How do we plan before ADP and NFP?📰 News information:
1. ADP data, for reference of tomorrow's NFP data
2. Interest rate cuts and Powell's dovish comments
3. Geopolitical impact on the gold market
📈 Technical Analysis:
The market will continue to fluctuate before the ADP data, and the market will continue to rise after the adjustment. In the 4H cycle, the upper rail of the pressure is temporarily suspended, and the Bollinger Bands also close. This is why I emphasize the need to pay attention to the 3323 support line below. At present, gold rebounded, I think it will touch 3348 at most, that is, it rebounded to 50%. Therefore, before the ADP data, I still hold the position of 3340-3350 for shorting, and find support for long at 3325-3315 below. I have marked the pattern of head and shoulders bottom in the figure. I have been engaged in spot, futures, foreign exchange and other transactions for many years. My analysis ideas can be referred to by brothers
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3330-3325-3315-3295
BUY 3323-3315-3305
TP 3340-3350-3360-3375
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Xauusdupdates
Will Gold Continue Its Strong Rally or Face a Pullback?XAUUSD 02/07: Will Gold Continue Its Strong Rally or Face a Pullback?
📉 Technical Analysis – Gold Faces Short-Term Pullback After Strong Rally
Gold has been experiencing a clear rally in recent days, but it’s currently undergoing a brief correction. The price has recently dropped slightly, prompting traders to keep a close eye on key levels for potential reversal or continuation of the bullish move.
🌍 Macroeconomic Context – Factors Impacting Gold's Price
USD Fluctuation: The weakness in the US Dollar continues to affect gold prices, creating opportunities for the precious metal to maintain its upward movement.
Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing global tensions, including the US-Iran conflict, act as a safe-haven factor, supporting gold demand.
Interest Rate Expectations: The market is closely watching for any changes in interest rate policies. Any future rate cuts by the Fed could further bolster gold's price.
📊 Technical Outlook (H1 – H4 – D1)
Short-Term Trend: On the H1 timeframe, the price of gold touched a key level near 3340. From there, the price began to experience a pullback. However, the upward momentum remains strong on higher timeframes.
Key Support Levels: The 3300 level remains a crucial support. If the price stays above this, there’s a chance for gold to continue rising towards higher levels.
Key Resistance Levels: 3360 and 3380 are critical resistance levels. If breached, gold could move towards new highs.
📍 Important Support and Resistance Levels:
🔺 Resistance: 3345 – 3360 – 3380 – 3400
🔻 Support: 3300 – 3290 – 3270 – 3250
💡 Trading Plan for Today, 02/07:
🔵 BUY ZONE:
📈 Entry: 3305 – 3303
📉 SL: 3297
💰 TP: 3315 → 3325 → 3340 → 3360
🔴 SELL ZONE:
📉 Entry: 3360 – 3362
📈 SL: 3368
💰 TP: 3350 → 3340 → 3320
📣 Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of short-term correction but remains a strong asset due to geopolitical factors and monetary policies. Buying opportunities continue to be attractive at support levels, while key resistances will play a crucial role for any breakout. Keep an eye on the mentioned levels to capitalize on market movements.
Happy trading and best of luck to all traders!
XAU/USD 02 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Rate cut expectations and non-farm data affect gold marketPowell noted that the vast majority of Fed officials expect to cut interest rates later this year, but it is currently impossible to say whether considering a rate cut in July is too early. The U.S. Treasury Secretary, however, believes that even if there is no rate cut in July, there will be one in September.
In terms of market impact, if the non-farm payroll data to be released in the next two days performs poorly, the probability of a rate cut in July will rise significantly.
For gold, rate cuts themselves are a positive factor. Moreover, if the market worries about the Fed losing its independence, the U.S. dollar index is likely to fall continuously, and gold is expected to hit a new high in the medium to long term.
