Xauusdupdates
Gold falls back and continues to go longThe bulls are still strong now. However, the decline has not continued and now it has rebounded to around 2700. From the current trend, the bulls are still strong, MA5-MA10 moving average maintains a golden cross upward, and the upper track of the Bollinger band shows signs of opening. The key now is whether the 2700 mark can be broken through and stabilized. If it stabilizes, it will test the previous huge Yin high point of 2720; otherwise, it will fall again under pressure at the 2700 mark.
The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to form a golden cross and diverge in an upward bullish arrangement. The decline of gold is an opportunity to go long. Gold fell to the lowest point of 2675 today and then bottomed out and rebounded. Gold fell back to 2675 in the afternoon and continued to go long on dips. Gold can continue to go long if it falls back to around 2680.
XAU/USD 11 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in my analysis dated 25 November 2024, H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. This suggested that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations, which it did.
Price printed as per alternative scenario, printing a bullish iBOS.
Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH indicating bearish pullback phase initiation.
Internal range is now established.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal high.
Alternative Scenario:
Current internal range is fairly extensive, therefore, requiring a deeper pullback to internal 50% EQ and/or M15 demand level.
Price could potentially target weak internal high and print a bullish iBOS to narrow the depth of the internal range.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
The only chance to short gold!As I said in my last article, I planned to buy gold with the 2670-2660 area as support, but gold did not fall back to 2670, not even to 2671, so unfortunately gold did not reach our buying area.
Currently, gold has risen to around 2690. Obviously, it is not a good idea to chase gold near this position, and it faces resistance in the 2695-2700 area. I think even if gold breaks through the 2695-2700 resistance area, it will retreat because it needs to accumulate upward momentum. So anyway, I will try to short gold here once.
Am I the only one who takes the risk of shorting gold in the entire network? Will you try to short gold in this position area? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD Gold Trade Idea👀👉 XAUUSD Gold has rallied, evidenced by this break in market structure on the four-hour timeframe. I’m monitoring for a potential buying opportunity on a retracement, as outlined on the chart. Please remember, my analyses are purely educational and should not be considered financial advice. 📉✅
Gold forms a secondary high and will fall sharply againHello everyone. Today we can see that the 4-hour chart seems to need to form a triple top resistance at the secondary high point.
It can be found that the current trend of the 4-hour chart is very similar to the previous one. Both are after a long period of consolidation and then fall sharply again
Therefore, if the current trend of gold replicates the previous market after touching the resistance area, then you must be careful of a sharp drop in CPI
If you think my article analysis is helpful to you. You can like it. Thank you for your support. The content posted here will be delayed so you need to pay more attention to my information.
Gold- Towards target after confirmation?In yesterday's post, I highlighted the high probability of an upward breakout above the 2655–2660 resistance zone. As anticipated, XAU/USD successfully broke through this key level, confirming its importance.
Following the breakout, the price reached a high near 2675 before undergoing a normal correction. This pullback was healthy for the trend, as it retested and confirmed the previously broken resistance zone (2655–2660) as new support. This successful retest reinforces the strength of the bullish momentum.
Looking ahead, my outlook remains optimistic. I anticipate a new leg higher, with the price likely targeting the 2685 resistance zone. I will maintain my bullish stance as long as the 2660 area holds firm as support. My preferred strategy is to "buy the dips," taking advantage of pullbacks within the broader uptrend.
XAUUSD Short H4Hello Amazing people,
As you can see that market is respecting trendline structure and I am going to short this one.
SELL: 2688 to 2693
SL: 2703
TP1: 2673
TP2: 2665
TP3: 2645
TP4: 2622
NOTE: this is my analysis as per my reading. please follow proper risk management as per your equity. This is just for learning purpose. Coz, together we grow.
XAUUSD Trade LogXAUUSD Daily/Monthly Long Setup
Trade Logic:
- Setup: Long position initiated within a high-confluence zone supported by multiple technical and structural factors.
- Confluence Factors:
- Daily/Monthly Buy Signal: Higher timeframe signals indicate strong bullish momentum and continuation potential.
- Trendline Support: Price has respected a long-term ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support.
- Fair Value Gap (FVG): Entry aligns with a daily FVG in a discount zone, offering a high-probability long opportunity.
- Kijun Support: Both daily and weekly Kijun lines provide additional support confluence.
- Liquidity Zone: Recent sweep of liquidity below equal lows clears the path for a bullish reversal.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
- Stop-loss set below the trendline and daily FVG for tight risk management.
- 1:3 RRR targeting the weak high at 2,910 , with secondary targets near 3,000 for extended profits.
Macro Context:
- Market Sentiment: Safe-haven demand for gold is rising amid geopolitical and economic uncertainty, aligning with bullish technical signals.
- Dollar Weakness: Weakening USD supports upside momentum in XAUUSD.
- Volume Profile: Strong buy-side volume near key support levels indicates institutional participation.
Execution Plan:
- Long entry near the confluence zone of the trendline, FVG, and Kijun support.
- Maintain stop-loss below the daily FVG to manage risk effectively.
- First target near 2,910 , with extended targets at 3,000 for partial or full profit-taking.
- Reassess position if price closes below the trendline or invalidates the daily buy signal.
Extra Note: Monitor macroeconomic events such as interest rate announcements or geopolitical developments that could affect gold prices. Let me know if further adjustments are needed!
Gold- 2655-2660 zone remains key for bulls on medium-termLast week's price action was mostly range-bound, characterized by sharp spikes in both directions but lacking a clear trend—challenging conditions for medium-term swing traders.
In my last two posts, I shared a moderately bullish bias and even managed a sniper entry at the NFP low. However, Gold failed to sustain upward momentum, so I opted to close the trade with a modest 100-pip profit.
