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Strong Economy = Weak Gold | XAUUSDPositive unemployment data is indirectly bad news for gold. Because good unemployment data = low probability of recession , Gold price was going up because of the probability of crisis increases. That's why I think gold will lose this tiny reaction from the range low point at full speed and go to the boxes below. I don't overcomplicate things and add a ton of dirty crap to my charts, but you can check out the success of my analysis below. I approach trading with confidence backed by experience and past success in identifying high-probability setups. While I don’t claim to be the best, my track record speaks for itself, and I strive to let my analysis and results do the talking. Watch these levels closely—markets can confirm what charts already whisper. Let’s see how this plays out together. My Previous Ideas DOGEUSDT.P | 4 Reward for 1 Risk much more if you hold it. RENDERUSDT.P | HTF Accuracy ETHUSDT.P | Accurate Buyer Zone Identification | High Risk Reward if you hold it. BNBUSDT.P | Accurate Buyer Zone Identification | High Risk Reward if you hold it. Bitcoin Dominance | Great Characteristic Detection and Accurate Analysis
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XU99
Gold’s Key Support at RiskGold is once again in a downtrend, and the key level to watch is the support zone between 2618-2609. If this support holds, gold may form a double bottom, increasing the chances of a rebound. However, if the support breaks, this could likely be the final leg of a five-wave downtrend, and the decline could be the largest of the current cycle, potentially breaking below 2600 and reaching 2580, or even lower.If you're looking to go long on gold (trend trading), you will need to wait for the end of the five-wave decline and for a clear bottoming pattern to form before making your move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuide_Dean
Building a Bottom Before ReboundWhether from the perspective of the 5-wave pattern or the support levels established during the previous uptrend, both suggest that the current price is forming a bottom region before a potential rebound. We need to be patient during this phase. Of course, I’m sure there are some traders who enjoy scalping—if that's the case, you can trade smaller intraday swings during the bottoming process. However, I would recommend focusing on buying at lower levels for better entry points.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingGuide_Dean
Will gold continue to rise? For now, can gold continue to rally next week? Will there be a new rise? The answer is, of course! Remember, continuity is the key to an uptrend anyway, and look at crude oil to see what rhythm is. Fundamentals from the overall pattern, risk aversion has not subsided, gold is still in an upward pattern. The current plate technical point of view, last week's weekly line big Yin and this week's weekly line big Yang echo, rise and fall are also 150 dollars range, the only difference lies in a negative line, a positive line. This week's pull up broke the weekly four consecutive Yin closed a big Yang column, the solid effectively stabilized the upward channel, and closed above the short-term weekly average, the intensive support on the cycle average line is more prominent, the cycle index also maintained upward, weekly long strong; Therefore, weekly deep V reversal, superpose daily 5 even Yang, a little bit in the long run must be to test the previous high 2785-2790, this position may directly break through, may also be regress after the adjustment to break through. Either way, the direction is up, so the trading mind only needs to be long, and a pullback is an opportunity to be long. This is also evidenced by our continued bullish thinking this week. Detailed trading strategies will be updated later, so join me in the discussion
TVC:GOLDLong
by Boooooob
1
The most accurate gold trading signalsGold 4-hour level: Last night, it was under pressure and fell below the 10-day moving average, which was in line with the principle of weakness; and today, the Asian and European sessions fluctuated slowly upward and broke through the 10-day moving average, which showed some rebound strength. For tonight, the middle track 2658 is the next test. Once it fails to break through it, it will rise and fall again; Gold hourly level: From yesterday to now, the trend has been in the oscillating upward channel in the figure. Before the upper and lower tracks have broken through effectively, we should rely on the upper track to be bearish on highs and the lower track to be bullish on lows; At present, the upper track 2653 has some There are signs of pressure. The lower rail supports the upper rail in the range of 2633-30. If it repeatedly tests the upper rail, the derived pressure will be 2656. The important data tonight is 23 points of PCE. Once it rises as expected, it will suppress the gold price, which will easily swallow up the day's gains. Therefore, tonight, we tend to be bearish on rallies below 2653-56, and pay attention to the gains and losses of the lower rail support 2633-30. If it stabilizes and stabilizes, consider a rebound. If the big negative is lost, the weak pressure will continue, and then pay attention to the support of 2605. It is recommended to go short near 2660, stop loss at 2670, target at 2648-2640; it is recommended to go long near 2630, stop loss at 2625, target at 2650-2658;
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ckb6ckb6
