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XAUUSD at the Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown?OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAUUSD) is trading around $3,237, currently testing a descending trendline and minor resistance. A clear breakout above this level could open the way to retest the $3,289 resistance area, followed by the $3,435 recent high and potentially the all-time high near $3,498. Failure to break higher may see the price remain range-bound between $3,240 and $3,289. A break below support at $3,123 would be bearish and could trigger a drop toward $3,050. Fundamental Drivers: Moody’s US credit downgrade continues to support safe-haven flows Fed commentary and trade uncertainty cap directional clarity Higher Treasury yields remain a headwind for Gold 📌 Key Levels: Minor resistance: $3,240 Major resistance: $3,289 / $3,435 Support zone: $3,123 / $3,050
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
The latest gold operation strategyFrom a technical perspective, gold prices experienced a unilateral decline on Thursday, hitting a key support level of $3,120/ounce at the lowest. In the early trading session of the European market, a strong forced short rebound began, with a daily increase of nearly $120. The daily level closed with a long lower shadow positive line, indicating strong buying support below, and the correction formed at the top of the $3,435/ounce stage may be coming to an end. At present, it is necessary to focus on whether the price can continue to stabilize the 5-day moving average (currently running near $3,220/ounce). If the closing today confirms that it has stabilized at this technical level, it can be regarded as a signal of the end of the downward trend. The market may restart the medium-term upward structure, and the market is expected to challenge the integer level of $3,500/ounce or even higher targets in the future. From the gold 15-minute K-line chart, the K-line relies on the 5-day moving average to rise continuously, and the gold market is relatively strong, but the MACD red column shrinks, and the short-term may be corrected. In terms of operation, it is possible to go long if the 10-day moving average of 3,220 is maintained. In summary, it is recommended to buy gold in the short-term correction today, and short gold in the rebound. Pay attention to the resistance of 3260-3280 on the top and the support of 3200-3190 on the bottom. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to buy gold in the correction area of ​​3200-3195, with a stop loss at 3187 and a target of 3220-3240 2. It is recommended to short gold in the rebound area of ​​3225-3230, with a stop loss at 3238 and a target of 3215-3200
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BarryDouglass
3202 Buy and see reboundGold, the price fell to 3120 on Thursday and then rebounded, and boosted by the market's risk aversion sentiment, it rose to 3252 overnight, and the trend continuity is poor; the daily chart recorded a real big sun, and it will maintain a wide range of fluctuations in the short term, waiting for the results of the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations; First fell back, now reported 3207; short-term decline and rebound showed a signal of stopping the decline, and a rebound and consolidation are expected in the evening; short-term support 3202, strong support 3192-3186; short-term resistance 3214-3218, strong resistance 3224-3230, break to see 3252; In terms of operation, it is recommended to try to buy in the short term; Strategy 1: Buy near 3202, protect 3192, target 3242;
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BarryDouglass
XAU/USD 19 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 15 May 2025. In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome. As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS. While a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) has printed, I am exercising discretion and not marking it as such, given the shallow nature of the pullback. Additionally, another bullish CHoCH has printed, with price now trading within a defined internal range. I will continue monitoring this closely, particularly in relation to the depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765 Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
How to layout in the battle between long and short positionsGold surged directly at the opening, which is in line with our analysis expectations. We gave a short position near 3240-45. As expected, gold fell to the 3230 line for profit. There is great pressure from above and limited space above. Up to now, it has been fluctuating near 3220. For gold, we are now focusing on the short-term support of 3200-06. If it breaks through this position, it is very likely to go to the 3175-90 line. From the current trend analysis, today's support continues to focus on 3170-80, strong support 3150, and upper pressure 3253-60. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, you must watch more and move less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will notify you of the specific operation strategy in time and pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: short gold rebound near 3240-50, target 3230-3220. Pay attention to the support of 3202 and 3175 below, and go long according to the strength of the decline!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
1
