Gold CPI shocks and fallsThe hourly chart shows that the gold price fluctuated and consolidated at the bottom after a continuous correction, continuing the rebound trend. The key pressure level is the top and bottom conversion position. The current gold rebound is only a secondary confirmation of the top structure at the 30-minute level. After reaching 3365, the short-term has shown signs of pressure. In the volatile market, if the price begins to consolidate horizontally, it may indicate the end of this round of volatile upward trend, and it will enter a downward phase later. Considering the market sensitivity before the release of CPI data, it is recommended to focus on the volatile decline trend. After today's rebound, it is necessary to focus on the 3363-3368 area as a short-selling range, and the long and short defense position is set at yesterday's intraday high of 3375. In terms of operation, it is recommended to maintain the idea of rebounding and shorting, and pay attention to the 3340-3335 range for support below.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to short gold near the rebound of 3363-3368, with a stop loss at 3375 and a target of 3350-3340.
Xauusdupdates
XAU/USD 15 July Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 14, 2025
🔍 Momentum Analysis
D1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently reversing to the upside, indicating that the bullish trend may continue into early next week (Monday).
H4 Timeframe: Momentum has entered the overbought zone, suggesting that a short-term correction is likely to bring momentum back down into oversold territory.
🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
On the H4 chart, we observe a contracting triangle pattern (abcde) approaching its final stages.
In the Friday trading plan, we anticipated that the corrective phase had ended and price was entering a new impulsive wave. However, there are two irregularities worth noting:
A pin bar candle with high volume has appeared at the resistance zone near 3365, while H4 momentum is overbought. This signals a likely short-term correction — something that ideally should not happen if price is already in wave 3. Ideally, price should have surged to 3402 on Friday to strengthen the bullish case.
On the H1 chart, bullish candles are small and overlapping, reflecting weak bullish momentum and a lack of conviction from buyers.
These two signs suggest that the market may still be within the correction phase, and the 3402 level will serve as a key confirmation zone to determine whether the correction has truly ended.
💡 Trading Outlook
The bullish momentum on the D1 chart still supports BUY positions for the coming week.
However, since the H4 chart is overbought, a short-term pullback is likely.
We will look to buy on dips toward lower support zones, targeting a move toward 3393 – 3402, which remains the target area as outlined in Friday’s plan with the original entry at 3332 – 3330.
📊 Trading Plan
BUY Zone: 3342 – 3340
Stop Loss (SL): 3330
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3370
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3393
Converging triangle, may rise again in the short termUnder the influence of recent tariffs and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the main trend of the gold market remains bullish, but from the weekly and monthly level analysis, there is a high probability that it will pull back again after this round of highs and maintain a large range of fluctuations at a high level. Technical analysis shows that gold currently does not have the conditions for a unilateral surge at the daily level. Although the key level of 3345 has been broken, the continuity of the market is extremely poor, and volatility is still the main theme. At present, the trend of gold has formed a converging triangle pattern, and it may rise again in the short term. However, we need to be vigilant that the weekly line may form a high-rise and fall pattern, and the price of gold may fall back to 3300! Therefore, in today's late trading, you can consider retreating to the 3335-3330 area to go long
OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD 4H – Break & Retest With Bullish Continuation | SMC🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) is setting up for a potential bullish move after a successful break and retest of a key resistance zone at 3346 – 3348, now turned into fresh support.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
📌 Structure:
Gold previously formed a strong resistance near 3346, which aligned with multiple rejections in past sessions. After a liquidity sweep and break above this level, price retraced for a textbook break-and-retest setup.
📌 CHoCH & BOS (Break of Structure):
The market showed a bullish Change of Character followed by a clean Break of Structure to the upside, confirming bullish intent.
📌 Smart Money Perspective:
Institutional demand was respected at 3296–3305 zone.
Liquidity below this zone has been taken.
Current bullish candles are printing higher highs and higher lows.
