Price channel break. Will the downtrend take place?✏️USDCAD broke the price channel and started forming a bearish wave. The resistance zone of 1.370 played an important role in starting the bearish wave. 1.365 is the immediate support zone that the pair faces. If it wants to extend the decline, it needs to close the h1 candle below this price zone. The convergence between the trendline and the resistance of the Asian session will be a reliable support point for a downtrend to take place.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 1.365-1.356
Resistance: 1.370
SELL Trigger: Rejects bellow 1.370
SELL DCA Trigger: Break support 1.365
Target 1.356
BUY Trigger: Break and trading above resistance 1.370
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Xauusdupdates
Gold Update – Strong Breaks, Strong BullsYesterday, after the break of the key 3370 resistance, Gold corrected slightly toward 3383, then consolidated briefly in that area. From there, it launched into a strong new leg up, closing the day once more near the highs, around 3430.
📌 What’s important here is that the price did not even come back to retest the broken resistance — now turned support. Combined with the strong daily close near the high of the range, this gives us a clear message:
➡️ Bulls are in full control.
________________________________________
🔍 This Week – Three Key Breaks
So far this week, Gold has delivered three major breakouts:
• ✅ A clean breakout from the box consolidation that kept price stuck and indecisive last week
• ✅ A decisive break above the 3400 psychological figure
• ✅ A breakout above the symmetrical triangle resistance, which had been forming since late April
Each of these is significant on its own. Together, they suggest a shift toward a more aggressive bullish scenario.
________________________________________
🔮 What’s Next?
All these breakouts point to the potential for more gains ahead.
In fact, the next logical step could be an attempt to mark a new All-Time High.
My view remains the same:
Buying dips remains the strategy of choice, with a focus on the 3400 zone as a key support area, and a swing target around 3500.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD (Gold) Buy Setup✅ Entry: As marked on chart
🎯 Take Profit 1 (TP1): Highlighted on chart
🎯 Take Profit 2 (TP2): Highlighted on chart
🎯 Take Profit 3 (TP3): Highlighted on chart
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Defined below recent swing low
📊 Technical Insight (Dow Theory):
Gold is currently in a primary uptrend, confirmed by a series of higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart.
Recent price action shows a secondary retracement that has respected the previous swing low, maintaining structural integrity.
A bullish reversal has emerged at a key demand zone, signaling potential continuation of the primary trend.
Momentum indicators align with the trend, and volume analysis suggests accumulation, supporting bullish bias.
📍 As long as price remains above the stop loss level, we anticipate a drive towards TP1 and potentially TP2, TP3 as the next leg of the uptrend unfolds.
🚨 Conservative traders may wait for a confirmed breakout above the last minor high for further validation.
XAUUSD Breakout Structure | Smart Money Bullish Roadmap 🚨 XAUUSD 2H | Smart Money Concept Setup
Price perfectly tapped into demand zone and showed a strong bullish reaction — now forming a clear BOS (Break of Structure).
📍 Key Liquidity Zones:
• Price swept previous lows and is now targeting major liquidity levels marked as “Target Points.”
• Bullish momentum is expected to push price towards 3410 – 3425 range 📈
🔁 Expect possible consolidation before a continuation to upper targets.
💡 Strategy:
Wait for a minor pullback near the 3380–3390 level for confirmation, then ride the momentum to higher targets.
🎯 Target Levels:
1. 3398 ✅
2. 3410 🚀
3. 3425+ (Final Target)
📌 Like, Follow & Save if you caught this early 📊
#XAUUSD #SMC #LiquidityGrab #GoldSetup #TradingViewIdea #SmartMoney #Breakout
Bulls are still the main theme, 3400 is not the high point📰 News information:
1. Fed Chairman Powell delivers a welcome speech at a regulatory conference
2. The tariff deadline is approaching
📈 Technical Analysis:
Today's opening high reached around 3402, and did not effectively break through the upper resistance of 3405-3415. As I said yesterday, a decline and return to the moving average is an inevitable result. The tariff issue is still there, with the deadline on August 1, and the daily MACD indicator still shows a golden cross. The general direction of short-term bullishness has not changed, but from a technical point of view, gold still has room to fall to correct the overbought part.
