Xauusdwave
GOLD / Back to Intraday.Over past few weeks some followers that follow me since I am on TV write me that I should get back on intraday trading.
When we traded intraday with frequent updates we got some great results, and I can agree with that.
" Get back old TPP that we knew before "
This is harder for me since it requires chart baby siting, but okay, let's get back to intraday interactive trading. But overall I was intraday trader, not long term trader.
I will open dedicated trading account for that and intraday it.
Cheers.
TPP
Gold / Sub Gate.Analysis turned out to be completelly wrong and previous entries where to early to come in.
Broker Stoped me out as I approached 30% mark with overall loss 219k eur.
I managed to close UJ trade with zero loss just before FOMC since HFT generated overall Short signal meaning xxx/usd down and usd/xxx up, and since it was close to my entry I decided to close the trade.
I am transfering second account funds to gold account as well adding back more so I have full 600k for trading back in place.
I will watch the close price and let the dust settle down, and most probably go in one more time with stops below 76.4 ( on chart ) for the same targets 1383-1430.
100 provide strong support as it has to be broken by 10$.
Will wait for close price.
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GOLD / New Trading Strategy 2017I am almost complete with my 2 years research on new dynamic trading , so in simple words I want to get you familiar with it, since this is how setup will look like in my ideas next year.
Example:
By calculations system is suggesting Sell at 1158.00 with SL 1160.00 and target 1149.00 .
In this case SL is placed at a level where trend ( daily ) is changing, and if market hit SL then it should trigger Pending Buy order at the same place 1160.00 with target 1170.00.
Only thing is that if market decide to hit the Short trade SL and we enter buy, buy should run without SL because as per dynamic trading rules there cannot be an indecision, if market doesn't want to go one direction, it goes the other.
Dynamic trading backtests show that as well.
The same works Vice Versa.
System is focused on Equity growth so even if you take the first trade and get SL the second trade settles the first one for you.
The new strategy is developed for
Silver
Usd/Jpy
Gold
Dxy
Platinum
Eur/Usd
USOIL
But I will publish once in a while only gold ideas with this setup.
This is an educational post of what to expect, and it will be attached under each idea that will use this trading setup.
GOLD / Frequency Tag / Temporary Failure.Reposting the same layout.
Quote from previous Idea " Most important thing is that gold need to reverse after it tags red box ( 1168 - 1161 ).
Because if gold breaks old frequency pivots, it will invalidate new frequency rollover and lead to possible gold drop to complete the downward phase fully.
What means if gold breaks 1161 it will attack 1156 and smash it leading to 1133 - 1120. "
As per rules it is a failure, because gold needed to smash 1156 and close under it in exact day when it breaks frequency tag area.
Refer to this template as well.
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I studied all my Ideas, and 99.99% of cases if you were to take my trading call, gold has offered you a chance to get out of position at Break Even meaning zero loss . I am not your mommy your daddy or someone that needs to take care of you and manage your trades.
GOLD / Frequency Tag / Complete.Funny enough that I made Idea earlier before, and turns out I published it as a private Idea, so nobody could see it. I found it weird why there is no action going on with that as usual, and started to research and is how I found out that somehow I posted it as a private Idea.
Basically this is what I posted ( by giving a link you can see it )
big LOL.
Anyway, in last idea I said gold should drop to do a frequency tag after it did a rollover.
So the interesting part is ahead.
Please dislike this idea, leave a bad comment and unfollow my account.
Appreciated!
TPP.
GOLD / DXY - Frequency Tag.Hi.
As per JAFR Thursday - Friday is important days when it comes to frequency analysis.
Market moves like waves and each wave has it's own frequency, and wave lenght.
In last Idea update I told you I reckon that today Wednesday we should have bullish frequency rollover, that happen. Not the strongest one but still it occur. It's like snake changing skin ( lol ), the same does market, when intraday levels are getting to tight and nothing changes, explosion follows and path changes. We have huge pivot and level pressure from above, since every intraday level never suggest good enviroment for bulls, in such cases explosion happen upwards, the same vice versa.
Gold did a rollover in new Phase. New phase next H is 1234 ( is where I told you I will add to buys )
Generally gold entered new phase and as always it needs to test back old frequency pivots and transitions.
Funny enough that gold left 1168.6 unseen that should be tagged, but interesting part is that 1168 in general become old frequency pivot as well that gold need to tag now and reverse up.
Most important thing is that gold need to reverse after it tags red box ( 1168 - 1161 ).
Because if gold breaks old frequency pivots, it will invalidate new frequency rollover and lead to possible gold drop to complete the downward phase fully.