📌 Confluences:
✅ Break & Retest of major structure
✅ Clean demand zone below
✅ Imbalance filled
✅ Bullish market structure
✅ SMC confirmation (CHoCH + BOS + Mitigation)
📈 Trade Idea (Long Setup):
💰 Buy Entry: 3359
🔻 Stop Loss: 3305 (below demand + structure)
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3400
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3440 – 3442 (major resistance)
🧮 Risk-to-Reward: 1:2+
This setup provides a strong bullish continuation opportunity targeting the upper resistance zone. Monitor candle confirmations and session volume for more precise entries.
📢 💬 Like this idea? Follow for more Smart Money trades on Gold, US30, NAS100, and V75!
Gold Aiming Higher: Bullish Momentum Toward Key S&D ZoneHello guys!
The main bullish trend remains intact on Gold. After forming a solid base near the QML level, price has been respecting the ascending channel structure and is now pushing toward the upper boundary of that channel.
The current price action shows strength and momentum, and with the recent breakout above the midline of the channel, it signals that buyers are likely to push price toward the next key area of interest.
The target is clearly defined: the supply zone around 3409–3423, which has previously acted as a major resistance area.
Core idea:
Main trend: Bullish
Structure: Ascending channel
Support confirmed: QML zone bounce
Current behavior: Price moving along the top of the channel
Target: 3409–3423 supply zone
Gold Short Term OutlookGold has extended its recovery after holding above the Pullback Support Zone and is now trading around 3,359, attempting to build momentum toward higher resistance levels.
The structure remains bullish with price trading above both the 50MA and 200MA , which are starting to slope upward and act as dynamic support.
A confirmed break and hold above 3,354 would open the path toward the next resistance cluster at 3,383 and potentially 3,400, with 3,416 and 3,440 as higher-timeframe resistance targets.
If price fails to hold above 3,354 and begins to fade, watch the Pullback Support Zone (3,335–3,305) closely for signs of renewed buying interest.
A clean break below that zone would shift focus to the deeper Support Zone (3,289-3,267) and potentially the HTF Support Zone (3,241–3,208) if selling pressure builds.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ 3,364
‣ 3,383
‣ 3,400
‣ 3,416
Support:
‣ 3,354
‣ 3,335
‣ 3,305
‣ 3,289
‣ 3,267
‣ 3,241
‣ 3,208
🔎 Fundamental Focus
All eyes are on today’s U.S. CPI release
XAUUSD: Trading Strategy Before the US SessionAhead of the release of key US session data, gold is oscillating in a narrow range between $3340 and $3375. The daily chart shows a balance between bulls and bears. On the 4-hour chart, $3375, which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, serves as a critical watershed for the market trend.
In terms of trading strategy, it's advisable to trade within the aforementioned range and follow the trend once there is a clear breakout. If gold stabilizes above $3360 and breaks through $3375, it could rally towards $3400. Conversely, if it falls below $3340 and loses the $3310 - $3320 range, it may test $3300. It's essential to confirm the direction in conjunction with fundamental news and avoid blind trading.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 15, 2025🟢 Trade Update
The BUY order at the 3342 – 3340 zone was triggered at 3341. As of now, price has moved up by 140 pips, and the market is still following the planned scenario from the previous analysis.
📊 Momentum Analysis
D1 Timeframe: Momentum is in the overbought zone, and indicator lines are showing signs of crossing — a warning signal of a potential reversal on the daily chart.
H4 Timeframe: After a 6-candle decline from 3377 to 3342, H4 momentum has reversed upward. With 2 bullish candles already formed, we expect another 3–5 bullish candles, aiming toward the 3390 zone.
🌀 Elliott Wave Update
Price action is currently moving toward the end of the abcde contracting triangle. We are monitoring two potential scenarios:
Scenario 1 – Ongoing Triangle Correction
If price returns to the lower boundary of the triangle, it is likely forming wave e, which would present a buy opportunity for the final leg of the triangle.
Scenario 2 – 5-Wave Impulse Extension
The current structure shows a 5-wave impulsive move, with wave 4 completed and wave 5 now beginning.
The projected target for wave 5 aligns with the resistance zone at 3398 – 3402.
After completing wave 5, the market could enter a corrective phase, consistent with the idea that wave d ends at this resistance.
🔔 If the price breaks above 3402, it would likely confirm that the abcde correction is complete and that a new impulsive bullish wave has started.
