Short gold, aiming for 2600-2590Bros, gold rebounded after touching 2596 overnight, and has now rebounded to 2617. Although gold has gradually recovered, the momentum behind the rebound appears notably weak, leaving the sustainability of the recovery uncertain. Furthermore, despite the rebound from the 2596 level, there are no clear signs of bottoming out, which suggests that gold currently lacks the conditions for a trend reversal. This movement is likely just a correction to the sharp decline from yesterday, making it highly probable that gold will retrace after the rebound and retest its support levels.
In the short term, resistance is concentrated in the 2618-2625 range. If the rebound lacks the momentum to decisively break above this resistance, gold is likely to retest the 2600-2595 support zone. Should this zone be breached, the downtrend could extend further to the 2585-2580 range.
For short-term trading, I have entered a short position on gold at a price of 2615.62, using the 2618-2625 range as resistance. I anticipate that gold will once again test the 2600-2595 region. As for whether gold will extend its decline to the 2585-2580 zone, let’s wait and see!
Bros, are you optimistic about the continued decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Xauusdupdates
Gold may have another waterfall, the latest technical analysisGold continued to fall on the daily line, and once again lost the MA10 daily average line of 2614. Yesterday, it fell below the 2600 mark, and the low point moved down. The adjustment range moves down to 2590/2620. The price in the short-period four-hour chart runs along the middle and lower rails of the Bollinger Band, the moving average opens downward, the RSI indicator runs weakly below the central axis, and the intraday rebound is mainly selling at high levels!
The gold 1-hour moving average continued to cross the downward short arrangement again, and the gold fell and continuously refreshed the low point. Now gold is obviously still in a short trend, so just continue to go short. Today, 2622 is an opportunity to sell at highs, but the short-term rebound of gold near 2615 was suppressed, so you can enter the market in advance!
First support: 2595, second support: 2590, third support: 2581
First resistance: 2610, second resistance: 2615, third resistance: 2628
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2588-2590
SELL: 2613-2615
xauusd Sell XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar)
Timeframe: 1-Day (D1)
The market has created a Change of Character (CHoCH) in a bearish direction, indicating selling pressure. Currently, the price is retracing toward a significant Order Block (OB) near $2,720. If the price reacts at this level, there is a high probability of a bearish continuation, offering potential selling opportunities.
Buy gold first, then short gold at the right timeBros, after reaching the 2622 level, gold has gradually pulled back and is now trading near 2600. Fortunately, we managed to capture the short-term peak and closed our long positions near 2622, successfully locking in profits.
However, following the pullback, I have re-entered long positions in gold. I initiated a buy position around 2606, and as gold dipped further to approximately 2600, I added to my position with the same lot size. The psychological support level at 2600 remains a critical threshold, and it’s unlikely to be decisively breached in the short term during the market’s tug-of-war. Therefore, gold bulls may recover some ground during this phase, which is why I remain committed to taking long positions in the short term.
That said, given the strength of bearish momentum as gold declines, expectations for the rebound’s upside potential should be adjusted downward to the 2610-2615 range. If gold’s momentum remains weak after testing this range, we can then consider initiating short positions once again.
Bros, are you bullish on gold rebounding and regaining some lost ground? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold rebounded as expected. Did you follow me to buy gold?Bros, as I mentioned in my previous article, if gold continues to narrow its fluctuations during the downtrend, it is highly likely to find support again in the 2610-2605 zone, followed by a rebound. Currently, gold is performing exactly as I anticipated—after touching 2609 twice, it successfully halted the decline and has since rebounded, with gold currently trading around 2617.
Based on the current structure of gold, it is fully capable of attempting another push toward the 2620-2630 region. If the upward momentum continues strongly, a breakout above the 2635 level could trigger a further attempt to reach the 2640-2650 zone. I have already executed long positions near 2611 and 2610, in line with my trading strategy, and I am currently sitting on a relatively good profit. Let’s see how far this rebound can take gold!
