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DAX: Pull back to the MA50 and then 13,600.DAX has broken above the 2019 1M Channel Up (RSI = 60.402, MACD = 306.500, Highs/Lows = 928.2857, ADX = 16.738) last week. The 1D RSI has made a peak at 78.000 which is the point where last May (3rd) it made a Higher High and pulled back aggressively. The January - May sequence has many similarities with the August - today sequence as illustrated on the chart. The most notable of which is the fact that after DAX broke above the 1D MA50 (blue line) it always acted as a Support (bounce long entry). We are expecting a similar price action and after a pull back to the 1D MA50 believe that DAX will resume the uptrend towards the 13,600 All Time High (ATH). ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
XETR:DAXLong
by InvestingScope
DAX: Targeting 13,600 on a possible band shift.DAX has been trading within a long term 1M Channel Up (RSI = 58.539, MACD = 225.500, Highs/Lows = 732.5857) since the December 2018 bottom. From January until July the price traded on the upper band of the Channel and then it made a bottom on the lower band. That essentially started a new Channel Up within the lower band until now that we had a contact with the Channel's mean. If the price breaks and closes on the 1D time frame above then a new aggressive sequence may start on the upper band again that should easily hit the 13,600 All Time High (ATH). If not, then a pull back to the previous High (as it happened in March) will serve as a buy zone for a more sustainable rise to 13,600. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
XETR:DAXLong
by InvestingScope
4
DAX: One last bullish leg towards 13,000.DAX has been very bullish throughout October rising from the near 11,800 low to a 12,800 high today which is in fact a peak for 2019. This is all within the Channel Up pattern on 1W (RSI = 59.041, MACD = 182.700, Highs/Lows = 304.9427) that has been in effect since February. As you see the two dominant bullish legs are very similar, the one from February to May and August to today: Phase 1 (circle) is a volatile Higher Low, then phase 2 (blue rotated rectangle) the first major pull back and lastly phase 3 (green rectangle) the last minor pull back before the Higher High. Assuming that the rise on the current bullish leg will be symmetrical (+14.60%) then we have calculated the final Target Zone within 12,950 - 13,080. Long term traders though may wait for a safer larger pull back around 12,100 before buying, again as it happened in May. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
EUREX:FDAX1!Long
by InvestingScope
2
DAX Critical pivot point approaching. How to trade each scenarioDAX, as most global leading stock markets, has suffered a big set-back this week in anticipation of today's key macroeconomic data. The 1D MA50 was crossed (blue line) and the index is now close to testing the 1D MA200 (orange). If the price bounces there then 1D (which entered into bearish territory with RSI = 38.234, MACD = 3.700, Highs/Lows = -272.3214) may reverse towards the 12,500 Resistance, in a similar way as it did on June 3rd when again it hit the same RSI level (see chart). If however it breaks, then DAX can reach again the 11,300 1W Support level, in which case it will become a strong buy option as the Demand Zone there has been strong. Plus it will be a 1W Triple Bottom which normally makes a Higher High. The only negative parameter on this sequence is the possibility of the wider 1W pattern turning into a Head and Shoulders eventually which after a dead cat bounce back to the 1D MA200 can lead to a Lower Low under the 11,300 1W Support. News on E.U. and U.S. data (as well as key Chinese import reports and the EURUSD) have to be followed closely on that matter. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
XETR:DAX
by InvestingScope
1
DAX: Cautious long opportunity within the 1D Channel Up.DAX has been trading within a very strong 1D Channel Up (RSI = 59.495, MACD = 84.870) since the August 15th bottom, which is currently on its Higher Low (Highs/Lows = 0.0000). This is a technical buy entry even though this time there are more barriers to overcome such as the 4H MA50 which has rejected today the uptrend (light blue trend line). The Target Zone on this sequence is 12,600 - 12,650, essentially the 1W Resistance. Other than that, DAX has printed the unique Golden Cross formation (4H), and last time it did was in January. After a minor pull back, the index aggressively grew by +8.95% on the next Higher High and +14.80% on the last Higher High before the MA200 broke (it has been supporting through out this whole bullish move). You can see that sequence below: Currently DAX has also made a 4H Golden Cross, delivered the pull back, the MA200 is supporting and is waiting for the next response (Higher High like we said). If it replicates the same pattern then we are looking at possible targets such as 13,220 and 13,925 (as seen on the chart below), which are of course now appear to be far fetched. That is why at the moment we only concentrate on reaching the 12,600 - 12,650 Target Zone. See also below how accurate DAX's symmetrical reach has been since the August bottom: ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
EUREX:FDAX1!Long
by InvestingScope
1
DAX: Inverse Head & Shoulders into Channel Up long opportunity.DAX is trading inside a Channel Up pattern on 4H (RSI = 57.000, MACD = 49.100, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) which is an extension of the 1D Inverse Head and Shoulders (RSI = 53.511) formation that bottomed at 11,270 in mid August. The 11,990 Higher High is symmetrical on the Inv. H&S as was 11,850 before that. This indicates strong bias towards making another symmetrical reach near 12,250 on the next Higher High. The 4H MA50 has to provide support during this run. We are long, TP = 12,200. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
XETR:DAXLong
by InvestingScope
4
