XAU/USD 19 March 2025 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH confirming internal range, however, I will continue to monitor.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or nested Daily and H4 demand zones before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,045.310.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Again, since yesterday's analysis, price has continued to surge to new all time highs, largely fuelled by geopolitical tensions. Gold is solidifying itself as a safe haven asset.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH to confirm internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded down to discount of 50% internal EQ and nearly mitigated M15 demand zone. Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 3,045.410.
Alternative scenario:
You will note internal range has significantly narrowed. All HTF's require a pullback, therefore, it would be completely viable if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Xauusdupdates
Short gold with 2930-2940 zone as resistanceBros, the situation in the Middle East is turbulent again! Gold took advantage of the trend and continued to rise to around 3028. Stimulated by the news, gold's rise was obviously abnormal and showed a disorderly rise! This kind of price rise is actually very dangerous, so we can't directly chase gold. According to my expectations, the highest price of gold will only reach around 3040, so I think shorting gold with 2930-2940 zone as resistance is the best trading opportunity at the moment.
However, in the short term, the correction of gold may be smaller than expected because the market is enthusiastic about going long. So the first thing we should pay attention to below is the 3005-2995 zone.
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Gold shows signs of waterfall-like plungeStimulated by the news, gold has risen rapidly to around 3045. Obviously, gold has seen a very obvious forced rise. After the rapid rise of gold, there must be a technical demand for a fall. I expect 3045-3055 to be the high point of gold in the day, so when you all want to chase the rise of gold, I have already started to short gold!
So in terms of trading, the relatively safe way is to short gold at a high level. In short-term trading, we can boldly short gold with the 3030-3040 area as the main force. I believe there will be a good profit!
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
Gold has made huge profits above 40, and may fall again in the eGold continued to rise yesterday, breaking through the highs in the morning, and continued to rise in the European and American markets. The price approached the 3040 line. There was almost no callback during the entire rising process, and there is a possibility of accelerating to the top. It is very close to 3050. Don't blindly chase the price when it reaches here.On the one hand, technically, gold is in urgent need of a correction; on the other hand, the US Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision at 2 a.m. Thursday, and there will be a press conference at 2:30 a.m. This news will have a significant impact on the gold market, so pay close attention.Therefore, it is not recommended to chase high gold prices. You can short gold in batches around 3040-3050. The support below is 3027-3018-3006! If you want to be prudent, try to do less and wait and see. Let's see how it goes today and look for opportunities in the evening.
Gold is bullish but not chasing moreAlthough the possibility of raising interest rates is not high, if there are hawkish speeches or there is a trend of reducing the number of subsequent interest rate cuts, it is still bad news for gold. Therefore, it is not recommended to chase high gold today. You can go short in batches around 3040-3050, and the support below is 3027-3018-3006! If you want to be prudent, try to do less and wait and see, and wait for the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision to be settled. Let's see how the market will go today, especially in the European session, and then look for opportunities in the evening.
In terms of trading, the previous day continued to fluctuate. I went short once at 3000 yesterday morning, and the stop loss was 3007. In the afternoon, I fell back to 3005, but I didn't enter with a slight difference of one US dollar. I chased more at 3012, and took profit at 3030 in the evening and went short, with a stop loss of 3038; three orders, two losses and one win, earned 3 US dollars.
XAUUSD: Continue to shortGold tests 3940 resistance and continues to short
xauusd sell@3030-3040
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gold on bearish#XAUUSD price have successful reached 3040-3045 yesterday target on buy, now price is forming a new range.
Another breakout which will touch the rectangle 3038-3039 holds a strong rejection which will drop the price back 3009, Stop loss at 3046.
Above the ATH 3045.5 holds a strong bullish continuous to reach 3056 or more.
XAUUSD Today's strategyToday, gold rose again to its latest high of $3,045, an increase of $165 from last week's lowest point of $2,880. Such an increase is rare in the history of gold, indicating that the recent geopolitical factors and international situation have caused market risk aversion to heat up again.
Investors are closely awaiting the Federal Reserve's policy statement and the press conference of Federal Reserve Chairperson Jerome Powell. If the Federal Reserve sends a hawkish signal, it may have some suppression on the price of gold. If the policy is more dovish or the economic outlook is concerned, the price of gold is expected to rise further.
Today's xauusd trading strategy
sell@3040-3050
SL:3055
tp:3025-3030
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XAUUSD Strategy AnalysisGold has been on a consecutive rally, and caution is warranted for every attempt to chase long positions. After surging to 3045 in the afternoon, prices quickly reversed lower and failed to immediately retest the high, indicating overhead resistance. If gold cannot break out sustainably, a significant correction may be imminent.