Technically, gold closed strongly with a large positive candle yesterday and still has room to rise today. On the downside, the early session low of $3,329 serves as a short-term support level, with the strong support looking at around $3,312 near the 60-day moving average. On the upside, the initial resistance level is the early session high of $3,345; if this level is broken, further resistance levels will be yesterday's high of $3,358 and around $3,375.
XAUUSD
buy@3315-3325
tp:3340-3350
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Gold Price Analysis – Bullish Momentum Holds Above FVGs🧠 Chart Breakdown:
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1H
Current Price: $3,340
Trend: Short-term uptrend intact
🔑 Key Observations:
Ch.o.Ch Confirmed (Change of Character):
The break above the previous structure high confirmed a bullish market structure shift.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
Multiple FVGs exist between $3,320 – $3,335, acting as potential demand zones and support levels.
Fibonacci Retracement:
Price is respecting the 0.382–0.5 levels ($3,336 – $3,330) well so far.
Below this, the 0.618 level at $3,325 is the next strong confluence zone.
Trendline Support:
The price is testing a rising trendline, adding dynamic support around the current level.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Price is above the cloud, which supports the bullish bias.
Conversion line (blue) and base line (red) are bullishly aligned.
📉 Possible Next Moves:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
Price bounces from current levels or slightly lower ($3,336–$3,330) and retests the recent high (~$3,355).
Breakout above $3,355 could open the door to $3,370+.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below $3,330 and the trendline, expect deeper pullbacks to:
$3,325 (0.618 Fib)
Then possibly $3,308 FVG support or $3,258 major demand zone.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is still respecting bullish market structure with healthy pullbacks into support zones. As long as the price stays above $3,325, the bullish outlook remains valid. Watch for bullish reaction near the FVGs or a break above $3,355 to confirm upside continuation.
Gold Trading Strategy June 27✏️The price reaction at 3348 forms a sustainable bearish structure. 3296 is an important zone when broken, it will continue to fall deeply without any recovery on Friday.
Today the downtrend will encounter less resistance than the uptrend. Therefore, it is not difficult to touch the support zones of 3278 and 3255.
Any recovery in the price in the European session is considered a good opportunity for a Sell signal towards the target of 3278 and 3255.
As analyzed, the SELL zone today is noted at many resistance zones and consider the price reaction for the SELL signals.
📈 Key Levels
Break out: 3296
Support: 3278-3255
Resistance: 3300-3312-3325-3336-3348-3363
📊 Recommended Trade Setups
BUY 3278-3276 SL 3272
SELL 3325-3327 SL 3330
GOLD H2 Intraday Chart Update For 2 July 2025Hello Traders,
Today all eyes on breakout of 3360-70 zone in order to GOLD go for further advance below this zone all eyes are remains on 3318 level if market successfully maintain 3330 level then will go down further towards 3300 Psychological Level after passing 3318
NFP main event of the day which is held by tomorrow
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
7/2 Trapped Orders from Yesterday Turned ProfitableGood morning, everyone!
Yesterday’s early-entry gold short position encountered some temporary drawdown, but thanks to flexible adjustments, the trade has now moved into profit overall.
Currently, the price is hovering near a key support area. Based on the 1H and 2H charts, there is still room for further downside. At this point, there are two strategic options:
Close the position to lock in current profits;
Hold the position and wait for further decline, keeping in mind that if support holds, the price may rebound back toward the 3350 level, introducing some risk.
You can decide whether to stay in the trade or exit, depending on your risk tolerance and trading plan.
Gold operation suggestionsLooking back at the market in May and June, although gold has experienced adjustments, its shape is very resilient. In the monthly cycle, the price of gold is firmly above the MA5 moving average. From the perspective of large-cycle technical analysis, this is a typical strong bullish pattern, demonstrating the strong control of the bulls. As the adjustments are gradually in place, the later bullish outbreak is worth looking forward to. However, the adjustment to 3247 this time is not small, so in the short term, the gold price is likely to fluctuate upward. At present, 3451 is an important watershed. Once it is effectively broken through, the gold price is expected to hit the 3500 mark, and I personally believe that 3500 will not be the end point, and it is expected to be refreshed later.