Gold rebounded beyond expectations, what to do?Today, gold successfully broke through the high of 2640 in the European session and has reached near 2655. The short-term bullish and bearish situation changed quickly, but the huge negative decline in the daily line laid the foundation for bearishness. Tonight's US session is expected to be a trend of rising and falling. Pay attention to the pressure near 2658 on the top and the support of 2630 on the bottom. If it falls below, it will continue to test the 2620 mark. The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a short-term arrangement of a dead cross downward. After the sharp drop in gold on Monday, gold continued to bottom out and rebounded yesterday, but it was still oscillating back and forth. Today, the rebound continued, but gold was still under the pressure of the previous low of 2658 in the 1-hour. Gold is still a rebound. The market is changing rapidly. It is normal to rebound after falling too much, but it is too early to define that gold has reversed. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to focus on rebound shorting and supplemented by callback longing. The short-term focus on the upper side is 2658-2660 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2610-2605 support.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ckb6ckb6
Target Achieved, Future OutlookAfter a prolonged period of consolidation, gold has finally reached above 2650, just as we predicted, bringing in great profits! The price is now in a selling pressure zone, with key data releases approaching. In this case, it's prudent to pause trading and observe the selling pressure around 2660. If the selling pressure is strong, you can follow the trend to short, but be mindful of the strong support zone below. As long as it holds, gold is likely to continue its upward movement. Therefore, do not hold short positions too long. If there's a second surge in volume and a breakout occurs, gold could rise towards the 2680 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradingGuide_Dean
XAUUSD OUTLOOK H4 XAU/USD (Gold) with key features highlighted. Here's a breakdown of the analysis: 1. Order Block and FVG: The upper blue zone represents an Order Block, an area of institutional interest where selling pressure may emerge. The Fair Value Gap (FVG) is also marked, indicating a potential imbalance that the price might fill before continuing its movement. 2. Supply Zone: The mid-level blue zone indicates a Supply Zone, where selling pressure is likely to push the price downward if tested. 3. CHoCH (Change of Character): The dotted line labeled CHoCH signifies a structural shift from bullish to bearish momentum, marking the beginning of a downtrend. 4. Break of Structure (BOS): BOS levels are identified, confirming bearish continuation with successive lower lows. 5. Future Projections: If the price breaks through the resistance in the Supply Zone, it could potentially test the higher Order Block before a reversal. Alternatively, failure to break resistance may result in a continuation of the bearish trend.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by AdMagsi
XAU/USD 27 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Yesterday's analysis and bias dated 26 November 2024 remains the same. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
6
Trading Strategy Amid Geopolitical and Economic DataMarket Review and Outlook: During the Asian session on Wednesday, gold attracted some follow-up buying, successfully holding support around the 2630 level and moving up to face significant resistance near the 2650 mark. The ongoing geopolitical risks related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, coupled with concerns over President-elect Trump's tariff plans, have continued to drive safe-haven flows into precious metals for the second consecutive day. However, the upward momentum seems to be lacking strength, and with today's key economic data releases—including the initial jobless claims and the U.S. October core PCE price index year-over-year—the market may see more defined direction. Thus, we will adopt a two-way strategy for trading gold today. Today's Trading Strategy: Sell Zone: Short positions can be considered between the 2645-2650 range. Buy Zone: If the price falls back to 2630, look for opportunities to go long. Market Watch: Given the economic data releases, anticipate increased volatility and stay prepared for quick adjustments. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always adhere to proper risk management practices and avoid overleveraging your trades.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Falcon-Training-Camp
XAUUSD: 27/11 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance 2700, support below 2627 Four-hour resistance 2650, support below 2627-10 Gold operation suggestions: Gold quickly stepped down in the Asian session yesterday, pierced through the 2610 mark, stabilized, rebounded and repaired, stepped down again in the European session, stabilized at the 2610 line, ushered in a bottoming out and rebounded, and finally accelerated in the US session to break through the 2640 mark, suppressed and fell back and closed in shock, and the daily K-line chart closed in a shock pattern. At present, from the perspective of the 4-hour trend, we pay attention to the 2627 line support below, the weekly level long-short dividing line 2637 line, and the upper focus is 2650/2658. We continue to sell high and buy low during the day, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. BUY:2627near SL:2623 BUY:2614near SL:2610 The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
TVC:GOLDShort
by ActuaryJ
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FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by Thief_Trader