What means if gold breaks 1161 it will attack 1156 and smash it leading to 1133 - 1120.
So now gold is in front of decision based on frequency analysis.
Either we test 1168ish area max to 1161 and move up, either we break old frequency tag and drop.
Meanwhile dynamic temporary target 1383 and Permanent Volume target 1430 is on cards suggested by other templates, and I have a full faith gold is to complete it.
When gold was above 12xx I wasn't sure it can drop to my targets 1193-1180, but I was sure even if it drops, will be back up to met atleast 1383-1393.
Let the Gold do the Job.
Meanwhile DXY short trades running as well since the same frequency rules and terms apply to it too, but I won't get in to that
P.S the worst case we can have is move up without seeing 1168.6. It will be the same story that we had with 1265 back in the day. Means gold drop no matter how high it goes.
FOMC / Educational Preperation. XXX / USD # USD / XXXHello guys.
Personally I am excited as we get closer to FOMC, and I will be trading FOMC event.
I will have positions on:
DXY
USD/JPY
GOLD
SILVER
EUR/USD
I will manage to trade this event with High Frequency news trading machine, as HFT is back in da building, and we had a great success trading news with this machine. Last NFP was sweet as well.
Since I have a lot of new followers that have no Idea how HFT works, I will refresh memory for you guys as well write down things for new followers, but always remember News Trading involves high risk.
So basically what we are doing is predicting the first momentum with HFT.
If you remember the last NFP, you saw the momentum spike upwards. Strange even tho we printed good NFP and rate data, still first momentum was up, and HFT nailed it's job.
Persoanlly how I trade news with HFT is I open BIG lot size, and set TP for this trade to lock the profits, if TP not hit I monitor situation manually and if momentum loses STEAM I close the trade.
I am not using SL because in first second or second before the news there are spikes before momentum direction and spike size depends on your broker.
Last NFP for example It was not a killer, because I feel the signal that is being generated and I know whether the event will be meh.. or event will have strong impact.
Last NFP generated weak signal and we got relatively weak NFP impact.
The same goes for FOMC, as I will feel whether the event will be weak, or strong impact based on data that I get.
But I reckon that FOMC will be a TURNAROUND event and not a Dirrect one.
Basically what that means is that HFT will generate for example LONG signal, once FOMC come out the momentum will be LONG ( spike up ) and then the turnaround follows, the same vice versa.
Of course it can be dirrect move and if signal for example is LONG it can start to go long, and go straight up, same vice versa.
Anyway I'll be in the trade, because this FOMC event should be great and should move the market and you can trade any xxx/usd usd/xxx pair if you want since on all of them there will be an impact.
Let me know in comment section below if you have any questions.
TPP
GOLD / TemplateIf you remember the ThanksGiving Idea where I gave out gold phase template ( not available anymore ) we hit 50% on that template in the current phase.
If you remember the rules when break 76.4 target 50, if break 50 target 23.6.
50% is very sensitive here.
If broken, we have 3 possible targets 23.4 > 100 > 76.4 ( on chart )
Today 1185 did the job...
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GOLD / Bullish Mode.Hello.
This will be the same chart layout as posted before:
But I want to explain more about what we have here.
I was waiting for this scenario but it did not happen till gold hit 1160.
Friday close price was 1177.4 and this is what I am looking for!
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What we can see is that all 3 transitions ( marked in yellow ) are below ( lower ) than close price.
It is a good bullish sign that ads up to my dynamic templates.
First time we got this picture was on Thursday last week when finally all 3 transitions align under close price and you saw that even on NFP gold was rejected up from that block.
Friday close price provide the same situation for Monday ( today ).
I added 3 green blocks on chart to visualise that we enter bullish intraday mode, where after every close price transitions align under close price providing good bullish setup.
Interesting that when gold hit 1170 and reverse, after close price transitions were still above, but now suddenly there is something with 1160 and transitions float under close price indicating possible bottom process.
Only thing that ruins the picture little bit is marked in screenshot in Red you can see all these 3 levels align at the same place creating somewhat strong level and even if gold go above it it is still not that good. So on Monday ( today ) we have to be careful with this level, that is ruining the party here.
But as far as we are getting bullish transitions under each close price every day it is good sign.
I am holding tight here.
GOLD/ LONG © Tp Paradigma. All Rights Reserved.I reserve all rights to say that gold bears is finally done, because second template with levels now work in confluence with my dynamic level template.
See what happens when dynamic level template and 2nd template both indicate SHORT.