5/19 Gold Trading Signals🔍 Market Overview: Last Friday, gold prices entered the 3176–3148 buy zone, and after the market opened today, prices rose to 3249, yielding substantial profits. From a technical perspective, the overall trend is still under the pressure of a double-top pattern. In the short term, price action remains in a range, but the lows are gradually rising. However, indicators are not yet favorable for bulls. In this case, if the bulls want to take control, then the support at 3182–3176 becomes extremely important during any pullback. 🗞️ News Background: Trump’s tax cut bill has been approved by a key committee in the U.S. House of Representatives. 👉 This week, further progress must be closely monitored as it directly impacts gold's safe-haven demand. If trade tensions flare up again, gold is likely to rise sharply due to renewed safe-haven demand. If tensions continue to ease, downward pressure on gold will likely increase. Also, watch out for any comments on monetary policy — if rate cut expectations increase, gold could face additional downside risk. 📈 Today’s Trading Strategy: 🟢 Buy Zone: 3196 – 3176 🔴 Sell Zone: 3293 – 3318 🔄 Scalp/Flexible Trading Zones: 3188-3209-3236-3252-3269-3282
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
XAUUSD GOLD Just Grabbed liquidity Below a key low analysis Full Guide: How to Use COT Data for Trading XAUUSD (Gold) 1. What is COT Data? The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is a weekly publication by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It shows the aggregate positioning of different types of traders in the futures markets. For XAUUSD (Gold), you’ll look at the Gold futures (COMEX) section. 2. Key Trader Categories in COT Report 1. Commercials (Hedgers): Typically big institutions or producers like mining companies. They use futures to hedge exposure, not speculate. Usually short during rallies and long when price is low. 2. Non-Commercials (Large Speculators): Hedge funds, money managers. Considered the "smart money." Full Guide: How to Use COT Data for Trading XAUUSD (Gold) 1. What is COT Data? The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is a weekly publication by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It shows the aggregate positioning of different types of traders in the futures markets. For XAUUSD (Gold), you’ll look at the Gold futures (COMEX) section. --- 2. Key Trader Categories in COT Report 1. Commercials (Hedgers): Typically big institutions or producers like mining companies. They use futures to hedge exposure, not speculate. Usually short during rallies and long when price is low. 2. Non-Commercials (Large Speculators): Hedge funds, money managers. Considered the "smart money." Follow trends and often drive major moves. 3. Nonreportables (Retail/Small Traders): Smaller traders, often contrarian indicators. Not always consistent with price direction. --- 3. Where to Find COT Data CFTC Website Tools like: Tradingster.com BarChart.com COTbase.com Look for "Legacy" or "Disaggregated" COT reports for Gold - COMEX. --- 4. How to Read the COT Data for Gold Key Metrics: Longs/Shorts: Number of contracts held. Net Positions: Longs minus Shorts.Changes WoW: Increase/decrease in positions compared to the prior week. Example Insight: If Non-Commercials are heavily net long, and reaching historical highs, market may be overbought. If Commercials increase shorts significantly, they may be preparing for a price decline. A divergence between price action and COT data often signals potential reversal. --- 5. Using COT for Gold Trading (XAUUSD)A. Trend Confirmation Rising net long positions by non-commercials = bullish confirmation. Decreasing net long or rising shorts = weakening trend or reversal. B. Reversal Spotting Extremes in positioning (e.g., record longs by speculators) often precede reversals. Look for non-commercials reducing longs while commercials increase shorts—potential top. C. Liquidity Grabs and COT If gold grabs liquidity (stop hunts) and COT shows heavy speculative positioning, that could be a smart money trap. A strong bullish reversal after liquidity grab with increasing net longs confirms a momentum shift. --- 6. How to Combine COT with Technical Analysis Use COT to validate or question what you see on the chart. Example Setup: Chart: Gold drops below key support (liquidity grab). COT: Non-commercials increase longs that week. Conclusion: Smart money bought the dip — potential for bullish reversal. Combine with: Market structure Volume Sentiment tools Price action (e.g., bullish engulfing, break of structure) --- 7. Limitations and Tips Lagging Data: COT is released every Friday for data on Tuesday. Use it for context and macro positioning, not for intraday trades. Look at weekly or monthly trends, not daily. Best used alongside price action and other confirmation signals. --- Conclusion COT data is a powerful tool for understanding who is behind the move in gold. By tracking the positioning of major players, you can: Confirm trends Spot early signs of reversal Align your trades with institutional momentum
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
1
Gold Market Analysis for Next WeekLast Friday's chart analysis was highly consistent with the market trend, and satisfactory results were achieved in trading.👉👉👉 Based on the 4-hour trend analysis, for the opening of gold on Monday, we will first focus on the short-term resistance at the 3,224-3,230 level, and the key resistance at the 3,253-3,260 level. Below, we will pay attention to the short-term support at the 3,170-3,175 level. The operational suggestion is to focus on shorting on rebounds. XAUUSD trading strategy sell @ 3230 - 3240 sl 3260 tp 3215 - 3220 If you think the analysis helpful, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you for reading!👉👉👉
