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Gold Trends Forecast December 10🤑Gold Trends Forecast December 10 • Gold prices rose to a two-week high on Monday (December 9), gaining more than 1% as China's central bank resumed buying the precious metal after a six-month hiatus, with optimism growing on expectations the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next week. • "The most important factor is the news that the People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced that it is resuming gold purchases... the market is hoping that we can see other central banks follow suit and we can see a continuation of the record buying," said Bart Melek, head of commodity strategy at TD Securities. • The US Federal Reserve (Fed) has started its interest rate easing cycle with a 0.5% cut in September 2024, followed by a 0.25% interest rate cut in November 2024. Investors are currently predicting an 87% probability that the Fed will continue to cut interest rates by 0.25% at the meeting on December 17-18. However, if the Fed pauses and the fundamental messages become cautious, this will cause some temporary pressure on gold prices. 🥰Technical analysis: • Gold broke the downtrend in the h1 frame, breaking through the accumulation sw border, although it has not closed the previous day's candle at 2670, it also shows quite strong buying power. • Expect Fibo 0.5 – 0.618 to buy back 🕯 Trading plan: 🔼Buy Gold: 2652 – 2650 SL: 2648 TP: 2656 -2662 – 2674 If SL this order buys back 🔼Buy Gold: 2645 - 2643 SL: 2640 TP: 2656 -2662 – 2674 – Open 🔽Sell Gold: 2686 – 2688 SL: 2692 TP: 2679 - 2660
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KevinNguyen-SimpleTrade
XAUUSD, Swing Trade, Long👋Hello Traders, Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an 1D timeframe ICT Long setup in XAUUSD for session trade (a couple of days) Here is a swing trade idea (since it is near support surface, we should use small lot size) Please refer to the details Stop loss, Buy Zone,open for take profit. Next Long entry after retracement in any session. For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview. Have a good day! Please give this post a like if you like this kind of simple idea, your feedback will bring our signal to next better level, thanks for support!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ICT_Trader_SB
Prepare to go long gold nextBros, today is destined to be an extraordinary day. Our short position turned from profit to loss, and then successfully turned loss into profit again! Indeed, when gold broke through 2675, I changed from calmness at the beginning to nervousness, but I saw that gold failed to continue to break through several times, so I chose to add positions near 2675 to short gold again. Obviously, it turned out that my trading idea was correct. Gold then gradually fell back and has now reached around 2660. I just closed my short position manually near 2660. Although gold may continue to fall back to the shock range, the 2660-2655 area below has been transformed into a support area, so to avoid gold rebounding again with the support area, I no longer took risks and manually closed the order near 2660 to lock in profits in time. Although there were some twists and turns in the trading process today, the results proved that I was right, so we were able to successfully turn losses into profits in the gold short trading! A very good trading experience, the most satisfying is turning losses into profits! If you follow my trading strategy, I believe you have also made a good profit, congratulations! Then next, if gold cannot effectively fall below the 2660-2650 area during the decline, then I may look for a suitable opportunity to go long on gold! Bros, have you followed me to short gold? So how do you trade gold next?If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
High-level shock and callback strategyGeopolitical Tensions Drive Short-Term Gold Rally – Strategic Approach for the Next Move In recent sessions, geopolitical tensions, particularly Israel's military actions in Syria, have spurred risk-off sentiment, driving gold prices higher in early trading. However, despite the short-term surge fueled by geopolitical risks, gold prices have failed to break above last week's key resistance level at 2655. Given that gold is currently trading at historical highs, a correction or consolidation at these levels seems likely. We believe this rally is primarily driven by short-term geopolitical risk factors, rather than fundamental support. Once the market has priced in these risks, gold prices are likely to undergo a pullback, creating more favorable conditions for a long position at lower levels. Today's Strategy Recommendations: Short Strategy at Key Resistance: If gold rises above 2655, consider implementing a short position. If the price breaks above 2660, additional short positions can be added, anticipating downward pressure in the near term. Wait for Pullback to Enter Long: It is recommended to wait for a price pullback to a suitable support level before considering a long position. Exact entry points will depend on market reactions and technical signals. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only. All trades should be executed with strict risk management in place, avoiding over-leveraging and ensuring capital protection.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Falcon-Training-Camp
