Xauusdupdates
Gold price stabilizes at 2900, will test historical highs againGold rose sharply to 2909 in the late trading, breaking through the 2900 mark and closing stable. The daily line rebounded and closed. Gold returned to the long structure channel. After the daily line pulled back to the MA5/7-day moving average, the NY market closing price stood above the 2900 mark again. The moving average still remained open upward, and the price ran along the middle and upper track of the Bollinger Band channel!
In the short-term four-hour chart, gold retreated and tested the lower track of the Bollinger Band at 2865/63, forming a V-shaped reversal. With the reversal of the price, the MA10/7-day moving average re-formed a golden cross and the price closed above the middle track of the Bollinger Band at 2897. The RSI indicator retreated to the 50 value of the middle axis and then stabilized and turned upward!
The hourly moving average opened upward and the price extended the MA10-day moving average upward. In intraday trading, the main thing is to buy at low prices during callbacks, and secondly, consider selling at high prices! The overall rhythm is to buy at low prices during intraday pullbacks, and then sell after the European and American markets hit the key resistance level or historical high!
Last night's CPI data still failed to play a key role in the gold market. Under the premise of a big negative, gold only fell rapidly and then pulled back. The market volatility caused by the data did not continue! Although the CPI data is negative, the price of gold has bottomed out and rebounded by more than 30 US dollars. Bulls still hold on to the key position. On the market, gold looks more like it has rebounded after the last wave of bottoming! In the short term, the bulls are still quite strong!
The current price is still above the short-term moving average, and there is no condition for the top. In the short term, gold is just adjusting and has not broken down. It will naturally continue to rise after the adjustment. This clarifies the direction of our future layout. In the later stage, we will continue to buy when the opportunity arises. The lower point is still focused on the 2886 point. There are many false breakthroughs in the market recently. Conservative operation points can be selected near 2880!
Key points:
First support: 2893, second support: 2886, third support: 2876
First resistance: 2916, second resistance: 2923, third resistance: 2936 Operation ideas:
BUY: 2886-2889, SL: 2878, TP: 2910-2920;
SELL: 2925-2928, SL: 2937, TP: 2910-2900;
XAUUSD is on structural support on H4As in our recent previous commantary we mentioned our selling order which Tp has been hit with 130 pips.
What possible scenario do we have?
We are still expecting the little correction towards at 2855-2860 if 2880 structural support break 2855-2860 on mark.
On the other hand ,for buyers if H4 Candle closes above 2890 our eyes will be again at 2930 structure.
Today CPI Fundamental is also on alert ⚠️
Gold Price Analysis: Is a Deeper Pullback Coming?Since the beginning of the week, I have been writing that although the overall trend remains bullish, Gold is due for a correction.
Indeed, after a blow-off top to a new all-time high of 2943, the price started to decline and reached the confluence support zone at 2885.
At the time of writing, the price has returned to this support level, and there is a high probability of a break below this level, leading to a continuation of the correction.
In such a scenario, traders could anticipate a test of the 2840 support zone.
My strategy is to look for selling opportunities on rallies above 2900.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
price on sideways#XAUUSD price have been declining between 2894-2887, now possible sideways is overtaking because the candlestick movement is repeating. Now we await for double breakout above 2909 for bullish, TP 2940-2950,SL 2900. Below 2881 have bearish but its won't last long, Tp 2876-2870,Sl 2886. Below those zone have bullish retracment.
XAU/USD 12 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD:11/2 Today's Market Analysis and Strategy30-minute resistance 2935, support 2915
1-hour resistance 2950, support 2900
Currently, the rising channel is complete, RSI is not overbought (about 65), and there is still room for upward movement.
Focus on the support strength of the 2910-2915 range. If it holds, it will remain bullish.
Note: If it breaks through 2950 during the day, it may accelerate towards 3000; if it pulls back to around 2900, it will attract long-term buying funds to enter the market.
Personal opinion: Gold is likely to continue to fluctuate upward, and the Asian and European sessions may test 2950-2960$, mainly buying on dips
25.02.12 New correction for GOLD down to 2783?Hello traders,
Tuesday, Hawkish Signals in Powell's Remarks
Despite the neutral tone, Powell's remarks revealed several hawkish signals:
1. Rising Neutral Rate
Powell acknowledged that the neutral rate has "likely moved up significantly" post-pandemic. This has key implications:
Neutral Rate: The theoretical rate that sustains full employment and stable inflation without stimulating or restricting growth.
Impact Chain: Neutral rate ↑ → Fed funds rate ↑ → Real rates ↑ → 10-year Treasury yield ↑ → Dollar funding costs ↑.
2. Dashed Rate Cut Hopes
Powell reiterated that the Fed is in no rush to cut rates before the next election or impeachment. This contradicts market expectations of rate cuts in March or June.
3. Higher Bar for QE
Powell stated that QE would only restart if rates return to 0%. This suggests the Fed will continue QT through 2025, even if bank reserves shrink.
Impact on Gold: Real Rates Pressure
Rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, creating downward pressure on prices.
Dollar Strength
A stronger dollar (due to higher funding costs) typically weighs on gold, as it becomes more expensive for foreign buyers.
Technically, in the 4H CHART,
Price Structure as:
Current Price: 2,894.025 (-0.12%);
Critical Extreme Fibonacci Extensions: 2.27(2,939) as the new high for gold could be the end of the 5th main upward wave;
The target for the corrective wave Level could be : 2783 where be retest and broken through.
In the daily chart, GOLD has made a single bearish signal on the top, this is no good for traders who want to open buy at current position.
GOOD LUCK!
LESS IS MORE!
