The German stock index (DAX) has had a strongly bearish week as it got rejected just below the 14700 June 06 High, inside the greater Resistance Zone that is holding since March 29. As we mentioned last week, this is a much needed technical pull-back following the +24.50% rise since the October 03 Low. The 1D RSI got vastly overbought above 80.000 and it is only...
Big bullish news for DAX yesterday as it hit the 1D MA200 for the first time since February 2nd. Even though it has also broken above the Lower High Resistance of the Bear Market since October 27th, there is one pattern remaining which if repeated, can cause a new selloff. That is the April Cup pattern which after it failed to break its Resistance, it caused a...
DAX (FDAX1!) hit today the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since September 14. This is still technically a short-term bullish reaction (Channel Up) within two longer term bearish structures (Bearish Megaphone with the dashed lines and Falling Wedge o a broader frame). With the 4H RSI approaching its Resistance Zone, it is not unlikely to see a...
DAX is now trading above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the third straight session with the 1W RSI at its highest level since late January. The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (14800) is just below the 14950 Resistance formed by the March 29 High. That is a short-term target, buying after that can be justified only by a 1D candle close above the 1D MA200...
DAX eventually followed the trading plan suggested last week, as the price turned neutral into a consolidation range, following the rejection on the All Time High Lower Highs trend-line: The strategy is still valid. As long as the Lower Highs trend-line holds and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level supports, we can keep scalping for medium-term profits. A...
DAX broke and closed yesterday above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since January 20. Despite this bullish development, the index failed to break above the long-term Lower Highs trend-line of the correction, which has been holding and rejecting the price (6 rejections including yesterday's) since after the All Time Highs. The last time that...
The German Index has made a +17% rebound since last Monday's bottom and is very close to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). That is the natural Resistance for the index as it has been unbroken since January 20th. In a similar situation after the U.S. elections of November 2020, DAX started the strong uptrend of 2021 once it broke above the 1D MA50. It's first...
Finally falling trend ended. 2 options : Cup and handle target is confirmed and ready to go to TP1, 12.95. Fibonacci says we'll go to TP2, 14.40 SL : 6.7
Cup and handle formation is confirmed. RSI is suitable. TP1 : 231 TP2 : 255 SL : 148 or follow trend line.
DAX is testing today the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since February 02, where it failed to make a close above (despite breaking it intraday) and got rejected. On the long-term we see that the 14,810 Support has held on 5 tests since May 2021, and up until the January 05 2022 Double Top, we've had Higher Highs. The long-term trend thus remains...
Following our most recent DAX update, the price did eventually yield to its signs of exhaustion and pulled-back: The pull-back extended as low as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) yesterday where it found support and is rebounding today. This could be a short-term buy signal again, the technical overlay was explained on the previous update. As you see this is...
DAX appears to have completed the short-term profit taking pattern as presented last week on the following analysis: The 1D MA200 held and the index can now resume the uptrend towards the top of the long-term Channel Up. On today's analysis I shift focus to the 4H time-frame where the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) are close to...
DAX rebounded today exactly at the bottom (Higher Lows) trend-line of its October Channel Up (blue) mainly due to the bettern than expected E.U. and German PMI data. If this effect is short-lived and the Channel breaks to the downside (quite likely as the MACD just formed a Bearish Cross on the 1D time-frame), look for the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the next...
My last DAX analysis was on a bus signal after the price broke above the 4H MA50: The short-term target of the 4H MA200 eventually got reached and now I shift my focus for the medium-term back to the 1D time-frame. As you see the price has been trading around the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for a week. The very same consolidation pattern around the 1D MA50 was...
DAX hit today the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since November 04 2020, which was the period of the U.S. elections. That was at the start of a very aggressive end-of-the-year rally. Right now the index is rebounding after having made a Double Bottom just below the 15040 Support. If we also consider the July 19 Low, then this can be treated as a...
This is a fractal comparison for DAX on the 1W time-frame. As shown on the chart, the Channel Up since the October 2020 low has many similarities with the Channel Up since the June 2016 low. They both started after a recovery of the price below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and continued posting Higher Highs for as long as the 1W MA50 was supporting. In 2017 the...
Pattern: Channel Up on 1D. Signal: Buy as long as the 1D MA50 holds or if the Channel Up breaks upwards. The pattern resembles the Nov 2020 - March 2021 Channel. Target: 16500 (the 2.0 Fibonacci extension). ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. **...
3U Holding pulled back from trendline with rising volume. A breakout above the resistance at 3.35 EUR is likely.