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XBI

Biotech: textbook bullish continuation pattern breakoutBiotech was one of the first sectors in the market to show relative strength and catch some bids throughout the June bottoming process. IBB rallied 20% off the lows and then proceeded to consolidate sideways for 3 weeks. This Wednesday, IBB broke out of that consolidation with a gap up on heavy volume and is now finding more follow-through. Keep an eye on the old Feb/Apr highs around 135 which seems like the next target in this uptrend.
NASDAQ:IBB
by EvanMedeiros
1
$XBI - How to trade when dealing with overhead supply. I first typed this up yesterday and accidently published it as a private idea. Here's the second attempt: I rarely trade tickers with overhead resistance. The idea is to buy when the trend is clearly up and there's no overhead supply to dampen upward prices. Buy high and sell higher as it were. However, during selloffs, bear markets, etc, there is going to be great opportunities to buy stocks coming off their lows and reversing their down trends. One such ticker is $XBI. This chart is the monthly candle chart. On first glance we see a chart that rallied for quite some time and then sold off hard from peak to trough. However, there's some strong indicators here that this is a lasting bottom with a strong upside possibility. The May and June monthly candles not only tagged the long established support area but represented the most selling volume ever for the ETF in May (potentially clearing out a large amount of bag holders) which was followed up by the most buying volume ever for the ETF in June (Potentially the "smart" money getting involved). This formed a tweezers look with the two monthly candles. Moreover, while support held during these two volatile months, RSI signified that the ETF was the most oversold it had ever been in it its history. Confirming the RSI was the fact that both the May and June candles were outside the lower Bollinger band signifying the ETF was incredibly cheap. Monthly Bollinger Bands: The weekly chart confirmed what the monthly chart was showing. $XBI traded down from January through May all the while RSI was bottoming. The May 9th weekly candle and the June 13th weekly candle wicks both put in bottoms confirming the monthly chart. The ETF then cleared the first level of resistance on strong volume at the $72.58 area signifying a possible change in trend. One caveat, a possible weak spot is the weekly RSI has still not broken out to the positive range yet. However, it is pointing up. The weekly candle is now above the median of the Bollinger band . IMO the weekly chart is bullish. Weekly Chart: Weekly Bollinger Bands: The daily chart looks absolutely fantastic IMO. There is a double bottom look with coinciding positive divergence on the RSI from May to June. The first level of resistance was sliced through on June 23rd and retested with buying volume on the 29th and the 30th confirming former resistance as new support. The ticker has just recently broken through second level resistance at the $81.71 area all the while RSI has been expanding in to a bullish regime and taking out its previous high from November of 21'. The 20day/50day MA's just crossed and are starting to curl upwards. After a brief squeeze look on the Bollinger bands the ticker tested the lower band and then broke above the median line and is now walking up the upper band. Relative strength looks like it is in the early stages of overall out performance as well. We can see this on the daily relative line chart of $XBI vs $SPY. Lots of bullish signals. Daily Relative Strength Chart $XBI vs $SPY: Daily Chart with Support & Resistance Levels: On this daily chart I labeled the areas of possible support & resistance as levels. These are the areas I use for entry & exits. When trading stocks from below overhead supply it is reasonable to expect selling pressure as the stock moves into these levels. Patience is key. I take partial positions on penetrations of the resistance areas and then fill out the position upon retests confirming former resistance as support. Occasionally on strong up-moves you will not get a retest. In this instance I will fill my position upon the next penetration of an area of resistance or the next sell off. Whichever is first - it is not perfect but I am not looking for perfect. I am looking to develop a strong cost basis while building a long term position. Daily Chart with Moving Averages: Daily Bollinger Bands: Obviously I have a bullish bias as I am long this ETF . How do I keep my bias in check? I respect the support/resistance levels. There's lots of overhead supply to contend with. I expect plenty of selling within the ranges of the support/resistance levels. A patient trader can scale in as these levels are taken out and set stop orders if the fail. Any thoughts, feelings, and ideas are welcomed. Thanks for sharing. Good luck to all.
AMEX:XBI
by Breakout_Charts
6
Rolling: XBI July 15th 65C/75P to August 70/86... for a 9.88 debit. Comments: As with my IWM trade, paying a debit to uninvert this setup, free up buying power, and turn it into a higher POP (Probability of Profit) setup. I had collected a total of 11.65 in credits up to this point, so I'm still net credit by 1.77 after doing this, but with a smaller buying power footprint and with "delta/theta happy" metrics at -2.66/8.70. Like the IWM trade, however, it's under water: it's currently marking at 5.42. I had a brief opportunity to take it off for a .70 loss, but it decided to move too much ... .
AMEX:XBI
by NaughtyPines
$XBI update #thestratI love being able to trade this level by level during crazy markets. Almost had a double outside day today. Now a 3-2 on the day and 4 hour. Will we expand this bf, get stuck in this range, or drop? We DID close above the weekly trigger but tomorrow may decide if it can keep the momentum for the weekly upside target. This can be played either way. If it reverses, the 3-2-2d on the 4hr would be ideal to move into the sss50% trigger. 3-2-2u break is the same on the 4hr or day.
AMEX:XBI
by my_stockcorner
XBI outlook on future medicine We see it in our favorite sci fi movies: the cure for cancer, biotech armor, mind altering substances to enhance intelligence, so on so forth. Assuming this index is the representation of biotech importance, I'd like to hear ideas for how biotech would crash. Everything we've seen from the movies can be reasons for an increase in price.. but what would cause the destruction of biotech funding? Is it even possible? If we want to achieve space exploration.. how could biotech ever fail? Thanks.
AMEX:XBILong
by W40kProfit