Gold retreats as expected, how to trade in the future📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
3. Global Central Bank Governors Meeting
📈 Technical Analysis:
Our short orders have achieved profits. I closed the position near 3337, turning losses into profits. Interested friends can follow my previous post. In the short term, I am still optimistic that gold will retreat below 3335-3325. Today, gold rose sharply, and the rebound momentum was strong, while the short-term correction was slightly weak, so the space for a second decline in the short term will be limited. If it falls to the 3333-3323 range during the day and gets effective support, you can consider going long. The short-term upper resistance is 3360-3375.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3333-3323-3315
TP 3341-3355-3360-3375
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Gold price rises by more than $100, will the bull run continue?📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
3. Global Central Bank Governors Meeting
📈 Technical Analysis:
The NY session is about to begin, and there are two things we need to pay attention to. First, the PMI data, and second, the talks between global central bank governors. If Powell again hints that the inflation outlook is weaker than expected, this will increase the Fed's easing bets and trigger a new round of decline in the US dollar. The dovish tone may help gold prices to further rebound. On the contrary, if Powell makes some hawkish or cautious remarks, this may exacerbate the recent downward trend in gold prices. The key point at present is the 3350 mark. If the 4H closing line of the NY session remains below 3350, then in the short term we are expected to continue to retreat to the 3330-3320 range. If the 4H closing line is above 3350 and stabilizes, gold may rebound to the 61.8% position, which is around 3372.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350-3355
TP 3330-3325-3320
BUY 3330-3320
TP 3340-3350-3372
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
International gold prices rise slowly and reach new highsAnalysis of gold trend:
Gold fell sharply near 3247 at the opening of Monday, then stopped falling and began to fluctuate and rise slowly. It rose to a high of 3297 before the European session, then fell back after being blocked. After dropping to 3274, it stabilized again and began to rise slowly. The US session continued to rise. Another key point in the market that everyone needs to pay attention to is that the US dollar index has now hit a new low, and the current price is 96.3. This wave of US dollar decline is extremely weak, and there is basically no sign of rebound. According to this trend, the US dollar index may continue to fall, and it is possible to go to 88. In the case of such a weak US dollar index, it is natural for gold to be supported by the market. Moreover, gold has not yet walked out of the bullish trend. Gold has turned from weakness in the early stage to strength. Next, it depends on the strength of the rise. This wave of rise is expected to see 3350-3400.
From a technical point of view, gold closed positive at a low level on Monday, and the K line was above the lower Bollinger track, turning from weak to strong. Under the bullish trend, the rise can be seen to be continuous, so the high points of the middle and upper Bollinger tracks can be seen above. In the 4-hour chart, the K-line stands firmly above the middle rail of Bollinger, and the moving average system diverges upward, showing a very obvious strong performance. Therefore, the basic idea this week is to continue to do more on the decline. In the short term, first look at the upper rail of Bollinger in the 4-hour chart at 3350. There are two points to pay attention to in the decline of the small cycle within the day, one is 3300, and the other is 3285 support. Although bullish, do not chase high. After the decline, make sure to stop the decline and continue to be bullish. Operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3320, stop loss at 3210, and target 3330-3340.
