$40 Silver in Sight? BofA Says Yes The Gold-Silver Ratio (XAU/XAG) measures how many ounces of silver are needed to purchase one ounce of gold, providing a clear example of the relative performance of each metal.
Bank of America (BofA) has argued there could be an opportunity to short gold against silver at its current ratio of 83.50, targeting a move down to 78.50 or 75.00, with an upside stop at 87.50.
A decline in the ratio can occur either if silver rises faster than gold or if gold falls more sharply than silver.
BofA’s 2024 gold price targets of $2,368, $2,538, and $2,643 have already been hit, with the next target set around $2,733. However, the bank advises caution on gold, instead hinting traders could focus on silver, which is nearing eleven-year highs. According to the bank, the ratio recently formed a double top, signaling a bullish outlook for silver. Silver’s potential upside targets range between $36.02 and $40.
GOLD/SILVER
Silver to $38The move from March 2020 to August 2020
Was a measured move that played out to the Tee.
We have a similar structure building that projects to the High 30's
Suggesting #Gold move beyond ATH's and #Silver the beta play to move faster in an attempt to catch up, and move towards it's high's again.
GOLD esting resistanceThe gold price is showing quiet negative trading, gradually moving away from the 1963 level, reinforcing expectations of the continuation of the downward trend during the coming sessions, with its next target at 1943, stimulated by the negativity of the Stochastic indicator, which is clearly visible now, with a reminder that the continuation of the downward wave depends on stability below the 1963 and 1981 levels.
Pivot Price: 1963
Resistance prices: 1981 & 1998 & 2017
Support prices: 1943 & 1931 & 1912
The general trend expected for today: bearish
timeframe: 4H
Gold 4H price is on a sideways pathThe price of gold has been fluctuating sideways in the past sessions, stable around the moving average of 50, noting that the stochastic indicator is losing its positive momentum noticeably, waiting to stimulate the price to resume the expected negative trading in the immediate term, which aims to test the 1964 level initially.
Therefore, the downward trend will remain expected for the coming period, keeping in mind that the breach of 1996 will stop the expected decline and lead the price to attempt to restore the main upward trend.
Pivot Price: 1983
Resistance prices: 1996 & 2010 & 2022
Support prices: 1964 & 1947 & 1933
The general trend expected for today is bearish
GOLD 4H maintains its positive stabilityHello traders, The price of gold fluctuates near the support of the ascending channel. It receives continuous positive support from the moving average of 50, which supports the chances of continuing the rise within this channel and heading towards achieving our positive goals that started in 1996 and extended to 2010.
In general, we will continue to favor the upward trend for today unless the 1983 level is broken and holds a daily close below it.
Pivot Price: 1983
Resistance Price: 1996 & 2010 & 2022
Support price: 1964 & 1947 & 1933
The general trend expected for today is bullish
timeframe: 4H
GOLD 4H within a positive patternHello traders, The recent gold price trades are confined within a descending secondary channel, which we believe constitutes a bullish continuation flag pattern, as shown in the chart,The price of gold continues to fluctuate around the 1963 level, and faces some negative pressure to move below it now, which requires attention in the upcoming trading, as consolidation below this level will stop the positive scenario and place the price under negative pressure, mainly targeting the 1951 areas.
We point out that the price needs to rise above 1963 to reinforce the positive expectations, the next main target of which is 1981.
Pivot Price: 1963
Resistance Price: 1981 & 1996 & 2010
Support price: 1951 & 1938 & 1925
The general trend expected for today: bullish
timeframe: 4H
GOLD 4H Midday update Hello traders,The price of gold continues to fluctuate around the 1963 level, and faces some negative pressure to move below it now, which requires attention in the upcoming trading, as consolidation below this level will stop the positive scenario and place the price under negative pressure, mainly targeting the 1951 areas.
We point out that the price needs to rise above 1963 to reinforce the positive expectations, the next main target of which is 1981.
Pivot Price: 1963
Resistance Price: 1981 & 1996 & 2010
Support price: 1951 & 1938 & 1925
The general trend expected for today: bullish
timeframe: 4H
GOLD 4H price achieves the extended targetHello everyone, The price of gold rose strongly yesterday to succeed in achieving our expected target of 1985. We notice that the price begins today with more positivity to try to penetrate this level, which leads the price to achieve more expected gains during the coming sessions, paving the way for heading towards the levels of 1991 and then 2009 as stations—next main.
Moving average 50 continues to support the proposed bullish wave, taking into account that failure to consolidate above 1977.25 will stop the expected rise and put pressure on the price to turn lower.
Pivot Price: 1977
Resistance Price: 1991 & 2009 & 2024
Support price: 1957 & 1943 & 1929
timeframe: 4H
GOLD new week Bullish hello everyone, The gold price is facing noticeable negative pressure to attack the 1913.15 level, which requires attention in the upcoming trading, as continuing the decline and confirming the break of this level will stop the positive scenario suggested in the morning and put the price under negative pressure during the coming sessions, while the price needs to consolidate above 1913.15 to resume the bullish wave that is present. Its next major target is at 1945.20.
