ASX Top 200 Index (XJO) and key movers - CBA CSL and WESReview of the ASX 200 Index for December 20, 2024, and some key market movers, CBA, CSL and WES.
S&P/ASX 200
ASX looks set to retrace from resistanceThe ASX 200 cash market enjoyed its most bullish day in seven on Thursday. But like the SPI 200 futures contract, it met resistance before pausing.
The daily chart shows that a double top formed around the June 26 high and trend resistance. And as it's not unusual to see a market retrace against a strong move, and we have an NFP report looming which could suppress volatility, we're looking for prices to retrace lower against yesterday's rally.
Bears could target the 20-day EMA between the weekly and monthly pivot point, with a stop above yesterday's high.
XJO on major supportASX 200 Index (XJO) closed yesterday sitting on major support line @ 7603.
Long-term higher highs have previously been established since 2021 indicating overall positive market growth.
Time to enter ASX:CSL ⁉️Last week, CSL management received positive feedback and the stock is currently in a base. While there is no confirmation of a new trend, the risk-reward ratio is favorable to add a small amount and let the market guide for further additions. I will only add up to 50% of my position in the low base, so if the stock fails to reach its all-time high, I will still have some gains to take away. The stock symbol is $ASX:CSL.
Disclosure: I am investing in my super account for the first trance I cannot provide any recommendations to buy or sell. It is essential for you to conduct your own research.
AU200 ~ Commodities or Follow US Markets? ASX Wants Both! (2H)CAPITALCOM:AU200 chart mapping/analysis.
ASX grinding higher into EOY, benefitting from relative strength in global commodities & precious metals.
Trading scenarios into EOY:
Continued commodity strength + US bullish momentum = rally into 23.6% Fib / ascending trend-line (light blue dotted) confluence zone.
Rally would coincide with re-test of bearish breakdown from pennant pattern.
Commodity weakness + US market capitulation = re-test of 38.2% Fib, into horizontal line (yellow dashed) / 200SMA / lower range of ascending parallel channel (green dashed) uber confluence zone.
ASX AU200 ~ Nov-Dec Snapshot (4H Intraday)CAPITALCOM:AU200 chart mapping/analysis for last week of November.
TBC further details/write-up via ideas section, cheers.
ASX AU200 ~ November TA Outlook (2H Intraday)CAPITALCOM:AU200 chart mapping/analysis.
ASX following US market lead rallying into ~7000 psychological level (50% Fib) & descending trend-line (light blue dotted) confluence zone.
ASX Index (XJO) vs. Aussie VIX (XVI) ~ Inverse CorrelationAussie Volatility Index wreaking havoc on ASX.
XJO ~6500 range & XVI ~20 range marked out as area(s) of interest for potential supply/demand dynamics, TBC.
ASX 200 ~ 2H Intraday Chart (Sept-Oct)CAPITALCOM:AU200 chart mapping/analysis for short-term & intraday trades.
ASX 200 ~ Daily Swing Chart (Sept-Oct)CAPITALCOM:AU200 chart mapping/analysis for med-long term swing trades.
ASX 200 ~ 2hr Intraday Chart V2Chart mapping/technical analysis of CAPITALCOM:AU200 for developing short-term Intraday Trade strategies.
CAPITALCOM:AU200 ASX:XJO ASX:XVI
ASX 200 ~ Daily Swing Chart V2Chart mapping/technical analysis of CAPITALCOM:AU200 for developing med-long term Swing Trade strategies.
CAPITALCOM:AU200 ASX:XJO ASX:XVI
ASX200 Futures ~ Snapshot TA / 1hr Intraday ChartShort term 1hr Chart of ASX Futures for monitoring Intraday movements.
Useful for tracking high volatility fluctuations, especially during key economic announcements.
CAPITALCOM:AU200 ASX:XJO ASX:XVI
ASX200 Futures ~ Snapshot TA / Daily ChartMedium-Long term Daily Chart of ASX Futures for monitoring Swing Trades.
Useful for tracking overall trend movements.
CAPITALCOM:AU200 ASX:XJO ASX:XVI
Woodside Energy Running on FumesASX:WDS (NYSE: NYSE:WDS ) price action looks extended ahead of FY23 Interim Earnings tomorrow (Tues 22/08).