XAU/USD 09 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD: 9/12 Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580 Four-hour resistance 2654, support below 2627 Gold operation suggestions: Gold's technical side last Friday was slightly higher under the influence of the positive NFP data, and it was under pressure from the 2643 mark, and then fell under the shock. It finally closed below the 2640 mark and showed weak shocks. Today's Asian session slightly jumped high and pierced the 2647 line, and then fell under the degree of suppression and shock. In the short term, the gold price suppressed the recent weak shock consolidation trend below the 2660 mark. From the current 4-hour line trend analysis, we focus on the 2654 line pressure above, and the 2637-2627 line short-term support below. In terms of operation, we will continue to participate in the trend. At present, the 2637-2627 weekly and daily level support below has been supported, and we can continue to be bullish. BUY:2637near BUY:2627near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Pay attention to the trading range of 2625~2657Weekend news shows that the People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings by 160,000 ounces again after six months. After more than 13 years of civil war, Syrian opposition forces seized control of the capital Damascus on Sunday. The martial law crisis in South Korea continues to ferment. In the short term, bullish opportunities have increased. On the one hand, the market will continue to pay attention to news related to the geopolitical situation, but more attention may be focused on the US November CPI data to be released this week. Investors need to pay attention to changes in market expectations. Although the situation in Syria may boost safe-haven buying in the short term, it should be noted that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the conflict between Israel and Hamas may usher in a ceasefire, which may suppress the trend of gold prices. The MA10/7-day moving average of gold still remains flat, the price is running above the middle track of the Bollinger Band, and the RSI indicator continues to adjust the central axis. The Asian session opened high and touched 2648, and the Bollinger Bands on the hourly chart also closed. It is expected to continue to fluctuate widely at the beginning of the week. Intraday trading will first look at the 2625/2657 range adjustment, and short-term thinking game of selling high and buying low. The risk aversion sentiment of gold rose over the weekend, but the rise of gold did not continue. It continued to rise and fall, so it is still difficult for gold bulls to stir up big waves. Wait for the rebound to continue to short. Gold continued to fluctuate in 1 hour, and the moving average still crossed downward and diverged. Gold has not broken through 2657 under the risk aversion situation, so gold will continue to short at highs below 2657. First support: 2625, second support: 2616, third support: 2603 First resistance: 2657, second resistance: 2668, third resistance: 2677 Trading strategy: According to the first resistance/support, sell high and buy low in the range of 2625~2657. The focus above is 2668.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
1
XAU/USD 09-13 December 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range. Price is anticipated to trade down towards either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing -> Bullish. -> Internal -> Bullish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024 Price Action Analysis: Price has shown a reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Currently price has been unable to target the weak internal high Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to target weak internal high, priced at 2,790.170 However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Price has yet to tap into Daily demand. Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Don't trade XAU/USD in the middleGold is currently in a phase where it’s too early to establish an uptrend channel, but the conditions are ripening for a retest of its previous all-time high in the $2,793 area. What’s crucial at this stage is the formation of a rounded bullish pattern, which could set the stage for further upward momentum. Short-Term Movement: Retest and Cooling Down Retest of $2,793: A rally to retest the $2,793 level appears likely, as gold capitalizes on recent bullish momentum. Cooling Phase: After rejecting the all-time high, gold could cool down, first retreating to the $2,650 zone, and then further to $2,550. This corrective move will allow the market to consolidate before the next significant push. Two Possible Scenarios for 2025–2026: Scenario 1: Bullish Channel and New High by April 2025 Timeline: Between January and February 2025, XAU/USD could start forming a clear bullish channel. Target: This structure could lead to a new all-time high in the $2,800–$2,900 range by March–April 2025. Outlook: This scenario represents a continuation of the bullish trend with steady growth. Scenario 2: Prolonged Range and Significant Drop by 2026 Timeline: Gold may remain in a range-bound phase until November 2025, oscillating between key levels ($2,700-$2,500) Target: A lack of upward momentum during this time increases the probability of a significant decline to $2,300 by May 2026. Outlook: This scenario reflects market exhaustion after prolonged consolidation, leading to a bearish correction. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $2,793 (ATH), $2,800–$2,900 (potential new high). Support: $2,650, $2,550 (corrective phases), $2,300 (long-term bearish target). Summary: XAU/USD is preparing for a retest of the $2,793 all-time high, followed by a likely cooling phase to $2,650–$2,550. Beyond this, gold’s trajectory depends on its ability to establish a bullish channel in early 2025: Bullish Outcome: New ATH of $2,800–$2,900 by April 2025. Bearish Outcome: Prolonged range followed by a drop to $2,300 by May 2026. Traders and investors should monitor key levels and the market’s ability to build a rounded bullish pattern to gauge the next significant move.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
by QuantumFusionWave
