Gold: Focus Remains on Buy-the-Dip Strategy
Gold witnessed another round of extreme volatility today, plunging below the 3000 level before quickly rebounding. Since then, the price has repeatedly tested support in the 3030–3018 range. So far, this support zone has held up well, suggesting buyers remain active at lower levels.
However, traders should keep a close eye on the 3047 resistance area, which may temporarily cap upward momentum. In the short term, the overall strategy remains focused on buying at lower levels, with the potential for prices to revisit the 3080 region in the coming days.
That said, due to the sharp price swings recently, caution is advised for those looking to chase the rally above 3040. Unless your account has sufficient margin and risk tolerance to withstand a potential pullback toward the 3000 level, it is not recommended to enter aggressively at higher prices.
Trading Strategy Summary:
Bias: Short-term bullish (buy-the-dip)
Support zone: 3030–3018
Resistance: 3047 (short-term), 3080 (medium-term target)
Risk warning: Avoid chasing above 3040 unless risk control is well in place
Stay agile, and adjust your positions according to intraday price action. I will continue to provide real-time updates as the situation evolves.
Xauusdupdates
Gold fluctuates widely with big ups and downs!The short-term price is trading at 3030. If there are short positions at 3050, continue to hold. Pay attention to the 3000 mark below. If there are no short positions, continue to short repeatedly in the European and American markets. There are opportunities for both long and short positions today. It is a good opportunity to short positions at the current oscillation upper track! After the violent fluctuations of the 4-hour long upper shadow line, it will fall into calm! After the bottom layout of 2980 long positions, the European and American markets rebounded and the high-altitude layout was near 3050!
In today's short-term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on callbacks. The top short-term focus is on the 3055-3057 first-line resistance, and the bottom short-term focus is on the 2970-2972 first-line support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3050-3053, stop loss 6 points, target around 3020-3000, break to see 2975
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: Long 20% of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 2973-2975, stop loss 6 points, target around 3000-3020, break to see 3040
Gold may rise and then fall!When the market was falling, we placed a long position at 2980 and took profit at 3000; when it fell for the second time, we continued to buy at 2980 and took profit at 3040; when it rebounded and touched 3054, we went short, reduced our position at 3032, and took profit at 3021. The current market fluctuates greatly, and the profit made around the two positions of 2980 and 3054 is already very considerable.
There are many points worth interpreting in the intraday market, let's review and replay:
Today, the market bottomed out and rebounded, and the market fell sharply at the opening. Did you chase the short position? The 2980 first-line support was tested many times without breaking, which was a move to lure shorts, waiting for you to get trapped.
What was the result? Did it rebound at the 2980 first-line support? From the low of 2972 to the high of 3054, the hourly single-yang rebound reached 82 US dollars, which did not give you a chance to escape.
The position of 3054 is in line with the regional pressure of 3050-3060 mentioned at the weekend. It is a top-bottom conversion position. The low point of last Thursday broke the support and turned into pressure on Friday. If it is touched today, it must be shorted no matter what.
Of course, there is also a false move here at 3054. The first time it touched the pressure and fell to 3036, and then it attacked again to test 3054 again. Did you chase it? It was finished as soon as you chased it. Then it fell to 3017, and the drop of 37 US dollars directly swept away your long.
So, if you say whether technical analysis is useful or not, it must be useful. Of course, there are times when it fails. For example, in the market that fell straight throughout the whole process like last Thursday and Friday, any analysis is meaningless, but this is a minority after all. The technical reliability of returning to normal trend is still trustworthy.
So how should gold be viewed in the evening?
Today is the third day of continuous decline. From a technical point of view, such a continuous and large decline usually lasts for about 3 days, and no more than 4 days at most, and it will turn positive and correct, so the decline of gold today has slowed down significantly.
The intraday rebound was under pressure at 3054 and it was trading sideways. The European session was volatile and was accumulating momentum. Be careful of a high rise and fall in the evening. Focus on the break of the 3054 first-line pressure. If it breaks above, we will see further pressure at 3073. If it falls below the intraday low of 3013 in the evening, then we will see a second test of the lows of 2980-2972. Pay attention to whether a double bottom support structure can be formed here.