Gold trading strategy:
sell @:3049-3054
buy @:3030-3035,3002-3007
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XAUUSD trading strategy: Keep going longThe 1-hour moving average of gold is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross pointing upwards, and it is still diverging upwards without any signs of turning.
Therefore, the bullish momentum of gold remains. The support level of gold on the 4-hour chart is in the 3028 area. Today's trading strategy is to go long directly when the price retracts to the 3028 area.
XAUUSD trading strategy:
buy@3028
TP:3045-3050
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Gold’s Meteoric Rise: What’s Next After Breaking $3,000?Yesterday, TRADENATION:XAUUSD broke the $3,000 mark, a significant achievement from multiple perspectives.
As I mentioned yesterday, I didn’t expect the price to revisit the $2,950 support level, as it seemed too obvious. Unfortunately, my pending order at $2,970 wasn't triggered either, as the bulls were too strong, quickly forming a new support at $2,980.
This forced me to trade the breakout of the rectangle pattern, something I typically avoid —trading breakouts.
Now that we’ve reviewed the situation, let’s take a closer look at what we might expect in the near future.
Current Trend: Strong Upward Momentum
As is evident to everyone, gold is in a powerful uptrend, and trying to sell is risky. The key strategy here is to focus on buying on dips, rather than trying to catch a top.
The first level to keep an eye on for potential buy opportunities is the $3,000 mark, followed by the support formed yesterday at $2,980. Both of these levels are crucial in maintaining the bullish structure of the market. If the price dips to these levels and holds, they could provide excellent entry points for long positions.
Target Zones: Understanding Potential Resistance Levels
While targets in a ATHs defined market are arbitrary, historical price movements in gold suggest that certain price levels tend to act as either support or resistance. Specifically, levels in at $20, $40, $60, and $80 ranges have historically been key turning points.
Given this, if gold continues its ascent, targets at $3,020 and $3,040 could be reasonable. These levels align with the typical points that gold has faced during strong movements.
Looking Ahead: Volatility and Potential for Extreme Moves
Expect extreme volatility as gold continues to push higher. The bullish sentiment is strong, but with high volatility comes both risk and opportunity. Keeping a watchful eye on key levels, such as the $3,000 and $2,980 support zones, will be crucial for gauging potential retracements and entry points.
In conclusion, the strategy moving forward should focus on buying on dips, with an eye on $3,020 and $3,040 as logical targets for the next phase of gold's rally.
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Gold is on Fire—But Can Bulls Hold the Line?Gold has been surging, and while I expected it to hit $3,000 this year, I definitely didn’t anticipate it happening in the first semester...
So, let’s address the big question: Can the bulls maintain this level?
Looking at the chart, since early March, TRADENATION:XAUUSD has climbed 2,000 pips (around 7%), but what stands out is that 1,500 of those pips (5%) came in just one week.
No matter how strong the bullish momentum and fundamentals are, I believe this kind of rally is unsustainable.
Technical Outlook
After pulling back from its all-time high of 2,950, gold made a false breakout, followed by an almost vertical move upward, briefly interrupted by two consolidation phases.
Fundamental Factors
The FOMC meeting is today, and while rates are expected to remain unchanged, the real market mover will be Jerome Powell’s press conference. His comments could trigger significant price action.
My Take
I expect gold to start correcting after the press conference, regardless of what Powell says. However, this is a highly risky trade, so I’ll stay on the sidelines until I see a clear reversal signal.
Final Thoughts
At the time of writing, gold is consolidating within another rectangular range, with resistance at 3,040. If we see a spike above and then a drop back to around 3,030, that would signal ( for me ) that gold has topped—at least for now. In that case, I’ll be looking to short with a target of at least 500 pips. Until then, my approach is simple: wait and see.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
make a prompt decision! short high positionAnd from the chart, although gold has risen strongly, it still faces resistance in the 3039-3045 area in the short term. This is the last line of defense in the bear market, so it is not easy for gold to continue to break through. If gold fails to successfully cross this resistance area, then after consuming the bullish momentum to a certain extent, gold may retreat again and retest the 3015-3005 area.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
Gold induces bullish crashGold bulls are still showing a strong momentum. After successfully breaking through the $3,000 mark, it is likely to enter an accelerated upward phase.Gold opened at $3033, and the bulls are currently in a high-level oscillation state.There is still a possibility that the bulls will further push the price up to the range of 3040-3050 USD. The main reason is the lack of momentum for the decline. Gold has experienced a sharp rise of more than 100 points, from $2,981 to $3,038. The bulls have undoubtedly ushered in a nearly 60-point increase again.Therefore, shorting today is a more reasonable choice
Gold's unilateral bullish trend is strongGold opened at around 3033 and maintained high consolidation. The key resistance above is at 3040-3045. If it can be effectively broken, the gold price is expected to hit the 3050 mark this week. The support below is stable in the 3018-3015 range. Overall, the bullish trend of gold is still obvious. It is recommended to follow the trend and go long on the callback. At the same time, there are high-altitude opportunities after the high rebound, but attention should be paid to risk control
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3032-3027, stop loss at 3018, and the target is 3044-3050.
Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to sell at 3050-3055, stop loss at 3062, and the target is 3020-3007.
Gold sounds the horn of the counterattackThe gold bulls are too crazy and there is no chance of falling back. So when the market is too hot, you have to be careful, gold may stage the final madness.
Gold begins to rise and fall rapidly in the first hour, then gold begins to have short-term resistance, and the first-line resistance near 3040-3050 becomes effective, gold will usher in a reversal, and gold rises and falls and begins to adjust significantly to the 3015-3005 area, or even lower. The bullish trend of gold has been very strong in the early stage. However, when the market is too hot, it is also the time to be cautious and short under high pressure.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and stop blindly following the trend.
Unpacking the Bitcoin-Gold Correlation and its Current Dynamics
The narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" has gained significant traction, fueled by its perceived scarcity, decentralized nature, and potential as a hedge against economic uncertainty. Recent market movements, particularly the surge in gold prices and the subsequent, albeit delayed, reaction in Bitcoin, have brought this correlation into sharp focus. While the relationship isn't always perfectly synchronized, the underlying dynamics suggest a fascinating interplay between these two assets.
Gold's recent climb to an all-time high is largely attributed to escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly the resurgence of tariff war concerns. In times of uncertainty, investors often flock to traditional safe-haven assets like gold, seeking stability and protection against inflation. This surge in gold prices has naturally sparked renewed interest in Bitcoin, which, despite its volatility, is increasingly viewed as a viable alternative store of value.
However, the correlation isn't a simple, immediate mirroring of price movements. There's often a noticeable delay, with gold leading the way and Bitcoin following suit. This lag can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, gold's established status as a safe-haven asset gives it a head start in attracting investor capital during times of crisis. Secondly, Bitcoin's relatively nascent market is more susceptible to speculation and sentiment-driven fluctuations, which can introduce delays and variations in its price response.1
Currently, Bitcoin is navigating a period of consolidation, trading within a narrow range of $82.3k to $84.5k.2 This consolidation follows a "sell-the-news" event, likely related to a major market catalyst that failed to meet overly optimistic expectations. Consequently, Bitcoin is facing significant bearish pressure, evidenced by the accumulation of short positions. The pattern breakdowns observed by analysts further reinforce this bearish sentiment, suggesting a potential retest of the $78k support level.
Despite these challenges, the renewed interest in Bitcoin, driven by gold's surge, offers a glimmer of hope for a potential rebound. The "digital gold" narrative is gaining momentum, particularly among younger investors who are more comfortable with the digital asset landscape. If Bitcoin can successfully decouple from the immediate bearish pressures and capitalize on the broader trend of safe-haven asset allocation, it could witness a significant recovery.
However, several factors could impede this recovery. The significant short positions indicate a strong bearish sentiment, which could lead to further price declines if not countered by substantial buying pressure. Moreover, Bitcoin's inherent volatility remains a significant risk factor. Sudden market events or regulatory changes could trigger sharp price swings, disrupting any potential recovery.
Looking ahead to 2025, the Bitcoin price prediction remains a subject of intense debate. While some analysts foresee a potential breakout, fueled by increasing institutional adoption and the diminishing supply of new Bitcoin, others remain cautious, citing the persistent bearish pressures and the potential for further market corrections.
The "Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025: BTC Eyes Breakout, But Sellers Still In Control" sentiment accurately reflects the current market dynamics. The long-term potential for Bitcoin remains undeniable, but the short-term outlook is clouded by uncertainty. The interplay between bullish and bearish forces will likely continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming months.
