XAU/USD 26 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Xauusdupdates
GOLD | TRUMP EFFECTSome of the investors, who felt that money would enter the markets with the arrival of Trump, transferred their money from gold to riskier assets.
This has worked well for now, but diamond hands will still continue to buy gold. I also see in the book a scenario in which both asset classes may rise in the long run.
I think it makes sense to be involved as a buyer in the blue and green boxes, especially it would be wise to wait for the green box.
My Previous Ideas
DOGEUSDT.P | 4 Reward for 1 Risk much more if you hold it.
RENDERUSDT.P | HTF Accuracy
ETHUSDT.P | Accurate Buyer Zone Identification | High Risk Reward if you hold it.
BNBUSDT.P | Accurate Buyer Zone Identification | High Risk Reward if you hold it.
Bitcoin Dominance | Great Characteristic Detection and Accurate Analysis
Gold’s Volatile Ride: What’s Next for the Medium-Term Trend?Gold has been experiencing unusual price movements and heightened volatility over the past two weeks.
Two weeks ago, the price saw an initial drop of 1500 pips. However, last week, it staged a sharp recovery, rallying almost uninterrupted—ignoring resistance levels—and closed the week strongly bullish at 2720.
As if that weren’t enough, the start of this week brought a sudden drop of 600 pips within just a few hours of the market opening.
This raises the critical question: What is Gold’s medium-term trend?
In my view, despite last week’s strong rally, the medium-term trend for Gold has shifted to bearish. Last week’s high might represent a lower high compared to the all-time high.
I plan to look for selling opportunities around 2700 and slightly higher, targeting the 2650 support level as an initial objective.
Gold Under Pressure: Stay Bearish as Trend ContinuesMarket Review and Outlook:
Dear traders, today’s shorting strategy around 2688 has likely provided profits for those who followed the signal—congratulations to those who seized this opportunity! For those who missed it, don’t worry; there are still plenty of chances ahead as the market continues to offer ample trading opportunities.
The sharp decline in gold prices recently has been driven by expectations of a ceasefire agreement in the Middle East, which has significantly reduced safe-haven demand. This, coupled with a drop in geopolitical tensions, has caused gold to remain under pressure. While some traders may consider going long at current levels in anticipation of a rebound, I must emphasize that trading is not gambling. The key to success lies in aligning with the prevailing trend to minimize unnecessary risks.
From both a fundamental and technical perspective, a reversal in gold prices appears unlikely in the short term. Bearish sentiment remains strong, and the trend is firmly in favor of the bears. Therefore, a short-biased trading approach should continue to dominate under the current market conditions.
Today's Trading Strategy:
Gold has formed a significant short-term resistance level around 2640. If the market experiences a slight rebound, this will offer another opportunity to enter short positions. The upside potential is limited, while the downside has substantial room to move.
Recommendation: Look to short again around 2640 during any brief upticks.
Risk-to-Reward: The downside potential remains strong, while the upside is limited.
Advisory Note:
The broader trend is clear, and for those unsure how to navigate the market, feel free to reach out for assistance. Recent VIP strategies have shown solid performance, but as these are based on trend analysis and not precise trading signals, some users may have misunderstood the approach, resulting in losses or trapped positions. If you find yourself in such a situation, please contact me for help.
For those considering joining our VIP service, now is a great time to apply for a free trial to gain a clearer understanding of the value we offer. Feel free to reach out for more information!
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always use sound risk management practices and avoid overleveraging in your trades.
Let me know if you'd like to further refine or adjust any details!
Fibo extension xauusdscenario 1: Watch the 2611 - 2615 area if there is a rejection in the area, gold will be pulled up at least 250 pips.
scenario 2: sell if it has entered the liquidity block / fibo 0.5 (2657)
scenario 3: buy sell breakdown / breakout if above 2639 and 2625 (scalping)
Technical used: (basepinbar) follow the trend, fibo extension, auto fibo H1.
prioritize direct execution over pending orders.
Risk aversion fades, trend turns to sellGold risk aversion has been alleviated, and gold has broken down directly. The bullish trend of gold has been temporarily alleviated. After the decline of gold, the bulls have no strong counterattack. It is difficult for gold bulls to make great achievements for the time being. Gold rebounds and continues to be short.
Gold broke down with the relief of risk aversion, and then the 1-hour moving average of gold began to turn around. The strength of the gold bullish rise has weakened. The resistance of the gold moving average has now moved down to 2683. Gold rebounded to 2683 in the US market and was shorted at highs. It can be shorted near the rebound of 2680.
SELL: 2680-2683
Safe-Haven Demand Eases, Bears Take Control in the Gold MarketFundamental Analysis:
Gold prices have reversed last week’s upward momentum as safe-haven sentiment continues to diminish. Positive developments in the Middle East have contributed to this shift, with Israel’s ambassador to the United States confirming that a ceasefire agreement with Lebanon’s Hezbollah could be reached within days. This news has triggered a significant retreat in safe-haven buying.