DAX: Limited downside. Strong long term buy signal.With the majority of global stock indices on a seasonal correction, DAX hasn't escaped the pattern and is down -4.85% from the 2019 highs. What stands out is that the downside on this correction is limited to -5.85% (avg) based on the last occurrence of the Golden Cross (MA50 over MA200) on a similar candlestick pattern. In 2016 following the post Brexit rally the Golden Cross occurred which led to a -5.85% price decline and subsequent consolidation for 90 days. When completed, the MA200 acted as a support for the 2017 bull cycle. With the current candle action being identical we expect a similar price behavior. 11,700 will most likely hold a nearly two month consolidation before the price breaks aggressively towards the All Time Highs. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
XETR:DAXLong
by InvestingScope
4
DAX: More sell potential on 1D.The index is pulling back making use of the negative global trade fundamentals, but purely on a technical perspective this selling is a natural retrace of the 1W Channel Up (RSI = 56.647, MACD = 122.700, Highs/Lows = 191.3357) towards a new Higher Low. We have calculated this to be at 11,865 on a Support level that extends as back as September 2018. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
EUREX:FDAX1!Short
by InvestingScope
3
DAX: Inverse Head and Shoulders on 1W. Long term approach.DAX is on a very strong bull run since its December bottom, maintaining the trend on a 1D Channel Up that was recently broken to the upside (RSI = 71.535, MACD = 158.900, Highs/Lows = 203.0988). The index now enters into the overbought zone and the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern on 1W suggests that it will approach the 12,460 neckline before any meaningful selling (profit taking) occurs (11,870 the Support). As we see on the chart in the past two years DAX has a tendency of respecting its long term patterns: the 10,200 1M Support contained successfully the 2018 bear market while before that the Head and Shoulders pattern (that led to the ATH) was respected. If you are a long term investor, this chart suits your needs. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
XETR:DAX
by InvestingScope
1
DAX: A quarterly overview.We have seen the current trading set up on DAX during its previous mini bear cycle (April 2015 - February 2016). During that time the index finally broke upwards for the new mini bull cycle once both Lower High trend lines were crossed and held as supports on at least 1 re-test. Currently DAX has broken above the first Lower High trend line (dashed) and has already re-tested it as a support once. Based on the 2015-2016 pattern, one more (lower) test is due and on a quarterly basis this is not unrealistic as the macroeconomic fundamentals have disappointed (PMI, Sales ect) raising economic growth concerns. The market needs some time to digest these data and re-balance the dynamics. Once the upper (bold) trend line breaks and re-tested as support, then the new bull cycle will most likely begin. This perspective suits the needs for long term investors who seek safe and reliable buy entries not for daily traders. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
XETR:DAXLong
by InvestingScope
6
DAX: Sell opportunity on 1D.The index is still on a long term recovery within the 1D Channel Up (RSI = 58.547, MACD = 106.300, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). This time however 4H is on a Lower High sequence with 11,400 supporting this fragile set up. With the price already rejected just below the 11,686 - 11,838 1W Resistance Zone, we are expecting a stronger correction if 11,400 breaks. TP1 = 11,250, TP2 = 11,000. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
EUREX:FDXM1!Short
by InvestingScope
DAX: Short opportunity on overbought levels.The index is trading on a 4H Channel Up (RSI = 69.786, MACD = 72.000, Highs/Lows = 56.2642) that has crossed into the overbought zone (STOCH = 95.784, STOCHRSI = 79.387, Williams = -3.343). Since the price is too close to the 11,570 1W Resistance, we will take this opportunity to go short and target the first Support on 1D = 11,300. This is where the 1D Channel Up will meet its median, which if broken, it can seek a Higher Low at 11,100. We will update if we decide to follow it that low. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
EUREX:FDXM1!Short
by InvestingScope
DAX: Channel Up on 1D. Long.The index has been trading within a strong recovery Channel Up on 1D (RSI = 59.688, MACD = 74.500, Highs/Lows = 85.2929, BB/P = 251.0418) since the December bottom. Although the technical target is the 11,550 Resistance and potential Higher High, since the upside is clearly slowing down on a Rising Wedge, it is best to but and settle for a lower TP at 11,400. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
XETR:DAXLong
by InvestingScope
DAX Index: Much more potentialA large reversal pattern (H&S shaped) has been completed with the recent break below ~12000 (cloud and internal trend line) and a full swing down trend is in progress. Focus is on 10150 (minor) and 9965 (first major projection). Below that 9475 and even 8465 come into play on a 12+ month horizon. On the upside, prices should not rally above 12050 for the foreseeable future. Risk/reward remains excellent. We have full short-exposure (equities) divided equally between the DAX and AEX Amsterdam. Near term trend: negative Long term trend: negative Outlook: huge long term reversal, negative Strategy: hold-short / sell rallies Support: 10150* / 9965* / 9475* / 8465* Resistance: 12050 / 12335 / 12670 Outlook cancelled/neutralized above 12335
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by buyem_nl
DAX: Symmetrical Channel Up still holding. Bullish.The index managed to maintain the bullish break out above 11,390 and the new 4H Channel Up to stay above the Higher Low limit. As long as the symmetry holds, the short term target should be around the 0.618 Fibonacci extension, before it consolidates the potential overbought status. Our targets are intact: 12,000 & 12,100 in extension. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
XETR:DAXLong
by InvestingScope