This is a 4H chart of XAU/USD with multiple SMC annotations. 1. Chart Analysis Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
SMC Structure Identified:
• Major Break of Structure (BoS): Occurred above 3,240 → confirmed bullish intent.
• Major Change of Character (CHoCH): Happened around 3,320 (last demand broken), indicating bearish shift.
• FVG (Fair Value Gap): Marked just below the last day high — partially filled and then rejected.
• Liquidity: Equal highs and lows around 3,327 and 3,200 respectively — potential liquidity targets.
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2. Marked Points in Chart
• Last Day High / Low and Day High / Low are marked.
• 50% Day Range at approx. 3,274 — currently acting as intraday resistance.
• OB Zone around 3,214–3,218 (a critical support zone that may act as re-entry or rejection point).
• FVG Zone near 3,284 — unmitigated imbalance that price could revisit.
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3. Swing High & Low of the Day
• Swing High: ~3,327.72 (day/session high).
• Swing Low: ~3,214.31 (day/session low).
• These define the current internal liquidity pool.
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4. Trade Direction
• 4H Trend: Bearish, post CHoCH and major OB break.
• Bias: Bearish, as price is below FVG and below 50% of the daily range. OB is being respected and lower highs are forming.
• Intra-Day Opportunity: Possible short setups unless price closes strongly above 3,284–3,287 zone.
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5. Best Risk-Reward Setup (Swing/Intraday)
Scenario: Price retests FVG/OB at 3,284–3,287 and rejects.
• Entry: 3,284.00 (inside FVG)
• SL: 3,288.50 (above supply zone & equal highs)
• TP1: 3,214.00 (last day low)
• TP2: 3,200.00 (liquidity sweep & OB retest zone)
• RRR:
• To TP1: ~1:3
• To TP2: ~1:4.5
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6. Trade Setups by Timeframe
5-Minute Setup:
• Look for CHoCH near 3,284.00 zone.
• Entry: On bearish engulfing or internal BOS.
• SL: Above 3,288.00.
• TP: 3,214.00 (previous low).
1-Hour Setup:
• Wait for 1H candle rejection at FVG or last day’s high.
• Entry: 3,284–3,287.
• SL: 3,290.
• TP1: 3,214.00.
• TP2: 3,200.00.
4-Hour Setup:
• Use higher timeframe OB for re-entry.
• Look for price closing below 3,214.00 → opens short continuation toward 3,160 or deeper (OB at 3,100).
• Swing Trade Setup: Short from 3,284.00 → SL 3,290 → TP 3,100–3,080 (RRR: ~1:6).
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7. CRT Model Evaluation
• C – Context: HTF structure shifted bearish after CHoCH; price rejected FVG and supply zones.
* R – Retracement: Price retraced into OB and FVG in premium, providing a sell opportunity.
• T – Trend Continuation: If 3,214 breaks cleanly, expect continuation toward 3,160 and possibly 3,100.
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Summary
• Bias: Bearish under 3,284–3,287 zone.
• Key Levels to Watch:
• Resistance: 3,284–3,287 (FVG + OB).
• Support: 3,214–3,200 (liquidity pool + OB).
• Best Trade: Short from FVG zone on confirmation with TP at day low and deeper OBs.
Xauusdupdates
XAUUSD is expected to fall further.After a night of trend changes, XAUUSD has reached 3225. This is consistent with my prediction this week, and the direction is also consistent. In terms of operations, most of the orders are short-selling. This allows us to seize the opportunity to make money by shorting XAUUSD in the market.
BTCUSD also successfully reached 95,000 after a small correction, which is very critical for buying at a low level to make a profit.
The three-year-long Russian-Ukrainian situation may end
If this "farce" is declared over, XAUUSD will fall at a faster rate. Currently in a downward trend, XAUUSD needs to focus on the opportunity to sell after the rebound. 3273-3255. The target is 3200 first. If it breaks through sharply, it can be considered to reach 3170. There are risks in trading. Remember to proceed with caution.
If you don't know how to trade. Follow me.
3236 becomes the dividing line between long and shortGold 3243 is the watershed between long and short positions. As long as this point is not broken, shorting at highs is still the main theme. You can continue to arrange short positions based on the suppression of 3236. The 3195-3190 area below is an important support. If the market retreats to this area, you can consider going long based on the actual situation and seize the opportunity of long-short conversion.
The most fundamental trading logic of XAUUSD.From the trend of XAUUSD, it is still mainly selling.
Trading logic, the current geopolitical situation has eased, which is the biggest negative news for xauusd. Tariffs have eased.
In other words, selling pressure exceeds demand.
