btc 6-7 update ~good afternoon,
after a savage dip yesterday, bitcorn has put in a savage rip
seems market maker is just shaking the tree, liquidating both sides before the big move comes.
the big move can be in either direction, there's really no way of knowing exactly in which direction it'll go - so be prepared for either 20k or 40k lol.
the daily wick looks extremely bullish, but i think it may have 1 more dip in store for us before we see the real rip.
a raid of the lows from yesterday in a similar styled fashion to what we saw yesterday would be ideal-> followed by a total short squeeze to 33~35k (potentially much higher).
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now it's also possible it just keeps going from here, to 33 ~ 35k without giving us this dip.
trade safe 😎
Xbtusdt
btc 6-6 update ~good evening folks,
btc ended up rejecting the target from my last nights post, but - it's not convincing enough for me.
i shorted the top of it, and i'm looking for a long.
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i think it pivots earlier than i had expected, and makes a run to 35k.
(watch for bullish divergence on the smaller time-frames, and look for confirmation)
it can theoretically expand quite low to flush out all the late longs, so exercise caution if you're going to play this move.
(resistance and support levels displayed on the chart)
btc is a wild one, and you gotta be ready for anything that it may throw your way.
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risk management is the #1 priority in this game, everything else comes second.
btc 6-6 update ~good evening,
btc is slowly starting to lose momentum here
got a feeling it raids the lows in this general area before seeing that push to 35k (as discussed in my video this afternoon).
looking for a pivot down from 31.6k
to around 28.5k
after-which, 35k.
ps. it could also just continue with this run, straight to 35k.
both scenarios are equally probable.
btc 6-3 update ~the dip we saw today was highly controlled,
came back down perfectly into the local golden zone.
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•strong bullish divergence persists on the higher time-frames.
•we're in a squeeze for 9 straight days now.
•daily rsi is backtesting the moving average from above (bullish).
•people are real scared right now,
•lot of bears,
•most are short, or in cash.
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give me 1 reason why btc won't see a strong move up in the days ahead?
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if we're playing out a simple zig-zag in this local region, the target on that sits at 33.6k
if it decides to play out a 5 wave impulse, wave 3 target sits at 37.2k (40k for w5).
i'm pretty bullish on crypto as a whole right now, and i'm expecting some kind of move up, which will be quite sporadic, and potentially short lived.
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ps. if the squeeze happens to trigger to the downside, a very powerful move will take us down to 23k; stoploss is important over here.
w-x-ya wxy = a double combo.
a double combo is a combination of three 3 wave moves.
we have two 3 wave moves so far, and we're 2\3 into the third one.
this final push up will move in 5 waves, and it'll look very exciting
but don't let it deceive you.
it'll simply be wave C of the final 3 wave structure.
a drop is expected after to the low 20k region.
✌
btc 6-2 update pt.2i just wanted to say,
i'm long, but i'm entertaining other ideas as well.
always nice to keep an open mind in the market, as there is always opportunity just around the corner if you're ready for it.
usually i have some kinda long exposure, and i attempt little shorts along the way (with extremely tight stops, like $49~$101 in btc's price)
once a successful short is found, i ride it down until the next long opportunity is found in a similar manner.
sometimes the short is a hedge, other times i'll flip short entirely - depends on the situation for the most part.
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i don't share the trades i take on here, as they are for our private members only; but i do share my thoughts with you all =].
my strategy is quite unique, and difficult to put into words, but do ask me about it if you're interested in learning more; as i'm always happy to share.
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this rally doesn't look convincing to me in the slightest - it seems to be trappy by nature.
there are large order blocks over-head, and it seems like it wants to go lower in my opinion.
i will remain long for the time being, and cautiously optimistic - whilst continuing to look for some shorties.
watch the local golden zone overhead for a potential rejection, and pull a fib extension on that.
it should gravitate to the 100% extension after; a deeper expansion is always possible as well.
entertaining something along these lines, but i can't put a timeframe on it.
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have an awesome day,
and expect the unexpected.
⭐
ps. i've been getting a ton of random hate in the comments from randoms, so going forward i will no longer be reading any of the comments. if you'd like to talk to me, feel free to pm me 🤝
btc 6-2 update ~hi o/ this is just a little bearish idea, it's not my primary - but thought i'd throw it out there.
my primary idea was posted yesterday, check it out here:
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-whole market is moving up, while bitcorn hangs out in the middle of nowhere, ominously.
-there is still a new moon in the sky, which puts pressure on btc.
-13 more days of pressure, before the bullish door can be opened.
got a feeling btc's just going to hang around this range till then,
might raid some more lows, catch some more stops \ continue with the accumulation phase.
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ps. there is a bull case to be made with this structure as well,
this market is pretty intense.this market is pretty intense,
so it is important to be strategic.
this is not a "buy and hold" kinda enviroment,
it's a, buy the dips, and sell the rips kinda environment (for now).
the average man - will buy the top out of excitement, and sell the bottom out of fear,
a wolf will buy buy the fear, and sell when the average man gets excited.
