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XAU/USD 11-15 November 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 October 2024 Price has continued its surge, reaching new all-time highs with no signs yet of bearish pullback phase initiation. The initial indication of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price's ongoing ascent has now positioned CHoCH significantly closer to most recent price action. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold's price has maintained its upward surge after printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), fueled by softer U.S. macroeconomic data and intensified geopolitical tensions. In my weekly analysis dated 27 October 2024, I mentioned that price could potentially reach new highs, moving the bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This shift would create a realistic opportunity for price to indicate the start of a bearish pullback phase. This forecast played out as expected, with CHoCH positioning repositioned significantly nearer to recent price action subsequently printing a bearish CHOCH. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 08 November 2024. Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation. Price has reacted from premium of 50% established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to weak internal low priced at 2,643.355 Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 4-8 November 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Analysis/bias remains the same as last week's analysis dated 27 October 2024 Price has continued its surge, reaching new all-time highs with no signs yet of bearish pullback phase initiation. The initial indication of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price's ongoing ascent has now positioned CHoCH significantly closer to most recent price action. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold's price has maintained its upward surge after printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), fueled by softer U.S. macroeconomic data and intensified geopolitical tensions. In my weekly analysis dated 27 October 2024, I mentioned that price could potentially reach new highs, moving the bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This shift would create a realistic opportunity for price to indicate the start of a bearish pullback phase. This forecast played out as expected, with CHoCH positioning now significantly nearer to recent price action, marked by a blue dotted vertical line. Following the bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated. While price is currently giving very early signs of this by printing a higher high that has brought the CHoCH positioning closer, this is still an indication, not a confirmation of a potential pullback. The first more concrete signal of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH). Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024 -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal. Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high. We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
2
XAU/USD 28 October - 01 November 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has continued its surge, reaching new all-time highs with no signs yet of bearish pullback phase initiation. The initial indication of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price's ongoing ascent has now positioned CHoCH significantly closer to most recent price action. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has sustained its upward surge since printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), driven by softer U.S. macroeconomic data and heightened geopolitical tensions. Following bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated, though there are currently no signs of it materialising. The first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which is marked by a blue dotted line. Price could potentially achieve new highs, bringing the bearish CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price action. This proximity would provide a realistic opportunity for price to signal the initiation of a bearish pullback phase. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Gold’s rally persists amid the Fed’s dovish tone and heightened geopolitical tensions, solidifying its safe-haven appeal. Price has printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), signaling—but not yet confirming—the start of a bearish pullback phase. Intraday Expectation: Despite the bearish CHoCH, price has yet to pull back into the internal 50% EQ discount. We could see a reaction at the H4 supply level before any confirmation of bearish pullback initiation. Technical Note: The strong high at 2,758.525 is anticipated to remain protected. However, with CHoCH positioning on the daily timeframe somewhat distant, price may print a bullish iBOS in the near term to align with the daily timeframe’s movement. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 21-25 October 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has continued to print all-time highs and surge, with no signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. The first indication of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price has continued to rise, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to analysis dated 22 September 2024. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and continued its upward surge, driven by soft U.S. macroeconomic data and increasing geopolitical tensions. Following the bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated, though there are no current signs of it materialising. The first indication, but not a confirmation, of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH). Since last week's analysis, CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. The bearish CHoCH level is denoted by a blue dotted line. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since the last analysis, due to illness, price has printed both a bullish iBOS and a subsequent BOS. Driven by the Fed's dovish stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has continued its upward surge. The swing low has been brought significantly closer. A break of this swing low would confirm the initiation of a pullback phase across all higher timeframes (HTFs). Following the BOS and iBOS, we expect a pullback. The first indication, but not confirmation, would be price printing a bearish CHoCH, denoted by a blue dotted line. At this stage, there are no signs of a pullback, so price could continue higher to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 14-18 October 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has continued to print all-time highs and surge, with no signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. The first indication of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price has continued to rise, and CHoCH positioning remains unchanged from the analysis dated 22 September 2024. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and continued its upward surge, driven by soft U.S. macroeconomic data and increasing geopolitical tensions. Following the bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated, though there are no current signs of it materializing. The first indication, but not a confirmation, of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH). Since last week's analysis, CHoCH positioning has remained unchanged. The bearish CHoCH level is denoted by a blue dotted line. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. As mentioned in my analysis dated 09 October 2024, price could print lower to bring CHoCH positioning closer to current price action, as the previous CHoCH positioning was quite distant. This is exactly how price has moved. Price is currently positioned in the premium above the 50% equilibrium (EQ). Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to react at the premium of the 50% EQ or H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low. I advise caution due to ongoing geopolitical tensions and the Fed's dovish stance. However, we will remain systematic in our approach. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAU/USD 07-11 October 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure: Bullish. Internal Structure: Bullish. Price has continued to print all-time highs and surge, with no indication of bearish pullback phase initiation. The first sign of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which is marked with a blue dotted line. Price has continued higher, and CHoCH positioning remains unchanged from the analysis dated 22 September 2024. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS) and continued its upward surge, driven by soft U.S. macroeconomic data and increasing geopolitical tensions. Following bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated, though there are currently no signs of it materialising. The first indication, though not a confirmation of a pullback would be price printing a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH). Since last week's analysis, CHoCH positioning has remained unchanged. The bearish CHoCH level is marked with a blue dotted line. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Bearish swing pullback phase has been confirmed by the first bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), which has established the current swing range. Currently, price is trading between the swing high and internal low. Following second bearish iBOS price printed a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH), suggesting but not confirming the initiation of a bullish pullback phase. Price reacted from the premium zone above the 50% internal equilibrium (EQ). Although the weak internal low was targeted, price was unable to close below it after reacting from an H4 demand zone. Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to target weak internal low. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD Big Move Will be there? | 2h Analysis Hello, community! 👋 How are you all doing this week? I hope you’re ready for some insightful trading opportunities. Let's dive into the analysis for XAU/USD (gold), as it looks promising for a bearish trend. Market Overview This week, XAU/USD is presenting a potential bearish scenario. After observing the current market conditions and price action, I’ve identified a key resistance level at 2641. This level is critical for our bearish outlook, and I’ll explain the setup in detail. Key Levels Entry Level: 2641 First Target: 2603 Second Target: 2580 Third Target: 2547 Stop Loss: 100 pips above the entry (approximately 2741) Trading Strategy Entry Confirmation: Wait for a clear rejection (chock) at the 2641 level before entering the trade. This confirmation is crucial to ensure that the bearish momentum is established. Target Management: The first target is set at 2603, which is a realistic point to take partial profits. The second target at 2580 provides a further profit-taking opportunity as we approach the anticipated bearish trend. Finally, the third target is 2547, representing a solid point for potential further downside. Stop Loss Consideration: Place a stop loss 100 pips above the entry level, allowing for some volatility while protecting your capital. This positioning ensures that any unexpected bullish movement does not significantly impact your account. Conclusion In summary, the bearish outlook for XAU/USD appears favorable this week, with strategic entry and exit points. Remember to wait for that crucial rejection at 2641 before executing the trade. Let’s stay disciplined and focused, and I wish everyone a week full of profitable trades! 🌟 Feel free to follow for more insights and updates! Happy trading! 📈
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by HouseofProfit
XAUUSD\GOLD - AnalysisXAUUSD\GOLD W1 - is in the phase of a flat / sideways direction in the price section 2037 - 1678, as it is clear that the price twice after the implementation of two waves approached the price of 1814, and then after the correction - movement to the price of 1678 What can be expected now? Presumably, the correction after the 3rd wave begins to end, which may lead to the implementation of the 5th wave and the price drop to 1814 and below. Short Long term - goals 1814–1678 Medium term - goals 1918-1899-1871
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trade_Hive_Signals
XAUUSD Weekly Supply ZoneIn March 2022 Gold peaked to 2068 level which was due to the news of Russia and Ukraine War, but it could not hold the price and then crashed all the way to 1684 zone within few months. Now again the opportunity has come where Gold prices are at peak and everyone is in Fear of missing Out, whereas smart money will try to grab some liquidity from the top and then the prices will land, we might see a sharp wick till the 2070 level or even some more to trap before we land the the ground. Keep an eye on this opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AmitTrades