So continue to sell at the current price of 3230-3220. The target is below 3200.
Always remind trading risks. So don't ignore this. If you don't know how to trade. Remember to wait and see. Don't trade blindly or gamble.
Many investor friends know that I have led some investors to create good profits for several consecutive days. If you don't know how to trade, remember to leave me a message and try it. Maybe your profit will double.
The short position continues to approach the expected point📌Fundamentals:
From the news perspective: the United States released a trade agreement and tariff reduction signal, the trade situation eased, resulting in a decline in market demand for safe-haven assets, triggering a sell-off in gold; the situation between Russia and Ukraine weakened, and the dawn of peace talks was approaching, which was a negative factor for gold; at the same time, the situation between India and Pakistan heated up, which supported the gold price to a certain extent.
📊Technical aspects:
In the past few days, we have been emphasizing that gold should be bearish, and reminded that gold is likely to break and fall sharply.
From a technical perspective: the lower track of the Bollinger band at the 4-hour level broke through, and there was no sign of stabilization. The support of $3,250/ounce turned into pressure, the downward channel has been opened, and MACD has walked out of the hovering area, and the downward momentum has been strengthened; at the daily level, the MACD indicator is dead cross running, and the KDJ indicator enters the oversold area, showing that the short-selling force has an absolute advantage.
The short-term short-selling force of spot gold is strong, and the gold price is in a downward trend. Before there is an obvious reversal signal, the short-term trend is still bearish.
🎯Practical strategy:
Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3235-3245, target 3220-3200.
XAU/USD Trade Plan 30/4/2025XAUUSD Trade Setup:
We are watching the 3260 resistance level closely. If the market breaks above 3260, we will look for a buy opportunity, targeting the 3390 level.
However, if the market fails to break above 3260 and shows signs of rejection, we will consider a sell setup, with a potential move down toward the next support at 3200.
Buy@3200With gold approaching the crucial 3,195 support mark, let's wait for the rebound.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@3200
🚀 TP 3240 - 3260
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
#XAUUSD: Major Update 01/05/2025, Read Description! Gold has dropped over 700 pips since yesterday evening, suggesting further price correction. This is primarily due to strong US dollar data indicating potential correction in DXY Index prices. Additionally, there are speculations that the US has reached out to China for trade talks, although this has not been confirmed. Today and tomorrow are major trading days, with significant news expected to shape gold prices.
For now, you can monitor the prices or take entry if they reach your chosen risk management area. The decision to enter or exit is entirely up to your analysis.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
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Gold’s short trend intensifies! Main empty follow up.📌Fundamentals:
📊Technical aspects:
Gold, the price of this round has fallen from the historical high of 3500. After the first round of selling to 3260, it rebounded and repaired 3370; it rebounded to 3358 during the week and then weakened again. The Asian market opened with a rapid sell-off below 3260 and is now trading around 3234; the short position in each cycle is good, and the pre-non-agricultural market continues to be bearish. The target is adjusted to the parallel attack and defense range of 3193-3168.
Short-term resistance 3235-3240, strong resistance 3246-3250, 3260 is not expected to arrive; short-term support 3220, strong support 3210-3194.
🎯Practical strategy:
Recommendation to short on rebound: short around 3240-3250, target 3220-3200.
How to trade when ADP comes?The selling opportunity was announced earlier. XAUUSD successfully reached TP3306 and 3280.
It is predicted that the market will reach 3250 again. So now is a good time to sell.
When ADP is bullish. Continue to short after the rebound. If it is bearish. Then go short. The target is 3250-3230
No Bottom Yet: Gold’s Technical Targets Point LowerSince Monday, I’ve been saying that Gold hasn’t finished correcting, and the price action is now confirming that view. The drop continued with breaks below two key levels: the 3300 figure and the 3270 support, which was the recent low.
After some sideways action (a bit of a limbo), we finally got the clean breakdown. At the time of writing, price sits at 3248, having just bounced slightly from the 3240 support, which aligns with mid-April’s ATH.
Now comes the big question: Is Gold done correcting?
In my opinion, not yet – and here’s why:
Technical reasons for further downside:
1. The break below 3270 is significant and opens the door to deeper correction.
2. We now have two measured targets:
📉 Measured range target: ~1000 pips → puts price below 3200.
📉 First leg down: ~2500 pips → could push price closer to the 3000 zone.
Trading Plan:
The strategy remains unchanged: sell the rallies. As long as price stays below 3270-3290 zone, downside continuation is the base case.
A move towards at least 3200 looks very probable – and deeper levels can't be ruled out.