Gold accurate prediction long and short winsThe intraday rebound was under pressure at 3054 and it was trading sideways. The European session was volatile and was accumulating momentum, so be careful of a high rise and fall. Focus on the break of the 3054 first-line pressure. If it breaks above, we will see further pressure at 3073. If it falls below the intraday low of 3013, then we will see a second test of the lows of 2980-2972. Pay attention to whether a double bottom support structure can be formed here.
"Gold Spot (XAU/USD) -Trend Reversal or Continuation? tradesetup📊 Key Levels & Zones
🔵 Target Point: 📈 3,055.65 (Upper blue box) – The expected bullish target.
🟠 Demand Zone: 📉 3,009 - 3,019 (Orange box) – A strong support area where buyers might step in.
🔴 Stop Loss: ⛔ 3,009.47 – Safety exit if the price drops below this level.
📉 Trend Analysis
📍 Trend Line (🔽 Downward Sloping): Indicates a declining price movement.
📍 Potential Breakout (📈): If price breaks above the trend line, it may trigger an upward move toward the target point.
🛠️ Strategy
🔹 Wait for confirmation – A bullish candle above the trend line can signal a buy entry.
🔹 Watch demand zone – If price holds above this area, it could support the bullish move.
🔹 Manage risk – SL (⛔) ensures minimal losses in case of a breakdown.
Gold buy setup: from 2989 to 3086!Hey traders,
I'm eyeing a potential long opportunity on Gold starting from the 2989 level. After Friday's sharp drop that flushed liquidity just below the key 3000 psychological zone earlier today, I’m anticipating a bullish pullback. If price dips back into that zone, I’ll be looking to go long with targets mapped out along the way.
📈 Here’s my trading idea:
Entry: 2989.43
TP1: 3024.39
TP2: 3055.99
TP3: 3086.96
Stop Loss: 2969.80
This setup is built around a potential liquidity grab followed by a rebound—classic price action play.
What’s your take on Gold today? 🔍
Drop your analysis or plan in the comments. Let’s trade smart together.
And if you find this idea valuable, a boost would mean a lot 🙌
Gold operation strategyGold plummeted at the opening of Monday, reaching the lowest point of 2972, and then rebounded to 3055. We successfully placed a short order at 3052, and have already made a profit to the target. The hourly moving average of gold crosses downward and the short position is arranged, and it continues to open downward. So gold is now the home of the short position. Whether gold rebounds or continues to be short, gold is now in a short trend below the gap. We continue to pay attention to the short-term suppression at 3055.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's upper short-term resistance is 3055, and the lower line is 3000-3008. In terms of operation, the rebound pressure at this position continues to be short and follow the trend to fall. It is necessary to rely on the rebound to rely on 3055-60 to go short once, and the lower target continues to break the bottom.
Gold operation strategy:
1. If gold rebounds to 3055-3058, short it, stop loss at 3066, target 3015-3020, continue to hold if it breaks;
2. If gold falls back to 3000-3006 but does not break, you can buy it, stop loss at 2993, target 3045-53, continue to hold if it breaks
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionThe price of gold (XAUUSD) surged to a new all-time high last week following former President Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs, only to face a strong retracement that plunged it to a 7-day low of around $3,015. The market then saw a recovery after Fed Chair Jerome Powell hinted that inflation could reaccelerate due to the economic impact of tariffs.
In this video, I break down:
✨ Gold price action and how markets are reacting to significant headlines
📉 A complete technical analysis of XAUUSD
📍 Key price levels, the current trend, and market structure
💡 Potential trade setups for the week ahead
We’re standing at a critical juncture in the gold market—and how traders respond could shape the next major move.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #GoldPrice #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #GoldForecast #FOMC #JeromePowell #TrumpTariffs #InflationData #MarketUpdate
Disclaimer:
Forex and other market trading involve high risk and may not be for everyone. This content is educational only—not financial advice. Always assess your situation and consult a professional before investing. Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
Golden Horizons on the PrecipiceGold on the Brink of a Downturn: A Shift in Market Sentiment
Gold, once a shining symbol of financial security and prosperity, now finds itself on the cusp of a significant bearish turn. The precious metal, which has long been a safe haven for investors during times of economic uncertainty, is entering a new phase that could see its value dwindle in the face of shifting global financial conditions.
The Russian central bank, historically one of the major players in the gold market, is currently at the forefront of this market retreat. By liquidating a significant portion of its gold reserves, Russia is not just participating in the market shift, but may be sending a signal to other nations and financial institutions. Their decision to sell is not an isolated move; it could well be the beginning of a broader trend.