Key Resistance at 2630 Ahead of FOMC MinutesMarket Review and Outlook: As anticipated in my previous post, gold has been trading within a range, primarily between the 2600 and 2630 levels. Although there was a brief breakout above 2630, the price ultimately formed a long upper wick on the daily candle, indicating strong resistance at this level. This reinforces the idea that 2630 remains a crucial resistance zone for the short term. With the release of the Federal Reserve’s November meeting minutes in about an hour, we can expect the potential for gold to find a new directional bias. From my perspective, the expectations for further rate cuts have diminished significantly, and the overall outlook for the U.S. economy remains relatively stable. With a new president in office, it is unlikely that the U.S. economy will face significant challenges in the near term. Therefore, there is a high probability that the minutes could turn out to be bearish for gold. Trading Strategy: Given the current market conditions and the upcoming event, my recommendation is to continue focusing on shorting gold: Short Position: If gold rises above 2630 again, consider shorting. Resistance Target: Watch for further downside if 2630 holds as resistance. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always ensure strict risk management and avoid excessive leverage when trading.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Falcon-Training-Camp
Recovery Strategy for Long/Short PositionsAre You Stuck in a Long Position and Thinking of Cutting Losses? Or Has Your Account Been Blown and You Want to Recover? From my personal perspective: If you're stuck in a long position and considering cutting losses: I suggest you hold on for a bit longer. Gold is currently in a short-term bottoming process. If you close your position now and prices go up, you will likely regret it. Trading with regret can lead to emotional decisions, and you might make the same mistake again. Patience could bring unexpected gains. If your account has taken a hit and you're looking to recover: I suggest preparing more funds to continue buying. A rebound is inevitable, and 2640 is almost guaranteed to be reached. My target is around 2650, though it may change depending on market developments. But 2640 is a solid expectation. If you entered short positions during the recent decline and got caught: You can open a long position to recover while waiting for a rebound. Once the price reaches 2640, you can close the long position and decide whether to add shorts again based on market conditions. This is my advice, and I hope it helps you make a better decision moving forward.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradingGuide_Dean
Gold in a Holding Pattern: Awaiting FOMC Minutes for DirectionMarket Review and Outlook: Since yesterday’s sharp decline, gold has found strong support around the 2600 level, with resistance capping the price below 2630. As a result, gold is expected to remain within the 2600-2630 range today, with limited movement outside of this zone. The main reason for this confined price action is the upcoming release of the Federal Reserve’s November meeting minutes tomorrow. The market anticipates that these minutes could provide key insights into the Fed’s future monetary policy, which will likely guide gold’s next directional move. Given this, it’s unlikely that gold will experience significant volatility today ahead of the announcement. Today's Trading Strategy: Buy Opportunity: If gold drops near the 2610 level, consider going long. Sell Opportunity: Look for shorting opportunities if the price approaches 2630. Target Range: Expect gold to oscillate between 2600 and 2630 today. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Please ensure that risk management protocols are followed and avoid overleveraging your positions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Falcon-Training-Camp
Gold Analysis: Navigating the Wild Swings in XAUUSDNot long ago, I used to discuss potential targets of 1,000 pips for OANDA:XAUUSD in my analyses, explaining why trading XAUUSD requires factoring in potential moves of 300–400 pips as part of a well-thought-out strategy, not 30-50 pips. Fast forward to today, and the landscape has shifted dramatically. A 500-pip movement in a single day has become standard, while 600–800 pips—or even the occasional 1,000—are no longer rare occurrences. But let’s set aside the preamble and dive straight into what we might expect from gold in the near future. In my analysis yesterday, I suggested that a lower high, relative to the previous all-time high, might be forming. This led to the idea that selling into rallies after the normal correction of the Asian session drop could be a viable strategy, with an initial target around the 2650 level. True to its newfound roller-coaster nature, gold once again surprised us by plunging far deeper than anticipated, hitting a low around the 2605 support zone. As outlined in the previous analysis, the short-term trend has now probably shifted to bearish, and a further decline towards the 2520 support level is not out of the question. Key Levels and Trading Strategy - Sell Rallies: Potential selling opportunities could emerge on rallies near 2640, with a stronger resistance level at 2660 providing an additional entry point. - Interim Support: The 2590 zone could serve as a short-term target, while an extension towards the 2520 level presents an attractive setup for a swing trade. Given the current market conditions and gold’s remarkable volatility, these levels are merely guidelines. In such an environment, adaptability and careful risk management are critical for navigating the market successfully. Keep in mind, anything can happen in these market conditions—stay prepared!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
13