The correlation with gold, while not a perfect predictor, provides valuable insights into Bitcoin's potential as a safe-haven asset. As gold continues to attract investor capital amid global uncertainties, Bitcoin's appeal as "digital gold" is likely to grow. However, the delayed response and the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market necessitate a cautious approach.
To navigate this complex landscape, investors should closely monitor both gold and Bitcoin price movements, paying attention to key technical indicators and fundamental developments. The accumulation of short positions, the potential retest of support levels, and the broader macroeconomic environment should all be considered when making investment decisions.
In conclusion, the Bitcoin-gold correlation provides a fascinating lens through which to understand the evolving dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. While the delayed response and the inherent volatility of Bitcoin present challenges, the growing recognition of its potential as "digital gold" offers a compelling narrative for long-term growth. However, in the immediate future, Bitcoin must navigate the current bearish pressures and capitalize on the renewed interest driven by gold's surge to achieve a meaningful rebound. The battle between buyers and sellers will continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory, and only time will tell whether the "digital gold" narrative will ultimately prevail.
#XAUUSD #GOLD 4HXAUUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
Gold is currently facing resistance at a descending trendline, which has been limiting upward movement. This trendline has acted as a strong barrier, preventing the price from breaking higher. Sellers are likely to step in at this level, increasing bearish pressure.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price respects the trendline resistance and shows bearish confirmation signals. If the price fails to break above this level, further downside movement can be expected.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Consider selling near the trendline resistance if the price shows rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target lower support levels where buyers may step in.
Market Sentiment:
If the trendline resistance remains intact, sellers may dominate the market, leading to a potential downward move. However, a breakout above the resistance could shift sentiment toward a bullish scenario.
Seize the golden opportunity at high altitudeDuring the price fluctuations, after two obvious market declines, the market bulls once showed a relatively strong upward trend, which made some investors confused about the market trend. However, after a comprehensive analysis of multi-dimensional factors in the market, including in-depth analysis of global economic data, geopolitical situation evolution and market capital flows, it is believed that the current high-altitude strategy in the gold market still has significant advantages.
From the perspective of technical analysis, gold prices are facing great pressure near key resistance levels, and the market short-selling momentum has not yet been fully released.
From a fundamental perspective, although the regional situation has caused short-term risk aversion fluctuations, the long-term economic trend still suppresses gold prices. Based on the above analysis, we firmly maintain the original strategy, and the 3025-3035 range is still an ideal position for short selling. Investors can decisively establish short positions in this range, set reasonable stop loss and take profit targets, and achieve steady returns with the help of market fluctuations. In the gold market full of variables, only by strictly adhering to the strategy can we ride the wind and waves and seize wealth opportunities.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
xauusd: Do you want to sell XAUUSD now?Is there a reasonable time to trade in a rising market?
The answer is yes.
Since the call between Trump and Putin has not ended or started, the uncontrollable factors have pushed the market's risk aversion sentiment to continue to rise. During the transaction, buy at a low level and make a profit.
The bold ones make money and have food to eat. The timid ones can only starve and lose money,
Buy now and wait until 3035 is a good choice
XAUUSD: Continue to shortGold breaks through strongly and reaches 3030-3040 directly. Don't hesitate, continue to short
xauusd sell@3030-3040
Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $700,000 in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
Gold hits a record high of 3,000, and bulls still have new highsGold broke through 2956 yesterday in the US market, reaching 2990, approaching the 3000 mark, with only 10 US dollars left. Today is Friday, the weekly line closes. How much room does gold have to rise?
This wave of rise from 2932 to 3000 is a rise of 168 US dollars. Compared with the previous increase of two or three hundred US dollars, there is still a large room for rise after the strong break. Above 3000, you can pay attention to 3050. In the bull market, follow the trend to rise, don't look at the top easily, the top and pressure are used to break the trend.
Yesterday's strong rise not only broke through the previous high of 2956, but also returned to the rising channel. Therefore, gold will continue to rise today. The morning high will be corrected sideways. In the afternoon, focus on the first-line support of 2976. It is expected that the European session will break through the high, and it is best to break through the 3000 mark. A strong breakthrough and a pullback in the evening can be seen for a second rise. The watershed is at the lower track support of the channel, which is about 2970-2965; if the European session suppresses the sideways downward, consider falling back when stagflation occurs.
Trading: Yesterday, gold rose sharply as expected, the trend was accurately grasped, and the entry point was accurate. After reducing the position of the 2936 long orders near 2950, all profit was stopped at 2955. A light position short order of 2955 was placed in the evening, and the final stop loss was 2962