XLE
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 5/7It was the cyclical sectors that ruled the week. Energy (XLE), Materials (XLB), Financials (XLF) and Industrials (XLI) were the top four sectors of the week.
The cyclical sectors are benefiting from a pick-up in economic activity driving demand for products from building materials, infrastructure and the manufacturing of consumables. Supply has not been able to keep up with the increased demand, driving commodity prices higher. Timber, Copper, Aluminum are all skyrocketing. And demand for oil is increasing as transportation picks back up.
While the Dow Jones Industrial average (DJI) and S&P 500 (SPX) hit new all-time records, there were four sectors that lost for the week. Technology (XLK) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) fell on Monday thru Wednesday along with the Nasdaq, as investors rotated to re-opening and infrastructure stocks.
Real Estate (XLRE) and Utilities (XLU) were the bottom two sectors. Investors did not have interest in the defensive equity plays this week. Investors remain confident in the equities market, but are playing toward value, re-opening and infrastructure.
XLE - people are bullish.... but...A lot of people are bullish in Oil just like a lot of people were bearish when Oil was over $140 and Bearish when Oil was down a year ago.
You have to look at your chart and trade when you are confident.
I was confident in Late march and in November.
Right now, I prefer to stay aside and wait for the fog to clear. IF it is bullish, there will be plenty of chance to trade.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 4/30Energy (XLE) led the weekly sector list for the first time since the first week of March. The sector was helped by oil prices that rose on Tuesday and Wednesday, and positive earnings reports from Exxon Mobile and Chevron.
Financials (XLF) and Communications (XLC) stocks solidified second and third place with strong opens on Thursday. Financials was boosted by positive earnings reports from Capital One and S&P Global. Communications got a big lift from Alphabet and Facebook, as advertising revenues soar amidst consumers getting back to spending.
Despite several positive earnings reports in the sector, Technology (XLK) ended the week in last place. Investor outlook appears to be that these big tech companies will not continue the same amount of growth in the next few quarters, especially compared to the previous year's numbers.
XLE Upside Idea XLE is seeing a bullish crossover on the macd on the daily timeframe and holding pivot support. I believe we can see a bounce off these levels and test the previous high. With reopening in focus and strong performance in energy in the recent week (also earnings of big energy names such as XOM on friday) we can see a potential quick rise in energy stocks.
EMR EMERSON (sleepy giant)Absolutely long on this one too,
price is moving across MA 20 smoothly
in red MA50 and yellow the MA 100
That ´s another that i have detected, in very good shape. as MOS (related ideas based on best sector for the weak and upward trends)
as always invest at your own risk take care
and look for more information
Good Lick to all
Charlie
XLE Long September 50 CallsJumping into XLE here.
Oil will need to rebound if the market intends to press on, and we see this as a highly likely scenario.
We also had a very nice bounce off the 50% Fibonacci line, as well as a confirmation of support on the 50 EMA.
With a bullish market and multiple entry factors, this looks like a perfect setup for a 10/20% option return.
Feel free to follow this thread as we will be posting updates as this thing moves like all of our trades.
Good luck, All!
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 4/23The S&P 500 had a slight loss for the week, but there were two sectors that soared despite the market.
Real Estate (XLRE) ended the week as the top sector, advancing over 2%. Three factors helped the sector breakout and then stay on top the whole week. The economic recovery is a boon for the real estate industry as occupancy rates climb driving demand and prices higher. Interest rates remain low thanks to the Fed's continued easy money policy, keeping costs low. And in a climate of nervous investors, fearful of new lockdowns around the world, the real estate sector becomes a nice defensive play that has growth potential as well.
Healthcare (XLV) was the second best sector of the week. The sector has lagged behind the S&P 500 since the beginning of the year. Positive earnings reports from UnitedHealth (UNH) and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) over the past few weeks gave it the momentum needed to catch up with a 1.81% advance this week.
The only other sectors that had gains for the week were Materials (XLB) and Industrials (XLI), both responding positively to great economic recovery news.
At the bottom of the sector list were Energy (XLE) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY). Energy stocks continue to underperform as oil prices have been dropping in recent weeks. Consumer Discretionary was a big part of the S&P 500 setting records the previous three weeks and was due to pause or pullback this week. Earnings reports from Tesla (TSLA) and Amazon (AMZN) next week will have a big influence on the sector performance.