Notable Headwinds: threat of imminent Worker Strikes & CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE / CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS consolidating amidst Global Economic uncertainty.
Best-case Scenario: ASX:WDS also consolidates between 50-61.8% Fib + Supply/Demand confluence & stays within upward Price Channel.
Hub24 FY23 ShowdownHub24 closed out of its little Flag Pattern ahead of FY23 Earnings (Tues 21/08).
Looks incredibly Bullish, but extrapolating the "Flag Pole" presents equal case for Supply/Demand zone in either direction.
Will be interesting to see which way Traders decide to take it...good luck to anyone who took the HUB punt.
AU200 Short-Med Term OutlookAnticipating short-term bounce to fill gaps, re-test 23.6% Fib zone & create opportunities for Short positions.
Selling 'should' re-commence in September to test lower range re: parallel channel, in-line with Market Seasonality.
Over-extension into Golden Fib Range could signal warning of more extreme market capitulation (~6400).
Depends on break-outs either side of current indecision candle/price action, TBC.
The swing low could be in for the ASX 200 (XJO)The ASX 200 suffered its worst day in 10-week on the final day of May, thanks to weak China PMIs and month-end flows. The first day of June posted a very minor (almost sheepish) gain, but with a positive lead from Wall Street and SPI futures higher by ~0.66% overnight, the ASX is expected to extend its rise from the lows.
The fact that the lows formed around a 61.8% Fibonacci ratio 7070 support level alongside a bullish RSI divergence could bode well for bulls over the near-term. From here the bias is bullish above last week's low and for a move to the 7200 area, within the channel. But as the channel appears to be corrective in nature then we also see the potential for it to head for (and break above) the 7300 highs.
But as we're a period of the year notorious for fickle price action and lower trading volumes, traders might be wise to remain nimble and seek smaller moves unless a large macro theme arrives worthy of expecting broad-range expansion for global markets.
It could be now or never for ASX 200 bullsI suspect it could be a case of now or never for ASX bulls.
Whilst it suffered its worst day in 9-weeks on Thursday, this could be part of an ABC correction and the 200-day MA is nearby as a probably support level, even if it breaks lower today. Futures markets shows heavy volume occurred around yesterday's lows (bears piled in around the lows) yet sentiment could rise if a debt ceiling deal is reached as reported, forcing a short-covering rally.
Yesterday’s low sits around a 50% retracement and 61.8% projection level, and there is a volume cluster around 7122 during the strong rally which could provide support. Furthermore, RSI (2) is oversold.
The bias is bullish above 7090 (below the 200-day MA) and for its next leg higher to begin.
Plan shortPlan short
Post US CPI to close this weekend (at US closes)
Be wary of unexpected debt ceiling news
So open/close at every 15 mins s/r levels
Sympathy bounce for the ASX 200?Whilst prices are expected to open lower, we’re on guard for a small countertrend bounce. A bullish hammer formed on the daily chart at the lower Bollinger band which found support at the 50% retracement level and 200-day EMA. A bullish divergence has formed on the RSI (2) within the overbought zone. A break above yesterday’s high could potentially see it retest the 7275 low, or the monthly pivot point around 7300.
If we managed to bounce that far, we'd then look for signs of weakness for a potential swing trade short, given weak sentiment for global stocks and the tendency for stocks to underperform around this year due to "sell in May and go away" seasonality.
A break of yesterday’s low assumes bearish continuation.
S&P/ASX200 Will be crashHello we are part of a new community called lucky trading club in tradingview so let's begin our first analysis.
Asx200 will be crash, we have a eqh on 7600 with a lot of liquidity it was already taken last friday, also we have an harmonic pattern in the range of 7500-7650.
This is asx200 ATH when all institution begin to sell gradually, inflation still growing is the worst australian inflation in 33 years, rba will continue raising interest rates 50bps at 7 February.
In ressume a lot of confluences to take this short position.
Type of trade: Swing.
Entry: 7580-7650
Our targets
Target 1: 7450
Target 2: 7300
Target 3: 7000
Target 4: 6850
Max x20