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i made this little spx500 post last week, check it out if you missed it:
i'm expecting a similar situation to play out on bitcoin.
38,39,40kish ; maybe an overthrow of that region, followed by the final dip down to 22.9\23k later this summer.
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ps. this is just a theory, don't follow me blindly just because the picture looks pretty. do your own dd + research, and follow Your plan.
✌
btc 6\1 update ~morning,
my primary idea remains in tact,
but there is a far more bullish scenario that could be at play right now.
if 30.7k fails to hold, btc will see a slightly deeper retracement (potentially to around 30k, maybe a fake out below it)
followed by a rip to 40k.
i'm not going to talk too much about it right now, but if you're reading this - you'll know.
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btc 5-31 update~firstly, i'd like to just say there is a new moon in the sky
a time for new beginnings.
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secondly, the bitcorn influencers are back with the whole "da bottom is in" narrative.
one more quick flush out to that low 20k range
before a real run could begin.
will be flipping my long for 1400% at 33,333 into a short
target on the final fifth at 23k.
22.9k if you want the wick.
🌙
btc 5-30 update ~good morning ~
finally got some action going on after moving sideways for awhile.
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i don't think i've shared my primary count for the local zone down here, just trajectories.
so here you are.
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the way i'm seeing this right now,
bears got too comfortable,
and now the market is going to make them feel uncomfortable.
🐺
never underestimate the bulls, as this is their market at the end of the day
bears are just visitors, so they gotta respect the space.
eyeing 33k as a potential top (fueled by short liquidations), before another decline into the crypto abyss
hidden bearish divergence.btc is printing a pretty hefty hidden bearish divergence on the daily,
just what i like to see, after a bullish divergence and a pop lol.
pulled like 400% on the pop, and i'm rolling some profits into a short.
was hoping for higher prices, but it doesn't look very probable right now.
once btc pivots, i reckon it goes down until the next full moon, which is in about 2 weeks
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ps. this dip might be the final phase in the accumulation schematic (aka, the spring phase).
bullish divergence bitcoin has bullish divergence on various oscillators, as well on numerous timeframes.
the one shown here is the daily.
bullish volume divergence
currently in a daily squeeze.
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the move out of this range will be quite large,
likely around 7~10k.
it can most certainly go in either direction, but that's what stops are for.
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i'm quite bullish on btc right now, and i will continue to be while the chart looks the way that it does.
good chance we're in an accumulation phase, and the mark up phase will begin one of these days.
almost expecting a raid of the lows(spring phase) before we pop, but it doesn't have to happen.
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bullish targets are green
bearish target is red.
have a nice weekend 🍀
ending\leading diagonal, simplified.this is pretty much the plan, from a simplified perspective.
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an ending, or leading diagonal is a 3-3-3-3-3, which is created within a contracting wedge looking thing.
each move consists of 3 waves, labeled as an abc.
wave 3 cannot be the shortest wave.
leading diagonal appears in the beginning
ending diagonal appears at the end.
which one it is, we won't know until we see what the move up looks like once it has been completed.
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looking for a quick short squeeze to that 33k region, could go a bit higher if things gets heated.
after which i think it swoops back down to around 20k to finish this corrective phase.
btc 5-27 update ~bitcorn is a mystery these last few days.
stonks are flying, while bitcorn sits on the ground observing the stars.
she wants to soar, but i'm not sure she can after the recent beatdowns.
a bird with broken wings is bitcoin,
but even with the broken wings she'll try to fly.
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targeting that 33k region on this move
bullish invalidation on this setup at 27950.0.
a break below this level, and we likely see a real breakdown -> to 23k.
btc 5-26 update ~good afternoon humans,
i talked about this idea a few days back, and it played out almost perfectly.
view that idea over here:
on track to around 33k,
after which i do think we see a rejection (on may 30th +\- 1 day) \ see the final decline to around 22.9k, potentially slightly lower.
a simplified view.here's a simplified view of bitcoins downtrend.
from the top of $69,138.5
we had 5 waves down.
after the initial 5 waves down,
we saw a 3 wave move which i have labeled as wave B (wave B consists of 3 smaller waves).
once wave B was completed we begun another 5 waves down (currently working on wave 4).
the final fifth wave should come down to about 22.9k, which is the 100% extension of wave A.
this move is called a simple zig-zag.
it's going to take some time,it's going to take some time, but i think we're in the process of forming a significant bottom in the crypto market.
we can certainly go lower, and i am pretty much expecting it (so is everyone else),
but i think there's a possibility that the bottom could be in.
there's no real way to know, but i have this feeling.
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everyone wants 20k, but what if we don't get it?
think about it.
✌
Wave 5 target = $136k
a completed count.the total crypto market cap suggests that a long term bottom could be in.
this doesn't mean that it can't go lower; but history suggests that this could be the bottom.
if a bottom is indeed in, we're going to see a significant bull run in the months ahead, which takes the total market cap up to around 4.5 trillion $.
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we're going to need some kind of catalyst to make this happen, and it won't come overnight, but i've started to position myself into longer term holds.
still about 80% cash, and i'm ready for lower prices just in case.