🎯 Trade Plan
📍SELL Zone: 3396 – 3398
⛔️ Stop Loss: 3406
🎯 TP1: 3376
🎯 TP2: 3327
📍BUY Zone: 3295 – 3293
⛔️ Stop Loss: 3285
🎯 TP1: 3327
🎯 TP2: 3365
🎯 TP3: 3402
✅ Note: Prioritize entries only after confirmation from price action and momentum at key levels.
XAUUSD Trade Plan | 15 July 2025After observing the recent low breakdown and a clear liquidity grab, we saw a strong direction confirmation breakout. This suggests that the market is likely to continue its upward momentum.
🔄 Breakdown/Seller Trap triggered the reversal
🔹 Last Important Low respected
📈 Breakout confirms bullish direction
✅ Plan:
I’ll be watching for a pullback into the grey demand zone (highlighted area) for a potential long entry.
🕵️♂️ No FOMO — I’ll only enter after price shows clear bullish behavior in this zone.
🎯 Target: 3,365.89 resistance
📍 Entry Zone: Grey box (based on previous structure)
Let me know your thoughts — are you also watching this zone?
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #LiquidityGrab #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #TradingPlan #TradingView
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H: Bullish Continuation Play- 15 July 20244‑Hour Technical Outlook — Bullish Bias Above Key BOS Zone
Gold remains in a strong structural uptrend on the 4‑hour chart, carving out a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Price is consolidating just below recent swing highs around $3,360, suggesting accumulation after last week’s impulsive rally.
We saw a Break of Structure (BOS) above $3,340, confirming bullish control and establishing that area as a critical flip zone. Unless price closes decisively below that BOS, the directional bias remains bullish.
📐 Key Confluences & Zones on 4‑Hour
🔹 Fibonacci Retracement (Swing: $3,280 → $3,360):
38.2%: ~$3,331 — aligns perfectly with BOS & prior resistance turned support.
61.8%: ~$3,313 — deeper, but still within bullish context.
🔹 Supply & Demand Zones:
Supply (Resistance): $3,355–$3,360 — recent highs, likely containing resting sell‑side liquidity.
Demand (Support): $3,331–$3,335 — a bullish order block and fair value gap (imbalance) reside here.
Deeper Demand: $3,313–$3,315 — secondary buy zone if the market hunts liquidity deeper.
🔹 Liquidity Profile:
Buy‑side stops likely rest above $3,360 — breakout target.
Sell‑side liquidity below $3,331 could trigger a shakeout before higher.
🧠 ICT/SMC Concepts Observed:
✅ BOS confirmed at $3,340, favoring longs.
✅ FVG/imbalance between $3,338–$3,342 suggests price may “fill” before next impulse.
✅ Recent wick above $3,355 hints at minor buy‑side liquidity grab — but no confirmed CHoCH (change of character) yet.
✅ Bullish order block formed at $3,331–$3,333, acting as strong support.
📈 1‑Hour Intraday Playbook — Aligned With Bullish Bias
On the 1‑hour chart, momentum remains constructive above $3,331. Intraday traders can look for these setups:
1️⃣ Buy the Retest
Entry: $3,335 (within 4H OB & FVG)
Stop‑loss: $3,327 (below demand)
Targets:
🔸 T1: $3,355
🔸 T2: $3,380 (next resistance)
2️⃣ Breakout Long
Entry: Break and close above $3,360
Stop‑loss: $3,350
Targets:
🔸 T1: $3,380
🔸 T2: $3,406 (1.272 Fib ext.)
3️⃣ Deeper Pullback Buy
Entry: $3,313–$3,315 (61.8% Fib + deeper demand)
Stop‑loss: $3,305
Targets: back toward $3,355–$3,380
🎯 The Golden Setup:
✅ Long from $3,335, stop‑loss $3,327, targeting $3,355–$3,380.
Why? This setup aligns BOS, bullish OB, FVG, 38.2% Fib, and current trend structure — highest confluence and best risk/reward ratio (~1:3).
🔎 Summary Table — Key Levels for Today
📈 Bullish Continuation Above $3,331
🟢 Strong Buy Zone $3,331–$3,335
🟢 Deeper Demand $3,313–$3,315
🔴 Resistance / Supply $3,355–$3,360
🚨 Bullish Invalidation Below $3,331
Bias remains bullish as long as $3,331 holds. Look for reaction in the $3,331–$3,335 zone to join institutional flows.
