Xauusdwave
Gold breaks new high againGold prices hit a high of 2509 last Friday and closed at 2506, crossing the 2500 mark for the first time in history. Last week, it closed steadily at the 2500 mark. Although it fell back at the opening of this week, the support of 2480 below was not broken, and the overall bullish thinking remains. If the gold price can remain above the key support level and the technical indicators show a positive trend, you can consider going long on dips; if the gold price approaches the important resistance level and the technical indicators show signs of overbought or divergence, you can consider going short on rallies.
- Operation strategy:
- Pay attention to the 2528 position. If it reaches the 2525 position, you can try to go short with a light position, and then watch the gold price go down to test the 2500 support. The stop loss of short orders can be set in the 2530-2535 range. You can go long directly at 2500, TP2530-40
Gold with two probabilities for 10/22/2024Gold with a high probability to make the decision for 10/22/2024 ✅️ :
🔸️If the price exceeds the green bar 🟩, with the bar closing in the hour above: there will be a high chance of entering a purchase as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news and the stop loss.
🔸️If the price exceeds the red bar 🟥, with the bar closing in the hour below: there will be a high chance of entering a sale as indicated in the chart, respecting the day, news, and the stop loss.
XAUUSD 21/10/2024 Is the rally over?
Looking at H1 we see that wave 3 is still continuing.
- The target of wave 3 we measure at the price zone 2736 - 2739 or the price zone 2800
- First we look at the price zone 2736 - 2739, this is the minimum target price zone of wave 3 ending at this zone, so when the price approaches, there is a high possibility that the price will react at this zone, so we will set a SELL target at this zone
- Next, there is an area determined by the confluence of Fibonacci, which is the 2768 zone, this is also the resistance zone that the price must overcome
- With the structure that is completing wave 3 like this, our priority target is BUY at the end of wave 4 to follow the uptrend of wave 5
- With the assumption that the target of wave 3 ends at the price zone 2736 - 2739, the target zone to end the adjusted wave 4 is the price zone 2706 - 2703 or the price zone 2693 - 2690
Trading Plan
SELL ZONE: 2736 - 2739
SL: 2746
TP1: 2717
TP2: 2706
BUY ZONE: 2706 - 2703
SL: 2700
TP1: 2718
TP2: 2725
TP3: 2738
BUY ZONE: 2693 - 2690
SL: 2683
TP1: 2706
TP2: 2718
TP3: 2738
XAUUSD 18/10/2024 Is the uptrend over?
Looking at H1 with the price making a new ATH yesterday this confirms to us that the corrective wave 4 has ended and the price is currently in red wave 5
- Looking at the smaller wave level we are seeing that in red wave 5 the structure of wave 1 and wave 2 is being formed and the price breaking through the top of wave 1 proves that the price has confirmed that the corrective wave 2 has ended and it is currently wave 3
- In wave 3 the uptrend is the main trend for us to place orders
- The price zones that return based on Volumeprofile I have identified 3 price zones in which the price zone 2696 - 2693 and the price zone 2669 - 2666 are the important price zones we pay attention to
- For the Sell zone we expect the first target of wave 3 at the price zone 2736 - 2739 which is the sell target price zone
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2696 - 2693
SL: 2688
TP1: 2709
TP2: 2737
BUY ZONE: 2669 - 2666
SL: 2664
TP1: 2685
TP2: 2695
TP3: 2717
BUY ZONE: 2657 - 2654
SL: 2647
TP1: 2668
TP2: 2685
TP3: 2694
SELL ZONE: 2736 - 2739
SL: 2746
TP1: 2717
TP2: 2697
XAUUSD 16/10/2024 Is the uptrend over?
Looking at H1 we see that the price has completed a 5-wave structure and a 3-wave corrective structure, so in the larger wave structure we have that wave 1 and wave 2 have been completed
- In the current wave structure, after a 3-wave bearish structure there will be an uptrend
- Looking at the current price line we have a red 5-wave bullish structure forming
- Our problem is to determine the target of the red wave 5
- I measure the expected area of the red wave 5 is the price zone 2674 - 2677
- After completing the red 5-wave bullish wave there will be 3 corrective waves, the target area of this corrective wave is the zone 2653 - 2650
- In case the price breaks below this zone to approach the zone 2639 - 2636, this is the price zone where the recovery may not be as strong as the zone above
Trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2674 - 2677
SL: 2684
TP1: 2661
TP2: 2655
BUY ZONE: 2653 - 2650
SL: 2645
TP1: 2663
TP2: 2673
BUY ZONE: 2639 - 2636
SL: 2629
TP1: 2649
TP2: 2655
XAUUSD 14/10/2024 price and will continue to increase?