XAUUSD Trade Log
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XAUUSD - Technical Analysis [Long Setup]🔹 XAUUSD Analysis on 1H chart
- The current Trend is BULLISH
- There is no divergences
- Continuation pattern is present which is bullish flag
🔹 Trade Plan For 1HR
- Entry Level = 20386.3
- Stop Loss = 20312.7
- TP1 = 20458.6
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- First TP is 1:1
- Second TP 1:2
- BE @ TP1
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Gold hits record highsToday, gold has risen sharply by about 50 US dollars. The single-day increase is very large. Our short order of 2895 96 has only been corrected by 4 US dollars. Next, we will focus on the short-term support 2890 and the short-term pressure 2905/06.
If it falls below 2890, there is a high probability that it will not set a new high tonight. If it stands near 2905, it is necessary to consider the next major pressure area 2916-2920 (area). This position was mentioned before during the callback of the 2876 major pressure area, and it is the second major pressure area.
In addition, there is usually a competition for the 2900 integer level. The probability of completely stabilizing in the short term is not high, and this also needs more attention.
Gold reaches the long position as expected◆Short order◆
Aggressive 30 short, with 7 points loss, short at 40-46-52 after loss, stop loss: 7 points each, or unified stop loss 57. Target: 2898-82 break and continue to reduce holdings;
◆Long order◆
Long orders have been entered in the late European session, and positions have been reduced and covered. There is a probability that it will fall again in the future, and we are ready for other strategies;
Aggressive 78 long, 72-66 long, stop loss: 7 points each, or unified stop loss 60. Target: 90-98;
Pattern analysis: long orders have been entered, and positions are now reduced with insurance. The US market is likely to fall further, so continue to buy;
Intraday strategy ideas: Both short orders made a lot of money, and the lowest price of long orders after several attempts was 81. There is a probability that it will fall again when entering the US market. Be cautious with long orders, and there will definitely be a 100-meter dive in the near future;
GOLD LAST PUSH TO 3000$?See a meaningful year. we might see a GOLD 3000$ per ounce. its just an idea of fibs. might test the 2.31 zone. or 3030$. previous idea predicting could go 2900$ all hit.
This is only my view, if your looking for a better swing, here is your. once we test the 3030 zone, I will post a new chart.
This is not a financial advice, this is not an long entry also. trade base on your own understanding.
Follow for more.
more pairs, just say on the comments below. I will help you analyze it.
Thank you.
Blow-Off Top? Why I’m Selling Gold Rallies AgainIn my analysis yesterday, I mentioned that Gold could be due for a correction and suggested selling rallies.
Unfortunately, my sell position from 2905 hit the stop loss, and Gold went on to reach a new all-time high.
However, this appears to be a blow-off top, which could signal the start of a real correction phase.
With this in mind, I will look to sell rallies again, targeting the 2885 confluence support level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Detailed analysis of evening thoughtsPay attention to the 4-hour channel support 2880-2883 tonight, which gives the first opportunity for short-term long layout, looking at 5-8 US dollars
Today's callback is relatively strong, and the market atmosphere is different from before. Everyone should pay more attention!
The current intraday high is around 2942
A drop of 50 US dollars will be around 2890
A drop of 80 US dollars will be around 2860
A drop of 100 US dollars will be around 2840
Or even more
Gold continues to break new highs.Gold continues to set new records. It opened this morning and moved up all the way to the highest point of 2942 before falling back and adjusting. It reached the lowest point of 2912 before rebounding. However, we gave a real-time strategy of going long near the 2906-2913 line below.
From the current 4-hour gold trend, gold is currently fluctuating above the 2920 line, but the bulls have been in a strong position. Below we pay attention to the support of 2905, and continue to look for new highs above. After all, the bulls are still the dominant trend. In terms of operation, we continue to focus on looking for opportunities to go long after stepping back. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the session, so please pay attention to it in time.
Gold returns to the 2906-13 line to go long, stop loss at 2898, and target the 2930-2935 line; continue to hold if the position is broken!
Gold market analysisTechnical analysis of gold: Gold surged to around 2912 yesterday, and retreated to around 2896 at night before starting to rise. It retested around 2905 again in the morning and continued to rise, but then it fell sharply and quickly in the morning and touched the 2905 line. 2095 is the starting point of the morning and the dividing line between long and short today, but it does not mean that it has peaked after falling below 2905. Falling below 2905 only means that it will not break a new high today. It is likely to maintain volatility today and continue to rise.
At present, gold is still dominated by bulls. Although it has risen sharply during the week, we are still inclined to close the week with a negative line or a long upper shadow line after 7 consecutive positive weekly lines. Today's intraday high of 2942 ushered in a rapid dive, indicating that the bears are counterattacking or the bulls have a need for profit-taking; with the rise in prices and the impact of news, the volatility is increasing, and the fluctuation of 10-20 US dollars is completed in an instant. As for the next step, whether gold will go to 3,000 US dollars or fall back, everything is possible; today's strong support below focuses on the 2896 US dollar line.
In today's short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to mainly go long on callbacks and supplementary short selling on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the 2940-2942 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2896-2900 first-line support.
Gold profit of 300% in one weekJudging from the current 4-hour gold trend, gold is currently fluctuating above the 2900 line, but the bulls have been in a strong position. Below we pay attention to the 2890 line support, and above we continue to look for new highs. After all, the bulls are still the dominant trend. In terms of operation, we continue to focus on looking for opportunities to go long when we step back.
Gold operation strategy:
Go long on gold when it falls back to 2885-2890, target 2910-2915;
XAU/USD 11 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart :
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.