Can we continue to go long on gold?The 1-hour moving average of gold is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross, and there is still no sign of a turnaround, so the gold bulls are still strong, and now gold is just falling back. The short-term support of gold is 3193, and the gold US market continues to be bullish.
Trading ideas:Gold long around 3208 sl:3193 tp:3225
Xauusdupdates
Gold Trading Analysis ReferenceTechnical analysis of gold: Gold surged to around 3245 last Friday and then adjusted. After falling back to around 3210 in the morning, it stabilized and pulled up again, forming a phased double top suppression at the 3245 line, and then adjusted in the European session. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average began to gradually diverge downward, and the price began to slowly fall below the previous row of support bands. In the short-term trend, it began to gradually weaken. Pay attention to whether there is a small rebound in the late trading to confirm the secondary downward trend. It can be seen that the 4-hour moving average ma10 has been broken, so the previous support at 3220 has now become a suppression point. And it can be found that the position of the lower am20 moving average is currently at 3180-70. Therefore, in the next 4 hours, if it cannot stand above 3220, it will face a continued retracement and decline. And there is a high probability that it will retreat deeply to 3170-60.
From the perspective of the short-term trend hourly level, the price of gold had a short correction after last week's strong rise, but it was quickly recovered and then went higher, so there is no obvious support level to refer to. Today's overall trend is volatile. Without the influence of data and news, gold does not have the basis for a sharp rise or fall. The price of gold in the US market has signs of a pullback, but it is also trading around 3200. Since it is a trend of high-level consolidation, we can continue to implement the idea of rebounding and shorting. So far, the price has been repeatedly consolidated at a relatively high level of 3193-3215. Pay attention to the effective gains and losses of the MA10-day moving average; if it closes with a big negative line, it will pull back in the short term and gradually move closer to the middle track; if it closes with a long lower shadow K line, it will not go down for the time being, and it will continue to consolidate at a high level; On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to rebound and short, supplemented by callbacks and longs. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3215-3220 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3187-3190 support.
When gold rebounds to around 3215-3218, short sell (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3200-3195, break to look at 3187
Gold will pull back to around 3187-3190, buy long (buy up) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 6 points, target around 3200-3210, break to look at 3215
Gold retreats under pressureThe daily line rose nearly 300 US dollars in three consecutive days. This kind of rapid rise and fall will not last too long. It is easy to turn to negative correction or cross sideways in a cycle of three to four days. Therefore, I think the probability of a sharp rise in gold is not high. Be careful of the market that rises and falls. Today's gold rose and fell. It just didn't break the high. It opened low at 3220 in the morning and rose successfully. Our 3220 long orders successfully stopped profit at 3235-3240; 3234 light positions were short in the European session, 3237 positions were added to short, 3218 positions were reduced, and the profit was stopped at 3209; long and short positions were all taken. For gold, there is a possibility of continued downward exploration, focusing on the 3227-3230 pressure line short, the watershed 3238, and the support below is the 3200 mark-3187 line.
Gold: It may Fall below 3180 todayOver the weekend, Trump announced a pause on tariffs for popular consumer electronics, prompting gold to gap down to 3210 at today’s open;
✅ Our recommended short entries at 3230–3260 are already in profit;
New semiconductor tariff announcements are due during the U.S. session today — the key driver for gold’s next move;
Given the fragile U.S. political/economic backdrop, escalating tariff conflict is unlikely, increasing the chance of bearish impact on gold;
With gold already trading at a premium, any "tariff relief" narrative will likely trigger speculative sell-offs;
If you're holding short positions, consider being patient — avoid premature exits due to emotional reaction to minor pullbacks.
Maintain key short entry zone: 3230 – 3260;
Expect gold to test below 3180 if market sentiment shifts
US debt crisis forces tariff shiftFrom a technical perspective, gold encountered double top suppression at the 3245 line, and the price showed a fluctuating downward trend. The 4-hour moving average system began to weaken, and the hourly arc top pattern suggested short-term adjustment needs. However, the US dollar market is brewing a counterattack. If the joint intervention of the United States and Japan in the foreign exchange market triggers a turning point, gold and silver may reappear in violent fluctuations. Everyone needs to be alert to the resonance effect of policy mutations and the trend of the US dollar. At present, the upper resistance is at 3227-3233, and the lower support is at 3193-3188. The late trading operation is recommended to rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to rebound 3215-3220 short, stop loss 3229, and the target is 3190-3175.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back 3155-3150 long, stop loss 3142, and the target is 3190-3200 and break 3240.