Today's summary and tomorrow's market forecast📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
Bros, I had some things to deal with just now so I went out for a while. Now I come back to share my ideas. When the market is blindly chasing longs, I chose to give a bearish trading opportunity. I know that after I proposed the idea of shorting to test the support level of 3340-3330 below, many people were skeptical and even looked at it with a sarcastic attitude. After all, most people in the market are long. But facts and results have proved that only by following the trend can there be better room for operation. When doing transactions, you must first have a clear goal. Those who follow the crowd will often only blame their mistakes on others or luck.
Regarding the arrangements for future trading, first of all, 3375-3385 above is still an important short-term resistance. If today's closing is above 3360, then 3375 will most likely be tested again during the Asia-Europe trading session. Once it goes up again, it is very likely to break through the resistance area of 3375-3385. Before the US data, the price may stay at 3390 or 3400. On the contrary, if today's closing is below 3360, then the price still has room for adjustment. In this way, 3340 will not be the low point of this week. The bearish volatility in the Asian and European sessions will also test the strong support of 3330-3320.
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Gold OutlookGold took previous week high and gave bearish move. The gold overall scenario shows it is bullish. The possible move for the gold will be to touch FVG retrace and go towards supply zone and again retrace back. Or if buyers step in we may see good bullish move gold might touch supply zone retrace a little bit follow the bullish path.
Gold Outlook – Monday Session BreakdownOn the Monthly timeframe, gold has shown a triple wick rejection, which continues to signal potential downside movement. After several failed attempts to break above the $3,400 level, we’ve begun to see a retracement take shape.
On the Daily chart, a Head and Shoulders pattern appears to be forming — further reinforcing the bearish narrative.
During Monday’s session, price action retested the upward trendline from Friday, before sharply reversing down to the $3,353 zone, where it consolidated and formed a neckline. During the London session, gold once again tested the trendline, met sharp resistance, and formed a double top. The neckline and ascending channel were then broken at $3,353 during the New York session.
At present, gold is trading between the two key neckline levels: $3,353 and $3,330.
• A break and close above $3,353 could signal renewed bullish sentiment, with targets at the $3,378 trendline and potentially the $3,402 resistance.
• A break and close below $3,330 would point to continued bearish momentum, with a downside target at $3,312.
CPI data is scheduled for tomorrow, which may bring increased volatility and key level breaks.
Key Levels to Watch:
• Resistance: $3,402, $3,378, $3,353
• Support: $3,330, $3,312, $3,300, $3,283
Trade Zones:
• Buy entries: $3,330 – $3,328
• Sell entries: $3,353 – $3,355
Stay sharp this week, and remember to manage your risk wisely — 1–2% per trade.
Let the market come to you — patience pays.
Gold's Bullish Momentum: Trading Strategy for TodayTechnically, gold prices continued their strong bullish rally to break new highs last Friday 😎. During the Asian and European sessions, prices broke through the 3320 mark and extended their upward momentum with sustained strength 💹. In the afternoon European session, gold prices kept surging, breaking through and standing above the 3340 mark, accelerating the upward trend 🔥. In the evening US session, the price further accelerated its rally, piercing the 3369 level before pulling back and closing strongly 📈. The daily K-line closed as a fluctuating and high-breaking bullish candle 🌞. On the daily chart, there has been a strong bullish rally breaking new highs for three consecutive trading days, and the overall price has returned to the 3360 mark, re-entering a strong bullish one-sided pattern.
This morning, gold prices opened with a further gap higher, piercing the 3370 mark and continuing to fluctuate strongly 😜. Today's trend should focus on buying on dips 🙌. Although gold gapped up and surged for a while, the momentum is not strong. There must be a pullback for adjustment; otherwise, it will be difficult to maintain the upward momentum 🚶♂️.