Meanwhile, the nomination of Scott Bassett as Treasury Secretary by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has bolstered market stability, further improving risk appetite. Although U.S. Treasury yields have declined—a factor typically supportive of gold prices—the broader improvement in market sentiment has left gold under pressure. With bearish sentiment prevailing from the week’s outset, the gold market is now dominated by a clear downward trend.
Technical Analysis:
Gold prices have experienced a sharp pullback, with immediate support found near 2660. Key resistance is identified at the 2690 level, with the short-term ceiling at 2700. The technical outlook remains bearish, with limited prospects for a near-term reversal.
Trading Strategy for Today:
Recommendation: Enter short positions in the 2688-2691 range, with a stop loss above 2700.
Target Levels: First target at 2675, followed by 2665 for further downside potential.
Advisory Note:
While VIP strategies have performed well recently, some users may experience losses or trapped positions due to a lack of understanding of trend-based analyses. If you are facing such challenges, feel free to reach out for personalized assistance. For those considering joining the VIP program, a complimentary trial session is available to help you better understand the value of our services. Interested parties are encouraged to contact me directly.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please manage your risk carefully and avoid overleveraging.
Will the rise in gold prices continue? Latest trading strategiesGold risk aversion eased on Monday, and gold broke down directly. The bullish trend of gold was temporarily eased. After the decline of gold, the bulls did not have a strong counterattack. It is difficult for the bulls to make a big move for the time being. Gold rebounded and continued to be short. Gold broke down with the easing of risk aversion, and then the hourly moving average of gold began to turn around. The strength of the bullish rise of gold weakened. The resistance of the gold moving average now moved down to the 2685-90 line. Gold rebounded in the US market and went short at highs below the 2685-90 line.
Judging from the current 4-hour analysis chart, the upper side focuses on the short-term suppression of 2785-90, and the lower side focuses on the short-term support of 2658-60.
Gold Price Outlook: Key Insights for Next Weeks Trading DecisionGold just had its best week in recent times! This video analyzes the key factors driving the price surge – including geopolitical events and the latest US economic data.
As Geopolitical uncertainty continues to drive demand, this video illustrates my trading idea. Join me as I analyze Gold’s price action, identify critical levels, and share actionable insights for the coming week. Let me know yours!
#gold #goldinvesting #marketanalysis #usdata #pmi #consumersentiment #inflation #fed #tradingstrategy #forex
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XAU/USD 25 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation analysis dated 22 November 2024 played out as price successfully printed a bullish iBOS in-line with bullish internal structure, however, price has now printed a bearish iBOS in-line with H4 TF undergoing a bearish pullback phase.
Price has yet to print a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), which is crucial to establishing an internal range and indicating the initiation of bullish pullback phase. CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price is expected to print a bullish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bullish pullback phase, trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high.
Alternative Scenario:
H4 Timeframe has indicated bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH, therefore, bearish momentum on M15 may be limited.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders are advised to exercise caution and remain vigilant for potential whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
xauusd Sell XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar)
Timeframe: 1-Day (D1)
The market has created a Change of Character (CHoCH) in a bearish direction, indicating selling pressure. Currently, the price is retracing toward a significant Order Block (OB) near $2,720. If the price reacts at this level, there is a high probability of a bearish continuation, offering potential selling opportunities.
Gold Profits Realized, Next Moves in FocusAfter opening, the gold price peaked around 2721 before beginning to decline, falling short of the 2726 level for adding positions. Ultimately, a profit of 1,000–1,800 points was achieved.
Looking ahead, continue to monitor the 2710–2720 area. If bearish momentum remains strong, this zone can serve as an opportunity to short again. If the price moves higher, our focus will stay on the 2726–2732 range.
XAU/USD Longs from 2695.000 or 2665.000 back up to supplyThis week, my analysis for gold leans toward continued bullish momentum. Over the past week, gold has shown significant bullish behaviour, including a clear change of character to the upside on the higher time frame. My plan is to look for buying opportunities at the nearest valid demand zones, specifically the 55-minute or 13-hour demand zones below the current price level.
Following this corrective move, I anticipate another rally to the upside, potentially mitigating my marked supply zones above, where I’ll evaluate for short-term selling opportunities. However, I’ll reassess as the week progresses. For now, my bias remains firmly bullish on gold.
Confluences for GOLD BUYS:
- Price has broken structure to the upside and continues to display strong bullish momentum.
- Both higher and lower time frame analysis indicate persistent bullish pressure.
- Key demand zones provide excellent retracement levels for potential buy entries.
- Significant upside liquidity remains untapped, acting as potential targets.
