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Gold Market Analysis 12/05Yesterday, gold faced resistance near 2657 and pulled back. Now, 2652 is acting as resistance again. If it doesn’t break through, gold may test the support around 2635 again. If that level breaks, the next support zone is between 2628-2623. However, if it breaks above 2657 and holds, gold could rise towards the 2666 resistance level. I recommend trading around these key levels today. With Initial Jobless Claims data coming out, if the market has already chosen a direction before the release, you can trade in the opposite direction based on the trend. This may lead to unexpected profits
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradingGuide_Dean
XAUUSD Trade LogXAUUSD Buy Signal: Entry within the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), aiming for a 1:3 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) with 1% risk. While there is a conflicting bearish FVG that might obstruct the path to the take-profit (TP) level, the trade setup remains valid and will be executed regardless. Key Details: - Risk: 1% - RRR: 1:3 - Entry: Daily FVG in a discounted zone - TP: Positioned below the bearish FVG to mitigate resistance - Note: Monitor price action near the bearish FVG as it may create challenges for the bullish move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Fondera
Gold stuck in range. Levels to watch for directionThis week has been relatively quiet for gold traders, with the price confined to a narrow range between 2635 and 2655. In fact, aside from a few brief spikes, the price remains largely unchanged from Friday's close. Looking ahead, this tight range is likely to break in one direction or the other. As mentioned, the key levels to watch are 2655 and 2635; a breakout above or below these levels could provide clearer indications of the next move. For now, I am staying out of the market, awaiting further clarification, but I maintain a bullish bias.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
2
Technical Outlook for Gold Price (XAUUSD) 4/12/2024 Technical Outlook for Gold Price (XAUUSD) On the daily chart, gold remains in a prolonged consolidation phase, with price action mainly hovering around the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA21) and the technical level of 2,644 USD. Although gold has recovered from the previous decline, the overall picture still leans towards a bearish scenario, with the main trend being defined by the price channel (a). Additionally, pressure continues from the EMA21, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the 50 mark. These factors create conditions for a bearish trend. As long as gold stays within the price channel (a), its technical outlook remains biased towards a downward trend, and any upward movements should be considered short-term corrections. On the other hand, if gold is sold below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, it could continue to decline towards the next target range around 2,606–2,600 USD. Furthermore, a new bearish cycle would begin if gold drops below the key level of 2,600 USD. For the day, the bearish technical outlook for gold is highlighted by the following key levels: Support: 2,634 – 2,606 – 2,600 USD Resistance: 2,644 – 2,663 USD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Henrybillion
XAU/USD 04 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD: Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580 Four-hour resistance 2653, support below 2622 Gold operation suggestions: Gold rose and fell in the volatile trading yesterday, and was repeatedly pulled. The price of the Asian and European sessions stabilized and rebounded slightly based on the 2634 mark. The European session broke through the 2650 mark and fell into a volatile range. The US session gold price rose again and broke through the 2655 line under pressure and fell, and finally closed at around 2640. From the current 4-hour line trend analysis, we focus on the 2652-2655 line suppression above, and the 2622 line short-term support below. The focus is on the next level of support of 2606-2612, and keep participating in the operation. BUY:2634near BUY:2623near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Trading in the 2633~2655 range before ADPGold maintains a wide range of fluctuations, and the range of 2630-2660 is adjusted. The release of news data today will determine whether gold can break the balance, but the rebound of gold is a high-rise fall, indicating that there are still many resistances above, and the rebound in the Asian session continues to be short. The roller coaster has fluctuated back and forth in the past few days, and many people have no idea where to start. Today's ADP is an opportunity, which may break the recent balance and move in the direction. Gold continues to fluctuate in the 1 hour, and the 1-hour moving average of gold continues to cross downward to form a dead cross. If it continues to go down, then gold may open up downward space. Gold rebounded last night and fell under the pressure of the 2655 line of resistance. Gold bulls are still unable to do so. Gold continues to sell at highs below 2655 in the Asian session, and gold rebounds near 2655 and can continue to be short. First support: 2633, second support: 2621, third support: 2605 First resistance: 2652, second resistance: 2662, third resistance: 2675 Trading strategy: 2633~2655 range sell high and buy low
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
xauusd target 2661 Here's a summary of your XAU/USD trade plan: Trade Plan - Entry Point: 2642 - Target: 2660 - Stop-Loss: 2633 Market Analysis The XAU/USD is experiencing a strong uptrend, driven by a weakening US dollar and increasing geopolitical tensions. The recent breakout above 2635 has opened up the possibility of further upside movement. Technical Analysis - RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 50, confirming the bullish momentum. - Moving Averages: The 50-day and 100-day moving averages are trending upwards, supporting the bullish view. - Support Levels: The support levels at 2633 and 2625 could provide a buying opportunity in case of a pullback. Risk Management - Risk-Reward Ratio: Your risk-reward ratio is approximately 1:2.67, which is relatively conservative. - Position Sizing: Make sure to adjust your position size according to your risk tolerance and account size. Stay disciplined and stick to your trade plan. Good luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Geroge_Fx