Gold intraday trading strategyFrom the 4-hour analysis, the focus on the upper side is the 3324 line of the bull-bear watershed pressure, and the short-term support on the lower side is the short-term pressure around 3295-3301 yesterday. The overall support relies on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple participation unchanged.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Short gold at 3321-24, stop loss at 3332, target at 3295-3301, continue to hold if it breaks;
2. Long gold at 3295-3301, stop loss at 3287, target at 3320-24, continue to hold if it breaks;
PCE data week gold under pressure! Rebound high altitude strategFrom the analysis of the 4-hour trend of gold, the price of gold continued to decline after opening today. In view of the particularity of the closing stage of the weekly line, it is recommended that you avoid blindly chasing shorts and should adhere to the idea of swinging short trading. The technical level shows that the Bollinger Bands in the 4-hour cycle show a clear closing trend, and the price is constrained by the operation below the middle track, and the short-term weak pattern is established. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to adopt a rebound short-selling-dominated strategy, focusing on the key pressure range of 3311-3316. It is necessary to arrange short orders in batches according to the strength of the rebound, and the lower target is to look at the support area of 3265-3260. Based on the comprehensive technical indicators, gold currently maintains a short trend, and it is recommended to use a rebound short-selling strategy as the main operation.
Operation strategy:
Gold is recommended to rebound in the 3311-3316 area to short, stop loss at 3324, target 3300-3280
Gold Accurate Trading StrategyThe recent market has been up and down, and the long and short positions have been frequently switched. Many investment friends are caught off guard or don’t know where to start. As soon as they buy, the price drops, and when they exit, the price rises. In fact, this is the situation that many novice friends will encounter. Here I tell you that when trading, first of all, do not trade frequently. Secondly, you need to have a precise control of the market and stick to your own trading system.
Gold trend analysis:
Gold technical aspect, yesterday's Asian and European sessions continued to rebound and repair, and the highest reached 3350 and then continued the previous decline. In the US session, it reached the lowest level of 3309 and then continued to rebound to 3336, and also touched the high point of the previous day again. Combined with yesterday's 3350, an effective head and shoulders top pattern was formed in the short term, and the market started to continue to expand the decline in the morning. It started to fall directly after the morning opening. So far, the lowest reached 3288, and the integer support of 3300 was directly broken. Then the short space in the later period has been further expanded. The later target below is maintained at 3250. If this position continues to be lost, it may continue to challenge the 3200 line, and the upper pressure is maintained at the top and bottom conversion of 3310 in the near future. This position is also the limit position of the short-term rebound.
At present, gold's hourly and multi-hourly lines show the shape of a falling channel. The daily line is under pressure below the moving average system. The support below the day will also be maintained at 3280. This position is likely to be the day's extreme retracement position, but since the current general trend is in a short position, we will not consider long orders in the short term, and patiently wait for the pullback before continuing to short. The tolerance rate may be higher. During the day, we will still wait to short near 3308-3309, with a target around 3295-3280 and a stop loss of 3318. If the European session is under pressure below 3300 for a long time, we can also consider shorting directly, with a target around 3280.
Gold fluctuates and rebounds, so don’t short at low levels!Gold is now focusing on the short-term pressure of 3301-3306 above, focusing on the pressure of 3314-16 above, and the support of 3276-80 below, and shorting again when it rebounds under pressure
Strategy thinking:
Gold rebounds to 3301-3306, short lightly, rebound to 3314-16, stop loss 3324, target 3280-85;
#XAUUSD(GOLD)): 29/06/2025 Last Analysis Going Great!Gold has been moving nicely since our last analysis, which we posted. Currently, 750+ pips have been generated, and we expect further price drops. There are still two targets in place, as per our previous analysis. We anticipate a steady decline in the price. We recommend all of you to follow strict risk management. This is not a guaranteed analysis or view, but rather an overview/educational chart analysis.
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Team Setupsfx_
Gold Bulls Ready to Charge: $3,500 Target Could Be Days AwayThe chart shows a strong medium-term uptrend in gold that began in late 2024, carrying the price steadily higher through the first half of 2025. After peaking, price has been consolidating in a clear range bounded by a well-defined resistance and support zone.
The Resistance Zone is marked around $3,438, where price has been repeatedly rejected. Each time the market approached this level, sellers stepped in, causing retracements. This reinforces the area as a significant supply zone.