So far I have suffered 25$ drawdown, which is not the worst case.
I will qoute one of my follower saying " I am early but I'm not wrong ".
Patience here is important, and target 1383 is on my cards.
So far 2nd template was giving mixed signals, but now we get bullish sentiment levels below close price each day and that is a good sign, and as far as we are getting that after each and every close price gold up up up.
I will take that as a lesson and will know what to look for next time to not be early in a trade.
Booya.
GOLD / NFP direction / xxx/usd ^ usd/xxxFriday ( December 2 ) I will make sure I have access to my High Frequency Trading Machine so I can inform you whether we are getting bad or good NFP report, what means either gold more down or up.
Those who are following me for a while now know how we traded NFP and other events, those who don't know, either study my past ideas related to HFT or just don't trade it.
P.S to people that think I am afraid to admit I am wrong, no I am not! YES on this trade I am wrong in Timing and Entry, I am too early in this trade, having a bad entry. WRONG WRONG WRONG, What's next? What else you want me to say?
Entry and Timing is wrong! Because in Metal Cruisers chat I told that gold is hard commodity since it can easy go and see unseen levels / targets.
Draw Down is a part of game.
And one more thing:
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Dear friend, please post an idea on gold highlighting levels 1383-1430 and a text next to it, Gold IS NOT going to these levels, and publish it. Much appreciated!
You know the saying dear, Sir, put the money where mouth is!
See you on NFP, I will update 10-5-2 mins before the NFP report whether it is LONG or SHORT.
RE-POSTED idea because seems there was a glitch with first one!
GOLD / Durability.This idea is more for my record / journal.
Currently I experienced max draw down 25 dollars so far on Long gold trade which is actually not the worst drawdown seen considering that there are people with long entries above 1300
I have a bad entry and timing on this trade.
But I am a man that trust in my own strategy even if I lose.
It's already enough seeing copy trades all over the place when one TOP guy come out with Idea, then suddenly majority speaks in one voice, I am not doing it, nor I am following somebody, nor I ever will.
This is the situation where I leave this trade fully on JAFR calculations that suggest gold going to 1383 > 1430.
Either Gold stops my account out and gives me a lesson about being on wrong side, either gold starts the path upside.
This is just my trade and my situation, So here I give it a time and patience, and I will not fund account I leave it as it is and rely fully on my strategy.
Funny how some people came in my ideas when I was short and said don't wait for it gold will not break 1200.
And now when I am long, same people comment again don't wait for it gold will not go up.
I even don't know what to add here...
This is not an example you should take into your trading, that's just me, and a way how I test my mental durability when it comes to TRUST IN YOUR STRATEGY.
NFP direction for tomorrow updated here:
GOLD / Loading...New month, means new data and full recalculation, is what I was working on.
Bear key levels are way too deep down, not even near where we are now.
Everything under Permanent Volume yearly target ( 1180 that I mention ) is a part of SL hunt game.
Frequency rollover yesterday completed and gold is ready for this new month.
HINT - I will enjoy Monday ( December 5 ) open price!
I am going to Russia to visit couple seminars and have no Idea will I have time to visit TV.
Bears - This month soon enough gold has a surprise for you, call your manager!
GOLD / 1.000.000$ trade / Intraday follow up.Some followers do request intraday idea updates as a follow up to our long term trade, so here it goes.
Majority of my followers are long from green rectangle area.
Some got 1174, some 1180, some 1185.
My current " set and foget " long is 1185.
Close price above 1192 is amazing sign intraday and gold should now go up to re-visit 1197 again as it is a Heading Towrds daily level.
If we pass 1197 - 1202 dynamic area, we have chance to go higher, if we break Bullish TP 2 new fresh H should come.
I have set downside targets as well in case our old friend Bear come.
And guys don't ask me do I think can gold go lower before real up!
1st I don't think so otherwise being heavy long from 1185 wouldn't make sense, 2nd Gold is a monster and can do what it want so there is always a possibility so all we can do is risk reasonably and money management solve any problem here.
I have done calculations and can handle DD, but my main target is 1383 as it was before.
In general close above 1192 is good sign at least for now!
But be careful as always!
I will follow up today on this intraday idea as we go.
Main general Idea -
GOLD / 1.000.000$ trade / The cost of patience and time.If you don't understand what is that mess on the chart, this idea can give you an insight.
On my gold table I have done selling it both Temporary and Permanent Volume targets are reached, and those who care fundamentals, don't worry no rate hike will ocurr this year, since gold has spoken.