As the Russian central bank offloads its holdings, it's highly probable that other central banks, which have long viewed gold as an essential asset for economic stability, may soon follow suit. These institutions, often holding vast quantities of the precious metal, could begin liquidating their reserves in an effort to take advantage of the currently elevated prices. The global economic landscape is constantly in flux, and with many countries facing mounting fiscal pressures, the temptation to cash in on gold's recent price surge could become too great to resist.
Hedge funds and private investors, always looking for opportunities to capitalize on price movements, may also jump on the bandwagon. They have the flexibility and agility to react swiftly to market shifts, and with a growing consensus that gold may have reached its peak, it would not be surprising if they decide to sell off their positions in the metal. With such a large portion of the market potentially pulling away from gold, the selling pressure could intensify, leading to a sharp drop in prices.
If this trend gains momentum, we could witness a rapid and dramatic decline in gold’s value. The metal, which has been the go-to asset for many investors during times of economic uncertainty, could soon lose its appeal as a safe haven. The factors driving this potential downturn are multifaceted, ranging from shifting monetary policies and global inflationary pressures to geopolitical tensions and central bank strategies.
The impact of this market shift could be far-reaching. Not only would it affect the price of gold, but it could also send shockwaves through the broader commodities and financial markets. If the sell-off gathers pace, it could have a cascading effect, causing investors to rethink their positions in other assets traditionally viewed as safe havens, such as silver or even government bonds.
The question on many investors’ minds is whether this bearish trend is a temporary correction or the beginning of a longer-term downturn. Only time will tell, but one thing is certain: the dynamics of the gold market are shifting, and the once steady climb of the metal may now be facing a downward spiral.
For those who are closely following the market, it is essential to stay updated on the latest developments. A deeper analysis of the factors driving this potential gold sell-off and the broader market implications can offer valuable insights into the direction of this volatile asset.
As we continue to monitor the situation, I encourage you to stay informed and consider how these developments could impact your own investments. While gold may still hold value in the eyes of many, its future trajectory is now uncertain, and the risk of significant price fluctuations looms large.
Thank you for your attention, and I wish you the best of luck navigating these turbulent financial waters!
Gold opens lower and moves lower, the rebound continues to be beThe gold 1-hour moving average crosses downwards and the short positions are arranged, and it continues to open downwards. So gold is now the home of the shorts. Gold rebounds or continues to be short. Gold is now in a short trend under the gap. Gold rebounds around 3050 and continues to be short.
Trading ideas: short gold near 3050, stop loss 3060, target 3030
Geopolitical Tensions, Supporting Bullish Outlook for GoldOver the weekend, geopolitical tensions remained elevated:
A mortar attack targeted the vicinity of Aden Adde International Airport in Mogadishu, Somalia.
U.S. forces launched airstrikes on key targets in Saada, a city in northern Yemen.
Ukrainian forces conducted multiple strikes on Russian energy infrastructure.
Massive protests erupted across dozens of U.S. cities, marking the first large-scale demonstrations since former President Trump returned to office. Trump described the recent U.S. stock market plunge as “intentional” and urged Americans to “stay strong.”
In Europe, Germany is reportedly considering repatriating 1,200 tons of gold reserves currently stored in the United States—signaling potential mistrust in global financial stability.
Fundamental Outlook
Given the ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, investor demand for safe-haven assets like gold is expected to remain strong. As risk sentiment continues to deteriorate, buyers are likely to dominate the market, especially on price dips. We anticipate increased buying interest next week, which could support gold prices and potentially lead to a breakout from the current consolidation zone.
Additionally, macroeconomic data releases will play a crucial role. The U.S. CPI report, due Thursday, will be the most closely watched indicator. A higher-than-expected CPI could cause markets to reassess the timing and scale of potential Fed rate cuts, resulting in a temporary rebound in the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields. However, sustained higher borrowing costs would intensify recession risks, limiting any dollar strength. This dynamic continues to favor gold in the medium to long term.
We are entering a phase where the fundamental and technical landscapes are increasingly aligned in favor of the bulls. The recent pullback in prices presents a strategic opportunity for medium- to long-term buyers to accumulate positions.
Those already holding long positions—whether currently in profit or facing temporary drawdowns—are advised to remain patient and avoid emotional exits. The broader structure remains supportive of higher prices in the coming sessions.
