Gold's pullback is the last chance to get on boardAccording to our previous operation strategy of short first and long later, the short position has perfectly reached our target area, and the position was closed in time to lock in the profit. Next, we will go long after the rebound and continue to look forward to the performance of the gold market.
The Bollinger Bands in the H4 chart are closing, and the golden cross of the 13-day moving average and the 21-day moving average is slowing down, suggesting that the short-term long and short competition is fierce. Focus on the strong resistance in the 3050-3055 range on the upper side during the day, and the probability of breaking through is low. The support below is at 3022-3015, forming a double insurance. The small cycle now also has the performance of high-level fluctuations, but it still lacks some certainty. For example, the Bollinger Bands in the H4 cycle are closing. Today's rise is not optimistic about setting a new high again. The upper high point is suppressed to around 3050, and the downward movement must break the Bollinger middle rail support, and the space below can see 3000. Therefore, today we should not only remind everyone to wait patiently for the decline to go long, but also remind everyone to try to go short at the high of 3050, and then look at today's adjustment space, as well as the support points and key points below. Again, gold maintains a bullish trend for the time being.
Gold's retracement to 3020-3030 is the last chance to get on board. You will regret it if you miss it. Gold operation suggestion: Buy more near 3020-3030, target: 3050
Brothers, you must keep up with the rhythm. If you are interested, you can follow me. Communicate real-time market conditions, follow up on real-time orders, read bottom signals, interpret daily market conditions, share real-time strategies, and don't blindly follow the trend.
Xauusdupdates
Has gold fallen back from its highs and peaked?The gold hourly chart is forming a head and shoulders top, and it fell back as expected. Now it has stopped falling at the neckline position of 3022 and rebounded again. However, the 4-hour chart did not close higher, and the market continues to be bearish.Operationally,It is recommended to continue to implement the strategy of increasing positions and short selling below 3037, and continue to watch for a sharp drop!.In terms of short-term gold trading, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks
Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when gold rebounds to around 3037-3040, stop loss at 3055, target around 3025-3015, and look at 3005 if it breaks;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when gold pulls back to around 3003-3005, stop loss at 8 points, target around 3015-3025, and look at 3035 if it breaks;
Gold fluctuates and rises, breaks out, rebounds and goes shortAs the continuous rise of gold fully demonstrates that short-term bulls take the initiative, this will undoubtedly increase the probability of gold prices hitting the 3070-3080 area, but we also need to be prepared for a false break or a real break in the market.In the 4-hour period, since stabilizing above the 3,000 mark, gold has maintained a bullish trend and continued to hit new highs.Therefore, we continue to be bullish in the 4-hour period, but we must also be wary of the risk of a pullback.On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on long positions on pullbacks and short positions on rebounds.
032Opportunity Analysis and Logical Analysis for goldHello traders,
This week's Thursday tip:
On Thursday, the Federal Reserve's important interest rate decision was finalized. Focus on the situation of profit-taking in gold at high levels, looking for short-term short-selling opportunities in gold on the 1-hour chart.
On the 4-hour chart, there is a clear RSI divergence, indicating that gold is oversold and there is a need for a short-term pullback.
On the 1-hour chart, wait for a reversal confirmation signal on the 4-hour chart, then look for an entry signal on the 1-hour chart to short gold!
**TP1:** 3025
**TP2:** 3005
**TP3:** 2989
On Friday during the Asian early session, after 9:30 AM, gold experienced a pullback due to the divergence on the 4-hour chart, reaching the first target of 3025. It is currently recommended to reduce positions and continue holding.
On the 4-hour chart, consider that gold may undergo a corrective adjustment in the form of an expanding triangle. Wait for the reversal confirmation signal on the 4-hour chart before looking for new entry opportunities on the 1-hour chart to short gold.
The targets for new positions remain unchanged:
**TP1:** 3025
**TP2:** 3005
**TP3:** 2989
On the daily chart, the closing of gold on Friday can provide direct guidance for next week's trend. If gold forms a new daily reversal signal on the daily chart, trading in the first half of next week can proceed with minimal interference, trending downward.
If gold experiences significant fluctuations during tonight's US session, it is recommended to wait until next Monday to enter, still opting for a strategy of buying high and selling low in the fluctuating market at the top of gold.
** **
**I. Three Major Drivers of Gold Fluctuations**
1. **Trump's "Face-Changing Game"**
- **Tariff Bomb:** Trump announced plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on countries like China (effective April 2), which is like throwing a bomb into the market. Concerns about a trade war resurfacing, rising business costs, and potential economic recession emerged.