QCOM Qualcomm (long)Danger line, (red slashes)
the price should not drop from this line
it would not be good.
Any close above $135
means QCOM Still bullish
To me the goal is at $147
If you want to trade my recommendation is, in short term
buy at $133 sell at $ 140.5
invest at your risk trading is not probability, it is not certainty but possibilities
You can loose money. Times now are very risky for traders
Good luck
Charlie
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 4/16Utilities (XLU) is surprisingly the top sector for the day. Topping the list on Tuesday and nearing the top of the list on Friday the sector had steady gains throughout the week. The sector is usually a defensive move for investors. Perhaps investors nervousness grew as the S&P 500 has been setting new all-time highs.
Less of a surprise is to see Materials (XLB) at the top of the weekly list. The sector is benefiting not only from investments on infrastructure being discussed in Washington, but also a strong housing sector and a surge in building permits.
Energy (XLE) had a choppy week, taking the lead on Wednesday, but quickly fading to near the bottom of the list for the weekly.
Consumer Discretionary (XLY) also had some good days this week, advancing on news of strong retail sales and an advance in consumer credit showing increased spending.
The worst performing sector this week was Communications (XLC). There have been some reports of decelerating spending on Internet media and social platforms from retailers. That makes sense as demand is naturally increasing and requires less effort for omnichannel marketing to bring in consumers.
50EMA break $XLE, simple analysisXLE looks to be entering a downtrend. If the 50EMA break holds, we should be heading towards the low 44s. RSI is in a downtrend as well. MACD crossing into the bearish territory.
This is a decent EFT to have in your LT portfolio with a ~5.5% dividend. Low 40s would be nice. Mid to high 30s would be great.
The Week Ahead: EWZ, MJ, XLE, IWM/RUT Premium SellingHighly Options Liquid Single Name With Earnings in the Rear View Mirror Ranked by 30-Day Implied With a 30-Day >50% and a Share Price >$10:
FCEL (0/104)
M (11/75)
CCL (0/59)
PLAY (0/59)
CHWY (0/52)
Highly Options Liquid Exchange-Traded Funds Ranked by 30-Day Implied With a 30-Day >35%:
EWZ (8/73)
MJ (2/51)
XLE (0/48)
XRT (2/41)
GDXJ (6/41)
LIT (18/38)
XBI (36/36)
Broad Market Exchange-Traded Funds Ranked by 30-Day:
IWM (1/27)
QQQ (0/23)
SPY (0/16)
Musings:
If it isn't obvious, the number of exchange-traded funds with a 30-day implied volatilty percentage >35% have dwindled dramatically over the past several weeks, limiting premium selling opportunities if you're not interested in playing single name. That being said, it's not a bad time to relax a little bit, allow plays you've put on in higher volatility to play out, and wait for "the next one," whether it be in the market as a whole, or in a given sector. Since I've already got plays on in EWZ and MJ (See Posts Below), I may consider something in XLE, with the caveat being that its implied is low in the 52 week range, with the monster volatility pop we had in 2020 still holding sway over where current levels are relative to where they've been.
All that having been said, I'm in the mode of generating "cash flow" regardless of the volatility environment, and so will likely continue to programmatically sell my weekly, 45 days 'til expiry short put in the broad market exchange-traded fund having the highest implied volatility, which here is IWM, along with adjusting any rungs of my longer-dated SPY short put ladder to window dress, take profit, or add units to generate credit and keep that theta pile on and burning. I'd naturally prefer higher volatility to muck about in, but can't have everything.
Sector Winners and Losers week ending 4/9The S&P 500 was dominated by three growth sectors for the week, finishing the week with a big 2.71% gain and another new all-time high.
Technology (XLK) finished the week as the top sector, taking the top spot on Thursday and Friday as big tech companies solidified breakouts from their recent consolidations.
Likewise, Consumer Discretionary (XLY) and Communication Services (XLC) finished in second and third place largely thanks for mega-caps that are overweight in the lists.
Energy (XLE) was at the bottom of the list with over a 4% decline. Some of that may be attributed to mixed outlook from analysts on supply and demand for oil. But Energy also tends to suffer when a large amount of investment rotates into the three big growth sectors.
Only Energy declined for the week. The other sectors had gains, albeit underperformed the broader S&P 500 index.