I will continue to provide real-time updates, entry/exit suggestions, and risk control strategies during market hours. Be sure to stay connected and follow the guidance closely.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold Needs a upward correctionGold price crashed over 2.8% as Powell turns hawkish on tariffs and inflation. But right now gold needs a upward correction. There is a bell curve area and market left multiple sps.
Fundamental is also on gold side. Safe heaven movement is still on because of tariff and war situation.
Gold Price Drops on Tariff Selloff
Gold, long considered a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty, experienced a sharp reversal of fortune this Friday, tumbling as much as 2.4% and extending losses from the previous session. This significant decline came as a surprise to many who had witnessed the precious metal steadily climb to record highs in recent weeks, fueled by persistent inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and expectations of easing monetary policy. However, the resurgence of tariff anxieties has triggered a broad selloff across various asset classes, including gold, as investors recalibrate their risk exposure in the face of heightened economic uncertainty.1
The catalyst for this sudden shift in market sentiment has been the renewed threat of escalating trade tensions.2 While the specifics of the "tariff shock" are crucial in understanding the market reaction, the general principle is that the imposition or threat of tariffs can disrupt global supply chains, increase costs for businesses and consumers, and ultimately dampen economic growth.3 This increased uncertainty and the potential for negative economic consequences have prompted investors to reassess their portfolios and, in many cases, reduce their exposure to assets perceived as riskier or less liquid, even those traditionally considered safe havens.4
Gold's traditional role as a safe haven stems from its historical use as a store of value, its limited supply, and its lack of correlation with traditional financial assets during periods of stress.5 In times of economic turmoil, investors often flock to gold as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility.6 This flight to safety typically drives up the price of bullion.7
However, the current market reaction suggests a more nuanced dynamic at play. The tariff shock appears to have triggered a broader reassessment of risk, leading to a selloff that encompasses not only equities and other riskier assets but also traditional safe havens like gold. Several factors could be contributing to this phenomenon.
Firstly, the prospect of tariffs can lead to concerns about slower global growth.8 If economic activity contracts, it could reduce overall demand, potentially impacting even safe-haven assets like gold, particularly if investors anticipate lower inflation in the long run. While gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, a significant deflationary shock could negatively affect its price.
Secondly, the imposition of tariffs can create uncertainty about future economic policies and international relations.9 This uncertainty can lead to increased volatility across all asset classes, prompting investors to reduce overall exposure and move towards cash or other highly liquid assets. In such scenarios, even assets perceived as safe havens might be sold off as part of a broader de-risking strategy.
Thirdly, the recent run-up in gold prices to record highs might have made it a target for profit-taking. After a significant rally, any negative news or shift in market sentiment can trigger a wave of selling as investors look to lock in gains. The tariff shock could have provided the catalyst for such profit-taking, exacerbating the downward pressure on gold prices.
Furthermore, the interconnectedness of global financial markets means that negative sentiment in one area can quickly spread to others.10 The fear of a trade war can impact equity markets, leading to margin calls or a general desire to reduce risk across portfolios, which could include selling gold holdings.
The extent of the gold selloff – a 2.4% drop in a single day is significant for a traditionally stable asset – underscores the severity of the market's reaction to the tariff news. This move also highlights the fact that even safe-haven assets are not immune to broad market dislocations and shifts in investor sentiment.
Looking ahead, the trajectory of gold prices will likely depend heavily on how the tariff situation unfolds and its actual impact on the global economy. If the tariff threats escalate into a full-blown trade war with significant negative consequences for growth and corporate earnings, we could see further volatility across all asset classes. In such a scenario, the initial reaction might be continued selling pressure on gold as investors prioritize liquidity and de-risking.
However, if the economic fallout from tariffs becomes more apparent and concerns about stagflation (slow growth with high inflation) resurface, gold's traditional safe-haven appeal could reassert itself. In a stagflationary environment, gold could once again become an attractive asset as a hedge against both economic stagnation and the erosion of purchasing power.
Moreover, any signs of easing monetary policy by central banks in response to slowing economic growth could also provide support for gold prices. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and can also be inflationary in the long run.