4/14 Gold Trading StrategiesLast Friday, gold showed a strong unidirectional rally followed by tight-range consolidation at high levels. Our bearish-biased strategy yielded limited profits, and some traders may still be holding trapped positions due to delayed exits. However, structurally, gold’s current posture signals early signs of exhaustion, and a pullback remains likely.
🔥【Key Headlines to Watch】
🇺🇸 The U.S. has suspended tariffs on popular consumer electronics, causing gold to gap down by $30 at today’s open.
🛠️ Trump is expected to unveil details on semiconductor tariffs — a reduction or pause will likely pressure gold lower.
💬 Two Fed officials speak today:
Barkin: Speech on “Navigating Through Economic Fog”
Cook: Remarks on the Fed’s evolving role in the economy.
📊 The NY Fed 1-Year Inflation Expectations report will be released — market expectations are bearish for gold.
🔍【Technical Outlook】
Gold remains near historic highs, trading at an extended premium;
The recent rally has been largely driven by speculative inflows, not solid demand;
If sentiment flips or profit-taking begins, a sharp sell-off could follow;
Structurally, gold appears to be forming a top — favor short setups at elevated levels.
🎯【Trade Setup for Today】
🔻Sell Zone: 3230 – 3250
Look to short near resistance on failed breakouts
🔺Buy Zone: 3128 – 3104
Consider long entries only on healthy pullbacks to strong support
🔄Range Zones:
3220 – 3195
3158 – 3206
Tactical range trading — adapt to intraday momentum shifts
ONGOING TRADE IN XAUUSD(GOLD)🚨 **XAUUSD – Major Rejection Incoming?** 🚨
📉 *Golden Setup Alert – April 14, 2025*
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently showing **clear signs of exhaustion** at the top of a well-respected ascending channel on the 4H chart. After a sharp bullish rally, price is now facing **resistance near $3,235**, failing to break higher and showing early signs of a potential reversal. 👀
### 🔍 Technical Breakdown:
- 🔺 **Ascending Channel:** Price has been respecting the rising channel structure — higher highs & higher lows.
- 📌 **Rejection at Upper Boundary:** The latest candle suggests **bearish pressure** right at the top of the channel.
- 📉 **Expected Retracement:** The projection indicates a move toward **$3,135**, then potentially **$3,100** — a key demand zone and midpoint of the channel.
- 🔄 **Break Below $3,135** would confirm bearish momentum.
---
### 📲 *Trader’s Takeaway:*
Now is the time to **watch closely for confirmation** of a reversal. If bearish momentum kicks in, we could see a clean short opportunity all the way to the mid-channel zone. Great R:R setup loading!
💡 *Risk Management is key — patience pays profits!*
Gold falls under pressureGold rebounded from the bottom last week, and the entire increase from 2957 to 3245 was as high as 288 US dollars. It took only three trading days. The strong V reversal went up as it went down. At present, gold has successfully stood on the 3200 mark. Can it continue to rise this week? Is there any hope for 3500?
At present, whether it is from the daily or weekly lines, they are all big Yang closings, which all show the strong rise of gold. From the big trend, there is no doubt that the bullish direction. Especially for the current political and economic situation, but it is necessary to pay attention to the process of rising, which is also accompanied by a correction or deep retracement, just like the last wave of plunge.
At present, gold is mainly affected by tariff policies, which pushes gold prices to continue to rise. Now that the tariffs have been increased to 125%, adding more is just a number game with no practical significance. There is no more to add. The next step is to return to the negotiation table, which is just a matter of time. Once such a vent is revealed in the future, gold will dive from the high platform. This is a news risk point that needs to be paid attention to. There are risks in chasing high prices, and trading needs to be cautious.
The daily line rose nearly 300 US dollars in three consecutive days. This kind of rapid rise and fall will not last too long. It is easy to turn to negative correction or cross sideways in a cycle of three to four days. Therefore, I think the probability of a sharp rise in gold at the beginning of this week is not high, and we should be careful of the market that rises and falls.
Today, gold rose and fell as expected over the weekend. It just didn't break the high. Gold opened low at 3220 and rose successfully. Our 3220 long orders successfully stopped profit at 3235-3240; European session 3234 light position short, 3237 increase short position, 3218 reduce position, stop profit at 3209; long and short turnover all won. For gold, there is a possibility of continued downward exploration, focusing on the 3227-3230 pressure line short, the watershed 3238, and the support below is the 3200 mark-3187 line.