- **Interest Rate Cut Talk:** Previously, Trump said, "There's no rush to cut rates," but now he has changed his tune to "We need to cut rates quickly to save the economy." The market reacted negatively: Oh no, the economy might be in big trouble! Consequently, funds shifted from the stock market to gold for safety.
2. **"Nuclear Option Expiration" in the Options Market**
- **$4.7 Trillion Bet Expiration:** This amount is equivalent to the total market value of the top 20 companies globally, and it’s settling today.
- **Market Manipulation:** Large institutions (market makers) have an incentive to push the S&P 500 index near 5800 points, as this level maximizes their options contracts' profitability. Gold and U.S. stocks often move inversely; when the stock market is manipulated, gold may suddenly surge or plummet.
3. **"Hawkish Shock" from the Federal Reserve**
- **Officials Changing Stance:** Initially, there was one dissenting voice against an interest rate cut; now it has turned into four.
- **Gold's Calculation:** A delayed rate cut → stronger dollar → temporary pressure on gold; but poor economic conditions → panic sentiment → gold benefits. These two forces are in conflict.
---
**II. How Will Gold Move Tonight?**
**Key Levels:**
- **Floor Price:** $3034 (If it falls below this, it may continue to drop)
- **Ceiling Price:** $3056 (If it breaks above this, it may surge to $3080)
**Trading Suggestions:**
1. **Watch and Wait Mode:** The period between 2 PM and 4 PM (Eastern Time) will see the most volatility, so avoid making hasty moves.
2. **Buy in Batches:** If it drops to around $3040, buy 1/3 of your position; add more if it breaks above $3060.
3. **Exit Signal:** If the U.S. stock market suddenly spikes (especially if the S&P approaches 5800), gold could drop by 2% instantly.
If you prefer not to stay up late, you can skip trading tonight, maintain a flat position, and look for opportunities on Monday!
---
**III. Grandpa Munger's Survival Guide**
- **Being Flat is a Superpower:** Just like in poker, if you find your hand is bad, fold and don’t call.
- **Wait for Clear Signals:** Gold is currently in a "Schrödinger's state" (it could rise or fall); it’s better to wait for it to break above $3056 or drop below $3034 before taking action.
- **Historical Lesson:** On the options expiration day in September 2023, gold fluctuated by $100 in one day, leading to numerous liquidations. Today may very well replicate that scenario.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSD Today's strategyThe gold price fluctuates within the range we have marked. In the short term, both long and short positions are feasible. However, you must pay attention to setting the stop-loss level and avoid taking on excessive risks
Pay attention to when the upward pressure range will be broken through. Also, keep an eye on the 3010-3020 USD range on the downside. If this range is repeatedly tested, then there might be a short-term pullback to 3000 USD
Today's xauusd trading strategy
buy@3010-3020
SL:3005
tp:3040-3050
There are risks in trading. If you are not sure about the timing, it is best to leave me a message. This will better confirm the timing of the transaction, It can also better expand profits and reduce losses
Gold has short-term callback demandGold hit a high of 3057 and then fell back. The daily line closed with a negative cross star, and a correction is needed in the short term. The daily resistance is near 3050. It touched 3047 in early trading and fell back. If the market falls below 3042, continue to look at 3030-3025. The operation is the same as what I said in my previous post. First short and then long. In addition to the low point, the support below is 3020. The strong support is around 3011. You can go long if it is touched.
Operation suggestion: short at 3050-3040 above, and go long at yesterday's low or 3025-3015 below. It is still in line with expectations.
Friends must keep up with the rhythm. If you are interested, you can follow me. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, follow real-time orders, read bottom signals, interpret daily market prices, share real-time strategies, and do not blindly follow the trend.
Gold's downward volatility is in line with expectations!Gold hit a high of 3057 but was blocked and fell back. The daily line closed with a negative cross star, and a correction is needed in the short term. The daily resistance is near 3050, and it can be shorted if it does not break. At present, gold is still struggling in the range, but the hourly chart has an obvious head and shoulders top trend, with the head at 3057, the shoulder at 3045, and the neckline at 3022. Once the hourly chart stands firmly below 3022, the market is expected to fall further to the 3000 mark. Only by breaking the 3000 mark can it fall better!The gold four-hour line has a continuous large negative line entity, with three negative lines at the top. This is also a bearish engulfing pattern. At least the large negative line entity directly covers the positive line entity, and a top pattern appears. The K-line rebound is weak, and high-level shorts are inevitable. The 3047 line falls back. If the market falls below 3035, continue to look at 3025-3020. In terms of operation, high-level shorts are the main focus. If a new high is unexpectedly reached, it will temporarily fall back. In addition to the 3025 low point, the lower support is 3020, and the strong support is near 3005. If it is touched, it can be more. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to be mainly short-selling on rebounds, and supplemented by long positions on pullbacks.