From the 4-hour chart analysis, the short-term support below today should focus on the hourly neckline around 3340-45 📍, with key attention to the 3325-30 support level. During the day, we should continue to take the opportunity of pullbacks to go long as the main strategy 😏. The key dividing line for the short-term bullish strength is the 3325 mark. As long as the daily chart stabilizes above this level, we will continue to maintain the strategy of buying on dips to follow the bullish trend. Before breaking below this level, we will keep the strategy of buying on dips to follow the trend 💪
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Gold Bulls Are Back – Eyes on 3450 GOLD – Bulls Regain Control After Defending 3280
🟡 Last week was a dynamic one for Gold traders.
The week began with signs of an upside reversal, followed by a drop to test the 3280 support. That dip held—and from there, we saw a strong push higher, ending the week right at the top of the range.
📌 Friday’s close left behind a continuation Pin Bar on the weekly chart – a strong signal in favor of the bulls.
- This week started with a new local high at 3375,but we’re now seeing a pullback in the 3355 area at the time of writing.
What’s next?
Given last week’s price action, bulls seem to have won the battle and appear ready to challenge the 3400 level.
My plan for this week:
I’m looking to buy dips, and as long as nothing changes, my target is the 3450 zone.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold still has room to pull back, be brave and short gold!Gold continued to rebound today, and we also successfully gained 150pips profit in long gold trading. However, although gold is currently maintaining its upward trend, the rebound strength of gold is not strong during the European session, and it has repeatedly touched 3375 and then fell back, proving that there is still some resistance above. In my previous trading point of view, I also emphasized that gold is under pressure near 3380 in the short term. In addition, from a technical perspective, today's intraday high is limited to 3395.
So in order to dump the bullish momentum so that it can break through 3380 more smoothly, or even continue to above 3340, gold will inevitably have a retracement in the short term. So when most people in the market are still waiting for a retracement to go long on gold, I will definitely not waste the opportunity of gold retracement in vain.
So for short-term trading, I will consider shorting gold appropriately in the 3375-3395 area, with the target looking at 3360-3350. After gold falls back as expected, we might as well consider going long on gold at a low level.
The market is bullish, but I am bearish. Don't regret it.📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
This week, the US CPI data, consumer index, tariff issues and geopolitical situation are all key points to pay attention to. In the morning, both our long and short positions had good gains, making a good start to the week. The best way is to follow the trend and grab limited profits!
In the 4H cycle, the current trend shows a Zhendan upward pattern, and bulls still occupy the dominant low position in the short term. At the daily level, three consecutive positive days at the end of last week broke through the middle track, and the high point broke through the previous high, indicating that the short-term adjustment is over, and the rise in the market to test 3400 will be a high probability event. At present, the MACD daily line is bullish, the Bollinger Bands are flat, and the gold price is above the middle track. The bulls are strong, but there is still a need for a correction. Intraday trading focuses on the strength of the European session. If the European session is strong, the US session will continue to rise, and if the European session is weak, the US session will bottom out again. In the short term, if it touches 3370-3375 again, you can consider shorting and look towards 3365-3355 SL 3380.
🎯 Trading Points:
sell 3370-3375
tp 3365-3355-3345
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAU/USD Weekly Update — July 14, 2025⌛Timeframe:
.
📆 Date: July 14, 2025
.
🎯 Weekly Bias: Mildly Bullish — elevated risk, cautious momentum
🔎 Market Overview:
🛡️ Safe‑haven demand surging:
Renewed 30% tariffs on EU, Mexico, Canada have pushed investors into gold, lifting prices to a 3-week high.
📉 Weak USD & inflation hedge:
A softer U.S. dollar, under pressure from dovish Fed speculation, continues to support gold. A predicted September rate cut further boosts gold’s appeal.
🏦 Central bank accumulation:
Q1 2025 saw record demand from central banks (≈244 tonnes), with many reallocating reserves toward gold for geopolitical and de-dollarization reasons.
📈 YTD performance standout:
Gold is up ~27% this year, leading other assets. Bullish technical indicators like tightening Bollinger Bands and sustained MACD support continuation.
🌀 Market Sentiment:
🔽 Exchange reserves continue dropping:
Indicative of increased HODLing and lower upcoming sell pressure.
🧠 Sentiment firmly bullish:
Analysts highlight risk‑off bias; gold remains favored amid trade tensions.