- Candlestick patterns highlight robust bullish sentiment.
P.S. With ongoing fundamental news driving gold’s bullish movement, my sentiment will remain bullish unless there’s a clear indication of a trend reversal.
Is XAUUSD Primed For A Pullback & Buy Opportunity?👀👉 The XAUUSD Gold market has recently experienced a pullback from a crucial liquidity zone and is now making its way back toward previous highs, sparking interest among traders about potential moves ahead. I am considering a buying opportunity, contingent upon a retracement to equilibrium and a bullish structural break. 📊 Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always perform your own research and trade responsibly.
Short-Term Short Opportunity at 2710 Resistance ZoneAfter reaching around 2710, gold tested the support at 2686 as expected and then rebounded above 2700, in line with our forecast. The long positions in the short-term swing trade have been closed, and we are now seeking new opportunities to sell. From a technical perspective, there is still strong selling pressure around 2710, which acts as a key resistance zone.
Technical Analysis: At the 2710 level, gold is facing noticeable selling pressure. Previously, this area acted as a support level, but now it has turned into resistance. If the price encounters resistance here and starts to decline, it could test the support zone below once again.
Considering the current market sentiment and technical pattern, the 2710-2722 range presents an ideal opportunity for short entry. We recommend initiating sell orders within this range with a small position size as an initial attempt.
Trade Strategy:
Sell Entry Range: If the selling pressure at 2710 holds and the price fails to break above this level, the 2715-2722 range becomes a potential short-entry area. The resistance in this region could drive the price lower.
Stop-Loss: To protect against the risk of a breakout above this zone, a stop-loss can be set in the 2725-2730 range. This would limit potential losses in case the market continues to rise above the resistance zone.
Take-Profit: The take-profit target can be set around the support area at 2686, or adjusted based on real-time price action. If the price declines to this support zone and shows signs of a rebound, partial or full profit-taking may be considered.
Risk Management: Given the volatility in the gold market, it’s crucial to control position size in every trade and apply proper risk management strategies to avoid significant losses. Each trade should not risk more than 2-3% of the total account balance.
Bullish Momentum Continues, Strategic Entry OpportunitiesMarket Overview and Weekly Recap
On the final trading day of the week, gold remains in a bullish trend, with minor pullbacks offering opportunities to re-enter the market. This aligns with the bullish strategy I have advocated since Monday. Traders following this approach have likely enjoyed significant gains this week.
Trading Strategy for Today
Key Approach: Buy the Dip
Entry Levels: Accumulate long positions below 2700;
Target: Look for resistance around 2720;
Stop-Loss: Place stops below 2690, adjusted to personal risk tolerance.
VIP Performance and Support
Most VIP members have achieved notable profits this week by adhering to the strategy, though some may have faced losses or trapped positions due to deviations from the plan. If you need assistance resolving such issues, feel free to reach out.
To help more traders experience the benefits of precise trading strategies, I am offering a free VIP trial session. Contact me to take advantage of this opportunity!
Reminder
As the week concludes, volatility may increase. Manage your positions wisely, avoid chasing highs, and focus on disciplined, value-driven trading. Seize every opportunity with a steady and strategic approach!
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for today 22/11Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2750, support 2650
Four-hour resistance 2750, support 2650
Gold operation suggestions: Gold started to rise at the opening of the Asian session today. As of now, gold has reached the highest level of 27000. As the situation in Russia and Ukraine ferments, there is still momentum for rising. Today's idea is still to buy more after stepping back. The 2685 line of pressure is also easily broken, and there is no sign of weakness in the bulls. The recent rise in gold is directly related to the escalation of the situation in Russia and Ukraine. Today is Friday, and we also need to prevent the black swan waterfall from falling in the European and American sessions, so any order needs to be strictly loss-making, and risk control is the first priority.
From the current 4-hour gold trend, the upper important pressure is the 2750 line, the lower short-term support is the 2670 line, and the lower support is the 2650 line. In terms of operation, we use the step-back buying operation. The aggressive strategy is to buy directly and wait patiently for the key points to enter the market.
BUY:2672near
BUY:2685near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
GOLD:Long target 2710
This week gold rebounded for 5 consecutive days, and is currently pulling up, this week's rise has risen back to all the previous decline, short and long rapid conversion, if there is no big surprise today, the weekly line will close super big sun line, and next week has the power to rise, the weekly line is also formed a big V, today's thinking continue to be bullish. The target 2685 mentioned in the previous article is also easy to break through, and the bulls did not have any weakening signal, such a market is not directly chasing the car, it is difficult to find its top in what position, follow the trend is the safest, this wave of gold rise and the escalation of the situation in Russia and Ukraine have a direct relationship.
More aggressive friends can be directly long near 2690, a safe entry point is 2680-85. You can buy multiple orders in batches. Target look near 2710.