Bros, have you followed my lead and gone long on gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading strategies and receive additional trade signals, you can join the channel at the bottom of the article. Let’s make trading easier and turning profits into a pleasure!
Buy gold with support as defenseBros, the trading journey for the new week starts from this moment.
Gold has gradually pulled back after reaching around 2638 and is currently testing the 2614 level. If the volatility of gold continues to narrow, I believe gold will find support once again in the 2610-2605 region and could potentially rebound back towards the 2620-2630 range. Therefore, in the short term, as long as gold remains above the 2610-2605 support zone, there is a good chance it will rebound again. So, for short-term trading, we can still consider going long on gold.
Bros, are you optimistic about the rebound of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Is Gold the Best Investment in a Mixed Metals Market?Gold Shines in a Mixed Year for Metals Markets
In 2024, gold emerged as a standout performer in the often-volatile metals markets. While other metals experienced a mixed bag of results, gold surged by an impressive 27%, defying the broader market trends. This bullish run can be attributed to a confluence of factors, including US monetary easing, heightened geopolitical tensions, and strategic central bank purchases.
A Year of Contrasting Fortunes
The performance of base metals in 2024 presented a more nuanced picture. While some base metals witnessed healthy gains, others struggled. Iron ore, a key ingredient in steel production, witnessed a significant decline, and lithium, often touted as the white gold of the electric vehicle revolution, also faced headwinds.
Gold's Allure: A Haven in Uncertain Times
Gold's resilience throughout 2024 can be ascribed to its inherent characteristics as a safe-haven asset. When economic or political uncertainty clouds the horizon, investors often flock to gold, perceiving it as a store of value that can weather market storms.
• US Monetary Easing: In 2024, the US Federal Reserve implemented a series of monetary easing measures, injecting liquidity into the financial system and lowering interest rates. This dovish stance by the Fed weakened the US dollar, making gold, a dollar-denominated asset, more attractive to international investors.
• Geopolitical Upheaval: The year 2024 was marked by a heightened sense of geopolitical instability. Trade tensions, regional conflicts, and concerns over global security fueled investor anxieties. Gold, perceived as a hedge against geopolitical risks, benefited from this flight-to-safety bid.
• Central Bank Buying Spree: Central banks around the world were significant buyers of gold in 2024. This strategic accumulation by central banks bolstered investor confidence in the yellow metal, further solidifying its position as a valuable reserve asset.
The Road Ahead: A Look at 2025
As we enter 2025, the outlook for metals markets remains shrouded in some uncertainty. However, several key factors are likely to influence the trajectory of gold and other metals.
• The Trajectory of US Monetary Policy: The future course of US monetary policy will be a critical determinant of gold's performance in 2025. If the Fed maintains its dovish stance, it could continue to buoy gold prices. However, if the Fed signals a shift towards tighter monetary policy, it could dampen gold's appeal.
• The Evolving Geopolitical Landscape: The geopolitical landscape in 2025 will significantly impact investor sentiment. If geopolitical tensions escalate, gold could surge as investors seek a safe haven. Conversely, a period of relative geopolitical stability could lead to a pullback in gold prices.
• China's Growth Engine: China's economic growth prospects will also be closely watched. China is a major consumer of metals, and its demand can significantly influence prices. If China's economy strengthens in 2025, it could provide a tailwind for base metals.
Gold's Strong Gains: A Harbinger of Change?
Gold's stellar performance in 2024 may signal a fundamental shift in market dynamics. After years of dominance by riskier assets like equities, investors may be returning to safe-haven assets like gold in anticipation of a more uncertain economic and geopolitical environment.
In conclusion, the year 2024 was a year of contrasting fortunes for metals markets. While gold emerged as a clear winner, other metals painted a more mixed picture. As we look ahead to 2025, the trajectory of US monetary policy, the evolving geopolitical landscape, and China's growth prospects will be the key factors shaping the performance of metals markets. Gold's robust gains in 2024 serve as a reminder of its enduring allure as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty. Whether this marks a long-term trend or a temporary blip remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: gold will continue to be a closely watched asset class in the ever-evolving global financial landscape.