Gold fluctuates at high levels and is under pressure to adjust!Gold gapped down and opened low, bottomed out and rebounded without breaking the 3245 line. Today's trend is biased towards decline and adjustment. Intraday trading can be kept high and low! The upper 3245 suppression retracement is expected to gamble the small double top suppression deep retracement, and the lower support is first maintained near the morning retracement low point 3210. This first determines the strength of the European session. Only after breaking can we continue to chase the short position. If gold rebounds to 3240-43 during the day, we can short it. Today, we will focus on the previous high-altitude suppression. Pay attention to whether it can effectively stabilize at 3200-3190 below. If it stabilizes, we will continue to look at the integer 3300 mark. The bulls are still strong overall, but the intraday volatility of gold is large. If the position ratio is not done well, both long and short positions are easily damaged. Therefore, the recent trading is mainly to lock the area and position control ratio, strictly stop loss in the short term during the day, and do not hold positions and carry orders overnight!
On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3240-3245, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3210-3187.
Short position strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3240-3243, stop loss 6 points, target around 3210-3200, and look at 3190 if it breaks;
Long position strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3187-3190, stop loss 6 points, target around 3215-3235, and look at 3245 if it breaks;
Choose the right time to enter the market and wait for a reboundFrom the current trend of gold, we still focus on the short-term suppression of 3245-3250 today, and the short-term support of 3200-3206 below, with a focus on the support of 3188-90. Don't chase long at the current high position. The daily level reversal and negative closing may occur at any time.
Gold operation strategy:
If gold falls back to 3200-06 and does not break, you can buy more. If it falls back to 3188-90, you can buy more. Stop loss is 3178. The target is 3248-3250. If it breaks, continue to hold.
Gold will rebound strongly if it does not break 3200The technical aspects of the gold market remain strong during the day. The weekly line closed positively for consecutive days, and the daily line remained intact for four consecutive positive lines, and the medium-term upward trend remained unchanged. At present, we need to pay attention to the possible technical correction at the beginning of the week, but as long as there is no single negative swallowing positive or continuous negative pattern, the trend direction is still bullish. The key support level is at 3200, of which 3180 is the short-term long-short watershed. If it is effectively broken, the upward momentum will be weakened; 3150 is the critical point of the medium-term trend, and a break may trigger a deeper adjustment.
H4 cycle shows that the price stabilized after falling back to the 10-day moving average near 3200, and this position became the focus of intraday long-short game. Operation strategy suggestion: If the price falls back to the 3200-3205 area without breaking, you can choose to go long, and the target is the 3245-3255 resistance zone. After breaking through, you can follow the trend. Be careful that if the 3200 support is lost, you need to adjust the strategy and pay attention to the 3180 line. Overall, keep the idea of going long on the pullback, and pay attention to controlling the position to prevent short-term volatility risks.
Gold suggestion for the evening: Go long on the 3210-3205 area, stop loss 3200, target 3235
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, I break down the key forces pushing gold to record highs. Learn how factors such as US-China trade tensions, global inflation pressures, and geopolitical uncertainty—combined with a weakening US Dollar and safe-haven demand—are reshaping the gold market.
In this quick analysis, we cover:
🔹 Inflation & Economic Uncertainty: How rising prices and central bank policies continue to drive interest in gold.
🔹 Trade Tensions & Geopolitical Risks: The impact of US-China disputes and global instability on market sentiment.
🔹 US Dollar Weakness: Why a softer USD is making gold a more attractive asset for international investors.
🔹 Technical Insights: Pinpointing key price levels and exploring potential trend continuations or reversals ahead of US retail sales data.
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Constantly assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
#GoldMarketAnalysis #Inflation #TradeTensions #GeopoliticalRisks #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldTrading
Gold Maintains Weekly Bullish Structure Amid PullbackGold Weekly Technical Outlook
Gold (XAU/USD) remains in a clear bullish trend on the weekly chart, currently trading around $3,230. After marking a new high, price action suggests a potential pullback—a healthy retracement that could set the stage for further gains.
Key Levels to Watch:
Current Price: $3,230
Retracement Zone:
First support at $3,100, a recent consolidation level
Deeper support between $2,950 – $2,900, aligned with prior breakout structure and strong demand from earlier in the trend
These levels are key for a potential bounce, as they mark high-probability zones for buyers to re-enter the market.