Below the day, we first focus on the top and bottom conversion position of 3377-3375. As time goes by, the 4H middle track will probably resonate with the 50% position of the Fibonacci line at 3355, which is also a good long position I expect. Therefore, if the price falls back to 3380-3375 for the first time during the day, you can consider going long. If the price continues to fall, pay attention to the second opportunity to go long at 3355, with the target at 3390-3410.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3380-3375
TP 3390-3410
BUY 3360-3350
TP 3370-3380
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Don't chase the bullish trend,wait for the short position layout#XAUUSD
The tariff policy recently announced by the US government is undoubtedly the focus of the current gold market. Trump also tied the tariffs to the trial of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, adding to policy uncertainty. ⚖️
The implementation of the tariff policy may push up commodity prices, thereby exacerbating inflationary pressure, which is both an opportunity and a challenge for gold📊. On the one hand, rising inflation expectations may enhance the attractiveness of gold as an anti-inflation asset; on the other hand, the strengthening of the US dollar and US Treasury yields may offset this positive. 💡
At present, the lower support has moved up to the 3375-3365 area, where a top-bottom conversion position will be formed. The upper short-term resistance level is 3387-3393, the previous high. If the market touches this for the first time, you can try to see a double top fall.
🚀SELL 3385-3390
🚀TP 3365-3355
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) 2-Hour Chart - OANDA2-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Gold Spot against the U.S. Dollar (XAUUSD) from OANDA, covering the period up to July 22, 2025. The current price is 3,395.285, reflecting a 1.775 (-0.05%) decrease. The chart includes buy/sell indicators (3,395.780 buy, 3,394.890 sell), a highlighted resistance zone around 3,400-3,425, and a support zone around 3,370-3,386. The chart also features technical analysis tools and annotations indicating potential price trends.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 22, 2025
🔍 Momentum Overview
• D1 timeframe: Momentum has entered the overbought zone, signaling a potential reversal within the next 1–2 sessions. That said, the current bullish leg may still extend — it’s important to wait for tomorrow’s D1 candle close for confirmation. Entering overbought territory is a warning that upside momentum is weakening.
• H4 timeframe: Momentum is currently declining. Unless a strong bullish candle closes above 3391 to trigger a reversal, the price is likely to continue moving sideways or downward today.
• H1 timeframe: There are signs of a bullish reversal. If the price holds above 3385 and posts a strong breakout candle above 3391, it could present a short-term buying opportunity.
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update
• Price is consolidating within the 3390 – 3402 range — a key zone to monitor closely.
• The 3380 level is a critical threshold, aligned with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement of Wave (3). A daily close below this level would raise the possibility that the move is part of a correction rather than Wave 4.
• A flat ABC correction is currently unfolding, with the 1.618 extension of Wave A already reached at 3385.
• If price breaks below 3360, it would overlap with the previous Wave 1, invalidating the current impulsive wave count. In that case, we should consider the potential continuation of a larger abcde triangle correction.
🔗 Momentum & Wave Structure Combined
• H1 is showing early signs of a bullish reversal, but H4 momentum remains bearish. Without a strong breakout candle above 3391, price is likely to drift sideways or lower until H4 reaches the oversold zone.
• Conservative approach: Wait for H4 to enter oversold territory before considering any long positions.
• The ideal buy setup would be a bullish reaction from the 3382 – 3380 zone.
📈 Trade Setup
• Buy Zone: 3382 – 3380
• Stop Loss: 3372
• Take Profit 1: 3402
• Take Profit 2: 3412
• Take Profit 3: 3428
Gold - Above 3370 Is Bullish Territory – But 3360 Must Hold📆 What happened yesterday?
After more than a week of frustrating, sideways price action, Gold finally broke out above the key 3370 resistance zone.
The breakout was clean and impulsive, with TRADENATION:XAUUSD pushing to an intraday high around 3400.