Looking at H1, we see that the price has just completed a 5-wave structure 1 2 3 4 5 as I have labeled on the chart
- Following a 5-wave structure will be a 3-wave correction structure
- Looking at the current price line, I see that the price has likely completed wave A in the ABC structure and is currently completing wave B
- The target for completing wave B is the price zone of 2654 - 2657, which could be a very good SELL target price zone
- If the price breaks through the price zone of 2661, it will confirm that our current wave-down process is not correct, and then we will have an extended wave 3 structure and the peak of wave 3 will coincide with the current wave 5. then we will have the target price zone 2670 - 2673 is the target price zone for the correction
- Regarding the target of the end of the correction wave, I measured 2 target price zones, which are the zone 2632 - 2629 and the price zone 2613 - 2610, this is the target price for the end of the correction wave
- we have an important price zone 2606, if the price breaks below this zone, it confirms that the uptrend has not started yet and the price continues the correction process, then I will have the correction targets
Intraday trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2670 - 2673
SL: 2680
TP1: 2662
TP2: 2653
TP3: 2637
BUY ZONE: 2632 - 2629
SL: 2627
TP1: 2653
TP2: 2661
TP3: 2670
BUY ZONE 2613 - 2610
SL: 2603
TP1: 2624
TP2: 2637
TP3: 2661
XAUUSD 10/11/2024 Will gold price drop further?
Looking at H1 we see
- The price has re-entered the 2624 zone, which is the bottom zone of wave W, so we have the necessary conditions to say that the correction trend has ended
- The sufficient condition for the trend to end is when the price breaks through the peak zone of wave X, which is the 2674 zone
- In the case when the price continues to go below the 2624 zone, we will have the correction trend has not ended because then the price is likely to continue to decrease to the next target zone, which is the 2591 zone and the 2571 zone
About the intraday trading plan
We rely on the Volumprofie zone to determine potential supply and demand zones
- In this price zone, we have two potential demand zones, the 2624 - 2621 price zone and the 2613 - 2610 price zone, which will be our BUY target
- We also have two major supply zones, the 2648 - 2651 zone and the zone 2670 - 2673 is the zone we use to SELL
Specific trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2648 - 2651
SL: 2643
TP1: 2637
TP2: 2624
SELL ZONE: 2670 - 2673
SL: 2680
TP 1: 2662
TP2: 2653
BUY ZONE 2624 - 2621
SL: 2619
TP1: 2637
TP2: 2653
BUY ZONE: 2613 - 2610
SL: 2603
TP1: 2624
TP2: 2637
XAUUSD 10/10/2024 correction is over?
Looking at H1 we see that the price is in a complex correction pattern WXY
During a complex correction, trying to label the waves accurately is very difficult and not feasible for real trading. Instead, we look for potential targets for the end of the corrective wave
I measure the end target of wave Y at 2 price zones, which are the 2589 - 2586 zone and the 2575 - 2572 price zone, which is also the price zone where we set the BUY target
Looking at the sideway price zone, we see that in this zone, there are 2 large supply zones, which are the 2639 - 2642 zone and the 3670 - 2673 zone, which will also be our SELL target zone
At the moment, my expectation is to catch the bottom of the upcoming uptrend, so we will pay special attention to the BUY zones
Trading plan
BUY ZONE: 2589 - 2586
SL: 2584
TP1: 2606
TP2: 2622
TP3: 2661
BUY ZONE: 2575 - 2572
SL: 2565
TP1: 2585
TP2: 2606
TP3: 2661
SELL ZONE: 2639 - 2642
SL: 2650
TP1: 2625
TP2: 2606
TP3: 2594
SELL ZONE: 2670 - 2673
SL: 2680
TP1: 2662
TP2: 2641
TP3: 2625
XAUUSD 30/9/2024 Has the uptrend started?Looking at H1 we see that the 5-wave uptrend structure has been completed and we are now in an ABC correction structure
The target of this correction I expect to end at the 2607 zone. At that time we can execute a long-term BUY order to continue the uptrend.