How to trade gold better after the holidays?
Combining the above picture, it is not difficult to see the absolute randomness of the market.
The current trend of gold prices is still in a rebound trend after falling. Clearly there is a long opportunity, but where is the specific buying point? Some people may choose to short. Of course, these are all executable operations.
I tend to go long on gold. The short-term upper resistance is at 2645 or above, which is the front dense trading area, and there is a certain selling pressure. The support below is at 2610-2600. The support strength at this position is relatively large. The importance of integer level support.
According to the absolute contingency of the market. Plus the bullish trend. Going long in batches is likely to win. Close the order according to your expected profit.
There are no heavy factors on the news for the time being. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision before Christmas is a heavy bomb, I believe everyone has seen it. But there is no similar news in the short term. Moreover, the deliberate proxy of geopolitical wars will lead to an increase in demand for gold prices, and the gold price will definitely rise all the way with rising risk aversion. So going long is a wise choice. Maintain the above support pressure before breaking the range, and you can do some high-selling and low-buying. Replan after the range is broken. Stay tuned for updates. This way you won’t miss out on real-time analysis. If you are a novice trader, this is a good learning opportunity. If you are a long-time trader, you can also follow the insights to get some trading opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1!
Gold next Stop! I'm anticipating Gold to hit 2581.85 to clear the liquidity of the previous week low which is the Thursday low of the week (Taking it as Inducement). Hence anticipating upward movement from 2580.55 if there's a daily rejection I'd look for entry on the H4 to buy but if no rejection at that zone, I'll be anticipating the 2565.47 zone for daily rejection or H4 rejection creating an imbalance.
What's your outlook on XAU peeps.
Let's share Ideas 💡
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold A descending triangle is being drawn, Gold A descending triangle is drawn, with further breakdown of the support level
Review of previous trade:
- Gold successfully exited the triangle as expected.
- The trade worked out perfectly, bringing the expected profit.
Current Situation:
- Gold has now formed a “flag” pattern indicating the continuation of the upward movement.
- The height of the flag coincides perfectly with the strong resistance level at $2658, making this a key target.
New trade parameters:
- Entry point: on breakdown of the upper boundary of the flag.
- Target: $2658 (resistance level).
- Stop loss: hidden behind the flag boundary at $2618 to minimize risk.
- Risk/reward ratio: 1/4 - a low-risk trade with high potential return.
Recommendations:
- Wait for a confident breakdown of the flag before entering the trade.
- Control the position volume to comply with risk management rules.
- Follow market news that may affect the movement of gold.
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Gold could close the year in an optimistic toneBefore Christmas, OANDA:XAUUSD established strong support around the 2610 level, maintaining this position even during the low-volume trading days typical of the holiday season.
Currently, the price is edging higher, approaching the key resistance zone of 2645–2650. A decisive breakout above this zone could lead to further gains, potentially allowing gold to close the year on a positive and optimistic note, possibly reaching or exceeding the 2700 level.
However, a break below the 2610 support would indicate a bearish shift for gold in the near term.
XAUUSD: 26/12 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2660, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2637, support below 2600
Gold operation suggestions: The market is in a narrow range during the Christmas holiday, market liquidity is reduced, and the volatility is naturally getting smaller and smaller. Today is still under the influence of the holiday, and it is expected that there is still no intention to break through. Gold rebounded in the Asian session, but there is still suppression above 2633. If it does not break, it will still be a volatile market. Don't think too much. Gold can be directly shorted when it touches the 2630-33 area. Hold below 2633 and watch for a volatile decline.
Gold hit a high of 2633 on Monday and then fell back under pressure, reaching a low of 2608, which happened to be the 2608 support point I mentioned. On Tuesday, it fell back to a low of 2610, and once again held the 2608 support point and pulled back. Today, the Asian session opened high and approached the 2633 pressure position. Today, we will continue to pay attention to the resistance in this area. It is definitely not suitable to chase the rise near here. Before it breaks here, it will continue to rebound high. Only after a strong breakthrough above 2633 can we see the bulls continue to rise. If it falls back, we will continue to pay attention to 2608 and choose to buy low.