The general trend expected for today is bullish
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GOLD 4H try to down GOLD for the next week will trade at the bearish zone
reminding you that, consolidation under 1873 is important to achieve the suggested targets as breaching it will push the price to build a bearish wave to reach 1860 , 1850 , and 1838
As for renewing bullish attempts, consolidation above 1873 will support the price to rise up again and recover its positive momentum to retest again to 1886 , 1896 , and 1911
Support line: 1860 , 1850 , 1838
Resistance line: 1886 , 1896 , 1911
The general trend expected for today: Bearish
The expected trading range for today is between support 1850 and Resistance 1886
GOLD 4H OUTLOOK GOLD
reminding you that, consolidation under 1893 is important to achieve the suggested targets as breaching it will push the price to build a bearish wave to reach 1885 , 1880 , and 1875
As for renewing bullish attempts, consolidation above 1893 will support the price to rise up again and recover its positive momentum to retest again to 1903 , 1911 , and 1923
Support line: 1910, 1902 , 1875
Resistance line: 1903 , 1911 , 1923
SilverHi
we have 2 key point
first >>>> inflation and intrest rate : if inflation cant hit 2 % we can say silver drop to 17 looklike another commodity
2nd >>> recession >>> Consequences of excessive interest rate increases >>> This MOD can pump Gold but Silver dont have safe haven character >>> if this point true XAUXAG can pump
ANYWAY SILVER CAN HIT 50$ to 10$
be careful
SILVER decision timePlease 1st of all click the boost 🚀 button if you want me to post more ideas and follow me to support my work! It's absolutely for free.
This is follow-up to the idea I posted 3 months ago when I called falling wedge breakout to the upside.
XAGUSD is doing really well since and now is heading into strong resistance cluster created by zone 24.15-24.40 and by major downtrendline (red). Notice the price action which formed rising wedge pattern (lime) which is usually bearish, but it can also break to the upside - in the early stage of new uptrend. So decision time is coming ... breakout up or down? Just closed part of the long position just in case we turn down south. I will not be trading until break occurs and things settle a bit. There is another hurdle @ 26.20-26.95. Sitting on the sidelines is sometimes the best thing one can do!
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GOLD ⚔️ SILVER🥇XAUXAG🥈 heading to strong resistance level. It's confluence of trendlines and 50% fib retracement of the initial impulse breaking the major uptrendline. I expect backtest of it and possible reversal which would be bullish for both metals.
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SILVER falling wedge breakoutPlease 1st of all click the boost🚀 button if you want me to post more ideas and follow me to support my work! It's absolutely for free.
XAGUSD backtested twice the previously broken violet downtrendline (zoom out) and it held as support. Price recently bounced up and now breaking the falling wedge. If the break is successful then we could see price rising to the resistance @ 26.21.
GOLD/SILVER ratio (see chart below) reached strong resistance and now dropping hard (as predicted) meaning that silver is stronger than gold. This is usually the case in metals bull market, silver is just high beta version of gold (aka gold on steroids).
Are the metals bulls around the corner?
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Gold - Short paper gold, long physical metalTwo weeks after our last update, we still remain bearish on gold in the short term and expect it to hit 1 600 USD. Our view is based on a combination of fundamental factors like high-interest rates, strong U.S. dollar, and more economic tightening in the foreseeable future. Despite that, we remain bullish on gold in the long term and believe it will provide a great buying opportunity in the coming months. With that being said, we are long physical metal and short paper gold.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are bearish. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of XAUUSD and the sloping resistance connecting March 2022 high and April 2022 peak. Yellow arrows indicate bullish breakouts above the resistance and subsequent invalidations.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bearish. DM+ and DM- are bearish as well. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
GOLD🥇 channel breakoutHi folks! Please 1st of all click the boost 🚀 button if you want me to post more ideas and follow me to support my work! It's absolutely for free.
GOLD made new all-time high back in 2020 and then pulled back to 1676 which set the trading range for next year and a half. During that period there was a break of violet downtrendline which was subsequently backtested and provided support several times. Now just recently price tried to break down out of the range but the breakout failed as there was no real follow through and actually after few days GOLD bounced strongly and got back inside the range (above range low). Currently price is just trying to break the yellow downward channel in which price was "locked" from last march. IF it really breaks up, then we could see move to the upper range (2000ish) in next weeks/months.
See my silver analysis which supports this gold thesis:
See my Gold/Silver ratio analysis which supports this gold thesis:
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Gold - XAUUSD is about to push above 2 000 USDTechnical and fundamental factors continue to push gold higher. At the moment, it trades around 1 995 USD/oz., just slightly below 2 000 USD price tag. We maintain a bullish stance on gold and we expect it to break above 2 000 USD and continue higher. Our medium-term price target of 2100 USD stays in place. Our long-term price target of 2300 USD also remains active.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bullish. DM+ and DM- show bullish conditions in the market with ADX rising. Overall, the daily time frame is very bullish for gold.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bullish. The same applies to DM+ and DM-. Meanwhile, ADX shows that the bullish trend of a higher degree continues to strengthen. Overall, the weekly time frame is very bullish for XAUUSD.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Gold - XAUUSD shows more resilience than initially expectedOver the past four months, gold has shown strong resilience. Despite the U.S. interest hike, gold failed to drop substantially. Instead, it moved close to its all-time high value; however, it halted its rise at 2075.63 USD. After that, gold fell below 1900 USD. Although, this drop did not last long, and gold retreated to the 1950 USD price tag a few days later. We remain bullish on XAUUSD, and our medium-term price target of 2100 USD stays in place. Our long-term price target of 2300 USD also remains active.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and MACD are neutral. Stochastic stays bullish, and the same applies to DM+ and DM-. ADX declines, suggesting no significant trend is present. Overall, the daily time frame is neutral.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI and Stochastic are neutral. MACD remains bullish. DM+ and DM- are bullish too. ADX continues to increase, which suggests the trend of higher degree is bullish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bullish.
Illustration 1.01
The picture above shows additional support/resistance levels.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.