Following that move, price printed a small double top near the high and began a modest correction — perfectly normal after such a breakout. At the time of writing, Gold trades at 3385, still holding above former resistance.
📈 Why this breakout matters:
The daily close at 3396 came in strong and near the top, leaving behind a clear Marubozu candle
This kind of price action signals conviction and momentum
The breakout confirms what I’ve been anticipating for days — the range is resolved, and the market is choosing the bullish path
🎯 What to expect next:
If price stabilizes above 3400, the road to 3450 opens — which is the target mentioned in my previous analyses
That area represents the next major resistance and likely magnet for price if bulls stay in control
🧭 Trading Plan:
For me, the plan is now simple:
✅ Buy the dips — especially on a potential retest of the 3370–3375 broken resistance, which now turns into support
❌ Negation comes only with a daily close below 3360, which would invalidate this breakout and raise questions
📌 Conclusion:
The breakout has finally come. After days of coiling, Gold chose the upside.
Momentum is building, structure is clean, and bulls are back in control — unless 3360 fails.
Until then, I remain bullish, looking to buy dips into strength. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
The bulls rise and fall back to continue.Yesterday, gold technically held high and rose strongly in the Asian session relying on the 3350 mark. Both the European and American sessions formed a strong bullish rise and accelerated to break through the 3370 mark before the US session and continued to rise to the vicinity of the 3400 mark and fell back slightly to close strongly. The daily K-line closed with a shock break of the high-middle positive. The overall gold price broke through the recent rebound high of 3377 to form a bullish strong attack pattern. In the short term, 3377-80 became a new key support area.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's retracement relies on this position to continue to follow the trend of the main bullish bullish trend. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3350 mark. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the rhythm of retracement and bullish bullish trend. Short selling can only enter the market at key points, and enter and exit quickly without fighting.
Gold trend analysis: bullish but not chasing the rise.Gold, last Thursday's daily line closed with a long lower shadow, bottomed out and stabilized, and once again stabilized at the lower track support point of the large convergence triangle. Combined with the cyclical movement after the two stabilizations at 3247 and 3282, it was three consecutive positive rises; therefore, last Friday, and at least these two days on Monday this week, there will be consecutive positive rises; today gold rose as expected, the Asian and European sessions continued to be strong, and there was a second rise in the U.S. session. Since the U.S. session went directly higher before and after, the current support below has moved up to the 3377-75 area, where a top and bottom conversion position will be formed. Therefore, if it falls back to 3375-77 in the evening, you can continue to go long and look to above 3400. If it falls below 3370, it will fluctuate. The upper short-term resistance level is 3387-3393, the previous high. If the market touches here for the first time, you can try to see a double top decline.
Gold opening operation strategy.Gold's trend on Friday was mainly volatile upward. It can be said that gold was in a volatile market on Friday night, closing at 3350. If there is no stimulation from international news over the weekend, we will continue to be bullish next week. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope Tian Haoyang can help you avoid detours in your investment. You are welcome to communicate with us!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below continues to focus on around 3340-45, and the strong support is at the 3310 level. The key pressure above is the 3380 line. We will rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles. For the middle position, we will watch more and do less, and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Investment is not a matter of one day or one night. Losses in the early stage do not mean losses in the later stage; profits in the early stage do not mean profits in the later stage. Therefore, friends who lose money should not be discouraged, and friends who make profits should not be complacent. Let yourself invest rationally with a peaceful mind. In this ever-changing market, the rise and fall of the market is not determined by personal subjective will, but is full of more than empty fights. Victory and failure are always around, but one thing is that the trend of the market will determine the future direction. The three steps of setting the trend, selecting the position, and controlling the position are success. Therefore, choice is far greater than hard work. Choosing a good teacher will benefit a lot, and I have always been there.
The general trend is to go long after the retracementFrom the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below is 3370, the important support is 3350-55, and the upper resistance is 3400-05. The overall support range is maintained in this period to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will provide specific operation strategies in the link prompts, please pay attention in time.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long on gold when it falls back to 3370, and add more positions when it falls back to 3350-55, stop loss 3344, target 3395-3400, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Absolutely! Here's a Scalping Analysis in English markdown forma## 🪙 Gold (XAU/USD) Scalping Plan – July 22, 2025
**Chart: 15-Minute (Heikin Ashi) – OANDA**
---
### 🔍 Market Structure:
- **Current Price**: 3,389.30 USD
- **Recent BOS (Break of Structure)** confirms bullish momentum up to the **3,402 level (Premium Zone)**.
- We’ve seen **CHOCHs** (Change of Character) confirming early exhaustion.
---
### 📐 Fibonacci Zones:
| Level | Price (USD) | Significance |
|--------------|---------------|------------------------|
| 0.236 | 3,382.93 | First minor support |
| 0.382 | 3,371.00 | Equilibrium zone |
| 0.5 | 3,361.36 | Institutional entry |
| 0.618 | 3,351.72 | Deep retracement zone |
| 0.786 | 3,338.80 | High-probability reversal |
| 1.0 | 3,320.52 | Final OB/Support base |
| 1.3 (forecast)| 3,296.01 | Extended target zone |
---
### 🧠 Scalping Setup:
- **Short-term Shorts** from the **Premium zone (3,402 → 3,382)** are already in play.
- Targeting the **0.382 retracement** initially, with continuation to 0.5 and **Order Block (OB)** near **3,351**.
- If price reaches 0.618 or 0.786, we enter **Buy Setup Zone** for intraday bullish bounce.
- Strong OB visible between **3,320–3,338**; ideal for scalping longs with tight SL.
---
### 🎯 Scalping Strategy:
#### ✅ Sell Setup:
- Entry: 3,398–3,402
- TP1: 3,382
- TP2: 3,371
- SL: 3,407
#### ✅ Buy Setup:
- Entry: 3,351–3,338
- TP1: 3,366
- TP2: 3,389
- SL: 3,329
---
### 🧭 Notes:
- Watch USD news events marked on the chart (🟦).
- Avoid entering trades near high-impact data drops.
- Focus on **reaction at OB zones + confluence with Fib** for sniper entries.
---
> ⚠️ **Reminder**: Scalping is all about precision & discipline. Stick to your SL and plan!
MOST ACCURATE XAUUSD GOLD FORECAST ANALYSIS MARKETCurrent Setup & Technical Outlook
Consolidation & Pennant Formation: Gold is building a bullish pennant and trading above its 50‑day MA — a classic continuation pattern suggesting a breakout toward new highs if momentum resumes .
Key Levels:
Support: $3,330–3,340 — confirmed by multiple technical sources .
Resistance/Breakout Zone: $3,360–3,375 — clearing this could trigger a rally toward $3,400+ .
Upside Targets: $3,390, then possibly $3,500–$3,535 per weekly forecast .
Alternate Bearish Scenario: A failure around the 0.618 Fibonacci resistance (~$3,374) and overbought RSI could spark a pullback to $3,356 or lower .
---
🧠 Fundamental Drivers
Inflation & U.S. Macro Data: Market awaits June CPI/PPI and Fed commentary — cooler inflation could boost gold via dovish expectations, while hotter data may strengthen the USD and weigh on bullion .
Geopolitical & Safe-Haven Demand: Trade tensions (e.g., tariffs) are keeping gold elevated near $3,350–$3,360 .
Central Bank & Real Yields Watch: Continued gold purchases and lower real rates are supportive, although mid-term easing in risks (like global trade) could curb momentum .
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold broke above the 3,362 resistance and extended its rally into the 3,400 resistance zone, currently trading around 3,386. Price remains comfortably above both the 50MA and 200MA, which are sloping upward and acting as dynamic support—keeping short‑term structure bullish.
A confirmed break and hold above 3,400 would open the path toward the next upside targets at 3,416 and 3,440, with 3,458 as a higher‑timeframe extension if momentum continues.
If price fails to sustain above 3,383–3,400 and begins to fade, watch the initial pullback toward 3,362.
A deeper move below that would shift focus to the Pullback Support Zone.
Failure to hold there could expose price to the Support Zone and potentially the HTF Support Zone if bearish pressure builds.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
3,383 ‣ 3,400 ‣ 3,416 ‣ 3,440
Support:
3,362 ‣ 3,336 ‣ 3,317 ‣ 3,302 ‣ 3,289
🔎 Fundamental Focus –
📌 Fed Chair Powell Speaks – key event that can move USD and gold sharply.
XAUUSD Bullish Setup | Liquidity Grab to Breakout📊 XAUUSD Bullish Breakout Plan | Price Action + Key Levels Analysis 🔥
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently holding above a strong support-turned-resistance zone around $3,340 - $3,345. After a clear rejection from the support area and a bullish structure forming, price is showing potential for a clean breakout toward higher targets.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
• Support Area: $3,310 - $3,320 held strongly
• Resistance Flip: $3,345 zone acting as new demand
• Target 1: $3,375
• Target 2: $3,390 major liquidity zone
• Structure: Bullish W pattern forming above demand
This setup favors buy on retracement, aiming for breakout above recent highs. Wait for a confirmation candle above resistance before entering.
📈 Watch for liquidity grab and strong bullish impulse.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #BreakoutSetup #LiquidityHunt #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BuySetup #PriceAction #TradingView #GoldSetup #ForYou
Weekly Outlook: Gold Builds Pressure – Is the Big Move Coming?📆 Big Picture View
Since the start of 2024, Gold has been moving in a well-defined long-term bullish trend.
Yes, there were meaningful pullbacks along the way — but the direction was never in doubt. Step by step, Gold climbed over 15,000 pips in just over a year, reaching a new all-time high in late April.
📉 Post-ATH: A Period of Stabilization
After peaking, Gold shifted into consolidation mode, with price gravitating around the 3300 zone.
This sideways movement has been ongoing for the past three months, but it’s not a sign of weakness — it’s the market catching its breath.
On the weekly chart, this consolidation is now forming a symmetrical triangle, a classic continuation pattern that often appears mid-trend.
📐 The Technical Setup
- The symmetrical triangle shows compression of volatility
- Buyers and sellers are slowly converging toward a decision point
- A breakout is approaching, and when it comes, it could be explosive
🎯 What’s the Trigger?
- A confirmed break above 3450 would validate the triangle breakout
- That opens the door to quickly test the 3500 round figure
- The measured target for the triangle sits at 3800
Given the time Gold has spent consolidating (3+ months), this target could realistically be reached by year’s end
🧭 Strategic Takeaway
- As long as Gold holds above 3300, the bullish structure remains valid
- Breakout above 3450 is the green light for the next leg up
- Until then, the consolidation continues, and smart money prepares
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is building pressure. The weekly triangle is maturing.
This isn’t the end — it’s the pause before the next move.
Stay patient. Stay focused.
Because if 3450 breaks… 3800 is not a dream — it’s a destination. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
P.S: Here you have a short term analysis on Gold
July 21: Key Resistance at 3358–3366, Breakout Targets 3378–3388Good morning, everyone!
Last Friday, gold tested the support around 3332 but did not break below it. The price then rebounded to the 3358 zone, where it encountered selling pressure and pulled back. At today's open, the price retraced to the 3343 level, where support held well, prompting another rally back toward 3358.
It’s important to note that since the 3358 resistance was already tested on Friday, some of the selling pressure has likely been absorbed. As a result, there is a higher probability of a breakout today. If a breakout occurs, the next key resistance lies at 3366/3372–3378. In the case of strong bullish momentum, the price may extend further toward the 3386–3392 resistance zone.
However, if the price continues to be capped below 3358–3366, we may see a consolidation or short-term pullback. In this case, watch support at 3348–3343. Should the price successfully break above 3378, then support on pullbacks will shift higher to 3363 and 3358–3352.
🔺 Key Warning: The 3358 resistance zone is technically crucial. If the price repeatedly fails to break through, watch out for a potential double-top pattern on the 30-minute chart, which could signal a near-term bearish reversal.