SELL:2633near
BUY:2621near
BUY:2610near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Lack of liquidity at the end of the year, gold sideways⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices hold steady near $2,611 as markets adjust to a more cautious stance on US interest rates. The US Dollar remains strong, bolstered by expectations that the Federal Reserve will slow its pace of rate cuts in the coming year. Fed officials now project a federal funds rate of 3.9% by the end of 2025, reflecting a slower disinflation process and lingering uncertainties about President-elect Donald Trump's policies on trade, taxes, and immigration.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold continues to move sideways in the range of 2600 - 2650 by the end of 2024
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2650 - $2652 SL $2657
TP1: $2640
TP2: $2630
TP3: $2620
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2607 - $2609 SL $2602
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2622
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold at a Crossroads: Key Correction to Avert Deeper DeclineXAUUSD Analysis: Navigating a Complex Gold Market Amid Volatility
The XAUUSD pair is currently navigating a critical juncture as it tests key zones of interest within an ongoing counter-trend correction. This comes after successfully breaching a significant resistance level earlier. However, the broader market landscape remains challenging, with bearish sentiment taking the forefront.
Fundamental Overview
The downward pressure on gold is largely driven by a combination of factors, primarily stemming from the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance. Persistent concerns about inflation, the uncertain trajectory of Trump's future policy, and mixed economic data from the past two weeks have all contributed to a negative outlook for the yellow metal.
One critical point to note is the speculation surrounding the Federal Reserve's approach to monetary policy in 2025. The cycle of interest rate cuts, initially expected to be more aggressive, now appears to be slowing, with projections indicating only two potential cuts for the year. This cautious stance has diminished gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, adding to the bearish tone in the market.
The correction observed on Friday was largely influenced by the release of PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data, which acted as a temporary catalyst for price movement. However, this correction does not appear sufficient to alter the broader bearish narrative. As the year draws to a close, liquidity in the markets is expected to decline further. This seasonal trend could exacerbate volatility, particularly if assets become mispriced in thinner trading conditions. Traders are advised to exercise heightened caution during this period.
Despite the prevailing bearish sentiment, it is essential to acknowledge the ongoing geopolitical risks that continue to underpin the gold market. Escalating tensions in the Middle East and Eastern Europe have provided a degree of support, acting as a counterbalance to the otherwise negative fundamental backdrop.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, gold appears to be forming a flag pattern following its recent sharp decline. The price is currently trading within the boundaries of this consolidation pattern. For traders, the critical focus should be on the local channel's support and resistance levels, as they will likely dictate the next significant price movement.
Resistance Levels:
2620: A pivotal level where bearish momentum could intensify if broken and defended by sellers.
2631: Secondary resistance that could act as a hurdle for any upward attempt.
2640-2650: This zone could serve as a testing ground if the price attempts to break above the channel resistance.
Support Levels:
2606: Immediate support level that may provide short-term stability.
2560: A deeper support level, which, if breached, could signal a more substantial downside move.
The 2620 level deserves particular attention. Should sellers manage to push the price below this threshold and maintain control, it could significantly amplify bearish pressure, potentially triggering a more pronounced price drop. Conversely, the possibility of a breakout above the flag pattern's resistance cannot be entirely dismissed. In such a scenario, the price might retest the 2640-2650 zone before resuming its downward trajectory.
Market Outlook and Final Thoughts
As we approach the final stretch of the year, market participants should prepare for heightened volatility fueled by reduced liquidity. Mispriced assets during this period could lead to unexpected price swings, making risk management a top priority. While the bearish narrative remains dominant, traders should remain vigilant for any developments that could shift the balance of power, including geopolitical escalations or unexpected shifts in monetary policy.
In summary, the gold market presents a complex mix of technical setups and fundamental drivers. Navigating this environment requires a careful balance of short-term tactical positioning and a broader understanding of the macroeconomic landscape. Keep an eye on key levels and stay prepared for potential surprises in this volatile market.