In conclusion, the recent tumble in gold prices following the tariff shock demonstrates that even traditional safe-haven assets are susceptible to broad market selloffs triggered by significant economic uncertainties. The initial reaction appears to be driven by a general de-risking across asset classes and potential profit-taking after gold's recent record highs. However, the future performance of gold will depend on the evolving economic landscape, the actual impact of tariffs, and the response of monetary policy. While the immediate reaction has been negative, gold's role as a potential hedge against economic turmoil and inflation could see it regain its footing if the negative consequences of the tariff shock become more pronounced. Investors should closely monitor developments in trade policies and their broader economic implications to gauge the future direction of gold prices. The current volatility serves as a reminder that even in the realm of safe havens, market dynamics can shift rapidly and unexpectedly.
XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactio🔍 Daily Bias: Neutral with Bearish Intraday Tilt
Price is reacting to a previously unmitigated zone and potentially retesting a premium area, suggesting sell-side interest may return before any bullish continuation.
🧠 Key Context from Your Marked Chart
✅ Marked Sell/Retest Zone @ 3135–3145:
Clearly defined premium zone with imbalance and prior bearish reaction — confluence with OB + FVG, potential sniper entry for shorts.
✅ Unmitigated OB @ 3086–3095:
Valid demand zone where price bounced aggressively — still active liquidity + FVG.
✅ Major Imbalance Below @ 3054–3040 & 3040–3029:
Heavy drawdown target area. If price breaks 3086, expect it to fill imbalance and potentially bounce at 3040 or deeper around 3029.
🔽 Sell Scenarios
🟥 Sell #1 — Retest of Supply Sniper Entry
Entry Zone: 3135–3145
Confluences: Valid OB, FVG, Premium, Bearish PA from last touch
Target: 3086, then 3054–3040 imbalance zone
RSI: Check for overbought on M15–H1
🎯 "Classic sniper setup — get in, get out. No overthinking required."
🟥 Sell #2 — Break and Retest Below 3086
Trigger: Bearish close below 3086 + BOS on M15
Retest Entry: 3086 zone from below
Target: 3054 (first FVG), then 3029
EMAs: 5/21/50 flip short on M15 for confirmation
🟩 Buy Scenarios
🟩 Buy #1 — Bounce from 3086–3095 (Unmitigated OB)
Entry: Clean reaction + bullish PA in zone
Target: 3135 retest, partials at 3114
Sniper Confluence: BOS on M5/M15 + RSI divergence
🟩 Buy #2 — Deep Bounce from 3040 or 3029 Imbalance Zone
Entry: Only on strong PA confirmation (no early knives)
Target: 3086 first, 3135 secondary
RSI + EMA: Look for EMA 100–200 confluence, bullish divergence on RSI M15/M30
🧾 Technical Confluences Summary
✅ SMC: BOS + CHoCH present across M15–H1
✅ FVG: 3135–3145 (upper), 3054–3040 (lower)
✅ GAPS: Visible in 3054–3029 zone
✅ LIQUIDITY: Above 3145 + below 3029
✅ OB VALID: 3086–3095 still unmitigated
✅ RSI: Overbought earlier, neutral now. Watch intraday shifts.
✅ EMA Clusters:
EMA 5/21 flat after rebound
EMA 50/100 just below 3100
EMA 200 near 3050–3040 (high confluence for bounce)
⚠️ News & Fundamentals
Trump conference added USD volatility, but gold didn’t rally — watch for Fed speakers & JOLTS data tomorrow.
If dollar strengthens intraday again → watch sell setups more closely.
🧨 TradingView Title Suggestion:
“🎯 XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactions!”
Gold market analysis, gold operation strategy and trend analysisGold early layout plan: intraday top and bottom capture is perfect! The strategy layout is truly presented, the strategy prompts shorting at 3135, accurately cashing in the high point, and falling sharply to 3070! Continue to arrange 3072 long positions to smoothly stop profit and exit at 3086.
Gold fell by 110 yesterday and rebounded by 80. Today it fell by 30 and rebounded by 50. The volatility is too big. However, the risk comes first. Strictly set a stop loss. Loss of $5-$20 makes no difference. It is not a big loss. Secondly, grasp the key points. Pay attention to a few points of non-agricultural data and cooperate with the five-minute entry on the right side. As for long and short, it is really not very important. What is important is the key position and starting point. After multiple cycles of quantification, pay attention to a few important points at night. After the operation is in place, enter the market with the resonance of one minute and five minutes. The loss is 5-6 points, and the target is 15-20 points.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3018-3025, and the loss is 3005, and the target is 3035-3045
Gold Rebound Looms: Don’t Miss the $50 OpportunityDuring his ongoing speech, Powell mentioned that tariffs may push inflation higher in the coming quarters. While inflation is currently close to the 2% target, it still remains above it. The market has already begun to anticipate a Fed rate cut, which is a potential bullish signal for gold.