Below, the Support Region near $3,249–$3,250 has provided a floor for price action. It’s notable that this area was once a resistance, making it a classic breakout-retest structure. Buyers have stepped in multiple times to defend this level, indicating healthy demand that aligns with the broader bullish trend.
The recent candles suggest the market is trying to build momentum for another test of the resistance. Wick rejections near support indicate that buyers are showing interest again. At the same time, the overall structure remains constructive, with higher highs and higher lows visible on the longer timeframe.
The Price-Volume Trend (PVT) indicator along the bottom is gradually climbing, which suggests accumulation is still happening beneath the surface. This can be a signal that a fresh breakout attempt is brewing.
Trade Setup
Here’s how the trade idea is structured visually on your chart:
• Entry Zone: Around $3,348, near the midrange and just above support.
• Stop-Loss: ~99 points below the support area (around $3,249), offering a cushion against volatility.
• Target: Approximately $3,555–$3,560, the next major resistance above the current consolidation.
• Reward Potential: ~207 points (6.19%) upside.
• Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.09, which is a favorable setup for a trend continuation trade.
Analysis Summary
This is effectively a range-bound bullish continuation setup. The idea is to enter on support retest and ride the next impulse leg higher. Price is consolidating above the former breakout area, with clear evidence of accumulation on the PVT. If gold can close convincingly above $3,438, it will likely trigger breakout buying interest and stop-loss clusters from short sellers, which could drive price rapidly toward your target.
However, keep in mind that failure to hold above $3,249 support would invalidate the setup and could lead to a deeper correction or range breakdown. For this reason, your stop-loss level is well-placed to limit risk.
Never hold a short position blindly!In the 4-hour timeframe, consecutive bullish surges have broken the previous weak consolidation pattern. Focus on the key resistance level around 3350 above; for short-term support below, pay attention to the 3315 level, with the critical support zone between 3295-3300 being the primary focus. Overall, maintain the main theme of participating in long positions at lower levels within this range. For prices in the middle of the range, it is advisable to adopt a "wait-and-see" approach, avoid chasing trades impulsively, and patiently wait for key levels to enter positions.
Double Top Breakdown at Resistance ZoneThe chart reveals a classic Double Top pattern formation near the 3,360–3,480 resistance zone, followed by a clear bearish rejection (highlighted with red arrows). This confirms the presence of strong supply pressure in that region.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
🔺 Double Top Pattern
The price formed two swing highs near the resistance zone, failing to break above.
After the second peak, the price started declining, confirming the reversal pattern.
📉 Bearish Channel
The recent downtrend is contained within a descending channel, with consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Price broke below the neckline of the double top pattern around 3,270.
🎯 Target Projection
Based on the height of the double top pattern, the projected downside target is near 3,207.5, aligning perfectly with the support zone marked below.
🟠 Historical Support Areas
The large orange circles indicate key reaction points, confirming that the 3,207–3,220 area has acted as support in the past.
📊 Outlook:
If the current bearish momentum continues, price is likely to head towards the support target zone at 3,207.5. Any pullback toward 3,320–3,350 could provide a shorting opportunity with stops above the recent highs.
🔧 Bias: Bearish
📍 Resistance: 3,360–3,480
📍 Support: 3,207–3,220
📍 Target: 3,207.5
XAUUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB SetupsBack after a few days with our gold update.
We’re on the 1-hour timeframe, and price has been respecting our levels perfectly, especially in the two blue boxes (1H FVGs) where we got precise reactions. These reactions are marked with green circles, showing areas where we entered on lower timeframes like 3m or 5m.
Currently, gold is sitting at a key area marked with a yellow circle (1H supply zone / resistance). If this area breaks strongly without a fakeout, we could potentially target higher resistance zones above.
Stay sharp and ready to catch clean reactions.
Key levels for confirmation:
3345-3358 (current important zone)
3300 (major 1H OB / support)
3420 (major 1H OB / resistance)
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