Don’t rush to call a bottom – let the market show when the correction is really done. Until then, the bias stays bearish. 🚀
P.S: Expect great volatility to remain
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold key resistance not broken, Continuation of weak shock!📌 Pattern analysis and attention:
📊Technical aspects: The current golden week maintains a range of 3260-3360 fluctuations, showing a weak oscillation pattern of falling first and then rising, but with stronger downward momentum. Technical aspects show that 3360 is a short-term long-short watershed. If it cannot be broken through, it will maintain low-level fluctuations; 3340 is the core key position. If it stands firm, it will turn into a strong oscillation, otherwise it will continue to be weak. The first two days of the week closed below 3320, confirming short-term weakness.
🎯Practical strategy: Short sell when it rebounds to 3320-3325 area, target 3310-3300.
Gold Key Points Summary How to grasp the end of the monthly line📌Fundamentals:
Trade policy easing and dollar rebound
Economic data and Fed policy game
Russia-Ukraine conflict and Middle East situation
📊Technical aspects:
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper side continues to focus on the short-term suppression of the 3328-35 line, focusing on the 3345-56 first-line suppression. During the day, the counterattack relies on this position to continue to bearish and continue to fall. The lower support is around 3290-85, and the short-term long-short strong and weak watershed is the 3260-65 first-line mark. Before the daily level does not fall below this position, we will continue to see long and short shocks, and the high-altitude low-multi cycle will mainly participate.
🎯Practical strategy:
1. Go short when gold rebounds at 3328-35, and cover short positions when it rebounds at 3343-52. Target 3310-3315, and look at 3275-80 if it breaks;
3265 is a strong support level for the current price of gold3265 is a strong support level for the current price of gold
Before today's data release, the market situation was in line with our previous analysis, and the trading strategy was still mainly focused on short selling. The previous market trends have shown that the price level of 3,265, as a strong support level, has been verified as effective on multiple occasions. When the price approaches around 3,265, and at the same time, favorable news emerges, which aligns with the support level we have analyzed, we should quickly seize the opportunity and decisively execute long positions ⏱️. We must always maintain a keen sense of observation to be able to flexibly respond to the rapidly changing market fluctuations
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3330 - 3320
🚀 TP 3300 - 3280
🚀 Buy@3265 - 3275
🚀 TP 3300 - 3310
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
XAUUSD: Gold Once Again Back To $3270 Region, What Next ? Gold has once again backed to the 3270 region and rejected it, currently trading at 3280$. The main question is whether gold will hold on to this level. If not, we could see a strong sell-off taking the price to 3130. This is because the sellers’ presence has increased, and the price has been volatile due to mixed news and economic data, further strengthening the bears’ position in the market.
Despite this, we remain optimistic that gold will continue its bullish move upwards. There’s a strong reason for this: we may see all-out war happening in Asia, although this is purely speculative. For now, you may decide to continue monitoring the price or even take a swing buy, which could be risky.
Given the volatility of gold, we recommend trading cautiously and taking extra precautions while trading gold.
Wishing you good luck and safe trading!
Thank you for your support! 😊
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#XAUUSD: 676+ Pips Since Our Last Entry! Comment Your Views! As we explained in our previous chart, the price will retouch 3270$ and then continue the bullish movement. The price did exactly that, with a 674+ increase from our last idea. It’s now on the way towards $3500 or beyond. Get ready for a big move on gold this week, but be extra cautious as the price can be volatile.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
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XAUUSD: Intraday Bullish Move Up To $3400! The OANDA:XAUUSD price has shown strong bullish momentum, indicating it will likely continue to rise above $3400. However, the price is currently volatile and is likely to remain so.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
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Gold continues to fluctuate widely, mainly long at low levelsAs gold broke below the 3300 mark in the European session, the market once again tested the 3270 first-line support, which is the edge of the lower track of the channel.
rading idea: Go long gold near 3270, with a strict stop loss of 3267 and a target of 3300
Gold Plan: Waiting for the 1000 Pips Drop UnderwayYesterday, I highlighted that the 3280 support zone looked fragile and warned of a potential breakdown.
However, once New York opened, bulls stepped in aggressively, pushing Gold above Friday’s close and triggering my stop loss along the way.
Key Question:
Has the bullish momentum changed the bigger picture?
Why I Still Expect a Drop:
- Despite yesterday's green close, the broader structure remains bearish.
- The 3370 resistance zone is still intact, and Gold is vulnerable under it.
- My target remains a move under 3280, aiming for the 3200 area.
T rading Plan:
I will continue to look for selling opportunities, especially on spikes toward resistance zones, targeting a 1000 pips move down.
Final Words:
The market needs to confirm the plan, but patience and discipline will bring the 🚀 in the right direction!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.