S&P/ASX 200
Stocks to watch for March (Buy) BKL Blackmores The chart pattern is showing a "cup n handle" or inverse head and shoulders as well,
go long if we can breakout of this resistance $83.80
More on cup n handle pattern.
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XJO range boundThe XJO has had a weak bounce compared to its big brother the S&P, its now consolidating ready for its next move a potential double top I have been in and out short on this one and with all the government stimulus I have played this one wrong. Maybe I should have focus my shorts on the Aussie banks and flipped the XJO as a long.
As 1.9T of stimulus rolls out in the US economy and if the market deicides to play drunk and push the S&P higher we should see a nice rally on the XJO making new highs.
6260 would be an invalidation and you should then look for shorts.
Australia [ASX 200] - 2021 weekly chartPurple = weekly
Blue = Monthly
Orange = Daily
Hello Traders and Analysts,
The following analysis will be in depth to explain the out look of the Index and
Based on what merit?
Being a commodity based currency we need to analyse the US and commodities as Australia a produce of raw materials.
The Australian economy is commodity based but also well suited to self-sufficiency in some aspects from raw material production, construction but relies on Tourism and exports to keep the Aussie afloat.
With the ASX correlated with the S&P500 - we expect the ASX to over extend the Fibonacci targets to the upside into 2021 upon the global recovery.
XAG
We have seen a nice impulse into the channel and a rejection upon reaching the zone of $29.00.
Good question, based on the fact - from a technical standpoint - the sell off back in February, March 2020 - reversed on a fractal point within the market structure to the crisis of the reluctance for the demand of the Commodities . However, this produced a demand zone to hold from so we have a buying opportunity.
This imbalance was created in which created the impulse. Price re-established itself now between $22-27 zone for a further imbalance where price will now look to as a strong demand for price engineering if needed.
The long term wider chart is available below;
XAU
Daily longs are still in play after
Weekly longs
Monthly long
Retrace is occurring on the weekly time frame - but can this be building up
Fibonacci level aligns of 50% around 1939 and 61.8% at 1907.00 USD.
This retracement zone will show a great long identification
Retrace needed to to confirm liquidity from the strong demand.
Current market at play for XAU USD
S&P500
from a technical standpoint - the sell off back in February, March 2020 - reversed on a fractal point within the market structure. Where price had a low of 2182, this significant point to me, showed the imbalance between the previous Fibonacci extension points 1.786, 1.618. This was essentially fulfilling the swing high and creating a swing low.
Refer back to 2007-08 on the chart to see the imbalances - where; the blue Ellipse - shows the 2008 rally distribution beginning to take effect.
The Red Ellipse - shows the pivotal 1.7186, 1.618 full retracement zones - where the "china trade war" and "coronavirus" fundamentals took place for the index to fall back in line.
The current bullish momentum will be created from the stimulus coming further into 2021, presidential change and USD index or DXY being suppressed. This projection offers the rate of debt the debt market cycle has not been reacting negatively yet with yields still intact and further debt creation to refinance debt obligations .
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Bearish on XJOWhile noting a flatline on the candlesticks with a dropping momentum, we are inclined to believe that the Aussie fund will drop down. Currently we are looking at 65k, 64k, 63k projected levels. Fractally, it looks we are just due for a bit of a pullback anyway. Fractal analysis is not just a science, but a whole artform as well.
Go Long on Elders ASX $ELDWe saw a nice breakout for Elders on Friday,
however, the stock price failed to break the moving average.
If we close above it next week it will be a buy signal for me.
MACD, RSI, and DMI are bullish and the stock would more likely to go up from this breakout.
Similarly, the Lucid Sar ( AKA Parabolic SAR) is showing a change in direction as well." Downtrend to an uptrend ".
Go long - 10.82
Stop loss - 9.60
#1 Price target - 12.06
Lastly, if you switch to the weekly for Elders ASX, there was a TD 9.
XJO slips below critical support levels at 6522.55The November run ended just below the 6522.55 support level after reaching the 6680.95 resistance level.
The Index could fall to the bottom of the price channel around 6443.30 if it fails to hold above 6522.55.
Critical support levels are estimated at 6443.35, 6364.00, 6284.95, and 6205.75
Risk Management - TD 9 (2 Day Chart) ASX200 $XJO We could see a pullback this week,
RSI are showing overbought, MACD and DMI are showing buyers are slowing down and seller are starting to take profits.
Last week, We failed to break 6713 and had a shooting star candle.
Therefore, if I was shorting this index, that's my stop loss area.