🤝 ETF inflows & institutional buying:
Strong flows through gold ETFs and central bank buying reflect ongoing structural support.
🔧 Technical Analysis:
📊 Weekly Movement: +1.9% weekly gain, now at $3,367.
✅ Key Levels:
🔻 Resistance: $3,374 → $3,400
🔺 Support: $3,350 → $3,331
🟢 Signals: Mild bearish RSI divergence hints at short-term pause
🟢 Weekly Bias: Mildly Bullish — momentum favored, but caution amid technical divergence.
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⚠️ Risk Reminder: For educational purposes only — not financial advice. Utilize prudent risk management.
👍 If this update helps, hit like, comment your view, and follow for timely XAUUSD alerts!
Beware of the market's trap of luring more investors, short 3335Regarding recent trading strategies, I believe you have also seen my trading win rate. I often inform the future trend of gold several hours or even days in advance, because my many years of trading experience have made me an excellent poisonous wolf in the trading market. Now I see a lot of bullish voices in the market, but my wolf’s sense of smell has discovered danger signals. In the short term, I think that without the influence of news, the market needs to digest the overbought momentum of the bulls. From the 4H chart, the middle track of the Bollinger Band is at 3332, which is very close to the strong support of 3330 given by us during the day. Therefore, I think that at least within 4 hours, gold will fall back to test the support below 3340-3330, or even 3320. Since most people want to follow the crowd, let them go. They will only fall into the trap set by the market. Let's prove with facts whether following the wolf pack will make you hungry or well fed.
OANDA:XAUUSD
7/14: Sell High, Buy Low Within the 3400–3343 Range for GoldGood morning, everyone!
At the end of last week, renewed trade tariff concerns reignited risk-off sentiment, prompting a strong rally in gold after multiple tests of the 3321 support level. The breakout was largely driven by fundamental news momentum.
On the daily (1D) chart, the price has fully reclaimed the MA60 and broken above the MA20, signaling an emerging bullish trend. The key focus for this week includes:
Monitoring whether MA20 holds as support on any pullbacks
Watching the 3400 resistance zone for signs of exhaustion or continuation
From a 30-minute technical perspective, gold is currently trading within a short-term resistance band of 3372–3378, with a stronger resistance zone between 3387–3392. Key support levels are:
Primary support: around 3358
Secondary support: 3343–3332 zone
Given the recent increase in volatility due to geopolitical and macroeconomic headlines, flexible intraday trading is recommended within the 3378–3343 range, while broader trades can be framed around the 3400–3325 zone, still favoring a sell-high, buy-low approach.
Lastly, as we move into the mid-year period, I may have more personal commitments, and strategy updates could be less frequent. I appreciate your understanding, and as always, feel free to leave a message if you have any questions or need trading guidance—I’ll respond as soon as I can.
GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS H4 TIMEFRAMECurrent Price: ~$3,371
Trend: Currently breaking out of a downtrend channel, with a strong upward push.
Chart Pattern: Price has formed a rounded bottom and is moving higher, indicating bullish momentum
🔼 Resistance Levels (Targets):
1. First Resistance / Target: ~3,404.54 – 3,403.61
→ This is the first breakout target after crossing the trendline.
2. Final Resistance / Target: ~3,462.40 – 3,490.39
→ This zone represents the major resistance where bulls might face selling pressure.
🔽 Support Level:
Support Zone: ~3,310 – 3,320
→ This is the previous bottom and the bullish reversal zone, acting as strong support.
📈 Projected Bullish Move (According to Chart Arrows):
A pullback may occur after breaking above the trendline.
Then, price is expected to rally toward 3,403, retest, and eventually target 3,462 – 3,490 area.
✅ Key Indicators Noted:
The Ichimoku cloud shows bullish bias.
Chart shows higher lows, indicating strengthening buyer interest.
Bullish candle formations near the breakout zone support upward continuation.
🧭 Conclusion (Trade Idea):
Bias: Bullish
Entry: On breakout and retest above the trendline (around 3,360–3,370)
Targets:
1st Target: 3,404
2nd Target: 3,462
Final Target: 3,490
Stop Loss: Below 3,320 support zone