FX:XAUUSDShort
by JeromeGrote
Gold Market Summary for Last WeekLast Friday's chart analysis was highly consistent with the market trend, and satisfactory results were achieved in trading.👉👉👉 On Friday, the international gold price fell, potentially recording its largest single-week decline in six months. This trend is mainly attributed to the strengthening of the U.S. dollar and the easing of concerns about the China-U.S. trade war, which together weakened gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. Gold prices plummeted by more than 2% at one point on Friday, with a cumulative decline of nearly 4% this week—largely driven by increased risk appetite brought about by the trade agreement—marking the largest single-week drop since last November. The mitigation of the trade war has led to a rebound in risk appetite across the market. This shift has prompted futures traders to take profits, particularly in the gold market, triggering a week-long wave of position liquidation. Gold has faced pressure in recent weeks as the market has ruled out stagflation expectations and repriced rate-cut expectations. Currently, the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by approximately 58 basis points by the end of the year, compared to 120 basis points at the peak of panic in April. However, in the short term, the repricing of rate-cut expectations may exert pressure on gold. XAUUSD trading strategy sell @ 3230 - 3240 sl 3260 tp 3215 - 3220 If you think the analysis helpful, you can give a thumbs-up to show your support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments. Thank you for reading!👉👉👉
FX:XAUUSDShort
by JeromeGrote
Gold ended this week successfully!In terms of news, first, the easing of the trade situation weakened the safe-haven property of gold. Secondly, a series of data released this week and the Fed's emphasis on not rushing to cut interest rates also suppressed the gold price. In addition, the parties involved in geopolitical conflicts also began talks. Although there are differences in negotiating positions, they still have to solve the problem when they can sit down and talk. Because of the repeated news, the closing price at the end of the week was also above 3200, so some people still believe that the gold price will go to 3500, and even think that it will exceed this position. I have mentioned this in my previous analysis. The gold price was first stimulated by multiple news and buying rushed up. Now that the risk aversion has receded, I think it is reasonable to see the gold price fall. Let's analyze it from the technical side: the rhythm of gold has changed rapidly recently, and next Monday is actually the key. The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to show signs of turning around, so whether it can form a golden cross upwards is the key next time, or it will oscillate a few times and continue to diverge downward. The strength of gold on Monday is very critical. Gold closed with a big positive line on Thursday, which was a very fast trend. However, it fell directly on Tuesday and broke through more than half, so it cannot be said that the bulls are strong. Although it rebounded slightly in the late trading, it still closed with a big negative line. There will be two key positions on Monday next week. Pay attention to 3180 on the bottom of gold. If it falls below 3180 soon after the opening on Monday, then gold will still be weak as a whole. Pay attention to 3215 on the top. If gold breaks through 3215, then gold will be strong as a whole. If gold opens flat on Monday and the upward momentum is not strong, and it is under pressure at 3215, then you can continue to go short in the short term. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
XAU/USD weekly outlook My analysis revolves around the continuation of the current short-term bearish trend. To capitalise on this move, I’ll be watching for price to mitigate either the 4-hour supply zone or the 3-hour supply zone. If price instead decides to respect a nearby demand zone, I’ll shift focus and wait for a potential reaction from a 1-hour demand zone. From there, we could see signs of accumulation followed by a bullish reaction, leading price back up into a supply zone before continuing the sell-off in line with the prevailing trend. However, if price breaks below the 1-hour demand, that would further confirm a stronger bearish bias. Confluences for GOLD sells are as follows: - Price has broken structure to the downside, confirming the short-term bearish trend. - Price is approaching both the 4-hour and 3-hour supply zones, which could act as strong sell areas. - There is a lot of downside liquidity that remains untapped and could be targeted. - On the higher timeframes, price appears overbought due to the recent corrective move. P.S. If price fails to respect the nearby supply zones and breaks through them, I’ll then look for a reaction from a more premium supply level. Overall, my long-term bias remains bullish based on the higher timeframes.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
11