XAU continue SIDEWAY ! long term accumulation ! under 2700✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 12/09 - 12/13/2024 🔥 World situation: Gold price (XAU/USD) dipped below $2,630 during North American trading on Friday following the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for November. The decline came as the labor market report revealed stronger-than-expected hiring, with 227K new jobs added compared to the forecast of 200K. The Unemployment Rate aligned with expectations, rising to 4.2%. Steady labor market growth has reinforced expectations for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to implement another rate cut in December. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut to 4.25%-4.50% this month has climbed to 87%, up from 71% on December 5. 🔥 Identify: NF data makes gold price continue sideways - no trend break. High price zone ends in 2024. Will continue sideways price zone 2605 - 2688 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $2655, $2666, 2688 Support : $2622, $2605, $2587 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Gold Short: Capitalizing on Sunday Open RejectionGold has shown a strong rejection of the $2,650 price area after retracing to the Sunday open levels, aligning with the prevailing higher time frame (HTF) bearish trend. This trade is engaged to capitalize on the downside potential as the price fails to break the dynamic resistance at $2,650. With the support of the HTF momentum and a clear rejection, the trade setup focuses on targeting the lower support levels in the $2,610-$2,600 zone while maintaining a disciplined approach to risk management. Technical Analysis: Daily Chart: • Price struggles below the mildly bearish 20 SMA. • Both 100 and 200 SMAs maintain their bearish slopes, confirming the downtrend. • Momentum indicators remain neutral, supporting the absence of bullish reversal signs. 4-Hour Chart: • XAU/USD trades below the flat 20 SMA while hovering near a directionless 100 SMA. • The 200 SMA around $2,690 acts as dynamic resistance, pushing prices lower. • Indicators are aligned with bearish momentum, suggesting further downside. • Support Levels: $2,626.70, $2,611.35, $2,598.70 • Resistance Levels: $2,643.30, $2,655.00, $2,671.55 Fundamental Analysis: The US Dollar’s strength continues to weigh on Gold prices, driven by robust macroeconomic data: • ISM Manufacturing PMI: Revised upward to 49.7, better than expected, supporting USD strength. • Wall Street Sentiment: Mixed trading as geopolitical tensions between the US and Russia persist. • Upcoming Events: Markets anticipate key US employment data, particularly the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday, which could bring additional volatility to XAU/USD. Trade Management: • Entry near $2,645 with clear rejection signals. • Stop Loss: Placed above $2,659 to manage risk efficiently. • Targets: Initial take profit at $2,622, with a potential extension to $2,610. • Risk Management: Adhering to the bearish trend, the trade will be closely monitored, especially as the US Nonfarm Payrolls data approaches. • Risk Management: Trail stops as price moves lower. Monitor market reactions closely, especially around major support and resistance zones, and adapt as Nonfarm Payrolls approach. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by AR33_
XAU/USD 06 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
#XAUUSD 1HXAUUSD Analysis (1H Timeframe) A potential selling opportunity is anticipated near the resistance zone at 2650.00–2646.00, which appears to be a favorable area for sellers. Target Levels: 2624. 2614. 2606. Important Note: If the price closes above 2656.00, refrain from entering sell positions, as this could signal further upside potential. It is advised to avoid placing pending orders at this time. Instead, wait for clear bearish confirmations before executing a trade. Trade wisely!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by PIPSFIGHTER
Will NFP give Gold a boost?In my comment yesterday, I mentioned that the price was trading within a tight range, making it better to stay on the sidelines until there is more clarity. Although the price briefly broke below both the 2635 and 2620 support levels, it quickly reversed and moved back above them. This suggests that bulls remain strong above the 2600 level, indicating that a higher low might be forming. With this in mind, I anticipate the price to continue moving upward today and in the coming days, with a clear breakout above 2650. If that happens, Gold could gain momentum and potentially reach the next significant resistance level around 2680. For now, I’m looking to buy on dips, but I will reconsider this approach if Gold closes the week below yesterday’s low.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
XAUUSD Trade Log - Monthly Swing TradeXAUUSD Swing Long Trade This is a high-confidence swing trade setup with multiple confluences across monthly and daily timeframes. Trade Details : - Risk: 5% of capital - Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:4 - Entry: Anywhere within the monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has a 90-point range. You may DCA (Dollar Cost Average) into your position for better flexibility, though this is discretionary. - Confluence: Signals align from the monthly down to the daily charts, indicating strong bullish momentum. Macro Factors Supporting Gold Longs : - Safe-Haven Demand: Global geopolitical tensions, including conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, have driven investors toward gold as a risk-averse asset. - Rising Recession Risks: With several central banks maintaining high interest rates for prolonged periods, economic slowdown fears are rising, further boosting gold demand. - Central Bank Purchases: Central banks worldwide, especially in emerging markets, continue to accumulate gold reserves to reduce reliance on the US dollar. - Inflation Hedging: Persistent inflation concerns make gold an attractive hedge, particularly as real yields show signs of plateauing. - Weakened Dollar Outlook: A potential pivot in US Federal Reserve policy could weaken the dollar, which would likely support gold prices in the medium to long term. This swing trade offers a strong opportunity to capitalize on the current macroeconomic and technical landscape favoring gold's upward momentum. Stay aware of any unexpected fundamental developments that could influence the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fondera