From a technical perspective, the recent drop has partially corrected the previous bearish divergence. However, the divergence on the 1D chart still requires more time to be fully resolved.
At the current level, gold appears oversold. I do not recommend chasing short positions here. A short-term rebound is very likely, with a potential upside target between 3078-3096. If you manage the trade well, there’s an opportunity to capture at least $50 in profit.
If you’re currently holding long positions that are under pressure, stay strong. Don’t give up before the dawn — yesterday was a great example of why persistence matters.
Gold’s Wild Ride: Is the Correction Over?Yesterday was an insane day for Gold—while I expected a strong drop to at least 3,080, I didn’t anticipate such a sharp reversal after the sell-off.
Now, the big question is: Has Gold finished correcting, or is more downside coming?
________________________________________
Why I Expect Another Wave of Selling
📉 Gold Still Looks Vulnerable – Despite the rebound, I don’t believe the correction is over.
📉 Key Resistance Established – The 3,135–3,140 zone has now formed a strong ceiling, limiting upside potential.
📉 Selling Rallies Remains the Plan – Even with yesterday’s bounce back above 3,100, my outlook remains unchanged.
________________________________________
Trading Plan: Selling Spikes During NFP
🔻 Looking for price spikes during the NFP report as opportunities to sell into strength.
🔻 Targeting a new leg down toward the 3,030 support zone.
The correction is likely not done yet—let’s see if the market confirms it. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
#XAUUSD: Last Sell Idea Dropped +300 Pips, Bias Changed? XAUs price behaviour has deviated from previous analysis, which had anticipated a +300 pips increase. However, we now anticipate the price to continue its upward trend, potentially reaching another record high. Our next target price range is estimated to be between 3170$ and 3200$.
We extend our best wishes for your successful trading endeavours. To enhance your trading outcomes, we strongly recommend employing accurate risk management techniques.
Team Setupsfx_
🚀❤️
4/4 Gold Trading StrategiesAfter yesterday’s sharp drop, gold quickly rebounded, and by the end of the session, prices had returned close to the opening level. I’m not sure if anyone is currently stuck in unfavorable positions. Under normal circumstances, if your account has sufficient margin and risk tolerance, such volatility shouldn’t cause major damage. However, for those with weak positions or who bought at the top or sold at the bottom, losses may have occurred—especially common among newer traders who are often influenced by emotions.
If you are currently holding short positions and hoping to wait for a price pullback, you'll need both time and sufficient margin. Based on current candlestick patterns, gold may attempt to test the 3128–3136 resistance zone again. Whether it moves higher will depend on the strength of the bulls.
Importantly, there are several key U.S. economic data releases during the New York session today. Based on preliminary expectations, the data appears to favor the bears, which could put additional pressure on gold prices.
📉 Today’s Trading Strategy:
Sell within the 3133–3152 zone
Buy within the 3065–3032 zone
📊 Scalping/Short-Term Trades:
Be flexible in the 3128–3088 range
Tariffs and large-scale non-agricultural affairs are comingGold experienced violent fluctuations yesterday, and technical analysis faced challenges. Luck factors were prominent in extreme market conditions. However, from the perspective of multi-period technical analysis, the gold price is still above the weekly, monthly and daily support, and the long-term bullish pattern has not changed. In the future, we need to focus on the 3054 support level, and the gains and losses of this position will directly affect the future market trend. The 3115 area resistance on the four-hour chart is significant, which is a key watershed in the short-term market. If the gold 1-hour moving average forms a dead cross, the short position will be more dominant. The current upper resistance is 3105-3111, and the lower support is 3054-3046. The operation is recommended to rebound short.
Operation strategy: It is recommended to rebound 3097-3105 short, stop loss 3115, target 3065-3046.
XAU/USD 04 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed as per yesterday's alternative scenario whereby price has printed a bearish iBOS due to H4 TF being in, although not as yet confirmed, in bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has already traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ, therefore, price to target weak internal low priced at
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart: