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Xauusdwave

Gold fluctuates downward. Can it break through?The CPI data released is in line with expectations, the tariff storm is still continuing, inflation rebounds and the Fed's expectations of interest rate cuts have cooled. Gold rebounded to 3366 and then fell, and is currently fluctuating around 3330. From the current trend, gold fell strongly and broke through the Bollinger middle rail and the moving average support. The daily line focuses on the Bollinger middle rail under pressure near 3340, and the short-term support is at 3310. At present, a staged top pattern has been formed and the K-line double top is around 3366. The Bollinger moves downward and the price is in a downward channel. For short-term operations, Quaid believes that the strategy of rebound shorting can still be followed. Short near 3345, stop loss 3355, profit range 3330-3310 Long near 3310, stop loss 3300, profit range 3330-3345
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 17, 2025 🔍 Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: Momentum is still trending downward, but we’re starting to see signs of convergence between the indicator lines. Normally, we would expect another two daily candles to reach the oversold zone and trigger a potential reversal. However, with the current narrowing pattern, we cannot rule out the possibility of an earlier reversal. Today’s daily close will be crucial for confirmation. H4 timeframe: Momentum is clearly declining, suggesting that the market may either continue downwards or consolidate sideways throughout the day. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H4 chart, price action is compressing tightly at the end of a symmetrical triangle pattern – a classic setup in Elliott Wave theory. Notably, this final point of compression coincides with the POC (Point of Control), indicating a key price level where high volume has accumulated. Wave W (in black) follows a 3-wave structure. Yesterday, price surged to the beginning of wave W and then sharply reversed, forming the basis for two potential scenarios: Scenario 1 – WXY structure with current price completing wave Y within wave e (green): + Target 1: 3327 + Target 2: 3303 Scenario 2 – Wave e (green) evolves into a triangle: + In this case, price may consolidate sideways above the 3327 zone. 🔗 Combining Wave and Momentum Analysis Both D1 and H4 momentum indicators are still pointing downward. However, the price candles appear overlapping and lack clear directional strength – a common trait of compression near the triangle’s apex. With price sitting right on the POC, there’s a high chance of continued tightening before a breakout. At this stage, the recommended strategy is to wait for a strong bullish candle at one of the target zones before entering a BUY position. 📈 Trade Setup ✅ Scenario 1 – BUY at 3327 – 3326 + Stop Loss: 3317 + Take Profit 1: 3342 + Take Profit 2: 3358 + Take Profit 3: 3402 ✅ Scenario 2 – BUY at 3305 – 3302 + Stop Loss: 3295 + Take Profit 1: 3327 + Take Profit 2: 3358 + Take Profit 3: 3402
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 16, 2025🔄 Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently reversing to the downside, suggesting that the price may continue to decline or move sideways in the short term. H4 timeframe: Momentum is rising, indicating that the current recovery may continue. The next resistance zones to watch are 3342 and 3358. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure At present, price action is being compressed within a contracting triangle corrective pattern, with its range narrowing further—signaling market consolidation. We should closely monitor for signs of a breakout that could end this correction. Based on the current wave structure, it is expected that wave d (green) has completed, and the current downward move is likely part of wave e (green). The trading strategy focuses on waiting for the price to approach the lower boundary of the triangle—drawn from the low of wave a to the low of wave c—looking for confluent support areas near this trendline to identify a potential BUY opportunity. 🎯 Target & Trade Plan BUY ZONE: 3303 – 3300 Stop Loss (SL): 3290 Take Profits (TP): - TP1: 3327 - TP2: 3358 - TP3: 3402
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
7/16: Will Gold Reclaim 3350 or Fall to 3250?During today’s session, gold briefly broke through the 3352–3358 resistance zone, but due to news-driven pressure during the pullback, bullish momentum weakened, and the price retreated to the MA60 support level on the daily chart. Given the significant retracement, there is a possibility that a short-term bottom may form during the upcoming Asian session, potentially leading to a retest of the 3337-3343/3352-3358 resistance area: If the price breaks above this zone and holds above it after a pullback, the bullish trend could resume; However, if it fails to break through or is rejected again, caution is warranted, as this could signal a larger-scale downtrend on the weekly chart, possibly targeting the 3250 area.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 14, 2025 🔍 Momentum Analysis D1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently reversing to the upside, indicating that the bullish trend may continue into early next week (Monday). H4 Timeframe: Momentum has entered the overbought zone, suggesting that a short-term correction is likely to bring momentum back down into oversold territory. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H4 chart, we observe a contracting triangle pattern (abcde) approaching its final stages. In the Friday trading plan, we anticipated that the corrective phase had ended and price was entering a new impulsive wave. However, there are two irregularities worth noting: A pin bar candle with high volume has appeared at the resistance zone near 3365, while H4 momentum is overbought. This signals a likely short-term correction — something that ideally should not happen if price is already in wave 3. Ideally, price should have surged to 3402 on Friday to strengthen the bullish case. On the H1 chart, bullish candles are small and overlapping, reflecting weak bullish momentum and a lack of conviction from buyers. These two signs suggest that the market may still be within the correction phase, and the 3402 level will serve as a key confirmation zone to determine whether the correction has truly ended. 💡 Trading Outlook The bullish momentum on the D1 chart still supports BUY positions for the coming week. However, since the H4 chart is overbought, a short-term pullback is likely. We will look to buy on dips toward lower support zones, targeting a move toward 3393 – 3402, which remains the target area as outlined in Friday’s plan with the original entry at 3332 – 3330. 📊 Trading Plan BUY Zone: 3342 – 3340 Stop Loss (SL): 3330 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3370 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3393
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | July 15, 2025🟢 Trade Update The BUY order at the 3342 – 3340 zone was triggered at 3341. As of now, price has moved up by 140 pips, and the market is still following the planned scenario from the previous analysis. 📊 Momentum Analysis D1 Timeframe: Momentum is in the overbought zone, and indicator lines are showing signs of crossing — a warning signal of a potential reversal on the daily chart. H4 Timeframe: After a 6-candle decline from 3377 to 3342, H4 momentum has reversed upward. With 2 bullish candles already formed, we expect another 3–5 bullish candles, aiming toward the 3390 zone. 🌀 Elliott Wave Update Price action is currently moving toward the end of the abcde contracting triangle. We are monitoring two potential scenarios: Scenario 1 – Ongoing Triangle Correction If price returns to the lower boundary of the triangle, it is likely forming wave e, which would present a buy opportunity for the final leg of the triangle. Scenario 2 – 5-Wave Impulse Extension The current structure shows a 5-wave impulsive move, with wave 4 completed and wave 5 now beginning. The projected target for wave 5 aligns with the resistance zone at 3398 – 3402. After completing wave 5, the market could enter a corrective phase, consistent with the idea that wave d ends at this resistance. 🔔 If the price breaks above 3402, it would likely confirm that the abcde correction is complete and that a new impulsive bullish wave has started. 🎯 Trade Plan 📍SELL Zone: 3396 – 3398 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 3406 🎯 TP1: 3376 🎯 TP2: 3327 📍BUY Zone: 3295 – 3293 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 3285 🎯 TP1: 3327 🎯 TP2: 3365 🎯 TP3: 3402 ✅ Note: Prioritize entries only after confirmation from price action and momentum at key levels.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold still has room to pull back, be brave and short gold!Gold continued to rebound today, and we also successfully gained 150pips profit in long gold trading. However, although gold is currently maintaining its upward trend, the rebound strength of gold is not strong during the European session, and it has repeatedly touched 3375 and then fell back, proving that there is still some resistance above. In my previous trading point of view, I also emphasized that gold is under pressure near 3380 in the short term. In addition, from a technical perspective, today's intraday high is limited to 3395. So in order to dump the bullish momentum so that it can break through 3380 more smoothly, or even continue to above 3340, gold will inevitably have a retracement in the short term. So when most people in the market are still waiting for a retracement to go long on gold, I will definitely not waste the opportunity of gold retracement in vain. So for short-term trading, I will consider shorting gold appropriately in the 3375-3395 area, with the target looking at 3360-3350. After gold falls back as expected, we might as well consider going long on gold at a low level.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
2
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 11, 2025 🔍 Momentum: D1 timeframe: Momentum is currently rising, suggesting that the bullish trend is likely to continue for the next few days. H4 timeframe: Momentum is also bullish, indicating that the uptrend is likely to dominate today. 🌀 Elliott Wave Pattern: On the H4 chart, price action is in the final stage of a contracting triangle correction. Price is now approaching the upper boundary of the triangle. With both D1 and H4 momentum in alignment, the probability of a breakout to the upside is high. If this breakout occurs, we can expect a move toward the 3393 area, which is a key level to confirm whether the corrective phase has truly ended. 🎯 Price Targets: Current area (3330–3332): A potential opportunity for a scalp BUY, supported by bullish momentum on H4. Next support zone: 3315–3317 – a solid area for a mid-term BUY entry if there’s a pullback. ⚠️ If price breaks below 3279, the current wave count becomes invalid and a new analysis will be provided. ✅ Trade Plan: 🔹 SCALP BUY Entry: 3332 – 3330 SL: 3327 TP1: 3363 TP2: 3390 🔹 MID-TERM BUY ZONE Entry: 3317 – 3315 SL: 3307 TP1: 3342 TP2: 3363 TP3: 3390
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 10, 2025 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H4 timeframe, price has returned to test the upper boundary of the converging triangle – currently acting as dynamic resistance. Based on the current wave count, wave e (purple) may have completed at the 3279 low, and price is potentially starting a breakout move. 👉 A confirmed breakout above the triangle would validate the end of the abcde correction and mark the beginning of a new upward trend. 🔋 Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: As forecasted yesterday, momentum is entering oversold territory and showing early signs of a reversal. This suggests that an upward trend could dominate over the next 5 days. H4 timeframe: The two momentum lines are sticking together, indicating a weakening upward drive. A minor pullback may be needed before the next leg up. Key nearby resistance levels to watch are 3330 and 3342. 🎯 Key Price Levels & Validation Zones The following support zones are crucial for identifying potential entries: Support Zone 1: 3306 – 3308 Support Zone 2: 3294 – 3297 ‼️ Important: A break below 3294 would invalidate the current wave structure, and a new count would be required. 📌 Trade Plan Scenario 1 – Buy at higher support: Buy Zone: 3308 – 3306 SL: 3303 TP1: 3342 TP2: 3366 TP3: 3390 Scenario 2 – Buy at deeper support (if stronger correction occurs): Buy Zone: 3297 – 3294 SL: 3287 TP1: 3342 TP2: 3366 TP3: 3390 Scenario 3 – Safer option (breakout confirmation): Wait for a breakout above the triangle, then enter on the retest (around 3325–3330) SL: Based on structure formed during the retest TP range: 3366 – 3390 📌 Preferred strategy: Wait for H4 to reach oversold or wait for a confirmed breakout and retest to enter safely in alignment with the new uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold rose. Trend reversed.Gold rose slightly in early Asian trading on Wednesday, but fell under pressure near 3308. It fluctuated in the European trading range of 3296-3282. It broke through the US trading range and rose to around 3317 in the late trading. The daily line closed with a positive line with a lower shadow. After a sharp drop on Tuesday, gold showed a downward recovery trend on Wednesday and closed positive. It rose slightly in early Asian trading today. From the daily level, in the short term, we should first pay attention to the resistance near 3325-3330. This area brings together the current positions of the 5-day moving average, the 10-day moving average and the 60-day moving average, which is an important gateway for the game between long and short forces in the short term. If the gold price continues to be under pressure in this area, it means that the short-term upward momentum is insufficient, and we need to be alert to the risk of a market decline. If the above resistance area can be broken and the price continues to rise strongly, the next target will be the resistance near 3345, which is not only the high point on Tuesday, but also the current location of the 20-day moving average and the 30-day moving average, which has a strong technical resistance significance. In terms of support below, first pay attention to the support near 3280, which is the current support level of the trend line formed by the low points of May 15 and June 30, which provides certain support for the gold price. Operation strategy: Short at price rebound near 3345, stop loss at 3355, profit range 3320-3300 Long at price drop near 3315, stop loss at 3305, profit range 3320-3340
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 9, 2025 🔻 Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: Momentum is approaching the oversold zone and may reverse upwards today or tomorrow. H4 timeframe: Momentum is already in the oversold zone. The two momentum lines are converging, signaling weakening downward pressure and a potential reversal. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure The price level around 3318 (previous buy zone) failed to hold, despite a ~100-pip bounce before continuing to decline. Currently, price is nearing the lower boundary of a contracting triangle – a typical abcde corrective pattern. Based on the current wave structure: - Wave d (purple) appears to be complete. - Price is now likely forming wave e, expected to end near 3279, which coincides with the triangle’s bottom support. If the pattern holds, a strong breakout above the upper triangle boundary is expected once wave e completes. However, note: the formation of a triangle during a corrective wave often signals that the uptrend is nearing its end in the longer term. 📌 Trading Plan Given the complex 3-wave structure typical of triangles, risk is elevated, so: Trade with reduced position size, or Preferably wait for a confirmed breakout above the triangle before entering. Suggested Trade Setup: ✅ Buy Zone: 3280 – 3277 ❌ Stop Loss: 3270 🎯 Take Profits: TP1: 3309 TP2: 3342 TP3: 3390
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold is going down without any signs. Will it continue?Yesterday's seemingly strong rise in gold's safe-haven market may make people mistakenly think that gold is going to rise sharply, but the recent safe-haven market has poor sustainability and poor upward momentum, and cannot maintain the continuation of the upward trend. Looking at gold in 1 hour, after the price surged, it continued to fall under pressure at 3345. 3345 is also the recent key position for long and short positions. The 1-hour moving average of gold is still in a short position and continues to diverge downward. The short-term short momentum of gold still exists. I think the price will still fall after the rebound. Gold started to fall directly at 3330, and 3330 formed a strong resistance for gold in the short term. The downward low point did not continue after touching 3288. The current price rebounded and fluctuated around 3295. So we can sell high and buy low around 3385-3325.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – July 8, 2025🔎 Momentum Analysis On the daily (D1) timeframe, momentum is currently declining. At the same time, the 4H momentum is showing signs of reversing downward. This suggests a likely short-term corrective decline, which provides a basis for projecting potential Elliott Wave patterns. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the 4H chart, I currently see two main possible scenarios: Scenario 1: Contracting Triangle Correction (abcde – purple) This scenario assumes a contracting triangle correction labeled abcde in purple. The market appears to be in wave d (purple), which is unfolding as a wxy corrective structure. Currently, it is likely in wave y. The projected target for the end of wave y is between 3393 – 3402. However, due to the declining momentum, I expect a short-term pullback to the 3318 – 3321 region before price resumes upward to complete wave d. Scenario 2: Larger WXY Correction In this case: Wave W has completed as a standard 3-wave abc. Wave X has also completed as a double zigzag. Wave Y appears to be forming a small contracting triangle abcde in red. Currently, the price is being compressed between the upper and lower boundaries of the red triangle, suggesting that it is in the final wave e. In this scenario, the projected retracement also aligns with the 3318 – 3321 zone. After completing wave e, price is expected to break out strongly above the upper boundary of the red triangle. ✅ Strategic Conclusion Both scenarios point to a confluence zone at 3318 – 3321, making this a key potential buying area. Two trading approaches can be considered: Aggressive Entry: Buy within the 3318 – 3321 range. Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the red triangle before entering a long position. 📈 Suggested Trade Plan Buy Zone: 3318 – 3321 Stop Loss: 3308 Take Profit 1: 3342 Take Profit 2: 3362 Take Profit 3: 3393
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold fluctuates downward. Do not short blindly.Today, gold is in a consolidation downward trend, with the lowest point reaching around 3296; it has rebounded slightly to around 3310. From the overall market, gold is indeed in a short trend. However, do not continue to short, which is very dangerous. Because from the hourly chart, although the low point of gold is constantly refreshing, the key hourly chart support range position has not yet broken. So, here I may think that gold may still be tempting to short in the short term. There is still a possibility of a pullback here on the hourly chart. From the current point of view, there is still a probability of a pullback to 3320-30 before the range is broken. In terms of the next operation, I suggest that you can pay attention to 3320-30. However, if it really pulls up again, as long as it does not stand above 3330 again. Then, we can short here at 3320-30. On the contrary, if the rebound directly breaks above 3340, then be careful. The rebound may turn into a trend reversal, and it is very likely to replicate the rhythm at the beginning of last week.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – June 8, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Timeframe: H4 Currently, price action is overlapping with multiple abc correction patterns. To reduce noise and gain a clearer perspective, I’ve shifted the analysis to the H4 timeframe. From the 3500 level down to now, the entire corrective move has been composed of overlapping abc patterns rather than sharp, impulsive rallies. This suggests we are likely forming a contracting triangle correction in the form of abcde (green) as shown on the chart. At the moment, price appears to be in wave d (green), which is unfolding as a wxy structure (red). Trading during triangle corrections is particularly challenging due to the complex interweaving of corrective waves. Additionally, price is consolidating within the Volume Profile’s high-liquidity zone, as shown on the chart. Therefore, it is best to remain patient and wait for the triangle pattern to complete. 📉 Momentum Daily (D1) momentum: Currently showing signs of a bearish reversal → suggesting that price may move sideways or lower this week. (Toward the end of a triangle, price tends to compress and lose clear directional bias.) H4 momentum: Also shows reversal signals, and a strong bearish candle has recently formed. Thus, a short-term bearish bias is preferred until H4 momentum reaches the oversold region. 🎯 Price Targets Since the market is currently forming overlapping abc structures, setting precise wave targets is difficult. Therefore, I rely on Volume Profile zones to define key levels: 3342 Resistance Zone: Marks the boundary between high and low liquidity areas → This is a Sell Zone, supported by confluence with D1 and H4 momentum signals. 3294 Support Zone: Represents the lower boundary of high liquidity → This is the projected end of wave X (red) and serves as our Buy Zone. 🧭 Trade Plan 🔻 Sell Zone: Entry: 3340 – 3342 SL: 3350 TP1: 3320 TP2: 3300 🔺 Buy Zone: Entry: 3295 – 3293 SL: 3285 TP1: 3312 TP2: 3342 TP3: 3390 📌 Personal Note: At this stage, I prefer to wait for the abcde triangle to complete or for more structural confirmation. If you decide to trade, focus on short-term setups with reduced position size to manage risk during this complex correction phase.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Non-farm data exceeded expectations. Will prices fall temporarilInformation summary: Affected by the US Independence Day, the June non-farm data was released in advance. This non-farm data surprised the market, far below expectations and previous values, with a significant increase in employment exceeding expectations and previous values, and a sharp drop in unemployment to 4.1%. The market bet that the July rate cut plan would be directly scrapped. After the employment data was released, the gold price quickly plummeted to $3,312, but the sharp drop in the market had poor continuity and ultimately did not form a unilateral decline. Market analysis: Due to the US Independence Day holiday, the US market was closed. In fact, the only thing left for us is the Asian and European markets. And today is the last trading day of this week, and the market is likely to maintain a state of consolidation. From the 1-hour chart, the price fell after testing the 3,360 high twice. The negative impact of the non-farm data accelerated the decline, and the decline did not continue, and a new support level was formed near 3,323 after the decline. At present, the price is impacting around 3,345, and the bulls are expected to rebound upward and return to the upward trend. I think the current market continues to rebound, with the lower low of 3323 as the dividing point, and high sell and low buy operations in the consolidation area of ​​3320-3350. This is the last trading day of this week. I wish all traders a perfect ending and a perfect weekend.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_1
Revealed: Beware of a strong counterattack from gold bears!Perhaps due to the impact of the NFP market later, gold fluctuated relatively cautiously today, and neither the long nor the short side showed signs of breakthrough, and the overall trend remained volatile. However, as gold rebounded, the market bullish sentiment gradually tended to be optimistic. In the short term, the lower support area was relatively obvious, that is, the second pull-up point 3335-3325 area, followed by 3315-3305 area; However, as gold rebounded twice and fell after touching 3365, the suppression above was also obvious. In the short term, it faced the suppression of 3375-3385 resistance. If gold cannot effectively break through this area, gold bears may make a stronger counterattack, so I don’t think gold bears have no chance at all. Therefore, I think there is still a good profit opportunity to try to touch the top and short gold. You can consider trying to short gold in the 3365-3375-3385 ​​area and look at the target: 3340-3330-3320.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD, March 7, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H1 chart, wave 3 appears to have completed, and price is now entering a phase with an unusual structural behavior. Wave 3 previously showed strong momentum, moving steeply and continuously, with no clear internal pullbacks – a classic impulse wave. Following this, we observed a corrective abc pattern in black, suggesting the end of wave 3. Interestingly, although yesterday's ADP report was extremely bullish, gold only managed a mild breakout above the wave 3 high before pulling back this morning. Notably, the upward move followed a 3-wave abc structure in green, and price action is now showing overlapping waves with no clear directional momentum. 🧩 These signs suggest a high probability that: 🔹 Wave 5 is forming as an Ending Diagonal – a 5-wave structure with a 3-3-3-3-3 pattern. 🔹 This is typically seen at the end of a bullish cycle and often precedes a sharp reversal. Although it's too early to confirm, we should patiently observe the upcoming price action. If the ending diagonal completes, it may present a strong sell opportunity. 🎯 Target for wave 5: around 3395, provided all 5 sub-waves within the diagonal complete. ⚠️ If price breaks below 3324, we must consider that the full 5-wave structure is already done, and a new abc corrective phase may have begun. 🔍 Momentum Analysis Daily (D1): Momentum is about to turn bearish from overbought territory → suggests a weakening uptrend. H4: Momentum is turning upward → likely a mild rally or sideways movement today before H4 reaches overbought again. 📌 Trading Plan Given the current wave behavior and overlapping structure, it is best to remain patient and wait for confirmation before taking a strong position. If the Ending Diagonal structure is confirmed, it could signal a major reversal. SELL Zone: 3392 – 3395 Stop Loss: 3403 Take Profits: • TP1: 3368 • TP2: 3340 • TP3: 3324
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD | February 7, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure (H1 Timeframe) Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is moving sharply and steeply—this suggests the formation of a 5-wave impulsive structure. Specifically: - Waves 1, 2, and 3 (green) appear to have completed. - Currently, wave 4 is forming as a 3-wave corrective structure (abc in black). - Once wave 4 completes, we anticipate the next upward move as wave 5, which will complete the full 5-wave cycle (green). 🎯 Potential Price Targets for Wave 4 Based on the structure of the abc correction and support zones, we identify two key target areas: + Target 1: 3324 + Target 2: 3311 When the price breaks above the top of wave b (black), it will serve as a strong confirmation that wave 4 has ended and wave 5 is beginning. 📈 Momentum Analysis Daily (D1): Momentum is still rising and likely needs 2–3 more days to enter the overbought zone, supporting the continuation of the uptrend. H4: Momentum is about to turn upward, signaling wave 4 may be nearing completion. H1: Momentum is also preparing to turn up, suggesting the price is approaching the end of the wave 4 correction zone. 💼 Trading Plan BUY ZONE: 3325 – 3322 STOP LOSS: 3215 TAKE PROFIT 1: 3345 TAKE PROFIT 2: 3368 TAKE PROFIT 3: 3395 📌 Wait for H1–H4 momentum alignment before triggering a BUY entry for wave 5.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold fluctuates upward. Is the decline over?On Monday, gold opened at around 3282, and then fell back quickly to around 3247 under pressure; the downward low was blocked, and then rebounded strongly to around 3297; the market currently maintains a small upward trend. At present, we need to focus on the resistance range of the upward trend. From the 4-hour chart, the upper short-term resistance is around 3295-3300, followed by the suppression range of 3310-3315. The main direction of short-term operations maintains the rebound short-selling strategy. The support below is around 3255; the overall short-term operation relies on 3260-3300 to maintain the main tone of high-altitude participation unchanged. Operation strategy: Short near 3305, stop loss 3320, profit range 3270-3260. A new week has just begun. I wish you all gain something from the market fluctuations.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan for June 30, 2025 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure On the H1 chart, we observe a double zigzag correction WXY (in red). Currently, Wave Y appears to be developing as a green abc structure. In this abc structure: + Wave a started with a leading diagonal (5-wave triangle). + Wave b followed as a typical abc correction (in black). + Wave c is currently unfolding as a clear 5-wave impulsive move, characterized by sharp and rapid price action. The key issue now is to determine whether: + The price has completed wave 5 (black), or + It has only completed wave 3 (black) within the green wave c. If the current movement is wave 3 (black), we should expect a wave 4 correction, followed by one more leg down to complete wave 5. In this scenario, wave 5 will be confirmed if the price breaks below 3255. There are two potential target zones for wave 5: + Zone 1: 3247 + Zone 2: 3224 If wave 5 has already completed, the upward move to 3283 could be wave 1 of a new bullish trend. The next pullback would be wave 2, with an expected target between 3266 – 3261. ⚡️ Momentum Analysis D1 timeframe: Momentum is in the oversold region, suggesting a high probability of a bullish trend in the upcoming week. This supports the view that wave c (green) of wave Y (red) is nearing completion. H4 timeframe: Momentum is turning bullish, indicating the current upward movement may continue. This adds to the uncertainty about whether wave 3 or wave 5 has ended. 🧭 Trading Plan 📍 BUY ZONE 1 Entry: 3264 – 3261 SL: 3254 TP1: 3283 | TP2: 3297 | TP3: 3315 📍 BUY ZONE 2 Entry: 3247 – 3244 SL: 3237 TP1: 3283 | TP2: 3297 | TP3: 3315 ⚠️ Important Note This trading plan assumes either wave 3 or wave 5 has completed. Therefore, if in the early Asian session, the price does not touch the 3264 – 3261 zone but instead rises above 3283 without closing above 3297, and then drops back below 3283, we should avoid buying at 3264 – 3261. Instead, we should wait for a potential entry at the 3247 – 3244 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold volatility intensifies. Waiting for direction?The price of gold fluctuated greatly this week, which means that the end point of sentiment will not disappear so easily for the time being; in the short-term K-line pattern, there are continuous ups and downs. If you want to trade steadily, you can wait and see for a while. From the hourly chart, the MA5-day and 10-day moving averages cross downward, and the RS indicator hovers around 40.7. This shows that the market trend is weak. The current price has bottomed out near 3310 and rebounded to fluctuate around 3320. The price may continue to decline after a slight rebound. Today, focus on the long opportunities near 3305 and the pressure position above 3345. Quaid has always believed that only by insisting on detailed analysis of the market and reducing losses, can we slowly accumulate the principal of the account. Good luck to everyone.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Plan for June 26, 2025 🌀 Wave Structure On the H1 chart, our previous plan anticipated price movement within green wave 3. However, the current price action lacks the sharp, impulsive characteristics typically seen in wave 3. Instead, the overlapping structure of minor waves suggests that we may not be in wave 3. This leads us to consider two primary scenarios: 🔹 Scenario 1 – abc Correction (black): Price may be forming wave c (black). However, due to the overlapping nature of recent price moves, it is likely that wave c is developing as an ending diagonal (wedge). ➡️ Confirmation signal: A sharp, steep decline that breaks below the 3297 level would signal that wave c has completed. 🎯 Target zone for wave c: 3352 – 3356 🔹 Scenario 2 – Leading Diagonal in Wave 1: The overlapping price structure could also be forming a leading diagonal (3-3-3-3-3) as wave 1. In this case, price is currently in wave 3 or 4 of this formation. ➡️ Once wave 1 completes, we expect a retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the entire wave 1 – forming wave 2. 🎯 Target zone for the end of wave 1: 3352 – 3356 📉 Momentum Analysis Momentum plays a crucial role in determining which wave structure is unfolding. D1 Timeframe: Momentum is turning upward from the oversold zone – indicating that the downtrend may be ending. This supports the scenario of a leading diagonal wave 1 and suggests we may see a sustained bullish move over the next 5 days. H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to reverse downward from the overbought zone. This is a key signal to monitor today, especially during tonight’s news events. If price continues to move sideways within a wedge, it would support the leading diagonal scenario. If price breaks down sharply, it would favor the abc correction scenario. 🧭 Trade Plan 🔻 Sell Zone: 3352 – 3355 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 3362 🎯 Take Profit 1: 3333 🎯 Take Profit 2: 3323 📌 The market’s behavior during the U.S. session tonight will be critical in confirming the wave structure. Stay alert and ready to adjust the trade plan accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
2