Upside Targets:
Short-term resistance: $3,280
Primary target (by mid-May): $3,400
This level aligns with the projected extension of the ascending structure and continuation of bullish momentum
Technical Outlook:
As long as gold holds above $2,900, the weekly bullish trend remains intact. A rebound from the retracement zone would likely lead to a renewed rally targeting the $3,400 region.
Resistance Holds at $3,245; Bearish Targets in FocusGold (XAU/USD) has recently encountered resistance near the $3,245 level, failing to sustain a breakout during the Asian session. The market opened with a downside gap, which was subsequently filled, indicating a temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers.
Currently, price action suggests a potential liquidity sweep above recent highs before any significant downward movement. Traders should monitor for signs of stop-loss hunts or false breakouts, as these could precede a bearish reversal.
The short-term outlook remains bearish, with the previous all-time high (ATH) near $3,170 serving as an initial target. A break below this level could open the path towards the $3,000 FVG as well as support zone, aligning with key technical indicators and market sentiment.
It's essential to stay vigilant for any developments in U.S.-China trade relations, as these geopolitical factors continue to influence gold's price dynamics. Adjusting trading strategies in response to such news can help manage risk and capitalize on market movements.
XAUUSD Today's strategyLast week, the price of gold fluctuated sharply. It reached a low of $2,955, a high of $3,245, and finally closed at $3,238. The maximum cumulative increase throughout the week was $290, and the trading activity in the market reached a new high for the current stage.
This rally is also extremely rare in the historical price trends of gold over the past few decades. The driving factors are far beyond traditional logic – not only driven by the heightened inflation expectations and the weakening of the US dollar, but also more deeply induced by the intensification of the cracks in the global trade system and the continuous spillover of geopolitical risks. The uncertainty pervading the market has dampened investors' confidence. Central banks and sovereign wealth funds around the world have turned to increasing their holdings of physical gold one after another to avoid the systemic risks of the US dollar and other financial assets.
We maintain our bullish view unchanged. For short-term operations, it is recommended to continue with the strategy of going long on dips. Pay special attention to the key support level of $3,200, and you can consider placing long positions near this price level.
XAUUSD
buy@3210-3220
tp:3250-3260
When you find yourself in a difficult situation and at a loss in trading, don't face it alone. Please get in touch with me. I'm always ready to fight side by side with you, avoid risks, and embark on a new journey towards stable profits.
Will gold first fall and then rise today?
The gold 1-hour moving average is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross. Now the price is gradually approaching the moving average, but the gold bull trend has not changed for the time being. Patiently wait for the opportunity to adjust. Pay attention to the support near the previous low of 3185. The moving average support has now moved up to the line near 3177. Overall, gold may form a strong support near 3180. For today's gold trend, I personally think it will fall first and then rise.
XAUUSD buy zone in 1h break of structureLast 3 days of past week XAUUSD had a strong uptrend with bullish momentum. From 1h perspective we have seen price had a bounce, and there is no significant break of structure on the lower timeframe, which means, as with the new market open, any break of structure is an opportunity to go long. Expecting to test the previous swing low is a zone where we can look for for potential entry to ride the trend.
Will wait for price action confirmation on market opening.
XAUUSD Has got rejected as expected!XAUUSD 1h price hit key level with more than 1.6ATR which is first sign of false breakdown. Followed by another strong bullish rejection with cross of 20EMA closed as bullish engulfing pattern signaling potential trend continuation to the major direction as long term trend is up.
We are targeting at least 130 pip+ in the first push to the upside!
Gold Market Insight: Impact of U.S.-China Trade DevelopmentsGold has been consolidating within a rising wedge pattern since September 2023, facing resistance along a key trendline. Recent geopolitical developments, particularly the intensifying U.S.-China trade tensions, have acted as a catalyst for a significant breakout. The imposition of a 145% tariff on Chinese imports by the U.S., followed by China's retaliatory 125% tariff on U.S. goods, has heightened market uncertainties. These actions have led to a surge in safe-haven demand, propelling gold prices to record highs above $3,200 per ounce
In the past three trading sessions, gold has advanced over 2,500 pips, reflecting strong bullish momentum. However, to sustain this upward trajectory towards the $3,400 level, a period of consolidation or a corrective pullback may be necessary. Such a phase would allow for the absorption of selling pressure and the liquidation of short positions, providing a foundation for further gains.
