XEROX: New Management & Potential InvestmentFundamentals:
- Xerox on March 2024 offered $50 million of 3.75% in Convertible Senior Notes due in 2030.
- I guess Xerox is getting into 3D printing and they are trying to "RE-INVENT" themselves. They have a heavy amount of cashflow. However, SMCI (Super Micro Computer) is a competitor and SMCI is booming as a leader in its industry.
- Xerox currently pays a 6% dividend.
- If Xerox improves, a small buy now with its 5.9% to 6% dividend re-investment won't hurt. Maybe there will be a May 2025 breakout. Perhaps a November 2024 Presidential Election breakout.
Technicals:
Monthly Chart:
Xerox has reached rock bottom again. Notice how Xerox likes to bottom in the same area every time there is a major market crisis. I circled areas where ichimoku gave late stage buy signals on a monthly chart and areas where I would have attempted to buy-and-hold based on the monthly chart. The vertical lines show bear markets or close to bear markets in the overall stock market, which seemed to drastically affect this stock.
Since 1983, Xerox always bottomed in the same area. Xerox bottomed in 2023.
The longest move up after Xerox hit the bottom is 4 to 5 years. If 2022 or 2023 is the bottom, then, Xerox has until 2026 to 2027 to finish rallying.
Weekly Chart:
A double bottom appears on the weekly chart with validating volume and DQ. The weekly chart already tells us to be alert for a buy now or around $20. And, also, if the price moves to 26.95, then that will be near a monthly buy.
uRd
stage 3 ichimoku pattern
MACD and MACD-Ichimoku above the water line
Comment:
-Price is currently in a 12ish/19ish box range.
- If Xerox improves, a small buy now with its 5.9% to 6% dividend re-investment won't hurt. They can pay me while they continue to R&D and innovate enough to bring up sales, growth and earnings. Maybe there will be a May 2025 breakout. Perhaps a November 2024 Presidential Election breakout.
Xerox
Xerox Faces Headwinds in Q4 2023, CEO Prioritizes Simplification
Xerox Holdings Corp (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:XRX ) recently faced a challenging fourth quarter in 2023, marked by a 9.1% year-on-year decline in sales to $1.77 billion, falling short of the consensus estimate of $1.79 billion. The disappointing performance led to a drop in the company's stock as investors digested the numbers. Despite the hurdles, CEO Steve Bandrowczak remains optimistic, emphasizing the strategic importance of simplifying the business structure for long-term gains.
Sales and Earnings Overview:
The fiscal Q4 2023 saw Xerox's ( NASDAQ:XRX ) revenues decline by 10.6% at constant currency, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) coming in at $0.43, missing the analyst consensus of $0.52. Equipment sales took a hit, dropping by 17.3%, while post-sale revenue experienced a 5.8% decline. Gross margin fell by 130 basis points year-on-year to 33.5%, with equipment margin showing a contrasting increase of 80 bps to 32.4%. Post-sale margin, however, declined by 210 bps to 34.0%.
Strategic Business Simplification:
Despite the revenue challenges, CEO Steve Bandrowczak highlighted the positive impact of steps taken to simplify Xerox's ( NASDAQ:XRX ) business structure. This strategic move resulted in a 170 basis points expansion in adjusted operating margin. Bandrowczak underscored the importance of these structural changes, emphasizing the need for the company to adapt and evolve to meet the demands of a dynamic market.
Operational Efficiency and Productivity Gains:
To counter the revenue dip, Xerox ( NASDAQ:XRX ) is focusing on stabilizing and strengthening its core Print business. The company aims to drive enterprise-wide efficiency and productivity gains through its new Global Business Services organization. This initiative reflects Xerox's ( NASDAQ:XRX ) commitment to staying agile in a rapidly changing business landscape and ensuring its operations are streamlined for future growth.
Future Outlook and Guidance:
Looking ahead to fiscal year 2024, Xerox ( NASDAQ:XRX ) expects revenue in the range of $6.54 billion to $6.68 billion, slightly below the consensus estimate of $6.71 billion. The company projects a free cash flow guidance of at least $600 million, indicating confidence in its ability to generate cash despite the challenging market conditions. Xerox ( NASDAQ:XRX ) anticipates an adjusted operating margin of at least 7.5%, signaling its commitment to achieving sustainable profitability.
Conclusion:
While Xerox ( NASDAQ:XRX ) faced headwinds in the fourth quarter of 2023, CEO Steve Bandrowczak's strategic vision and focus on business simplification provide a roadmap for future success. The company's commitment to operational efficiency, productivity gains, and capturing opportunities in Digital and IT Services reflects a forward-looking approach. Investors will be watching closely as Xerox ( NASDAQ:XRX ) navigates the evolving landscape, seeking signs of resilience and growth in the face of industry challenges.
Xerox Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: $XRX) Facing Strong Resistance
NASDAQ:XRX stock is facing a strong resistance at $18.36, which is the 52-week high and the upper boundary of a descending triangle pattern.
NASDAQ:XRX stock is below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages of $18.36 and $18.45, respectively. The moving averages are also sloping downward, indicating a negative momentum.
NASDAQ:XRX has a low trading volume, which suggests a lack of interest and conviction among the traders and investors. The average volume for the past 10 days is $1.82 million, while the accumulated volume for today is $16.93 million. NASDAQ:XRX may test multiple Support level's before reaching new highs.
Trade Alert: XRX earnings playEarnings play. Lets see if this gaps up on earnings or trails to $18...
Overall I am bullish on this I believe there is definitely a better chance of this going up then down.
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Still bullish on XRXNYSE:XRX
Xerox is still holding inside its descending channel, but is continuing to hover near resistance. Anything above 17.80 is still considered a buy and the present analysis is still in play. However, a break below 17.80 could result in a retesting of support of the channel. Look for a break out of the descending wedge and a retest of resistance, this sleeper will pay off BIG soon if it can stay high.
XRX to BUST out of channelNYSE:XRX
XRX has been bouncing off the resistance of its descending channel and is positioned to breakout and head towards R1 of $23.70. We have seen a lot of buying in the last 4 weeks to support this idea.
27.40 PT for XeroxNYSE:XRX
Xerox has been bundled up inside the channel shown above. I'm looking for a breakout this fall to the mid to high 20's before trying to regain ATH's.
XRX Rectangular bottomXRX can be seen as displaying bullish signs, the real question is is this superficial or will these continue. Volume RSI shows strength, however CVI is steadily declining. A large rectangular bottom has formed, with a bump and run present.
XEROX hammer pattern After a long downtrend, a beautiful hammer was formed,the trend reversal was confirmed by bullish candles.
XRX: Small Gains TrendXerox is an undervalued stock. Xerox has the potential to beat their one year estimate which is @11.82 . Buy now when this stock sticks around the $9-10 range, really anything below 10 is a good buy.