- The process of price completing the correction wave target needs to absorb strong demand zones along the way. These are the targets for us to be able to BUY short-term by day.
- Looking at the Volume profile, we see that there are 2 important demand zones that need to be considered, which are the 2639 - 2636 zone and the 2625 - 2622 zone. These are the border zones where the price is pushed up, so they will be the zones that the BUY side will protect when the price returns, and to break these zones, an absorption process is required and we will take advantage of this to proceed to BUY up.
- After completing the adjustment, when the price breaks the peak zone of 2686, confirming that the adjustment process is complete, I then measure the target of the uptrend wave with the first resistance zone at the 2700 zone and above it is the 2738 - 2741 zone.
This is also our important SELL target zone.
- In which we pay attention to an important zone of 2674, this is a strong supply zone, we can consider SELLing in this zone.
SELL ZONE: 2670 - 2673
SL: 2660
TP1: 2651
TP2: 2641
SELL ZONE: 2697 - 2700
SL: 2707
TP1: 2684
TP2: 2674
TP3: 2655
BUY ZONE: 2639 - 2636
SL: 2629
TP1: 2655
TP2: 2674
TP3: 2684
XAUUSD 9/25/2024 gold price continues to increase?
Looking at H1 we are witnessing an extended wave 5 with the wave 5 target I measured at the current price zone of 2665 this zone has been reached and the second price zone at the price zone of 2696 - 2699.
After the end of wave 5 we will have another ABC adjustment so these target price zones will be the price zones we choose as SELL down targets
- This adjustment will be very large and long to facilitate intraday trading I will choose target zones with a lot of demand so we can catch the recovery waves in this adjustment.
- We have 2 target price zones with high demand concentration, which are the 2565 - 2562 zone and the 2594 - 2591 zone. These are the 2 target zones we choose to BUY up.
Trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2696 - 2699
SL: 2706
TP1: 2682
TP2: 2665
TP3: 2655
BUY ZONE: 2565 - 2562
SL: 2555
TP1: 2641
Tp2: 2655
TP3: 2670
BUY ZONE: 2594 - 2591
SL: 2584
TP1: 2614
TP2: 2625
TP3: 2641
XAUUSD 9/24/2024 price increase continues?
Looking at H1 we see wave 5 is completing
- The target position of the end of wave 5 we have 2 target zones, the first zone is 2645 - 2648 and the second target zone is 2597 - 2700. For now we will choose the first target zone which is 2645 - 2648 as the target zone to SELL down
- Below after the end of wave 5 we will have a correction according to 3 ABC waves.
- We have the target zone of this correction at the price zone 2594 - 2591 and the second target zone at the price zone 2565 - 2562 we will choose these 2 target zones to BUY
Trading plan
SELL ZONE: 2645 - 2648
SL: 2655
TP1: 2625
TP2: 2606
TP3: 2593
BUY ZONE: 2594 - 2591
SL: 2584
TP1: 2606
TP2: 2616
TP3: 2645
BUY ZONE: 2565 - 2562
SL: 2555
TP1: 2570
TP2: 2589
TP3: 2603
XAUUSD 19/9/2024 Downtrend is over?
Looking at H1 we see that after the FOMC news we witnessed a strong price increase creating ATH at the 2600 area. Then there was a strong decrease to the 2547 area
- So wave 5 has completed as expected my target. now we expect an ABC correction
- Looking at the chart we see a strong decline suggesting a completed wave A, this strong decline also shows us that wave A has a 5-wave structure so this correction we expect a correction according to the ABC Zigzac correction structure
- The target of wave B I expect at the 2580 - 2583 zone or the 2579 - 2600 zone this is our SELL target
- After completing the target of wave B the price continues to decrease to complete wave C I expect the target to complete wave C at the price zone of 2528 - 2525 this will be our BUY target
- We also have a strong support zone at the price zone of 2451 - 2448 this will be our BUY scalp zone
Trading plan
SELL ZONE 2580 - 2583
SL: 2590
TP1: 2570
TP2: 2562
TP3: 2551
SELL ZONE: 2597 - 2600
SL: 2607
TP1: 2590
TP2: 2579
TP3: 2562
BUY ZONE: 2551 - 2448
SL: 2561
TP1: 2562
TP2: 2570
TP3: 2579
BUY ZONE: 2528 - 2525
TP1: 2541
TP2: 2551
TP3: 2562