Xbtusdshort
BTCUSD Head & Shoulders ShortFundamental: Short term uncertainty, misinformation, and panic over future of BTC due to sudden cancellation of Segwit2X and the large volatility that followed.
Technical: BTCUSD has been severely overbought on larger timeframes for some time now, and yesterday's volatility introduced uncertainty among many newcomers. Not accounting for the short spike that made a new ATH upon the announcement of the cancellation, we have a clear head & shoulders forming, and should see a correction to cover the gap down to 6100 USD
Trade:
Short entry: Below 6900 after it breaks
SL: 7200
First target: 6660
Second Target: 6420
Final Target: 6100
Short BTCUSD to 4800The market turned and our last trade was profitable. We will now retest 4800 with a pull back, possibly as deep as 4600 or 4400. From there we will most likely re-bounce as the D1 market is still bullish back up to test 6000 and possibly north to 8000. BITMEX:XBTUSD
Of course there could be some turbulence as we pass through our bull Kumo on the H2-4 spans as during these times we will have two new hard forks going on. However, having seen how the market reacted to China and Russia news we should not be too fearful.
We could see a short lived re-bounce back up to 5300 once we've passed south of that as outlined with black arrows versus red arrows in the chart, taking into account Kijun- and Tenkan-sen levels if we go south of Tenkan-sen or not. That makes stop loss forced to be north of where we are now.
As always, trading is probabilistic and the above is the most likely scenarios. Stop losses and no emotions are your friends.