Gold 40-45 short, longs temporarily stopGold, after touching the 57 line, began to retrace and correct. Before the US session, it touched the lowest level near 25 and then stopped. However, the US session rebounded slightly, forming an interval shock, but did not form a second breakthrough. The high break is also likely to be the high point in the short term. After all, the European and US sessions are relatively weak, so the bulls in the short term may need to reorganize their energy and achieve a digestion correction effect. The support below is still maintained at the low point of 20 that has been generated many times in the recent period. This position is also likely to be the watershed line of the long and short positions in the recent period. Once this position continues to break down, it is likely to continue to form a retracement in the later period. The upper suppression port maintains the head and shoulders top pattern of 45 formed in the short term. The daily moving average system will continue to maintain an upward situation, but the retracement may also temporarily bring the bulls to an end. We will still operate around the short-term short position. If gold rebounds to short near 40-45 during the day, the target will be around 30-20. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Control positions, and the specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. If you are interested, you can follow us. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and pay attention to real-time orders. You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market conditions, and share real-time strategies. Don't blindly follow the trend.
Gold Maintains a Bullish Bias Above $3,000 Per OunceShortly after surpassing the key $3,000 per troy ounce level, gold continues to trade with gains of over 1.5% in the past three trading sessions. Buying pressure has remained steady as risk appetite has declined due to concerns stemming from the ongoing trade war. This situation has allowed gold to capitalize on its safe-haven status, attracting demand that has shifted away from riskier markets. At the moment, the primary trend remains bullish on the chart.
Bullish Channel:
Since the first days of January, a solid bullish channel has formed, which has now surpassed the $3,000 per ounce barrier. For now, this remains the most relevant formation to watch in the short term, as no significant bearish pressure has emerged in recent sessions to alter this perspective.
Potential Correction:
However, by analyzing RSI oscillations, we can see that the RSI line remains above the 70 level, which is considered the overbought zone. Additionally, higher highs in price, combined with lower highs in RSI, suggest a possible short-term divergence. Both signals indicate a potential imbalance in market forces, opening the door for a short-term bearish correction.
Key Levels to Watch:
$3K: New key support, representing the most significant psychological level in recent weeks. This could be a potential area for short-term bearish corrections.
$2.9K: Relevant support zone, aligning with the lower boundary of the bullish channel. Sustained downward movements below this level could put the current bullish formation at risk.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Gold's morning layout has been eliminated, with evening ideasAt night, based on the in-depth analysis of market trends and comprehensive consideration of various technical indicators, we decisively placed short orders at the high level of 3050-3060.When the price hits the low, place a long order at 3025 - 3030
Gold surges and then falls back to make profitsGold quickly rose in the morning today, so we remind you to beware of the risk of market reversal today. Gold is likely to fall back after rising in the morning. Don't chase more easily. Gold is stagnant near 3056, and gold is directly short at 3055.On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebound and to go long on pullback.
Short order strategy: When gold rebounds to around 3045-3048, short 20% of the position in batches, stop loss at 3055, target around 3030-3015, and look at 3005 if it breaks;
Gold hovers at a key position, clever layoutGold fell from a high of 1 hour. If gold continues to fall, then if gold rebounds and does not break the new high, then gold may show the embryonic form of a head and shoulders top in 1 hour. Again, gold fell from a high, and now it is at a high level. Don't chase more easily. After the news, the gold bulls' volume has been digested, and the gold bulls need to regain support. Gold rebounded under pressure at the high point of 3045 in the US market, and continued to go short at highs. The market is changing rapidly, and gold has entered an overbought state, so gold needs to be cautious in chasing more. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on callbacks. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3050-3060, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3025-3010, friends must keep up with the rhythm. To control the position, the specific points are mainly based on the real-time intraday. If you are interested, please follow us. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and pay attention to real-time orders.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies. Don't follow the trend blindly.