The current market dynamics suggest that while buyers are in control, the presence of residual selling interest necessitates caution. A decisive breach above recent highs, accompanied by increased volume and momentum, would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend.\
Should the U.S. implement further tariff relaxations, particularly in sectors like technology, we may witness a retracement in gold prices towards the $3,000 level. This zone aligns with multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) identified between $2,990 and $3,000, suggesting a potential area for price stabilization. Such policy shifts could alleviate some market uncertainties, reducing the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Conversely, if trade negotiations between the U.S. and China remain stalled or further deteriorate, gold could resume its upward momentum, potentially targeting the $3,400 mark. This scenario would be driven by continued safe-haven demand amid escalating geopolitical uncertainties.
In summary, gold's near-term movements are contingent upon the progression of U.S.-China trade discussions. Traders should monitor these developments closely, as they will likely dictate gold's direction in the coming sessions.
Gold Ideas for 14th of April📊 Market Structure Overview
Trend Analysis: Price has reached premium levels, suggesting a potential for short-term pullbacks within the broader bullish trend.
Key Levels: Monitoring for breaks below 3025 to signal a shift in macro bias.
🔑 Key Technical Zones & Confluences
Premium Sell Zone: 3248–3268, characterized by unmitigated order blocks and potential liquidity traps.
Internal Demand Zone: Around 3180, aligning with trendline support and Fibonacci retracement levels.
Strong FVG & Order Block: 3137–3145, indicating a significant area of interest for potential reversals.
📝 Plan of Action
🔻 Sell Scenario 1
Entry: 3242 – 3248
Stop Loss: 3255
Take Profits: TP1: 3215 | TP2: 3188 | TP3: 3160
Rationale: Anticipating rejection from fresh M15 order block with liquidity sweep above 3242. RSI divergence noted as additional confluence; confirmation required on M5.
🔻 Sell Scenario 2
Entry: 3260 – 3268
Stop Loss: 3275
Take Profits: TP1: 3235 | TP2: 3200 | TP3: 3165
Rationale: Targeting final premium order block with unmitigated H1 zone and imbalance. Ideal for NY session traps; look for bearish engulfing patterns.
🟢 Buy Scenario 1
Entry: 3180 – 3172
Stop Loss: 3165
Take Profits: TP1: 3205 | TP2: 3230 | TP3: 3250
Rationale: Confluence of trendline and M30 order block with internal structure support. Requires bullish price action and CHoCH on M5 for confirmation.
🟢 Buy Scenario 2
Entry: 3137 – 3142
Stop Loss: 3129
Take Profits: TP1: 3180 | TP2: 3205 | TP3: 3240
Rationale: Major imbalance and H1 order block with RSI confluence. Look for bullish engulfing or aggressive CHoCH on lower time frames.
📌 Key Zones Recap
Premium Sell Zone: 3248–3268
Internal Demand Zone: 3180
Strong FVG & OB: 3137–3145
Critical Support: 3025 (break indicates macro bias shift)
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
📣 If this strategy sparked clarity, hit that like button and follow our community for more in-depth ideas. 💛
Monday Gold Open: Unlock Profitable Strategies & Hot TrendsFrom the current market situation, China has announced the imposition of a 125% tariff on the United States in response to Trump's decision to raise the tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%. Due to the weakening of the US dollar and economic concerns triggered by the intensification of the trade war, the safe-haven asset gold broke through the key $3,200 mark for the first time on Friday. Technically, from the daily chart perspective, within the past seven trading days, the price of gold first dropped by $210 and then rose by nearly $290, and the upward trend shows no sign of stopping.
At the beginning of this week, the price of gold dropped to around $2,956 and then skyrocketed for several consecutive days. By the end of trading on Friday, the international gold price once rose to around $3,245, setting a new all-time high again. The fluctuation range of the international gold price this week was as high as nearly $289. This week, John's signals regarding the rise and fall of gold prices also brought good returns to everyone.
From the analysis of the 4-hour chart, this upward rally is extremely strong. It has been climbing all the way with almost no pullbacks. After surpassing last week's high point, it has stabilized above $3,200. The technical indicators show a golden cross and are rising, with no sign of stopping for now. On Friday, it directly soared to a record high of $3,245, but there was a slight pullback at the close. Next week, we need to focus on whether the price of gold gaps up and fills the gap.
XAUUSD
buy@3210-3220
tp:3240-3260
Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
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