Looking at the bigger picture, bulls have shown resilience around the 2620 level. Even last night’s losses were quickly reversed after the market opened, which is another encouraging sign for bullish momentum.
That said, a critical resistance level around 2655 continues to cap any medium-term uptrend. For a more substantial move—potentially 400-500 pips—this resistance must be decisively broken .
I maintain my bullish outlook and will look to enter on dips. If and when the price breaks above the 2655 resistance level, I plan to double my position to capitalize on the potential upside.
However, a daily close below 2620 would invalidate this scenario and prompt me to reassess my strategy.
Gold Breaks Key Resistance Bullish Momentum Expected to ContinueSpot gold continues to extend yesterday’s bullish momentum, driven by a combination of factors, including growing concerns over global geopolitical tensions, an increased demand for safe-haven assets, and market expectations of potential rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. These fundamental factors have provided strong support for gold prices.
From a technical perspective, spot gold has successfully broken above and closed above the key resistance level of $2660. This breakout has provided fresh momentum for bulls, and indicators on the daily chart, such as the RSI and MACD, show positive upward momentum, suggesting gold could continue to test the $2700 mark in the near term.
Today’s Strategy:
Long Position on Pullback: Consider entering long positions if gold retraces to the 2665-2670 region, capitalizing on the current bullish momentum. If prices break and hold above $2700, further upward movement is likely.
Risk Management: Given the high volatility in the gold market, it is essential to implement strict stop-loss orders to protect against sharp price fluctuations due to unforeseen events.
Disclaimer: The above analysis is for informational purposes only. All trading decisions should be made with strict risk management in place and avoid over-leveraging.
XAUUSD: 10/12 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2683-2700, support below 2643-37
Gold operation suggestions: In the Asian market on Tuesday, gold fluctuated in a narrow range, holding most of the overnight gains. Gold prices hit a two-week high of 2676 on Monday, climbing more than 1%, as the People's Bank of China resumed buying gold after a six-month hiatus, and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week also increased bullish sentiment, and the geopolitical situation also boosted safe-haven buying demand. China's resumption of purchases may support investor demand in the country. In 2023, China was the world's largest official buyer of gold, but the People's Bank of China suspended purchases for 18 consecutive months in May. Strong buying by central banks is also a major support for gold's record gains this year. Another factor to note is the outlook for monetary easing by global central banks. The US November NFIB Small Business Confidence Index will be watched today. The market expects it to be bearish for gold prices, but before the release of this week's heavyweight data such as CPI, any data will have limited impact, and continue to operate based on the current technical aspects.
From the current 4-hour trend analysis, we focus on the 2683-2700 line pressure on the top, and the 2654 line short-term support on the bottom. In terms of operation, we maintain the main tone of going long. At present, the 2637-2627 weekly and daily support levels have been supported. We continue to be bullish and are expected to reach the 2700 mark this week.
BUY:2660near
BUY:2654near
(Just go long on dips, not necessarily according to my points, as long as you do it above the daily and weekly support)
Here’s why gold exploded, trading strategiesIn the Asian market on Tuesday, gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around 2667, holding most of the overnight gains. Gold prices hit a two-week high of 2676 on Monday, climbing more than 1%, because the Chinese central bank resumed buying gold after a six-month hiatus, and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week also increased bullish sentiment, and the geopolitical situation also boosted safe-haven buying demand.
It should be reminded that the US dollar index and US Treasury yields rose slightly, which made gold bulls still cautious. The price of gold is still in a range of nearly two weeks. Before the release of US CPI data on Wednesday, gold may still maintain a volatile trend. This trading day will also usher in the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision, and investors also need to pay attention.
Gold surged and fell back in the late trading. It is expected that today it will be corrected before it can further test the sideline and upper line again. From the channel point of view, this wave of rebound has not shown a signal of turning bearish in the daily chart, so it is still a priority to buy at a low price! The daily support is around 2644. However, the support in the Asian session is around 2654!
Under the stimulation of risk aversion, gold finally fluctuated upward. Yesterday, gold rose to 2676 in the US market and fell back in the short term. Gold fell as expected, but the decline in gold was not large. Bulls began to accumulate momentum to rise. Gold fell back in the Asian session and went long!
Gold crossed the 1-hour moving average. If all the moving averages diverge upward, then gold still has room to move upward. The 1-hour moving average support of gold moved up to the 2644 line. Gold can enter the market near 2654 first.
First support: 2654, second support: 2644, third support: 2632
First resistance: 2676, second resistance: 2688, third resistance: 2700
Trading strategy:
BUY: 2652-2654
SELL: 2676-2678
Targeting 2687 After Solid GainsToday, after buying near 2658, we reached our target of 2666-2673 and made a good profit. The market then pulled back, releasing some selling pressure before returning to around 2670. We still need to watch the resistance at 2673. Based on the current trend, it looks likely to break. Therefore, the next target could be higher, ideally 2687. If the selling pressure is too strong, once the price hits 2680, it's a good point to close the position.
XAU/USD 10 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
#XAUUSD 4HXAUUSD 4-Hour Analysis
The XAUUSD pair has formed a bearish engulfing candlestick pattern on the 4-hour chart, indicating strong selling pressure. This pattern suggests a potential downside move, especially if the price breaks below nearby support levels, confirming the bearish sentiment.
Technical OutloOK
Pattern: Sell Engulfing
Forecast: Bearish (Sell Opportunity)
Entry Strategy: Enter a sell position after confirmation of further bearish momentum, such as a break below immediate support.
Traders should watch for continued selling pressure supported by indicators like RSI or MACD showing bearish divergence. Proper risk management is crucial, with stop-loss orders placed above the high of the engulfing candlestick. Profit targets can be set at the next key support zones for optimal returns.