I have set my buys on gold for now. Next place where I am about to add is 1235 as that level plays big role for metal cruisers now.
I do appreciate that you comment, and show your point of view but don't try to change my view. I never follow no one and trade what and how I want. Common human nature desperately sell falling market and desperately buy upward going market, but in most cases you do that when the run is over.
I will love to see gold doing the move when you don't expect it, filling the chat rooms all over the net with words, ohh what happen!!
Trade safe and plan your trades so you can survive this battle.
GOLD / The Long Road in Dunes / DestinationHi. Spent long time analysing the gold. I strongly believe in my calculations that gold is done dropping for now.
It came to see both my temporary target 1193, and permanent volume target 1180.
This was the bear pancake, now bring the Jam.
By frequency calculations gold has to fall like under 1170 and spend there at least 3 days to say that bulls are not comming. I just don't see signs that invalidate my next Temporary target 1383 and Permanent Volume Target 1430.
As well I don't want to fall in love in this idea, all I believe is gold is to met 1383 and that should be completelly done in December, so I believe that to all those people that have bad long positions, gold should manage to bring peace and love in your mind / heart for X-Mass and everything should be back to normal!
If you buy here even with small risk like 1 lot for example and if target is met it can bring you 18ish thousand bucks. Just 1 lot.
As well people ask how I would manage the hedge sell positions and what would I do here.
If I would be you, of course I buy here, just because I believe in my calculations, and when gold goes up I would close each and every sell step by step at BE while my long position minus is lowering and my bottom buy is bringing money. But it depends on how helthy your equity and margin level is.
Guys, with this buy, we really need patience here, this time for real, because this can be boring. And remember that gold is a monster, it can easy do reach unseen targets and levels.
I have done my buys here and won't add any new positions at the moment. And will update this idea if I spot something new, or a good place to add to longs.
Sorry in advance if I am wrong, at least I tried!
TPP
GOLD / Targets.Wanted to make this clear with big picture.
As you know I told you gold is to reach 1383 at least.
But can fall to 1193 ( not obligated )
If gold falls I will buy at 1194.00 , 1186.00 and 1181.00.
If gold does not fall, I will buy from 1235.00.
For a target 1383.00 > 1393.00 > 1430.00.
I don't see gold going lower than 1180.00 because the target 1383 is not seen.
And as well I told you about 1250.00.. if you try to short from there, I hope gold give you some profit or at least Break Even, but chances are that you will donate some money to your broker by shorting there.
I won't repeat this idea / targets again. Click play later some day!.
Good Luck.
GOLD / Time, Patience, Mindset.As in life the same in forex , sometimes we create a problem . And we always think that problem needs to be solved with our interaction, but in 99% of cases because of emotions we make the problem more complicated thus creating even bigger problems .
Sometimes just a pure time / patience can solve the problem without our interaction. All we have to do is think forward. Once you start to panic and let emotions to ride with you, you are done especially in forex .
Patience is not the ability to wait.
Patience is to be calm no matter what happens, constantly take action to turn it to positive growth opportunities,
and have faith to believe that it will all work out in the end while you are waiting .
I got the wrong entry. What do I do now. Should I close it? But if I close it can reverse. Okay I close the trade in loss. Oh now it reversed, I re-enter again. It goes up again, and there it goes.. the crazy emotion train.. off the rails.
Why I make this idea.. because last trade is a great example of how just a patience can pay off.
Yes sometimes you make mistakes .. but if you can think off a plan B and if you believe in what you have created ( method / system ) then sometimes just give it a time , is all what it needs.
I got both haters / wise guys aka Holly Grail's, and people in panic.
Holly Grail's too early to be happy about my bad trade entry / situation, and panic people too early to be in panic .
And now you see how a problem got solved with just a patience / time .
That being said.. it's all about mindset and patience !
I closed my short trade in plus and will re-enter higher!
Booya.!
GOLD / Bifurcation theoryWelcome to the new week of trading.
I plan to sell around 1210ish and finally get my 1193 if situation doesn't change.
And 1193ish is where I start to look for em bottom buys.
Bifurcation theory I recently apply on trading so after some tests we'll see what's up!
I will update as always.
Cheers.
GOLD / ProjectionNot sure if that can happen Monday, but this is approx what I would like to see ( daily ).
I want spike down, and close above 1202, if higher, that is even better.
As I get sell setup from 1210.
Maybe spike lower till base 100 ( 1186 ).
Can Monday do it not sure, but as you know things happen when they are less expected.
This is just a projection of How I would like things to form on chart.
I will prepare long orders on Monday.