XBI
Biotech symmetry. Let the market settle down, and then go long.The biotech sector is really interesting when you dive down into the symmetry of the last few cycles. Early 2000s-2008 and 2016-2018 are mini rallies within the bigger wedge. If this pattern is to continues, you can look for entry around the end of 2020 when we bump up against the larger support line (around $3600), and expect to hit the resistance of the larger wedge ($10,000). There is also a lot of confluence around the $7500 mark so we could fall back to that after hitting 10k. This would repeat this pattern for the third time.
Near term, I have some shorts in this sector because I think many of this small biotech companies have been operating at negative cash flow with a ton of free credit. I don't expect massive gains on these shorts, but I will certainly be going long towards the end of 2020.
Bullish XBINote: This is not an investment advice but my opinion alone. Please feel free to comment
The XBI has been on a downtrend since September and one of the first sector to begin the pull back after all time highs. I am still bullish this segment looking at the charts and the current price action on the 5 year 200 EMA. It looks as though we are in wave 2 based on what seems like an ABC reversal in 2016.
If we break the EMA then we could be headed lower but I see this sector as bullish in this volatile environment.
winners and losers X-rayWe can see clearly in this x-ray of the major index of USA there is a clear evolution in the last 3 months, you can clearly identify two sides, One that of the winners, made up of sectors such as;; Kie ( insurers ) / ITA ( defense, aerospace ) / splrct ( tech s&p 500 ) , .
and on the other , you can see the side of the losers, :: made up of sectors of :: kbe ( bank ) / xbi ( biotech ) / xrt ( retail ) / xsd ( semiconductors )
// clearly there is a separation between sectors. ¡¡
whose benefits are positive, // and other sectors whose benefits are Not positive. take note about it.
Biotechs getting readyXBI getting ready for a move after some super healthy consolidation, bulls need to see a break of the 101.05/101.06 double top and a break of RSI resistance for room to the upside. Earnings from some larger names will like help XBI to pick a direction soon. LABD and LABU will be on my radar this week. I will be much more likely to play a break if overall market moves in the same direction.