Gold fluctuates greatly. What will happen next week?Gold fluctuated greatly on Thursday and Friday. It is difficult to implement an operation strategy in this market. It is difficult to go short or long. The market does not continue the next day, and there are few suitable trading opportunities in the process of changing the market. So what should gold do next week? Has the rhythm of gold changed again? The rhythm of gold has changed rapidly recently, and next Monday is actually the key; the 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to show signs of turning, so whether it can form an upward trend is the next key. The strength of gold on Monday is very important. Gold closed with a big positive line on Thursday, but it fell directly on Tuesday and pierced the support level, which cannot be said to be completely bullish. Although it rebounded slightly in the late trading, it still closed with a real big negative line. Next week, we need to pay attention to two key positions. Pay attention to $3175 below. If it falls and breaks quickly after the opening on Monday, then gold will still be weak overall; pay attention to $3215 above. If gold breaks through this point strongly and stabilizes above the point, then gold will be strong overall. If gold opens flat in early trading on Monday and the upward momentum is not strong, then you can continue to short in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
XAUUSD[GOLD]; Is it the beginning of the major correction? XAUUSD dropped from 3265$ to 3127$, as predicted in our previous analysis. However, after touching 3127$, the price has retraced slightly and is currently trading at 3178$. In our opinion, the price can go up to $3220 maximum and reject at that level. We need to wait and see how prices behave. Another possible entry point is at 3178$, which is the current trading price. We believe this region is good for selling because the price has struggled to break through it. Please use a proper trading plan while trading gold. As always, this analysis doesn’t guarantee that price will move as described in the chart. Please use your own knowledge and trading plan while trading gold. Good luck and trade safely. Want to support us? Do the following ❤️ -LIKE THE IDEA -COMMENT YOUR VIEW -SHARE IF YOU AGREE Much love ❤️ Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Setupsfx_
22
Gold still has room to fall and rebounds to continue to shortGold fell as expected in the Asian session, which was in line with our thinking and expectations. Our short position was shorted near 3237-38 and exited with profit, and then shorted near 3194 and exited with profit again, and we made good profits both times. There are many people who followed the trend and went long in today's market, or even chased the long position, and without exception, they were trapped and wailing. We have repeatedly emphasized that we should treat it with a sweeping approach, and different market rhythms should be responded to with different methods. Judging from the current market trend, the European session continues to weaken. The focus should be on the gains and losses of 3180 support. If it breaks through, it will continue to look at 3150 and 3120. In this case, the short-term will return to weakness. If it does not break, we will look at a wide sweeping range. The upper pressure will focus on 3200, 3215, and 3230. The rebound will be mainly high. The weekly line will be closed tonight, and volatility will intensify.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
XAUUSD H1 CHART ANALYSIS miraninaveed337: G Sijjad Zong: (XAUUSD, 1-hour timeframe) Sell Setup (Bearish Continuation from Channel Breakout) Entry (Sell): Around current price area: $3,190 Stop Loss: Just above the recent high or marked SL area: $3,263 Take Profit (TP) Levels: 1. TP1: $3,150 – conservative target based on recent support 2. TP2: $3,121 – matching the previous low 3. TP3: $3,111 – extended target (marked horizontal support) Summary: Sell Entry: $3,190 (approx) Stop Loss: $3,263 TP1: $3,150 TP2: $3,121 TP3: $3,111 Make sure to adjust position sizing to manage risk properly
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DOCTOR_PIPS05
Long orders are trapped,what should we do with the US gold marke🗞News side: 1. India considers using new Indus River project to cut water supply to Pakistan. 2. Pay attention to the news of Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations today 📈Technical aspects: Gold once fell to around 3170, which is in line with our judgment of bullish weakness. This is why we are not in a hurry to participate in long orders today. I know that many bros also listened to the outside world and went long around 3200, which led to being trapped. At present, the gold price is constantly testing the 3170 support line. If it falls below, it will look to the 3150 support line. If it does not break, it will be treated as a shock. On the top, temporarily pay attention to the 3205-3215 line of resistance. If it encounters resistance and pressure, go short. On the bottom, first pay attention to the 3170 support line, and then pay attention to the 3150-3140 support line. Hold if it breaks. If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
GOLD Update – Short Opportunity After Pullback! Gold traders! 💛 Our key support zone (3,212 - 3,196) has just been broken, and price is now consolidating below! 🎯 We previously took big profits from this level (our followers know!), and now we’re waiting for a pullback to enter a high-probability short trade! ⚡️ Golden Rule: ✅ If price retests the level as new resistance, go SHORT! ✅ If it reverses and breaks back above, consider a LONG! 📌 Always trade with a strategy—be ready for any scenario! 💸 The Secret to Trading Success: 🔹 Keep losses small & controlled. 🔹 Let profits run & grow! 🔹 We can’t control the market, but we CAN control our risk! 🚀 Gold is always hot—what’s your take? 👇 What’s your analysis on this move? For detailed entry points, trade management, and high-probability setups, follow the channel: ForexCSP
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ForexCSP