First empty then more to grasp the rhythmThe gold market is ever-changing. So far, the gold price has not fallen back to our pre-set long area as expected. At the same time, the resistance in the 3050-3060 area above is strong, and the price has failed to break through many times, showing the effectiveness and suppression of the resistance level.
Based on the current market, we adjusted our strategy to sell high and buy low, and adopted the operation idea of shorting first and then longing. It is recommended to arrange short orders in the 3040-3050 area, and pay close attention to the price trend after entering the market. Once the price falls back to the expected support range, do not hesitate to take profits in time, and go long in reverse, seize the subsequent possible rebound, flexibly respond to market changes, and lock in profits. If you want to accurately grasp opportunities and get signals, you can follow me.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies. Don't follow the trend blindly.
XAUUSD Today's strategyAccording to the content of the FOMC meeting of the Federal Reserve, the Fed kept the target range of the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25% - 4.5%. The market had already had certain expectations for this, which to a certain extent provided a stable environment for the gold price and prevented the gold price from being pressured due to a significant strengthening of the US dollar.
From a technical perspective, the current bullish structure of gold is obvious. However, indicators show that a divergence has emerged after the continuous rise, and the price has entered a risky area for bulls after reaching $3040. Nevertheless, in the current market environment, the bullish trend remains relatively strong. Without a clear reversal signal, the gold price may continue to follow the upward trend.
Today's xauusd trading strategy
buy@3025-3030
SL:3020
tp:3050-3060
There are risks in trading. If you are not sure about the timing, it is best to leave me a message. This will better confirm the timing of the transaction, It can also better expand profits and reduce losses.
Make your decision now! Go long on goldAt present, the CSI 3000-3005 area on the daily level constitutes a strong support zone, and the 4-hour chart 3020-3025 is the short-term long-short watershed. If the 3025 line is not effectively broken, it can be regarded as a signal of longs accumulating power, and the intraday rebound target is the 3080-3100 pressure range. It is necessary to pay attention to the change in volume. If the volume continues to shrink, it is necessary to be vigilant about the second test of the 3000-point integer mark. The operation strategy is mainly to go long on the retracement, and to arrange long orders on dips below 3020-3030, and maintain a volatile bullish pattern in the short term.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies. Don't follow the trend blindly.
When will gold reach its peak?Gold continued to rise today. This is the power of the trend. The belief that it will fall after rising too much is just a subjective will, not market logic. There is no turning signal. All peaks are risky. Of course, the market is always relative. It is impossible to keep rising. We need to prevent the risk of large adjustments.
Gold operation strategy reference:
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches near 3050-3052 rebound, stop loss 8 points, target near 3030-3015, break to see 3000 line;
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches near 3000-3002 callback, stop loss 8 points, target near 3020-3035, break to see 3050 line;
Gold fluctuates and rises, breaks out, rebounds and goes shortGold has been rising for several consecutive trading days, and the general trend is still bullish. We can continue to trade gold after it falls sharply. In the short term, gold has fallen below the rising trend line. It can be seen that gold has been running above the trend line recently. It has now fallen below the trend line, so we can rebound and short gold.
Recommendation: Short gold near 3032 and 3038, stop loss at 3046
Gold operation strategyGold quickly rose in the morning today, so we remind gold to pay attention to the adjustment of stepping back, and don't chase high. Gold hit the highest point of 3057 near stagnation, and started the road of falling back and adjustment. We also gave a short position near 3045-3050, and the target was 3030-3020 to stop profit. The hourly line of gold fell back from the high position. Now our long order entry target near 3025-20 is 3035-40. The hourly line of gold may show the embryonic form of a head and shoulders top. Again, don't chase gold at high levels, look for opportunities to go long after stepping back, and the operation is mainly to go long after stepping back. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
From the 4-hour analysis, pay attention to the short-term support of 3020-3025 below, and focus on the important support of 3000-05. If it does not break after stepping back, continue to be bullish. Pay attention to the upper pressure of the upper target. Before the daily level falls below the support below, the main long rhythm of the trend remains unchanged. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy, and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: Gold falls back to 3020-3025, and the target is 3035-3040.
gold on double retrace to sell#XAUUSD price have breakout new ATH, now we await for another retracment below 3030 for strong bearish.
Below 3030 have strong bearish zone that will continue the bearish till 3000-2997, stop loss at 3043.
But if price holds strong till correction at 3052 then possible bullish is expected to reach 3072.