lack a robust foundation. Moreover, the metal faces headwinds from an improving macroeconomic environment in the United States. The Federal Reserve’s resolute approach to inflation control, coupled with Trump-era tariff policies still casting a shadow on international trade, adds to the uncertainty surrounding gold’s price action. Liquidity Grabs and Resistance Retests From a technical perspective, the market’s structure remains bullish, though caution is warranted. Before a potential reversal or significant correction, the possibility of a liquidity grab around the key resistance level at 2667 cannot be ruled out. This move would likely attract cautious buyers and trigger stop-loss orders, temporarily pushing prices higher. A subsequent retest of key zones of interest—such as the higher resistance levels at 2675 and 2692 or the channel resistance—could follow before any meaningful correction materializes. Such behavior aligns with gold’s historical price action, where false breakouts or liquidity hunts often precede major directional shifts. Buyers, already hesitant due to the lack of strong bullish fundamentals, may adopt a wait-and-see approach as the market tests these critical thresholds. Fundamental Challenges Weighing on Gold Despite its recent climb, gold remains under pressure from a host of unfavorable factors. The following nuances continue to resist upward momentum: Stronger US Dollar: As the dollar strengthens, gold, priced in dollars, becomes more expensive for international buyers, limiting demand. Hawkish Federal Reserve: The Fed’s firm stance on controlling inflation and its willingness to maintain higher interest rates for longer reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. Global Inflation: Rising inflation in key economies, coupled with central bank tightening, creates a challenging environment for gold. Lack of Geopolitical Catalysts: With no new conflicts or crises dominating headlines, gold lacks the safe-haven demand typically driven by geopolitical turmoil. Trump’s Tariff Policies: Although dated, the lingering effects of these trade policies continue to influence the broader market sentiment, adding uncertainty to gold’s performance. Resistance and Support Levels From a technical standpoint, the following levels are crucial: Resistance: 2667 (key level), 2675 (upper zone of interest), and 2692 (channel resistance). Support: The ascending trendline near 2656 acts as a critical support level, underpinning the bullish structure in the short term. Short-Term Outlook and Market Expectations In the near term, I anticipate an attempt to break through the 2667 resistance level. Should this breakout occur, gold may test higher zones of interest such as 2675 or even 2692. However, such a move would likely face stiff resistance, paving the way for a corrective phase. The interplay of technical signals and fundamental challenges makes the current price action intriguing yet uncertain. While the structure remains bullish in the short term, the broader picture suggests caution. A breakout above resistance levels might temporarily buoy sentiment, but without solid fundamental support, any gains could prove short-lived, leading to a sharp correction as the market recalibrates. In conclusion, while gold’s recent rise has sparked interest, it remains entangled in a web of conflicting signals. As traders navigate this challenging environment, all eyes will be on key resistance levels and the broader macroeconomic backdrop to determine the metal’s next move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lonelyPlayer0
XAU/USD 09 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high priced at 2,664.330. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation We are now trading within an established internal range. Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,670.150. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD H1 Analysis Is Ready (Read The Caption)This chart represents the price action of XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Key components of the analysis include: 1. Supply Zone: The chart highlights a supply zone near the 2,698-2,681 level, where selling pressure is expected to dominate, potentially reversing the price downwards. 2. Resistance Zone: A resistance area is marked around 2,681, indicating a level where the price has previously struggled to break above. It's expected to act as a barrier for upward momentum. 3. Support Zone: A support zone is noted near 2,653, which has historically provided a base for price rebounds, preventing further declines. 4. Price Action Expectation: The blue arrows suggest potential movements: an upward attempt towards the supply zone and resistance. If rejected, the price may decline toward the identified support level at 2,653. This analysis relies on supply and demand zones, as well as key horizontal levels, to predict price movement. It reflects a possible short-term scenario for XAU/USD traders, with careful attention to breakout or reversal signals.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Mr_Ethan1
Gold next push to the upside or downside. 😌 Price has bn playing around last week high. 🫴🏻If price breaks the previous week high 2658.40 and a close above it, there's a higher probability 💯 that price is going to clear the liquidity above 2692.76 and get to the daily point of interest 2706.89 💫 🫴🏻If price did not breaks the previous week high with a candle closure above it. I am anticipating price to clear both this current week Monday's Low 2614.76 and previous week Monday's Low 2596.12. 🫵🏼 Watch out for this. The simple thing is to let price do what it wanted to and you trade what you see. Please bost if you find this one insightful.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSD
by HallowAdept