Still firmly short goldBros, gold has failed to effectively break through 2650 during the rebound process many times, so gold is still in a weak position. If there is no special news affecting the market, gold will continue to fall after consuming a certain amount of bullish energy, and may even drop to the 2600-2590 area. So in terms of trading, we can temporarily maintain the attitude of shorting gold. Bros, are you as bearish on gold as I am? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Trading Strategy and Risk ManagementAnalysis: Today, the gold market is experiencing relatively stable volatility, as market participants await the release of key economic data later this week, particularly from Wednesday to Friday. These reports will have a direct impact on gold’s short-term price direction and provide important insights into market sentiment and capital flows in the coming days. Given that the market is currently in a wait-and-see phase, gold prices are likely to remain range-bound in the short term, lacking any significant trend breakout. From a technical perspective, gold is currently facing resistance at the 2650 level and support at 2635. These two levels are likely to define the boundaries of gold’s price fluctuations. Based on this, the trading strategy for today is as follows: Consider establishing short positions above 2650, as gold may face a pullback. Consider establishing long positions below 2640, as there is potential for a price rebound. Add to long positions near 2635, while closely monitoring the effectiveness of the support level. Disclaimer: The above analysis is for informational purposes only. Investment decisions should be based on individual risk tolerance and current market conditions. It is important to avoid blindly following signals or taking large positions, and to strictly adhere to risk management principles to avoid unnecessary risks.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Falcon-Training-Camp
Gold technical analysis and operation strategiesTechnical analysis of gold: The gold daily line closed with a cross K-line again, and the contraction and consolidation of the fifth trading day, the daily line entered a blunted shock. And it is a consolidation correction after the big negative K-line fell, waiting for the break to open the range and move out of the direction. The recent trend of gold is consistent with the same law, with a sharp drop in the Asian session, a shock rebound in the European session, and a high fall in the US session. The overnight impact of the 2650 mark fell back as expected, and the daily line was in a weak shock after the huge negative. The weekly line 2790 evening star clearly peaked, and the monthly line closed with a negative K at a high level, successfully ending the nine consecutive positive rising pattern this year. From the perspective of wave theory, gold has now entered the main decline 3 wave stage. Combined with the weekly and monthly line trends, the decline in December is expected to continue. So today's operation is to keep a bearish view below the 2650 mark, and pay attention to the break of 2632 below. If it breaks, it will continue to test around 2620. The downward trend line of the gold hourly chart is running, and the center of gravity is gradually moving downward. The current pressure is near 2646. Yesterday's market was able to close with a negative line, which was completely in line with technical needs, indicating that the suppression intensity in the upper 2650-60 area is very large, and the market has also returned to below the moving average band. There is a high probability that the decline will continue in the later period. Even if it is only weak fluctuations at present, if this fluctuation cycle is prolonged, it is possible to convert it into a downward relay pattern, which will still increase the possibility of returning to 2610-00 in the later period, or even breaking through and touching 2550-30.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ckb6ckb6
Gold could drop under 2600 againFor most of last week, gold exhibited choppy price action. As outlined in my Thursday analysis: "Gold could recover Monday's losses in a choppy manner, forming a flag pattern with resistance around 2660." This prediction held true in the end and, after a brief spike above the resistance level, gold began its decline. At the time of writing, the price is trading at 2624, just above short-term support. Looking ahead, I anticipate this support level will break, paving the way for a drop toward 2590 and 2575- a level that aligns with the measured target of the flag pattern. My strategy remains to sell rallies, using last Friday's high as a key resistance point for positioning.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
5
XAU/USD 03 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD: 3/12 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580 Four-hour resistance 2652, support below 2623 Gold operation suggestions: From the current market trend, yesterday it was blocked by 2652 and fell back, with the lowest point reaching 2633. Today it fell to 2634, holding the support point to stop the decline and rebound. It has now come to 2650, approaching the 2652 suppression level again. If it holds 2652 and participates in short selling, it will accelerate upward to 2660-66 area if it breaks 2652. At that time, it will need to step back and do more, and then pay attention to the 2666 suppression level to be bearish. The overall situation is a tug-of-war market. Pay attention to the stabilization of the 2633 support point. European and American gold operation ideas: Gold 2651near short; pay attention to whether 2634 can get support, you can be bullish; if it breaks 2652, it will step back near 2646 and continue to do more, with the target above 2660, and it can be sold if it touches 2664near. Today's market is complicated SELL:2664near BUY:2634near BUY:2623near The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
Gold Price Analysis: Key Support at 2635Today, we made two successful long trades on gold. The first target was 2635-2643, and the second target was around 2650. Both targets were hit, and we enjoyed substantial profits. Now, gold has retreated below 2640, with weak support around 2635. If the price can stabilize around this support level, an upward move is expected. However, if the price breaks below this level, we could see a head and shoulders pattern forming, and the price might return to around 2625. Currently, the market is experiencing low volatility, and the key trading opportunities for this week will likely come between Wednesday and Friday. A large amount of data will be released, which could lead to significant fluctuations in gold prices, offering even more favorable opportunities for trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuide_Dean
XAUUSD: 2/12 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580 Four-hour resistance 2653, support below 2627 Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the technical side of gold prices quickly hit the 2666 mark in the Asian and European sessions and fluctuated sideways. The US session was suppressed and closed below the 2660 mark. Today, the gold price fell directly at the opening of the Asian session and broke through the 2650 mark and continued to fall back to the vicinity of 2640. After rebounding for two consecutive trading days last week, the short-term gold price entered a suppressed adjustment pattern. At present, from the 4-hour trend, the pattern of continuous rise in gold in the early stage has basically ended, and the short position will continue to ferment. From the perspective of the market, after the gold price fell below 2645, the original support point turned into the first reference pressure. Relying on this position, the main short position continued to fall downward. The lower target position first focused on whether the 2627 mark could be broken. If the 1H line breaks through, it can be further shorted. If 2627 is not broken, it will still maintain a volatile operation. The short-term watershed between long and short strength is 2639. Before the daily level breaks through and stands at this position, any pullback is a short-selling opportunity. Keep participating in the trend SELL: 2639near SL: 2643 SELL: 2624near SL: 2627 The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